SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “uncertainity”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 325 records · Page 18

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

NASA NTRS1977

Spectral line similarity in the geomagnetic dipole field variations and length of day fluctuations

Power spectral density analysis using Burg's maximum entropy method (MEM) was applied to the geomagnetic dipole field and its rate of change for the years 1901-1969. Both spectra indicate relative maxima at 0.015 cycle/yr and its harmonics. These maxima correspond approximately to 66-, 33-, 22-, 17-, 13-, 11-, and 9-year spectral lines. The application of the same analysis techniques to the length of day (l.o.d.) fluctuations for the period 1865-1961 reveals similar spectral characteristics. The existence of the common spectral peaks with periods of 66 and 33 years in the l.o.d. fluctuations and the geomagnetic dipole field is clearly established. The existence of the higher harmonics is somewhat uncertain because of the line-splitting problem in the MEM spectral analysis. It is suggested that the spectral line similarity in the l.o.d. fluctuations and the dipole field variations is related to the motion within the earth's fluid core during the past 100 years.

Jin, R.-S.↗

NASA NTRS1976

Synthesis techniques for insensitive aircraft control systems

Comparative evaluation of seven insensitive synthesis techniques applied to the control of the longitudinal axis and symmetric flexure modes of the C-5A aircraft is described. These techniques have the common goal of achieving insensitivity to parameter uncertainties and unmodeled dynamics. For this comparison, the 'complete' model was assumed to consist of rigid body dynamics, fifteen flexure modes, unsteady aerodynamics, gust dynamics, and first order actuators for two control inputs. Thirteen flexure modes and the unsteady aerodynamics were treated as neglected dynamics. Dynamic pressure, structural frequency and damping, and the stability derivative were treated as uncertain parameters. Design specifications consisted of a transient response criterion, statistical response criteria, eigenvalue criteria and stability margins. A nominal controller designed without regard to sensitivity served as a benchmark for performance comparisons of the insensitive controllers.

Harvey, C. A.↗

NASA NTRS1976

Large scale cratering of the lunar highlands - Some Monte Carlo model considerations

In an attempt to understand the scale and intensity of the moon's early, large scale meteoritic bombardment, a Monte Carlo computer model simulated the effects of all lunar craters greater than 800 m in diameter, for example, the number of times and depths specific fractions of the entire lunar surface were cratered. The model used observed crater size frequencies and crater-geometries compatible with the suggestions of Pike (1974) and Dence (1973); it simulated bombardment histories up to a factor of 10 more intense than those reflected by the present-day crater number density of the lunar highlands. For the present-day cratering record the model yields the following: approximately 25% of the entire lunar surface has not been cratered deeper than 100 m; 50% may have been cratered to 2-3 km depth; less than 5% of the surface has been cratered deeper than about 15 km. A typical highland site has suffered 1-2 impacts. Corresponding values for more intense bombardment histories are also presented, though it must remain uncertain what the absolute intensity of the moon's early meteorite bombardment was.

Hoerz, F.↗

NASA NTRS1976

On the global TRM of the lunar lithosphere

A global thermoremanent magnetization (TRM) theory is developed which takes into account the direction and magnitude of a hypothetical source dipole field, the distribution of magnetic permeability and the coefficient of TRM and the cooling rate in the lithosphere, and models the low-field TRM characteristics of the material. When applied to the moon in conjunction with lunar magnetic parameter ranges now available, the theory gives a permanent lunar dipole moment which is uncertain to a factor of about 10 to the 5th power.

Srnka, L. J.↗

NASA NTRS1977

The uncertainty threshold principle - Some fundamental limitations of optimal decision making under dynamic uncertainty

This note shows that the optimal control of dynamic systems with uncertain parameters has certain limitations. In particular, by means of a simple scalar linear-quadratic optimal control example, it is shown that the infinite horizon solution does not exist if the parameter uncertainty exceeds a certain quantifiable threshold; we call this the uncertainty threshold principle. The philosophical and design implications of this result are discussed.

Athans, M.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Spectra of cosmic gamma-ray bursts in the hard X-ray range

Hard X-ray measurements of six gamma-ray bursts observed by detectors on the OGO-5 and OSO-6 satellites during the period Oct. 1969 to Apr. 1971 are presented. Spectra for five of the six bursts were determined using measurements from both satellites in order to reduce ambiguities due to uncertain source locations. A significant fraction, 20 to 60%, of the energy of the bursts fall in the hard X-ray range (20 to 130 keV). The time-integrated spectra were fitted by power-law, exponential, and thermal bremsstrahlung functions. They are consistent with power-laws which steepen at energies approx. above 150 keV, as reported earlier for two other bursts. Evidence for spectral variability from event to event in the hard X-ray region is presented. The hard X-ray spectra of the gamma-ray bursts differ from those of the recently discovered 1 to 15 keV bursts.

