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Capillary Corner Flows With Partial and Nonwetting Fluids

Capillary flow in containers or conduits with interior corners are common place in nature and industry. The majority of investigations addressing such flows solve the problem numerically in terms of a friction factor for flows along corners with contact angles below the Concus-Finn critical wetting condition for the particular conduit geometry of interest. This research effort provides missing numerical data for the flow resistance function F(sub i) for partially and nonwetting systems above the Concus-Finn condition. In such cases the fluid spontaneously de-wets the interior corner and often retracts into corner-bound drops. A banded numerical coefficient is desirable for further analysis and is achieved by careful selection of length scales x(sub s) and y(sub s) to nondimensionalize the problem. The optimal scaling is found to be identical to the wetting scaling, namely x(sub s) = H and y(sub s) = Htan (alpha), where H is the height from the corner to the free surface and a is the corner half-angle. Employing this scaling produces a relatively weakly varying flow resistance F(sub i) and for subsequent analyses is treated as a constant. Example solutions to steady and transient flow problems are provided that illustrate applications of this result.

Bolleddula, D. A.↗

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope: A search for Planet 9

We use Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) observations at 98 GHz (2015–2019), 150 GHz (2013–2019), and 229 GHz (2017–2019) to perform a blind shift-and-stack search for Planet 9. The search explores distances from 300 au to 2000 au and velocities up to 6\farcm3 per year, depending on the distance (r). For a 5 Earth-mass Planet 9 the detection limit varies from 325 au to 625 au, depending on the sky location. For a 10 Earth-mass planet the corresponding range is 425 au to 775 au. The predicted aphelion and most likely location of the planet corresponds to the shallower end of these ranges. The search covers the whole 18,000 square degrees of the ACT survey. No significant detections are found, which is used to place limits on the millimeter-wave flux density of Planet 9 over much of its orbit. Overall we eliminate roughly 17% and 9% of the parameter space for a 5 and 10 Earth-mass Planet 9, respectively. These bounds approach those of a recent INPOP19a ephemeris-based analysis, but do not exceed it. We also provide a list of the 10 strongest candidates from the search for possible follow-up. More generally, we exclude (at 95% confidence) the presence of an unknown solar system object within our survey area brighter than 4–12 mJy (depending on position) at 150 GHz with current distance 300 au < r < 600 au and heliocentric angular velocity 1\farcm5 per yr < v x (500au/r) < 2\farcs3 per yr, corresponding to low-to-moderate eccentricities. These limits worsen gradually beyond 600 au, reaching 5–15 mJy by 1500 au.

Sigurd Naess↗

Comparison of Gas Phase Fragmentation Behaviors of Nuclear Fuel Cycle Ligands in Lanthanide and Americium Metal Ligand Nitrate Clusters

