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At least 325 records · Page 18

Carbon management technology pathways for reaching a U.S. Economy-Wide net-Zero emissions goal

The Carbon Management Study Group of the 37 th Energy Modeling Forum (EMF 37) designed seven scenarios to explore the role of three potentially key technology suites – point source carbon dioxide capture and storage (PSCCS), direct air capture of carbon dioxide (DACCS), and hydrogen systems (H 2 ) – in shaping the broader technology pathways to reaching net-zero carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in United States by 2050. Each scenario was run by up to 13 models participating in the EMF 37 study. Results show that carbon dioxide removal technologies were consistently a major part of successful pathways to net-zero U.S. CO 2 emissions in 2050. Achieving this net-zero CO 2 goal without any form of carbon dioxide capture and storage was found to be impossible for most models; some models also found it impossible to reach net-zero without DACCS. The marginal cost of achieving net-zero CO 2 emissions in 2050 was between two and 10 times higher without PSCCS and/or DACCS available. The carbon price at which DACCS was deployed as a backstop technology depended upon the assumed cost at which DACCS was available at scale. Carbon prices were between $\$$250 and $\$$500 per ton CO 2 when DACCS deployed as a backstop. The average CO 2 capture rate across all models in 2050 in the central net-zero scenario was 1.3 GtCO 2 /year, which implies a substantial upscaling of capacity to move and store CO 2 . Finally, hydrogen sensitivity scenarios showed that H 2 typically constituted a relatively small share of the overall U.S. energy system; however, H 2 deployed in applications that are considered hard to decarbonize, facilitating transition towards net-zero emissions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

District heating utilizing waste heat of a data center: High-temperature heat pumps

Data centers are energy-intensive facilities with substantial low-grade waste heat. High-temperature heat pumps can be critical in boosting the data center’s waste heat for district heating, improving the system-level energy efficiency of data centers, and reducing CO 2 emissions in district heating. This study built thermodynamic models to assess high-temperature heat pumps with six configurations using low global warming potential refrigerants to supply heat up to 120 °C. The heat pump configurations include single-stage or two-stage cycles with advanced components, such as internal heat exchanger, economizer, flash tank, or parallel compressor. The refrigerants include R1234ze(Z), R1233ed(E), R1224yd(Z), R600, and R600a, and R245fa is used as a reference. A case study was carried out to recover the waste heat from the Frontier high-performance computing data center and provide hot water for district heating at the US Department of Energy’s Oak Ridge National Laboratory campus. The optimized performance of high-temperature heat pumps is characterized with various effectiveness of internal heat exchangers, and the operating parameters of economizer or flash tank, as well as their combination. The results show that the configurations of two-stage cycles with internal heat exchanger + flash tank and internal heat exchanger + economizer/parallel-compressor provide the highest coefficient of performance under scenarios of the maximum allowable value and a fixed value (0.3) of the internal heat exchangers’ effectiveness, respectively. R1234ze(Z) and R600a are the most promising refrigerants, considering trade-offs between the coefficient of performance and the volumetric heating capacity. The single-stage cycle with internal heat exchanger + economizer/parallel-compressor using R1234ze(Z) is recommended for utilizing Fronter’s waste heat in district heating. A one mega-watt high-temperature heat pump will reduce 33,100–33,200 metric tons of CO2 emission annually, corresponding to 85.4 %–85.6 % of equivalent CO2 emissions from natural gas boilers. Here, this study provides good guidelines for designing and deploying high-temperature heat pumps to support sustainable data centers and decarbonize district heating in the US.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Demonstration of the carbon capture with building make-up air unit

