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Analysis and synthesis of coronal and interplanetary energetic particle, plasma, and magnetic field observations over three solar rotations.

In a previous paper (Krimigis et al., 1971), simultaneous observations in 1967 of solar particle events at low (less than 1 MeV) energies were presented. In the present paper, the full complement of simultaneous plasma, magnetic field, and energetic particle data is combined, and a complete analysis is made of all the events discussed in the original paper. The essential concept of 'collimated convection' is introduced, whereby the bulk velocity along the field lines of low-energy solar particles is independent of solar local plasma velocity, and the particles are strongly collimated along the field line with no transverse velocity component other than that of the field line itself. Collimated convection effects are shown to exist in small-scale convection and large-scale evolution of particle fluxes; the particle fluxes are, in turn, used to delineate the small-scale and large-scale evolution of the interplanetary magnetic field. Use of collimated convection is made in demonstrating a technique whereby energetic particle intensity profiles in the interplanetary medium can be related to equatorial high coronal magnetic field structures, by using the instantaneous solar wind velocity. This technique is applied in mapping particle intensities from Mariner 5 onto H alpha synoptic charts of chromospheric magnetic field structures for Carrington rotations 1523 to 1525.

Roelof, E. C.↗

Space Radiation Risk Assessment for Future Lunar Missions

For lunar exploration mission design, radiation risk assessments require the understanding of future space radiation environments in support of resource management decisions, operational planning, and a go/no-go decision. The future GCR flux was estimated as a function of interplanetary deceleration potential, which was coupled with the estimated neutron monitor rate from the Climax monitor using a statistical model. A probability distribution function for solar particle event (SPE) occurrence was formed from proton fluence measurements of SPEs occurred during the past 5 solar cycles (19-23). Large proton SPEs identified from impulsive nitrate enhancements in polar ice for which the fluences are greater than 2 10(exp 9) protons/sq cm for energies greater than 30 MeV, were also combined to extend the probability calculation for high level of proton fluences. The probability with which any given proton fluence level of a SPE will be exceeded during a space mission of defined duration was then calculated. Analytic energy spectra of SPEs at different ranks of the integral fluences were constructed over broad energy ranges extending out to GeV, and representative exposure levels were analyzed at those fluences. For the development of an integrated strategy for radiation protection on lunar exploration missions, effective doses at various points inside a spacecraft were calculated with detailed geometry models representing proposed transfer vehicle and habitat concepts. Preliminary radiation risk assessments from SPE and GCR were compared for various configuration concepts of radiation shelter in exploratory-class spacecrafts.

Kim, Myung-Hee Y.↗

X-ray and radio properties of solar (He-3) rich events

Radio and X-ray properties of solar flares associated with a new sample of individual (He-3) rich solar particle events are examined. Given the association between kilometric type III bursts and (He-3) rich events, the timing of the radio events is used to identify the related X-ray increases. The X-ray events exhibit a rich variety, from the standpoint of both intensity and complexity. Examination of the events shows statistically significant anticorrelations between the He-3/He-4 ratio and the intensity of the event as measured at kilometric wavelengths and in hard and soft X-rays; larger He-3/He-4 ratios occur in smaller flares. The result suggests that a coupling may exist between the preheating phase and the acceleration phase of these events or that mixing occurs between an enriched particle population accelerated within the compact flare and a normal population accelerated by a shock propagating away from an intense flare.

Reames, D. V.↗

Solar flare particle fluences during solar cycles 19, 20 and 21

Satellite data for solar flare particle events during solar cycle 21 (up to July 1982) have been analyzed to obtain event-integrated fluxes of energetic protons and alpha particles. Thirty nine events with proton fluences (E greater than 10 MeV) greater than 10-million/sq cm occurred during 1976-1982. The average flux of protons with kinetic energy greater than 10 MeV is 65 per sq cm/s for this period. The event averaged alpha to proton ratio, in the energy interval 1-22 MeV/n, varies between 0.006 to 0.04, with an average value of about 0.02 for the whole cycle. The flux of protons (with energies greater than 10 MeV) averaged over cycle 21 is lower than those for solar-cycle 20 per sq cm/s based on satellite data, and for solar-cycle 19 378 per sq cm/s based on lunar sample data. There is no definitive correlation between solar-cycle averaged proton fluxes and sunspot numbers.

