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NASA NTRS2017

Meteoroid Environment Modeling: the Meteoroid Engineering Model and Shower Forecasting

The meteoroid environment is often divided conceptually into meteor showers plus a sporadic background component. The sporadic complex poses the bulk of the risk to spacecraft, but showers can produce significant short-term enhancements of the meteoroid flux. The Meteoroid Environment Office (MEO) has produced two environment models to handle these cases: the Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM) and an annual meteor shower forecast. Both MEM and the forecast are used by multiple manned spaceflight projects in their meteoroid risk evaluation, and both tools are being revised to incorporate recent meteor velocity, density, and timing measurements. MEM describes the sporadic meteoroid complex and calculates the flux, speed, and directionality of the meteoroid environment relative to a user-supplied spacecraft trajectory, taking the spacecraft's motion into account. MEM is valid in the inner solar system and offers near-Earth and cis-lunar environments. While the current version of MEM offers a nominal meteoroid environment corresponding to a single meteoroid bulk density, the next version of MEMR3 will offer both flux uncertainties and a density distribution in addition to a revised near-Earth environment. We have updated the near-Earth meteor speed distribution and have made the first determination of uncertainty in this distribution. We have also derived a meteor density distribution from the work of Kikwaya et al. (2011). The annual meteor shower forecast takes the form of a report and data tables that can be used in conjunction with an existing MEM assessment. Fluxes are typically quoted to a constant limiting kinetic energy in order to comport with commonly used ballistic limit equations. For the 2017 annual forecast, the MEO substantially revised the list of showers and their characteristics using 14 years of meteor flux measurements from the Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar (CMOR). Defunct or insignificant showers were removed and the temporal profiles of many showers were improved. In 2016 the MEO also adapted the forecast to the cislunar environment for the first time. We plan to make additional improvements to the model in the next two years using optical meteor flux measurements and mass indices.

Moorhead, Althea V.↗

NASA NTRS2017

Meteoroid Environment Modeling: the Meteoroid Engineering Model and Shower Forecasting

Moorhead, Althea V.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Rotational modulation and flares on RS Canum Venaticorum and BY Draconis stars. 18: Coordinated VLA, ROSAT, and IUE observations of RS CVn binaries

As part of a coordinated program of multi-wavelength observations of RS CVn close binary systems, we observed 15 systems with the Very Large Array (VLA) and 10 systems with IUE, simultaneously or nearly simultaneously with the ROSAT All Sky Survey observations of these stars. Of the 22 systems observed with ROSAT, three were observed both by IUE and the VLA. Radio observations were made at 3.6, 6 and 20 cm. Of the 15 observed RS CVn systems, we detected 11 with greater than 4 sigma confidence at one or more wavelengths. The IUE observations were made within the RIASS (ROSAT-IUE All Sky Survey) program. We present the results of the VLA observations, along with the corresponding subsets of the ROSAT Position Sensitive Proportional Counter (PSPC) X-ray and Wide Field Camera (WFC) XUV survey, and RIASS IUE observations. We obtained an extended VLA/IUE/ROSAT simultaneous coverage of one system, TY Pyx, covering more than one orbital period. These observations reveal that the quiescent radio flux of TY Pyx is relatively constant over time scales of up to 7 hours, but that it did change by a factor of 3 over 24 hours, probably due to a flare on 1990 Nov. 12. The UV, XUV and X-ray fluxes do not show large day-to-day or phase-related variability. The observation of the decay phase of a radio flare on EI Eri, with no accompanying X-ray or XUV flare, suggests that the lack of a strong correlation between X-ray and radio flares previously noted for dMe flare stars holds for RS CVn systems as well. We suggest that the radio flare may have been due to a coherent emission process such as electron cyclotron emission. The simultaneous measurements presented here provide a unique test of the general correlation between radio and soft X-ray luminosities, L(sub radio) approximately L(sub x exp m) (Drake et al. 1989) with a power-law slope close to unity, which was previously derived using data obtained years apart. Our derived slopes are consistent with and thus support the general correlations between coronal and chromospheric/transition region emissions previously derived from nonsimultaneous measurements of a much larger sample of these variable sources. However, the importance of simultaneous measurements for accurate energy balance calculations is stressed.

