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At least 325 records · Page 18

Evaluation of Zero-Net-Rate Pumping Tests

Accurately estimating the distribution of aquifer properties is key to understanding contaminant movement in the subsurface. The distribution of aquifer properties is typically addressed using slug or constant-rate well tests, and the pros and cons of these tests are well known. Slug tests are appealing because they avoid removing contaminated water, but their results are affected by well skin and the small volume of displaced water limits the volume of aquifer that can be evaluated. Constant-rate well tests have the disadvantage of requiring disposal of potentially contaminated water, but they can generate properties that are more representative than slug tests, and they can be used to estimate well efficiency and storativity, which are difficult to characterize using slug tests. Periodic pumping tests are appealing because they have many of the advantages and few of the disadvantages of slug and constant-rate well tests. Periodic pumping tests involve cycling the pumping rate with a regular period and measuring the resulting response in monitoring wells. Some of these tests involve imposing a periodic rate on a constant mean rate. However, other tests involve moving water out and back into the well at rates that are balanced so the net rate after each period is zero. Some zero-net-rate (ZNR) well tests use rates that follow a sinusoidal pattern, whereas others use a square wave pattern that switches between a constant rate of pumping and a constant rate of injection to achieve a zero-net rate. ZNR well tests appear to be a useful compromise between slug and constant rate tests, but methods for conducting and analyzing the results from these tests have received limited evaluation. Periodic pumping tests are typically evaluated through recorded pressure responses to a disturbance source. Recent work has demonstrated that the strain field in the vadose zone shows a response to disturbances in the underlying aquifer. Various instrument designs are available that can record vertical and horizontal strain to very precise resolutions (10-9 ε). Measuring the strain in the vadose zone can present lower costs than measuring pressure in a monitoring well, so using strain could improve the resolution of ZNR tests, as well as make these tests potentially cheaper. A ZNR periodic pumping system was constructed and used to perform tests in the Clemson, South Carolina area. The system was designed to pump and inject with a periodic square-wave, so pumping occurs at a constant rate for half the period and is followed by injection at the same rate for half the period resulting in no net gain or loss of water from the aquifer. The system is designed to generate flow rates from 1 to 3.5 gallons per minute (gpm) with a capacity of 875-gallon per half period. Pressure and strain monitoring points are located in the vicinity of the pumping well. A series of 10 ZNR periodic pumping tests were conducted at the field site, with periods ranging from 2 to 540 minutes. Pressure data were collected and recorded in four monitoring wells in various locations around the pumping well. In addition, vertical and horizontal strain and tilt data were recorded in various locations around the pumping well. Traditional aquifer tests, including slug tests and constant-rate pumping tests were conducted at the field site to provide a baseline of aquifer parameter estimates that are compared the results of ZNR tests. Pressure data measured at monitoring wells during ZNR tests were analyzed utilizing an analytical solution (Streltsova, 1988) that assumes a confined aquifer and estimates hydraulic diffusivity and transmissivity using the time lag and amplitude of the pressure signal. The storativity can be separated out from the hydraulic diffusivity using the transmissivity estimate. The time-lag and amplitude of the pressure signals were estimated using a Fourier transform. The time-lag of the primary period of