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Risk and Cost Analysis of Utilizing FLEX Equipment for O&M Cost Reduction in Nuclear Power Plants

Several Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) operators in USA have announced to close their plants despite there are remaining years on their operating licenses. The cause of these closures is because the plant operators suffer financial losses. Approximately 80% of USA NPPs would have undergone financial losses if they were situated in a deregulated electricity market. In a deregulated market, electricity generators are independent entities separate from the transmission companies and Independent System Operator (ISO) which manages the market. NPPs in this market are termed merchant NPPs, and their profitability is determined solely from electricity generation revenues. Meanwhile, regulated and public power nuclear units’ profitability is determined by the regulatory process in place for each unit. Due to the complexity of differentiating each regulated and public power NPP’s regulations 36 NPPs are at an immediate risk of retiring early to stop losses, while 27 units will likely to follow in the long run. Today, cost is well-recognized and important factor in NPP decision-making that cannot be ignored. Therefore, it is essential to consider risk and cost together in decision-making to strengthen the position of the nuclear industry in an economically challenging energy market. With operational and maintenance (O&M) cost at 70% of the total operating expenditure of an NPP and some plants closing prematurely despite excellent safety record, there is an urgent need to address the high O&M cost. One of the novel entities that provide additional safety resulting in reduced risk of nuclear power plants is Flex equipment. Flex strategies were postulated by the US NRC in the wake of Fukushima Dai-chi accident to address beyond design-basis accidents and improve plant flexibility. Flex strategy comprise both onsite and off-site component storage for the provision of additional materials and equipment. This work explored innovative ways of utilizing the onsite Flex equipment during regular plant operation, for purposes in addition to the intended use of beyond design basis accidents. This report describes the risk and cost analysis of using Flex equipment during regular or unplanned maintenance.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Energy Production Through Anaerobic Digestion in the Food-Waste-Energy Nexus

The addition of a second anaerobic digestion process at Landis Sewerage Authority (LSA) in Vineland, N.J., was a project designed to accomplish several major objectives. First, it would replace an inactive digester that Landis had been “cannibalizing” for parts to keep its primary digester operating. Second, and more importantly to the New Jersey Department of Agriculture, this project provided an opportunity to create a tangible, working apparatus to demonstrate whether food waste and manure (provided by food processors and farmers) could be used efficiently and effectively to create gas used to power a co-generation unit that supplies electrical power to run the Authority’s sewage-treatment operations. Additionally, the project would further test an additive (BAE) for its effects on overall gas production. NJDA specifically sought to avoid using the grant funds for a feasibility study that did not result in a working demonstration project, and that goal was met by producing an actual second digestion process at Landis. Finally, this project provided the opportunity to demonstrate how the re-use and re-purposing of existing infrastructure could help lower the costs of providing an energy-production unit without having to build it from the ground up. A key to achieving those goals was limiting the use of outside contractors to build the digestion process. Instead, LSA employed the engineering services of its executive director and another employee to design the project, and the talents of its in-house employees to construct and install components of the digestion process. This minimized expenditures for outside providers while also enabling LSA to have greater control over both the design and construction. Those controls on costs enabled a full fact-finding mission to similar operations in Ohio and Indiana in August 2015. The visits allowed comparisons that found the Midwest operations (at least at two of the three locations) were less constrained by odor control issues than Landis is under New Jersey environmental regulations, and that the Fair Oaks Dairy Farm in Indiana had successfully incorporated its digester operation into its wide-ranging and popular “farm experience” attraction that includes restaurants, stores selling products from the farm’s output, tours of massive robotic milking parlors and a visitors’ center featuring “4D movies” about dairy farming and the use of manure in creating energy. The visit to Fair Oaks allowed the NJDA/Landis team to also examine whether a Fair Oaks “farm experience” model could be replicated in the Mid-Atlantic region, with its higher density of population, given the need for additional odor-control components to account for the closer proximity to population centers, but also benefiting from a larger potential close-in visitor base. Again, by streamlining the fact-finding process and using ground transportation instead of airfare, the travel line-item of the project budget was essentially halved. That enabled the creation of a video about the Landis project, which can be sent electronically – “e-travel,” so to speak – to other states and agencies that want to learn more about what was created in Vineland.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Advanced Vehicle Testing and Evaluation Final Technical Report Encompassing Project Activities From October 1, 2011 to April 30, 2018

