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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 325 records · Page 18
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NASA NTRS2000

Wave Driven Non-linear Flow Oscillator for the 22-Year Solar Cycle

In the Earth's atmosphere, a zonal flow oscillation is observed with periods between 20 and 32 months, the Quasi Biennial Oscillation. This oscillation does not require external time dependent forcing but is maintained by non-linear wave momentum deposition. It is proposed that such a mechanism also drives long-period oscillations in planetary and stellar interiors. We apply this mechanism to generate a flow oscillation for the 22-year solar cycle. The oscillation would occur just below the convective envelope where waves can propagate. Using scale analysis, we present results from a simplified model that incorporates Hines' gravity wave parameterization. Wave amplitudes less than 10 m/s can produce reversing zonal flows of 25 m/s that should be sufficient to generate a corresponding oscillation in the poloidal magnetic field. Low buoyancy frequency and the associated increase in turbulence help to produce the desired oscillation period of the flow.

Mayr, Hans G.↗
NASA NTRS1978

A physical mechanism for the prediction of the sunspot number during solar cycle 21

On physical grounds it is suggested that the sun's polar field strength near a solar minimum is closely related to the following cycle's solar activity. Four methods of estimating the sun's polar magnetic field strength near solar minimum are employed to provide an estimate of cycle 21's yearly mean sunspot number at solar maximum of 140 plus or minus 20. This estimate is considered to be a first order attempt to predict the cycle's activity using one parameter of physical importance.

Schatten, K. H.↗
NASA NTRS2009

Trends and Solar Cycle Effects in Temperature Versus Altitude From the Halogen Occultation Experiment for the Mesosphere and Upper Stratosphere

Fourteen-year time series of mesospheric and upper stratospheric temperatures from the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE) are analyzed and reported. The data have been binned according to ten-degree wide latitude zones from 40S to 40N and at 10 altitudes from 43 to 80 km-a total of 90 separate time series. Multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis techniques have been applied to those time series. This study focuses on resolving their 11-yr solar cycle (or SC-like) responses and their linear trend terms. Findings for T(z) from HALOE are compared directly with published results from ground-based Rayleigh lidar and rocketsonde measurements. SC-like responses from HALOE compare well with those from lidar station data at low latitudes. The cooling trends from HALOE also agree reasonably well with those from the lidar data for the concurrent decade. Cooling trends of the lower mesosphere from HALOE are not as large as those from rocketsondes and from lidar station time series of the previous two decades, presumably because the changes in the upper stratospheric ozone were near zero during the HALOE time period and did not affect those trends.

Remsberg, Ellis E.↗
NASA NTRS1989

Neptune's visual albedo variations over a solar cycle - A pre-Voyager look at ion-induced nucleation and cloud formation in Neptune's troposphere

A model of Neptune's troposphere and stratosphere is used to estimate the cosmic-ray-induced ionization on Neptune at sunspot maximum and minimum for a range of possible planetary magnetic field strengths. The impact of this ionization on aerosol formation and the effect of the aerosol layer on the planet's albedo are examined. The results suggest that the 'white haze' theory may explain observations of the variation of Neptune's visible albedo with solar cycle (Lockwood and Thompson, 1986).

Moses, Julianne I.↗
NASA NTRS1998

Evidence for Solar-Cycle Forcing and Secular Variation in the Armagh Observatory Temperature Record

A prominent feature of previous long-term temperature studies has been the appearance of warming since the 1880s, this often being taken as evidence for anthropogenic-induced global warming. In this investigation, the long-term, annual, mean temperature record (1844-1992) of the Armagh Observatory (Armagh, North Ireland), a set of temperature data based on maximum and minimum thermometers that predates the 1880s and correlates well with northern hemispheric and global standards, is examined for evidence of systematic variation, in particular, as related to solar-cycle forcing and secular variation. Indeed, both appear to be embedded within the Armagh data. Removal of these effects, each contributing about 8% to the overall reduction in variance, yields residuals that are randomly distributed. Application of the 10-year moving average to the residuals, furthermore, strongly suggests that the behavior of the residuals is episodic, inferring that (for extended periods of time) temperatures at Armagh sometimes were warmer or cooler (than expected), while at other times they were stable. Comparison of cyclic averages of annual mean temperatures against the lengths of the associated Hale cycles (i.e., the length of two, sequentially numbered, even-odd sunspot cycle pairs) strongly suggests that the temperatures correlate inversely (r = -0.886 at less than 2% level of significance) against the length of the associated Hale cycle. Because sunspot cycle 22 ended in 1996, the present Hale cycle probably will be shorter than average, implying that temperatures at Armagh over this Hale cycle will be warmer (about 9.31 q 0.23 C at the 90% confidence level) than average (= 9.00 C).