Fox, David C.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Control of continuous irradiation injury on potatoes with daily temperature cycling

Two controlled-environment experiments were conducted to determine the effects of temperature fluctuations under continuous irradiation on growth and tuberization of two potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) cultivars, Kennebec and Superior. These cultivars had exhibited chlorotic and stunted growth under continuous irradiation and constant temperatures. The plants were grown for 4 weeks in the first experiment and for 6 weeks in the second experiment. Each experiment was conducted under continuous irradiation of 400 micromoles per square meter per second of photosynthetic photon flux and included two temperature treatments: constant 18 degrees C and fluctuating 22 degrees C/14 degrees C on a 12-hour cycle. A common vapor pressure deficit of 0.62 kilopascal was maintained at all temperatures. Plants under constant 18 degrees C were stunted and had chlorotic and abscised leaves and essentially no tuber formation. Plants grown under the fluctuating temperature treatment developed normally, were developing tubers, and had a fivefold or greater total dry weight as compared with those under the constant temperature. These results suggest that a thermoperiod can allow normal plant growth and tuberization in potato cultivars that are unable to develop effectively under continuous irradiation.

NASA Program CELSS↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

TPSAS-NF1676L-10735-DND

The Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) project has now surpassed the 10-year mark, has combined rigorous calibration, improved scene identification, and multi-satellite data fusion to produce a climate-accuracy data set of global 1° gridded radiative surface and TOA fluxes, and cloud properties. CERES provides the climate community with four observed TOA flux products. The ERBE-like product uses the same algorithms as ERBE in order to be compared with the ERBE time period. The SSF product uses the improved scene identification and radiance to flux conversion. The SYN product uses GEO derived clouds and fluxes to provide diurnally complete TOA fluxes. The EBAF product provides net balanced fluxes tied to the ocean heat storage term. This product is suited for climate modelers estimating the global mean energy budget. Each successive CERES flux product applies the improvements over the previous product. This presentation will focus on the diurnal averaging improvements by the inclusion of imager radiances from 5 geostationary (GEO) satellites at 3-hourly intervals to estimate the flux in between CERES observations. The regional monthly mean flux differences based on SYN (CERES/GEO) and SSF (CERES-only) can exceed 20 Wm^-2. CERES shortwave and longwave fluxes have been rigorously validated and are key elements in evaluating the ability of climate models to predict both past and future climate states. The CERES normalization of GEO derived fluxes in order to maintain the CERES instrument calibration and are consistent globally within 0.1 Wm^-2, even if the GEO calibration is artificially altered by ±5%, twice the anticipated calibration error. The predicted GEO TOA fluxes normalized to Terra have been compared at Aqua times to Aqua flux observations, as well as with GERB hourly fluxes over the METEOSAT domain. Similarly ground based radiometers have been used to validate the CERES radiative transfer computed surface fluxes and have confirmed that the CERES/GEO fluxes have improved the computed surface flux product. Although the GEO based fluxes are of inferior quality then the CERES observed fluxes, they capture the diurnal signal more effectively than using constant meteorology between CERES measurements. The validation of the GEO derived fluxes and clouds will be shown.

D. R. Doelling↗

NASA NTRS1980

X-ray bright points and the solar cycle

Soft X-ray filtergrams show the presence of large numbers of small closed regions of coronal emission. These features, called X-ray bright points, correspond to small short-lived regions of emerging magnetic flux. X-ray data for 1970 to 1978 shows that the number of X-ray bright points appears to be anticorrelated with traditional activity indices such as sunspot number. A comparison of X-ray data with KPNO magnetograms shows that to within a factor of 2 the average total amount of magnetic flux emerging over the full sun is constant through the entire period of observation. The solar cycle therefore appears to be an oscillation in the wavenumber distribution of emerging flux than of the total quantity of the magnetic flux produced.

Golub, L.↗

NASA NTRS1989

A study of oceanic surface heat fluxes in the Greenland, Norwegian, and Barents Seas

This study examines oceanic surface heat fluxes in the Norwegian, Greenland, and Barents seas using the gridded Navy Fleet Numerical Oceanography Central surface analysis and the First GARP Global Experiment (FGGE) IIc cloudiness data bases. Monthly and annual means of net and turbulent heat fluxes are computed for the FGGE year 1979. The FGGE IIb data base consisting of individual observations provides particularly good data coverage in this region for a comparison with the gridded Navy winds and air temperatures. The standard errors of estimate between the Navy and FGGE IIb winds and air temperatures are 3.6 m/s and 2.5 C, respectively. The computations for the latent and sensible heat fluxes are based on bulk formulas with the same constant heat exchange coefficient of 0.0015. The results show extremely strong wintertime heat fluxes in the northern Greenland Sea and especially in the Barents Sea in contrast to previous studies.