Introduction (120 words): Transport of metal ions across the aqueous-organic phase boundary is an essential step in a hydrometallurgical nuclear fuel reprocessing strategy. The study of transport agents for nuclear fuel elements is imperative to guide the design of ligands that boost the separation efficiency of the recovery process from fission products. However, limited studies have been made on the chemistry of these transport agents when complexing with transuranic elements in gas-phase where all surrounding factors are essentially excluded. This work investigates the reagent ligand complexations to transuranic and other metals and their dissociations in the gas phase. Comparisons are made between 4f and 5f elements and between ligands. Methods (120 words): (N,N-diisobutylcarbamoylmethyl)phenyloctylphosphine oxide (CMPO) and N,N,N',N'-tetraoctyldiglycolamide (TODGA) have been selected to complex with metal nitrates. The actinide americium and lanthanides neodymium, samarium, and europium were investigated as part of this work. The lanthanides were selected to act as size and electron configuration analogues of the minor actinides. Metal complexes with two ligands and two nitrates ([M(NO3)2(CMPO)2]+, for example) are studied in Bruker micrOTOF-Q II mass spectrometer equipped with collision-induced dissociation capability. The comparisons of the mass spectra are made in groups of homogenous ligands and mixed TODGA-CMPO ligands clusters. Comparisons are also made based on the complexed metals (Am and lanthanides). Preliminary data (300 words): Collision-induced dissociation mass spectrometry data are collected on two ligands complexed with metal nitrates where the two ligands are homogenous, with (CMPO)2 or (TODGA)2, or heterogeneous, with (TODGA)(CMPO). Several fragmentation patterns are observed among complexes with the CMPO ligand whereas the TODGA ligand commonly dissociates intact from the complex. Most of the metal complexes exhibit similar fragmentation patterns, but there are a few notable deviations in fragmentation patterns between the Am and Ln-bearing complexes. For the [M(CMPO)2(NO3)2]+ complexes, the initial loss of nitrate in the form of nitric acid is observed in all four complexes. However, [Am(CMPO)2(NO3)2]+ exhibits an additional fragmentation not found in the lanthanide complexes. Also, a significantly different ratio of the second nitric acid loss is found in the Am complex. These deviations may indicate the different interaction behaviors between actinides and lanthanides. The [M(TODGA)2(NO3)2]+ complexes exhibit the fragmentation as the loss of one TODGA ligand as an intact form and the loss of nitrate as nitric acid. The Am complex exhibits an additional fragmentation after losing the TOGDA ligand, which is not observed among the Ln complexes. The heterogeneous [M(TODGA)(CMPO)(NO3)2]+ complexes exhibit both similarities and differences between the Am and Ln complexes. For example, the heterogenous Am complex does not exhibit the loss of an intact TODGA ligand while all three Ln complexes do. This indicates that TODGA may bind more strongly to Am than Ln. Additionally, the intensity of the loss of CMPO ligand (as partially or whole) is found to be significantly larger than that of the loss of TODGA (as partially of whole) indicating that TODGA is bound to the metal significantly stronger than CMPO. Planned computational analysis will help understand the deviation in fragmentation behaviors between americium and lanthanide metal centers, or between TODGA and CMPO ligands. Novel aspect (20 words): Gas-phase actinide and lanthanide complex formation and fragmentation provide insight into the coordination environment differences of f-element metals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparison of Gas Phase Fragmentation Behaviors of Nuclear Fuel Cycle Ligands in Lanthanide and Americium Metal Ligand Nitrate Clusters

Title (20 word): Comparison of Gas Phase Fragmentation Behaviors of Nuclear Fuel Cycle Ligands in Lanthanide and Americium Metal Ligand Nitrate Clusters Introduction (120 words): Transport of metal ions across the aqueous-organic phase boundary is an essential step in a hydrometallurgical nuclear fuel reprocessing strategy. The study of transport agents for nuclear fuel elements is imperative to guide the design of ligands that boost the separation efficiency of the recovery process from fission products. However, limited studies have been made on the chemistry of these transport agents when complexing with transuranic elements in gas-phase where all surrounding factors are essentially excluded. This work investigates the reagent ligand complexations to transuranic and other metals and their dissociations in the gas phase. Comparisons are made between 4f and 5f elements and between ligands. Methods (120 words): (N,N-diisobutylcarbamoylmethyl)phenyloctylphosphine oxide (CMPO) and N,N,N',N'-tetraoctyldiglycolamide (TODGA) have been selected to complex with metal nitrates. The actinide americium and lanthanides neodymium, samarium, and europium were investigated as part of this work. The lanthanides were selected to act as size and electron configuration analogues of the minor actinides. Metal complexes with two ligands and two nitrates ([M(NO3)2(CMPO)2]+, for example) are studied in Bruker micrOTOF-Q II mass spectrometer equipped with collision-induced dissociation capability. The comparisons of the mass spectra are made in groups of homogenous ligands and mixed TODGA-CMPO ligands clusters. Comparisons are also made based on the complexed metals (Am and lanthanides). Preliminary data (300 words): Collision-induced dissociation mass spectrometry data are collected on two ligands complexed with metal nitrates where the two ligands are homogenous, with (CMPO)2 or (TODGA)2, or heterogeneous, with (TODGA)(CMPO). Several fragmentation patterns are observed among complexes with the CMPO ligand whereas the TODGA ligand commonly dissociates intact from the complex. Most of the metal complexes exhibit similar fragmentation patterns, but there are a few notable deviations in fragmentation patterns between the Am and Ln-bearing complexes. For the [M(CMPO)2(NO3)2]+ complexes, the initial loss of nitrate in the form of nitric acid is observed in all four complexes. However, [Am(CMPO)2(NO3)2]+ exhibits an additional fragmentation not found in the lanthanide complexes. Also, a significantly different ratio of the second nitric acid loss is found in the Am complex. These deviations may indicate the different interaction behaviors between actinides and lanthanides. The [M(TODGA)2(NO3)2]+ complexes exhibit the fragmentation as the loss of one TODGA ligand as an intact form and the loss of nitrate as nitric acid. The Am complex exhibits an additional fragmentation after losing the TOGDA ligand, which is not observed among the Ln complexes. The heterogeneous [M(TODGA)(CMPO)(NO3)2]+ complexes exhibit both similarities and differences between the Am and Ln complexes. For example, the heterogenous Am complex does not exhibit the loss of an intact TODGA ligand while all three Ln complexes do. This indicates that TODGA may bind more strongly to Am than Ln. Additionally, the intensity of the loss of CMPO ligand (as partially or whole) is found to be significantly larger than that of the loss of TODGA (as partially of whole) indicating that TODGA is bound to the metal significantly stronger than CMPO. Planned computational analysis will help understand the deviation in fragmentation behaviors between americium and lanthanide metal centers, or between TODGA and CMPO ligands. Novel aspect (20 words): Gas-phase actinide and lanthanide complex formation and fragmentation provide insight into the coordination environment differences of f-element metals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Predictive Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification in Condition Monitoring of Active Components: A Reactor Coolant Pump Use Case

