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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Radiological Safety Analysis Computer (RSAC 7.2) Presentation

This presentation will be for the graduate seminar class for the University of New Mexico. We will discuss the Radiological Safety Analysis Computer (RSAC) version 7.2, a critical tool in radiological consequence analysis within the nuclear safety domain. We will begin with an introduction to radiological consequence analysis and the importance of dose modeling in nuclear safety, referencing key regulatory frameworks such as DOE-STD-3009 and 10 CFR 20. The presentation will provide an overview of RSAC, including its history, primary functions, and the inputs and outputs involved in its calculations. A detailed examination of RSAC's atmospheric dispersion model, based on the Gaussian plume methodology, will be presented, highlighting how meteorological factors influence the results. We will discuss the regulatory alignment of RSAC with DOE and NRC guidelines, emphasizing the assumptions required for compliance and the balance between conservative and realistic inputs. The presentation will also address the limitations and assumptions inherent in RSAC, comparing it with other consequence analysis codes like MACCS, HotSpot, and RASCAL. An example RSAC run will be demonstrated, showcasing a hypothetical accident scenario and interpreting the resulting dose calculations. Finally, we will introduce new ideas to enhance the current RSAC framework. This future work aims to provide multi-industry adaptability and integration with new dispersion models, addressing the evolving needs of DOE and NRC. The presentation will conclude with a discussion on RSAC's ongoing role in nuclear safety and the opportunities for future innovation.

computer program↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tracking Dendritic Growth in Hydrogen-Based Hematite Reduction via Computer Vision

The reduction of hematite to metallic iron using hydrogen (H2) as a reducing agent presents a promising pathway for decarbonizing steel production. In this study, we employ a combination of in situ confocal scanning laser microscopy (CSLM) and advanced computer vision techniques to quantitatively analyze dendritic growth of ferrite during H2-based reduction of iron oxide at high temperatures. A workflow integrating Watershed Image Segmentation (WIS) and Lucas-Kanade Optical Flow (LKOF) is developed to extract both global and local kinetic information from time-resolved micrograph sequences. H2 reduction experiments conducted at 1400 degrees C and 1500 degrees C demonstrate a clear correlation between temperature and reduction rate, as evidenced by accuracy of fitted Johnson-Mehl-Avrami-Kolmogorov (JMAK) parameters. Optical flow analysis further elucidates the anisotropic and branched nature of dendritic growth, providing spatially resolved velocity fields that correlate well with global transformation kinetics. The proposed methodology demonstrates strong agreement with experimental measurements and literature values, offering a robust framework for automated image-based analysis to study kinetics through microstructural evolution in the reduction of iron ore, and likely other reaction-diffusion phenomena.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Early Career: First-Principles Tools for Nonadiabatic Attosecond Dynamics in Materials

The overarching goal of this project was to develop computer tools for predicting how electrons move in molecules and solids at the attosecond (billionth-of-a-billionth of a second) time scale, during and after interaction with intense and/or high energy laser light. An associated goal was to also determine how X-ray spectroscopy could be used as a probe of these dynamics. The project resulted in multiple methodology developments that allow for these processes to be simulated from first-principles, most notably the use of small bulk-mimicking clusters to model solids and fixes for a deficiency in a commonly used method (time-dependent density functional theory). Additionally, the simulations showed that X-ray absorption peaks can be directly related to the electron density above the absorbing atom, and can thus be used as an intuitive probe of "where the electrons are" at a given time in the system. Collectively, these tools and results expected to be valuable for predicting and interpreting future attosecond experiments, especially for X-ray pump/probe studies at free-electron laser facilities.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Physics-based stabilized finite element approximations of the Poisson–Nernst–Planck equations

We present and analyze two stabilized finite element methods for solving numerically the Poisson–Nernst–Planck equations. The stabilization we consider is carried out by using a shock detector and a discrete graph Laplacian operator for the ion equations, whereas the discrete equation for the electric potential need not be stabilized. Discrete solutions stemmed from the first algorithm preserve both maximum and minimum discrete principles. For the second algorithm, its discrete solutions are conceived so that they hold discrete principles and obey an entropy law provided that an acuteness condition is imposed for meshes. Remarkably the latter is found to be unconditionally stable. We validate our methodology through transient numerical experiments that show convergence toward steady-state solutions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Data-driven analysis to understand GPU hardware resource usage of optimizations