the pressure increases as a linear function of distance from the pumping well, and it increases as the square root of the period of the ZNR test over a range of periods spanning two orders of magnitudes. The first few harmonics follow similar trends, but the higher frequency harmonics diverge from this trend. Strain and tilt data from various instruments in the vadose and saturated zones are periodic during ZNR tests. The time lags of the strain components increase roughly linearly with distance from the well. Many of the time lags of the strain data from the vadose zone are similar to the time lags observed in the pressure data from a similar distance and pumping period. Theoretical experiments were performed to understand how pressure and strain responds to ZNR periodic pumping. The time-lags of the simulated pressure responses match the field data trends. The results were used to validate the Streltsova (1988) solution for periodic pumping to estimate hydraulic diffusivity. Hydraulic diffusivity was estimated to be 1.8 x 10-2 m2s-1 < Dh < 9.0 x 10-2 m2s-1 using pressure data from all the wells during ZNR tests. Transmissivity was estimated to be 0.8 x 10-4 m2s-1 < T < 4.3 x 10-4 m2s-1. Assuming Storativity = T/Dh gives 1.1 x 10-3 < S < 19 x10-3. Transmissivity is used to estimate the hydraulic conductivity, K, by dividing by the assumed aquifer thickness. Two constant-rate pumping tests were conducted and analyzed using two conceptual models: The Hantush (1961) solution was used to analyze data assuming confined conditions and the Neuman (1974) solution was used to analyze data assuming unconfined conditions. The Hantush (1961) solution estimated transmissivity to be 1.6 x 10-4 m2s-1 < T < 1.8 x 10-4 m2s-1 when using data from all the wells. Storativity was estimated to be 4.4 x 10-3 < S < 8.2 x 10-3. Assuming Dh = T/S gives 0.22 x 10-2 m2s-1 < Dh < 3.6 x 10-2 m2s-1. The Neuman (1974) solution estimated transmissivity to be 0.80 x 10-4 m2s-1 < T < 0.84 x 10-4 m2s-1. Total storativity (S + Sy) was estimated to be 22 x 10-3 < S < 110 x 10-3. Storativity excluding the Sy term was estimated to be 2.2 x 10-3 < S < 2.5 x 10-3. Assuming Dh = T/S gives 0.073 x 10-2 m2s-1 < S < 0.36 x 10-2 m2s-1. Two slug tests were performed on the pumping well, PW-2. The Bouwer and Rice (1976) solution for slug tests was used to analyze the data. This solution works for both confined and unconfined conditions, so both conceptual models were covered through the analysis. Hydraulic conductivity was estimated to be 1.95 x 10-6 ms-1 < K < 2.49 x 10-6 ms-1. Statistical comparison show generally no significant difference in the estimates of Dh, K, or S made using ZNR and conventional pumping tests.. However, the total storage estimated by the Neuman (1974) solution for unconfined settings is larger than that estimate using the Streltsove analysis applied to the ZNR tests. This is likely because the Neuman solution considers delayed yield from storage that the water table, whereas the Streltsova (1988) solution assumes confined conditions. The analysis also indicates that there is a statistically significant difference between parameters estimated with conventional slug tests and those measured with either constant-rate pumping tests or ZNR tests. Hydraulic diffusivity is estimated from the time-lag and the distance from the well. The time-lags of the strain data from the vadose zone are similar to the lags of the pressure data from a similar distance. This indicates that hydraulic diffusivities estimated from the strain data measured in the vadose zone would be similar to the estimates from the pressure data measured in the aquifer. There appear to be sign reversals in some of the strain data that were corrected to estimate the time lag. The dissolved oxygen (CO) concentration was measured during several ZNR tests to evaluate the feasibility of using the procedure to increase contaminant degradation kinetics that are related to DO. The results indicate that DO can be increased during the cycling of ZNR tests in some cases.

