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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 325 records · Page 18

Consumer safety-oriented scheduling of rotating power outages during heat waves

Extreme heat events have widespread effects on power systems, reducing available generation capacity, limiting transmission capabilities, and causing unusual demand patterns on the consumer side. As these combined effects expose bulk transmission systems to potential large-scale blackouts, utilities may be required to schedule and apply rotating outages, by temporarily and alternately disconnecting distribution substations to reduce overload. However, utilities lack mechanisms to inform these events, exacerbating the negative effects of heat waves on affected communities. This paper introduces a novel framework for scheduling rotating outages during heat waves while considering impacts on consumers’ safety. Instead of random sequential load shedding, we propose a methodology to rotate power outages considering a metric that quantifies the indoor overheating risk of groups of consumers during a power outage. The overheating risk is derived from a detailed building simulation using CityBES, where the buildings are modeled based on available data—use type, year built, floor area, number of stories, location—while presence of air conditioning and occupancy are calibrated from smart meter data. Based on the metric, an algorithm to schedule the rotating outages is applied to prioritize feeders for disconnection at each hour according to their overheating risk to meet a utility load reduction target. Applied to two substations and seven feeders in the Portland General Electric territory, the results show that this approach effectively leads to the lowest overheating risk during the resulting outage schedules, with an average 10.1% lower overheating compared to uninformed schedules.

Building thermal simulation↗

Experimental investigation on phase change material–based finned tube heat exchanger for thermal energy storage and building envelope thermal management

Phase change materials (PCMs) are attractive solutions for thermal energy storage (TES) applications by absorbing and releasing large amounts of latent heat during solid–liquid phase transitions. However, their relatively low thermal conductivity requires novel heat exchanger–based solutions to improve the power density and overall energy storage efficiency of the TES system. This work presents the design and experimental results of a finned tube heat exchanger to store collected natural thermal energy from a building envelope in a latent-based TES and to release it later for building heating/cooling applications. We experimentally evaluate the finned tube heat exchanger and evaluate the performance of TES in reducing building heating and cooling loads over 3–4 h of desired time of operation (e.g., peak load). The optimized design allows for maximum energy density by minimizing the heat exchanger volume, and the system is evaluated experimentally using commercially available heat exchanger materials and an organic PCM. Here, the experimental results reveal that the TES system is able to charge and discharge stored latent energy within 3–4 h, matching peak building electricity demand duration under an average fluid flow rate of 0.136 kg/s and temperature difference of 5.55 °C. Importantly, such optimized designs illuminate a path toward TES designs that are low-cost, scalable, and optimized for thermal energy and power availability under the desired time of operation.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Thermoelectric heating and cooling–integrated dishwasher with thermal energy storage

Household dishwashers must address several performance goals: maximize washing and drying performance, while minimizing cycle duration, energy consumption, and water consumption. This study develops and examines a novel thermoelectric heating and cooling (TEHC) system with thermal energy storage applied to a household dishwasher (DW), aiming to improve the energy and drying performance of a commercially-available dishwasher while maintaining its washing performance, water consumption, and cycle duration. Experimental testing conducted on the novel TEHC-DW system demonstrates an 8.7% reduction in total energy consumption, lowering the per-cycle usage to 0.952 kWh, and a 40% reduction in energy consumption for internal water heating. The novel TEHC-DW system also demonstrates better drying performance, shortening the drying time by 42% to reach the same remaining moisture content as a commercially-available system. In addition, a resistance-capacitance network model is developed that predicts total drying time, total energy consumption, and the highest temperature reached in the tub (53.4 °C). The model accuracy is validated with experimental data (within ±1 K), and the model functions as a design tool via a parametric study to evaluate the next-generation design and the effect of the number of thermoelectric modules and thermoelectric driving force (i.e., current). Overall, this study demonstrates the potential for TEHC technology to improve energy efficiency and drying performance in household dishwashers.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Mechanically graded granular scaffolds for osteochondral tissue engineering

