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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

The carbon challenge: Design, synthesis, and chemisorption behavior of solid sorbents in direct air capture of carbon dioxide

Direct air capture (DAC) of CO 2 is a promising solution for reducing the carbon footprint through "negative emission" technology. However, the low CO 2 concentration (~400 ppm) and the dynamic nature of DAC processes present challenges in designing effective sorbent systems. Recent advancements in material design and structural engineering have led to the development of high-performance solid sorbents, offering a more stable, safe, and energy-efficient alternative to traditional liquid CO 2 capture methods. This review highlights progress in solid sorbent-based DAC, focusing on amine-modified materials, hydrogen-bonded frameworks, and ionic liquid-engineered scaffolds. The discussion covers design principles, synthesis methodologies, and their impact on CO 2 chemisorption, comparing the advantages and limitations of each approach. Characterization techniques, especially operando methods and computational tools, are reviewed to understand sorbent behavior during CO 2 integration and release. The reaction pathways and interaction mechanisms of these sorbents with CO 2 are analyzed to guide future design. Additionally, the CO 2 chemisorption behaviors, including capacity, sorption kinetics, recyclability, and durability in the presence of gaseous impurities and under humid conditions will be evaluated and compared. Further, the review offers unique insights into the physical properties, chemical structures, and surface engineering effects of these sorbents, based on comprehensive characterization and evaluation techniques.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

The response of stomatal conductance to seasonal drought in tropical forests

Stomata regulate CO2 uptake for photosynthesis and water loss through transpiration. The approaches used to represent stomatal conductance (gs) in models vary. In particular, current understanding of drivers of the variation in a key parameter in those models, the slope parameter (i.e. a measure of intrinsic plant water-use-efficiency), is still limited, particularly in the tropics. Here we collected diurnal measurements of leaf gas exchange and water potential (?leaf), and a suite of plant traits from the upper canopy of 15 tropical trees in two contrasting Panamanian forests throughout the dry season of the 2016 El Niño. The plant traits included wood density, leaf-mass-per-area (LMA), leaf carboxylation capacity (Vc,max25), leaf water content, the degree of isohydry, and predawn ?leaf. We first investigated how the choice of four commonly used leaf-level gs models with and without the inclusion of ?leaf as an additional predictor variable influence the ability to predict gs, and then explored the abiotic (i.e. month, site-month interaction) and biotic (i.e. tree-species-specific characteristics) drivers of slope parameter variation. Our results show that the inclusion of ?leaf did not improve model performance and that the models that represent the response of gs to vapor pressure deficit performed better than corresponding models that respond to relative humidity. Within each gs model, we found large variation in the slope parameter, and this variation was attributable to the biotic driver, rather than abiotic drivers. We further investigated potential relationships between the slope parameter and the six available plant traits mentioned above, and found that only one trait, LMA, had a significant correlation with the slope parameter (R2=0.66, n=15), highlighting a potential path towards improved model parameterization. This study advances understanding of gs dynamics over seasonal drought, and identifies a practical, trait-based approach to improve modeling of carbon and water exchange in tropical forests.

carbon and water exchange, stomatal conductance mo↗
NASA NTRS1989

Proliferation of maize (Zea mays L.) roots in response to localized supply of nitrate

Maize (Zea mays L.) plants with two primary nodal root axes were grown for 8 d in flowing nutrient culture with each axis independently supplied with NO3-. Dry matter accumulation by roots was similar whether 1.0 mol m-3 NO3- was supplied to one or both axes. When NO3- was supplied to only one axis, however, accumulation of dry matter within the root system was significantly greater in the axis supplied with NO3-. The increased dry matter accumulation by the +N-treated axis was attributable entirely to increased density and growth of lateral branches and not to a difference in growth of the primary axis. Proliferation of lateral branches for the +N axis was associated with the capacity for in situ reduction and utilization of a portion of the absorbed NO3-, especially in the apical region where lateral primordia are initiated. Although reduced nitrogen was translocated to the -N axis, concentrations in the -N axis remained significantly lower than in the +N axis. The concentration of reduced nitrogen, as well as in vitro NO3- reductase activity, was greater in apical than in more basal regions of the +N axis. The enhanced proliferation of lateral branches in the +N axis was accompanied by an increase in total respiration rate of the axis. Part of the increased respiration was attributable to increased mass of roots. The specific respiration rate (micromoles CO2 evolved per hour per gram root dry weight) was also greater for the +N than for the -N axis. If respiration rate is taken as representative of sink demand, stimulation of initiation and growth of laterals by in situ utilization of a localized exogenous supply of NO3- establishes an increased sink demand through enhanced metabolic activity and the increased partitioning of assimilates to the +N axis responds to the difference in sink demand between +N and -N axes.

