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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 325 records · Page 18
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Chemistry Informed Machine Learning-Based Heat Capacity Prediction of Solid Mixed Oxides

Knowing heat capacity is crucial for modeling temperature changes with the absorption and release of heat and for calculating the thermal energy storage capacity of oxide mixtures with energy applications. The current prediction methods (ab initio simulations, computational thermodynamics, and the Neumann–Kopp rule) are computationally expensive, not fully generalizable, or inaccurate. Machine learning has the potential of being fast, accurate, and generalizable, but it has been scarcely used to predict mixture properties, particularly for mixed oxides. Here, we demonstrate a method for the generalizable prediction of heat capacity of solid oxide pseudobinary mixtures using heat capacity data obtained from computational thermodynamics and descriptors from ab initio databases. Further, models trained through this workflow achieved an error (mean absolute error of 0.43 J mol –1 K –1 ) lower than the uncertainty in differential scanning calorimetry measurements, and the workflow can be extended to predict other properties derived from the Gibbs free energy and for higher-order oxide mixtures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

High Throughput Computational Framework of Materials Properties for Extreme Environments

This project aims to establish a framework capable of efficiently predicting the properties of structural materials for service in harsh environments over a wide range of temperatures and over long periods of time. The approach is to develop and integrate high throughput first-principles calculations in combination with machine learning (ML) methods, perform high throughput CALPHAD (calculations of phase diagrams) modeling, and carry out finite element method (FEM) simulations. Relevant to high temperature service in fossil power system, nickel-based superalloys such as Inconel 740 and Haynes 282 as well as the associated (Ni-Cr-Co)-Al-C-Fe-Mn-Mo-Nb-Si-Ti system, were investigated. The present framework was built on the concept of phase-based property data, in which properties of individual phases are modeled as a function of internal and external independent variables. This project established an open-source infrastructure with the following capabilities: (1) High throughput implementation of first-principles calculations at finite temperatures and variable compositions using both accurate phonon calculations and the efficient Debye model for thermodynamic properties, elastic constants, diffusion coefficients, vacancy formation, stacking and twin faults, and dislocation mobility; i.e., using the developed code DFTTK; (2) Machine learning capabilities to predict the above properties so that the number of first-principles calculations can be significantly reduced; e.g., using the developed code SIPFENN; (3) High throughput CALPHAD modeling of the above properties as a function of temperature and composition using our unique capability based on ESPEI and PyCalphad; (4) New capabilities to predict the stress-strain behavior of individual phases; and (5) New models for tensile strength prediction in common FEM software with the crystal plasticity finite element simulations (CPFEM).

, Ni-based superalloys↗
DOE OSTI2025

Developing Open-Source Tools for Increasing the Efficiency of Synthetic Aviation Turbine Fuel Certification Process

FuelLib is an open-source Python-based fuel library, developed by NREL, that leverages the group contribution method (GCM) of [1] to systematically estimate the thermodynamic and transport properties of hydrocarbon fuels. FuelLib predicts these properties based on the molecular structure of individual compounds or compound families, using weight percentages of a fuel's composition, typically measured using techniques such as gas chromatography (GC). FuelLib enables property estimation over a wide range of temperatures and pressures of multi-component fuels in the absence of detailed molecular composition data, making it particularly valuable for complex fuel mixtures where detailed experimental characterization of fuel composition is unavailable. These capabilities contribute directly to synthetic aviation turbine fuels (SATF) development, supporting the short-term American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) qualification of drop-in fuels while potentially expanding ASTM boundaries to certify a broader range of fuels.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Controlling extrapolations of nuclear properties with feature selection

Predictions of nuclear properties far from measured data are inherently inaccurate because of uncertainties in our knowledge of nuclear forces and in our treatment of quantum many-body effects in strongly-interacting systems. While the model bias can be directly calculated when experimental data is available, only an estimate can be made in the absence of such measurements. Current approaches to compute the estimated bias quickly lose predictive power when their input variables are taken far from the training region, resulting in uncontrolled uncertainties in applications such as nucleosynthesis simulations. In this letter, we present a novel technique to identify the input variables of machine learning algorithms that can provide robust estimates of model bias. Our process is based on selecting input variables, or features, based on their probability distribution functions across the entire nuclear chart. We illustrate our approach on the problem of quantifying the model bias in nuclear binding energies calculated with Density Functional Theory (DFT). We prove that building model biases with only Z and N as features leads to highly unreliable extrapolations. Conversely, we show that proper feature selection can systematically improve theoretical predictions without increasing uncertainties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Million-scale data integrated deep neural network for phonon properties of heuslers spanning the periodic table