With heterogeneous systems, the number of GPUs per chip increases to provide computational capabilities for solving science at a nanoscopic scale. However, low utilization for single GPUs defies the need to invest more money in expensive accelerators. Although related work develops optimizations to improve application performance, none studies how these optimizations impact hardware resource usage or average GPU utilization. Here, this paper takes a data-driven analysis approach in addressing this gap by (1) characterizing how hardware resource usage affects device utilization, execution time, or both, (2) presenting a multiobjective metric to identify important application-device interactions that can be optimized to improve device utilization and application performance jointly, (3) studying hardware resource usage behaviors of several optimizations for a benchmark application, and finally (4) identifying optimization opportunities for several scientific proxy applications based on their hardware resource usage behaviors. Furthermore, we demonstrate the applicability of our methodology by applying the identified optimizations to a proxy application, which improves the execution time, device utilization, and power consumption by up to 29.6%, 5.3% and 26.5% respectively.

Computer science↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Practical Framework for Simulating Time-Resolved Spectroscopy Based on a Real-Time Dyson Expansion

Time-resolved spectroscopy is a powerful tool for probing electron dynamics in molecules and solids, revealing transient phenomena on subfemtosecond time scales. The interpretation of experimental results is often enhanced by parallel numerical studies, which can provide insight and validation for experimental hypotheses. However, developing a theoretical framework for simulating time-resolved spectra remains a significant challenge. The most suitable approach involves the many-body nonequilibrium Green's function formalism, which accounts for crucial dynamical many-body correlations during time evolution. While these dynamical correlations are essential for observing emergent behavior in time-resolved spectra, they also render the formalism prohibitively expensive for large-scale simulations. Substantial effort has been devoted to reducing this computational cost─through approximations and numerical techniques─while preserving the key dynamical correlations. The ultimate goal is to enable first-principles simulations of time-dependent systems ranging from small molecules to large, periodic, multidimensional solids. Here, in this perspective, we outline key challenges in developing practical simulations for time-resolved spectroscopy, with a particular focus on Green's function methodologies. We highlight a recent advancement toward a scalable framework: the real-time Dyson expansion (RT-DE) [Phys. Rev. Lett. 2024, 133, 226902]. We introduce the theoretical foundation of RT-DE and discuss strategies for improving scalability, which have already enabled simulations of system sizes beyond the reach of previous fully dynamical approaches. We conclude with an outlook on future directions for extending RT-DE to first-principles studies of dynamically correlated, nonequilibrium systems.

Reeves, Cian C. [Univ. of California, Santa Barbar↗
DOE OSTI2024

Non-conformity Scores for High-Quality Uncertainty Quantification from Conformal Prediction

High-quality uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a critical component of enabling trust in deep learning (DL) models and is especially important if DL models are to be deployed in high-consequence applications. Conformal prediction (CP) methods represent an emerging nonparametric approach for producing UQ that is easily interpretable and, under weak assumptions, provides a guarantee regarding UQ quality. This report describes the research outputs of an Exploratory Express Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at Sandia National Laboratories. This project focused on how best to implement CP methods for DL models. This report introduces new methodology for obtaining high-quality UQ from DL models using CP methods, describes a novel system of assessing UQ quality, and provides experimental results that demonstrate the quality of the new methodology and utility of the UQ quality assessment system. Avenues for future research and discussion of potential impacts at Sandia and in the wider research community are also given.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Global Carbon Budget 2024