This work develops data-driven models for onset of thermal barrier leakage in reactor coolant pumps. It incorporates uncertainty quantification to enhance the reliability and robustness of pre- dictions. Using synthetic data generated by the Generic Pressurized Water Reactor simulator, realistic degradation scenarios were simulated across lifecycle stages—beginning, middle, and end of life. Key variables, including differential pressure, flow rate, vibration, and temperatures, were analyzed using machine learning framework. The fully connected neural network models demonstrated exceptional performance, achieving R2 scores exceeding 0.99 and root mean square errors as low as around 8.23 × 10-2 gallon per minute (gpm) for the three stages of the lifecy- cle. UQ analysis further validated the model’s robustness, with narrow uncertainty bounds during steady-state operations and appropriately wider bounds during transitional phases, reflecting the physical behavior of the system. This work addresses important gaps in real-time condition moni- toring and regulatory compliance by integrating advanced condition monitoring technologies with UQ into IST programs. The ability to detect thermal barrier leakage early and quantify prediction reliability supports optimizing maintenance strategies while ensuring nuclear power plants’ safe and reliable operation.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Multi-parametric analysis for mixed integer linear programming: An application to transmission upgrade and congestion management

Upgrading the capacity of existing transmission lines is essential for meeting the growing energy demands, facilitating the integration of renewable energy, and ensuring the security of the transmission system. This study focuses on the selection of lines whose capacities and by how much should be expanded from the perspective of the Independent System Operators (ISOs) to minimize the total system cost. We employ advanced multi-parametric programming and an enhanced branch-and-bound algorithm to address complex mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) problems, considering multi-period time constraints and physical limitations of generators and transmission lines. To characterize the various decisions in transmission expansion, we model the increased capacity of existing lines as parameters within a specified range. This study first relaxes the binary variables to continuous variables and applies the Lagrange method and Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) conditions to obtain optimal solutions and identify critical regions associated with active and inactive constraints. Moreover, we extend the traditional branch-and-bound (B&B) method by determining the problem’s upper and lower bounds at each node of the B&B decision tree, helping to manage computational challenges in large-scale MILP problems. Here, we compare the difference between the upper and lower bounds to obtain an approximate optimal solution within the decision-makers’ tolerable error range. In addition, the first derivative of the objective function on the parameters of each line is used to inform the selection of lines for easing congestion and maximizing social welfare. Finally, the capacity upgrades are selected by weighing the reductions in system costs against the expense of upgrading line capacities. The findings are supported by numerical simulations and provide transmission-line planners with decision-making guidance.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Structural analysis and functional evaluation of the disordered ß–hexosyltransferase region from Hamamotoa (Sporobolomyces) singularis