Mcguire, R. E.↗

Corotating MeV/amu ion enhancements at 1 AU or less from 1978 to 1986

The properties of MeV/amu ions in 64 corotating streams at and inside 1 AU associated with corotating high-speed streams from 1978 to 1986 during presolar maximum to near solar minimum conditions are discussed. Around 50 percent of the streams include significant ion intensity enhancements not associated with solar particle events or traveling interplanetary shocks. The ions stream nearly along the E x B drift direction in the spacecraft frame, corresponding to a weak sunward field-aligned streaming in the solar wind frame. The sunward streaming is consistent with particle acceleration in the outer heliosphere followed by diffusion into the inner heliosphere. The ion intensity is not correlated with the stream solar wind speed or with the increase in solar wind speed at the leading edge of the high-speed stream, suggesting that the local shock strength alone may not play a dominant role in determining the intensity.

Richardson, I. G.↗

Pitch angle distributions of energetic ions in the lobes of the distant geomagnetic tail

A model is presented which accounts for observed pitch angle distributions of energetic ions in the lobes of the deep geomagnetic tail. Energetic (greater than 35 keV) ion data from the ISEE-3 spacecraft obtained during 1982-1983, when the spacecraft made a series of transversals of the distant geomagnetic tail (X sub GSE greater than -238 R sub E) is considered. Analysis indicates that under usual conditions the lobe pitch angle distribution is highly peaked at pitch angles closely perpendicular to the magnetic field direction while also showing a small downtail anisotropy. It is noted, however, that during periods of solar particle enhancements the lobe distributions become much more clearly isotropic. The proposed model successfully reproduces these features of the data and also accounts for the more isotropic ion population observed in the lobe during solar particle events, when the terrestrial component of the magnetosheath source may be considered negligeable in comparison to the enhanced solar component.

Owen, C. J.↗

Investigation of HZETRN 2010 as a Tool for Single Event Effect Qualification of Avionics Systems

NASA's future missions are focused on long-duration deep space missions for human exploration which offers no options for a quick emergency return to Earth. The combination of long mission duration with no quick emergency return option leads to unprecedented spacecraft system safety and reliability requirements. It is important that spacecraft avionics systems for human deep space missions are not susceptible to Single Event Effect (SEE) failures caused by space radiation (primarily the continuous galactic cosmic ray background and the occasional solar particle event) interactions with electronic components and systems. SEE effects are typically managed during the design, development, and test (DD&T) phase of spacecraft development by using heritage hardware (if possible) and through extensive component level testing, followed by system level failure analysis tasks that are both time consuming and costly. The ultimate product of the SEE DD&T program is a prediction of spacecraft avionics reliability in the flight environment produced using various nuclear reaction and transport codes in combination with the component and subsystem level radiation test data. Previous work by Koontz, et al.1 utilized FLUKA, a Monte Carlo nuclear reaction and transport code, to calculate SEE and single event upset (SEU) rates. This code was then validated against in-flight data for a variety of spacecraft and space flight environments. However, FLUKA has a long run-time (on the order of days). CREME962, an easy to use deterministic code offering short run times, was also compared with FLUKA predictions and in-flight data. CREME96, though fast and easy to use, has not been updated in several years and underestimates secondary particle shower effects in spacecraft structural shielding mass. Thus, this paper will investigate the use of HZETRN 20103, a fast and easy to use deterministic transport code, similar to CREME96, that was developed at NASA Langley Research Center primarily for flight crew ionizing radiation dose assessments. HZETRN 2010 includes updates to address secondary particle shower effects more accurately, and might be used as another tool to verify spacecraft avionics system reliability in space flight SEE environments.