Hakkinen, Sirpa↗

DOE OSTI2022

On the effect of scalar flux weighing of linearly anisotropic scattering matrices in few-group transport calculations

The majority of the codes available for homogenized group constant generation for deterministic transport calculations apply the approximation of scalar flux weighting during energy group condensation of higher-order anisotropic scattering matrices. In this paper, we discuss the effect of scalar flux weighting of the linearly anisotropic scattering matrices in the frame of S P{sub 3} and S{sub 12} calculations performed for a two-dimensional VVER-440 reactor benchmark. To compare group constants generated for two neutron energy groups, an infinite pin cell was homogenized with Serpent 2 and ERANOS ECCO. Serpent 2 applies scalar flux, while ERANOS ECCO performs current weighting of the linearly anisotropic scattering matrices during energy group condensation. For analyzing the effect of the various weighting options, three simple reactor models were built assuming different core sizes using standard rectangular assemblies with 15*15 fuel pins. Diffusion, SP{sub 3} and S{sub 12} calculations were performed for the 3 models using group constants generated with Serpent 2 and ERANOS ECCO. The effect of scalar flux weighting of linearly anisotropic scattering matrices is shown by comparing the decrease in reactivity due to the decreased reactor size, as well as the assembly power distribution to reference results obtained with Serpent 2 Monte Carlo calculations. Neglecting higher than linearly anisotropic scattering and indirect application of diffusion coefficients in higher-order transport calculations is advised if angular flux-moment spectra weighted higher-order scattering matrices cannot be generated. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

NASA NTRS1980

X-ray bright points and the solar cycle

The shape of the Sun's activity spectrum is such that the majority of all magnetic flux emerging at the surface comes in the form of bright points, i.e., regions living less than two days. Examination of soft X-ray data obtained from 1970 to 1978 shows that the number of bright points appears to be anticorrelated with traditional activity indices, such as sunspot number; the anticorrelation persists after corrections are made for obscuration by active regions. Comparison of X-ray data with KPNO magnetograms shows that to within a factor of two, the average total amount of magnetic flux emerging over the full Sun is constant through the entire period of observation. The Solar cycle therefore appears to be more an oscillation in the wavenumber distribution of emerging flux than of the total quantity of magnetic flux produced.

Golub, L.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Validation and moisture content sensitivity analysis of cross-laminated timber wall assemblies in EnergyPlus

Cross-laminated timber buildings are becoming more common in North America, with many numerical studies showing potential energy savings. However, no studies have validated any EnergyPlus heat transfer algorithms or quantified their accuracy in simulating CLT in building envelopes. This study empirically validates the heat flux predictions for each of EnergyPlus's heat transfer algorithms (Conduction Transfer Functions (CTF), Effective Moisture Penetration Depth (EMPD), Conduction Finite Difference (CondFD), and Heat and Moisture Transfer (HAMT)) for two different CLT ply thicknesses with both summer and winter boundary conditions measured in controlled lab experiments. It also evaluates the model sensitivity of heat flux and heating and cooling loads to moisture content. The 1D validation shows that the HAMT model is the most accurate among all algorithms. All EnergyPlus's heat flux predictions are accurate independent of CLT plate thickness for summer conditions. However, the three constant property algorithms (CTF, EMPD, and CondFD) underpredict heat flux throughout the whole day during winter conditions. The 1D sensitivity analysis indicates that elevated moisture content can increase peak heat fluxes through the material by up to 20 %. Finally, the whole building model sensitivity analysis shows increased heating load and slight cooling load variation due to increased moisture content when using constant property models. The analysis shows significantly lower peak thermal demand (7 % lower heating and 6 % lower cooling) and monthly thermal load (8 % less cooling and 6 % less heating) predictions when using HAMT vs a constant property model.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NASA NTRS2020

Cyclotron line energy in Hercules X-1: stable after the decay

We summarize the results of a dedicated effort between 2012 and 2019 to follow the evolution of the cyclotron line in Her X-1 through repeated NuSTAR observations. The previously observed nearly 20-year long decay of the cyclotron line energy has ended around 2012: from there onward the pulse phase averaged flux corrected cyclotron line energy has remained stable and constant at an average value of E(cyc) = (37.44 ± 0.07) keV (normalized to a flux level of 6.8 RXTE/ASM-cts/s). The flux dependence of E(cyc) discovered in 2007 is now measured with high precision, yielding a slope of (0.675±0.075) keV/(ASM-cts/s), corresponding to an increase of 6.5% of E(cyc) for an increase in flux by a factor of two. We also find that all line parameters as well as the continuum parameters show a correlation with X-ray flux. While a correlation between E(cyc) and X-ray flux (both positive and negative) is now known for several accreting binaries with various suggestions for the underlying physics, the phenomenon of a long-term decay has so far only been seen in Her X-1 and Vela X-1, with far less convincing explanations.