Hamamotoa (Sporobolomyces) singularis codes for an industrially important membrane bound ß-hexosyltransferase (BHT), (BglA, UniprotKB: Q564N5) that has applications in the production of natural fibers such as galacto-oligosaccharides (GOS) and natural sugars found in human milk. When heterologously expressed by Komagataella phaffii GS115, BHT is found both membrane bound and soluble secreted into the culture medium. In silico structural predictions and crystal structures support a glycosylated homodimeric enzyme and the presence of an intrinsically disordered region (IDR) with membrane binding potential within its novel N-terminal region (1–110 amino acids). Additional in silico analysis showed that the IDR may not be essential for stable homodimerization. Thus, we performed progressive deletion analyses targeting segments within the suspected disordered region, to determine the N-terminal disorder region’s impact on the ratio of membrane-bound to secreted soluble enzyme and its contribution to enzyme activity. The ratio of the soluble secreted to membrane-bound enzyme shifted from 40% to 53% after the disordered N-terminal region was completely removed, while the specific activity was unaffected. Furthermore, functional analysis of each glycosylation site found within the C-terminal domain revealed reduced total secreted protein activity by 58%–97% in both the presence and absence of the IDR, indicating that glycosylation at all four locations is required by the host for the secretion of active enzyme and independent of the removed disordered N-terminal region. Overall, the data provides evidence that the disordered region only partially influences the secretion and membrane localization of BHT.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Delay-Throughput Performance of the Deep-Space Ka-band Link

In this paper, performance of a first-in, first-out (FIFO), selective retransmission scheme for the deep-space Ka-band link is presented and compared to the performance of a comparable X-band link. In this analysis, 16 months of water vapor radiometer (WVR) and advanced water vapor radiometer (AWVR) data from the three Deep Space Network (DSN) Communication Complexes (DSCC) were used to emulate weather effects on X-band and Ka-band links from Mars. Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) X-band and Ka-band telecommunications parameters were used for spacecraft telecommunications capabilities. One pass per week per complex was selected from MRO's Deep Space Network (DSN) schedule from April 1, 2006 to August 31, 2007 for a total of 207 passes (69 passes per complex) for this analysis. For each pass both X-band and Ka-band links were designed using at most two data rates so that the expected pass capacity would be maximized subject to a minimum availability requirement (MAR). In conjunction with the WVR/AWVR data, elevation profiles of the selected passes and models for the performance of the antennas in the DSN were used to emulate the performance of both links. It was assumed that the retransmission of the data takes place not on the same pass as the original transmission but during subsequent passes. The data collected before a pass was assumed to be a fraction of the expected capacity of the pass as calculated through the link design process. Infinite spacecraft storage was assumed to obtain an upper bound on the spacecraft storage requirement. The independent parameters of this analysis were MAR and the ratio of data collected before a pass to the expected pass capacity. Since the selected passes did not occur at regular intervals, the delay in this analysis was measured in terms of number of passes. The throughput was measured in terms of number of bits received successfully on the ground. The results indicate that reasonable delay performance could be achieved with very high throughput for relatively low MAR values for data collection to expected pass capacity ratio of around 97% for Ka-band. The results indicate that, except for very low average delay requirements, the Ka-band link provides more than twice the throughput of the X-band link for the same amount of power consumed by the spacecraft. In addition, the results indicate that the required storage onboard the spacecraft is not prohibitive and good performance could be achieved by using a buffer size less than three times the maximum amount of data collected before a pass.