Existing machine learning potentials for predicting phonon properties of crystals are typically limited on a material-to-material basis, primarily due to the exponential scaling of model complexity with the number of atomic species. We address this bottleneck with the developed Elemental Spatial Density Neural Network Force Field, namely Elemental-SDNNFF. The effectiveness and precision of our Elemental-SDNNFF approach are demonstrated on 11,866 full, half, and quaternary Heusler structures spanning 55 elements in the periodic table by prediction of complete phonon properties. Self-improvement schemes including active learning and data augmentation techniques provide an abundant 9.4 million atomic data for training. Deep insight into predicted ultralow lattice thermal conductivity (<1 Wm –1 K –1 ) of 774 Heusler structures is gained by p–d orbital hybridization analysis. Additionally, a class of two-band charge-2 Weyl points, referred to as “double Weyl points”, are found in 68% and 87% of 1662 half and 1550 quaternary Heuslers, respectively.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Graph neural networks predict energetic and mechanical properties for models of solid solution metal alloy phases

Here, we developed a PyTorch-based architecture called HydraGNN that implements graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) to predict the formation energy and the bulk modulus for models of solid solution alloys for various atomic crystal structures and relaxed volumes. We trained the GCNN surrogate model on a dataset for nickel–niobium (NiNb) generated by the embedded atom model (EAM) empirical interatomic potential for demonstration purposes. The dataset was generated by calculating the formation energy and the bulk modulus as a prototypical elastic property for optimized geometries starting from initial body-centered cubic (BCC), face-centered cubic (FCC), and hexagonal compact packed (HCP) crystal structures, with configurations spanning the possible compositional range for each of the three types of initial crystal structures. Numerical results show that the GCNN model effectively predicts both the formation energy and the bulk modulus as function of the optimized crystal structure, relaxed volume, and configurational entropy of the model structures for solid solution alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

ReaxFF reactive force field model enables accurate prediction of physiochemical and mechanical properties of crystalline and amorphous shape‐memory polyurethane

Abstract We investigate reactive force field (ReaxFF) prediction of physiochemical and mechanical properties, and stimuli response behavior of a shape‐memory polyurethane (SMPU) rigid segment. We used SMPUs as a platform to link the rigid/hard segment domain crystallinity with properties that can also be experimentally measured. Specifically, we developed models for crystalline and amorphous forms of a common rigid segment of SMPUs, for example, 4,4′‐diphenylmethane diisocyanate (MDI) with n‐butanediol (BDO), denoted as MDI‐BDO. ReaxFF molecular dynamics simulations with equilibrium dynamics are performed by controlling mass, temperature, and pressure or volume to predict the structural and physiochemical properties of crystalline and amorphous rigid segments of SMPU systems, followed by simulating their XRD and FTIR patterns, respectively. Non‐equilibrium ReaxFF simulations are implemented by using uniaxial box deformation technique to study response‐behavior of crystalline SMPU under tensile loading and during stress‐relaxation. The model and simulation scheme presented in this study demonstrates a robust theoretical pathway toward application‐dictated, on‐demand design of high‐performance SMPUs in applications such as soft robotics.

Afroz, Mohammad M.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating Diesel/Biofuel Blends Using Artificial Neural Networks and Linear/Nonlinear Equations

