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Results for “conditional generative models”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 325 records · Page 18
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Large-scale experimental validation of thermochemical water-splitting oxides discovered by defect graph neural networks

Thermochemical water-splitting (TCH) based on 2-step thermal redox cycles in metal oxides is a promising approach to generating H 2 , but state-of-the-art (SOTA) CeO 2 has several practical limitations, which has motivated continued materials discovery efforts in this field. Here, in this study, we improve upon a SOTA defect graph neural network (dGNN) surrogate model's oxygen vacancy predictions and combine them with materials project phase diagrams to down-select and discover structurally diverse, experimentally known metal oxides whose TCH performance was previously unknown. Amongst twelve candidates selected based on our high-throughput screening and down-selection criteria, we achieved ∼80% accuracy in identifying materials with stable redox cycling and hydrogen production in stagnation flow reactor water-splitting experiments. Closer to 100% accuracy can be achieved if higher-accuracy, hybrid DFT-predicted vacancy formation energies were computed and used in lieu of the most uncertain dGNN-based screening predictions, as they correct false positives to true negatives. Notably, two discovered candidates, Sr 3 PrMn 2 O 8 and Ba 2 Fe 2 O 5 , display hydrogen yields greater than CeO 2 under specific redox conditions. In conclusion, these results demonstrate our ability to computationally predict and experimentally validate promising candidate TCH materials that have the potential to compete with CeO 2 .

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Coherent frequency combs from electrons colliding with a laser pulse

Highly coherent and powerful light sources capable of generating soft x-ray frequency combs are essential for high precision measurements and rigorous tests of fundamental physics. In this work, we derive the analytical conditions required for the emission of coherent radiation from an electron beam colliding with a laser pulse, modeled as a plane wave. These conditions are applied in a series of numerical simulations, where we show that a soft x-ray frequency comb can be produced if the electrons are regularly-spaced and sufficiently monoenergetic. High quality beams of this kind may be produced in the near future from laser-plasma interactions or linear accelerators. Furthermore, we highlight the advantageous role of employing few-cycle laser pulses in relaxing the stringent monoenergeticity requirements for coherent emission. The conditions derived here can also be used to optimize coherent emission in other frequency ranges, such as the terahertz domain.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

First Simultaneous Measurement of Differential Muon-Neutrino Charged-Current Cross Sections on Argon for Final States with and without Protons Using MicroBooNE Data

We report the first double-differential neutrino-argon cross section measurement made simultaneously for final states with and without protons for the inclusive muon neutrino charged-current interaction channel. The proton kinematics of this channel are further explored with a differential cross section measurement as a function of the leading proton’s kinetic energy that extends across the detection threshold. These measurements use data collected with the MicroBooNE detector from 6.4 × 10 20 protons on target from the Fermilab booster neutrino beam with a mean neutrino energy of ∼ 0.8 GeV . Extensive data-driven model validation utilizing the conditional constraint formalism is employed. This motivates enlarging the uncertainties with an empirical reweighting approach to minimize the possibility of extracting biased cross section results. The extracted nominal flux-averaged cross sections are compared to widely used event generator predictions revealing severe mismodeling of final states without protons for muon neutrino charged-current interactions, possibly from insufficient treatment of final state interactions. These measurements provide a wealth of new information useful for improving event generators which will enhance the sensitivity of precision measurements in neutrino experiments. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data-Driven Analysis of Multipactor Dynamics via Dynamic Mode Decomposition

Multipactor effect is a performance-limiting kinetic plasma effect that can occur in high-power microwave and radio frequency (RF) devices. Multipactor effect is of special concern in vacuum or near-vacuum conditions such as those in particle accelerators and spaceborne devices. In this work, we present a data-driven reduced-order model (ROM) based on dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) for modeling of multipactor effects. We study multipactor effects and the resulting nonlinear harmonic generation by processing high-fidelity data generated from electromagnetic particle-in-cell (EMPIC) simulations using the DMD algorithm. We also investigate time-delay embedding extensions of DMD with improved generalizability and accuracy for modeling the electron plasma current density behavior. Here, the results show that DMD provides valuable insights into multipactor phenomena by extracting relevant modal spatiotemporal patterns and frequencies. In addition, DMD offers the potential to time extrapolate EMPIC simulations at a minimal cost, thereby reducing overall simulation time.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Basic Physical Processes Involving Dust in Fusion Plasmas

