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Effects of overlapping sources on cosmic shear estimation: Statistical sensitivity and pixel-noise bias

The next generation of dark-energy imaging surveys — so called “Stage-IV” surveys, such as that of the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) — will cross a threshold in the number density of detected sources on the sky that requires qualitatively different image analysis and measurement techniques compared to the current generation of Stage-III surveys. In Stage-IV surveys, a significant amount of the cosmologically useful information is due to sources whose images overlap with those of other sources on the sky. Here, we focus on the weak gravitational lensing probe, for which we expect the largest impact since the cosmic shear signal is primarily encoded in the estimated shapes of observed galaxies and thus directly impacted by overlaps. We introduce a framework based on the Fisher formalism to analyze the effect of the overlapping sources (“blending”) on the estimation of cosmic shear. This method gives concrete predictions for the minimum loss of information due to noise and blending for any choice of “deblending” scheme and shape-measurement algorithm. Our studies account for undetected sources but do not address their full effects and biases they may introduce. We use simulated images and predict this impact of blending for three surveys: the Dark Energy Survey (DES), the Hyper-Suprime Cam Subaru Strategic Program (HSC-SSP), and the Rubin LSST. Our methodology successfully estimates the statistical sensitivity to weak lensing for DES and HSC early results. For LSST, we present the expected loss in statistical sensitivity for the ten-year survey due to blending. We find that for approximately 62% of galaxies that are likely to be detected in full-depth LSST images, at least 1% of the flux in their pixels is from overlapping sources. We also find that the statistical correlations between measures of overlapping galaxies and, to a much lesser extent (0.2%) the higher shot noise level due to their presence, decrease the effective number density of galaxies, N eff , by ~ 18%. We calculate an upper limit on N eff of 39.4 galaxies per arcmin 2 in r band. We study the impact of stars on as a function of stellar density and illustrate the diminishing returns of extending the survey into lower Galactic latitudes. We extend the simulation-based Fisher formalism to predict the expected increase in pixel-noise bias due to blending for maximum-likelihood (ML) shape estimators. We find that noise bias depends sensitively on the particular shape estimator and measure of ensemble-average shape that is used, and properties of the galaxy that include redshift-dependent quantities such as size and luminosity. The source code for these studies is available online.[The documented software developed for the catalog-level studies are available in the open-source LSST DESC github repository https://github.com/LSSTDESC/WeakLensingDeblending. The software for analyzing one or two galaxies with user-defined parameters is in the open-source github repository https://github.com/ismael-mendoza/ShapeMeasurementFisherFormalism.]

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

LA100 Equity Strategies. Chapter 2: Procedural Justice

The LA100 Equity Strategies project synthesizes community guidance with robust research, modeling, and analysis to identify strategy options that can increase equitable outcomes in Los Angeles' clean energy transition. Grounded in the analysis of past and ongoing energy inequities and engagement with underserved communities, the project presents community-guided and community-tailored strategies that aim to operationalize recognition and procedural justice. This chapter focuses on procedural justice, examining priorities identified during the community engagement portion of the LA100 Equity Strategies project. This process, and our approach to partnering with community-based organizations (CBOs) and the communities they serve, was developed from the baseline analysis in Chapter 1, which centers on recognition justice, examining past and current inequities in LA. Recognition, procedural, and distributional justice are the three tenets of energy justice around which the LA100 Equity Strategies project is organized. Procedural justice prioritizes fair, equitable, and inclusive participation in the decision-making process. This tenet's practical application entails who is invited and able to participate, whose voices are considered as decisions are made, the co-development of procedures to inform this deliberative process, and who has access to formal measures of regulation and accountability. Engaging with Angelenos to examine the causes of inequities and identify impact areas and priorities that center community experiences, values, and goals represents a first step in developing energy equity strategies for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) to achieve distributional justice - the just and equitable distribution of energy benefits and burdens in LA's energy transition. Equity, as community members insisted, is about making - and following through with - a commitment to prioritize historically underserved and overburdened communities. Community engagement is a principal method for operationalizing this commitment, guiding our analytic approach and potential equity strategies. Using procedural justice as an analytical tool, this chapter presents the LA100 Equity Strategies approach to community engagement from 2021 to 2023 and the results of this process in relation to community-identified barriers and burdens impacting procedural justice outcomes. We analyze the procedural elements of reaching the equity goals Angelenos set to inform future LADWP decision-making and program development.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Yb Substitution and Ultralow Thermal Conductivity of the Ca 3– x Yb x AlSb 3 (0 ≤ x ≤ 0.81(1)) System