Smith-Jones, Austin↗

Experimental Investigation of Polymer Induced Fouling of Heater Tubes in the First-ever Polymer Flood Pilot on Alaska North Slope

Polymer flooding has been validated in the lab and by successful applications in other countries, such as Canada and China, to be an effective EOR technique for heavy oil reservoirs. Currently, polymer flooding is being pilot tested for the first time in the Schrader Bluff viscous oil reservoir at Milne Point field on Alaska North Slope (ANS). One of the major concerns of the operator is the impact of polymer on the oil production system after polymer breakthrough, especially the polymer induced fouling issues in the heat exchanger. This study investigates the propensity of polymer fouling on the heater tubes as a function of different variables, with the ultimate goal of determining safe and efficient operating conditions. A unique experimental set-up was indigenously designed and developed to simulate the fouling process on the heating tube. The influence of heating tube skin temperature, tube material, and polymer concentration on fouling tendency was investigated. Under each test condition, the test was run five times with the same tube, and in each run, the freshly prepared synthetic brine and polymer solution were heated from 77°F to 122°F to mimic field operating conditions. The heating time and fouling amount were recorded for each run. The morphology and composition of the deposit samples were analyzed by environmental scanning electron microscopy (ESEM) and X-ray diffraction (XRD), respectively. It has been found that, in general, the presence of polymer in produced fluids would aggravate the fouling issues on both carbon steel and stainless steel surfaces at all tested skin temperatures (165°F, 250 °F and 350°F), but only higher skin temperatures of 250°F and 350°F could cause polymer induced fouling issues on the copper tube surface and the fouling tendency increased with polymer concentration. At the lower skin temperatures of 165°F, no polymer-induced fouling was identified on the copper tube. A critical temperature that is related to the cloud point of the polymer solution was believed to exist, below which polymer induced fouling would not occur and only mineral scale deposited, but above which the polymer would obviously aggravate the fouling issue. The heating efficiency of the tube would be reduced gradually as more fouling material accumulates on its surface. The ESEM results indicate that if polymer precipitated and deposited on the surface, it would bond to the mineral crystals to form a stronger three- dimensional network structure, and that is why the polymer induced fouling was tougher and more difficult to be removed from the tube surface. The XRD analysis results confirm that the presence of polymer in the fluids can enhance the mineral scale propensity. Overall, the study results have provided practical guidance to the field operator for the ongoing polymer flooding pilot test on ANS. This study may also prove to be valuable for other chemical EOR projects around the world.

Alaska North Slope↗

Development of an ERT‐Based Framework for Bentonite Buffers Monitoring From Laboratory Tests: 1. Characterizing Thermal–Hydrological–Mechanical Processes

Abstract Bentonite clay is widely used in engineered barrier systems for the permanent disposal of high‐level radioactive waste due to its low permeability, high swelling capacity, and thermal stability. However, the complex thermal‐hydrological‐mechanical (THM) processes induced by heating from decaying radioactive waste and hydration from surrounding rock can lead to heterogeneous changes that are difficult to measure and predict. This study develops an Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT)‐based framework for monitoring THM processes, progressing from sample‐scale to bench‐scale tests, to inform field‐scale applications. Sample‐scale tests analyzed small bentonite samples under controlled variations in water content, temperature, and porosity to establish fundamental resistivity relationships. Bench‐scale tests involved larger bentonite columns subjected to heating (up to 200°C) and hydration under controlled pressure, simulating repository conditions. ERT measurements, complemented by X‐ray CT imaging, temperature monitoring, and tracing sensors, revealed coupled THM processes, such as hydration‐induced compression, swelling, and thermal gradients, leading to complex resistivity patterns. The results demonstrate the potential of ERT for capturing THM‐induced resistivity changes, though challenges remain in upscaling and quantitative analysis. This study evaluates laboratory test capabilities and proposes future improvements for understanding THM‐induced resistivity responses. A conceptual framework for ERT implementation in field‐scale monitoring is presented, synthesizing findings from both scales and exploring how ERT data can inform long‐term modeling and reduce prediction uncertainties. Overall, this ERT‐based framework offers a robust method for monitoring bentonite buffers, aiding in early issue detection and supporting the safe long‐term disposal of radioactive waste in geological repositories, while highlighting the need for future development. Plain Language Summary Bentonite clay is crucial in engineered barrier systems (EBS) for containing high‐level radioactive waste due to its ability to absorb water, swell, seal and remain stable under high temperatures. When bentonite absorbs water and heats up from radioactive decay, it experiences complex changes in its physical and mechanical properties. Understanding these changes is important for ensuring the long‐term safety and effectiveness of EBS. This study used Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT), a non‐invasive method that measures electrical conductivity to monitor these changes during laboratory experiments. The ERT data revealed significant variations in resistivity corresponding to changes in water content, temperature, and density, providing detailed spatial and temporal insights into the behavior of bentonite. These findings enhance our ability to predict the long‐term performance of bentonite barriers, ensuring the safe containment of radioactive waste. By improving our understanding of bentonite's behavior, this research supports the development of more reliable and effective barrier systems for radioactive waste disposal, protecting the environment and public health. Key Points ERT monitoring was employed to capture resistivity changes in bentonite during controlled heating and hydration experiments, providing insights into THM processes ERT data reveal significant resistivity changes correlated with water content, temperature, and mechanical effects, enhancing the understanding of THM dynamics in bentonite This study explores the potential of the framework for application in field‐scale EBS monitoring, emphasizing the need for integrating additional geophysical methods for comprehensive subsurface imaging

