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At least 343 records · Page 19

Connecting Global Modes of Variability to Climate in High Mountain Asia

Oscillations in global modes of variability (MoVs) form global teleconnections that affect regional climate variability and modify the potential for severe and damaging weather conditions. Understanding the link between certain MoVs and regional climate can improve the ability to more accurately predict environmental conditions that impact human life and health. In this study, we explore the connection between different MoVs, including the Arctic oscillation (AO), Eurasian teleconnection, Indian Ocean dipole (IOD), North Atlantic oscillation (NAO), and El Niño southern oscillation (Nino34), with winter and summer climates in the High Mountain Asia (HMA) region, including geopotential height at 250 hPa (z250), 2 m air temperature (T2M), total precipitation (PRECTOT), and fractional snow cover area (fSCA). Relationships are explored for the same monthly period between the MoVs and the climate variables, and a lagged correlation analysis is used to investigate whether any relationship exists at different time lags. We find that T2M has a negative correlation with the Eurasian teleconnection in the Inner Tibetan Plateau and central China in both winter and summer and a positive correlation in western China in summer. PRECTOT has a positive correlation with all MoVs in most regions in winter, especially with the IOD, and a negative correlation in summer, especially with the Eurasian teleconnection. Snow cover in winter is positively correlated with most indices throughout many regions in HMA, likely due to wintertime precipitation also being positively correlated with most indices. Generally, the AO and NAO show similar correlation patterns with all climate variables, especially in the winter, possibly due to their oscillations being so similar. Furthermore, the AO and NAO are shown to be less significant in explaining the variation in HMA climate compared to other MoVs such as the Eurasian teleconnection. Overall, our results identify different time windows and specific regions within HMA that exhibit high correlations between climate and MoVs, which might offer additional predictability of the MoVs as well as of climate and weather patterns in HMA and throughout the globe.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMER ASSET MONITORING ON THE GRID EDGE USING SMART SENSOR DATA

As new loads such as rooftop photovoltaics, electric vehicles and other distributed energy resources become commonplace on the distribution grid, the stress on already aging assets begins to escalate. This increased loading and changing dynamics can exacerbate failure rates. While traditional monitoring efforts focus on transmission and generation assets, utilities are now beginning to pay close attention to distribution assets in order to increase reliability indices and reduce cost from unexpected outages. This research develops low-cost and scalable methods to monitoring the health of a critical distribution grid asset: the service transformer. Existing methods in literature are either invasive and thus difficult to implement or require the device to be tested offline in an expensive lab setting. Data from the ubiquitous smart meter as well as a novel Bluetooth based transformer monitor are leveraged to automatically notify the utility of deteriorating or damaged transformers. Voltage, temperature, and vibration are some of the signals measured and analyzed by the proposed algorithms to predict transformer failures. Furthermore, these algorithms are designed to keep the implementation and processing costs low by taking advantage of edge computing where possible.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Cryogenic tracer irradiation facility at the university of Texas at Austin

We report on a cryogenic gas irradiation facility in the 1.1 MW TRIGA reactor at The University of Texas at Austin. The system was designed to produce radioactive xenon and argon for environmental studies, and it can be applied to produce other gaseous radiotracers. The system design includes modeling accident scenarios to ensure operation does not risk damage to the reactor and minimizes risk of release of radioactive material. In conclusion, the SCALE code was used to model a 30-day irradiation of one liter of Xe-126 and the predicted activity is 0.9 Ci of Xe-127 at irradiation end.