Shambayati, Shervin↗

Delay-Throughput Performance the Deep-Space Ka-Band Link

In this paper, performance of a first-in, first-out (FIFO), selective retransmission scheme for the deep-space Ka-band link is presented and compared to the performance of a comparable X-band link. In this analysis, 16 months of water vapor radiometer (WVR) and advanced water vapor radiometer (AWVR) data from the three Deep Space Network (DSN) Communication Complexes (DSCC) were used to emulate weather effects on X-band and Ka-band links from Mars. Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) X-band and Ka-band telecommunications parameters were used for spacecraft telecommunications capabilities. One pass per week per complex was selected from MRO's Deep Space Network (DSN) schedule from April 1, 2006 to August 31, 2007 for a total of 207 passes (69 passes per complex) for this analysis. For each pass both X-band and Ka-band links were designed using at most two data rates so that the expected pass capacity would be maximized subject to a minimum availability requirement (MAR). In conjunction with the WVR/AWVR data, elevation profiles of the selected passes and models for the performance of the antennas in the DSN were used to emulate the performance of both links. It was assumed that the retransmission of the data takes place not on the same pass as the original transmission but during subsequent passes. The data collected before a pass was assumed to be a fraction of the expected capacity of the pass as calculated through the link design process. Infinite spacecraft storage was assumed to obtain an upper bound on the spacecraft storage requirement. The independent parameters of this analysis were MAR and the ratio of data collected before a pass to the expected pass capacity. Since the selected passes did not occur at regular intervals, the delay in this analysis was measured in terms of number of passes. The throughput was measured in terms of number of bits received successfully on the ground. The results indicate that reasonable delay performance could be achieved with very high throughput for relatively low MAR values for data collection to expected pass capacity ratio of around 97% for Ka-band. The results indicate that, except for very low average delay requirements, the Ka-band link provides more than twice the throughput of the X-band link for the same amount of power consumed by the spacecraft. In addition, the results indicate that the required storage onboard the spacecraft is not prohibitive and good performance could be achieved by using a buffer size less than three times the maximum amount of data collected before a pass.

Shambayati, Shervin↗

Updated Estimate of Tritium Permeation from TPBAR Disposal Containers in ILV (U)

A tritium source term analysis was performed for TPBAR disposal in the E-Area Intermediate Level Vaults for the E-Area Low-Level Waste Facility Performance Assessment (PA). This analysis is based on an earlier source term analysis which treated the bulk oft he tritium residual as tightly bound by the TPBAR getter material, with only a small fraction existing as tritiated moisture in the lithium aluminate ceramic pellets. Together with atmospheric moisture trapped in the free volume, the tritiated water vapor is assumed to corrode steel surfaces inside the disposal container, covering them with a magnetite film while generating hydrogen. The carbon steel walls of the disposal container are permeable to hydrogen, providing a path way for tritium to escape containment. The rate of hydrogen generation is assumed to be limited by the rate of corrosion, which is assumed to be governed by parabolic reaction kinetics obtained from the literature. This relies on the further assumption that the water vapor consumed by the corrosion reaction is continually replaced by moisture from the lithium aluminate pellets until all of that moisture is gone. In addition to tritium permeation, the analysis also includes a slow leak through the disposal container walls at the maximum allowable leak rate, 1 x 1CH standard cm3/s. Results were obtained for four different combinations of internal and container wall temperatures, established in an earlier thermal analysis that considered two different vault loadings and two different TPBAR activity levels. Instantaneous release rates for these four cases are plotted in Figure ES-1 below

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Features of Afterbody Radiative Heating for Jupiter Entry

In this extended abstract, a preliminary analysis of a trajectory-based heating and ablation study in the afterbody of a Jovian entry probe is presented. The radiative flux in the afterbody impinging on the backshell of the probe is investigated with and without the presence of ablation product gas. The heritage tangent-slab approximation for radiative heating is shown to underpredict the radiative heating by as much as 50% in the afterbody making the highfidelity, yet computationally expensive, ray-tracing approach necessary to accurately predict the radiative heating predictions. An investigation into the merits of employing the ray-tracing approach for the prediction of the divergence of radiative flux in the afterbody flow field will be presented in the final manuscript. Nonequilibrium effects in the afterbody region will be investigated in the final manuscript including the impact of electron-ion recombination rates. To bound the problem based on the best available knowledge, an uncertainty analysis will be performed. Sources of uncertainty are identified in the ablation modeling, radiation modeling, flowfield kinetics, and thermodynamic properties of select species.