This report presents the main outcomes of our research focused on understanding the behavior and effects of dust particles in fusion plasmas, particularly in the edge regions of tokamaks and stellarators. We conducted computer modeling studies of burst injections of carbon and tungsten dust particles in DIII-D like divertor plasmas. The studies investigated effects of transient influx of the low- and high-Z material plasma contaminants in form of dust on the edge plasma dynamics in a modern mid-size tokamak. We also performed theoretical and computational studies of the forces acting on non-spherical dust grains in magnetized and nonmagnetized plasmas. In addition, we cooperated with General Atomics slag management group on development of DIII-D dust injection experiments to measure trajectories of dust grains in the divertor plasma and compare them with DUSTT code predictions for validation of the dust modeling capabilities. We collaborated with JET experimentalists on evaluation of radiative losses induced by injection of mixed neon-deuterium ice pellets for disruption and run-away electron generation mitigation during thermal and current quench phases. We also cooperated with experimentalists at LHD fusion device (Japan) on modeling support of experiments on injection of boron granules in fusion plasma discharges to assess their dynamics and effectiveness for in situ dynamic wall conditioning.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

STITCHES: a Python package to amalgamate existing Earth system model output into new scenario realizations

Understanding the interaction between humans and the Earth system is a computationally daunting task, with many possible approaches depending on resources available and questions of interest. For example, state-of-the-art impact models require decade-long time series of relatively high frequency, spatially resolved and often multiple variables representing climatic impact-drivers (Ruane et al., 2022). Most commonly these are derived from the outputs of detailed, computationally expensive Earth System Models (ESMs) run according to a standard, limited set of future scenarios, the latest being the SSP-RCPs run under CMIP6/ScenarioMIP (Eyring et al., 2016; O’Neill et al., 2016). At the time of writing, O’Neill et al. (2016) has been cited more than 1750 times and Eyring et al. (2016) more than 5000 times, highlighting the broad, general applications of this data. Often, however, impact modeling seeks to explore new scenarios that were not part of the ScenarioMIP protocol, and/or needs a larger set of initial condition ensemble members than are typically available to quantify the effects of ESM internal variability. In addition, the recognition that the human and Earth systems are fundamentally intertwined, and may feature potentially significant feedback loops, is making integrated, simultaneous modeling of the coupled human-Earth system increasingly necessary, if computationally challenging with most existing tools (Thornton et al., 2017). For impact modelers, climate model emulators can be the answer to meet both the needs of: 1) creating realizations for novel scenarios and 2) achieving a simplified, computationally tractable representation of ESM behavior in a coupled human-Earth system modeling framework. We proposed a new, comprehensive approach to such emulation of gridded, multivariate ESM outputs for novel scenarios without the computational cost of a full ESM, STITCHES (Tebaldi et al., 2022). The approach outlined in Tebaldi et al. (2022) should be extensible to future CMIP eras, although the STITCHES software at present is strictly focused on CMIP6/ScenarioMIP data hosted on Pangeo (https://gallery.pangeo.io/repos/pangeo-gallery/cmip6/). The corresponding STITCHES Python package uses existing archives of ESMs’ scenario experiments from CMIP6/ScenarioMIP to construct gridded, multivariate realizations of new scenarios provided by reduced complexity climate models (Hartin et al., 2015; Meinshausen et al., 2011; Smith et al., 2018), or to enrich existing initial condition ensembles. Its output provides the same characteristics as the emulated ESM output: multivariate (spanning potentially all variables that the ESM has saved), spatially resolved (down to the native grid of the ESM), and preserving the same high frequency as the original data. A new realization of multiple variables can be generated on the order of minutes with STITCHES, rather than the hours or sometimes days that ESMs require.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multi‐Scale Model‐Informed Deep Learning for Plasma‐Nanoparticle Interaction

