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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Integrating Reanalysis and Satellite Cloud Information to Estimate Surface Downward Long-Wave Radiation

The estimation of downward long-wave radiation (DLR) at the surface is very important for the understanding of the Earth’s radiative budget with implications in surface–atmosphere exchanges, climate variability, and global warming. Theoretical radiative transfer and observationally based studies identify the crucial role of clouds in modulating the temporal and spatial variability of DLR. In this study, a new machine learning algorithm that uses multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and the combination of near-surface meteorological data with satellite cloud information is proposed. The new algorithm is compared with the current operational formulation used by the European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis (LSA-SAF). Both algorithms use near-surface temperature and dewpoint temperature along with total column water vapor from the latest European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis ERA5 and satellite cloud information from the Meteosat Second Generation. The algorithms are trained and validated using both ECMWF-ERA5 and DLR acquired from 23 ground stations as part of the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility. Results show that the MARS algorithm generally improves DLR estimation in comparison with other model estimates, particularly when trained with observations. When considering all the validation data, root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 18.76, 23.55, and 22.08 W·m –2 are obtained for MARS, operational LSA-SAF, and ERA5, respectively. The added value of using the satellite cloud information is accessed by comparing with estimates driven by ERA5 total cloud cover, showing an increase of 17% of the RMSE. The consistency of MARS estimate is also tested against an independent dataset of 52 ground stations (from FLUXNET2015), further supporting the good performance of the proposed model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1993

A Look at a Day of Data from the TOPEX/POSEIDON GPS Receiver

On August 10, 1992, the Topex/Poseidon Satellite was launched into orbit about the Earth to begin its mission to chart the oceans' topography. One of the instruments on board this satellite is a receiver for tracking the navigational satellites of the NAVSTAR Global Positioning System (GPS). The purpose of the receiver is to provide the data required to enable a demonstration of continuous sub-decimeter level positioning of Topex/Poseidon using the GPS. This discussion will briefly describe the data and then focus on the special statistical tools used to pre-process and monitor the large quantity of navigational data. It will be shown how robust regression splines provide useful models and residual diagnostics for the task. Numerous specialized graphics will be presented to show how the data are monitored in a daily operational environment.

robust regression spline statistical graphics↗
NASA NTRS2015

Wing Shape Sensing from Measured Strain

A new two-step theory is investigated for predicting the deflection and slope of an entire structure using strain measurements at discrete locations. In the first step, a measured strain is fitted using a piecewise least-squares curve fitting method together with the cubic spline technique. These fitted strains are integrated twice to obtain deflection data along the fibers. In the second step, computed deflection along the fibers are combined with a finite element model of the structure in order to interpolate and extrapolate the deflection and slope of the entire structure through the use of the System Equivalent Reduction and Expansion Process. The theory is first validated on a computational model, a cantilevered rectangular plate wing. The theory is then applied to test data from a cantilevered swept-plate wing model. Computed results are compared with finite element results, results using another strainbased method, and photogrammetry data. For the computational model under an aeroelastic load, maximum deflection errors in the fore and aft, lateral, and vertical directions are -3.2%, 0.28%, and 0.09%, respectively; and maximum slope errors in roll and pitch directions are 0.28% and -3.2%, respectively. For the experimental model, deflection results at the tip are shown to be accurate to within 3.8% of the photogrammetry data and are accurate to within 2.2% in most cases. In general, excellent matching between target and computed values are accomplished in this study. Future refinement of this theory will allow it to monitor the deflection and health of an entire aircraft in real time, allowing for aerodynamic load computation, active flexible motion control, and active induced drag reduction.

shape sensing↗
NASA NTRS2019

Real-Time UAV Trajectory Prediction for Safety Monitoring in Low-Altitude Airspace

The rising number of small unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) expected in the next decade will enable a new series of commercial, service, and military operations in low altitude airspace as well as above densely populated areas. These operations may include on-demand delivery, medical transportation services, law enforcement operations, traffic surveillance and many more. Such unprecedented scenarios create the need for robust, efficient ways to monitor the UAV state in time to guarantee safety and mitigate contingencies throughout the operations. This work proposes a generalized monitoring and prediction methodology that utilizes realtime measurements of an autonomous UAV following a series of way-points. Two different methods, based on sinusoidal acceleration profiles and high-order splines, are utilized to generate the predicted path. The monitoring approach includes dynamic trajectory re-planning in the event of unexpected detour or hovering of the UAV during flight. It can be further extended to different vehicle types, to quantify uncertainty affecting the state variables, e.g., aerodynamic and other environmental effects, and can also be implemented to prognosticate safety-critical metrics which depend on the estimated flight path and required thrust. The proposed framework is implemented on a simplified, scalable UAV modeling and control system traversing 3D trajectories. Results presented include examples of real-time predictions of the UAV trajectories during flight and a critical analysis of the proposed scenarios under uncertainty constraints.