Building-integrated carbon capture technology has the potential to reduce the cost of CO 2 capture while improving indoor air quality (IAQ). To promote the adoption of CO 2 capture in a building environment, this study investigated the possibility of integrating carbon capture technology with an existing rooftop make-up air unit (MAU) system to trap CO 2 . Here, in this study, a modular compact CO 2 capture system containing amine-functionalized polymer fibers was examined. The system, which was installed at the exhaust of the MAU, captures CO 2 before it leaves the building to enter the atmosphere as a greenhouse gas. The demonstrated average amount of CO 2 captured was 1.1–1.4 mmol/g of adsorbent material. Techno-economic analysis (TEA) was further performed on the CO 2 capture system, considering material costs, energy costs, as well as transportation and regeneration costs. These results were then used to estimate the levelized cost per ton CO 2 captured (LCOC). To achieve LCOC below $\$$100/t-CO 2 , adsorbents should have working capacities of 4.9 t and 3 t-CO 2 /year for 5 years and 10 years of operation, respectively. In summary, this study highlights a viable path toward the decarbonization of the commercial buildings sector and provides quantitative performance and economic insight on the suitability of building-integrated carbon capture technology.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Design and optimization of a modular hydrogen-based integrated energy system to maximize revenue via nuclear-renewable sources

Here, this paper demonstrates a novel modular distributed framework that uses optimal energy-dispatching strategies to enable greater flexibility and profitability in nuclear-renewable integrated energy systems (NR-IES). Hydrogen is used as a commodity in this framework since its production can improve grid stability and system operational flexibility, decarbonize heavy industry, and create an additional revenue stream for electricity generators, particularly nuclear power plants with high operational expenses. The proposed solution addresses the challenges associated with merging multiple software and services from various domains by using functional mock-up units (FMU) to co-simulate diverse subsystems designed in various platforms. The tightly coupled integrated energy system (IES) is optimized to maximize revenue by utilizing the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) technique to make smart dispatching decisions based on variable electricity prices and the availability of renewable energy. Proximal policy optimization (PPO) algorithm is used in training and testing the DRL agent. Over a period of 120 days, the proposed hydrogen-based IES framework showed about 10% revenue boost compared to a non-hydrogen generating baseline IES while also providing an easily-adoptable framework which can help to improve the flexibility of future generation nuclear power plants.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Nuclear—thermal energy storage configurations for industrial combined heat and power supply—conceptual and thermodynamic study with high temperature gas-cooled reactor

Nuclear systems are promising candidates for delivering resilient heat and power for future energy security and independence. Traditionally, nuclear plants have been used for baseload electricity production and cogeneration of heat has seen relatively limited application utilizing typically only small portion of a reactor's thermal output. This paradigm may shift due to the increasing penetration of intermittent renewables and need for resource flexibility, various decarbonization efforts aimed at both electricity and heat demands, along with the perspective of small modular nuclear reactor applications, which can be sized based on local industrial needs. Here, this study provides a comprehensive guide for the nuclear and industrial sectors, emphasizing controllability in the combined heat and power configuration options for high temperature gas-cooled reactor and process steam supply. It investigates the integration of thermal energy storage to improve nuclear energy's responsiveness to varying industrial demands. The study emphasizes placing thermal energy storage between the nuclear primary loop and steam cycle to achieve greater efficiency and flexibility in power and heat output, surpassing traditional combined heat and power systems and avoiding efficiency losses seen in other thermal energy storage integration approaches.

combined heat and power (CHP)↗

Short-term electricity load forecasting: Application-driven evaluation of machine learning models across spatial and temporal scales

As we transition towards a decarbonized economy, the integration of variable renewable energy resources and new demands (e.g., electric vehicles, heat pumps) into the electricity grid places unprecedented pressure on grid operators to effectively anticipate and manage peak load. In this context, machine learning algorithms are proving to be indispensable for accurate short-term load forecasting, a crucial task to address these challenges. This study benchmarks 6 machine learning algorithms, including three neural networks and three tree-based algorithms, across various levels of spatial aggregation and time horizons (1, 4, 8, 24, and 48 h). The central contribution of this work is the comparison and analysis of load forecasting models not only based on statistical metrics, but also based on a novel error metric, which evaluates the cost implications of forecast errors for power system stakeholders. Results show that tree-based models outperform neural networks, based on statistical metrics, and yield less skewed error distributions for most spatial scales. However, through the lens of the novel error metric, neural networks are the more competitive choice, especially for forecast horizons that exceed 8 h. The study concludes with actionable recommendations to grid operators and highlights the need for the development of error metrics that link forecasting accuracy to operational costs. To promote transparency and open science, the datasets and Python code are open-sourced via a supplementary repository.