The Overarching Goal of this proposed research is to understand and quantitively determine the interactions between non-thermal plasma (hot electrons, reactive radicals, vibrationally excited species) and surface reactions on influencing the activity and selectivity of the desired reactions via developing multi-scale model informed deep learning algorithm. Investigating non-thermal plasma-surface interaction is feasible due to the low bulk temperature in the discharge region. To investigate the role of plasma-nanoparticle interaction on enhancing the reaction kinetics, we will focus on ammonia cracking to generate clean hydrogen over earth-abundant, non-critical metallic nanoparticles, which is of great significance for decarbonization. We hypothesize that (1) reactive radicals interacting with surface reaction species via Eley–Rideal mechanism will significantly lower the energetics of the potential rate-limiting step of nitrogen formation; (2) the surface will be charged heterogeneously under non-thermal plasma conditions and the charged site will lower the energetics of ammonia cracking through Langmuir– Hinshelwood mechanism; (3) vibrationally excited ammonia will further promote the initial N-H bond cleavage. To access the hypothesis, we will (1) reveal the surface charge effects on tunning the reaction energetics via interpretable, physics-informed deep learning accelerated density functional theory (DFT) calculations; (2) determine the reactive radicals interacting with surface reaction species on tuning the reaction energetics via DFT; (3) reveal the surface charge effects on tunning the reaction energetics via DFT and deep learning models, (4) quantify how vibrationally excited species, reactive radicals, and surface charging effects on enhancing the catalysis via developing DFT-based microkinetic modeling (MKM) and active learning. Deep and active learning of plasma-nanoparticle interactions effects on enhancing ammonia cracking to generate hydrogen represents a new paradigm for designing high performance plasma materials. The fundamental science of how plasma-nanoparticle interactions will change the plasma kinetics and will improve the energy efficiency for decarbonization and sustainability. The interpretable and physics-informed machine learning model will accelerate low temperature plasma chemistry and material discovery with physics rules and model interpretation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian modeling of traffic-related air pollutants: A case study of urban transportation and air quality dynamics in Columbia, South Carolina

Traffic emissions significantly impact near-road air quality and public health. This research applies a Bayesian modeling framework to investigate these impacts using high-resolution traffic and air pollutant data from an urban corridor in Columbia, South Carolina. Despite a data collection period truncated by the COVID-19 lockdown, the Bayesian approach successfully identified significant predictors and quantified model uncertainty. Employing Bayesian Model Selection and Averaging enhanced prediction accuracy and evaluated model uncertainty. Findings indicate that higher temperatures and increased moisture levels elevate particulate matter (PM 1.0 , PM 2.5 , PM 10 ) concentrations, while traffic speed significantly affects nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ) levels. Specifically, higher average traffic speeds (indicative of smoother flow) correspond to lower NO 2 concentrations, suggesting that less congested conditions reduce NO 2 emissions. This study highlights the robustness of Bayesian methods for generating reliable air quality insights even under data-constrained conditions. The findings underscore the importance of traffic flow management (e.g., reducing congestion) for mitigating near-road NO 2 exposure and provide a basis for developing targeted public health strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of Main Bearing Fatigue Estimate Sensitivity to Synthetic Turbulence Models Using a Novel Drivetrain Model Implemented in OpenFAST

