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At least 325 records · Page 18
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Effect of a nanoparticle on wettability alteration and wettability retainment of carbonate reservoirs

The oil recovery in many carbonate reservoirs is low due to oil-wetness and heterogeneity. In this study, nanoparticles are evaluated for altering the wettability of oil-wet limestones and their properties are compared with those of an anionic surfactant. A surface-modified silica nanoparticle (SiNP) with a negative zeta potential was found to be aqueous stable in brines. Wettability studies showed that the SiNP cannot change the wettability of an initially oil-wet calcite plate, but SiNP treated calcite surface can remain water-wet after aging in oil. Spontaneous imbibition tests confirmed the observations of wettability tests and showed that a SiNP treated carbonate core retained its water-wettability during oil injection and aging. The imbibition into a SiNP treated and oil aged core was comparable to that in a water-wet core. However, SiNP was not able to remove the oil layers in initially oil-wet cores and imbibe water into these cores. In contrast, the anionic surfactant could alter the oil-wet carbonate rocks to a more water-wet condition, but failed to prevent the water-wet surface from getting oil-wet during oil-aging. The results suggest that the SiNP can be injected into wettability-altered (water-wet) reservoirs/regions to help retain the water-wettability during the long-term oil production. The 0.5 wt% SiNP dispersions transported through 18 mD limestone cores without any plugging. The SiNP retention was measured to be 2.5 mg/m 2 , much higher than that of the anionic surfactant.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2021

Impacts of Pore Network-Scale Wettability Heterogeneity on Immiscible Fluid Displacement: A Micromodel Study

The mixed-wet nature of reservoir formations imposes a wide range of rock wettability from strong resident-fluid wetting to strong invading-fluid wetting. The characteristics of two-phase flow in porous media composed of mixed-wetting surfaces remain poorly understood. In this study, we investigated the displacement of resident ethylene glycol (EG) by hexane in two mixed-wet micromodels of identical 2.5-D geometry heterogeneity, with uniformly or heterogeneously distributed patches strongly wetting to hexane. These patches are mixed among pores with unaltered EG-wetting surfaces. Along with control tests in the originally EG-wet micromodel, here we show the classic fingering and transitions in flow regimes at $logCa$ (capillary number) from -7.2 to -3.9. Moreover, pore-scale distributions of wettability and their spatial correlation influence displacement efficiency. In the two mixed-wet micromodels, we found (a) an increase of steady-state hexane saturation at the end of experiments by up to 0.12 in the capillary fingering regime and a decrease of at most by 0.06 in the viscous fingering regime, compared to the EG-wet micromodel, and (b) dispersed and fragmented hexane distribution after displacement. Brine drainage during supercritical CO 2 (scCO 2 ) injections in these micromodels occurs with lower wettability contrasts, and under similar viscosity ratios and interfacial tensions resulted in higher displacement efficiency relative to displacement of EG by hexane. While mixed-wettability can enhance displacement efficiency compared to uniform wettability, the dynamics of immiscible fluids in strong mixed-wet reservoirs are expected to be less pronounced in contributing to the efficiency of geological CO 2 sequestration, oil recovery, and remediation of hydrocarbon-contaminated aquifers.

2.5-D micromodel↗
DOE OSTI2026

Impact of Rock Wettability and Mineralization on CO 2 Storage Efficiency in Basalt Reservoirs

Basalt formations have emerged as highly promising targets for geological CO 2 storage due to their abundance of reactive silicate minerals that can rapidly convert dissolved CO 2 into stable carbonate minerals. The efficiency of CO 2 trapping in basalts, however, depends not only on their geochemical reactivity but also on reservoir wettability, which governs how CO 2 partitions among structural, residual, solubility, and mineral trapping mechanisms. However, wettability and mineral kinetics have largely been examined separately, wettability for plume migration and kinetics in terms of mineralization, leaving their coupled impact unquantified. Here, we systematically integrate th ese processes in a reservoir-scale reactive transport model to quantify the impact of three distinct wettability conditions (water-wet, mixed-wet, and CO 2 -wet) on plume migration, mineral precipitation, pore-scale blockage, and long-term immobilization. Results show that under ideal conditions (no mineralization), water-wet systems exhibited plume aspect ratios up to 28% higher than CO 2 -wet systems and promoted at least 60% greater residual trapping. When mineralization was incorporated, mineral trapping accounted for 57%, 53%, and 46% of the total immobilized CO 2 in water-wet, mixed-wet, and CO 2 -wet systems, respectively. Dissolved CO 2 contributed 43-46%, while residual trapping remained below 5%, and mobile CO 2 was substantially reduced due to mineralization, demonstrating that as the system becomes more water-wet, CO 2 is more effectively converted into stable carbonate minerals, although extensive mineral precipitation may lead to pore clogging. A global Sobol-Morris sensitivity analysis further reveals that the kinetic parameters of reactive minerals are the most influential factor, followed by wettability, while salinity has only a minor influence. Furthermore, these findings highlight that wettability is not merely a flow property but a fundamental control on CO 2 mineralization in basalts, with direct implications for site selection for storage projects.