The Advanced Vehicle Testing and Evaluation (AVTE) project incorporated the conduct of advanced technology vehicle and infrastructure testing in the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Advanced Vehicle Testing Activity (AVTA). It was the only activity tasked by DOE to conduct independent field evaluations of vehicle technologies that use advanced technology systems and subsystems in vehicles that reduce petroleum consumption. The results are available through reports published on the AVTA website at http://avt.inl.gov/. The AVTE project provided insight into advanced vehicle technology's long-term performance, durability, maintenance, and lifecycle costs that cannot be found elsewhere. The site is a resource for DOE stakeholders and the public to gain knowledge on advanced technology vehicle progress and innovation. Vehicles tested included light and heavy-duty vehicles with conventional, hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and all-electric propulsion systems. Vehicles were tested on closed tracks and chassis dynamometers, as well as operated on public roads, in fleet operations, and over prescribed routes. All testing was controlled by procedures developed specifically to support such testing. Testing and evaluations were conducted in the following phases: Development and refinement of test procedures, which established testing procedures; Baseline performance testing, which established a performance baseline; Accelerated reliability testing, which determined vehicle reliability; Fleet testing, used to evaluate vehicle economics in fleet operation, and End of test performance evaluation. Test results from all aspects of testing were posted by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to their website. This final report documents work conducted for the entirety of contract DE-EE0005501 by Intertek Testing Services NA, Inc. (Intertek). The contract was performed from October 1, 2011 through April 30, 2018, and includes 18 amendments to the original award with the most recent Amendment 18 dated March 28, 2018. The final budget for the AVTE project totaled 20,220,873 dollars. As a cooperative agreement, Intertek was obligated to provide cost share of 4,044,175 dollars, leaving 16,176,698 dollars as the Federal share of the agreement. Actual total expenditure for the AVTE project was 20,286,850 dollars. The full 16,176,698 dollars Federal share was expended and 4,110,152 dollars of cost share was provided by Intertek. This resulted in an over-share of 65,977 dollars. There were 106 light-duty on-road vehicles vehicles tested in both fleet and accelerated reliability testing. One additional vehicle was rented to obtain performance testing only. Three heavy-duty truck and trailer combinations were tested as part of the semi-autonomous driving with heavy-duty vehicles in a platoon. Overall project scope and direction was determined between Intertek, DOE, and technical teams from Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), and National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). The project was administered by the DOE’s National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Field Demonstration of The Krauklis Seismic Wave In A Novel Mva Method For Geologic CO 2 Storage

The Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) conducted a feasibility study of a new, low-impact geophysics monitoring method designed to incrementally track the saturation front of CO 2 injected into a reservoir. The method leverages a new way of transmitting energy from the surface to the reservoir and employs a new subsurface signal called the Krauklis wave (K-wave) and other guided waves for seismic monitoring. The EERC partnered with Seismos, Inc., the company that holds the exclusive technology license for this method, to advance development of K-wave technology, and Denbury Onshore, LLC, to field-test the system. The system was field-tested at Denbury’s Bell Creek oil field, currently undergoing CO 2 -based enhanced oil recovery (EOR) in southeastern Montana. The K-wave system uses a wellhead-mounted source to propagate energy down the wellbore in the form of a tube wave and through the well perforations into the reservoir. Part of the energy transmitted through the perforations into the reservoir converts to slow moving K-waves and/or other guided waves that are expected to propagate through the formation to neighboring wells. The propagated signal would induce tube waves in the neighboring wells that return to the surface to be recorded with a wellhead-mounted receiver. The propagation time of the signal is directly affected by the presence of CO 2 between the wells, so the difference in transit time of the returning signal between pre- and postinjection data sets could be used to help define the lateral extent of a CO 2 saturation front. Objectives of the study were to demonstrate, validate, and evaluate the K-wave method’s ability to monitor the morphology of injected CO 2 and estimate saturation distribution. Results from the demonstration were to be compared to conventional 4-D surface seismic methods, dynamic reservoir simulations, and CO 2 breakthrough data to validate the technology and provide useful information that may result in improvements. Prior to mobilizing for the full-scale K-wave baseline survey, a field test was conducted to better understand wellhead hardware configurations and test the response from the Bell Creek reservoir using three wells. Useful operational information resulted but signal from the first-generation gas release/gas injection source was not recorded in neighboring wells. After the initial field test, numerical modeling of the K-wave method was initiated using parameters specific to the Bell Creek Field. Modeling results indicated that the fundamental concepts behind the K-wave method exhibited problems and revealed a significantly greater attenuation of the signal at the wellbore perforations than expected, totaling on the order of 10-8 from source well to receiver well over a 400-m well spacing. Modeling also showed that greater source frequency bandwidth was needed to produce guided waves within a 30-foot-thick reservoir layer such as that at Bell Creek and that reservoir layer seismic velocity would need to be slower than the velocities of the bounding layers in order to act as a wave guide opposite to what exists at Bell Creek. Modeling results prompted a second field test with a stronger, second-generation displacement source developed in the interim. Concurrent with the second field test, a 3-D seismic survey was acquired to serve as a baseline for project validation and to serve as a monitor data set for the portion of the project area where CO 2 injection had already commenced. The new source was tested using a four-well geometry and failed to produce a detectable signal, which appeared to confirm modeling results and indicated that the Bell Creek Field is not an ideal site for the K-wave test. It was concluded that a source with sufficient strength and bandwidth could not be built to overcome the factors discovered by the modeling within a reasonable amount of time. Several other sites undergoing CO 2 -based EOR were also evaluated; however, none of these sites was amenable because of geology, limitations of source and receiver hardware, or the advanced state of the CO 2 flood. In addition, two other configurations of the source and receiver layout were considered; however, these design modifications either changed the scope of the project or did not meet the goals of the Carbon Storage Program. In consultation with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Project Manager and Technology Manager, a no-go decision was invoked to forego additional expenditures as the technology would not meet current project objectives. Project activities to date have moved the technology forward by developing modeling equations that can be applied elsewhere, advanced the state of wellhead sensors and sources, and spurred improvements to field operations. The 3-D seismic survey in the project area and the dynamic reservoir simulations done as part of this study have provided value for ongoing and future synergistic activities at Bell Creek related to DOE carbon storage goals.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Decade of Economic Change: Fuel Prices and Households