NASA Discipline Life Support Systems↗
DOE OSTI2021

A simulation study of carbon storage with active reservoir management

As part of the Integrated Midcontinent Stacked Carbon Storage Hub (IMSCS-Hub) project led by Battelle Memorial Institute, a study was conducted to determine the feasibility of storing carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) in the stacked saline rock formations of the Sleepy Hollow Field (SHF), located in Red Willow County, southern Nebraska. A series of CO 2 injection simulation scenarios, with and without active reservoir management (ARM; brine extraction), were evaluated to investigate the feasibility of storing 50+ million tonnes (Mt) of CO 2 . The results indicated CO 2 injection combined with ARM may enable permanent storage of 50+ Mt of CO 2 . The area of review (AOR), the area in which underground sources of drinking water (USDWs) might be endangered during CO 2 injection, was assessed for the simulation scenarios. In comparison to a case without ARM, brine extraction resulted in a much smaller AOR, covering an area of 42 square miles (108.8 km 2 ), roughly one-fourth the size of an AOR resulting from CO 2 injection without ARM. Our findings, presented in this paper, indicate that CO 2 injection with ARM can improve the CO 2 storage capacity of a geologic storage complex up to 100% while also reduce the rate of pressure buildup in the subsurface, resulting in a 75% reduction in AOR. This may help in lowering carbon capture and storage project costs, risks, and effort needed to meet monitoring requirements for a storage project.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Tetrameric self-assembling of water-lean solvents enables carbamate anhydride-based CO2 capture chemistry

Abstract Carbon capture, utilization and storage is a key yet cost-intensive technology for the fight against climate change. Single-component water-lean solvents have emerged as promising materials for post-combustion CO 2 capture, but little is known regarding their mechanism of action. Here we present a combined experimental and modelling study of single-component water-lean solvents, and we find that CO 2 capture is accompanied by the self-assembly of reverse-micelle-like tetrameric clusters in solution. This spontaneous aggregation leads to stepwise cooperative capture phenomena with highly contrasting mechanistic and thermodynamic features. The emergence of well-defined supramolecular architectures displaying a hydrogen-bonded internal core, reminiscent of enzymatic active sites, enables the formation of CO 2 -containing molecular species such as carbamic acid, carbamic anhydride and alkoxy carbamic anhydrides. This system extends the scope of adducts and mechanisms observed during carbon capture. It opens the way to materials with a higher CO 2 storage capacity and provides a means for carbamates to potentially act as initiators for future oligomerization or polymerization of CO 2 .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Aging studies of Dual functional materials for CO 2 direct air capture with in situ methanation under simulated ambient conditions: Ru thrifting for cost reduction

Dual function materials (DFMs) comprised of 0.25 %Ru, 6.1 %Na 2 O/γ-Al 2 O 3 //monolith were evaluated for about 250 hours time-on-stream (TOS) at various simulated ambient climate capture conditions followed by temperature swing methanation to 280 °C. Herein this paper focuses on the impact of thrifting Ru to low levels and the impact on performance. Results showed both stable CO 2 capture capacity and CH 4 production with 0.25 % Ru DFM deposited on a ceramic monolith. The CO 2 conversion to CH 4 production was decreased slightly by the Ru decrease from 1 % to 0.25 %. The capture capacity decreased since a lower Ru content reduces the complete decomposition of the Na 2 CO 3 precursor producing fewer active adsorption sites (“Na 2 O”). The deployment of a low Ru DFM monolith would significantly decrease the overall capital cost and give more potential for a large-scale direct air capture and methanation (DACM) application.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
NASA NTRS2004

Sabatier Carbon Dioxide Reduction Assembly Development for Closed Loop Water Recovery