Houben, Nikolaus↗

Designing robust energy policy packages under deep uncertainty: A multi-metric decision support framework

The complexity of transitioning to sustainable energy systems requires policy frameworks capable of balancing multiple objectives while addressing deep uncertainty. However, existing approaches often lack systematic methods to identify combinations of policy levers that remain effective across a wide range of uncertain futures. This paper presents a novel decision support framework that guides the selection of robust policy packages based on their performance across multiple objectives under uncertainty. Our method leverages a large ensemble of scenarios and applies scenario discovery techniques to identify influential policy levers. Here, we introduce new indicators to assess the robustness of policies by evaluating their ability to mitigate adverse outcomes across metrics. These indicators support an iterative process to build a robust policy package. Finally, we map the technological and energy pathways associated with the robust policy package by leveraging an energy system optimization model. We illustrate the application of this framework to the Spanish energy system, providing insights into how specific combinations of policy levers shape decarbonization pathways under uncertainty.

Decision-support method↗

The global policy landscape of ISO 50001 energy management systems

While many options exist to improve industrial demand-side energy efficiency, energy management systems (EnMSs)—particularly those aligned with ISO 50001—are proven to drive continuous and meaningful energy performance improvements. Governments leverage these EnMSs in their policies to advance national objectives including enhancing industrial competitiveness and achieving environmental goals. Existing research has focused on the impact of EnMSs at the company level, while comprehensive work on EnMSs in a global policy context is lacking. We seek to close this gap by investigating the extent to which current national policies incorporate the utilization of EnMSs, particularly the ISO 50001 standard. Our paper employs a hybrid approach, combining a literature review and expert interviews across 28 governments representing > 86% of global primary energy consumption. We dissect policy mechanisms, governance levels, underlying motivations, and trends in present EnMS policies. We find that > 96% of the investigated countries include EnMSs within their policy scope; 90% of policies including EnMSs utilize the ISO 50001 standard in some capacity. Primary policy motivations include decarbonization, energy savings for industrial competitiveness, and energy system resilience. We highlight that in the EnMS context, policy mixes—combining economic incentives, regulatory instruments, and information-based approaches—are more effective than standalone measures. Our work provides a novel global overview of governmental EnMS policies, moving beyond whether EnMS should be adopted to focus on how they can be implemented most effectively.

Moreno, Francisco Luis↗

The path to 2060: Saudi Arabia's long-term pathway for GHG emission reduction

Saudi Arabia, as part of its Saudi Green Initiative, has announced its goal to achieve net zero green-house gas emissions by 2060. This ambitious target underscores the nation's dedication to address-ing climate change. However, there is a significant gap in comprehensive analysis regarding the long-term effects of Saudi Arabia's climate policies and their collective contribution towards the net-zero objective. This study endeavors to bridge this gap through a detailed examination using the GCAM-KSA, a specialized version of the Global Change Analysis Model tailored for Saudi Arabia, employing a multi-sectoral methodology that integrates economic, energy, and land use systems within a coherent framework to assess the impact of climate policies on GHG emissions. Our anal-ysis reveals that reaching net-zero GHG emissions by 2060 is a complex challenge requiring con-certed efforts across all sectors of the economy. While transitioning to low-carbon electricity and improving energy efficiency offer considerable emission reductions, fully decarbonizing the indus-trial and transportation sectors poses a significant hurdle. Our findings suggest that Saudi Arabia must triple its emission reduction commitments in its next Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) update to align with its 2060 net-zero goal. Early action and increased ambition could avoid the chances of getting locked into the high emission assets and give enough time to transform the energy system. Furthermore, the adoption and integration of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) tech-nologies are identified as crucial for offsetting residual emissions, especially in sectors that might continue to rely on fossil fuels.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Kinetic assessment of pulp mill-derived lime mud calcination in high CO 2 atmosphere