Ar-37↗

Probabilistic Failure Criterion of SiC/SiC Composites Under Multiaxial Loading

Owing to its excellent mechanical properties and stability under high temperature and neutron irradiation conditions, SiC/SiC composites have emerged as a promising material for light water reactors (LWRs) in the development of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) systems. Structural integrity and retention of hermeticity are two crucial requirements for SiC/SiC claddings during normal operations, and both of them are closely related to the proportional limit stress (PLS) of the material. Understanding the behavior of SiC/SiC composites under multiaxial stress states and developing a probabilistic approach for evaluating the structural vulnerability are of paramount importance for reliability-based analysis and design of SiC/SiC composite claddings. So far, there has been very limited effort towards experimental and analytical investigations of probabilistic failure of SiC/SiC claddings. This critical knowledge gap motivates this research. A probabilistic failure criterion for SiC/SiC composites under multi-axial loading is developed, and this criterion is incorporated into reliability analysis of the structural integrity of SiC/SiC fuel cladding. The research consists of two parts: 1) experimental investigation of multiaxial failure behavior of SiC/SiC composites, and 2) theoretical modeling of time-dependent probabilistic failure of SiC/SiC cladding. In the experimental investigation, the PLS is determined through the examination of stress-strain response, the acoustic emission measurement, as well as the X-ray computed tomography. The theoretical framework is derived by combin- ing the finite weakest-link statistical model and the subcritical damage growth model. This theoretical model captures the time-dependent failure mechanism of the material, which has a major consequence for predicting the lifetime distribution of the cladding. Meanwhile, the model also predicts that the failure statistics of the cladding depends strongly on the cladding length. The results of the multiaxial experiments reveal the level of statistical variation of the PLS of SiC/SiC materials under different stress states. The theoretical model provides a robust analytical tool for extrapolation of small-scale laboratory test results to the behavior of full-scale claddings. These findings establish a scientific foundation for the development of reliability-based design of SiC/SiC fuel claddings, which will play an essential role in improving the structural safety and integrity of LWRs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multiscale dynamic experiments on fiber-reinforced composites with damage assessment using high-speed synchrotron X-ray phase-contrast imaging

We report fiber-reinforced composites (FRCs) have been widely used as protection materials to replace heavier metals. However, predictive capabilities for the impact-induced failure of FRCs have not been well-developed. In this work, we introduced an integrated technique to visualize the dynamic failure of FRCs, with the modified Kolsky bar loading and the high-speed synchrotron X-ray phase-contrast imaging (PCI). We summarize our experimental studies across the FRCs’ structural levels by using this integrated technique, including single-fiber tensile experiments, fiber/matrix debonding experiments, and single-edge notched bending experiments on composite laminates. It is revealed that the high-speed synchrotron X-ray PCI technique possesses sufficient spatial resolution to identify the failure behavior of a single fiber in the 10-μm scale level, as well as temporal resolution to identify the time sequence of internal dynamic damage evolution. The technique can penetrate through the opaque composite sample and provide real-time visualization of small-scale damaging mechanisms such as the embedded fiber’s sliding in the matrix and the fiber’s transverse debonding with the matrix. At an expanding scale, the technique can identify the crack initiation and track the cracking behavior inside a single ply or between different plies of a composite laminate. High-speed visualization inside the material by this integrated technique provides critical deformation and failure information to develop physical understanding of the damage inside composites under impact.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Do Machine Learning Approaches Offer Skill Improvement for Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Gust Occurrence and Magnitude?

Abstract Wind gusts, and in particular intense gusts, are societally relevant but extremely challenging to forecast. This study systematically assesses the skill enhancement that can be achieved using artificial neural networks (ANNs) for forecasting of wind gust occurrence and magnitude. Geophysical predictors from the ERA5 reanalysis are used in conjunction with an autoregressive term in regression and ANN models with different predictors, and varying model complexity. Models are derived and assessed for the warm (April–September) and cold (October–March) seasons for three high passenger volume airports in the United States. Model uncertainty is assessed by deriving models for 1000 different randomly selected training (70%) and testing (30%) subsets. Gust prediction fidelity in independent test samples is critically dependent on inclusion of an autoregressive term. Gust occurrence probabilities derived using five-layer ANNs exhibit consistently higher fidelity than those from regression models and shallower ANNs. Inclusion of the autoregressive term and increasing the number of hidden layers in ANNs from 1 to 5 also improve the model performance for gust magnitudes (lower RMSE, increased correlation, and model standard deviations that more closely approximate observed values). Deeper ANNs (e.g., 20 hidden layers) exhibit higher skill in forecasting strong (17–25.7 m s −1 ) and damaging (≥25.7 m s −1 ) wind gusts. However, such deep networks exhibit evidence of overfitting and still substantially underestimate (by 50%) the frequency of strong and damaging wind gusts at the three airports considered herein. Significance Statement Improved short-term forecasting of wind gusts will enhance aviation safety and logistics and may offer other societal benefits. Here we present a rigorous investigation of the relative skill of models of wind gust occurrence and magnitude that employ different statistical methods. It is shown that artificial neural networks (ANNs) offer considerable skill enhancement over regression methods, particularly for strong and damaging wind gusts. For wind gust magnitudes in particular, application of deeper learning networks (e.g., five or more hidden layers) offers tangible improvements in forecast accuracy. However, deeper networks are vulnerable to overfitting and exhibit substantial variability with the specific training and testing data subset used. Also, even deep ANNs reproduce only half of strong and damaging wind gusts. These results indicate the need for future work to elucidate the dynamical mechanisms of intense wind gusts and advance solutions to their prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-scale experimental study of creep-fatigue failure initiation in a 709 Stainless Steel alloy using high resolution digital image correlation. Final report