Engineered scaffolds designed to approximate the mechanical microenvironment of the osteochondral unit often address this complexity using discrete, two-phase architectures that introduce mechanical discontinuities and interfacial stress concentrations rather than a contiguous stiffness transition. To address this challenge, we created a photoannealed polyethylene glycol (PEG) granular scaffold with a spatially controlled stiffness gradient within a cell-permissive, macroporous architecture. Stiffness was dictated by photoannealing microgels using a photomask. We tuned void volume and available surface area by varying microgel diameter and tested how mesenchymal stromal cells (MSCs) interpret local mechanical environments. MSCs exhibited position-dependent differences in morphology, cytoskeletal structure, matrix deposition, and lineage-specific gene expression within the gradient scaffolds. Softer regions supported rounded cell morphology and deposition of a glycosaminoglycan-rich matrix, whereas stiffer regions promoted cell elongation, increased cytoskeletal tension, and expression of mineral-associated markers. Gradients formed from smaller microgels magnified these spatial responses by increasing cellular confinement and adhesion site availability. Disruption of actomyosin contractility eliminated these regional differences, demonstrating that MSCs rely on tension-dependent mechanotransduction to interpret the gradient. These findings reveal that coupling microgel architecture with continuous stiffness transitions provides a tractable platform to study multiscale mechanobiologic regulation and spatially guide osteochondral tissue formation.

Biological and medical sciences↗

Unleashing the potential of waste: A supercharged high-performance 3D printing resin from discarded polylactic acid

In additive manufacturing/3D printing, the limitation no longer lies in people’s imagination but in the very materials that one can print with. While the additive manufacturing process can virtually create any geometry, available applications are often limited by factors like parts’ mechanical strength, glass transition temperature, and heat deflection temperature. These factors are especially critical for polymer-based printing. Here we introduce a simple formulation derived from the aminolysis of polylactic acid (PLA) plastic waste, namely the N-lactoyl ethanolamine (N-LEA). The N-LEA is next reacted with excess methacrylic anhydride, forming a photo-crosslinkable resin for MSLA 3D printing. The resulting 3D printed part has a set of impressive properties that is unrivaled amongst engineering grade 3D printing resins on the market and research literature. The 3D printed part has an ultrahigh tensile strength of 131.7 MPa, glass transition at ~190 °C, and heat deflection temperature at 162.6 °C. Furthermore, this work demonstrates a true upcycling approach for turning PLA waste into a value-added product in a simple and efficient manner while also expanding the high-performance material portfolio available for photocuring additive manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Transient kinetic insights into selective propene oxidation over industrial bismuth molybdate catalysts

Selective oxidation of propene to acrolein over industrial multicomponent bismuth molybdate (BMO) catalysts significantly depends on reaction conditions that include operating parameters and catalyst state. Here, this work investigates selective propene oxidation in the intrinsic kinetic paradigm of Temporal Analysis of Products (TAP) reactor by systematically varying catalyst redox state, temperature, and oxygen-to-propene feed ratio. A 93 % propene conversion with an acrolein yield of 80 % is achieved at elevated temperatures (450 °C) on oxidized catalysts under oxygen-rich conditions (O 2 :C 3 H 6 = 10). However, these conditions diminish acrolein-to-CO 2 selectivity due to enhanced total oxidation to CO 2 . In contrast, a reduced catalyst state, moderate temperature (350 °C), and lower oxygen feed (O 2 :C 3 H 6 = 1) nearly doubles the acrolein to-CO 2 selectivity, albeit at a lower acrolein yield (33 %). Transient kinetic studies together with a kinetic model that simplify the major product formation pathways in lumped non-elementary forms reveal that the availability of surface oxygen species plays a pivotal role in governing reaction pathways. Additionally, density functional theory (DFT) calculations on pure BMO catalysts inform the role of surface redox states on propene and oxygen activation barriers. Lattice oxygen at acrolein-selective sites drives both acrolein and CO 2 formation, while adsorbed oxygen at activation sites favors unselective CO 2 generation. This work establishes a critical relationship between transient product selectivity and surface oxygen availability, which is strongly influenced by catalyst redox state, feed ratio, and reaction temperature. These insights underscore the importance of dynamic reactor operation strategies and offer a foundation for designing next-generation propene oxidation processes with tunable acrolein selectivity.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Hydrothermal solubility of Dy hydroxide as a function of pH and stability of Dy hydroxyl aqueous complexes from 25 to 250 °C