This working presentation focuses on the changes in fuel prices and household income during the period of 2000 to 2010. In real terms, household money incomes have fallen, while fuel prices have increased. Comparisons are made between increased driving cost and changes in income, by quintile. Other areas examined include the timing of energy price increases and recessions and a breakout of prices and consumption to determine the driving factor behind energy expenditure increases.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Sector-Specific Methodologies for Subnational Energy Modeling

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and the Department of Energy's Office Strategic Priorities and Impact Analysis Office sought to address gaps in subnational energy data availability. This report describes the methodologies and analysis developed to estimate electricity and natural gas consumption and expenditures for the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors within each U.S. city.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

California Time-of-Use (TOU) Transition: Effects on Distributed Wind and Solar Economic Potential

Time-of-use (TOU) retail energy rates price electricity differently by the time of day, thereby communicating to consumers the costs of supplying electricity throughout the day. This study evaluates the impact of Decision D.15.07-001, which mandates a transition to default TOU rates in California, on the economic viability of behind-the-meter distributed wind and solar systems. We assess viability through 'economic potential,' a metric we define as the amount of generation capacity that exceeds a specified rate of return (5.4%) and therefore would be economic to construct; we do not attempt to project deployment or adoption. In addition, we identify cost improvements needed for a robust distributed wind market and the specific counties and sectors with substantial economic potential. Over the scenarios considered, model results indicate realistic pathways to reaching a robust, 1-GW distributed wind market in California though solar economic potential was found to be substantially larger than that of wind. Distributed wind's capacity factor does not appear to be strongly correlated to the periods of peak electricity prices as set by utility's TOU periods. Because of this disassociation and nuances in the billing of tiered electricity, the transition to TOU is projected to moderately decrease distributed wind economic potential and increase that of distributed solar. However, a limitation of this analysis is that it does not factor in the change in rate values as California works toward its goal of 100% renewables. As variable renewable energy penetration increases to meet this goal, our results suggest that wind generation will become increasingly correlated to periods of peak electricity prices. Increased variable renewable penetration, especially of solar, is likely to shift periods of higher electricity demand to later in the evening, and any periodic adjustments in TOU periods to reflect these new periods of demand will positively affect the value of wind generation more than the value of solar generation. High distributed wind capital costs are a significant barrier to large scale adoption; we explore the sensitivity of capital cost reductions on distributed wind economic potential. We find that distributed wind economic potential increases substantially in 2020 for capital costs below 3 dollars/W - particularly for residential- and commercial-scale turbines; capital costs must fall below 2 dollars/W in 2030 to support a significant increase in economic potential, in large part due to the expected continued cost reductions in solar. We identified an upper limit to the state's behind-the-meter distributed wind economic potential at approximately 5 GW. Overall, California exhibits over 1 GW of economic potential for distributed wind by 2030, even with the moderate decrease in potential under TOU. This potential is represented mostly by Southern California, which sees the most notable increase in economic viability as capital expenditure prices decline.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Catalytic Upgrading of Thermochemical Intermediates to Hydrocarbons (Final Report)