UAV trajectory prognosis↗
DOE OSTI2022

Genetic correlations between switchgrass performance in sward conditions and surrogate measures

Switchgrass (Panicum virgatum L.) breeders use spaced-seedling plots for evaluations of biomass yield, but prior studies are ambiguous about the relationship between performance in spaced plots and commercial seeded sward performance. This study used a split-plot incomplete block design to evaluate 52 half-sib switchgrass families across two years to determine the correlations among four different plot types (including seeded swards) and four individual plant traits. Plots (1.62 m 2 ) that contained 3, 6, and 18 plants had mean yields of 5.92, 8.04, and 11.06 Mg ha –1 , respectively, while seeded-sward plots had a mean of 5.37 Mg ha –1 . In a mixed-model analysis including family-, year-, and plot-type interactions with a spatial-spline correction, the largest proportion of family variance was accounted for by the main family effect (48%), while the plot type-by-family effect was only 17% of family variance. These results indicate that spaced-plant plots are reasonable surrogates for biomass performance in sward conditions. Yield reliability was 0.50 across all plot types with a mean of 0.46 for individual plot types. Surrogates for sward yield varied due to genetic background of the families. Yield of families derived from the Liberty cultivar (n = 32) had genetic correlations with winter survivorship scores (0.66). Diverse lowland ecotype families (n = 20) had genetic correlations with plant height and heading date. This study highlighted a major difference in performance among the plot types, specifically that seeded swards have depressed yield due to high plant density. This should encourage further research for the mechanism behind this difference in performance.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Comparing emulation methods for a high‐resolution storm surge model

Abstract Realistic simulations of complex systems are fundamental for climate and environmental studies. Large computer systems are often not sufficient to run sophisticated computational models for large numbers of different input settings. Statistical surrogate models, or emulators, are key tools enabling fast exploration of the simulator input space. Gaussian processes have become standard for computer simulator emulation. However, they require careful implementation to scale appropriately, motivating alternative methods more recently introduced. We present a comparison study of surrogates of the Sea, Lake, and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH) simulator—the simulator of choice for government agencies—using four emulation approaches: BASS; BART; SEPIA; and RobustGaSP. SEPIA and RobustGaSP use Gaussian processes, BASS implements adaptive splines, and BART is based on ensembles of regression trees. We describe the four models and compare them in terms of computation time and predictive metrics. These surrogates use proven and distinct methodologies, are available through accessible software, and quantify prediction uncertainty. Our data cover millions of response values. We find that SEPIA and RobustGaSP provide exceptional predictive power, but cannot scale to emulate experiments as large as the one considered in this paper as effectively as BASS and BART.

Hutchings, Grant↗
DOE OSTI2025

Joint Modeling of Wind Speed and Wind Direction Through a Conditional Approach

Atmospheric near surface wind speed and wind direction play an important role in many applications, ranging from air quality modeling, building design, wind turbine placement to climate change research. It is therefore crucial to accurately estimate the joint probability distribution of wind speed and direction. In this work, we develop a conditional approach to model these two variables, where the joint distribution is decomposed into the product of the marginal distribution of wind direction and the conditional distribution of wind speed given wind direction. To accommodate the circular nature of wind direction, a von Mises mixture model is used; the conditional wind speed distribution is modeled as a directional dependent Weibull distribution via a two-stage estimation procedure, consisting of a directional binned Weibull parameter estimation, followed by a harmonic regression to estimate the dependence of the Weibull parameters on wind direction. A Monte Carlo simulation study indicates that our method outperforms two other approaches in estimation efficiency: one that utilizes periodic spline quantile regression and another that generates data from the commonly used Abe-Ley distribution for cylindrical data. We illustrate our method by using the output from a regional climate model to investigate how the joint distribution of wind speed and direction may change under some future climate scenarios. Our method indicates significant changes in the variation of wind speed with respect to some directions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Explicit structural topology optimization using boundary element method‐based moving morphable void approach

