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At least 325 records · Page 18

The effect of latent heat release on synoptic-to-planetary scale wave interactions and implications for satellite observations: Observational study

Researchers have been exploring methods to facilitate the prediction of rapidly intensifying surface cyclones. Recognizing that synoptic-scale systems, such as these cyclones, are less predictable at medium range and beyond than are planetary-scale circulations, researchers propose that the planetary-scale environment for explosive cyclogenesis could be better predicted than the cyclones themselves. Researchers have therefore constructed a planetary-scale climatology of explosive cyclogenesis by compositing together filtered 500 mb height fields (retaining planetary waves only) corresponding to a large sample of rapidly intensifying surface cyclones, stratified geographically and according to the direction of 500 mb geostrophic flow (southwesterly, northwesterly or westerly) over the cyclone center. The composites are calculated from five days preceding to five days following each rapid cyclogenesis event, and have climatology subtracted so that the evolution of planetary-scale anomalies before and after cyclogenesis can be followed. Whether the anomalies are distinct from background variability and thus provide predictive value is now being evaluated. Following explosive cyclogenesis over which the filtered 500 mb flow is southwesterly, there appear in the composites large positive 500 mb height anomalies downstream. In some cases, these anomalies are associated with blocking patterns. Whether the objectively-defined blocking patterns in the data set are preceded by upstream intense surface cyclone activity is being investigated. Finally, the contribution of synoptic-scale processes, notably warm air advection, to planetary-scale height rises during a block formation following an explosive cyclogenesis event is being diagnosed. Researchers hope to eventually evaluate the impact of satellite derived latent heat release upon the warm air advection in this case.

Colucci, Stephen J.↗

Potential vorticity index

Using standard data analysis techniques, researchers explore the links between disturbance growth and quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity (PV) gradients; appearance and disappearance of cutoff lows and blocking highs and their relation to a zonal index (properly defined in terms of PV); and teleconnections between different flow patterns and their relation to the zonal index. It was found that the PV index and the eddy index correlate better than a zonal index (defined by zonal wind) and the eddy index. In the frequency domain there are three frequencies (.03, .07 and .17 cpd (cycle per day) corresponding to periods of 33, 14 and 6 days) at which PV index and the eddy index exhibit local maxima. The high correlation found at periods of 33 days is mainly due to eddy activity at high latitudes while the local correlation maxima found at the shorter periods are mainly due mid-latitude eddy activity. The correlation between the PV index and the geopotential height anomaly at 500 mb, at each grid point in the Northern Hemisphere, shows the existence of most of the teleconnection patterns summarized by Wallace and Gutzler (1981): the North Atlantic Oscillation, the North Pacific Oscillation, and the Pacific/North American patterns. Results show that the Isentropic Potential Vorticity (IPV) analysis can be a very useful and powerful tool when used to understand the dynamics of several large scale atmospheric systems. Although the data are limited to only one winter, and it is difficult to assess the statistical significance of the correlation coefficients presented here, the results are encouraging from physical viewpoint.

Barcilon, Albert↗

Lateral temperature variations at the core-mantle boundary deduced from the magnetic field

Recent studies of the secular variation of the earth's magnetic field over periods of a few centuries have suggested that the pattern of fluid motion near the surface of earth's outer core may be strongly influenced by lateral temperature variations in the lowermost mantle. This paper introduces a self-consistent method for finding the temperature variations near the core surface by assuming that the dynamical balance there is geostrophic and that lateral density variations there are thermal in origin. As expected, the lateral temperature variations are very small. Some agreement is found between this pattern and the pattern of topography of the core-mantle boundary, but this does not conclusively answer to what extent core surface motions are controlled by the mantle, rather than being determined by processes in the core.

Bloxham, Jeremy↗

On the consequences of strong stable stratification at the top of earth's outer core

The consequences of strong stable stratification at the top of the earth's fluid outer core are considered, concentrating on the generation of the geomagnetic secular variation. It is assumed that the core near the core-mantle boundary is both strongly stably stratified and free of Lorentz forces: it is found that this set of assumptions severely limits the class of possible motions, none of which is compatible with the geomagnetic secular variation. Relaxing either assumption is adequate: tangentially geostrophic flows are consistent with the secular variation if the assumption that the core is strongly stably stratified is relaxed (while retaining the assumption that Lorentz forces are negligible); purely toroidal flows may explain the secular variation if Lorentz forces are included.