Rojdev, Kristina↗

The variation of solar proton energy spectra size distribution with heliolongitude

A statistical study of the initial phases of 185 solar particle events was carried out using the data from cosmic ray experiments on IMP 4 and IMP 5. Special emphasis was placed on the identification of the associated solar flare, as the parent flare can be determined for 68% of the events. It appears probable that most of the unidentified increases occur on the non-visible disc of the sun. The existence of a 'preferred-connection' longitude between 20 W and 80 W was established by examining the heliolongitude of all the flare associated events. It is demonstrated that the energy spectra determined at the time of maximum particle in the 20 to 80 MeV or 4 to 20 Mev interval range give results identical to that obtained by the 'distance-travelled' method.

Vanhollebeke, M. A. I.↗

Diurnal variation in low-energy cosmic ray cutoffs.

Balloon observations are presented of the daily variation in the flux of nuclear γ-rays which were produced by proton bombardment of the terrestrial atmosphere over Byrd Station, Antarctica ( L ≈ 7) during the January–February 1967 solar particle events. This modulation is interpreted as the result of a local geomagnetic-time dependence for the cutoff of the solar proton influx at low energies (≈ 1–30 MeV). The observations are compared with predictions of existing theory and, while the predicted effect is confirmed qualitatively, significant discrepancies in quantitative detail are evident. Lack of better agreement lies, most probably, in the assumed simplicity of the magnetospheric models presently in use.

J R Barcus↗

Radiation transport modeling and assessment to better predict radiation exposure, dose, and toxicological effects to human organs on long duration space flights

NASA is very interested in improving its ability to monitor and forecast the radiation levels that pose a health risk to space-walking astronauts as they construct the International Space Station and astronauts that will participate in long-term and deep-space missions. Human exploratory missions to the moon and Mars within the next quarter century, will expose crews to transient radiation from solar particle events which include high-energy galactic cosmic rays and high-energy protons. Because the radiation levels in space are high and solar activity is presently unpredictable, adequate shielding is needed to minimize the deleterious health effects of exposure to radiation. Today, numerous models have been developed and used to predict radiation exposure. Such a model is the Space Environment Information Systems (SPENVIS) modeling program, developed by the Belgian Institute for Space Aeronautics. SPENVIS, which has been assessed to be an excellent tool in characterizing the radiation environment for microelectronics and investigating orbital debris, is being evaluated for its usefulness with determining the dose and dose-equivalent for human exposure. Thus far. the calculations for dose-depth relations under varying shielding conditions have been in agreement with calculations done using HZETRN and PDOSE, which are well-known and widely used models for characterizing the environments for human exploratory missions. There is disagreement when assessing the impact of secondary radiation particles since SPENVIS does a crude estimation of the secondary radiation particles when calculating LET versus Flux. SPENVIS was used to model dose-depth relations for the blood-forming organs. Radiation sickness and cancer are life-threatening consequences resulting from radiation exposure. In space. exposure to radiation generally includes all of the critical organs. Biological and toxicological impacts have been included for discussion along with alternative risk mitigation methods--shielding and anti-carcinogens. c 2001. Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

STS-91 Shuttle Project↗

X ray and radio emission in solar He-3-rich events

We have examined radio and x ray properties of solar flares associated with a new sample of individually-identified He-3-rich solar-particle events. Given the association between kilometric Type 3 bursts and He-3-rich events, the timing of the radio events is used to identify the related x ray increases. Examination of these events shows correlations among the radio, x ray, and particle parameters. The sense of these correlations is that larger He-3/He ratios occur in smaller flares suggesting that waves required for He-3 enhancement are damped in large, energetic flares.

Reames, D. V.↗

Radial propagation of solar energetic particles assuming large scattering mean free paths in the interplanetary medium

Observations of two flares which fit the diffusive model by Beeck et al. (1987) are employed to determine whether large solar-particle events can be explained by the mechanisms of small impulsive events. It is shown that the injection of particles at the source is extended in time and lasts more than approximately 10 hours. The extended injection at the sun is hypothesized to be the reason that large solar particles do not demonstrate the 'pulse/wake' behavior associated with the small impulsive events.