The chemical pulping of biomass involves the recycling of calcium through the calcination of lime mud, which is mostly comprised of calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ). Lime mud decomposes under elevated temperatures to generate calcium oxide (CaO) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), the kinetics of which are strongly influenced by the CO 2 partial pressure and temperature. Oxy-fuel combustion and electrified lime kilns for lime mud calcination are intriguing methods to decarbonize this highly polluting operation within the biomass pulping industry. However, the high CO 2 concentration in oxy-fuel and electrified calcination processes alters the kinetics and overall reactivity of lime mud. For the first time, a model-fitting method is used to determine the kinetic parameters for lime mud calcination under a wide range of temperatures (550 °C–1250 °C) and under different concentrations of CO2 (0 %, 15 %, 50 %, and 90 %). A kinetic model is developed that accurately predicts the reaction rates as a function of temperature and CO 2 concentration. The apparent activation of energy for lime mud calcination is elevated under a high CO 2 environment. Relative to inert gas (N 2 , Ar), the temperature window for calcination is much smaller under high CO 2 environments. The presence of Na in lime mud does not seem to affect calcination under a high CO 2 environment. Finally, particle size variation does not have a significant effect on calcination under a high CO 2 environment.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Sustainable aviation fuels from biomass and biowaste via bio- and chemo-catalytic conversion: Catalysis, process challenges, and opportunities

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production from biomass and biowaste streams is an attractive option for decarbonizing the aviation sector, one of the most-difficult-to-electrify transportation sectors. Despite ongoing commercialization efforts using ASTM-certified pathways (e.g., lipid conversion, Fischer-Tropsch synthesis), production capacities are still inadequate due to limited feedstock supply and high production costs. New conversion technologies that utilize lignocellulosic feedstocks are needed to meet these challenges and satisfy the rapidly growing market. Combining bio- and chemo-catalytic approaches can leverage advantages from both methods, i.e., high product selectivity via biological conversion, and the capability to build C-C chains more efficiently via chemical catalysis. Herein, conversion routes, catalysis, and processes for such pathways are discussed, while key challenges and meaningful R&D opportunities are identified to guide future research activities in the space. Bio and chemo-catalytic conversion primarily utilize the carbohydrate fraction of lignocellulose, leaving lignin as a waste product. This makes lignin conversion to SAF critical in order to utilize whole biomass, thereby lowering overall production costs while maximizing carbon efficiencies. Thus, lignin valorization strategies are also reviewed herein with vital research areas identified, such as facile lignin depolymerization approaches, highly integrated conversion systems, novel process configurations, and catalysts for the selective cleavage of aryl C–O bonds. The potential efficiency improvements available via integrated conversion steps, such as combined biological and chemo-catalytic routes, along with the use of different parallel pathways, are identified as key to producing all components of a cost-effective, 100% SAF.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Life cycle assessment of co-firing biomass at coal-fired power plants with carbon capture and storage toward net-zero emissions

Co-firing biomass with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) offers a technological option to decarbonize coal-fired power plants toward net-zero emissions. This study estimates the life cycle emissions of co-firing biomass at coal-fired power plants with CCS and quantifies its variability and uncertainty. Deployment of co-firing BECCS at coal-fired power plants can significantly reduce the life cycle emissions toward the net-zero target but lower the power plant performance, which vary with numerous factors, including coal type, biomass type, co-firing level, and CO 2 capture rate. The breakeven co-firing levels required for biomass at coal-fired power plants with 90 % CO 2 capture to reach net-zero emissions fall with a range roughly from 15 % to 25 % on an energy basis, depending on coal and biomass types. Increasing the CO 2 capture rate from 90 % to 95 % can lower the breakeven co-firing levels by about 5 to 8 percentage points for the biomass resources of interest, which can lower reliance on biomass resources and facilitate large-scale deployment of co-firing BECCS in fossil-rich regions but with limited biomass resources. Furthermore, findings improve the understanding of the techno-environmental performance of co-firing BECCS and inform strategic planning decisions on net-zero emissions in the coal-fired power sector.