Bloxham, Jeremy↗

Thermal advection and stratification effects on surface winds and the low level meridional mass transport

Statistical tests are performed on the Seasat scatterometer observations to examine if and to what degree thermal advection and stratification effects manifest themselves in these remotely sensed measurements of mean wind and wind stress over the ocean. On the basis of a two layer baroclinic boundary layer model which is presented, it is shown that the thermal advection and stratification of the entire boundary layer as well as the geostrophic forcing influence the modeled near surface wind and wind stress profiles. Evidence of diurnal variation in the stratification under barotropic conditions is found in the data, with the daytime marine boundary layer being more convective than its nighttime counterpart. The temporal and spacial sampling pattern of the satellite makes it impossible to recover the full diurnal cycle, however. The observed effects of the thermal advection are shown to be statistically significant during the day (and presumed more convective) hours, causing a systematic increase in the poleward transport of mass and heat. The statistical results are in a qualitative agreement with the model simulations and cannot be reproduced in randomized control tests.

Levy, Gad↗

The effects of large-scale topography on the circulation in low-order models

This paper investigates the effect of topography on circulation produced by low-order quasi-geostrophic models that are capable of reproducing many basic features of midlatitude general circulation in the absence of topography. Using a simple two-level spectral model, time-mean stationary waves and low-frequency phenomena were examined for three different topographic configurations, of which two consisted of a sinusoidal mountain-valley structure, and the third was the Fourier representation of an isolated mountain peak. In the experiment with an isolated mountain, it was found that the time-mean wave in the model was highly dependent on the operation of wave-wave interactions, which had a significant impact on stationary waves through modifications in the mean zonal flow.

O'Brien, Enda↗

Evaluation of the maximum cross-correlation method of estimating sea surface velocities from sequential satellite images

The maximum cross correlation (MCC) method of Leese et al. (1971) for estimating sea surface velocities from sequences of satellite images is evaluated by comparing the MCC fields obtained from sequences of AVHRR and CZCS with in situ data and velocity fields calculated with a high-resolution quasi-geostrophic model. The rms differences and vector correlations between the velocity field produced by the MCC method and the model's field are presented. It is shown that much of the difference between the MCC fields and either the in situ data or the model velocity fields can be accounted for by considering physical and biological processes not included in the MCC method. The conditions under which the method is likely to be most successful are discussed.

Tokmakian, Robin↗

LIMS (Limb Infrared Monitor of the Stratosphere) observation of traveling planetary waves and potential vorticity advection in the stratosphere and mesosphere

Eastward and westward traveling waves were observed by the Nimbus 7 Limb Infrared Monitor of the Stratosphere (LIMS) during the northern winter 1978-1979. Eastward waves were prevalent in early winter and were involved in a minor Canadian warming in December 1978. A large westward traveling wave, as described by previous authors, was observed in January 1979 during a series of minor warmings. By comparing these two events, it is shown that in both cases the superposition of traveling and quasi-stationary waves led to constructive interference that was responsible for the warmings. However, there was significant asymmetry between eastward and westward traveling components. A local Eulerian analysis of potential vorticity (PV) transport indicates that adiabatic, geostrophic advection by the resolvable scales of motion explains qualitatively (but not quantitatively) the observed potential vorticity tendencies in the LIMS Northern Hemisphere winter. In particular, calculated advection explains the eastward rotation of the main vortex, intrusion of low PV air into the polar cap, and formation of high PV filaments at the vortex periphery.

Dunkerton, Timothy J.↗

Thermal and humidity winds in outer planet atmospheres

Among the dynamical consequences of molecular weight variations due to condensation in hydrogen atmospheres is the creation of geostrophic wind variations by horizontal variations in molecular weight. In the present illustrative model, it is shown that such horizontal gradients are generated by methane condensation in the cases of the Uranus and Neptune atmospheres. As a result, the zonal wind shear is different in both magnitude and direction from the value determined while neglecting molecular weight variations. The horizontal molecular weight gradients due to condensation of minor constituents also vertically shear the zonal wind, giving rise to what may be termed the 'humidity wind'.

Sun, Zi-Ping↗

What causes the seasonal cycle of stationary waves in the southern stratosphere?

Stationary planetary waves in the southern stratosphere display a characteristic seasonal cycle. Previous research based on a one-dimensional model suggests that this behavior is mainly determined by seasonally varying transmission properties of the atmosphere with respect to wave propagation. The issue is investigated with the help of a hemispheric, linear, quasi-geostrophic model. It reproduces well some of the observed qualitative features and is internally consistent in the sense that its seasonal wave cycle can be explained in terms of varying wave transmission properties of the mean circulation. On the other hand, the model does not yield the observed seasonal cycle. Despite considerable sensitivity to modifications in the basic-state wind and dissipation parameterization, the model could not be reasonably fit to reproduce the observed seasonal cycle. Possible reasons for the model deficiency are put forward. In summary, even though suggestive, the present study is not entirely conclusive about the degree to which the observed cycle is determined by wave transmission properties alone.

Wirth, Volkmar↗

Simplification of the Kalman filter for meteorological data assimilation

The paper proposes a new statistical method of data assimilation that is based on a simplification of the Kalman filter equations. The forecast error covariance evolution is approximated simply by advecting the mass-error covariance field, deriving the remaining covariances geostrophically, and accounting for external model-error forcing only at the end of each forecast cycle. This greatly reduces the cost of computation of the forecast error covariance. In simulations with a linear, one-dimensional shallow-water model and data generated artificially, the performance of the simplified filter is compared with that of the Kalman filter and the optimal interpolation (OI) method. The simplified filter produces analyses that are nearly optimal, and represents a significant improvement over OI.