A lot of activity in catalytic pyrolysis and hydroprocessing occurred in the past 10-15 years with notable successes and failures; however, very little technical information is available in the open literature from pilot-scale studies such as those performed in this project. Besides, the next step along the technology commercialization pathway is to scale-up the catalytic biomass pyrolysis process, integrate this technology with a hydroprocessing unit, and demonstrate the long-term operation and performance of the integrated process; notably, these were achieved in this project. RTI International has developed a single-step catalytic biomass pyrolysis process to produce a hydrocarbon-rich bio-crude intermediate. This bio-crude is more thermally stable and has lower oxygen content than conventional biomass fast pyrolysis oil, so it can be effectively and efficiently upgraded with traditional hydroprocessing technology to produce gasoline and diesel. Our partner, Haldor Topsøe, has developed a strategy for hydroprocessing bio-crude intermediates based on extensive catalyst and process development in support of converting vegetable oils and waste greases into high-quality diesel fuel. The goal of the originally proposed project was to demonstrate an advanced biofuels technology that integrates a catalytic biomass pyrolysis step and a hydroprocessing step to produce infrastructure-compatible biofuels. The specific technical goals of this project were 1) to optimize the catalytic biomass pyrolysis process to achieve high degree of deoxygenation, while maximizing the bio-crude production, 2) improve bio-crude thermal stability, 3) evaluate the impact of bio-crude quality in the hydroprocessing step, 4) minimize hydrogen demand of the integrated process, and 5) maximize biofuels yields. This project showed that it is technically feasible to use non-zeolitic solid acid catalyst to consistently generate bio-crude with 20% oxygen content and that these liquids can be effectively hydrotreated into low oxygen fuel blendstocks. The reproducibility of the small-scale pyrolysis yields at the 1 tonne/day scale is an achievement worth noting and the effect of pyrolysis temperature on biocrude yields and quality was investigated at the pilot scale. Additionally, advanced analytical techniques were used to analyze bio-crude to investigate the effect of process conditions and feedstock on the concentration and speciation of oxygen-containing compounds. Insights into the impact of oxygen content and oxygen speciation on bio-crdue upgrading were also sought. Clearly, more successful upgrading correlated with bio-crudes with lower oxygen content. This was most evident when partially upgraded bio-crude with 55-90% less oxygen compared to the starting bio-crude was blended with straight run diesel and hydrotreated without any noticeable increase in pressure drop across the reactor or any measurable loss of hydrodenitrification (HDN) activity. Minimizing hydrogen demand while maximizing biofuels yield are the desired outcomes for the integrated process. In summary, several technical challenges remain before catalytic biomass pyrolysis becomes a commercial reality, most notably bio-crude yields and quality still need to be improved. The integrated catalytic biomass pyrolysis hydroprocessing scheme being developed produces intermediates that can be refined for use as drop-in hydrocarbon replacement fuels. From a technology perspective, this advanced biofuel technology produces liquid transportation fuels that can leverage capital expenditures in the existing petroleum refining and distribution infrastructure. From a business perspective, this technology does not face potential market limitations as other nonhydrocarbon biofuels caused by oxygenated blending limitations and fuel certification for light-duty vehicle applications.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Benchmarking Wind Power Operating Costs in the United States: Results from a Survey of Wind Industry Experts

This paper draws on a survey of wind industry professionals to clarify trends in the operational expenditures (OpEx) of U.S. land-based wind power plants. The paper also highlights key drivers of those trends. We find that average all-in lifetime OpEx has declined from approximately $\$$80/kW-yr ($\$$35/MWh) for projects built in the late 1990s to a level that is approaching $\$$40/kW-yr ($\$$11/MWh) for projects under construction in 2018. Turbine operations and maintenance (O&M) costs—inclusive of scheduled and unscheduled maintenance—represent the single largest component of overall OpEx and the primary source of cost reductions over the last decade. We observe wide ranges of OpEx over time; for example, survey respondents cite a range in average expected costs for projects commissioned between 2015 and 2018 from $\$$33/kW-yr to $\$$59/kW-yr. Notably, these broad ranges include high levels of variability in both turbine O&M costs and non-turbine OpEx. Potential technical and strategic drivers of this variability are highlighted. We also use historical OpEx learning rates, showing a 9% OpEx reduction for each doubling of global installed wind capacity, to project a further $\$$5–$\$$8/kW-yr (12%–18%) OpEx reduction from 2018 to 2040. When compared with the broader literature, these findings suggest that continued OpEx reductions may contribute 10% or more of the expected reductions in land-based wind’s levelized cost of energy. Moreover, these estimates may understate the importance of OpEx owing to the multiplicative effects through which operational advancements influence not only O&M costs but also component reliability, performance, and plant-level availability—thereby affecting levelized costs though OpEx reduction and by enhancing annual energy production and plant lifetimes. Given the limited quantity and comparability of previously available OpEx data, the data and trends reported here may usefully inform OpEx assumptions used by electric system planners, analysts, modelers, and research and development managers. The results may also provide useful benchmarks to the wind industry, helping developers and asset owners compare their OpEx expectations with historical experience and other industry projections.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Telematics and Data Science: Informing Energy-Efficient Mobility