The Sabatier Carbon Dioxide Reduction System (CRA) offers water recovery on a long duration space mission to reduce water resupply. Currently, NASA Johnson Space Center (JSC), NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC), Hamilton Sundstrand Space Systems International, Inc. (HSSSI), and Southwest Research Institute (SWRI) are working together to develop a Sabatier CRA for the International Space Station (ISS). This effort is being funded by the Office of Biological and Physical Research (Code U)/Advanced Life Support program which is administered by NASA JSC. The Sabatier CRA is the next step in closing the oxygen life support loop on future space missions. The Sabatier reaction combines the waste carbon dioxide (recovered from crew metabolism) with waste hydrogen (a byproduct of electrolysis to produce oxygen) to produce water and methane (CH4). On ISS, the methane would be vented overboard, however the methane can be utilized for propulsion during a planetary exploration mission. Based on a crew size of 7-equivalent people, the Sabatier CRA can produce as much a 2000 lb/year water. Use of the Sabatier CRA will significantly reduce the amount of water that needs to be resupplied to the ISS on a yearly basis, at a tremendous cost saving to the program. Additionally, by recycling this additional water, the Sabatier CRA enables additional launch capacity for science experiments to be brought up to the ISS. The NASA/Industry team noted above has been working to reduce technical risks associated with the Sabatier CRA system. To date the technical risks have been considerably reduced, bringing the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) from TRL 4 to TRL 5/6. In doing so, the team has developed the system schematic, system models, control scheme, produced engineering development unit (EDU) hardware, performed limited integration testing of the EDU's and verified system modeling through testing. Additionally, the system schematic has been evaluated for failure modes and hazards and had a successful technical review by the NASA Safety Board. The current focus is now related to development of the water/methane phase separator, liquid sensor and CO2 compressor piston seal life. The overall goal of the current effort is to bring the system up to a TRL6 by the end of GFY04. Although the Sabatier CRA is not currently baselined for use on the ISS, its benefits are significant enough such that volume within the Oxygen Generation System rack has been reserved for future installation. The value of the water the CRA recover will allow NASA the additional crew time and payload needed to pursue its mission of scientific research.

Smith, Frederick↗
DOE OSTI2026

Design and demonstration of a direct air capture system with moisture-driven CO 2 delivery into aqueous medium

Two direct air capture (DAC) systems were designed and demonstrated to passively capture CO 2 from ambient air and use moisture to release the CO2 into an alkaline medium. A bench-scale system delivering ∼1 g CO 2 d –1 was demonstrated in a laminar flow hood, and a small pilot-scale system that could deliver ∼100 g CO 2 d –1 was operated outdoors in a 4.2 m 2 raceway pond. Novel elongated mesh-tube packets containing anion-exchange resin (AER) beads were found to reduce drying and CO 2 loading time 4.3-fold compared to larger mesh bags. Technoeconomic analysis (TEA) estimates the cost of capturing CO 2 into an alkaline solution, suitable for cultivating photosynthetic microorganisms, to be $\$229$ per tonne for a practical scenario based on current results and $\$72$ per tonne for an aspirational scenario considering improvements to sorbent capacity, hydrophobicity, and sorbent lifetime. TEA further estimates an additional $\$110$ per tonne to extract CO 2 from solution, purify it, and compress it to 15 MPa, suitable for sequestration. Furthermore, moisture-driven processes have the potential to use up to 87% less energy than thermal and/or vacuum swing DAC by using energy from water evaporation.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Enhanced Carbon Capture Behavior of Carbon Fibers via Ionic Liquid Modification

Carbon-based materials are widely deployed in carbon capture but are only limited to physisorption procedures. Further extending functionalized carbon materials to CO 2 chemisorption under low CO 2 concentration is highly desirable yet challenging. In this study, a carbon fiber composed of solely ultra-micropores (~0.45 nm) was deployed as the precursor to avoid the pore blocking effect, which was modified by superbase-derived ionic liquids (ILs) containing strong interaction sites with CO 2 . By forming a thin coating layer on the surface, the as-afforded surface-functionalized fiber materials demonstrated enhanced CO 2 uptake capacity and improved CO 2 sorption kinetics, as evaluated by both the volumetric method and thermogravimetric analysis, as well as the calculated energy distribution curves. The achievements made in this work provide guidance on the functionalization of carbon-based materials towards enhanced CO 2 chemisorption by forming a thin layer of selected IL coating.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Sorghum bicolor Core Metabolism Model