Abstract. Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe and synthesize datasets and methodologies to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. Fossil CO2 emissions (EFOS) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, while emissions from land-use change (ELUC) are based on land-use and land-use change data and bookkeeping models. Atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly, and its growth rate (GATM) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The global net uptake of CO2 by the ocean (SOCEAN, called the ocean sink) is estimated with global ocean biogeochemistry models and observation-based fCO2 products (fCO2 is the fugacity of CO2). The global net uptake of CO2 by the land (SLAND, called the land sink) is estimated with dynamic global vegetation models. Additional lines of evidence on land and ocean sinks are provided by atmospheric inversions, atmospheric oxygen measurements, and Earth system models. The sum of all sources and sinks results in the carbon budget imbalance (BIM), a measure of imperfect data and incomplete understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ. For the year 2023, EFOS increased by 1.3 % relative to 2022, with fossil emissions at 10.1 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1 (10.3 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1 when the cement carbonation sink is not included), and ELUC was 1.0 ± 0.7 GtC yr−1, for a total anthropogenic CO2 emission (including the cement carbonation sink) of 11.1 ± 0.9 GtC yr−1 (40.6 ± 3.2 GtCO2 yr−1). Also, for 2023, GATM was 5.9 ± 0.2 GtC yr−1 (2.79 ± 0.1 ppm yr−1; ppm denotes parts per million), SOCEAN was 2.9 ± 0.4 GtC yr−1, and SLAND was 2.3 ± 1.0 GtC yr−1, with a near-zero BIM (−0.02 GtC yr−1). The global atmospheric CO2 concentration averaged over 2023 reached 419.31 ± 0.1 ppm. Preliminary data for 2024 suggest an increase in EFOS relative to 2023 of +0.8 % (−0.2 % to 1.7 %) globally and an atmospheric CO2 concentration increase by 2.87 ppm, reaching 422.45 ppm, 52 % above the pre-industrial level (around 278 ppm in 1750). Overall, the mean of and trend in the components of the global carbon budget are consistently estimated over the period 1959–2023, with a near-zero overall budget imbalance, although discrepancies of up to around 1 GtC yr−1 persist for the representation of annual to semi-decadal variability in CO2 fluxes. Comparison of estimates from multiple approaches and observations shows the following: (1) a persistent large uncertainty in the estimate of land-use change emissions, (2) low agreement between the different methods on the magnitude of the land CO2 flux in the northern extra-tropics, and (3) a discrepancy between the different methods on the mean ocean sink. This living-data update documents changes in methods and datasets applied to this most recent global carbon budget as well as evolving community understanding of the global carbon cycle. The data presented in this work are available at https://doi.org/10.18160/GCP-2024 (Friedlingstein et al., 2024).

Friedlingstein, Pierre (ORCID:0000000333094739)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Gamma Source Verification for GAMSRC and GAMSOR

Nuclear reactors that rely upon the fission reaction have two modes of thermal energy deposition in the reactor system: neutron absorption and gamma absorption. The gamma rays are typically generated by neutron capture reactions or during the fission process which means the primary driver of energy production is of course the neutron interactions. The GAMSOR program was first built in the mid 1980s to properly account for the gamma heating in an operating reactor core on core internals. The GAMSOR code is sequence of DIF3D calculations to compute the neutron and gamma flux and combine them to define both the neutron and gamma heating throughout the modeled domain. The goal of this manuscript is to present the software verification of GAMSOR. The first step of the GAMSOR sequence of calculations involves of a modified version of DIF3D (called DIF3D-GAMSOR) which generates a gamma source distribution for the follow-on DIF3D gamma transport calculation (step 2). This modified version of DIF3D increases the burden of maintenance and verification work on GAMSOR as one must reverify the DIF3D capabilities which is undesirable. Because the calculation of the gamma source is the only unique aspect of GAMSOR beyond the regular DIF3D capabilities, that part was put in a standalone code called GAMSRC such that one can use the verified DIF3D code in step 1 followed by GAMSRC to carry out the same GAMSOR calculation step. As a consequence, this manuscript is focused on verification of the gamma source files generated by GAMSRC. The verification of the modified version of DIF3D (DIF3D-GAMSOR) will be done less rigorously in that it will be verified that it produces the same output that GAMSRC does and thus GAMSRC is equivalent to GAMSOR on the problems studied here. Hand calculations and independent numerical calculations of the gamma source generation are used for the verification work. This work follows the same methodology of GAMSRC. As expected, the results agree well with those calculated by GAMSRC as will be shown.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multibody for Everybody (M4E) - A Linearization Approach to Enable Frequency Domain Analysis, Time Integration and Control Co-Design