Fleets exploring the possibility of adding electric vehicles (EVs), battery electric vehicles (BEVs), and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) seek an efficient, data-driven means to justify both expenditures for vehicle and charging infrastructure and the appropriate placement of them to help ensure the cost-effective adoption of these technologies. Exploring data collection and analytic methodologies across different telematics providers offers the opportunity to better understand the strengths, weaknesses, and possibilities for employing different methods of data collection, including smartphone-based telematics and more traditional telematics with hardware installed on a vehicle's onboard diagnostics port. This report presents results of five pilot programs that collected data from the operation of conventional light-duty fleet vehicles to generate recommendations for transitioning these fleet vehicles to EVs, implementing adequate charging infrastructure, and establishing management practices to maximize the benefits of these new fleet technologies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Unpacking the Disconnect Between Wholesale and Retail Electric Rates [PowerPoint]

The 2017 DOE Staff Report to the Secretary on Electricity Markets and Reliability noted a disconnect between falling wholesale electricity prices and flat or rising retail investor-owned utility (IOU) electricity prices between 2008 and 2016. This analysis sought to assess recent trends in utility costs, retail sales, and/or retail rates vis-à-vis wholesale market prices in order to help explain this disconnect. Using FERC Form 1 and ICE Power Indices data, Berkeley Lab researchers developed key annual metrics between 2007 and 2016 at a regional level for five of the seven NERC regions: Midwest Reliability Organization (MRO), Northeast Power Coordinating Council (NPCC), ReliabilityFirst Corporation (RFC), SERC Reliability Corporation (SERC), and Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC). The analyses of these metrics enabled Berkeley Lab researchers to arrive at the following conclusions: Retail and wholesale rates were increasingly disconnected across all included NERC regions; Reductions in wholesale electricity market prices happened concurrently with reductions in IOU fuel and purchased power (FPP) costs, but sizable regional differences in the degree of FPP cost reductions existed; Reductions in IOU FPP costs were offset in part by increases in non-fuel operations and maintenance (O&M) costs, but modest regional differences in the degree of these cost impacts existed; Reductions in IOU FPP costs were also offset in part by increases in capital expenditures, but regional differences in the magnitude and type of investments existed; and, Reductions in retail sales tended to mitigate the effect on retail rates from reductions in total utility costs, but regional differences existed that were sometimes counterintuitive and suggest the value in a more detailed analysis of utility costs vis-à-vis general rate case filings and decisions to better understand retail rate changes over time.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Benchmarking Anticipated Wind Project Lifetimes: Results from a Survey of U.S. Wind Industry Professionals

This paper draws on a survey of wind industry professionals to clarify trends in the expected useful life of land-based wind power plants in the United States. The expected useful life of a project affects expectations about its profitability, the timing of possible decommissioning or repowering, and its levelized costs. We find that most wind project developers, sponsors and long-term owners have increased project-life assumptions over time, from a typical term of ~20 years in the early 2000s to ~25 years by the mid-2010s and ~30 years more recently. Current assumptions range from 25 to 40 years, with an average of 29.6 years. The estimated average levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for new wind projects built in 2018 is $\$ $40.4/MWh (real 2018$\$ $), assuming a 20-year project life. With a 25-year useful life and no change in assumed operations and maintenance (O&M) expenditures or wind plant performance over time, LCOE declines by 10%, to $\$ $36.2/MWh, because capital costs are recovered over five additional years of production. At the now-common 30-year assumed life, levelized costs decrease another 7%, to $\$ $33.5/MWh (under the same unaltered assumptions about O&M and performance). Even longer assumed lifetimes lead to further (but diminishing) LCOE reductions—e.g., to $\$ $31.7/MWh and $\$ $30.3/MWh for 35- and 40-year lives, respectively. The data and trends presented here may inform assumptions used by electric system planners, modelers and analysts. The results may also provide useful benchmarks to the wind industry, helping developers and assets owners to compare their expectations with those of their peers.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