Upregulation of triacylglycerols (TAGs) in vegetative plant tissues such as leaves has the potential to drastically increase the energy density and biomass yield of bioenergy crops. In this context, constraint-based analysis has the promise to improve metabolic engineering strategies. Here we present a core metabolism model for the C4 biomass crop Sorghum bicolor (iTJC1414) along with a minimal model for photosynthetic CO2 assimilation, sucrose and TAG biosynthesis in C3 plants. Extending iTJC1414 to a four-cell diel model we simulate C4 photosynthesis in mature leaves with the principal photo-assimilatory product being replaced by TAG produced at different levels. Independent of specific pathways and per unit carbon assimilated, energy content and biosynthetic demands in reducing equivalents are about 1.3 to 1.4 times higher for TAG than for sucrose. For plant generic pathways, ATP- and NADPH-demands per CO2 assimilated are higher by 1.3- and 1.5-fold, respectively. If the photosynthetic supply in ATP and NADPH in iTJC1414 is adjusted to be balanced for sucrose as the sole photo-assimilatory product, overproduction of TAG is predicted to cause a substantial surplus in photosynthetic ATP. This means that if TAG synthesis was the sole photo-assimilatory process, there could be an energy imbalance that might impede the process. Adjusting iTJC1414 to a photo-assimilatory rate that approximates field conditions, we predict possible daily rates of TAG accumulation, dependent on varying ratios of carbon partitioning between exported assimilates and accumulated oil droplets (TAG, oleosin) and in dependence of activation of futile cycles of TAG synthesis and degradation. We find that, based on the capacity of leaves for photosynthetic synthesis of exported assimilates, mature leaves should be able to reach a 20% level of TAG per dry weight within one month if only 5% of the photosynthetic net assimilation can be allocated into oil droplets. From this we conclude that high TAG levels should be achievable if TAG synthesis is induced only during a final phase of the plant life cycle.

Feedstock Production↗
DOE OSTI2021

Dual function materials (Ru+Na 2 O/Al 2 O 3 ) for direct air capture of CO 2 and in situ catalytic methanation: The impact of realistic ambient conditions

Here a dual function material (DFM) comprised of 1% Ru, 10% Na 2 O/γ–Al 2 O 3 was studied for combined direct air capture (DAC) of CO 2 and catalytic methanation in a temperature swing operation. In the newly proposed operation, the DFM captures CO 2 (400 ppm) from air at ambient conditions. The material is then heated in H 2 to a temperature sufficient for catalytic conversion of the captured CO 2 to renewable natural gas. In this study, we demonstrate high CO 2 adsorption capacity and rates at ambient conditions (25 °C); the adsorbed CO 2 is then successfully catalytically methanated upon heating in H 2 . Adsorption was also carried out in humid conditions, more closely simulating ambient air. Adsorption and methane production were greatly improved with stable initial performance. The rate of adsorption is shown to be flowrate-dependent, which is critical for future reactor design.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS1972

Multichannel television coupling modulation experiments using a CO2 laser.

Experiments are described in which a carbon dioxide laser oscillating at 28.4 THz has been modulated simultaneously by three commercial television signals with carriers at 54, 66, and 82 MHz. Signal-to-noise degradation in the system was measured to be less than 1 dB, corresponding to modulator drive power of 1 W. This combination of wide bandwidth and low power consumption was made possible by the application of coupling modulation. This technique employs an intracavity electrooptic crystal to which the modulating fields are applied. Despite the fact that the crystal is positioned inside the laser cavity, the maximum bandwidth attainable is independent of both the cavity Q and the laser transition linewidth, and is limited only by modulator characteristics and optical transit time. Rigrod's (1965) method has been adapted to obtain an expression for the power coupled out of the laser. Modulator frequency response and drive power requirements are also summarized. It is seen that the noise bandwidth performance of the system would allow simultaneous modulation by 17 color television channels, or equivalently, more than a 300-megabit/sec capacity.

Hall, D. R.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Molten salt electrochemical upcycling of CO 2 to graphite for high performance battery anodes