Chen, Hang↗

Revisiting adiabatic fraction estimations in cumulus clouds: high-resolution simulations with a passive tracer

The process of mixing in warm convective clouds and its effects on microphysics are crucial for an accurate description of cloud fields, weather, and climate. Still, they remain open questions in the field of cloud physics. Adiabatic regions in the cloud could be considered non-mixed areas and therefore serve as an important reference to mixing. For this reason, the adiabatic fraction (AF) is an important parameter that estimates the mixing level in the cloud in a simple way. Here, we test different methods of AF calculations using high-resolution (10 m) simulations of isolated warm cumulus clouds. The calculated AFs are compared with a normalized concentration of a passive tracer, which is a measure of dilution by mixing. This comparison enables the examination of how well the AF parameter can determine mixing effects and the estimation of the accuracy of different approaches used to calculate it. Comparison of three different methods to derive AF, with the passive tracer, shows that one method is much more robust than the others. Moreover, this method's equation structure also allows for the isolation of different assumptions that are often practiced when calculating AF such as vertical profiles, cloud-base height, and the linearity of AF with height. The use of a detailed spectral bin microphysics scheme allows an accurate description of the supersaturation field and demonstrates that the accuracy of the saturation adjustment assumption depends on aerosol concentration, leading to an underestimation of AF in pristine environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A phase-field model for hydraulic fracture nucleation and propagation in porous media

Many geo-engineering applications, for example, enhanced geothermal systems, rely on hydraulic fracturing to enhance the permeability of natural formations and allow for sufficient fluid circulation. Over the past few decades, the phase-field method has grown in popularity as a valid approach to modeling hydraulic fracturing because of the ease of handling complex fracture propagation geometries. However, existing phase-field methods cannot appropriately capture nucleation of hydraulic fractures because their formulations are solely energy-based and do not explicitly take into account the strength of the material. Thus, in this work, we propose a novel phase-field formulation for hydraulic fracturing with the main goal of modeling fracture nucleation in porous media, for example, rocks. Built on the variational formulation of previous phase-field methods, the proposed model incorporates the material strength envelope for hydraulic fracture nucleation through two important steps: (i) an external driving force term, included in the damage evolution equation, that accounts for the material strength; (ii) a properly designed damage function that defines the fluid pressure contribution on the crack driving force. In conclusion, the comparison of numerical results for two-dimensional test cases with existing analytical solutions demonstrates that the proposed phase-field model can accurately model both nucleation and propagation of hydraulic fractures. Additionally, we present the simulation of hydraulic fracturing in a three-dimensional domain with various stress conditions to demonstrate the applicability of the method to realistic scenarios.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Inter-well connectivity detection in CO 2 WAG projects using statistical recurrent unit models