This report discusses the efforts made towards the multi-scale study of the creep-fatigue response of stainless steel 709. Multiple experimental techniques, including digital image correlation (DIC) and electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD), were used in assessing the evolution of damage accumulation during fatigue, creep-fatigue, and thermomechanical fatigue of alloy 709. The role of microstructural features, hold times, temperature, and loading profiles were quantified and the interchangeability of temperature and time was investigated. Finally, a thermomechanical fatigue model was shown to predict well the failure of samples with varying loading profiles. Results indicate that strain accumulation in 709 steel happens primarily near grain boundaries (GBs) with the strains around GBs being inversely proportional to their measured residual burgers vector. Furthermore, hot-spots for strain accumulation were shown to be the locations of eventual microcrack nucleation. The introduction of hold times to the periodic loading cycle increases the damage accumulation rate and thus shortens the fatigue life of samples–this was true for both room temperature and high temperature. Thermomechanical cycling was shown to have little effect on the end life of samples, with the damage accumulation rate for in-phase and out-of-phase cycling being similar to isothermal fatigue. The interchangeability of time and temperature was shown to be possible within the studied load, time, and temperature ranges, since deformation mechanisms driving strain accumulation did not change with temperature (up to 650°C). The Neu-Sehitoglu thermomechanical fatigue model, with constants obtained from the literature and in part from our experimental results, was applied to predict failure of isothermal creep-fatigue samples. The main objectives of this work were to:(a) Perform high-resolution digital image correlation measurements (HiDIC) for alloy 709; (b) Quantify and assess damage accumulation at the microstructure under fatigue, TMF, and creep-fatigue conditions of 709; (c) Study of the role of hold times, i.e., adding a creep component, to: Room temperature cycling, High temperature cycling, Failure; (d) Study the mechanisms of thermomechanical fatigue in this alloy; (e) Investigate the existence of a time-temperature interchangeability criterion to aid in accelerated creep-fatigue testing; (f) Establish the validity of a combined creep-fatigue model for life prediction for 709. This report is structured with each subsequent section detailing the efforts, results, and conclusions related to each of the objectives described, mostly in chronological order.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Prioritizing Uncertainties in Hydrogen Contribution to Risk in Post-Crash Outcomes for Rail

This report presents analysis from Sandia National Laboratories predicting contributions to risk associated with the use of hydrogen technology for rail. Event sequence diagrams are used to describe possible accident scenarios and progressions. Initiating event frequencies and branch event probabilities for each scenario are quantified with uncertainty using distributions fit to Federal Railroad Administration and U.S. Department of Transportation Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration data on applicable accidents from 2000 to 2020. Uncertainty is propagated through the event sequence diagram to estimate the frequency and conditional probability of accident end states. The analysis identifies four scenarios with significant contributions to risk from hydrogen that are predicted to occur relatively frequently, which may inform priorities for reducing uncertainty. These scenarios are 1) overpressure events resulting from collisions with hydrogen release due to mechanical damage and delayed ignition, 2) jet fire events resulting from collisions with hydrogen release due to mechanical damage and immediate ignition, 3) jet fires resulting from fire or explosion initiating events involving the hydrogen tank and correct operation of the thermally-activated pressure relief device (TPRD) subsequent to the thermal insult, and 4) pressure burst resulting from fire or explosion initiating events involving the hydrogen tank and failure of the TPRD. Delayed and immediate hydrogen ignition probabilities are identified as being highly uncertain and potential candidates for reducing conservatism in the predicted frequencies for these two scenarios.