Breakeven co-firing level↗

Iron-sandstone synergy: Advancing in-situ hydrogen production from natural gas via electromagnetic heating

Here, to address the escalating demands for decarbonization in the petroleum industry, a carbon-zero technology, known as in-situ hydrogen (H 2 ) production via electromagnetic (EM)-assisted catalytic heating, has recently been proposed for generating and extracting clean H 2 directly from petroleum reservoirs. Although preliminary techno-economic analyses show significant potential of this emerging technology for clean and affordable hydrogen, the fundamentals of natural gas conversion to H 2 in the presence of reservoir rocks are poorly understood. In this study, we explore the synergy between sandstone and artificial iron-based catalysts in enhancing in-situ H 2 production from methane (CH 4 ) cracking under EM irradiation. The dynamic behaviors of sandstone under EM heating are comprehensively investigated, including its thermal behaviors, thermal runaway (TR) phenomenon, gas generation during TR, and energy consumption. We found that sandstone demonstrates an evident natural catalytic effect for promoting CH 4 conversion to H 2 , enabling H 2 production starting at about 394 °C. The natural catalytic role of iron minerals in sandstone is elucidated using various advanced characterization techniques. Remarkably, when adding iron catalysts into the sandstone, the highest H 2 concentration and CH 4 conversion reaches 91 mol.% and 80%, respectively, at a temperature of 666 °C, while they are 50 mol.% and 35%, respectively, for the sample consisting of iron catalysts and quartz at the same level of temperature. This result indicates a strong iron-sandstone synergy and a potential to stimulate H 2 production by leveraging this synergy. Throughout the experimental process, the generation of carbon oxides (CO and CO 2 ) is negligible. These findings pave a pathway towards future pilot for carbon-zero in-situ H 2 production from sandstone gas reservoirs.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Multicycle large-eddy simulations of a direct-injection hydrogen-fueled optical engine

Hydrogen (H 2 ) is a carbon-free chemical energy carrier and one promising solution for achieving effective decarbonization of the transportation sector, particularly for internal combustion engines (ICEs). With a focus on ICEs, and compared to port-fuel injection, direct injection (DI) of gaseous H 2 during the compression stroke offers potential advantages, which include backfire avoidance and reduction of preignition occurrence. In these last two decades, much research, experimental and numerical, has been devoted to understanding H 2 's mixing and combustion processes in ICEs. Computational fluid dynamics modeling efforts commonly rely on unsteady Reynolds-averaged Navier Stokes (URANS) turbulence frameworks, mostly due to their computational affordability. However, many authors have pointed out the opportunity to perform large-eddy simulations (LESs) to investigate the cyclic variability of H 2 engines and assess potential advantages of using LES in place of URANS, especially for lean operation. This study addresses this knowledge gap and presents a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) study of the H 2 DI process in an optical engine operating at relatively low tumble conditions, using multicycle LESs. In conclusion, the manuscript presents a thorough validation of the results against experimental data available from the literature as well as direct comparison with URANS, demonstrating the feasibility of multicycle LESs for CFD modeling of DI H 2 -fueled ICEs.

Direct injection↗

Life cycle assessment of a novel gas switching reforming for sustainable hydrogen production with CO2 capture