Basalts↗
DOE OSTI2020

Impacts of Mixed-Wettability on Brine Drainage and Supercritical CO 2 Storage Efficiency in a 2.5-D Heterogeneous Micromodel

Geological carbon storage (GCS) involves unstable drainage processes, the formation of patterns in a morphologically unstable interface between two fluids in a porous medium during drainage. The unstable drainage processes affect CO 2 storage efficiency and plume distribution and can be greatly complicated by the mixed-wet nature of rock surfaces common in hydrocarbon reservoirs where supercritical CO 2 (scCO 2 ) is used in enhanced oil recovery. Here, we performed scCO 2 injection (brine drainage) experiments at 8.5 MPa and 45°C in heterogeneous micromodels, two mixed-wet with varying water- and intermediate-wet patches, and one water-wet. The flow regime changes from capillary fingering through crossover to viscous fingering in the micromodels of the same pore geometry but different wetting surfaces at displacement rates with logCa (capillary number) increasing from –8.1 to –4.4. While the mixed-wet micromodel with uniformly distributed intermediate-wet patches yields ~0.15 scCO 2 saturation increase at both capillary fingering and crossover flow regimes (–8.1 ≤ logCa ≤ –6.1), the one heterogeneous wetting to scCO 2 results in ~0.09 saturation increase only at the crossover flow regime (–7.1 ≤ logCa ≤ –6.1). The interconnected flow paths in the former are quantified and compared to the channelized scCO 2 flow through intermediate-wet patches in the latter by topological analysis. At logCa > –6.1 (near well), the effects of wettability and pore geometry are suppressed by strong viscous force. Both scCO 2 saturation and distribution suggest the importance of wettability on CO 2 storage efficiency and plume shape in reservoirs and capillary leakage through caprock at GCS conditions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Wettability and capillary effects: Dynamics of pinch-off in unconstricted straight capillary tubes

We study the interfacial evolution of immiscible two-phase flow within a capillary tube in the partial wetting regime using direct numerical simulation. We investigate the flow patterns resulting from the displacement of a more viscous fluid by a less viscous one under a wide range of wettability conditions. We find that beyond a wettability dependent critical capillary number, a uniform displacement by a less viscous fluid can transition into a growing finger that eventually breaks up into discrete blobs by a series of pinch-off events for both wetting and non-wetting contact angles. This study validates previous experimental observations of pinch-off for wetting contact angles and extends those to non-wetting contact angles. We find that the blob length increases with the capillary number. We observe that the time between consecutive pinch-off events decreases with the capillary number and is greater for more wetting conditions in the displaced phase. Here, we further show that the blob separation distance as a function of the difference between the inlet velocity and the contact line speed collapses into two monotonically decreasing curves for wetting and non-wetting contact angles. For the phase separation in the form of pinch-off, this work provides a quantitative study of the emerging length and time scales and their dependence on the wettability conditions, capillary effects, and viscous forces.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Implication of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering on compound precipitation and temperature extremes in Africa

Three Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) models that simulated the G4 experiment of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) were used to investigate the impact of stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) on combined temperature and precipitation extremes in Africa that can have greater negative impacts on human and the environment than individual rainfall or temperature extremes. The examined compound extremes included the dry (R warm|dry and R cold|dry ) and wet (R warm|wet and R cold|wet ) modes assessed during the injection (SAI, 2050-2069) and post-injection (postSAI, 2070-2089) periods compared with the historical period (1986-2005). We found a significant projected change in the occurrence of both wet and dry modes during SAI and postSAI related to the historical period. The magnitude and sign of this change depend on the season and the geographical location. During the SAI and postSAI, the wet (R warm|wet and R cold|wet ) modes are projected to be significantly lower while the dry modes are noted to increase in a large part of African continent depending on the season and the geographical location and may consequently leads to an increase of the droughts prone areas. Furthermore, the termination effect is noted to re duce the occurrence of dry modes, which may reduce the potential negative effects of the injection after halting. As the effect may vary from one region to another and according to the season, it suggested assessing the key sector impacts of SAI. Thus, this change in dry modes due to SAI could affect all activities which depend on water resources such as water supply, agriculture and food production, energy demand, and production with adverse effects on health, security, and sustainable development, but this needs to be assessed and quantified at regional scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Enhanced Laplace Pressures for Functional Surfaces: Wicking, Switchability, and Selectivity