NREL's Balance-of-System Cost Model for Land-Based Wind

NREL's Land-based Balance of System Systems Engineering (LandBOSSE) model is a tool for modeling the balance of system (BOS) costs of land-based wind plants. BOS costs currently account for approximately 30% of the capital expenditures needed to install a land-based wind plant and include all costs associated with installing a wind plant, such as permitting, labor, material, and equipment costs associated with site preparation, foundation construction, electrical infrastructure, and tower installation. NREL developed LandBOSSE after identifying a need for a hybrid of process-based and empirically derived model that can provide flexibility for assessing wind plant BOS costs at a system level. NREL's prior BOS models have relied on empirical fits of legacy industry data, which limit their predictive ability. LandBOSSE, however, was designed to help users explore tradeoffs between innovative design scenarios while balancing the level of detail and speed required for model execution. The model was developed using a hybrid of process-based and empirically derived methods to create a modular model design that will allow for updates as wind energy technology evolves. The goal of LandBOSSE is to allow researchers, analysts, wind power developers, government agencies, and the public to explore how BOS may vary for different wind plant designs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Initial DOE SNF Standardized Canister Storage Configuration Alternatives Study

This study looks at storage configuration alternatives for United States Department of Energy (DOE) Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) Standardized Canisters loaded with DOE-owned SNF. The focus of the study is for the DOE SNF Standardized Canisters that would be packaged in the Idaho Nuclear Technology and Engineering Center (INTEC) area at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), but its general findings are useful across the DOE Complex. The study considered storage in existing facilities, modified existing facilities, new facilities, and new modular systems. The existing INTEC facilities considered in the study include the CPP-603 Irradiated Fuel Storage Facility (IFSF), the CPP-749 Underground Fuel Storage Facility (UFSF), the CPP-666 SNF Wet Storage Basin Facility, CPP-1774 Three Mile Island (TMI) Independent Spent Fuel Storage Facility (ISFSF), and the CPP-2707 Cask Pad Facility. The new facilities considered in the study include the Foster Wheeler designed Idaho Spent Fuel (ISF) Independent Spent Fuel Storage Installation (ISFSI) and some conceptual designs. The new modular systems considered in the study include Holtec International’s HI-STAR/HI-STORM, NAC International’s MAGNASTOR/UMS/MPC and Orano TN’s MATRIX/NUHOMS. Based on considerations of various factors, including but not limited to capacity, impact to facility operations, capital costs, expenditure rate, licensing issues, agreements with the State of Idaho, and road ready conditions, new modular storage systems from commercial vendors may have clear advantages over other storage alternatives. This is further supported by recent experience with West Valley Demonstration Project (WVDP) storage project for High Level Waste Glass canisters.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Catalytic Bio-crude Production in a Novel, Short-Contact Time Reactor