The rare earth elements (REE) have important applications in green energy technologies. The formation of mineral deposits in geologic systems commonly involves hydrothermal fluids which can mobilize the REE. However, the REE speciation is not well known as a function of pH. The thermodynamic properties of REE hydroxyl complexes used in geochemical models are based on the Helgeson-Kirkham-Flowers (HKF) equation of state parameters which were derived by extrapolation of low temperature experimental and estimated data. In this study, Dy hydroxide solubility experiments are combined with available literature data to improve these models from 25 to 250 °C and optimize the thermodynamic properties of Dy 3+ and Dy hydroxyl complexes using GEMSFITS. Batch-type solubility experiments were conducted from 150 to 250 °C and at saturated water vapor pressure in perchloric acid solutions with initial pH values of 2 to 5 in 0.5 pH unit increments. The measured solubility of Dy hydroxide is retrograde with temperature and decreases with pH. The logarithm of total dissolved Dy molality ranges from –2.3 to –5.3 at 150 °C (pH 4.7–5.5), from –2.4 to –5.6 at 200 °C (pH 3.9–5.1), and from –3.7 to –6.9 at 250 °C (pH of 3.4 and 5.0). The optimized standard partial molal Gibbs energies of formation (Δ f G° T ) derived for Dy 3+ and DyOH 2+ display a close to linear relationship with temperature, fitting with previous optimizations based on DyPO 4 solubility data in the literature. A comparison of the optimized ΔfG°T values for aqueous Dy species with predictions from available HKF parameters indicates significant differences ranging from +11 to –26 kJ/mol between 25 and 250 °C. The experimental fits are used to derive the Dy hydroxide solubility products (K s0 ) and formation constants for the hydrolysis of Dy (β n with n = 1 to 3; Dy 3+ + nOH – = DyOH n 3-n ) as a function of temperature. The optimization method presented yields accurate thermodynamic properties for the Dy 3+ aqua ions and the DyOH 2+ species at the acidic to mildly acidic pH studied whereas more experimental work is needed at near-neutral and alkaline conditions to better constrain the other hydroxyl complexes. Furthermore, the optimized thermodynamic data have a significant impact on geochemical modeling of the mobility and solubility of REE minerals in acidic hydrothermal fluids.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

NeuroSEM: A hybrid framework for simulating multiphysics problems by coupling PINNs and spectral elements

Multiphysics problems that are characterized by complex interactions among fluid dynamics, heat transfer, structural mechanics, and electromagnetics, are inherently challenging due to their coupled nature. While experimental data on certain state variables may be available, integrating these data with numerical solvers remains a significant challenge. Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have shown promising results in various engineering disciplines, particularly in handling noisy data and solving inverse problems in partial differential equations (PDEs). However, their effectiveness in forecasting nonlinear phenomena in multiphysics regimes, particularly involving turbulence, is yet to be fully established. Here, this study introduces NeuroSEM, a hybrid framework integrating PINNs with the highfidelity Spectral Element Method (SEM) solver, Nektar++. NeuroSEM leverages the strengths of both PINNs and SEM, providing robust solutions for multiphysics problems. PINNs are trained to assimilate data and model physical phenomena in specific subdomains, which are then integrated into the Nektar++ solver. We demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of NeuroSEM for thermal convection in cavity flow and flow past a cylinder. The framework effectively handles data assimilation by addressing those subdomains and state variables where the data is available. We applied NeuroSEM to the Rayleigh-B´enard convection system, including cases with missing thermal boundary conditions and noisy datasets. Finally, we applied the proposed NeuroSEM framework to real particle image velocimetry (PIV) data to capture flow patterns characterized by horseshoe vortical structures. Our results indicate that NeuroSEM accurately models the physical phenomena and assimilates the data within the specified subdomains. The framework’s plug-and-play nature facilitates its extension to other multiphysics or multiscale problems. Furthermore, NeuroSEM is optimized for efficient execution on emerging integrated GPU-CPU architectures. This hybrid approach enhances the accuracy and efficiency of simulations, making it a powerful tool for tackling complex engineering challenges in various scientific domains.

42 ENGINEERING↗

ENDFtk: A robust tool for reading and writing ENDF-formatted nuclear data

ENDFtk is a recently developed C++ and Python interface to interact with ENDF-6 formatted nuclear data files. It provides a robust and complete interface, allowing the reading and writing of all formats currently part of the ENDF-6 formats manual, as well as some non-ENDF formats used by the NJOY processing code. It provides an interface that mimics the names in the ENDF-6 formats manual as well as an equivalent interface using human-readable attribute names. It is robust and powerful enogh for nuclear data experts to develop complex applications, while also simple enough to be used non-experts to retrieve and manipulate evaluated nuclear data. ENDFtk offers the ability to easily interrogate and manipulate data either in large-scale code projects or in simple Python scripts. Here, in this paper, a brief overview of the interface is given, as well as more substantial examples demonstrating plotting simple data, interacting with more complex data, and writing new data to files. ENDFtk is open source and available for download via GitHub (https://github.com/njoy/ENDFtk).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Economic assessment of a multistage surface-heated vacuum membrane distillation process for the treatment of hypersaline produced water