Abstract This article presents an explicit topology optimization approach using boundary element method based moving morphable void (MMV). Structural analysis in the conventional MMV approach is performed on a fixed mesh over the entire design domain. However, in the proposed method structural boundaries are described using B‐splines and discretized with boundary elements making explicit representation of the boundaries possible. In this regard, the proposed approach has following merits: a) the use of weak material, which is often adopted to mimic voids can be completely avoided; b) exact and explicit description of voids in MMV allows the capture of tiny structural features in a robust and effective way; c) numerical instabilities stemming from the use of fixed meshes can be naturally avoided. Several numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Zhang, Weisheng↗
DOE OSTI2025

Enriched immersed finite element and isogeometric analysis: algorithms and data structures

Immersed finite element methods provide a convenient analysis framework for problems involving geometrically complex domains, such as those found in topology optimization and microstructures for engineered materials. However, their implementation remains a major challenge due to, among other things, the need to apply nontrivial stabilization schemes and generate custom quadrature rules. This article introduces the robust and computationally efficient algorithms and data structures comprising an immersed finite element preprocessing framework. The input to the preprocessor consists of a background mesh and one or more geometries defined on its domain. The output is structured into groups of elements with custom quadrature rules formatted such that common finite element assembly routines may be used without or with only minimal modifications. The key to the preprocessing framework is the construction of material topology information, concurrently with the generation of a quadrature rule, which is then used to perform enrichment and generate stabilization rules. While the algorithmic framework applies to a wide range of immersed finite element methods using different types of meshes, integration, and stabilization schemes, the preprocessor is presented within the context of the extended isogeometric analysis. This method utilizes a structured B-spline mesh, a generalized Heaviside enrichment strategy considering the material layout within individual basis functions’ supports, and face-oriented ghost stabilization. Using a set of examples, the effectiveness of the enrichment and stabilization strategies is demonstrated alongside the preprocessor’s robustness in geometric edge cases. Additionally, the performance and parallel scalability of the implementation are evaluated.

Computer implementation↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Particle-in-Cell Method for Plasmas with a Generalized Momentum Formulation, Part II: Enforcing the Lorenz Gauge Condition

In a previous paper Christlieb et al. (A particle-in-cell method for plasmas with a generalized momentum formulation, part I: Model formulation, 2024), we developed a new particle-in-cell (PIC) method for the relativistic Vlasov–Maxwell system in which the electromagnetic fields and the equations of motion for the particles were cast in terms of scalar and vector potentials through a Hamiltonian formulation. This new method evolved the potentials under the Lorenz gauge using integral equation methods. New methods to construct spatial derivatives of the potentials that converge at the same rates as the fields were also presented. The new particle method was compared against standard explicit discretizations, including the well-known FDTD-PIC method, for a range of applications involving sheaths and particle beams. Here, this paper extends this new class of methods by focusing on the enforcement the Lorenz gauge condition in both exact and approximate forms using co-located meshes. A time-consistency property of the proposed field solver for the vector potential form of Maxwell’s equations is established, which is shown to preserve the equivalence between the semi-discrete Lorenz gauge condition and the analogous semi-discrete continuity equation. Using this property, we present three methods to enforce a semi-discrete gauge condition. The first method introduces an update for the continuity equation that is consistent with the discretization of the Lorenz gauge condition. Both the finite difference and spectral implementations satisfy this discrete gauge condition to machine precision. The second approach we propose enforces a semi-discrete continuity equation using the boundary integral solution to the field equations. The potential benefit of this approach is that it eliminates spatial derivatives that appear on the particle data, namely the current density, which is often calculated by linear combinations of low-order spline basis functions. This method is ideally suited to boundary integral equation methods that invert multi-dimensional operators without dimensional splitting techniques and will be the subject of future work. The third approach introduces a gauge correcting method that makes direct use of the gauge condition to modify the scalar potential and uses local maps for both the charge and current densities. This results in a gauge error, as the maps do not enforce the continuity equation. The vector potential coming from the current density is taken to be exact, and using the Lorenz gauge, we compute a correction to the scalar potential that makes the two potentials satisfy the gauge condition. This method also enforces the gauge condition to machine precision. We demonstrate two of the proposed methods in the context of periodic domains. Problems defined on bounded domains, including those with complex geometric features remain an ongoing effort. However, this work shows that it is possible to design computationally efficient methods that can effectively enforce the Lorenz gauge condition in a non-staggered PIC formulation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Bounds on the Rate-Dependent Plastic Flow of Tantalum up to 75 GPa