1.1 Background/Objectives: Marine energy represents a promising yet underexploited source of power. To increase the harvested power, significant efforts have been made to improve wave energy converter (WEC) modeling capabilities and optimize power take-off (PTO) performance; however, these efforts have often treated WEC dynamics, PTO design, and controller development sequentially. In contrast, control co-design (CCD) is emerging as a promising strategy to address these issues directly, creating a growing need for fast analysis tools suitable for repeated simulation and parametric studies [1]. To support this need, this work presents the Multibody for Everybody (M4E) [2] linearization module, which employs a symbolic toolbox to provide deeper insight of WEC design parameters. The objective is to demonstrate that a minimal-coordinate linearization of articulated WEC dynamics can provide accurate wave response predictions and substantial computational savings relative to nonlinear time-domain simulation, while preserving compatibility with broader wave-energy analysis workflows, enabling CCD. 1.2 Approach/Activities: The proposed approach linearizes the equations of motion, generated by M4E, in minimal coordinates about a selected operating point and combines the resulting system with frequencydomain hydrodynamic terms to incorporate the reduced mass, damping, stiffness, and forcing operators. The linearized model is used for both impedance-based response amplitude operator (RAO) prediction and rapid regular-wave time integration. The methodology is demonstrated on a single-flap device and a FOSWEC configuration, with linearized M4E responses compared against the corresponding nonlinear M4E simulations and WEC-Sim results. Regular-wave time histories, RAO trends, and runtime differences are assessed. The framework is also compatible with broader wave-energy workflows, including coupling to WecOptTool, although that capability is not the focus of this work [3]. 1.3 Results/Lessons: The linearized M4E model reproduces key regularwave response characteristics such as integration and Response Amplitude over multiple frequencies. This module matches nonlinear M4E and WEC-Sim results while substantially reducing integration cost. Thus, the proposed framework can serve as a rapid analysis layer for articulated WEC design, parameter studies, and controls-oriented workflows. The analysis is most appropriate in the near-equilibrium regime, about the linearization point.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2024

Computational Analysis of Hydraulic Efficiency of Michigan DOT Cover C

Drainage structures are used to capture stormwater runoff in streets and highways in urban environments. These drainage structures, which typically consist of catch basins with grates, inlets, or combination grates/inlets, collect stormwater runoff and discharge through buried conveyance systems. They are strategically placed for public safety in curb and gutter systems to provide efficient drainage of water from roadways and thus reduce the risk of hydroplaning. The performance of drainage structures is measured in terms of hydraulic efficiency, which is defined as the percentage of flow captured by the basin as compared to the total flow drainage to the structure. Understanding of the performance of these drainage structures helps designers properly space inlets to promote an economic design that ensures the safety of the traveling public. The current design methodology used to determine drainage structure follows guidelines established in the current Michigan Department of Transportation (MDOT) Drainage Manual (2006). The guidelines in the MDOT Drainage Manual were modeled after the Federal Highway Administration’s (FHWA) Hydraulic Engineering Circular 22 “Urban Drainage Design” (HEC-22). HEC-22 includes empirically derived equations to calculate the interception capacity of drainage structures for several commonly used grate configurations, such as the parallel bar, curved vane and tilt bar grates, which are based on a research study performed by Burgi et al. in the 1970s. MDOT uses several drainage structures to capture runoff that are detailed as Standard Plans. Many of these drainage structures utilize sinusoidal type grates that are not described in HEC-22. Physical modeling of these structures has been limited, posing the need to have them analyzed to verify their capture efficiency. Current MDOT practice is to assume a similar sized reticuline grate, as described in HEC-22, for capture efficiencies. Until recently, evaluating the hydraulic performance of drainage structures was limited to physical modeling in a hydraulics laboratory. With advances in engineering software and computing power, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling has become a more cost-effective alternative. The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) provides states the option to evaluate their drainage structures using CFD through the Transportation Pooled Fund Program. This study, “Computational Analysis of Hydraulic Efficiency of Michigan DOT Cover C,” was carried out using the pooled fund. MDOT’s Cover C was chosen as the first test candidate, given its similar sinusoidal pattern to other MDOT grates, but it is typically used for high-volume, higher speed applications. A similar version, Cover CX, is used on interstate highways but does not have traverse bars for bicycle safety. Additional grates may be considered for evaluation in the future.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Selecting Critical Scenarios of DER Adoption in Distribution Grids Using Bayesian Optimization

We develop a new methodology to select scenarios of DER adoption most critical for distribution grids. Anticipating risks of future voltage and line flow violations due to additional PV adopters is central for utility investment planning but continues to rely on deterministic or ad hoc scenario selection. We propose a highly efficient search framework based on multi-objective Bayesian Optimization. We treat underlying grid stress metrics as computationally expensive black-box functions, approximated via Gaussian Process surrogates and design an acquisition function based on probability of scenarios being Pareto-critical across a collection of line- and bus-based violation objectives. Our approach provides a statistical guarantee and offers an order of magnitude speed-up relative to a conservative exhaustive search. Case studies on realistic feeders with 200-400 buses demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of our approach.