Here, the treatment and disposal of hypersaline produced water remains a challenge, particularly for oil and gas producers in the Permian basin where production wells generate significant amounts of wastewater, and the traditional method of injecting wastewater into disposal wells is coming under increasing scrutiny. Here we investigate the viability of using solar energy to power a multi-stage, surface heated, vacuum membrane distillation (SHVMD) with energy recovery to treat hypersaline produced wastewater from Midland, Texas. Membrane distillation is a process that can desalinate waters with high total dissolved solids concentration, and when incorporated into a system with surface heating and energy recovery can achieve high water recovery rates. Model results show that a 6-stage SHVMD system with a 54.4 % water recovery rate and a gained output ratio (GOR) of 3.28 has the potential to be economically viable when used to treat hypersaline produced water in the Permian basin. Assuming energy costs of $\$0.03$/kWh thermal and $\$0.12$kWh electric , we estimate a project net present value (NPV) of $\$225,525$ and an internal rate of return (IRR) of 13.5 % when an air cooled condensor is used to cool the distillate and a NPV of $\$570,791$ and IRR of 24.52 % when a liquid coooling source is available.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

High-Resolution South American Wind Resource Data Downscaled with Generative Machine Learning Conditioned on Near-Surface Observations

High-resolution historical wind data was developed for the entirety of South America using the innovative Super-Resolution for Renewable Resource Data (sup3r) machine learning framework. The publicly available Sup3rWind South America dataset represents a significant advancement in wind resource data generation, leveraging generative machine learning conditioned on near-surface observations from the Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) to efficiently and accurately downscale coarse reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ERA5). This approach produces fine-scale, spatially and temporally coherent wind and meteorological fields hundreds of times more computationally efficient than traditional numerical weather modeling methods, enabling access to high-fidelity wind information across both continental and offshore regions. Sup3rWind South America builds on the earlier Sup3rWind Ukraine dataset through improvements in model architecture and outputs conditioned on near-surface observation inputs. As with the Ukraine data release, this dataset includes wind speed, wind direction, temperature, relative humidity, and pressure at a horizontal resolution of ~2 km, representing a 15x spatial enhancement relative to the 31 km ERA5 grid. Wind speed and direction are provided at 5-minute resolution, a 12x temporal refinement compared to the hourly ERA5 data, while temperature, relative humidity, and pressure remain at hourly resolution. The data covers all years from 2005 to 2024. Before downscaling, ERA5 inputs were bias-corrected using long-term monthly means and a limited number of quality-controlled observations to align large-scale statistics with regional conditions. The resulting dataset is the first publicly available high-resolution timeseries wind record that provides full spatial coverage of South America. Model validation demonstrates strong agreement with observations across several statistical metrics, consistent with other state-of-the-art high-resolution wind resource datasets. The potential applications of Sup3rWind South America span renewable energy resource assessment, energy system modeling, and grid resilience analysis. The 20-year record and high spatial and temporal resolution support accurate estimation of long-term energy yield and the economic feasibility of potential wind development sites. Continuous coverage across both continental and offshore regions enables comprehensive site prospecting within exclusive economic zones. The 2 km, 5-minute resolution data provide the spatial and temporal variability required for power system simulation, operational planning, and regional risk assessments.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Impact of carbon dioxide removal technologies on deep decarbonization: EMF37 MARKAL–NETL modeling results

Here this paper examines the MARKAL-NETL modeling results for the Energy Modeling Forum Study on Deep Decarbonization & High Electrification Scenarios for North America (EMF 37) with specific focus on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies and opportunities under different scenarios guidelines, policies, and technological advancements. The results demonstrate that CDR, such as, bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), direct air capture (DAC) and afforestation are key negative emission technologies in deep decarbonization scenarios in the U.S. are accounted for about 70% of annually avoided carbon dioxide emissions (CO 2 ) by 2050, or more than 2 billion tons of CO 2 (GtCO 2 ). The potential scale of CDR and its impact on the energy system depends on energy supply and demand technologies advancement and their costs, the level of end-use sectors electrification, availability and costs of CDR. Results show that the carbon prices are substantially lower if the advanced technologies available, particularly, in carbon management scenarios.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Carbon management technology pathways for reaching a U.S. Economy-Wide net-Zero emissions goal