R. Staubert↗

DOE OSTI2021

Moduli stabilisation and the statistics of axion physics in the landscape

String theory realisations of the QCD axion are often said to belong to the anthropic window where the decay constant is around the GUT scale and the initial misalignment angle has to be tuned close to zero. In this paper we revisit this statement by studying the statistics of axion physics in the string landscape. We take moduli stabilisation properly into account since the stabilisation of the saxions is crucial to determine the physical properties of the corresponding axionic partners. We focus on the model-independent case of closed string axions in type IIB flux compactifications and find that their decay constants and mass spectrum feature a logarithmic, instead of a power-law, distribution. In the regime where the effective field theory is under control, most of these closed string axions are ultra-light axion-like particles, while axions associated to blow-up modes can naturally play the role of the QCD axion. Hence, the number of type IIB flux vacua with a closed string QCD axion with an intermediate scale decay constant and a natural value of the misalignment angle is only logarithmically suppressed. In a recent paper we found that this correlates also with a logarithmic distribution of the supersymmetry breaking scale, providing the intriguing indication that most, if not all, of the phenomenologically interesting quantities in the string landscape might feature a logarithmic distribution.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS2005

A Priori Analysis of Subgrid-Scale Models for Large Eddy Simulations of Supercritical Binary-Species Mixing Layers

Models for large eddy simulation (LES) are assessed on a database obtained from direct numerical simulations (DNS) of supercritical binary-species temporal mixing layers. The analysis is performed at the DNS transitional states for heptane/nitrogen, oxygen/hydrogen and oxygen/helium mixing layers. The incorporation of simplifying assumptions that are validated on the DNS database leads to a set of LES equations that requires only models for the subgrid scale (SGS) fluxes, which arise from filtering the convective terms in the DNS equations. Constant-coefficient versions of three different models for the SGS fluxes are assessed and calibrated. The Smagorinsky SGS-flux model shows poor correlations with the SGS fluxes, while the Gradient and Similarity models have high correlations, as well as good quantitative agreement with the SGS fluxes when the calibrated coefficients are used.

turbulence↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Cal X-1, a Pioneer mission for absolute in-orbit ﬂux calibration for current and future X-ray observatories

X-ray astronomy missions are now making observations capable of answering fundamental physics and cosmology questions. However, those studies are often limited by lack of absolute X-ray flux calibration; the most powerful X-ray observatories reveal discrepancies in the source fluxes at the 10-20% level. These discrepancies are plausibly related to changes in the instrument performance between the ground calibration and the orbit. We propose to overcome this problem by establishing "standard candles" in the X-ray sky. Our Cal X-1 mission, a Pioneer concept, will consist of 2 small satellites flying in tandem. One will have an X-ray telescope and the other, a pair of absolutely-calibrated X-ray sources (E=1.5 keV and 6 keV). The telescope will ping-pong between the source satellite and several well-chosen constant celestial sources, determining the accurate fluxes of those sources and turning them into standard candles for all other X-ray observatories, current and future.

Maxim Markevitch↗

NASA NTRS2005

Consistent Large-Eddy Simulation of a Temporal Mixing Layer Laden with Evaporating Drops: A Posteriori Modelling - Part 2

Large-eddy simulation (LES) is conducted of a three-dimensional temporal mixing layer whose lower stream is initially laden with liquid drops which may evaporate during the simulation. The gas-phase equations are written in an Eulerian frame for two perfect gas species (carrier gas and vapour emanating from the drops), while the liquid-phase equations are written in a Lagrangian frame. The effect of drop evaporation on the gas phase is considered through mass, species, momentum and energy source terms. The drop evolution is modelled using physical drops, or using computational drops to represent the physical drops. Simulations are performed using various LES models previously assessed on a database obtained from direct numerical simulations (DNS). These LES models are for: (i) the subgrid-scale (SGS) fluxes and (ii) the filtered source terms (FSTs) based on computational drops. The LES, which are compared to filtered-and-coarsened (FC) DNS results at the coarser LES grid, are conducted with 64 times fewer grid points than the DNS, and up to 64 times fewer computational than physical drops. It is found that both constant-coefficient and dynamic Smagorinsky SGS-flux models, though numerically stable, are overly dissipative and damp generated small-resolved-scale (SRS) turbulent structures. Although the global growth and mixing predictions of LES using Smagorinsky models are in good agreement with the FC-DNS, the spatial distributions of the drops differ significantly. In contrast, the constant-coefficient scale-similarity model and the dynamic gradient model perform well in predicting most flow features, with the latter model having the advantage of not requiring a priori calibration of the model coefficient. The ability of the dynamic models to determine the model coefficient during LES is found to be essential since the constant-coefficient gradient model, although more accurate than the Smagorinsky model, is not consistently numerically stable despite using DNS-calibrated coefficients. With accurate SGS-flux models, namely scale-similarity and dynamic gradient, the FST model allows up to a 32-fold reduction in computational drops compared to the number of physical drops, without degradation of accuracy; a 64-fold reduction leads to a slight decrease in accuracy.