ABSTRACT A coupled medium‐fidelity drivetrain model is developed and implemented in OpenFAST for a 10‐MW land‐based reference turbine. The implementation is verified against a fully coupled multibody wind turbine model, including a detailed drivetrain. The new model can simultaneously and accurately estimate main bearing loads and represent elastic bending of the drivetrain. It has low computational cost and is useful for early design phases, sensitivity analyses and complex systems like wind farms (where computational expense must be expended elsewhere). Here, the model is implemented for a monopile offshore wind turbine and used to investigate the sensitivity of main bearing basic rating life to different synthetic turbulence models. Large‐eddy simulations (LES) targeting stable, neutral, and unstable atmospheric conditions at below‐, near‐ and above‐rated wind speeds are used as a reference. The turbulence models recommended by the International Electrotechnical Commission, the Mann spectral tensor model, and the Kaimal spectral model with exponential coherence are fitted to the LES data. Additionally, a constrained turbulence generator, PyConTurb (short for Python Constrained Turbulence ), based on LES data, is applied in the aero‐hydro‐servo‐elastic simulations. Taking PyConTurb as the baseline, the Kaimal model significantly underestimates fatigue of the downwind main bearing, with between 10% and 40% less damage. The Mann model also underestimates the downwind main bearing fatigue by up to 30%. The upwind main bearing damage is driven by mean loads, and differences between models are less significant, although the trends are similar. Reasons for these discrepancies are investigated and attributed to differences in spatial and temporal variations among the turbulence models.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

HEPOM: Using Graph Neural Networks for the Accelerated Predictions of Hydrolysis Free Energies in Different pH Conditions

Hydrolysis is a fundamental family of chemical reactions where water facilitates the cleavage of bonds. The process is ubiquitous in biological and chemical systems, owing to water’s remarkable versatility as a solvent. However, accurately predicting the feasibility of hydrolysis through computational techniques is a difficult task, as subtle changes in reactant structure like heteroatom substitutions or neighboring functional groups can influence the reaction outcome. Furthermore, hydrolysis is sensitive to the pH of the aqueous medium, and the same reaction can have different reaction properties at different pH conditions. In this work, we have combined reaction templates and high-throughput ab initio calculations to construct a diverse data set of hydrolysis free energies. The developed framework automatically identifies reaction centers, generates hydrolysis products, and utilizes a trained graph neural network (GNN) model to predict ΔG values for all potential hydrolysis reactions in a given molecule. The long-term goal of the work is to develop a data-driven, computational tool for high-throughput screening of pH-specific hydrolytic stability and the rapid prediction of reaction products, which can then be applied in a wide array of applications including chemical recycling of polymers and ion-conducting membranes for clean energy generation and storage.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine learning inversion of interatomic force constants from single-crystal inelastic neutron scattering

Atomic vibrations govern many macroscopic properties of materials, but experiments to comprehensively probe them remain challenging. Inelastic neutron scattering (INS) is a powerful technique to map phonon dispersions in crystals, especially when leveraging modern time-of-flight (ToF) spectrometers with large detectors. However, efficiently and robustly extracting interatomic force constants (FCs) parameterizing phonon dynamics from experimental spectra remains a bottleneck due to the complexity and high dimensionality of ToF INS datasets. Here, we present a machine learning approach for the direct inversion of FCs from single-crystal INS measurements. The framework leverages synthetic training data generated using universal machine-learned force fields and an efficient physics-based forward model. We benchmark two neural architectures–one emphasizing structured latent representation learning and the other direct, supervised spectral regression–across simulated datasets for two materials under idealized and noisy conditions. The latent-representation model is subsequently applied to experimental single-crystal INS data on germanium. The model is shown to reproduce FCs derived from both first-principles simulations and from iterative optimization, and furthermore achieves reliable inference even from sparse, single-orientation measurements representing short data acquisitions. Analysis of the learned latent space reveals semantically continuous and physically interpretable encodings that support strong cross-domain generalization. By bridging theoretical and experimental domains, we establish a path toward rapid inversion of experimental spectra and data-driven interpretation of temperature-dependent lattice dynamics.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Improbability of Post-Closure Criticality in Compacted Criticality Control Overpacks after Room Closure at Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