08 HYDROGEN↗

The RAM-SCB model and its applications to advance space weather forecasting

Energetic particle fluxes that are part of the Earth’s ring current and radiation belts can intensify significantly during space weather events like geomagnetic storms and could cause severe damage to satellite-based technologies. Understanding the physical processes that control their dynamics and improving our capability for their prediction is thus extremely important. In the context of space weather applications and user needs, this paper provides a brief description of our kinetic ring current-atmosphere interactions model with self-consistent magnetic field (RAM-SCB) and its further extension to implement a self-consistent electric (E) field. Specific examples that demonstrate RAM-SCB capabilities and limitations to reproduce the near-Earth space weather environment are given. In this paper, the current status of RAM-SCB is assessed and plans for its further improvement are discussed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Crack tip microplasticity mediated by microstructure gradients

Abstract Traditional fracture theories infer damage at cracks (local field) by surveying loading conditions away from cracks (far field). This approach has been successful in predicting ductile fracture, but it normally assumes isotropic and homogeneous materials. However, myriads of manufacturing procedures induce heterogeneous microstructural gradients that can affect the accuracy of traditional fracture models. This work presents a microstructure‐sensitive finite element approach to explore the shielding effects of grain size and crystallographic orientation gradients on crack tip microplasticity and blunting. A dislocation density‐based crystal plasticity model conveys texture evolution, grain size effects, and directional hardening by computing the constraint from dislocation structures. The results demonstrate that the microstructure can act as a buffer between the local and far fields that affects the crack tip microplasticity variability. For nominal opening loading, grain size and texture affect the local ductility and induce a non‐negligible multiaxial plastic deformation. Furthermore, driving forces based on measuring displacements away from the crack tip are less affected by the microstructure, which suggests that traditional experimental methods smear out important crack tip variability.

Castelluccio, Gustavo M.↗

Calibration of the 2-Phase Bubble Tracking Model for Liquid Mercury Target Simulation with Machine Learning Surrogate Models

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is one of the most powerful accelerator-driven neutron sources in the world. The intense protons strike on SNS's mercury target to provide bright neutron beams, which also leads to severe fluid-structure interactions inside the target. Prediction of resultant loading on the target is difficult particularly when helium gas is injected into mercury to reduce the loading and mitigate the pitting damage on vessel walls. A 2-phase material model that incorporates the Rayleigh-Plesset (R-P) model is expected to address this multi-physics problem. However, several uncertain parameters in the R-P model require intensive simulations to determine their optimal values. With the help of machine learning and the measured target strain, we have studied the major uncertain parameters in this R-P model and developed a framework to identify optimal parameters that significantly reduce the discrepancy between simulations and experimental strains. The preliminary results show the possibility of using this mercury/helium mixture and surrogate models to predict a better match of target strain response when the helium gas is injected.

Lin, Lianshan↗

Machine learning pipeline to predict defect behavior in metallic alloy systems

The interaction between defect and solute atoms is critical to the thermodynamic and kinetic behavior of metallic alloys under exposure to high-energy radiation, causing irradiation damage in materials. Radiation can generate non-equilibrium concentrations of point defects such as vacancies and interstitials. The excess point defects not only accelerate diffusional processes such as precipitation that cause radiation embrittlement, but also change the pathway of phase transformations, including nucleation processes. Understanding these defect behaviors is complicated by the challenge and complexity of addressing each possible local and discrete distribution of environments and chemical interactions around targeted defects-solute or solute-solute complexes. To resolve the challenge, machine learning regression techniques have emerged as powerful tools that can train and construct an energy model to accurately describe the chemical interactions of solutes and defects. In Fiscal Year 2022, the work focused on the workflow development and demonstration using machine learning regression, density functional theory, cluster expansion, and Monte Carlo simulation to predict the effects of ternary solute elements (e.g., aluminum and molybdenum) and point defects on the Cr-rich $\alpha^{\prime}$ precipitation in multicomponent FeCr model alloys. The computational outcomes include the prediction of the ternary phase diagram, vacancy formation energy for different compositions, and the effect of vacancies on the nucleation of Cr-rich clusters. The simulations predict a pronounced change of Cr solubility in bcc Fe by the addition of Al and the rejection of Al atoms from $\alpha^{\prime}$ precipitates. Additionally, the simulations show the formation of Cr-vacancy clusters as the initial nuclei for stable nucleation and growth of $\alpha^{\prime}$ particles. The results demonstrate important outcomes and applications of using machine learning pipeline to study model or commercial alloys with multicomponent solute species and point defects.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Stronger Tropical Cyclone–Induced Ocean Cooling in Near-Coastal Regions Compared to the Open Ocean