The Carbon Management Study Group of the 37 th Energy Modeling Forum (EMF 37) designed seven scenarios to explore the role of three potentially key technology suites – point source carbon dioxide capture and storage (PSCCS), direct air capture of carbon dioxide (DACCS), and hydrogen systems (H 2 ) – in shaping the broader technology pathways to reaching net-zero carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in United States by 2050. Each scenario was run by up to 13 models participating in the EMF 37 study. Results show that carbon dioxide removal technologies were consistently a major part of successful pathways to net-zero U.S. CO 2 emissions in 2050. Achieving this net-zero CO 2 goal without any form of carbon dioxide capture and storage was found to be impossible for most models; some models also found it impossible to reach net-zero without DACCS. The marginal cost of achieving net-zero CO 2 emissions in 2050 was between two and 10 times higher without PSCCS and/or DACCS available. The carbon price at which DACCS was deployed as a backstop technology depended upon the assumed cost at which DACCS was available at scale. Carbon prices were between $\$$250 and $\$$500 per ton CO 2 when DACCS deployed as a backstop. The average CO 2 capture rate across all models in 2050 in the central net-zero scenario was 1.3 GtCO 2 /year, which implies a substantial upscaling of capacity to move and store CO 2 . Finally, hydrogen sensitivity scenarios showed that H 2 typically constituted a relatively small share of the overall U.S. energy system; however, H 2 deployed in applications that are considered hard to decarbonize, facilitating transition towards net-zero emissions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The relative influences of hydrologic information and dams’ hydropower scheduling decisions on electricity price forecasts

Price dynamics in wholesale electricity markets are driven by supply and demand. In markets with hydroelectric dams, the timing and amount of hydropower offered can influence prices in similar ways to wind and solar power. Unlike variable renewable energy, however, the supply of hydropower in wholesale markets is a function of both water availability and operational decisions at dams. Dam operators maximize revenues in wholesale markets by aligning generation with the periods of highest expected prices, and these scheduling decisions may in turn influence prices. Here, we examine the relative importance of two types of information in predicting forward electricity prices: a) water availability at dams, in the form of short-to-medium-range hydrological forecasts; and b) hourly scheduling decisions at dams. Using softly coupled hydrologic, hydropower scheduling, and power systems models spanning the U.S. Western Interconnection, we quantify the importance of hydrologic forecast accuracy in correctly predicting wholesale electricity prices and compare this with the influence of dam operators’ own hourly scheduling decisions on realized market prices. We find that aligning hydropower generation schedules with the periods of high forecasted prices causes larger, inadvertent price forecast errors than imperfect hydrologic forecasts. This suggests that knowledge of how water is managed by dam operators within the week is more important than weekly inflow forecast errors when predicting forward electricity prices. Our findings have implications for optimal hydropower scheduling by region. Specifically, accounting for price effects is critical in markets dominated by hydropower capacity.

Electricity markets↗

An update to the Sandia method for creating Typical Meteorological Years from a limited pool of calendar years

Typical Meteorological Years (TMYs) are essential for the efficient evaluation of energy system performance. Ideally, 30 years of weather data are required to generate TMYs, but significantly fewer years are typically available due to practical limitations. To address this issue, an update to the Sandia method was developed, referred to as the Argonne method, to create TMYs from a limited number of years. Furthermore, this method enhances candidate diversity by systematically shifting original candidate months forward or backward by specific days, creating an expanded pool of candidates. The effectiveness of the Argonne method was validated through statistical testing, comparison of monthly average weather parameters, and numerical simulations. The results demonstrate a high probability of identifying at least one shifted month whose cumulative distribution functions of weather parameters closely align with long-term distributions. In 67 % of all comparisons, the monthly average weather parameters in TMYs generated using the Argonne method exhibit better agreement with long-term averages than TMY3. Moreover, in 74 % of the 318 building simulation cases, the Argonne method outperforms TMY3 in estimating long-term average building heating and cooling demands. Therefore, the Argonne method effectively diversifies the candidate pool and produces typical years that provide more accurate estimations of long-term averages compared to TMY3 when only a limited pool of calendar years (10 years or fewer) is available.