Thermophysics↗

NGC 5291: Implications for the Formation of Dwarf Galaxies

The possible formation and evolution of dwarf irregular galaxies from material derived from perturbed evolved galaxies is addressed via an H I study of a likely example, the peculiar system NGC 5291. This system, located in the western outskirts of the cluster Abell 3574, contains the lenticular galaxy NGC 5291 which is in close proximity to a disturbed companion and is flanked by an extensive complex of numerous knots extending roughly 4 min north and 4 min south of the galaxy. In an initial optical and radio study, Longmore et al. (1979, MNRAS, 188, 285) showed that these knots have the spectra of vigorous star-forming regions, and suggested that some may in fact be young dwarf irregular galaxies. High resolution 21-cm line observations taken with the VLA are presented here and reveal that the H I distribution associated with this system encompasses not only the entire N-S complex of optical knots, but also forms an incomplete ring or tail that extends approximately 3 min to the west. The H I associated with NGC 5291 itself shows a high velocity range; the Seashell is not detected. The formation mechanism for this unusual system is unclear and two models - a large, low-luminosity ram-swept disk, and a ram-swept interaction-are discussed. The H I in the system contains numerous concentrations, mostly along the N-S arc of the star-forming complexes, which generally coincide with one or more optical knots; the larger H I features contain several x 10(exp 9) solar mass of gas. Each of the knots is compared to a set of criteria designed to determine if these objects are bound against their own internal kinetic energy and are tidally stable relative to the host galaxy. An analysis of the properties of the H I concentrations surrounding the optical star-forming complexes indicates that at least the largest of these is a bound system; it also possesses a stellar component. It is suggested that this object is a genuinely young dwarf irregular galaxy that has evolved from the material associated with the system and that this entire complex contains several proto- or young dwarf irregular galaxies in various stages of development. We are therefore witnessing the early evolution of a number of genuinely young galaxies. Given the evident importance of the NGC 5291 system as a 'nursery' for young galaxies, careful modeling is required if we are to understand this remarkable galaxy.

Malphrus, Benjamin K.↗

Bound states of Ω baryons in light nuclei

Here, we investigate bound states of light Ω 3⁢𝑥 clusters (𝑥=𝑠,𝑐), motivated by the Ω 3⁢𝑠 ⁢𝑁 potential recently developed by the HAL QCD collaboration. To regularize this potential, we remove the deeply attractive core at 𝑟 < 0.4 fm and parametrize the long-range component (𝑟 > 0.4 fm) using a two-range Gaussian form. This procedure preserves the relevant two-body bound-state energy while having a negligible effect on the Ω 3⁢𝑠⁢ 𝑁⁢𝑁 and Ω 3⁢𝑠⁢ Ω 3⁢𝑠 ⁢𝑁 systems. An effective Ω 3⁢𝑠 ⁢𝛼 potential is then constructed by fitting a two-range Gaussian function to the long-range component of the folding potential, enabling calculations of the bound-state energies of the Ω 3⁢𝑠⁢ 𝛼, Ω 3⁢𝑠⁢ 𝛼⁢𝛼, and Ω 3⁢𝑠 ⁢Ω 3⁢𝑠 ⁢𝛼 systems. The regularization procedure leads to a substantial reduction in bound-state energies compared to those obtained with the original potential. We further extend the analysis to Ω 3⁢𝑐 -cluster systems by introducing an Ω 3⁢𝑐 ⁢𝑁 interaction, derived by comparing the existing Ω 3⁢𝑠⁢ Ω 3⁢𝑠 and Ω 3⁢𝑐 ⁢Ω 3⁢𝑐 potentials. Our results suggest that several parametrizations predict bound states in Ω 3⁢𝑐 -containing clusters. Finally, the Ω 3⁢𝑠 ⁢Ω 3⁢𝑠 interaction is described using a contactlike potential approach, motivated by the effective field theory.

binding energy & masses↗

Abort Trigger False Positive and False Negative Analysis Methodology for Threshold-Based Abort Detection