two-phase flow↗

NASA NTRS1972

Rocket measurements of conjugate photoelectrons during the total solar eclipse of 7 March 1970 over Wallops Island.

Results of measurements made with a retarding potential analyzer on a Nike-Tomahawk rocket during the totality of the solar eclipse, showing definite evidence for the existence of photoelectrons from the conjugate hemisphere. Photoelectrons are observed in the altitude range from 120 to 260 km. The observed flux in the energy range from 2 to 30 eV is relatively constant above about 200 km, but decreased below that altitude. The flux of 5-eV energy electrons above 200 km altitude is about 10 to the 7th power electrons/cm/sec/eV. Higher-energy electrons were also observed, and it is possible that the energy content of these observed fluxes of conjugate-point photoelectrons is sufficient to maintain the observed electron densities and temperatures during the total eclipse.

Maier, E. J.↗

NASA NTRS2001

Evidence for a Sudden Magnetic Field Reconfiguration in Soft Gamma Repeater 1900+14

We report the detection of large flux changes in the persistent X-ray flux of soft gamma repeater (SGR) 1900 + 14 during its burst active episode in 1998. Most notably, we find a factor of approx. 700 increase in the nonburst X-ray flux following the August 27 flare, which decayed in time as a power law. Our measurements indicate that the pulse fraction remains constant throughout this decay. This suggests a global flux enhancement as a consequence of the August 27 flare rather than localized heating. While the persistent flux has since recovered to the preoutburst level, the pulse profile has not. The pulse shape changed to a near sinusoidal profile within the tail of the August 27 flare (in gamma-rays), and this effect has persisted for more than 1.5 years (in X-rays). The results presented here suggest that the magnetic field of the neutron star in SGR 1900 + 14 was significantly altered (perhaps globally) during the giant flare of August 27.

Woods, Peter M.↗

DOE OSTI2023

Dependence of Cosmological Constraints on Gray Photometric Zero-point Uncertainties of Supernova Surveys

Abstract Type Ia supernova (SN) measurements of the Hubble constant, H 0 ; cosmic mass density, Ω M ; and dark energy equation-of-state parameter, w , rely on heterogeneous SN surveys across three decades of observation. These distinct surveys may have undiagnosed, relative photometric zero-point errors. We determine the sensitivities of the SH0ES+Pantheon+ cosmological constraints to unknown gray systematics in the photometric zero-point calibration between the 19 surveys that comprise the Pantheon+ SN compendium. Varying the surveys’ gray zero-points simultaneously with cosmological parameters, we determine that the SH0ES+Pantheon+ measurement of H 0 is robust against gray intersurvey photometric miscalibration. Specifically, uncalibrated intersurvey systematics could represent a source of uncertainty no larger than 0.39 km s −1 Mpc −1 for H 0 . This modest increase in H 0 uncertainty could not account for the 7 km s −1 Mpc −1 “Hubble tension” between the SH0ES measurement of H 0 and the Planck ΛCDM-based inference of H 0 . However, the SH0ES+Pantheon+ best-fit values of Ω M and w are not robust against gray zero-point error, slipping by up to 0.16 and −0.63. Because measurements of Ω M and w depend on intrasurvey cross-band calibration, the hypothetical gray miscalibration underestimates the sensitivity of these measurements to zero-point miscalibration. Because the Pantheon+ compendium contains many surveys that share low- z Hubble flow (HF) and Cepheid-paired SNe, intersurvey photometric calibration errors do not significantly impede the joint use of SH0ES and Pantheon+ to measure H 0 to 1% accuracy. However, H 0 constraints that rely on one HF survey but numerous galactic distance calibration surveys are susceptible to intersurvey photometric miscalibration.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