The efficient transformation of CO 2 into a value-added material is a potential strategy to help mitigate climate effects caused by CO 2 emissions. One potential CO 2 conversion product is graphite which is an important and versatile material extensively used in many applications including as an anode for lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). Commercial graphite, however, is traditionally synthesized via the energy intensive Acheson process (>3000 °C) and the performance of such graphite can be limited under fast charging conditions which is important for vehicle electrification. We report the electrochemical transformation of CO 2 to highly crystalline nano-graphite with a controlled microstructure in a carbonate molten salt at 780 °C. The use of a nickel foam electrode and controlled electrochemical parameters during the molten salt conversion process yielded pure graphite at a lower temperature compared to the Acheson process. Moreover, when investigated as an anode material for LIBs, the CO 2 -converted graphite exhibited high reversible capacity, long cycle life, and excellent rate capability even under fast charging conditions. This process provides a way to potentially reduce carbon emissions through the utilization of waste CO 2 by converting it into value-added graphite suitable for fast charging, high-energy-density batteries for vehicle electrification.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Chemical looping conversion of CH4/CO2 to syngas on 5wt.%Ni@Ce0.6Zr0.4O2 catalyst: Impact of dynamic accumulation of surface carbon and oxygen vacancies

Syngas, a combination of carbon monoxide (CO) and hydrogen (H2), is a precursor to many chemicals and fuels, contributing to the billion-dollar global hydrocarbon industry. Chemical looping reforming (CLR) of the greenhouse gases methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2) allows for energy-efficient production of syngas. 5wt.% nickel (Ni) on ceria-zirconia (5wt%Ni@Ce0.6Zr0.4O2) mixed metal oxide catalyst was investigated here to explore pathways for enhanced syngas production on sustainable earth-abundant transition metal supported catalysts. The role of reduction-oxidation (redox) state of the catalyst, and carbon formation on the catalyst surface during chemical looping is explored to drive superior reaction kinetics, conversions, selectivity, and syngas ratios (H2/CO). The bulk and surface structure of the catalyst, along with carbon deposition features were characterized by electron microscopy, X-Ray diffraction, and ex situ Raman spectroscopy. The dynamic evolution of catalysts under CLR reaction conditions and the intrinsic reaction mechanisms were probed with in situ Raman spectroscopy, in situ Fourier transform spectroscopy, dynamic oxygen storage capacity (DOSC), and the Temporal Analysis of Products (TAP) reactor studies. Intrinsic kinetics of syngas production via CLR was correlated to the redox state of catalyst and the participation of nickel-catalyzed multiwalled carbon nanotube (CNT) growth, allowing enhanced CLR reaction performance.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Grid Value Analysis of Geothermal Systems for End-Use Applications

Fuel based end-uses for residential, commercial, and industrial consumers require a technology change to achieve economy-wide decarbonization. Space heating accounts for 42% of residential and 32% of commercial energy demand, much of which is currently met through carbon emitting fuels. Industrial energy use is heavily fuel based with electricity currently representing 13% of energy demand. Geothermal heat pumps (GHPs) and geothermal direct use can eliminate the need for CO2 emitting and simultaneously allow for more efficient electrification of end uses. Past work has assessed the impact on total energy costs and generation investments but did not identify specific grid services benefited. Energy usage in residential and commercial structures was assessed by leveraging data from ComStock and ResStock models. These models utilize housing attributes, occupancy patterns, weather data, and sophisticated energy simulations to generate hourly load profiles for individual buildings identified by unique IDs associated with their locations. Industrial sector energy use was evaluated using information from the Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey (MECS) as well as plant utilization data from the US Census to estimate hourly plant operations. The change in end-use demand for electricity, natural gas, and other fuels was calculated for different technologies that could meet this need. Using the ReEDS capacity expansion model, we produce regional price profiles that capture the grid benefit associated with the amount and timing of energy shifts in the power system from the adoption of geothermal systems relative to other technologies that could meet space heating, space cooling, and process heat requirements. We find that geothermal systems for meeting end-use demand add value to the energy system. In buildings where geothermal systems increase grid costs, these values are offset by reduced fuel costs and benefits to externalities, including emissions and health impacts.

decarbonization↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Cryogenic Modules for Synergistic O2 Generation and CO2 Retention in Closed-Circuit Escape Respirators

Since 2018, NASA and the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) have been developing a liquid oxygen storage module (LOXSM) based on the NASA patent-pending Cryogenic Flux Capacitor (CFC) technology. LOXSM’s could potentially replace the gaseous or chemical-based oxygen supply in current closed-circuit escape respirators (CCER), with reducing CCER size being a primary goal. By virtue of the CFC functionality, cryogenic oxygen stored within the LOXSM is released in response to heat input, ideally from the breathing loop. Prior efforts focused on the oxygen storage potential of silica aerogel materials that the CFC utilizes, and were previously reported. Current work explored the LOXSM’s potential to remove and retain CO 2 produced by the CCER user, in conjunction with oxygen generation, creating a synergy that may be exploited to reduce or eliminate the chemical CO 2 absorber used in current CCERs. A test program for determining CO 2 retention is presented, as well as the evolution of LOXSM prototypes. Testing showed that it is possible to completely remove CO 2 out of an effluent stream at the flowrate required for the capacity of the CCER for an appreciable time, and that the LOXSM prototype design progression had a positive effect on that duration.