This paper describes a quantitative methodology for bounding the false positive (FP) and false negative (FN) probabilities associated with a human-rated launch vehicle abort trigger (AT) that includes sensor data qualification (SDQ). In this context, an AT is a hardware and software mechanism designed to detect the existence of a specific abort condition. Also, SDQ is an algorithmic approach used to identify sensor data suspected of being corrupt so that suspect data does not adversely affect an AT's detection capability. The FP and FN methodologies presented here were developed to support estimation of the probabilities of loss of crew and loss of mission for the Space Launch System (SLS) which is being developed by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). The paper provides a brief overview of system health management as being an extension of control theory; and describes how ATs and the calculation of FP and FN probabilities relate to this theory. The discussion leads to a detailed presentation of the FP and FN methodology and an example showing how the FP and FN calculations are performed. This detailed presentation includes a methodology for calculating the change in FP and FN probabilities that result from including SDQ in the AT architecture. To avoid proprietary and sensitive data issues, the example incorporates a mixture of open literature and fictitious reliability data. Results presented in the paper demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach in providing quantitative estimates that bound the probability of a FP or FN abort determination.

risk assessment↗

Bounding the Spacecraft Atmosphere Design Space for Future Exploration Missions

The selection of spacecraft and space suit atmospheres for future human space exploration missions will play an important, if not critical, role in the ultimate safety, productivity, and cost of such missions. Internal atmosphere pressure and composition (particularly oxygen concentration) influence many aspects of spacecraft and space suit design, operation, and technology development. Optimal atmosphere solutions must be determined by iterative process involving research, design, development, testing, and systems analysis. A necessary first step in this process is the establishment of working bounds on the atmosphere design space.

Lange, Kevin E.↗

Assessment of the LC-2 Prelaunch Fatigue Spectra of the CM-to-SM Flange Weld

The pad stay and rollout components of the Ares I-X life cycle can generate cyclic stress oscillations to the vehicle that could initiate and grow fatigue cracks from weld defects. The Ares I-X Project requested that a study be performed to determine if stabilization of the vehicle is required to reduce the stresses that could initiate and grow fatigue cracks at the flange-to-skin weld of the Command Module (CM) and Service Module (SM) interface. A fatigue crack growth analysis was conducted that used loads (LC-2) and stress analyses developed by the Ares I-X Project and utilized material data and analysis methods developed by a critical initial flaw size (CIFS) analysis conducted by NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) for the Upper Stage Simulator (USS) of the Ares I-X vehicle. A full CIFS analysis for the CM-to-SM flange-to-skin weld was not performed because the full flight spectrum was not provided and was not necessary to answer the question posed by the Ares I-X Project. Instead, an approach was developed to determine if the crack growth due to the pad stay and rollout components of the flight spectrum would adversely influence the CIFS. The approach taken used a number of conservative assumptions that eliminated the need for high-fidelity analyses and additional material testing, but still provided a bounding solution for the uncertainties of the problem. The results from this analysis indicate that the LC-2 pad stay and rollout spectrum components would not produce significant fatigue crack growth on the CM-to-SM flange-to-skin weld. Thus, from a fatigue crack growth standpoint, no stabilization is required to reduce the LC-2 pad stay and rollout cyclic stresses on the CM-to-SM flange-to-skin weld.

Dawicke, David S.↗

Hydrodynamical Simulations of Black Hole Binary Formation in AGN Disks

Abstract We study close encounters between two single black holes (BHs) embedded in an AGN disk using a series of global 2D hydrodynamics simulations. We find that when the disk density is sufficiently high, bound BH binaries can be formed by the collision of their circum-single disks. Our analysis demonstrates that, after a BH pair passes the pericenter of their relative trajectory, post-collision gas drag may slow down the BHs, possibly forcing the two BHs to stay tightly bound. A binary formed by a close encounter can have a compact semimajor axis, large eccentricity, and retrograde orbital angular momentum. We provide a fitting formula that can accurately predict whether a close encounter can form a binary based on the gas mass and the incoming energy of the encounter. This fitting formula can be easily implemented in other long-term simulations that study the dynamical evolution of BHs in active galactic nucleus disks.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