Wilson, Robert M.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Solar Cycle Variation In The Heliosphere

For over three decades a succession of spacecraft have provided in situ measurements of interplanetary plasma and magnetic field parameters. These measurements span a range of heliocentric distances from 0.3 to 61 AU, and provide an explicit picture of the three-dimensional structure of the inner and outer heliosphere in the vicinity of the ecliptic plane, while ground-based interplanetary scintillation (IPS) measurements and observations from the Ulysses spacecraft extend our knowledge of the inner and outer heliosphere to higher latitudes. The structure of the heliosphere varies dramatically over the course of a solar cycle. Much of this variation can be related to changes in the structure and inclination of the coronal magnetic field.

Gazis, P. R.↗
NASA NTRS1980

X-ray bright points and the solar cycle

Soft X-ray filtergrams show the presence of large numbers of small closed regions of coronal emission. These features, called X-ray bright points, correspond to small short-lived regions of emerging magnetic flux. X-ray data for 1970 to 1978 shows that the number of X-ray bright points appears to be anticorrelated with traditional activity indices such as sunspot number. A comparison of X-ray data with KPNO magnetograms shows that to within a factor of 2 the average total amount of magnetic flux emerging over the full sun is constant through the entire period of observation. The solar cycle therefore appears to be an oscillation in the wavenumber distribution of emerging flux than of the total quantity of the magnetic flux produced.

Golub, L.↗
NASA NTRS1980

X-ray bright points and the solar cycle

The shape of the Sun's activity spectrum is such that the majority of all magnetic flux emerging at the surface comes in the form of bright points, i.e., regions living less than two days. Examination of soft X-ray data obtained from 1970 to 1978 shows that the number of bright points appears to be anticorrelated with traditional activity indices, such as sunspot number; the anticorrelation persists after corrections are made for obscuration by active regions. Comparison of X-ray data with KPNO magnetograms shows that to within a factor of two, the average total amount of magnetic flux emerging over the full Sun is constant through the entire period of observation. The Solar cycle therefore appears to be more an oscillation in the wavenumber distribution of emerging flux than of the total quantity of magnetic flux produced.

Golub, L.↗
NASA NTRS1989

The planetary waves dynamics and interannual course of meteorological parameters of the high latitude stratosphere and mesosphere of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres during the 20th and 21st solar cycles and different phases of QBO

The part of energy of the planetary waves which enters the stratosphere depends on conditions of planetary wave generation and propagation through the tropopause, and the part of planetary wave energy which enters the mesosphere depends on conditions of planetary wave propagation through the stratopause. An attempt is made to estimate connections between extratropical middle atmosphere temperature long term variations and portions of energy of planetary waves which enter the mesosphere and stratosphere during winter seasons in Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Interannual variations of temperatures at the 30 km and 70 km levels are investigated for the central winter months of the period 1970 to 1986. This period includes the descending branch of the 20th solar cycle and the whole 21st cycle. Calculations are made on the basis of measurements at Heiss Island and Molodezhnaya.

Kidiyarova, V. G.↗
NASA NTRS1997

Solar Cycle Variation in the Inner Zone Proton Belt Configuration

This paper presents a novel method of demonstrating atmospheric scale-height effects on energetic trapped protons. We have been using 2-D cross correlations as a powerful method of assessing the role of the trapped energetic protons in producing various effects in low altitude satellite systems. The method has permitted us to directly measure the drift of the particle South Atlantic Anomaly (due to the secular variation in the geomagnetic field) as a function of altitude and proton energy and to estimate the energy of the particles causing those effects. We have also been able to address minor artifacts in the AP82 model, itself. In this paper, we show that the technique is sufficiently powerful to address the variation in the inner zone energetic proton environment which occurs as a function of the solar cycle.