A.M. Swanger↗
DOE OSTI2022

Mesophyll conductance response to short-term changes in p CO 2 is related to leaf anatomy and biochemistry in diverse C 4 grasses

Mesophyll CO 2 conductance (g m ) in C 3 species responds to short-term (minutes) changes in environment potentially due to changes in leaf anatomical and biochemical properties and measurement artefacts. Compared with C 3 species, there is less information on g m responses to short-term changes in environmental conditions such as partial pressure of CO 2 (pCO 2 ) across diverse C 4 species and the potential determinants of these responses. Using 16 C 4 grasses we investigated the response of g m to short-term changes in pCO 2 and its relationship with leaf anatomy and biochemistry. In general, g m increased as pCO 2 decreased (statistically significant increase in 12 species), with percentage increases in gm ranging from +13% to +250%. Greater increase in g m at low pCO 2 was observed in species exhibiting relatively thinner mesophyll cell walls along with greater mesophyll surface area exposed to intercellular air spaces, leaf N, photosynthetic capacity and activities of phosphoenolpyruvate carboxylase and Rubisco. Species with greater CO 2 responses of g m were also able to maintain their leaf water-use efficiencies (TE i ) under low CO 2 . Our study advances understanding of CO 2 response of g m in diverse C 4 species, identifies the key leaf traits related to this response and has implications for improving C 4 photosynthetic models and TE i through modification of g m .

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modelled land use and land cover change emissions – a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches

Abstract. Quantifying the net carbon flux from land use and land cover changes (fLULCC) is critical for understanding the global carbon cycle and, hence, to support climate change mitigation. However, large-scale fLULCC is not directly measurable and has to be inferred from models instead, such as semi-empirical bookkeeping models and process-based dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs). By definition, fLULCC estimates are not directly comparable between these two different model types. As an important example, DGVM-based fLULCC in the annual global carbon budgets is estimated under transient environmental forcing and includes the so-called loss of additional sink capacity (LASC). The LASC results from the impact of environmental changes on land carbon storage potential of managed land compared to potential vegetation and accumulates over time, which is not captured in bookkeeping models. The fLULCC from transient DGVM simulations, thus, strongly depends on the timing of land use and land cover changes mainly because LASC accumulation is cut off at the end of the simulated period. To estimate the LASC, the fLULCC from pre-industrial DGVM simulations, which is independent of changing environmental conditions, can be used. Additionally, DGVMs using constant present-day environmental forcing enable an approximation of bookkeeping estimates. Here, we analyse these three DGVM-derived fLULCC estimations (under transient, pre-industrial, and present-day forcing) for 12 models within 18 regions and quantify their differences as well as climate- and CO2-induced components and compare them to bookkeeping estimates. Averaged across the models, we find a global fLULCC (under transient conditions) of 2.0±0.6 PgC yr−1 for 2009–2018, of which ∼40 % are attributable to the LASC (0.8±0.3 PgC yr−1). From 1850 onward, the fLULCC accumulated to 189±56 PgC with 40±15 PgC from the LASC. Around 1960, the accumulating nature of the LASC causes global transient fLULCC estimates to exceed estimates under present-day conditions, despite generally increased carbon stocks in the latter. Regional hotspots of high cumulative and annual LASC values are found in the USA, China, Brazil, equatorial Africa, and Southeast Asia, mainly due to deforestation for cropland. Distinct negative LASC estimates in Europe (early reforestation) and from 2000 onward in the Ukraine (recultivation of post-Soviet abandoned agricultural land), indicate that fLULCC estimates in these regions are lower in transient DGVM compared to bookkeeping approaches. Our study unravels the strong dependence of fLULCC estimates on the time a certain land use and land cover change event happened to occur and on the chosen time period for the forcing of environmental conditions in the underlying simulations. We argue for an approach that provides an accounting of the fLULCC that is more robust against these choices, for example by estimating a mean DGVM ensemble fLULCC and LASC for a defined reference period and homogeneous environmental changes (CO2 only).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