Routine well-wise injection and production measurements contain significant information on subsurface structure and properties. Data-driven technology that interprets surface data into subsurface structure or properties can assist operators in making informed decisions by providing a better understanding of field assets. Our machine-learning framework is built on the statistical recurrent unit (SRU) model and interprets well-based injection/production data into inter-well connectivity without relying on a geologic model. We test it on synthetic and field-scale CO 2 EOR projects utilizing the water-alternating-gas (WAG) process. SRU is a special type of recurrent neural network (RNN) that allows for better characterization of temporal trends, by learning various statistics of the input at different time scales. In our application, the complete states (injection rate, pressure and cumulative injection) at injectors and pressure states at producers are fed to SRU as the input and the phase rates at producers are treated as the output. Once the SRU is trained and validated, it is then used to assess the connectivity of each injector to any producer using permutation variable importance method, wherein inputs corresponding to an injector are shuffled and the increase in prediction error at a given producer is recorded as the importance (connectivity metric) of the injector to the producer. This method is tested in both synthetic and field-scale cases. The validation of the proposed data-driven inter-well connectivity assessment is performed using synthetic data from simulation models where inter-well connectivity can be easily measured using the streamline-based flux allocation. The SRU model is shown to offer excellent prediction performance on the synthetic case. Despite significant measurement noise and frequent well shut-ins imposed in the field-scale case, the SRU model offers good prediction accuracy, the overall relative error of the phase production rates at most producers ranges from 10% to 30%. It is shown that the dominant connections identified by the data-driven method and streamline method are in close agreement. This significantly improves confidence in our data-driven procedure. The novelty of this work is that it is purely data-driven method and can directly interpret routine surface measurements to intuitive subsurface knowledge. Furthermore, the streamline-based validation procedure provides physics-based backing to the results obtained from data analytics. This study results in a reliable and efficient data analytics framework that is well-suited for large field applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Oxygen and Proton Transport in Flooded Graphene Pores with N-Dopants and Defects

Reactant transport is an important consideration in the design of ideal electrode structures. For the oxygen reduction reaction catalyzed by Pt/C in proton exchange membrane fuel cell cathodes, O 2 and H + delivery to Pt surfaces and H 2 O transport away are required. Some Pt nanoparticles may only be accessible via micropores that are too small for ionomer molecules to enter, possibly requiring flooding for H + transport. Here, to test if these “buried” Pt particles can play a role in activity through this proposed transport mechanism, we have performed atomic-scale simulations based on reactive force field molecular dynamics with an emphasis on confinement below 20 Å. Diffusion coefficients as a function of the molar concentration and local environment have been evaluated in water domains confined in two-dimensional graphene nanochannels of various channel heights representing a morphological model for micropores in proton exchange fuel cell cathodes. Our study shows that local atomic-scale structures can strongly modify H + , O 2 , and H 2 O transport rates in flooded micropores less than 20 Å in size. We find that there is a critical crossover in diffusion behavior around the 20 Å spacing with larger pores having bulk-like diffusion properties and confinement below 20 Å monotonically decreases diffusion rates. As pore size decreases, we observe locally dispersed water regions that ultimately strand reactants from long-distance transport. These findings suggest that flooded micropores may in fact be viable transport pathways for relevant reactants and products if the pore walls on opposite sides remain separated by ≥10 Å separation. Furthermore, the confinement effect is so strong that N-doping and C-vacancy defects in the C pore wall have only a minimal impact on diffusion rates and their effects are counterintuitively more apparent at larger spacings. These findings provide valuable insight regarding cathode performance and the role “stranded” catalyst particles may play in fuel cell cathodes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Low-cost desalination of seawater and hypersaline brine using nanophotonics enhanced solar energy membrane distillation

A stand-alone small-scale nanophotonics enhanced solar membrane distillation (NESMD) testbed was designed, developed, and tested for desalinating seawater and high salinity feedwaters. This NESMD system can take almost any source water and turn it into clean water with sunlight as the only energy source. The NESMD technology applies nanophotonic coating materials on a commercial hydrophobic polypropylene support of a polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) membrane surface. The photothermal coating serves as a solar thermal collector, absorbs solar energy, and generates highly localized heat on the membrane, while the rest of the membrane performs membrane distillation functions. The presented NESMD system is equipped with an internal heat recovery system with no need for external electricity and no additional water for cooling. The NESMD testbed is installed and tested at Rice University campus (29.7174° N, 95.4018° W). In this study, real seawater from Galveston Bay, Texas, U.S. and high salinity simulated feedwaters (total dissolved solids (TDS) of 113 200–200 000 PPM) have been tested for long-term testing under the weather conditions of Houston, Texas. Here, the field testing results showed stable desalination performance in consecutive 5–8 hour operation cycles, with a TDS removal of ≥99.5% in all experiments. An average daily membrane flux of ≥0.75 L m –2 h –1 was achieved at a solar intensity close to 1 kW m –2 without an external heat exchanger. Further investigations and improvements are required to enhance the performance of the reactor since it is still a new promising technology.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Correcting aberrations of a transverse-field neutron resonance spin echo instrument