RTI has developed a catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) process to produce biomass-based hydrocarbon replacement fuels. From a technology perspective, this advanced biofuels process produces liquid transportation fuels that can leverage capital expenditures in the existing petroleum distribution infrastructure. From a business perspective, this technology does not face potential market limitations caused by oxygenate blend limitations for light duty vehicle applications. A promising catalyst has been developed with excellent potential for deoxygenation to produce a hydrocarbon-rich biocrude that is more suitable for upgrading with traditional hydroprocessing technology. The role of the catalyst is to control the chemistry during biomass pyrolysis to produce a biocrude in a single step that has lower oxygen content and is more thermally stable than conventional biomass fast pyrolysis oil. Catalyst properties are optimized to minimize gas and coke production and improve catalytic deoxygenation and biocrude yields. Results from this project have demonstrated that biocrudes from catalytic fast pyrolysis contain <20 wt% oxygen, with the organic fraction as low as 12% oxygen. These oxygen numbers are > 50% lower compared to traditional fast pyrolysis oils. The biocrude produced from our CFP process can be upgraded to gasoline range hydrocarbons. A very conservative approach for upgrading included a preliminary stabilization step followed by a hydroprocessing step. The oxygen content in the upgraded product was decreased by 97% (to less than 3wt %) from the oxygen content of the biocrude sample. Additionally, the acid content was reduced by 99% from the acid content of the biocrude sample. In an optimized integrated process, the CFP step and the hydroprocessing (upgrading) step need to be carefully balanced to maximize the input biomass energy that is recovered in the finished biofuels. Hydrogen utilization and carbon recovery during both catalytic biomass pyrolysis and biocrude upgrading need to be optimized to maximize energy recovery in the finished biofuel. A nominal 1 ton per day (TPD) catalytic biomass pyrolysis system was designed based on the laboratory experimental data. The system was designed to achieve the short residence times (0.5–2 sec) and high heat transfer rates required for maximum liquid biocrude yields while optimizing process integration to maintain catalyst activity by continuous regeneration. The catalytic biomass pyrolysis reactor is a continuously circulating single-loop transport reactor design that is flexible enough to allow sensitivity studies around temperature, residence time, biomass feed rate, and catalyst-to-biomass ratio (i.e., catalyst circulation rate) for process optimization. For a nominal 100 lb/hr feed rate of dry biomass, the products include ~25 lb/hr char and coke, ~20 lb/hr permanent gases, and ~55 lb/hr condensable vapors. Pyrolysis temperatures are 350–600°C, and the system is operated close to ambient pressure. Production of the catalyst developed within the project was scaled up to provide enough material (200kg) for bench-scale testing. The 1TPD bench-scale unit was fabricated, installed and commissioned with this project. Biocrude samples from wood were produced in this unit with the CFP catalyst with material balance > 90%. The intermediate biocrude yields and chemical composition compare well with previous laboratory results and a hydroprocessing strategy for upgrading the resulting biocrude was developed. The experimental results obtained within this project were used to develop a process model for a 2000 TPD commercial facility. Detailed flow sheets were developed for all major unit operations in the process and provided a basis for an economic analysis to develop capital and operating costs. Estimates of the biofuel production costs were used to develop internal rates of return for the yields and compositions measured for the current state of technology at the end of this project and for the yields anticipated for an optimized (nth plant) scenario as additional process improvements are made.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

2020 Annual Report of Available Drawdowns for Each Oil Storage Cavern in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve

The Department of Energy maintains an up-to-date documentation of the number of available full drawdowns of each of the caverns owned by the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This information is important for assessing the SPR's ability to deliver oil to domestic oil companies expeditiously if national or world events dictate a rapid sale and deployment of the oil reserves. Sandia was directed to develop and implement a process to continuously assess and report the evolution of drawdown capacity, the subject of this report. A cavern has an available drawdown if after that drawdown, the long-term stability of the cavern, the cavern field, or the oil quality are not compromised. Thus, determining the number of available drawdowns requires the consideration of several factors regarding cavern and wellbore integrity and stability, including stress states caused by cavern geometry and operations, salt damage caused by dilatant and tensile stresses, the effect of enhanced creep on wellbore integrity, and the sympathetic stress effect of operations on neighboring caverns. A consensus has now been built regarding the assessment of drawdown capabilities and risks for the SPR caverns. The process involves an initial assessment of the pillar-to-diameter (P/D) ratio for each cavern with respect to neighboring caverns. A large pillar thickness between adjacent caverns should be strong enough to withstand the stresses induced by closure of the caverns due to salt creep. The first evaluation of P/D includes a calculation of the evolution of P/D after a number of full cavern drawdowns. The most common storage industry standard is to keep this value greater than 1.0, which should ensure a pillar thick enough to prevent loss of fluids to the surrounding rock mass. However, many of the SPR caverns currently have a P/D less than 1.0 or will likely have a low P/D after one or two full drawdowns. For these caverns, it is important to examine the structural integrity with more detail using geomechanical models. Finite-element geomechanical models have been used to determine the stress states in the pillars following successive drawdowns. By computing the tensile and dilatant stresses in the salt, areas of potential structural instability can be identified that may represent "red flags" for additional drawdowns. These analyses have found that many caverns will maintain structural integrity even when grown via drawdowns to dimensions resulting in a P/D of less than 1.0. The analyses have also confirmed that certain caverns should only be completely drawn down one time. As the SPR caverns are utilized and partial drawdowns are performed to remove oil from the caverns (e.g., for occasional oil sales authorized by the Congress or the President), the changes to the cavern caused by these procedures must be tracked and accounted for so that an ongoing assessment of the cavern's drawdown capacity may be continued. A proposed methodology for assessing and tracking the available drawdowns for each cavern was presented in Sobolik et al. (2018). This report includes an update to the baseline drawdowns for each cavern, and provides an initial assessment of the evolution of drawdown expenditure for several caverns

02 PETROLEUM↗

ION Engineering Commercial Carbon Capture Design & Costing (C3DC) (Final Report)