In this study we report on the continued development of thermodynamics-based analysis of shock waves propagation with the objective of extracting information related to materials strength at high strain rates and pressures. Building on previous results reported for peak stresses of 10 GPa and 25 GPa, we present a series of three-step gas-gun shock experiments designed to explore the pressure and strain rate dependence of plastic flow in polycrystalline tantalum. These experiments at nominal peak stresses of 50 GPa and 75 GPa show the irreversible deformation before pullback to be almost entirely confined to the shock loading, with negligible plastic relaxation on the post-shock plateau. We also add a reverse-ballistics shot at 25 GPa, which was designed to reveal the pullback response with negligible interference from free-surface effects. General thermodynamic considerations allow us to place bounds on the plastic behavior even for parts of the curve that change far too rapidly for the velocimetric time resolution of (conservatively) ~ 5 ns. To analyze the data, we found it necessary to substantially improve the interpolation/extrapolation scheme in order to improve its robustness, flexibility and range of applicability. We describe the new scheme based on splines, as well as an extension of free-surface corrections to the post-shock rarefaction waves. Reanalysis with the new scheme produces results essentially within the error bars previously reported, showing that the known systematic errors associated with free-surface effects are relatively inconsequential for determining thermodynamic paths.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Assessing the sensitivity of land-atmosphere coupling strength to boundary and surface layer parameters in the WRF model over Amazon

Modeling tools can be used to diagnose regional land-atmosphere (L-A) coupling strength in the absence of sufficient observations, but subject to uncertainties associated with parameters in model physical parameterizations. Different sensitivity analysis (SA) approaches may lead to different conclusions about the underlying sensitivities. In this study, we quantify simulation uncertainties related to parameter perturbations, and use different approaches to conduct parameter SA on the WRF model pertaining to L-A coupling strength for simulations over the Amazon region. A total of twenty parameters from the Yonsei University (YSU) planetary boundary layer (PBL) and the revised MM5 surface layer (SL) schemes were selected in this analysis. Three different SA methods, the Morris One-at-A-Time (MOAT) method, the Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) method, and the Sobol’ method, were employed to analyze seven WRF-simulated variables and five L-A coupling metrics. Results show that 1) parameter perturbations cause large simulation uncertainties which are comparable to those in the observations; 2) three different SA methods give consistent L-A coupling strength outcomes; 3) six out of the twenty parameters contribute 80%–95% of the total variance in the metrics analyzed, and first-order effects dominate over interaction effects; 4) the twelve variables/metrics of interest show similar sensitivity patterns to the selected parameters, which is consistent across all the methods used. Physical mechanisms for how the sensitive parameters act in determining the L-A coupling strength and associated variables also are illustrated. Our results will help quantifying L-A coupling strength and establishing a basis for parameter calibration over the Amazon region.

Wang, Chen↗
DOE OSTI2020

An efficient method to integrate polynomials over polytopes and curved solids

Here in this paper, we present an efficient approach to compute the integral of monomials and polynomials over polyhedra and regions defined by parametric curved boundary surfaces. We use Euler's theorem for homogeneous functions in combination with Stokes's theorem to reduce the integration of a monomial over a three-dimensional solid to its boundary. If the solid is a polytope, through a recursive application of these theorems, the integral is further reduced to just the evaluation of the monomial and its derivatives at the vertices of the polytope. The present approach is simpler than existing techniques that rely on repeated use of the divergence theorem, which require the antiderivative of the monomials and the projection of these functions onto hyperplanes. For convex and nonconvex polytopes, our approach does not introduce any approximation for the integration of monomials. For curved solid regions bounded by surfaces that admit a parameterization, the same approach yields simplified formulas to compute the integral of any homogeneous function, including monomials. For surfaces parameterized by polynomial surfaces (such as Bezier surface triangles and B-spline patches), the method yields machine-precision accuracy for the volumetric integration of monomials with an appropriate quadrature rule. Numerical examples over regions bounded by polynomial surfaces and rational surfaces are presented to establish the accuracy and efficiency of the method.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Meso-scale modelling of compressive fracture in concrete with irregularly shaped aggregates