Share, G. H.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Insensitive control technology development

THe investigation of two insensitive controller synthesis techniques was reported. The finite dimensional inverse approach produces a time varying insensitive controller and/or parameter identifier by constructing inverse functions derived from a finite number of input output pair relationships. The MD/IM concept relies on the information matrix theory that was developed in the estimation and identification field. The MD/IM synthesis technique is based on the hypothesis that minimizing the information matrix will reduce system identifiability and consequently system sensitivity to uncertain parameters. The controllers designed with both techniques were evaluated on a realistic C-5A aircraft flight control problem. Results indicate that the FDI controller is more suited to trajectory type problems because of its time varying nature. The MD/IM controller performed as well as the top-rated controllers of the initial effort and has direct application to aircraft flight control problems.

Harvey, C. A.↗

NASA NTRS1978

OSO-8 X-ray spectra of clusters of galaxies. 2: Discussion

X-ray spectral parameters obtained from 2 to 20 keV OSO-8 data on X-ray clusters and optical cluster properties were examined to obtain information for restricting models for hot intracluster gas structures. Topics discussed include the radius of the X-ray core in relation to the galaxy core radius, the viral mass of hotter clusters, and galaxy density and optical central cluster properties. A population of cool, dim X-ray clusters which have not been observed is predicted. The iron abundance determinations recently quoted for intracluster gas are uncertain by 50 to greater than 100 percent from this nonstatistical cause alone.

Smith, B. W.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Unusual satellite data: A black hole?

Data obtained by the NASA-launched European Space Agency's International Ultraviolet Explorer satellite suggests the possibility of a massive black hole at the center of some globular clusters (star groups) in our galaxy. Six of these clusters, three of them X-ray sources, were closely examined. Onboard short wavelength UV instrumentation penetrated the background denseness of the clusters 15,000 light years away where radiation, probably from a group of 10 to 20 bright blue stars orbiting the core, was observed. The stars may well be orbiting a massive black hole the size of 1,000 solar systems. The existence of the black hole is uncertain. The dynamics of the stars must be studied first to determine how they rotate in relation to the center of the million-star cluster. This may better indicate what provides the necessary gravitational pull that holds them in orbit.

Source record↗

NASA NTRS1978

Practical calculation of laminar and turbulent bled-off boundary layers

Bleed-off of boundary layer material is shown to be an effective means for reducing drag by conserving the laminar boundary layer and preventing separation of the turbulent boundary layer. The case in which the two effects of bleed-off overlap is examined. Empirical methods are extended to the case of bleed-off. Laminar and turbulent boundary layers are treated simultaneously and the approximation differential equations are solved without an uncertain error. The case without bleed-off is also treated.

Eppler, R.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Possible measurements of J sub 2 and the sun's angular momentum with the solar probe

The metric tensor is given for describing the dynamical effects of the sun on a solar probe and the gravitational redshift of a probe-based clock in a covariance analysis for the detectability of the solar quadrupole moment and the solar angular momentum. Unknown parameters were determined by least squares fit to the probe tracking data. A polar orbit was assumed with perihelion at 5 solar radii and with an earth-sun-probe angle of 135 deg at perihelion. Tracking was assumed to be Doppler only, with a basic uncertainity of .1 mm/sec in the radial velocity. A drag-free system which could reduce nongravitational forces below the level of 2 times 10 to the minus 12th power was found necessary to preserve this same level of accuracy. Both one way and two way Doppler were supposed in order to determine the gravitational redshift as well as the pure spacecraft dynamics.

Nordtvedt, K.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Hard X-ray spectra of cosmic gamma-ray bursts

Hard X-ray measurements of six gamma-ray bursts observed during the period from October 1969 to April 1971 are presented. The measurements were made with detectors on the OGO-5 and OSO-6 satellites. Spectra for five of the six bursts have been determined using measurements from both satellites in order to reduce ambiguities due to uncertain source locations. A significant fraction, about 20-60%, of the energy of the bursts falls in the hard X-ray range (20-130 keV). The time-integrated spectra have been fitted by power-law, exponential, and thermal-bremsstrahlung functions. They are consistent with power laws which steepen at energies of at least 150 keV, as reported earlier for two other bursts. Evidence for spectral variability from event to event in the hard X-ray region is presented. For a power-law representation, the power-law index has values ranging from approximately unity to 2.5. The hard X-ray spectra of the gamma-ray bursts differ significantly from those of the recently discovered 1-15-keV X-ray bursts.