Vampola, A. L.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Period and phase of the 88-year solar cycle and the Maunder minimum - Evidence for a chaotic sun

The problem of whether the solar dynamo is quasi-periodic or chaotic is addressed by examining 1500 years of sunspot, geomagnetic, and auroral activity cycles. Sub-harmonics were found of the fundamental solar cycle period during the years preceding the Maunder minimum and loss of phase of the subharmonic on emergence from it. These phenomena are indicative of chaos. They indicate that the solar dynamo is chaotic and is operating in a region close to the transition between period doubling and chaos. Since Maunder-type minima reoccur irregularly for millennia, it appears that the sun remains close to this transition to and from chaos. This is postulated to be a universal characteristic of solar type stars caused by feedback in the dynamo number.

Feynman, J.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Weak solar fields and their connection to the solar cycle

Videomagnetograph observations of the weak solar magnetic fields are discussed. Intranetwork (IN) elements are found to emerge in bipolar form, but to flow in a random pattern rather than toward the network elements. Merging of IN fields is found to be more important than the ephemeral regions as a source of new network elements. Arguments for and against the hypothesis that all solar fields are intrinsically strong are considered. It is noted that reconnection and merging of magnetic fields take place continually under the conditions presently examined.

Zirin, Harold↗
NASA NTRS2012

Behavior of Solar Cycles 23 and 24 Revealed by Microwave Observations

Using magnetic and microwave butterfly diagrams, we compare the behavior of solar polar regions to show that (1) the polar magnetic field and the microwave brightness temperature during solar minimum substantially diminished during the cycle 23/24 minimum compared to the 22/23 minimum. (2) The polar microwave brightness temperature (Tb) seems to be a good proxy for the underlying magnetic field strength (B). The analysis indicates a relationship, B = 0.0067Tb - 70, where B is in G and Tb in K. (3) Both the brightness temperature and the magnetic field strength show north-south asymmetry most of the time except for a short period during the maximum phase. (4) The rush-to-the-pole phenomenon observed in the prominence eruption (PE) activity seems to be complete in the northern hemisphere as of 2012 March. (5) The decline of the microwave brightness temperature in the north polar region to the quiet-Sun levels and the sustained PE activity poleward of 60degN suggest that solar maximum conditions have arrived at the northern hemisphere. The southern hemisphere continues to exhibit conditions corresponding to the rise phase of solar cycle 24. Key words: Sun: chromosphere Sun: coronal mass ejections (CMEs) Sun: filaments, prominences Sun: photosphere Sun: radio radiation Sun: surface magnetism

Gopalswamy, N.↗
NASA NTRS1978

The relationship of air temperature variations over the northern hemisphere during the secular and 11-year solar cycles

A comparison was made of air temperature anomaly maps for the months of January and July against a background of high and low secular solar activity, with and without regard for the 11 year cycle. By comparing temperature variations during the 11 year and secular cycles, it is found that the 11 year cycle influences thermal conditions more strongly than the secular cycle, and that temperature differences between extreme phases of the solar cycles are greater in January than in July.

Ryzhakov, L. Y.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Solar neutrino: Flux, cosmic rays and the 11 year solar cycle

It is shown that the results of maximum likelihood treatment of Monte Carlo simulation with constant production rate of 7.6 SNU and 1.Epsilon SNU are consistent with the constant production rate when the tests of hypotheses (e.g., t-test, sigma squared-test, Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test, run test, etc.) are applied to the two groups of data formed from sunspot minimum range and sunspot maximum range, whereas the real data pulsates with the solar activity cycle. It is shown that SN flux-change is in opposition phase to the solar activity cycle and lags behind the latter by about one year. A correlation between SN flux and the cosmic rays is suggested.

Raychaudhuri, P.↗
NASA NTRS1977

An unusual aspect of solar wind speed variations during solar cycle 20

Geomagnetic records from 1868 through 1975 indicate that geomagnetic activity during 1973-1975 was unusually enhanced for that phase of the sunspot cycle (5-7 years after solar maximum). Previous work indicates that long-term variations in geomagnetic activity are closely coupled to long-term variations in the bulk flow speed of the solar wind. Thus, it is inferred that reported averages of the solar-wind speed for the 1973-1975 era are unusually large for that phase of the sunspot cycle.

Gosling, J. T.↗