Abstract Wetting functionalities of rough surfaces are largely determined by the Laplace pressure generated across liquid–gas interfaces formed within surface structures. Typically, rough wetting surfaces create negative Laplace pressures, enabling capillary wicking, while rough non‐wetting surfaces create positive Laplace pressures, exhibiting fluid repellency. Here, with microfabricated reentrant structures, it is shown that the same surface can exhibit either a negative or positive Laplace pressure, regardless of its intrinsic wettability. This material‐independent Laplace pressure duality enables or enhances a range of wetting functionalities including wicking, switchability, and selectivity. On the same surface, capillary rise, capillary dip, and the combination of the two which leads to further enhancement of the total sustainable capillary height and Laplace pressure, the driving force for wicking is demonstrated. Further, active switching of wetting states between the hemiwicking and the repellent Cassie state on reentrant structures is shown. Moreover, with a water‐hexane mixture system, selective wetting of reentrant structures are demonstrated, that is, water can be selectively wicked or repelled in the presence of hexane, and vice versa. These functionalities are achieved, which would typically require complex chemical coatings, solely using surface structures, thus largely expanding the design space for a wide range of thermofluidic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

CO 2 –Brine Contact Angle Measurements on Navajo, Nugget, Bentheimer, Bandera Brown, Berea, and Mt. Simon Sandstones

In this study, contact angles were measured for CO 2 bubbles on six different sandstones (Navajo, Nugget, Bentheimer, Bandera Brown, Berea, and Mt. Simon) that could potentially represent properties of CO 2 storage depositional environments. The impacts of pressure and temperature were studied by focusing on the CO 2 phase behavior in three different scenarios: gaseous, liquid, and supercritical conditions. Despite controlling the sample preparation and cleanliness, CO 2 -brine equilibration conditions, and pressure and temperature, there were inconsistencies in contact angle trends that could largely be attributed to natural sample heterogeneity resulting from localized variations in topography, surface roughness, and mineral composition across the surface. Despite these variations, the analysis of 298 measurements from this study showed that 81% of the contact angles were below 40° representing strongly water-wet to (moderately) water-wet behaviors. Also, 17.3% of the measurements were between 40° and 60° (weakly water-wet) and primarily belonged to small CO 2 bubbles (< 500 μm) that were heavily impacted by localized surface heterogeneity in natural sandstone samples. Additionally, only 1.7% of the measurements had angles greater than 60° and could be classified as CO 2 -wet behavior, but these measurements occurred on extremely small bubbles (100-200 μm) that were very dependent on localized surface heterogeneity. While some of the detailed physics of the CO 2 -brine-sandstone interface is still poorly understood, from an application standpoint, the sandstones of this study were best characterized as strongly water-wet to (moderately) water-wet.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Influence of interfacial responses of Berea Sandstone in low-salinity waterflooding environments

Wetting conditions and fluid-fluid interfacial properties are essential to understanding oil recovery in the context of low-salinity and smart waterflooding. Many have deemed wettability alteration to be the dominant interaction, while some highlight the importance of fluid-fluid interactions. In some rock-fluid systems, benefits from the use of additives can arise to favor hydrocarbon production. Understanding the balance between the fluid-fluid and rock-fluid interactions when utilizing additives is crucial to evaluate benefits in improved efficiency. Ultimately, this understanding will shed light on recovery mechanisms. Regarding oil recovery, previous studies indicate that the injection of a naphthenic acid (NA) blend dissolved in an injection brine improves oil recovery in Berea Sandstone, particularly under low-salinity conditions. Interfacial rheology results for the brine-oil interface correlated well with the recovery response. This observation was speculated to serve as a potential improved recovery mechanism through oil-trapping suppression. However, the said studies did not evaluate potentially concurrent rock wettability alteration during recovery or the initial wetting condition. The purpose of this work is to determine the production behavior in systems with NAs, namely NA-10 (3-Cyclohexanepropinoic acid), NA-14 (Cyclopentane carboxylic acid), NA-18 (Cyclohexane carboxylic acid), and NA-mix (Naphthenic acid mixture), at different initial wetting conditions under spontaneous imbibition. In addition, we tested the NAs ability to alter wettability in Berea Sandstone and determine each “additive’s” capacity to improve recovery. Here, time-domain nuclear magnetic resonance (TD-NMR), contact angle, and Amott cell tests, i.e. spontaneous imbibition, were used to analyze the influence of the selected naphthenic acids on oil displacement under different initial wetting conditions. Our results indicate that individual naphthenic acids indeed have potential as additives in low-salinity waterflooding for oil-wet systems while negatively impacting recovery in water-wet systems. However, results suggest that the evolution of the interfacial properties and wettability conditions are equally important on the recovery behavior.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Fabrication and durability characterization of superhydrophobic and lubricant-infused surfaces