Dee, Dick P.↗

Linear stability of free planetary waves in the presence of radiative-photochemical feedbacks

The diabatic effects of Newtonian cooling and ozone-dynamics interaction on the linear stability of free planetary waves in the atmosphere have been studied using a simple beta-plane model. The model couples radiative transfer, ozone advection, and ozone photochemistry with the quasi-geostrophic dynamical circulation. An analytical expression is derived which demonstrates the following: (1) the influence of meridional ozone advection on wave growth or decay depends on the wave and basic state vertical structures; and (2) photochemically accelerated cooling, which predominates in the upper stratosphere, augments the Newtonian cooling rate and is stabilizing. Attention is also given to the 1D linear stability problem which is numerically solved for a Charney basic state and for zonal mean basic states. It is shown that ozone heating generated by ozone-dynamics interaction in the stratosphere can reduce (enhance) the damping rates due to Newtonian cooling by as much as 50 percent for planetary waves of large vertical scale and maximum amplitude in the stratosphere.

Nathan, Terrence R.↗

The TOPEX Ground Data System

Report describes architecture and functions of ground-based data-processing system of TOPEX/POSEIDON project. Signals from orbiting sensors processed into data on sea-surface altitudes for use in mapping geostrophic surface currents and tides.

Agrawal, Anil K.↗

Estimation Of Ocean-Surface Winds From Seasat Data

Report discusses performance of recently developed method of estimating mesoscale near-surface winds over ocean from normalized cross sections of radar backscatter from surface of ocean. Based on geophysical model that, in turn, based on geostrophic approximation and upon simplistic assumptions about divergence and vorticity of wind field, but also includes nongeostrophic winds. Compared with older method. Newer method yields more-accurate estimates of wind field, fewer gaps, and wider swaths.

Long, David G.↗

Nested ocean models: Work in progress

The ongoing work of combining three existing software programs into a nested grid oceanography model is detailed. The HYPER domain decomposition program, the SPEM ocean modeling program, and a quasi-geostrophic model written in England are being combined into a general ocean modeling facility. This facility will be used to test the viability and the capability of two-way nested grids in the North Atlantic.

Perkins, A. Louise↗

A Carolina coastal low-level jet during GALE IOP 2

A persistent, diurnally varying low-level jet (LLJ) was observed along the Carolina coastal plain during the early part of GALE IOP 2 between 0000 UTC January 24 and 0600 UTC January 25. A 1D PBL model (Zhang and Anthes, 1982) is utilized to examine the various dynamic forcing mechanisms controlling the formation and evolution of the LLJ. The experiments suggest that a specific geostrophic wind velocity profile in the lower troposphere was necessary to produce a number of the observed Carolina LLJ characteristics.

Doyle, James D.↗

Quasigeostrophic diagnosis of three-dimensional ageostrophic circulations in an idealized baroclinic disturbance

Keyser et al.'s (1989) kinematic technique for the representation of 3D vertical circulations in baroclinic disturbances in terms of a vector eigenfunction, the 'psi vector', is presently projected onto the framework of quasi-geostrophic (QG) theory. The projection of the psi-vector equation onto the cross-front vertical plane leads to a generalization of the QG form of the Sawyer-Eliassen equation that is applicable to 3D flows. The diagnostic methodologies for the total ageostrophic flow and for the generalized Sawyer-Eliassen equation are illustrated by applications to upper-level and surface frontal zones that are simulated in an f-plane primitive equation channel model of a finite-amplitude baroclinic wave.

Keyser, Daniel↗

Quasigeostrophic vertical motions diagnosed from along- and cross-isentrope components of the Q vector

In a recent paper on the kinematics of frontogenesis, Keyser et al. (1988) conjectured that partitioning the Q vector into along- and cross-isentrope components yields vertical-motion patterns that are respectively cellular and banded: the former on the scale of the baroclinic disturbance, and the latter on the scale of the embedded frontal zones. This conjecture is examined diagnostically through solution of the quasi-geostrophic omega equation, using the output from a nearly adiabatic and frictionless f-plane primitive equation channel model of the evolution of a baroclinic disturbance to finite amplitude. The results of the present study support the proposed conjecture, suggesting the following interpretation of the characteristic comma structure of the vertical-motion field in midlatitude baroclinic disturbances: the dipole is associated with the along-isentrope component of the Q vector, reflecting the wavelike pattern in the potential temperature field within the baroclinic disturbance; the asymmetries are associated with the cross-isentrope component of the Q vector, reflecting the presence of frontal zones within the baroclinic disturbance.

Keyser, Daniel↗