Here, a series of Yb-substituted Zintl phases in the Ca 3–x Yb x AlSb 3 (0 ≤ x ≤ 0.81(1)) system has been synthesized by initial arc melting and post-heat treatment, and their isotypic crystal structures were characterized by both powder and single crystal X-ray diffraction analysis. All four title compounds adopted the Ca 3 AlAs 3 -type structure (space group Pnma, Pearson code oP28, Z = 4). The overall structure can be described as a combination of the 1-dimensional (1D) infinite chain of ∞ 1 [Al(Sb 2 Sb 2/2 )] formed by two vertices sharing [AlSb 4 ] tetrahedral moieties and three Ca 2+ /Yb 2+ mixed sites located in between these 1D chains. The charge balance and the resultant independency of the 1D chains in the title system were explained by the Zintl-Klemm formalism [Ca 2+ /Yb 2+ ] 3 [(4b-Al 1– )(1b-Sb 2– ) 2 (2b-Sb 1– ) 2/2 ]. A series of DFT calculations proved that (1) the band overlap between the d-orbital states from two types of cations and the p-orbital states from Sb at the high symmetry Γ point implied a heavily doped degenerate semiconducting behavior of the quaternary Ca 2 YbAlSb 3 model and (2) the site preference of Yb for the M1 site was due to the electronic-factor criterion based on the Q values of each atomic site. The electron localization function calculations also proved that the two different shapes of lone pairs of the Sb atoms—the “umbrella-shape” and the “C-shape”—are determined by local geometry and the coordination environment on the anionic frameworks. Thermoelectric measurements of the quaternary title compound Ca 2.19(1) Yb 0.81 AlSb 3 showed an approximately two times larger ZT value than that of ternary Ca 3 AlSb 3 at 623 K due to increased electrical conductivity and ultralow thermal conductivity originated from Yb substitution for Ca.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Crack Stability in Breached Fuel

This report describes the fracture mechanics formalism to evaluate the stability of cracks in a fuel cladding. Recognized consensus-body linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM) was applied to identify the crack instability length, or the length at which unstable mechanical crack extension would occur, as a function of pellet swelling loading (radial strain and fraction conversion from UO 2 to U 3 O 8 ) at the local cracked cladding region for two postulated fracture toughness (K IC ) values of the cladding. The crack opening displacement (COD) and the crack opening area (COA) were also identified. This analysis informs evaluations for crack extension and the potential for pellet debris loss from the fuel rod for cases of pellet oxidation in dry storage canisters where inadvertent residual water may undergo radiolysis causing oxidizing conditions to pellets exposed to the canister environment through breached cladding.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Crack Stability in Breached Fuel

This report describes the fracture mechanics formalism to evaluate the stability of cracks in a fuel cladding. Recognized consensus-body linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM) was applied to identify the crack instability length, or the length at which unstable mechanical crack extension would occur, as a function of pellet swelling loading (radial strain and fraction conversion from UO 2 to U 3 O 8 ) at the local cracked cladding region for two postulated fracture toughness (K IC ) values of the cladding. The crack opening displacement (COD) and the crack opening area (COA) were also identified. This analysis informs evaluations for crack extension and the potential for pellet debris loss from the fuel rod for cases of pellet oxidation in dry storage canisters where inadvertent residual water may undergo radiolysis causing oxidizing conditions to pellets exposed to the canister environment through breached cladding.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

The Essence of Cryptol: A Denotational Cryptol Interpreter in Coq for Foundational Assurances for Quantum Resistant Cryptosystems