Abstract The use of biomass-derived additives in diesel fuel mixtures has the potential to increase the fuel’s efficiency, decrease the formation of particulate matter during its combustion, and retain the fuel’s behavior in cold weather. To this end, identifying compounds that enable these behaviors is paramount. The present work utilizes a series of linear and non-linear equations in series with artificial neural networks to predict the cetane number, yield sooting index, kinematic viscosity, cloud point, and lower heating value of multi-component blends. Property values of pure components are predicted using artificial neural networks trained with existing experimental data, and these predictions and their expected errors are propagated through linear and non-linear equations to obtain property predictions for multi-component blends. Individual component property prediction errors, defined by blind prediction median absolute error, are 4.91 units, 7.84 units, 0.06 cSt, 4.00 °C, and 0.55 MJ/kg for cetane number, yield sooting index, kinematic viscosity, cloud point, and lower heating value respectively. On average, property predictions for blends are shown to be accurate to within 6% of the blends’ experimental values. Further, a multitude of compounds expected to be produced from catalytically upgrading products of fast pyrolysis are evaluated with respect to their behavior in diesel fuel blends.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Growth of Crystallographically Aligned PbSe Films of Controlled Thickness on Amorphous Substrates

Lead selenide (PbSe) has extensively been investigated due to its thermoelectric and photoconductive properties. More recently, predictions of emergent properties have focused synthetic efforts on preparing ultra-smooth layers of crystallographically aligned PbSe layers with a thickness equal to an integer number of monolayers. While rough films are typically formed through Volmer-Weber growth on heated substrates, we report the data presented herein indicates that a crystallographically aligned, ultrathin layer with a defined number of PbSe layers forms on mostly amorphous Mo-Se and V-Se coated Si substrates during nominally room temperature deposition. Since the films are uniform in thickness, the number of PbSe bilayers formed depends on the amount of Pb (or Se) deposited. If the amount of Pb deposited is close to that required for an integral number of unit cells and there is sufficient Se, Laue oscillations are present in the as-deposited samples. The Laue oscillations reflect the quality and uniformity of the crystalline PbSe domains. This study demonstrates that the substrate does not need to be crystalline to form uniform, crystallographically aligned, integer monolayer thick PbSe films. These results suggest that tuning the strength of interactions be-tween substrate and growing film is necessary to form smooth, crystallographically aligned layers. The substrate does not need to be crystalline for these interactions to be strong enough to enable growth of crystallographically aligned films.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Aviation Fuel Characterization at Operationally Relevant Conditions

To accelerate approval and potentially expand the allowable property range for aviation fuels, we are using high performance computing simulations to reveal fuel property effects on aviation combustor performance. These simulations are supported by fuel property measurements over temperatures and pressures that the fuel experiences in an aircraft engine and by validated chemical kinetics models for SAF combustion. Here we report density, viscosity, and surface tension results for conventional jet fuel and multiple synthetic fuels from -30 degrees Celsius to 200 degrees Celsius (-40 degrees Celsius for viscosity) and 1 atm to 70 atm including an assessment of method repeatability. Properties of surrogate mixtures are also investigated. Distillation, ICN, LHV, flashpoint, and Cp are also reported, and data are being used to develop models to predict fuel properties from composition (GCxGC).

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Learning and Predicting Photonic Responses of Plasmonic Nanoparticle Assemblies via Dual Variational Autoencoders

In this work, the application of machine learning is demonstrated for rapid and accurate extraction of plasmonic particles cluster geometries from hyperspectral image data via a dual variational autoencoder (dual-VAE). In this approach, the information is shared between the latent spaces of two VAEs acting on the particle shape data and spectral data, respectively, but enforcing a common encoding on the shape-spectra pairs. It is shown that this approach can establish the relationship between the geometric characteristics of nanoparticles and their far-field photonic responses, demonstrating that hyperspectral darkfield microscopy can be used to accurately predict the geometry (number of particles, arrangement) of a multiparticle assemblies below the diffraction limit in an automated fashion with high fidelity (for monomers (0.96), dimers (0.86), and trimers (0.58). This approach of building structure-property relationships via shared encoding is universal and should have applications to a broader range of materials science and physics problems in imaging of both molecular and nanomaterial systems.

variational autoencoder↗
DOE OSTI2024

In Situ Prediction of Microstructure and Mechanical Properties in Laser-Remelted Al-Si Alloys: Towards Enhanced Additive Manufacturing