Hypothesis: Practical applications of non-wetting surfaces require good mechanical durability in the wet environments for which they are intended to be used. Durability of non-wetting surfaces is influenced by the surface features, interaction with the functionalization agent, and the lubricant properties that can be tuned independently to identify optimal combination. Experiments: In this study, superhydrophobic and lubricant-infused surfaces are fabricated on copper tubes using chemical etching and electrodeposition texturing techniques, six different functionalizing agents, and five different infused lubricants. Through 180 fabrication combinations and 102 durability tests, each parameter is systematically studied for contributions to initial non-wetting behavior and its durability in heated, wet environment, under high-energy water jet impingement, and under accelerated flow conditions. Findings: Among the adsorbing and curing functionalization agents investigated, n-Hexadecyl mercaptan that belongs to the sulfhydryl group and Sylgard-184, respectively, showed high durability in heated water immersion and under jet impingement tests. For lubricant-infused surfaces, lubricants with high surface tension demonstrated high durability in heated water immersion test, whereas durability in hydrodynamic conditions is closely correlated to lubricant viscosity. Results showed that a lubricant-infused surface will maintain its non-wetting properties in dropwise condensation conditions for approximately 1.5 years.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Retrospective and Prospective Examination of the 1960s U.S. Northeast Drought

As the most severe drought over the Northeastern United States (NEUS) in the past century, the 1960s drought had pronounced socioeconomic impacts. Although it was followed by a persisting wet period, the conditions leading to the 1960s extreme drought could return in the future, along with its challenges to water management. To project the potential consequences of such a future drought, pseudo-global warming simulations using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model are performed to simulate the dynamical conditions of the historical 1960s drought, but with modified thermodynamic conditions under the shared socioeconomic pathway SSP585 scenario in the early (2021–2027), middle (2041–2047), and late (2091–2097) 21st century. Our analysis focuses on essential hydroclimatic variables including temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture, snowpack, and surface runoff. In contrast to the historical 1960s drought, similar dynamical conditions will generally produce more precipitation, increased soil moisture and evapotranspiration, and reduced snowpack. However, we also find that although wet months get much wetter, dry months may become drier, meaning that wetting trends are most significant in wet months but are essentially negligible for extremely dry months with negative monthly mean net precipitation. For these months, the trend toward wetting conditions provides little relief from the effects of extreme dry months. These conditions may even aggravate water shortages due to an increasingly rapid transition from wet to dry conditions. Other challenges emerge for residents and stakeholders in this region, including more extreme hot days, record-low snow pack, frozen ground degradation and subsequent decreases in surface runoff.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Intensified Soil Moisture Extremes Decrease Soil Organic Carbon Decomposition: A Mechanistic Modeling Analysis

Earth system models have predicted that there will be more frequent and severe precipitation and drought events in terrestrial ecosystems. Microbially mediated decomposition of soil organic carbon (SOC) tends to increase as soils wet and decrease as soils dry. However, the long-term SOC change under intensified moisture extremes remains poorly known as it depends on the frequency and intensity of soil drying and wetting. In this study, we explored long-term SOC dynamics under scenarios of alternating drying-wetting cycles using the Microbial-ENzyme Decomposition model, a mechanistic microbial model. The model was parameterized with 11 years of observations from a temperate deciduous broadleaf forest site, showing satisfactory model performance in both model calibration (R 2 = 0.67) and validation (R 2 = 0.69) against heterotrophic respiration. We then used the model to simulate the long-term SOC dynamics under five scenarios of alternating drying-wetting cycles with different frequencies and severities over a period of 100 years. Results showed that the changes in active microbial biomass C and the corresponding turnover rates of SOC pools were more sensitive to soil drying than soil wetting. As a result, the cumulative soil carbon emission from microbial respiration decreased by 433.7 g C m -2 after the 100-year simulation in the highest frequency and intensity moisture scenario, but was not significantly affected by the lowest frequency and intensity scenario. This study emphasizes the nonlinear response of SOC decomposition to soil moisture changes, which causes decreased decomposition by microbes under drying that is, not compensated by increased decomposition under wetting conditions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Characteristics and Variability of Winter Northern Pacific Atmospheric River Flavors