Systems of the utmost consequence need a means to establish authenticity of software and data. Cryptosystems implement authentication, but can be vulnerable to cryptographic and implementation attacks. With the threat of quantum cryptographic attacks, “post-quantum” cryptosystems (PQCs) must be henceforth used in these systems. However, the new cryptography needs new ways to, rigorously and machine-checkably, prove systems free of vulnerabilities. We propose a retargetable capability to rapidly instantiate proven correct postquantum cryptosystems through novel proof-carrying synthesis and proof-automation technique, extending those proven successful on existing systems. This capability is crucial to meeting the cryptographic requirements for future high-consequence systems. Since specifications for high consequence cryptography are presently captured in a domain specific language known as Cryptol. While this can enable convenient fully automated reasoning about Cryptol specificaitons and implementations via the Software Analysis Workbench (SAW), Cryptol has expressivity gaps, so that cryptosystems with probabilistic programming features like Falcon cannot be fully expressed in the language. Moreover, SAW’s automation fails for programs and specificaitons with inductive and recursive structure, as in the Sphincs+ PQC. Finally, Cryptol and SAW together represent some 200,000 lines of unverified Haskell, so that the any guarantees about high consequence cryptography are presently contingent on a large, unverified, yet trusted computing base. The first step of the larger project of agile, assured crpytography is therefore to provide a formal, mechanized semantics for Cryptol, so that the specifications expressed by cryptographers in Cryptol can be reasoned about and compiled into performant implementations with a foundational, machine checkable certificate of correctness. This report describes our work on this first step, culminating in the design of a certified denotational interpreter, in Coq, for core Cryptol.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

One Galaxy Sample to Rule Them All: Halo Occupation Distribution Modeling of DES Year 3 Source Galaxies

Abstract For the joint analysis of second-order weak-lensing and galaxy clustering statistics, so-called 3 × 2 analyses, the selection and characterization of optimal galaxy samples is a major area of research. One promising choice is to use the same galaxy sample as lenses and sources, which reduces the systematics parameter space that describes the uncertainties related to galaxy samples. Such a “lens-equal-source” analysis significantly improves the self-calibration of photo- z systematics, leading to improved cosmological constraints. With the aim of enabling a lens-equal-source analysis on small scales, we investigate the halo–galaxy connection of DES Year 3 source galaxies. We develop a technique to construct mock source galaxy populations by matching COSMOS/UltraVISTA photometry to U niverse M achine galaxies. These mocks predict a source halo occupation distribution (HOD) that exhibits significant redshift evolution, nontrivial central incompleteness, and galaxy assembly bias. We produce multiple realizations of mock source galaxies drawn from the U niverse M achine posterior, with added uncertainties in the measured Dark Energy Survey photometry and galaxy shapes. We fit a modified HOD formalism to these realizations to produce priors on the galaxy–halo connection for cosmological analyses. We additionally train an emulator that predicts this HOD to ∼2% accuracy from redshift z = 0.1−1.3 that models the dependence of this HOD on (1) observational uncertainties in galaxy size and photometry and (2) uncertainties in the U niverse M achine predictions.

Salcedo, Andrés N. (ORCID:000000031420527X)↗

Window convolution of the galaxy clustering bispectrum

In galaxy survey analysis, the observed clustering statistics do not directly match theoretical predictions but rather have been processed by a window function that arises from the survey geometry including the sky footprint, redshift-dependent background number density and systematic weights. While window convolution of the power spectrum is well studied, for the bispectrum with a larger number of degrees of freedom, it poses a significant numerical and computational challenge. In this work, we consider the effect of the survey window in the tripolar spherical harmonic decomposition of the bispectrum and lay down a formal procedure for their convolution via a series expansion of configuration-space three-point correlation functions, which was first proposed by Sugiyama et al. (2019). We then provide a linear algebra formulation of the full window convolution, where an unwindowed bispectrum model vector can be directly premultiplied by a window matrix specific to each survey geometry. To validate the pipeline, we focus on the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) Data Release 1 (DR1) luminous red galaxy (LRG) sample in the South Galactic Cap (SGC) in the redshift bin 0.4 ≤ z ≤ 0.6. We first perform convergence checks on the measurement of the window function from discrete random catalogues, and then investigate the convergence of the window convolution series expansion truncated at a finite of number of terms as well as the performance of the window matrix. This work highlights the differences in window convolution between the power spectrum and bispectrum, and provides a streamlined pipeline for the latter for current surveys such as DESI and the Euclid mission.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Logic-based analysis of gene expression data predicts association between TNF, TGFB1 and EGF pathways in basal-like breast cancer