Mulkin, Olivier↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Framework Using Applied Process Analysis Methods to Assess Water Security in the Vu Gia–Thu Bon River Basin, Vietnam

The Vu Gia–Thu Bon (VG–TB) river basin is facing numerous challenges to water security, particularly in light of the increasing impacts of climate change. These challenges, including salinity intrusion, shifts in rainfall patterns, and reduced water supply in downstream areas, are of great concern. This study comprehensively assessed the current state of water security in the basin using robust statistical analysis methods such as the Process Analysis Method (PAM), SMART principle, and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). This resulted in the development of a comprehensive assessment framework for water security in the VG–TB river basin. This framework identified five key dimensions, with basin development activities (0.32), the ability to meet water needs (0.24), and natural disaster resilience (0.19) being the most crucial and water resource potential being the least crucial (0.11) according to the AHP methodology. The latter also highlighted 15 indicators, four of which are particularly influential, including waste resources (0.54), flood (0.53), water storage capacity (0.45), and basin governance (0.42). Furthermore, 28 variables with high weight factors were identified. This framework aligns with the UN-Water water security definition and addresses the global water sustainability criteria outlined in Sustainable Development Goal 6 (SDG6). It enables the computation of a comprehensive Water Security Index (WSI) for specific regions, providing a strong foundation for decision-making and policy formulation. It aims to enhance water security in the context of climate change and support sustainable basin development, thereby guiding future research and policy decisions in water resource management.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Causality-respecting adaptive refinement for PINNs: enabling precise interface evolution in phase field modeling

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful tool for solving physical systems described by partial differential equations (PDEs). However, their accuracy in dynamical systems, particularly those involving sharp moving boundaries with complex initial morphologies, remains a challenge. Here, this study introduces an approach combining residual-based adaptive refinement (RBAR) with causality-informed training to enhance the performance of PINNs in solving spatio-temporal PDEs. Our method employs a three-step iterative process: initial causality-based training, RBAR-guided domain refinement, and subsequent causality training on the refined mesh. Applied to the Allen-Cahn equation, a widely-used model in phase field simulations, our approach demonstrates significant improvements in solution accuracy and computational efficiency over traditional PINNs. Notably, we observe an ‘overshoot and relocate’ phenomenon in dynamic cases with complex morphologies, showcasing the method’s adaptive error correction capabilities. This synergistic interaction between RBAR and causality training enables accurate capture of interface evolution, even in challenging scenarios where traditional PINNs fail. Our framework not only resolves the limitations of uniform refinement strategies but also provides a generalizable methodology for solving a broad range of spatio-temporal PDEs. The enhanced performance of the RBAR–causality combined framework demonstrates its strong potential for advancing PINN-based modeling of physical systems characterized by complex, evolving interfaces.

Allen-Cahn equations↗
DOE OSTI2025

Probing Condensed-Phase Structure and Dynamics in Hierarchical Zeolites and Nanosheets for Catalytic Upgradation of Biomass (Final Report)

Understanding complex reaction pathways in systems governed by multi-scale collective interactions across time and length scales remains a central scientific challenge. This project was guided by the hypothesis that the interplay among oligomers, solvents, and active sites can be tuned by a suitable choice of solvation environment and pore architecture in solid-acid catalysts to direct chemical transformations relevant to biomass conversion. Zeolites and zeolite nanosheets were used as model platforms, allowing for the interaction of macromolecules with the surface of the zeolite nanosheets and with smaller pores that host catalytically active sites. To investigate these coupled phenomena, we employ a multi-scale computational framework that integrates molecular-level descriptions with advanced sampling approaches to capture key physical and chemical interactions. Our work through this project improved fundamental understanding of how reactants and solid-acid catalysts interact in solvent-rich environments, thereby enabling the rational design of catalytic systems that upgrade biomass with enhanced selectivity and energy efficiency. In addition, the project developed advanced sampling methodologies critical for disentangling complex, reactive processes in multi-component catalytic environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Code for the manuscript "Lagrangian Attention Tensor Networks for Velocity Gradient Statistical Mode