Building energy modeling↗

Advanced defrosting techniques in air source heat pumps: A review of vapor injection, thermal energy storage, and experimental frost accumulation data

Electrification is a critical step for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from heating. Air source heat pumps (ASHPs) are a promising alternative to fossil fuel-based systems due to their high coefficients of performance (COP), dual heating and cooling capability, and lower carbon footprint. However, for ASHPs to achieve widespread adoption, they must operate reliably across all climates, including cold regions. Additionally, defrosting techniques should be energy efficient and minimally disruptive to indoor comfort. Vapor injection (VI) technology can address the high-pressure and high-temperature lift challenges encountered in low ambient conditions. More recently, in addition to enhancing heating performance, VI has also been shown to improve the speed and efficiency of reverse cycle defrosting. Likewise, thermal energy storage (TES) has steadily gained attention for its ability to serve as an auxiliary heat source during both normal operation and defrosting. This review analyzes the benefits and limitations of VI- and TES-assisted defrosting approaches. While both technologies show strong potential individually, no studies to date have explored their combined use in ASHP systems. Additionally, to support continued development of defrosting strategies, both in modeling and experimental work, it is critical to establish frost accumulation data under a range of operating conditions. By compiling the available data from the literature, this paper also highlights the limited availability of such experimental data and the wide variation in frosting and defrosting durations and termination criteria, which are often influenced by system design and test setups.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Efficient distributed continual learning for steering experiments in real-time

Deep learning has emerged as a powerful method for extracting valuable information from large volumes of data. However, when new training data arrives continuously (i.e., is not fully available from the beginning), incremental training suffers from catastrophic forgetting (i.e., new patterns are reinforced at the expense of previously acquired knowledge). Training from scratch each time new training data becomes available would result in extremely long training times and massive data accumulation. Rehearsal-based continual learning has shown promise for addressing the catastrophic forgetting challenge, but research to date has not addressed performance and scalability. To fill this gap, we propose an approach based on a distributed rehearsal buffer that efficiently complements data-parallel training on multiple GPUs to achieve high accuracy, short runtime, and scalability. It leverages a set of buffers (local to each GPU) and uses several asynchronous techniques for updating these local buffers in an embarrassingly parallel fashion, all while handling the communication overheads necessary to augment input minibatches using unbiased, global sampling. We further propose a generalization of rehearsal buffers to support both classification and generative learning tasks, as well as more advanced rehearsal strategies (notably Dark Experience Replay, leveraging knowledge distillation). We illustrate this approach with a real-life HPC streaming application from the domain of ptychographic image reconstruction. Furthermore, we run extensive experiments on up to 128 GPUs of the ThetaGPU supercomputer to compare our approach with baselines representative of training-from-scratch (the upper bound in terms of accuracy) and incremental training (the lower bound). Results show that rehearsal-based continual learning achieves a top-5 validation accuracy close to the upper bound, while simultaneously exhibiting a runtime close to the lower bound.

Asynchronous data management↗

CO 2 storage site characterization using ensemble-based approaches with deep generative models

Estimating spatially distributed properties such as permeability from available sparse measurements is a great challenge in efficient subsurface CO 2 storage operations. In this paper, a deep generative model that can accurately capture complex subsurface structure is tested with an ensemble-based inversion method for accurate and accelerated characterization of CO 2 storage sites. We chose Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network with Gradient Penalty (WGAN-GP) for its realistic reservoir property representation and Ensemble Smoother with Multiple Data Assimilation (ES-MDA) for its robust data fitting and uncertainty quantification capability. WGAN-GP are trained to generate high-dimensional permeability fields from a low-dimensional latent space and ES-MDA then updates the latent variables by assimilating available measurements. Several subsurface site characterization examples including Gaussian, channelized, and fractured reservoirs are used to evaluate the accuracy and computational efficiency of the proposed method and the main features of the unknown permeability fields are characterized accurately with reliable uncertainty quantification. Furthermore, the estimation performance is compared with a widely-used variational, i.e., optimization-based, inversion approach, and the proposed approach outperforms the variational inversion method in several benchmark cases. We explain such superior performance by visualizing the objective function in the latent space: because of nonlinear and aggressive dimension reduction via generative modeling, the objective function surface becomes extremely complex while the ensemble approximation can smooth out the multi-modal surface during the minimization. This suggests that the ensemble-based approach works well over the variational approach when combined with deep generative models at the cost of forward model runs unless convergence-ensuring modifications are implemented in the variational inversion.

42 ENGINEERING↗