Neutron resonance spin echo (NRSE) technique has the potential to increase the Fourier time and energy resolution in neutron scattering by using radio frequency (rf) neutron spin-flippers. However, aberrations arising from variations in the neutron path length between the rf flippers reduce the polarization. Here, we develop and test a transverse static-field magnet, a series of which are placed between the rf flippers, to correct for these aberrations. The prototype correction magnet was both simulated in an NRSE beamline using McStas, a Monte Carlo neutron ray-tracing software package, and measured using neutrons. The results from the prototype demonstrate that this static-field design corrects for transverse-field NRSE aberrations.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

GFiRe—Gauge Field integrator for Reheating

We present a new numerical algorithm and code, GFiRe, for solving the nonlinear evolution of Abelian gauge fields coupled to complex scalar fields in homogeneous and isotropic spacetimes. We adopt a hybrid approach to solving the system: the spatial derivatives are discretized using standard Lattice Gauge Field Theory techniques, whereas the time evolution of the fields and scale factor is implemented with explicit, composite, symplectic integrators. An important property of our compound algorithm is that the discretized Gauss constraint is respected exactly, regardless of the order of the symplectic integrator. This remains true even when the background expansion is computed “self-consistently”; that is, when the expansion history is computed using spatial averaged components of the energy momentum tensor in the simulation volume. Hence, our code can also be used in cases where the fields dominate the energy density of the universe, for example, during reheating after inflation. We test the algorithm in scenarios of reheating where the inflaton is a complex scalar field with a potential ∝(2|Φ| 2 - v 2 ) 2 and is coupled to an Abelian gauge field. Tracing the evolution of the system through complex dynamics (including resonant excitation of fields, backreaction, formation of solitons, and changes in the equation of state) in a self-consistently expanding universe, we find the energy conservation violation (<10 -4 ) to be very stable and the Gauss constraint violation (<10 -6 ) to be dominated by differencing noise.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Investigating the Roughness and Advance Rate of the Weathering Interface (Final Report)

To understand geological systems that are important to our national well-being -- such as nuclear waste repositories or hydraulically fractured rocks -- requires the ability to make quantitative projections of the evolution of rock-water systems forward in time. A fundamental goal of much of our geochemical research was focused on development of numerical models of reactive transport to simulate the evolution of natural water-rock systems. The geochemical community has provided such models and they are rapidly being improved with field-model cross-testing. This project was especially impactful in field-model testing for well-constrained weathering systems to provide new conceptual understanding of how these systems function.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

50 MW Segmented Ultralight Morphing Rotors for Wind Energy

A multi-institutional team designed a 50 Megawatt (MW) rated wind turbine featuring downwind aeroelastic morphing to reduce blade loads and allow an ultralight segmented rotor (mass reduction of about 25% compared to a conventional upwind rotor). The team used a control co-design approach with state-of-the art simulations including for the rotor and tower design using non-linear fluid-structure interactions and control algorithms, and the team also designed, built, and field-tested an aeroelastically-scaled downwind rotor to demonstrate this novel technology and validate the design tool fidelity. In a follow-on phase, these results were used along with an updated Levelized Cost Of Energy (LCOE) methodology to co-design a more detailed set of 25 MW rated turbine designs (including individual pitch control) based on minimum LCOE with highly flexible blades for an Atlantic Ocean offshore fixed-bottom design targeted towards market technology evaluation. A set of upwind and downwind designs at 25 MW rated scales were found to provide the best LCOE, with strong improvements over all previous offshore reference turbines (NREL 5MW, DTU 10 MW and IEA 15 MW). The optimized design would represent the world’s largest offshore turbine design, which combines several state-of-the-art structural, aerodynamic, and control technologies into a new and optimized system concept.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Type Ia Supernova Growth-rate Measurement with LSST Simulations: Intrinsic Scatter Systematics