We disclose a python/pytorch implementation of the physics-informed machine learning algorithm described in "Lagrangian Attention Tensor Networks for Velocity Gradient Statistical Modeling", LA-UR-24-30678. Direct numerical simulation (DNS) of ubiquitous turbulence phenomena is computationally infeasible for realistic flows. As a result, reduced modeling for turbulent flows aim to reduce the number of resolved scales while retaining accurate representations of the small-scale physics. The dynamics of the velocity gradient tensor (VGT) is a key ingredient in reduced or subgrid turbulence models. The evolution equation for the VGT involves nonlocal terms, requiring closure modeling. This implementation of the novel methodology of Lagrangian Attention Tensor Networks (LATN), utilizes a structured representation of the history of the VGT to inform a physics-informed machine learning algorithm. This addition of structured memory terms is shown to outperform previous models when trained and evaluated on DNS data.

Livescu, Daniel [LANL]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermodynamically leveraged solventless aerobic deconstruction of polyethylene-terephthalate plastics over a single-site molybdenum-dioxo catalyst

Here, we describe the solventless catalytic deconstruction of polyethylene-terephthalate (PET) under an aerobic atmosphere, mediated by an earth-abundant, low-cost activated carbon (AC)-supported single-site molybdenum-dioxo catalyst (AC/MoO 2 ). Catalytic amounts of AC/MoO 2 selectively convert waste PET into its monomer, terephthalic acid (TPA), within 4 h at 265 °C with yields as high as 94% under 1 atm air. Pure crystalline TPA product sublimes from the reaction hot zone, crystallizing on the reactor cold zone, thus avoiding the need for separation and purification steps. This process does not employ any hazardous/toxic reducing agents or solvents, and the catalyst can be recycled multiple times without loss of activity, rendering this process highly atom-efficient. According to computational and experimental mechanistic studies, the AC/MoO 2 catalyst mediates a thermoneutral metal-catalyzed β-scission step, followed by an exothermic step that converts the vinyl benzoate intermediate to TPA and acetaldehyde using trace amounts of moisture in the air. The formation of gaseous acetaldehyde makes the isolation of TPA from the reaction mixture facile and industrially favorable, especially since solvents are unnecessary. The present methodology is also extended to the deconstruction of other frequently used polyester plastics, polybutylene terephthalate (PBT), polyethylene naphthalate (PEN), and polyethylene furanoate (PEF), and operates equally well with post-consumer waste products. Notably, this process is also compatible with plastic mixtures of polyesters with polyolefins, polyamides, and polycarbonates, leading to the selective conversion of each polyester to the corresponding monomer, leaving the residual polymer unchanged and polyester-free.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Computational materials reliability assessment of hydrogen fueled gas turbine power generation engines

The use of blended fuel sources in land based gas turbine engines drives variations in the resulting operational profile (temperatures and pressures) which can impact engine reliability. Furthermore, variability in the manufacture of components affects the resulting microstructure which directly impacts material performance and reliability. Currently, data-driven models are typically used for maintaining and inspecting fleets of engines. Without explicitly capturing material and operational sources of variability conservatism must be used in developing component-level reliability models. Therefore, there exists an opportunity to use information from materials-scale physics models to better inform reliability modeling and reduce conservatism; the impact is more cost-efficient operation and maintenance of current and future fleets. Specifically, this work establishes a computational framework for evaluating the probabilistic high temperature creep performance of hot-section Ni-based superalloys where uncertainty comes from both microstructural and operational variability. A novel high-fidelity physics model which phenomenologically captures grain-boundary sensitive phenomena has been established. A probabilistic calibration procedure was used to calibrate the model and capture uncertainty in the parameterized model coefficients. A design of experiments methodology was established for identifying informative microstructural digital representations for suitable for forward model evaluation. Results show that training a machine-learning surrogate using this design criteria outperforms random selection of microstructural representations. Finally, two surrogate models were developed: (1) a deterministic surrogate model which predicts the local field response given microstructure, constitutive model parameters, and operating conditions (stress, temperature) and (2) a probabilistic model, where uncertainty comes from constitutive law uncertainty, built using denoising diffusion probabilistic models which samples responses given (1) microstructure and (2) operating conditions. These surrogate models enable partner Siemens Energy to rapidly perform UQ analysis specific to creep deformation across a range of microstructures and operating conditions. The impact is that these ML and physics codes can be used to establish more advanced reliability models for the inspection, servicing, and maintenance of land based gas turbine engines.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