As part of its periodic re-certification of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), an operating repository in bedded salt for the disposal of transuranic (TRU) waste from atomic energy defense activities, the United States Environmental Protection Agency expects a re-evaluation of features, events, and processes, such as post-closure nuclear criticality. Although salt creep beneficially encapsulates the TRU waste in the closed WIPP repository, the spacing between an array of waste packages is disrupted as the salt creep closes disposal rooms and containers lose structural integrity. For most TRU waste, the possibility of post-closure criticality is exceedingly small either because the salt neutronically isolates TRU waste canisters or because closure of a disposal room from salt creep does not sufficiently compact the low mass of fissile material. The criticality evaluation was updated, however, because of the introduction of criticality control overpack (CCO) containers, which may dispose up to 380 fissile gram equivalent plutonium-239 in each container. The criticality potential is evaluated through high-fidelity geomechanical modeling of a disposal room filled with CCO containers during two representative conditions: (1) large salt block fall, and (2) gradual disposal room closure from salt creep. Geomechanical models of roof fall demonstrate three tiers of CCO containers are not greatly disrupted. Geomechanical models of gradual room closure from salt creep (without brine seepage and subsequent gas generation to permit maximum room closure) were used to predict irregular arrays of closely packed CCOs after 1000 years, when room closure has asymptotically approached maximum compaction. Models of spheres or cylinders with 380 fissile gram equivalent of plutonium (as oxide) at the predicted irregular compacted spacing demonstrate that an array of CCO containers is not critical when surrounded by salt and magnesium oxide, provided the mass of hydrogenous material shipped in CCO containers (usually plastics) is controlled or boron carbide (a neutron poison) is mixed with the fissile contents.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2024

Impact of Hydrological Data on Power System Operational Studies: Preprint

Hydropower is expected to play an important role in maintaining grid reliability and flexibility as the share of of variable renewable energy increases. While the current hydropower operational models have been studied and used widely, they haven't been updated for decades to meet new performance standards. For example, current steady state and dynamic models often neglect hydrological conditions, which may lead to unrealistic expectations when relying on hydropower for energy and ancillary services. To study this impact, a multi-timescale hydrological model was created by leveraging the National Renewable Energy Laboratory-developed Multi-timescale Integrated Dynamics and Scheduling (MIDAS) tool. Using MIDAS, we compare the impact of considering hydrological conditions in a day-ahead unit commitment (DAUC) schedule on the reduced 240-bus Western Interconnect (WI) test system under winter and summer case studies. We show that neglecting current hydrological conditions of hydropower plants in power system models can lead to an overestimation of hydropower capabilities, which could lead to power balancing issues. For example, power system DAUC simulation results of our reduced test system show that in the case where hydrological conditions are not considered in the model, an approximate 31% overestimation of hydropower capabilities occurs in the summer case and approximately 60% occurs in the winter case compared to what is available. Additionally, results show an underestimation of WI day-ahead power system generation costs by approximately $54M - $80M in the weekly summer scenario and $116M - $126M in the weekly winter scenario. This analysis helps to underscore the importance of considering hydrological data in power system operational studies.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Charged particle transport coefficient challenges in high energy density plasmas

High energy density physics (HEDP) and inertial confinement fusion (ICF) research typically relies on computational modeling using radiation-hydrodynamics codes in order to design experiments and understand their results. These tools, in turn, rely on numerous charged particle transport and relaxation coefficients to account for laser energy absorption, viscous dissipation, mass transport, thermal conduction, electrical conduction, non-local ion (including charged fusion product) transport, non-local electron transport, magnetohydrodynamics, multi-ion-species thermalization, and electron-ion equilibration. In many situations, these coefficients couple to other physics, such as imposed or self-generated magnetic fields. Furthermore, how these coefficients combine are sensitive to plasma conditions as well as how materials are distributed within a computational cell. Uncertainties in these coefficients and how they couple to other physics could explain many of the discrepancies between simulation predictions and experimental results that persist in even the most detailed calculations. This paper reviews the challenges faced by radiation-hydrodynamics in predicting the results of HEDP and ICF experiments with regard to these and other physics models typically included in simulation codes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Constraining the Low-Temperature Oxidation Mechanism of n -Hexanol through the Detection and Identification of C 6 Elusive Intermediates