This paper presents a meso-scale modelling framework to investigate the fracture process in concrete subjected to uniaxial and biaxial compression accounting for its mesostructural characteristics. 3D mesostructure of concrete consisting of coarse aggregates, mortar and interfacial transition zone between them was developed using an in-house code based on the Voronoi tessellation and splining method, which enables to generate the realistic-look aggregates with controllable structural features such as content, location, size and shape. Based on the generated 3D mesostructure, the concrete damage plasticity approach was employed to simulate the compressive fracture behaviour of concrete in terms of crack morphology and stress-strain response against the shape parameters of aggregate. Results indicate that the shape of aggregate has a negligible effect on compressive strength of concrete, which is highly associated with the random location and size distribution of aggregate. The aggregate irregularity has a significant influence on crack initiation and growth of concrete.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Predicting concrete compressive strength using hybrid ensembling of surrogate machine learning models

This study aims to implement a hybrid ensemble surrogate machine learning technique in predicting the compressive strength (CS) of concrete, an important parameter used for durability design and service life prediction of concrete structures in civil engineering projects. For this purpose, an experimental database consisting of 1030 records has been compiled from the machine learning repository of the University of California, Irvine. The database was used to train and validate four conventional machine learning (CML) models, namely Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Linear and Non-Linear Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS-L and MARS-C), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), and Minimax Probability Machine Regression (MPMR). Subsequently, the predicted outputs of CML models were combined and trained using ANN to construct the Hybrid Ensemble Model (HENSM). It is observed that the proposed HENSM produces higher predictive accuracy compared to the CML models used in the present study. The predictive performance of all models for CS prediction was compared using the testing dataset and it is found that the HENSM model attained the highest predictive accuracy in both phases. Based on the experimental results, the newly constructed HENSM model is very potential to be a new alternative in handling the overfitting issues of CML models and hence, can be used to predict the concrete CS, including the design of less polluting and more sustainable concrete constructions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Kinetic model development and Bayesian uncertainty quantification for the complete reduction of Fe-based oxygen carriers with CH 4 , CO, and H 2 for chemical looping combustion

In this work, three kinetic models are developed and calibrated for the complete multi-step reduction of an Fe-based oxygen carrier (OC) particle with CH 4 , CO, and H 2 , using data from thermogravimetric analysis. The complete reduction rate profiles exhibit complex dynamics whose trajectory is significantly different depending on the reducing gas. A Bayesian model building and parameter estimation framework is applied for simultaneous parameter and model structure uncertainty quantification. The final models show excellent agreement between model predictions and calibration data, as well as new data not used for calibration (for the reduction of the OC with CH 4 ). Parameter uncertainty is quantified by determining joint posterior distribution, and model structure uncertainty is addressed by incorporating Gaussian process stochastic functions (represented by Bayesian smoothing splines) into the kinetic models. The final kinetic models with discrepancy functions are readily employable in equation-oriented simulation and optimization platforms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

IGA-MPM: The Isogeometric Material Point Method

In this work, we propose the use of Isogeometric Analysis (IGA) within the context of the Material Point Method (MPM), and refer to the approach as IGA-MPM. We use the idea of IGA, and its instantiation based on Non-Uniform Rational B-Splines (NURBS), to build higher-order accurate and smooth approximation for MPM. Higher-order smoothness yields a continuous representation of the strain rate, and, as a result, prevents jumps in the stress and other history variables as the material points cross the element boundaries. Furthermore, NURBS can exactly represent all conic sections and the corresponding symmetries in the solution, which may be important in some applications. Several numerical examples of increasing complexity are presented, and show the ability of IGA-MPM to eliminate the well known cell-crossing instability of the conventional MPM. In addition, the examples presented demonstrate improved accuracy, convergence, and symmetry preservation of IGA-MPM compared to the conventional MPM, both for rectilinear and curved geometries.

42 ENGINEERING↗