Laser surface remelting of aluminum alloys has emerged as a promising technique to enhance mechanical properties through refined microstructures. This process involves rapid cooling rates ranging from 10 3 to 10 8 °C/s, which increase solid solubility within aluminum alloys, shifting their eutectic composition to a larger value of silicon content. Consequently, the resulting microstructure combines a strengthened aluminum matrix with silicon fibers. This study focuses on the laser scanning of Al-Si aluminum alloy to reduce the size of aluminum matrix spacings and transform fibrous silicon particles from micrometer to nanometer dimensions. Analysis revealed that the eutectic structure contained 17.55% silicon by weight, surpassing the equilibrium eutectic composition of 12.6% silicon. Microstructure dimensions within the molten zones, termed ‘melt pools’, were extensively examined using Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) at intervals of approximately 20 μm from the surface. A notable increase in hardness, exceeding 50% compared to the base plate, was observed in the melt pool regions. Thus, it is exemplified that laser surface remelting introduces a novel strengthening mechanism in the alloy. Moreover, this study develops an in situ method for predicting melt pool properties and dimensions. A predictive model is proposed, correlating energy density and spectral signals emitted during laser remelting with mechanical properties and melt pool dimensions. This method significantly reduces characterization time from days to seconds, offering a streamlined approach for future studies in additive manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Predicting nepheline precipitation in waste glasses using ternary submixture model and machine learning

Nepheline precipitation in nuclear waste glasses during vitrification can be detrimental due to its negative effect on chemical durability. Developing models to accurately predict nepheline precipitation from compositions is important to increase waste loading since existing models can be overly conservative. In this study, an expanded dataset containing 955 glasses was compiled from literature data, where 355 glasses are for high-level waste (HLW). Previously developed submixture models were refitted using the new dataset, where a misclassification rate of 7.8% was achieved. Nine machine learning (ML) algorithms (e.g., k-nearest neighbor, Gaussian process regression, artificial neural network, support vector machine, decision tree, etc.) were applied to evaluate their ability of predicting nepheline precipitation from compositions. Model accuracy, precision, recall/sensitivity, and F1 score were systemically compared between different ML algorithms and modeling protocols. Good model prediction with an accuracy ~0.9 (misclassification rate of ~10%) was observed with different algorithms under certain protocol. This study evaluated various ML models to predict nepheline precipitations in waste glasses, highlighting the importance of data preparation, modeling protocol, and their effect on model stability and reproducibility. The results provide insights into applying ML to predict glass properties and suggest areas for future research on modeling nepheline precipitations.

Lu, Xiaonan↗
DOE OSTI2020

Methodology for the development of empirical models relating 13C NMR spectral features to fuel properties

Effective formulation of new gasoline or diesel fuels for internal combustion engines would benefit from the development of reliable models for predicting key fuel properties based on a set of molecular descriptors obtained from a single measurement. This is particularly relevant in the case of renewable fuels, where the available fuel sample quantity may be limited. In this work, we present a statistically-based methodology for building empirical models to predict multiple properties from one-dimensional 13C nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectra measured on around 200 microliters of a liquid fuel. NMR spectra contain information about the molecular composition of a sample and the carbon types and molecular substructures therein. Our approach uses this information to build sparse, interpretable models, where the predicted properties are linked to specific molecular features. The approach takes into consideration the constrained nature of the features making up the one-dimensional NMR spectrum, which, after standardization, represent a relative fuel composition. We point to the limitations in interpretability that arise when building this type of empirical predictive model and suggest how these limitations may be diminished. Among the many properties important for maximizing engine performance and minimizing emissions, we build models that predict derived cetane number and distillation temperatures as these are of particular interest because of their links to fuel economy, drivability, and engine-out emissions. Results suggest that the properties of interest may be impacted by only a few of the 27 13C NMR regions represented in the data, pointing to new directions for further testing in the development of improved fuels.

predictive models, biofuels., NMR Analysis↗
DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying Properties for a Mechanistic, Predictive Understanding of Aqueous Impact on Aging of Medium and Low Voltage AC and DC Cabling in Nuclear Power Plants