Kane, S. R.↗

NASA NTRS1977

On coronal Fe abundances and temperatures from XUV emission lines

Data obtained by the OSO-7 spectroheliograph on strong XUV lines of five different Fe ions from the outer equatorial corona are presented. Interpretation of the data with a spherically symmetric model atmosphere gives average ion abundances for lines of sight at 0.3 solar radii from the limb. Fe XVI is usually more abundant than Fe XV, XIV, XII and IX, but there are times when Fe XII is more abundant than the other ions. The deviation of measured relative abundances of Fe XII, XIV, and XVI from predictions of ionization equilibrium at one temperature seems to indicate that there are appreciable temperature variations along lines of sight. Element abundances are very uncertain since they appear to depend so heavily on likely but unknown density irregularities along lines of sight.

Nakada, M. P.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Observations of O VI

A useful spectroscopic tracer for a hot phase of interstellar gas is the O VI ion, which reaches its maximum concentration in collisional ionization between 100,000 and 1 million K. Presently, over 70 stars have been observed for O VI absorption by the Copernicus satellite. Nearly all of the stars show broad weak lines, but no evidence favoring a circumstellar origin for the gas can be found. An overall average for the electron density of the hot gas in the galactic plane is of the order of 0.001 per cu cm. The relative volume in space occupied by the hot-gas regions (and hence their internal density) is uncertain, but a filling factor in the range from 0.02 to 0.2 seems most plausible. Fluctuations in radial velocities and column densities suggest there are roughly 6 regions per kpc, each with an O VI column density of approximately 10 trillion per sq cm. The observed rms dispersion of radial velocities for these regions is 26 km/s.

Jenkins, E. B.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Microwave continuum radiation from comet West 1975n

Continuum emission at wavelength 3.71 cm was observed from the nuclear region of comet West 1975n on March 5, 1976. The flux density was 0.040 Jy, which is uncertain by 25% due to calibration. Assuming that the source was a uniformly illuminated disk, the diameter was no more than about 1100 km and the brightness temperature was at least 330 + or - 85 K. On March 4, 1976, similar observations yielded only an upper limit (two standard deviations) to the flux density of 0.010 Jy. Thus it appears that the source turned on with a time scale of 1 day or less, at about the time that the short-lived cometary daughter nucleus 'C' split from the main nucleus 'A'. Similar emission was observed from comet Kohoutek 1973f. In each case, it appears that the microwave emission can be interpreted as thermal radiation from a temporarily enhanced icy-grain halo (IGH). If this interpretation is correct, then the actual temperature (which is assumed to be approximately equal to the nuclear surface temperature) must be in the range 200-250 K, roughly compatible with the observations, in order to satisfy the IGH models of Delsemme (1973).

Hobbs, R. W.↗

NASA NTRS1977

The evolution of asteroids as meteorite parent-bodies

The hypothesis that the asteroid belt is the source region for nearly all meteorites, remains viable and there is no compelling reason to ascribe any meteorites to cometary origin. On the other hand, uncertainties about the true composition of the larger S type asteroids and difficulties in finding plausible main-belt source-bodies for the ordinary chondrites leave room open for further speculation on this question. The scenario for the evolution of asteroids, based on collisional models of two distinct populations of different physical properties, is being criticized and refined. It remains uncertain whether this approach will ultimately prove to be the correct interpretation of the collisional evolution of asteroids.

Chapman, C. R.↗

NASA NTRS1978

A search for centimetric wavelength emission from UV Ceti stars

Simultaneous radio and optical observations were obtained on three UV Cet flare stars: YZ CMi, AD Leo, and Wolf 424. The total simultaneous monitoring time was 33.9 hours during which time 41 optical flares were detected. Two enhancements were detected at 1420 MHz in close temporal association with optical flares, but are of uncertain validity. The results presented indicate that 1420 MHz emission during a typical stellar flare is less than 0.10 Jy.

Moffett, T. J.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Preliminary results on the conversion of laser energy into electricity

A preliminary experiment was performed to investigate conversion of 10.6 micron laser energy to electrical energy via a laser-sustained argon plasma. Short-circuit currents of 0.7 A were measured between a thoriated-tungsten emitter and collector electrodes immersed in the laser-sustained argon plasma. Open-circuit voltages of about 1.5 V were inferred from the current-voltage load characteristics. The dominant mechanism of laser energy conversion is uncertain at this time. Much higher output powers appear possible.

Thompson, R. W.↗