Alcohol-based fuels are currently considered to be viable energy carriers for the transportation sector. Consequently, a comprehensive mechanistic understanding of the low-temperature oxidation of alcohols is essential for application in advanced low-temperature compression engines. Here, in this work, a multidimensional approach involving experimental investigations, kinetic modeling, and theoretical calculations was used to provide new insights into the low-temperature oxidation mechanism of a C 6 alcohol, n -hexanol (CH 3 (CH 2 ) 5 OH), through the detection and identification of elusive C 6 intermediates. The oxidation of n-hexanol was investigated in a jet-stirred reactor under stoichiometric conditions (ϕ = 1.0), an initial fuel concentration of 2%, a residence time of 2 s, a temperature range between 500 and 660 K, and a pressure of 700 Torr. The reactants, intermediates, and final products were detected and identified by means of molecular-beam mass spectrometry coupled with single-photon ionization employing tunable synchrotron-generated vacuum ultraviolet radiation. Chemical kinetic simulations were performed using a previously published kinetic model (Togbé et al., Energy Fuels 2010, 11, 5859−5875) to predict the reactivity of n-hexanol and elucidate the predominant formation pathways of the observed low-temperature species. Experimental photoionization efficiency curves in conjunction with ab initio calculations, enabled the identification of important low-temperature species, such as C 6 unsaturated alcohols, C 6 olefinic hydroperoxides, C 6 cyclic ethers, C 6 diones, and C 6 ketohydroperoxides. The results of this study provide valuable insight into the mechanism of the low-temperature oxidation chemistry of n -hexanol, contributing to the development of kinetic models for the low-temperature oxidation of n-hexanol and other long-chain linear alcohols.

alcohols↗
DOE OSTI2026

Thermomechanical analysis and modeling of a high-temperature light trapping planar cavity solar receiver

The development of durable particle-based high-temperature solar receivers is critical for advancing concentrating solar-thermal (CST) technologies to enable high-efficiency power generation and industrial process heat. Here, this study presents a computational framework to evaluate the thermomechanical performance of a proposed enclosed light-trapping planar cavity receiver designed for particle-based thermal energy systems. The receiver incorporates absorptive cavities and fluidized particle-bed channels to enhance heat capture and reduce thermal losses. Finite element analysis (FEA) is employed to assess stress, strain, and creep-fatigue behavior under concentrated solar flux using realistic thermal boundary conditions derived from coupled system models and experimental assembly parameters. The analysis investigates the influence of particle-to-wall heat transfer coefficients (HTC) ranging from 800 to 1800 W/m 2 .K on the thermomechanical response of six candidate high-temperature alloys: Alloy 740H, Alloy 282, Alloy 617, 316H, Alloy 230, and 800H. Results show that increasing HTC reduces thermal gradients, leading to lower stresses and strains and extended minimum predicted creep life. While all materials satisfy fatigue life requirements under the investigated conditions, significant differences in creep resistance are observed. Alloy 740H consistently exhibits the longest minimum predicted creep life and the most favorable durability margins, followed by Alloy 282, with the remaining materials showing reduced creep resistance under identical loading. The reported creep lives are conservative lower-bound estimates intended for comparative material evaluation. This framework highlights the critical roles of material selection and geometry optimization in improving mechanical durability and reliability of solar-thermal receivers, forming a foundation for future experimental validation and design optimization.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Environmental Conditions Affecting Global Mesoscale Convective System Occurrence