Abstract Tropical cyclones (TC) often induce strong mixing in the upper ocean that generates a trail of cooler sea surface temperature (Twake) in their wakes. The Twake can affect TC intensity, so its prediction is important, especially in coastal regions where TCs can make landfall. Coastal Twakes are often more complex than those in the open ocean due to the influences of coastline geometry, highly variable water depth, continental runoff, and shelf processes. Using observational data since 2002, here we show a significantly stronger global mean Twake in coastal regions compared to offshore regions. Temperature stratification is the main driver of stronger coastal Twakes in the North Atlantic and east Pacific. In the northwest Pacific and north Indian Ocean, the differences between coastal and offshore Twakes are smaller due to compensation between TC forcings and ocean stratification. The north Indian Ocean is unique in the Northern Hemisphere because salinity stratification plays a major role on the spatial distribution of Twake. In the South Pacific Ocean, TC intensity and translation speed are crucial for explaining coastal–offshore Twake differences, while ocean stratification and mixed layer depth are more important for the coastal–offshore Twake differences in the south Indian Ocean. These findings suggest that coastal–offshore differences in ocean stratification need to be properly represented in models in order to capture changes in TC-induced ocean cooling as storms approach landfall. Significance Statement Landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) often cause considerable damage in coastal regions with dense human populations. Understanding TC–ocean interaction and how it differs between coastal and offshore regions can help predict TC intensity prior to landfall. Sea surface cooling after TC passage is an important proxy for TC–ocean interaction. A global evaluation of coastal TC-induced cooling has not been conducted. Using data covering two decades, we show significantly stronger TC-induced surface cooling in coastal regions compared to offshore regions at the global scale and in all basins except the northwest Pacific and north Indian Ocean. The difference is driven mainly by upper-ocean conditions in the North Atlantic, east Pacific, and south Indian Ocean, and by TC characteristics in the South Pacific.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantifying High Temperature Corrosion

Alloys designed for high temperature service can form a variety of surface oxides or scales based on the alloy composition, service temperature, gas environment, surface deposits, etc. The most severe environments, including molten salts and liquid metals can result in significant metal loss, void formation and/or pitting. Standard and evolving practices are discussed for measuring these types of degradationincluding measuring oxide scale thickness, internal oxidation and/or metal loss, correlating them to mass change and reporting the results. Manual and automated methodologies to measure oxide thickness and metal loss are reviewed and compared in order to provide a summary of techniques and identify the best practices for quantifying a variety of materials and damage mechanisms and producing statistically meaningful results. Such techniques create datasets useful for improved understanding of corrosion degradation mechanisms, potentially better predictive models and enhanced data analytics.

Su, Yi Feng↗

Ion irradiation effects on Cr-coated zircaloy-4 surface wettability and pool boiling critical heat flux.

The concept of coating the currently used nuclear fuel cladding (zirconium-based alloy, typically Zircaloy-4 or Zirc-4) with an oxidation preventive layer is a progressing Accident tolerant Fuel (ATF) candidate alloys. The coated Zirc-4-based alloys could be a solution to suppress undesirable fast reaction kinetics with high-temperature steam. Zirc-4 has been the most preferred cladding material in pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Chromium (Cr) based alloys as a coating material provides excellent corrosion protection and good strength and wear resistance. In this paper, we present the surface wettability measurements and pool boiling Critical Heat Flux (CHF) for Cr-coated Zirc-4 claddings pre- and post-exposure to an ion irradiation environment. The wettability measurements, including static contact angle (contact angle, θ) and average surface roughness (surface roughness, Ra), are introduced for samples of different coating thicknesses (5–30 μm thick). The coatings fabricated by the cold spray of Cr-Al particles to 10 mm × 10 mm × 1.95 mm Zirc-4 substrates. Post fabrication, a Pilgering (cold rolling) process, was applied to finalize the coating thickness and resulted in a significant reduction in surface roughness of initially fabricated rough surfaces. The process produced three distinguished samples 5-μm unpolished (as machined), 5-μm, and 30-μm polished (cold rolled). The measurements are presented for the three surfaces and bare Zirc-4 as a baseline surface. The contact angle analyses were implemented in theoretical models from the literature to predict pool boiling CHF. Pool boiling experiments were conducted to measure the pool boiling CHF values and compare them to the predicted values. Scanning Electron Microscope (SEM) images and Energy Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy (EDS) analysis was performed to characterize the surfaces for better understanding and interpreting the results. The SEM images showed localized surface damage due to ion irradiation. No recognized change in the measured surface roughness due to ion irradiation. The contact angles of irradiated Cr-coated surfaces are consistently higher (10°) than pre-irradiated surfaces. Decreasing the Cr-coating layer thickness resulted in lower contact angle pre- and post- ion irradiation. The predicted pool boiling CHF using the Kandlikar model is in good agreement with the experimentally measured CHF values within ±12% for all samples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Genomic prediction of switchgrass winter survivorship across diverse lowland populations