To address the gap in knowledge in understanding degradation in relevant service conditions, this project aimed to develop a mechanistic, predictive model of medium and low voltage cable failure based on the primary environmental degradation parameters of aqueous immersion time, temperature, and the oxidation extent. To do so, we took a two-fold approach toward evaluating degradation as related to the aqueous condition. First, we evaluated the chemical, mechanical, and electrical properties of polymers that comprise the cabling insulation under varied aqueous conditions at different temperatures. Secondly, we evaluated the performance of insulation materials under similar accelerated aging conditions in addition to the dielectric breakdown of the cabling under submersion conditions. Thermal oxidation and immersion of LDPE thin films were done using a Parr vessel and the extent of oxidation was monitored using the carbonyl index from ATR-FTIR spectrum, a ratio quantifying the carbonyl functionality produced on the LDPE film surface. Increasing the temperature, oxidation time, and oxygen pressure increased the water-vapor permeability and the carbonyl content. Thermogravimetric analysis of the films confirmed that there is indeed an initial weight loss of the smaller molecular weight molecules and volatiles. At higher temperatures, there is a secondary mass loss. Up to 70°C, the mass loss curves were similar until 80°C, when the aged films decreased at a much greater rate with respect to increasing temperature. This was seen in the 10, 50, 90% weight loss temperatures. The mechanical properties of sheet PP and HDPE as well as injection molded LDPE, HDPE, HDPP dog bones were plotted with respect to the time spent in the Parr vessel during thermal oxidation. For the sheet PP and HDPE, the UTS and the modulus of elasticity decreased while the elongation increased. The injection-molded LDPE, HDPE, and HDPP dog bones experienced a similar trend where the changes in the properties were within experimental uncertainty. This analysis of LDPE in dry and immersive oxygen-rich environments is an important baseline for future experiments looking at other degradation mechanisms. A predictive aging model for low-density polyethylene insulative cable housings was developed. This model revealed a combination of physical and chemical processes which lead to an increase in permeability and a decrease in strength of the insulator. In creating this predictive model, a gap of knowledge in the literature was revealed in two areas: understanding how the crystallinity of a polymer changes with time and visualizing the predicted pores formed through the insulator which leads to failure. Developing and using an adapted ATR-FTIR method, crystallinity was monitored and compared to bulk crystallinity found via DSC. Inhomogeneity in crystallinity changes were observed but the FTIR method but was found to be less reliable. Pore visualization was found utilizing electrical impedance spectroscopy saturated aged polyethylene films with synthesized citrate-capped gold nanoparticles, and chloroauric acid precursor. results indicate a decreasing impedance of the polyethylene films caused by the transport of ions through the film. SEM imaging was then performed for elemental analysis of the films and counter electrodes for the presence of ions. Chloride and gold ions were detected; however, no nanoparticles were found. This gives an estimated pore size of at least 0.3 nm through the aged film. Cyclic submergence of polyethylene and polypropylene in aqueous solutions of copper sulfate and Harrison’s solution were examined. It was discovered that aging in these mixed conditions and at 90°C did cause a small, yet significant increase to tensile strength for both unaged polyethylene and polypropylene. The PE and PP in cycled and submerged conditions did not have tensile strengths significantly different from dry-aged after 16 weeks. For both solutions, it was determined that capacitance increases with both water tree depth and cable temperature and is relatively independent of changing water tree AR. As for resistance, there is no apparent change between depth percentages of 10 and 80 for both solutions. This is because the water tree has not yet entered the conductor and thus there is no shorting current flowing through the tree yet. Between 80 and 100% water tree depth, it is observed that for both solutions there is a rapid decrease in resistance because the tree is now impacting the conductor shield and allowing shorting current to flow through it. The relationship between resistance and temperature was found to be inversed. As temperature increases, resistance decreases for both water tree solutions with distilled water having the most apparent difference across the range of temperatures simulated. With regards to water tree AR, resistance was found to be relatively independent at depth percentages of 10, 50, and 70, but there was some relationship at 100% depth for both solutions. At this depth, as water tree AR increased, resistance was found to also increase. Through the examination of voltage and electric field distribution plots, it was confirmed for EPR cables that increasing water tree depth leads to increasing distortion. The increase in shorting current at 100% depth for aqueous copper sulfate compared to distilled water was also visualized. Lastly, the relationship between shorting current and temperature for narrow water trees was visualized and validated using the distribution plots. This study has led to a better understanding of the effect of cable temperature, water tree solution, and geometry of the tree region on cable degradation. Furthermore, this study has documented simulation results of water tree degradation in EPR MV cables, which had been previously lacking in information. Future work in this area will add frequency into the mix and examine what effect it has on the rate of cable degradation as a result of water treeing. To compliment the work being carried by UMD on different polymer chemistries, harvested medium voltage (MV) cables were selected for accelerated aging study at ORNL. These medium voltage cables are representative of the vintages and materials that are currently in use at existing nuclear power plants (NPPs). These cables were immersed in water at 90°C and energized for a period of two years at elevated voltage. Partial discharge was measured during this period of time to track potential degradation. Unfortunately, due to the absence of failure, the extent of integration between the UMD techniques and the harvested MV insulation was limited. However, based on the findings and from the UMD research in the previous sections on polyethylene and polypropylene, follow-on characterization for harvested MV cable insulation should focus on sample preparation to take advantage of the UMD techniques to better understand mechanistic degradation in MV cable insulations. This would include: 1.) Utilization of solutions and impedance measurement insulation to track permeability in harvested and accelerated aging insulation samples, 2.) Adaptation of gold nanoparticle synthesis for electrical impedance spectroscopy with supporting SEM characterization to study pore formation in harvested and accelerated aged insulation samples, & 3.) ATR-FTIR crystallinity with multiple temperature dependent harvested MV cable insulation under different air and submerged accelerated aging. In addition, low voltage dielectric spectroscopy and high voltage dissipation factor, tan δ, could be implemented as a condition monitoring tool for harvested MV cable insulation in submerged environments.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Assessing the Impact of Measurement Precision on Metabolite Identification Probability in Multidimensional Mass Spectrometry-Based, Reference-Free Metabolomics