ION Engineering LLC (ION) has coupled its proven, solvent-based CO 2 capture technology with an exceptionally qualified design and engineering team to complete a pre FEED for a 300-megawatt equivalent commercial-scale CO 2 capture plant for Gerald Gentleman Station’s (GGS) Generation Unit 2 (GGS2). The remarkable team was comprised of ION, Nebraska Public Power District (NPPD), Sargent & Lundy (S&L) with continued support from Koch Modular Process Systems (KMPS), and Siemens. The overall objective of the project was to provide the engineering design and cost estimate at an American Association of Cost Engineers (AACE) Class 3 estimate, resulting in accuracy ranges of -20 to +30% for the capital cost estimate. The project team was successful in completing this objective and was able to overcome the challenges that were presented during the process. A conservative interest rate of 7.0% with a financing term of 20 years was used based on interest rates utilized by S&L for this level of study. The resulting annualization factor is multiplied by the total EPC cost to calculate an annualized capital expenditure. It is estimated that the carbon capture facility treating a 300 MWe slipstream will capture 1.9 million tonnes per year of CO 2 at a capacity factor of 85%. The resulting cost of capture for the CO 2 island was determined to be $\$$36.55/tonne. Utilizing an interest rate of 4.5%, supported by historical rates for previous large capital projects in the power industry, reduces the cost of capture to $32.52/tonne. These cost of capture numbers continue to further ION’s case for commercial deployment of ION’s solvent technology.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Production of Biocrude in an Advanced Photobioreactor-Based Biorefinery

Algenol Biotech, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Georgia Institute of Technology, Arizona State University, and Reliance Industries formed a team to advance the state of the art in algal biomass production and downstream processing technologies, with the end goal of a sustainable, economically viable biofuel intermediate (BFI, biocrude) product. The project included examination of high value co-product production as a market entry strategy and for enhancing the economics of a biorefinery for BFI production. The project targeted innovations in biology, operations, and engineering. The goals of the project were: BFI productivity greater than 4,000 gal-BFI/acre-yr on an annualized basis; energy efficient innovations in downstream operations resulting in an energy expenditure less than 10% of the BFI energy content and a carbon footprint reduction of more than 60% compared to fossil alternatives; and a comprehensive Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) that identifies limiting factors for commercial viability of a photobioreactor (PBR)-based biofuel product. The project achieved the overall objectives. Strain development efforts led to the identification of a strain (Cyanobacterium sp. AB1166) that, relative to the previous best strain (Cyanobacterium sp. AB1), exhibited a ~10% increase in productivity under commercially-relevant cultivation conditions and also resulted in cultures with a >50% reduction in viscosity such that harvesting efficiency was improved; these results represent achievement of key project milestones. Progress was also made at NREL in altering the biochemical composition of algal biomass to improve the yield of BFI produced via HTL. These strain enhancements coupled with improved outdoor cultivation practices, including semi-continuous operation, increased areal biomass productivity by nearly 80% over the established baseline productivity. The annualized productivity achieved (26.8 g/m2-d), paired with HTL conversion yields realized at NREL and RIL (38% ± 2% BFI), translates to 4,100 gal-BFI/acre-yr, exceeding the FY20 BETO goal of 3,700 gal-BFI/acre-yr. Significant progress was also demonstrated in large scale PBR-based production system design, operability, and cost reduction. A 24,000-L production module comprised of 240 interlinked PBRs was constructed and successfully operated outdoors for over one year in Fort Myers, Florida. Aided by a state-of-the-art productivity model, the productivities achieved convincingly demonstrated scalability of laboratory results determined at the mL to L scale to large-scale outdoor operations exceeding 20,000 L. The system was used to cultivate Arthrospira platensis (Spirulina), an industrially-relevant cyanobacterium and source for phycocyanin, an approved blue food colorant that Algenol is developing as a risk reduction strategy for future biofuel projects and as a potential business opportunity. A key project milestone to develop phycocyanin extraction and purification technologies was achieved ahead of schedule, and product samples received positive feedback from potential customers. The production and downstream operations data generated in this project were used to conduct and refine Techno-Economic and Life Cycle Assessments to provide research guidance for reducing the costs and environmental footprint of algal biofuel and co-product manufacturing plants. Several CO 2 supply scenarios for an algal biorefinery were identified as being capable of providing a large (>60%) reduction in carbon footprint in comparison to gasoline. The TEA assessments incorporated detailed comparisons of PBR versus open pond production systems, yielding a 3-fold higher areal productivity for PBRs and suggesting overall production cost parity for the two systems. The progress in this ABY2 project addressed many of the the barriers identified for the Advanced Algal Systems R&D Program and are directly relevant to achieving the established BETO goals associated with large scale biofuel production and cost reduction.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