Mason, G. M.↗

Seed population for about 1 MeV per nucleon heavy ions accelerated by interplanetary shocks

Data obtained between 1977 and 1982 by the ISEE 1 and ISEE 3 satellites on the composition of heavy ions of about 1 MeV per nucleon, accelerated in interplanetary shock events which followed solar flare events, are examined. It was found that the average relative abundances for C, O, and Fe in the shock events were very close to those found for energetic ions in the solar flares, suggesting that, at these energies, the shock accelerated particles have the solar energetic particles as their seed population. This hypothesis is supported by the fact that the Fe/O ratio in the solar particle events is very strongly correlated with the Fe/O ratio in associated diffusive shock events.

Tan, L. C.↗

HALOE Observations of Perturbations in High Northern Latitude NO and O3 During the April 2002 Solar Storm Episode

The April 2002 solar storm event provides a unique opportunity to study the resulting effects on upper atmospheric constituents such as NO and O3. Two sources may perturb these constituents. For a magnetic-storm-source, energetic particles collide with and dissociate N2 in the lower thermosphere to produce excited nitrogen atoms which then combine with O to produce NO. The NO subsequently is transported down to lower altitudes where it reacts with and thus destroys mesospheric and possibly stratospheric ozone. For a solar-particle-event-source, high energy particles penetrate directly into the mesosphere, break apart N2 and water vapor, creating NOx and HOx to destroy ozone in the middle atmosphere. We present perturbations in high northern latitude NO and O3 as measured by the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE) aboard the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite between April 20-27. HALOE observations show an order of magnitude increase in mesospheric NO and a factor of approximately 2 decrease in mesospheric O3. We will also compare these observations with NASA GSFC 2D model computations.

Anderson, John↗

Propagation anisotropies of solar flare protons and electrons at low energies in interplanetary space.

Flux anisotropies in interplanetary space were investigated for protons with E greater than 0.66 MeV and electrons with E greater than 400 keV. Data were taken from the University of Chicago charged-particle telescope aboard the deep-space probe Pioneer 7 and from the Goddard Space Flight Center magnetometer aboard the same spacecraft. Flux anisotropies lying to the east of the average interplanetary magnetic field direction were first reported by McCracken et al. (1971), late in a solar particle event, for proton energies greater than 7.5 MeV. This work extends this investigation to much lower proton energies, studies the proton and electron anisotropies during both early and late phases of a particle event, and makes use of detailed magnetic field data. The investigation consists of two parts, a study of many periods taken at random during solar events, for both protons and electrons, and a detailed analysis of one period, early in an event, during which the magnetic field was near the solar direction.

Pyle, K. R.↗

Local and global scattering properties of the interplanetary medium obtained from Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs)

Solar energetic particles can be used as probes for the turbulence level in the interplanetary medium. It is of general interest to compare the LOCAL scattering properties near an observer with GLOBAL properties which characterize the average scattering along the magnetic field. We discuss various methods by which the scattering conditions can be determined: (1) overall fits of observed particle intensities and anisotropies to a transport model; (2) evaluation of the steady-state pitch angle distribution; and (3) suitably normalized angular distributions during the intensity maximum of a particle event. Energetic particle data from HELIOS 1/2 are analyzed, and the mean free paths obtained with the different methods are compared with each other. As a result one can state: (1) for a number of solar particle events the radial mean free path is essentially constant between the Sun and Helios; and (2) large variations in the degree of scattering exist from one event to the other. These results indicate the existence of 'regimes' where the amount of particle scattering is relatively constant over extended regions in radius and azimuth, but with marked differences from one regime to the other.

Wibberenz, G.↗

Measurements of the flux of low-energy solar-flare positrons

Derivation of new upper limits to the flux of solar-flare positrons in the energy range from 0.2 to 2 MeV. The observations were made during four solar-particle events in late 1972, with the Caltech Electron/Isotope Spectrometer on IMP-7. The 0.2- to 2-MeV positron flux is compared directly to the solar-flare electron (0.2 to 2 MeV) and proton (1.2 to 27.5 MeV) fluxes measured in the same detector system. Summing over four solar events, it is found that e+/(e+ + e-) is less than .006. Calculated fluxes of solar-flare positrons for these four events are well below the obtained upper limits.

Hurford, G. J.↗