Identification of compounds with minimal ambiguity remains a central challenge in mass spectrometry-based metabolomics. Conventional compound identification relies on comparing analytical signatures (e.g., mass-to-charge ratio, collision cross section, tandem mass spectra) against reference data obtained from measurements of authentic chemical standards. The breadth of annotatable compounds using this approach is necessarily limited by availability of authentic standards, analytical throughput, and resolving power of the separations that underly the measurements. The maturation of computational methods, both theory-driven and artificial intelligence/machine learning-based, for prediction of various molecular properties relevant to multidimensional mass spectrometry measurements has opened the door to a new “reference-free” paradigm of compound annotation. Through augmenting existing reference data for molecular properties with computational predictions, the universe of identifiable chemical species can be expanded significantly beyond its current limits. An unexplored aspect of this novel approach is understanding how to gauge confidence in resulting annotations, especially as the compound search space is expanded. Intuitively, the confidence of a compound annotation is related to the inherent discriminatory power of the molecular properties used for identification, as well as the precision with which the properties are measured or predicted. In this work, we characterize this relationship between measurement precision and identification probability in a systematic and quantitative fashion for a defined region of chemical space that includes organic small molecule metabolites. Importantly, this work establishes a framework for conducting metabolite identification probability analysis that enables others to quantify this relationship for their own compounds and properties of interest.

Metabolite Identification↗
DOE OSTI2023

Creep Properties of Shale and Predicted Impact on Proppant Embedment for the Caney Shale, Oklahoma

The Caney shale is an emerging hydrocarbon play located in southwest Oklahoma, USA. Within the Caney shale exist facies which were initially dubbed “reservoir” and “ductile” based on evaluation of well logging data. While past work has shown the distinction of “brittle” and “ductile” is not mechanically justifiable according to formal definitions, here the current work shows some important differences between nominally ductile and reservoir zones. First, the “ductile” zones are more clay rich and have textural differences which can be expected to lead to differences in mechanical properties. One important impact of these differences is observed in triaxial creep experiments showing the “ductile” zones are more prone to creep deformation. Numerical simulations predict the “reservoir” zones will experience very little proppant embedment due to creep deformation of hydraulic fractures around proppant particles. On the other hand, “ductile” zones can be expected to undergo creep-driven proppant embedment leading to loss of fracture aperture ranging up to 100% loss, depending upon the spatial density of the proppant distribution. Hence, this research shows the identification of nominally “ductile” zones from well logs, while a misnomer, can be useful in finding clay-rich, creep-prone zones which will be the most prone to proppant embedment and hence vulnerable to greater production decline over time.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