Abstract In the North-Central United States, lowland ecotype switchgrass can increase yield by up to 50% compared with locally adapted but early flowering cultivars. However, lowland ecotypes are not winter tolerant. The mechanism for winter damage is unknown but previously has been associated with late flowering time. This study investigated heading date (measured for two years) and winter survivorship (measured for three years) in a multi-generation population generated from two winter-hardy lowland individuals and diverse southern lowland populations. Sequencing data (311,776 markers) from 1,306 individuals were used to evaluate genome-wide trait prediction through cross-validation and progeny prediction (n = 52). Genetic variance for heading date and winter survivorship was additive with high narrow-sense heritability (0.64 and 0.71, respectively) and reliability (0.68 and 0.76, respectively). The initial negative correlation between winter survivorship and heading date degraded across generations (F1 r = −0.43, pseudo-F2 r = −0.28, pseudo-F2 progeny r = −0.15). Within-family predictive ability was moderately high for heading date and winter survivorship (0.53 and 0.52, respectively). A multi-trait model did not improve predictive ability for either trait. Progeny predictive ability was 0.71 for winter survivorship and 0.53 for heading date. These results suggest that lowland ecotype populations can obtain sufficient survival rates in the northern United States with two or three cycles of effective selection. Despite accurate genomic prediction, naturally occurring winter mortality successfully isolated winter tolerant genotypes and appears to be an efficient method to develop high-yielding, cold-tolerant switchgrass cultivars.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Constitutive model development of aluminum alloy 1100 for elevated temperature forming process

Commercially pure aluminum alloy, AA1100, presents good electrical and thermal conductivity, high formability, and low cost. Those favorable characteristics have the potential to enable bipolar plates with improved economics and enhanced performance compared to current stainless steel bipolar plates for proton exchange membrane fuel cells. An accurate constitutive model is essential to develop and optimize processing parameters and effectively control the forming process. Here, the objective of this work is to develop a constitutive model of AA1100 that is able to simulate stress-strain relation, formed geometry, and predict the onset of fracture strain to avoid forming failure. Initially, a set of tensile tests at temperature between 300 and 500°C and strain rate between 0.005 and 1.0/s were conducted to examine the deformation behavior. Then, a set of damage-based unified visco-plastic constitutive equations is proposed and calibrated based on the results of stress-strain data. A genetic algorithm optimization method is applied to search for best fitting material constants in constitutive equations. The proposed model shows good predictability of both the stress-strain relation and fracture strain at low strain rate and high temperature conditions. The accuracy of proposed model is also evaluated statistically. A comparison of the proposed model with three popular models (Arrhenius-type mode, Johnson-Cook model and Zerilli-Armstrong model) was made. The proposed model shows the best experimental agreement with correlation coefficient of 0.96 in contrast to 0.25, 0.38 and 0.75 for the popular models, respectively. The proposed model can help to optimize the elevated temperature forming process and guide die design to enable optimal geometric features in the formed components.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Predicting Instability and the Effect of Wind Loading on Single-Axis Trackers

As PV modules continue to trend toward larger, thinner, and more flexible forms they grow more susceptible to damage from dynamic wind loading. As a result, understanding the impact of wind on PV systems, particularly when mounted on solar-tracking hardware, and identifying robust, stable array layouts and stow strategies is becoming increasingly important for the PV community. In our ongoing DuraMAT project, we are developing an open-source software package, PVade (PV aerodynamic design engineering), to simulate the cascading fluid-structure interaction that occurs within solar-tracking arrays to enable researchers to test hardware, layout, and tracker control changes, leading to enhanced stability and a reduction in wind-driven damage. We will give an overview of the PVade software, highlighting recent user-interface and algorithm developments, before presenting the latest outcomes from our ongoing validation campaign in which we analyze and compare with experimental data obtained from a DuraMAT 1 project. From there, we will present simulated results from a larger, multi-row array and highlight relationships between varying tracker angles and stability as measured by different experimentally validated metrics.

fluid structure interaction↗