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are intensive poleward moisture transport events that are essential to the global hydrological cycle and are often linked to extreme weather events. We categorize the winter North Pacific ARs into two “flavors”: wind‐dominated (windy ARs) and moisture‐dominated (wet ARs) using 40 years of hourly data from fifth generation of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Interim Reanalysis. We compare the differences between windy ARs and wet ARs including the lifecycle characteristics (such as genesis locations and changes of meteorological elements through the lifecycle), overall AR frequency, landfall impacts, and variability. The windy ARs are more likely to occur in the midlatitudes, while wet ARs are more active in the subtropics. Windy ARs are associated with intensive surface pressure lows, where the strong pressure gradient can support the strong wind within ARs. Due to larger size and longer lifetime, wet ARs are more likely to produce more precipitation over a lifecycle. By scaling the landfalling ARs, we show that wet ARs dominate the high‐category ARs (Category 4 and 5) with higher spatial frequency and more precipitation, and windy ARs have higher contributions in the lower AR categories especially over British Columbia. Windy ARs are modulated by El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections via the anomalous geopotential height and extended subtropical jet. Wet ARs are affected by the anomalous sea surface temperature over the midlatitudes related to ENSO. Sensitivity analysis with an alternate AR detection algorithm shows consistent results on AR flavors but with disagreement on the amplitude.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

A subset of viruses thrives following microbial resuscitation during rewetting of a seasonally dry California grassland soil

Viruses are abundant, ubiquitous members of soil communities that kill microbial cells, but how they respond to perturbation of soil ecosystems is essentially unknown. Here, we investigate lineage-specific virus-host dynamics in grassland soil following “wet-up”, when resident microbes are both resuscitated and lysed after a prolonged dry period. Quantitative isotope tracing, time-resolved metagenomics and viromic analyses indicate that dry soil holds a diverse but low biomass reservoir of virions, of which only a subset thrives following wet-up. Viral richness decreases by 50% within 24 h post wet-up, while viral biomass increases four-fold within one week. Though recent hypotheses suggest lysogeny predominates in soil, our evidence indicates that viruses in lytic cycles dominate the response to wet-up. We estimate that viruses drive a measurable and continuous rate of cell lysis, with up to 46% of microbial death driven by viral lysis one week following wet-up. Thus, viruses contribute to turnover of soil microbial biomass and the widely reported CO 2 efflux following wet-up of seasonally dry soils.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Temperature-Dependent Sheet and Contact Resistivity Measurements on Ag and Ag-Ni Circuit Pastes

The metal circuits and brazes used in electronic, energy conversion, and/or energy storage devices often have difficulty wetting and adhering to ceramic and/or ceramic-passivated metal substrates. Here, a novel Particle Interlayer Directed Wetting and Spreading (PIDWAS) technique is demonstrated that utilizes screen printing, the low wetting angle of silver on nickel, and the high work of adhesion between nickel and various ceramics to produce well-adhered, self-assembled silver patterns on ceramic and/or stainless-steel substrates not normally wet by silver. The resulting Ag-Ni circuits have higher sapphire adhesion strengths (up to 30 MPa on sapphire), higher densities (>97% on sapphire), and similar high-temperature electronic resistivities to those made using commercially-available Heraeus C8710 or DAD-87 silver circuit pastes. Similarly, Ag-Ni brazes between a variety of ceramic and/or stainless-steel substrates have better microstructural stability with rapid thermal cycling, reduction-oxidation cycling, and dual atmosphere isothermal aging than conventional Ag-CuO brazes. In addition, the residual Ni in these Ag-Ni circuits and brazes can be used to chemically getter surface segregated Al, ensuring low contact resistances on a variety of chromia- and/or alumina-passivated stainless steels. Reference: [1] Hu G, Zhou Q, Bhatlawande A, Park J, Termuhlen R, Ma Y, Bieler TR, Yu HC, Qi Y, Hogan T & Nicholas JD. Patterned Nickel Interlayers for Enhanced Silver Wetting, Spreading and Adhesion on Ceramic Substrates. Scripta Materialia, 2021; 196, 113767. 10.1016/j.scriptamat.2021.113767 [2] Park J, Phongpreecha T, Nicholas JD & Qi Y. Enhanced Liquid Metal Wetting on Oxide Surfaces via Patterned Particles. Acta Materialia, 2020; 199, 551-560. 10.1016/j.actamat.2020.08.037