Measurement of the growth rate of structures (fσ 8 ) with Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) will improve our understanding of the nature of dark energy and enable tests of general relativity. In this paper, we generate simulations of the 10 yr SN Ia data set of the Rubin-LSST survey, including a correlated velocity field from an N-body simulation and realistic models of SNe Ia properties and their correlations with host-galaxy properties. We find, similar to SN Ia analyses that constrain the dark energy equation-of-state parameters w 0 w a , that constraints on fσ 8 can be biased depending on the intrinsic scatter of SNe Ia. While for the majority of intrinsic scatter models we recover fσ 8 with a precision of ∼13%–14%, for the most realistic dust-based model, we find that the presence of non-Gaussianities in Hubble diagram residuals leads to a bias on fσ 8 of ∼ −20%. When trying to correct for the dust-based intrinsic scatter, we find that the propagation of the uncertainty on the model parameters does not significantly increase the error on fσ 8 . We also find that while the main component of the error budget of fσ 8 is the statistical uncertainty (>75% of the total error budget), the systematic error budget is dominated by the uncertainty on the damping parameter, σ u , that gives an empirical description of the effect of redshift space distortions on the velocity power spectrum. Our results motivate a search for new methods to correct for the non-Gaussian distribution of the Hubble diagram residuals, as well as an improved modeling of the damping parameter.

Carreres, Bastien [Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United ↗

A multipurpose lifting-line flow solver for arbitrary wind energy concepts

Abstract. In this work, we extend the AeroDyn module of OpenFAST to support arbitrary collections of wings, rotors, and towers. The new standalone AeroDyn driver supports arbitrary motions of the lifting surfaces and complex turbulent inflows. Aerodynamics and inflow are assembled into one module that can be readily coupled with an elastic solver. We describe the features and updates necessary for the implementation of the new AeroDyn driver. We present different case studies of the driver to illustrate its application to concepts such as multirotors, kites, or vertical-axis wind turbines. We perform verification and validation of some of the new features using the following test cases: elliptical wings, horizontal-axis wind turbines, and 2D and 3D vertical-axis wind turbines. The wind turbine simulations are compared to existing tools and field measurements. We use this opportunity to describe some limitations of current models and to highlight areas that we think should be the focus of future research in wind turbine aerodynamics.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Physics-informed machine learning with differentiable programming for heterogeneous underground reservoir pressure management

Abstract Avoiding over-pressurization in subsurface reservoirs is critical for applications like CO $$_2$$ 2 sequestration and wastewater injection. Managing the pressures by controlling injection/extraction are challenging because of complex heterogeneity in the subsurface. The heterogeneity typically requires high-fidelity physics-based models to make predictions on CO $$_2$$ 2 fate. Furthermore, characterizing the heterogeneity accurately is fraught with parametric uncertainty. Accounting for both, heterogeneity and uncertainty, makes this a computationally-intensive problem challenging for current reservoir simulators. To tackle this, we use differentiable programming with a full-physics model and machine learning to determine the fluid extraction rates that prevent over-pressurization at critical reservoir locations. We use DPFEHM framework, which has trustworthy physics based on the standard two-point flux finite volume discretization and is also automatically differentiable like machine learning models. Our physics-informed machine learning framework uses convolutional neural networks to learn an appropriate extraction rate based on the permeability field. We also perform a hyperparameter search to improve the model’s accuracy. Training and testing scenarios are executed to evaluate the feasibility of using physics-informed machine learning to manage reservoir pressures. We constructed and tested a sufficiently accurate simulator that is 400 000 times faster than the underlying physics-based simulator, allowing for near real-time analysis and robust uncertainty quantification.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Leveraging Optimal Sparse Sensor Placement to Aggregate a Network of Digital Twins for Nuclear Subsystems