Abstract The ERA5 environments of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), tracked from satellite observations, are assessed over a 20-yr period. The use of a large set of MCS tracks allows us to robustly test the sensitivity of the results to factors such as region, latitude, and diurnal cycle. We aim to provide novel information on environments of observed MCSs for assessments of global atmospheric models and to improve their ability to simulate MCSs. Statistical analysis of all tracked MCSs is performed in two complementary ways. First, we investigate the environments when an MCS has occurred at different spatial scales before and after MCS formation. Several environmental variables are found to show marked changes before MCS initiation, particularly over land. The vertically integrated moisture flux convergence shows a robust signal across different regions and when considering MCS initiation diurnal cycle. We also found spatial scale dependence of the environments between 200 and 500 km, providing new evidence of a natural length scale for use with MCS parameterization. In the second analysis, the likelihood of MCS occurrence for given environmental conditions is evaluated, by considering all environments and determining the probability of being in an MCS core or shield region. These are compared to analogous non-MCS environments, allowing discrimination between conditions suitable for MCS and non-MCS occurrence. Three environmental variables are found to be useful predictors of MCS occurrence: total column water vapor, midlevel relative humidity, and total column moisture flux convergence. Such relations could be used as trigger conditions for the parameterization of MCSs, thereby strengthening the dependence of the MCS scheme on the environment. Significance Statement Large storm systems called mesoscale convective systems form across Earth. These are collections of thunderstorms, with associated high-level clouds that produce substantial, lighter rainfall and modulate Earth’s energy balance. They produce hazardous weather conditions, such as floods and high winds, and are responsible for a high percentage of rainfall in many regions globally. We investigate the environmental conditions under which they form, so that we can understand the spatial extent of the environment which is important for their formation, and also where and when the effects of these storms might be felt. The novel information generated here should help improve the representation of these storms in weather and climate models, improving the prediction of rainfall, thunderclouds, and high-level clouds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dynamic Behavior of Oval-Twisted Helical Tube Heat Exchanger: Numerical Study with RELAP5-3D

Convective heat transfer characteristics and theoretical thermal stress behaviors are numerically calculated using RELAP5-3D for the helical-coiled once-through steam generator (H-OTSG) and the novel heat exchanger design known as the oval-twisted helically coiled heat exchanger (OTHCHX) under (1) fluctuating wall temperature conditions, (2) square-wave pulsating flow conditions, and (3) the combined effects of fluctuating wall temperature and square-wave pulsating flow conditions. Heat transfer coefficient models for the H-OTSG and OTHCHX were developed based on existing data and implemented into RELAP5-3D, successfully capturing the N⁢uavg behavior within 8% to 10% of the reported data. Under fluctuating wall temperature conditions, the OTHCHX displayed higher N⁢u avg behavior than the H-OTSG. As 𝑓 increased, the $𝜎^{𝑚⁢𝑎⁢𝑥}_{𝑡⁢ℎ}$ decreased. The $𝜎^{𝑚⁢𝑎⁢𝑥}_{𝑡⁢ℎ}$ was higher for the OTHCHX than for the H-OTSG under fluctuating wall temperature conditions. Under pulsating flow conditions, the H-OTSG and OTHCHX displayed much higher 𝑁⁢𝑢 𝑎𝑣𝑔 than under constant flow conditions. The H-OTSG displayed a higher $𝜎^{𝑚⁢𝑎⁢𝑥}_{𝑡⁢ℎ}$ over the OTHCHX. Under combined fluctuating wall temperature and pulsating flow conditions, the augmented heat transfer behavior from the pulsating flow was counteracted by the wall temperature fluctuations, producing slightly higher 𝑁⁢𝑢 𝑎𝑣𝑔 over constant wall temperature, constant flow conditions, but much lower than only constant pulsating flow under constant wall temperature conditions. The effects of simultaneous wall temperature fluctuations and square-wave pulsating flow caused higher $𝜎^{𝑚⁢𝑎⁢𝑥}_{𝑡⁢ℎ}$ than that of only wall temperature fluctuations or pulsating flow. As the Reynolds number (Re) increased, $𝜎^{𝑚⁢𝑎⁢𝑥}_{𝑡⁢ℎ}$ increased. However, when 𝑓=𝑓$_{\dot{m}}$, the $𝜎^{𝑚⁢𝑎⁢𝑥}_{𝑡⁢ℎ}$ showed decreasing values as Re increased. In conclusion, the results indicate that thermal-fluid resonance can help mitigate thermal stresses.

Thermal stress↗