Bhatlawande, Aishwarya↗
DOE OSTI2023

Predicting fatal heat and humidity using the heat index model

A unique wet-bulb temperature of 35°C is often used as the threshold for human survivability, but recent experiments have shown that a person’s core temperature starts to rise at a wide range of critical wet-bulb temperatures. Here, it is shown that the model underlying the heat index correctly predicts those critical wet-bulb temperatures, explaining 95% of the variance in the values observed in laboratory heat-stress experiments. This is the first time the heat-index model has been validated against physiological data from laboratory experiments. For light and moderate exertion in an indoor setting, the heat index model predicts that the critical wet-bulb temperature ranges from 20 to 32°C, depending on the relative humidity, consistent with experimental results. Furthermore, for the same setting and exertion, the heat index model predicts fatal wet-bulb temperatures ranging from 24 to 37°C. Recent experiments have identified the critical combinations of heat and humidity, in an indoor setting, above which an individual is unable to maintain a standard core temperature, indicating severe heat stress. It is shown here why this state of severe heat stress cannot be predicted using the wet-bulb temperature. Instead, it is shown that the recently extended heat index model can explain nearly all of the variance in the observed critical combinations of temperature and humidity, and can be used to calculate fatal combinations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

An Extreme-Preserving Long-Term Gridded Daily Precipitation Data Set for the Conterminous United States

Extreme daily precipitation contributes to flooding that can cause significant economic damages, and so is important to properly capture in gridded meteorological data sets. This work examines precipitation extremes, the mean precipitation on wet days, and fraction of wet days in two widely used gridded data sets over the conterminous U.S. (CONUS). When compared to the underlying station observations, the gridded data show a 27% reduction in annual 1-day maximum precipitation, 25% increase in wet day fraction, 1.5 to 2.5 day increase in mean wet spell length, 30% low bias in 20-year return values of daily precipitation, and 25% decrease in mean precipitation on wet days. It is shown these changes arise primarily from the time-adjustment applied to put the precipitation gauge observations into a uniform time frame, with the gridding process playing a lesser role. A new daily precipitation data set is developed that omits the time-adjustment (as well as extending the gridded data by 7 years) and is shown to perform significantly better in reproducing extreme precipitation metrics. When the new data set is used to force a land surface model, annually averaged 1-day maximum runoff increases 38% compared to the original data, annual mean runoff increases 17%, evapotranspiration drops 2.3%, and fewer wet days leads to a 3.3% increase in estimated solar insolation. Consequently, these changes are large enough to affect portrayals of flood risk and water balance components important for ecological and climate-change applications across the CONUS.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying the Impacts of Land Surface Modeling on Hub-Height Wind Speed under Different Soil Conditions

We investigate the impact of three land surface models (LSMs) on hub-height wind speed under three different soil regimes (dry, wet, and frozen) to understand and improve the physics of wind energy forecasts using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. A six-day representative period is selected for each soil condition. The simulated wind speed, surface energy budget and soil properties are compared with the observations collected from the second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2). For the selected cases, our simulation results suggest that, the impact of LSMs on hub-height wind speed are sensitive to the soil states but not so much to the choice of LSM. The simulated hub-height wind speed is in much better agreement with the observations for the dry soil case than the wet and frozen soil cases. Over the dry soil, there is a strong physical connection between the land surface and hub-height wind speed through near-surface turbulent mixing. Over the wet soil, the simulated hub-height wind speed is less impacted by land surface due to weaker surface fluxes and more dominated by large-scale synoptic disturbances. Over the frozen soil, the land surface model seems to have limited impact on hub-height wind speed variability due to the decoupling of the land surface with the overlying atmosphere. Two main sources of modeling uncertainties are proposed. The first are the insufficient model physics representing the surface energy budget, especially the ground heat flux, and the second are the inaccurate initial soil states such as soil temperature and soil moisture.

Xia, Geng↗