Gas switching reforming for hydrogen production (GSR-H2) presents an efficient, low-carbon hydrogen production method that incorporates integrated carbon capture, offering efficiency gains over traditional methods such as proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis, steam methane reforming (SMR) and the newer method of chemical looping reforming (CLR). GSR-H2 has been demonstrated in lab scale which operates as an exothermic process that eliminates the need for additional natural gas combustion, using its own waste heat to generate process steam and partially offset energy usage through electricity production. Beyond its thermal self-sufficiency, GSR-H2 advances upon CLR by integrating all reaction stages within a single reactor cluster, eliminating the complexities of solid circulation, reducing capital costs, and enhancing overall process efficiency. This streamlined design simplifies scale-up and enables inherent CO2 separation with minimal energy penalty, making GSR-H2 a highly competitive pathway for low-carbon hydrogen production. This study presents the first life cycle assessment (LCA) of GSR-H2, offering a novel evaluation of this new process’s environmental impacts across diverse energy scenarios. Key findings reveal that in the renewables-powered scenario, GSR-H2 achieves a GWP of 2.77 kg CO2 eq per kg H2, a substantial improvement over SMR’s 10.4 kg CO2 eq and close to the low emissions of CLR (1.84 kg CO2 eq) and PEM electrolysis (1.85 kg CO2 eq). These results demonstrate GSR-H2’s competitive advantage as a lower-emission alternative, combining design simplicity and efficiency gains, especially in renewable-integrated systems. These results establish GSR-H2 as a competitive, scalable option for hydrogen production, particularly in decarbonization efforts.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

A life cycle assessment of e-hydrogen production using proton-exchange membrane water electrolysis coupled with desalination in Saudi Arabia

Hydrogen, considered a crucial element in the transition towards a sustainable energy future, offers the potential to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and reduce reliance on fossil fuels. Here, this study explores the viability of hydrogen production using proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE) as a key driver of decarbonization within the Vision 2030 framework in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. A first-of-a-kind life cycle assessment (LCA) of electrolytic hydrogen (e-hydrogen) production using PEMWE in the Kingdom is performed. As the hydrogen will be produced in a freshwater scarce region, the inclusion of water desalination processes adds an important dimension to the assessment, reflecting the local context and resource availability. Two main renewable energy scenarios are assessed: solar energy through photovoltaics (PV) and wind energy through onshore turbines. The global warming potential (GWP) results indicate a GHG emissions reduction of up to 95 % compared to the state-of-the-art steam methane reforming process if the electrolysis process is powered exclusively by renewable electricity. The scenarios powered by solar and wind energy result in 3.66 and 0.76 kg CO 2 eq/kg H 2 , respectively. The metal depletion is assessed to consider the requirement of rare materials, with a 7.19 × 10 −2 kg Cu eq/kg H 2 for the solar scenario and 2.82 × 10 −2 kg Cu eq/kg H 2 for the wind scenario. A contribution analysis reveals that the majority of emissions in both scenarios originate from the electricity used for electrolysis, with the electrolyser itself contributing minimally. The absolute impact of the water desalination process is the same in both scenarios; however, it appears more prominent in the wind-powered case due to the significantly lower overall emissions in that scenario. The findings underscore the importance of renewable energy integration and process optimization in minimizing environmental impacts and advancing the sustainability of e-hydrogen production.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Ultra-high efficiency hydrogen production using a large-scale solid oxide electrolysis cell system

Efficient and cost-effective production of clean hydrogen is key to decarbonizing the production of hard-to-abate industries, such as chemicals, fuels, steel, cement and many other commodities that form the basis of modern societies. High-temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE) has recently become commercially available and offers opportunities for producing hydrogen at higher efficiency and lower cost than competing low temperature technologies. In this work, we report world record setting hydrogen production efficiency from large-scale prototype HTSE systems based on solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) technology. Independent tests performed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) employed a Bloom Energy 100 kW SOEC system to achieve a hydrogen production direct current specific electric energy consumption as low as 36.7 kWh per kilogram of hydrogen. Remarkably, similar high efficiencies in the range of 36–39 kW/kg-H2 were obtained over a wide range of hydrogen production rates and even during dynamic ramping as the hydrogen production and electric power consumption of the system were varied between 20 % and 100 % of nominal conditions. Furthermore, these test results validate previous projections that commercial SOEC systems can produce clean hydrogen at efficiencies approaching 100 % for less than 2 U S. dollars per kilogram when located near sources of inexpensive, low-grade heat and clean electricity.

08 HYDROGEN↗