Nuclear power plants (NPPs) require continuous monitoring of various systems, structures, and components to ensure safe and efficient operations. The critical safety testing of new fuel compositions and the analysis of the effects of power transients on core temperatures can be achieved through modeling and simulations. They capture the dynamics of the physical phenomenon associated with failure modes and facilitate the creation of digital twins (DTs). Accurate reconstruction of fields of interest (e.g., temperature, pressure, velocity) from sensor measurements is crucial to establish a two-way communication between physical experiments and models. Sensor placement is highly constrained in most nuclear subsystems due to challenging operating conditions and inherent spatial limitations. This study develops optimized data-driven sensor placements for full-field reconstruction within reactor and steam generator subsystems of NPPs. Optimized constrained sensors reconstruct field of interest within a tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) fuel irradiation experiment, a lumped parameter model of a nuclear fuel test rod and a steam generator. The optimization procedure leverages reduced-order models of flow physics to provide a highly accurate full-field reconstruction of responses of interest, noise-induced uncertainty quantification and physically feasible sensor locations. Accurate sensor-based reconstructions establish a foundation for the digital twinning of subsystems, culminating in a comprehensive DT aggregate of an NPP.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multi‐fidelity digital twin structural model for a sub‐scale downwind wind turbine rotor blade

Abstract This paper presents the development of a multi‐fidelity digital twin structural model (virtual model) of an as‐built wind turbine blade. The goal is to develop and demonstrate an approach to produce an accurate and detailed model of the as‐built blade for use in verifying the performance of the operating two‐bladed, downwind rotor. The digital twin model development methodology, presented herein, involves a novel calibration process to integrate a wide range of information including design specifications, manufacturing information, and structural testing data (modal and static) to produce a multi‐fidelity digital twin structural model: a detailed high‐fidelity model (i.e., 3D finite element analysis [FEA]) and consistent beam‐type models for aeroelastic simulation. A key element is that the multi‐fidelity structural digital twin method follows the rotor from the stages of design, to manufacturing, then to the ground testing and field operation. The result of this comprehensive approach is an accurate multi‐fidelity digital twin structural model for the geometric, structural, and structural dynamic properties of the as‐built blade within a 1% match in mass properties, 3.2% in blade frequencies, and 6% in deflection. The different stages of processing this information within the methodology are discussed. The rotor examined is the SUMR‐Demonstrator (SUMR‐D), which was installed on the Controls Advanced Research Testbed (CART‐2) wind turbine at the National Wind Technology Center. The digital twin model developed here was utilized to design controllers to safely operate SUMR‐D in field tests, which are providing additional data for further evaluation and development of the multi‐fidelity digital twin structural model.

Chetan, Mayank↗

A Vertically Resolved Canopy Improves Chemical Transport Model Predictions of Ozone Deposition to North Temperate Forests

Abstract Dry deposition is the second largest tropospheric ozone (O 3 ) sink and occurs through stomatal and nonstomatal pathways. Current O 3 uptake predictions are limited by the simplistic big‐leaf schemes commonly used in chemical transport models (CTMs) to parameterize deposition. Such schemes fail to reproduce observed O 3 fluxes over terrestrial ecosystems, highlighting the need for more realistic treatment of surface‐atmosphere exchange in CTMs. We address this need by linking a resolved canopy model (1D Multi‐Layer Canopy CHemistry and Exchange Model, MLC‐CHEM) to the GEOS‐Chem CTM and use this new framework to simulate O 3 fluxes over three north temperate forests. We compare results with in situ measurements from four field studies and with standalone, observationally constrained MLC‐CHEM runs to test current knowledge of O 3 deposition and its drivers. We show that GEOS‐Chem overpredicts observed O 3 fluxes across all four studies by up to 2×, whereas the resolved‐canopy models capture observed diel profiles of O 3 deposition and in‐canopy concentrations to within 10%. Relative humidity and solar irradiance are strong O 3 flux drivers over these forests, and uncertainties in those fields provide the largest remaining source of model deposition biases. Flux partitioning analysis shows that: (a) nonstomatal loss accounts for 60% of O 3 deposition on average; (b) in‐canopy chemistry makes only a small contribution to total O 3 fluxes; and (c) the CTM big‐leaf treatment overestimates O 3 ‐driven stomatal loss and plant phytotoxicity in these temperate forests by up to 7×. Results motivate the application of fully online vertically explicit canopy schemes in CTMs for improved O 3 predictions.

Vermeuel, Michael P. [Department of Soil, Water, a↗