For breast cancer, clinically important subtypes are well characterized at the molecular level in terms of gene expression profiles. In addition, signaling pathways in breast cancer have been extensively studied as therapeutic targets due to their roles in tumor growth and metastasis. However, it is challenging to put signaling pathways and gene expression profiles together to characterize biological mechanisms of breast cancer subtypes since many signaling events result from post-translational modifications, rather than gene expression differences. We designed a logic-based computational framework to explain the differences in gene expression profiles among breast cancer subtypes using Pathway Logic and transcriptional network information. Pathway Logic is a rewriting-logic-based formal system for modeling biological pathways including post-translational modifications. Our method demonstrated its utility by constructing subtype-specific path from key receptors (TNFR, TGFBR1 and EGFR) to key transcription factor (TF) regulators (RELA, ATF2, SMAD3 and ELK1) and identifying potential association between pathways via TFs in basal-specific paths, which could provide a novel insight on aggressive breast cancer subtypes. Lastly, codes and results are available at http://epigenomics.snu.ac.kr/PL/.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Effective Hamiltonians derived from equation-of-motion coupled-cluster wave functions: Theory and application to the Hubbard and Heisenberg Hamiltonians

Effective Hamiltonians, which are commonly used for fitting experimental observables, provide a coarse-grained representation of exact many-electron states obtained in quantum chemistry calculations; however, the mapping between the two is not trivial. In this contribution, we apply Bloch’s formalism to equation-of-motion coupled-cluster (EOM-CC) wave functions to rigorously derive effective Hamiltonians in the Bloch’s and des Cloizeaux’ forms. We report the key equations and illustrate the theory by application to systems with two or three unpaired electrons, which give rise to electronic states of covalent and ionic characters. We show that the Hubbard and Heisenberg Hamiltonians can be extracted directly from the so-obtained effective Hamiltonians. By establishing a quantitative connection between many-body states and simple models, the approach facilitates the analysis of the correlated wave functions. We propose a simple diagnostic for assessing the validity of the model space choice based on the overlaps between the target- and model-space states. Finally, artifacts affecting the quality of electronic structure calculations such as spin contamination are also discussed.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

2019 Vehicle Technologies Office Annual Merit Review Report

The 2019 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy’s (EERE) Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO) Annual Merit Review (AMR) was held June 10-13, 2019, in Arlington, Virginia. The review encompassed work done by VTO: 287 individual activities were reviewed by 272 reviewers. Exactly 1,162 individual review responses were received for the VTO technical reviews. The objective of the meeting was to review the accomplishments and plans for VTO over the previous 12 months, and provide an opportunity for industry, government, and academia to give inputs to DOE on the Office with a structured and formal methodology. The meeting also provided attendees with a forum for interaction and technology information transfer.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Status of SPCA-ANL Software Development, Software Quality Assurance, and Application (FY2025)

SPCA-ANL is a simulation tool used to perform deterministic analyses of sodium spray and pool fires. Development of the SPCA-II (Spray Pool Combustion Analysis) code began in the mid- 1980s as part of the Clinch River Breeder Reactor (CRBR) Project. At that time, development of SPCA-II, which was led by Rockwell International, was focused on treatment of large-scale sodium spray, stream, and pool fires that were anticipated to be prototypic of the steam generator building cells in CRBR. Under more recent DOE NE programmatic activities, the SPCA-II code was recovered from existing literature and underwent minor modifications to generate a stable executable. This recovered version of the code was not formally released. As part of the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) Project in the 2010s, the SPCA-II code underwent key modifications to improve stability, address modeling deficiencies, improve consistency between the code manual and software, and address numerous bugs. At this point, SPCA-II was renamed SPCA-ANL. Given that SPCA-II served as the original basis for SPCA-ANL, both codes share an integrated history. Following termination of the VTR Project, the DOE NE Fast Reactor Program resumed support of the software with the goal of building and maintaining software infrastructure that can enable commercial-grade dedication of SPCA-ANL by an end user. Version 1.0, the first external release of SPCA-ANL, was generated in June 2024. This report summarizes the development and maintenance activities completed for SPCAANL in FY2025. This year’s work was focused on improving quality and usability of the code. The provisional Software Quality Assurance (SQA) program has been established and was used to test the procedures for infrastructure improvements, code development, bug fixes, and code releases, as described in the following sections of this report. A code Version 1.0.1 was released in FY25, as described in Chapter 4.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Synthesis, Structure, and Properties of the Complex Zintl Phase Eu 9 Zn 4.5 As 9 : A Candidate Topological Insulator and Thermoelectric Material

Reported are the synthesis and detailed analysis of the crystal and electronic structure of the novel Zintl phase Eu 9 Zn 4.5 As 9 . This material was identified in the densely populated Eu–Zn–As compositional space. For structure determination and for property measurements, suitable single crystals of this compound were grown from either Sn- or Pb-flux. Single-crystal X-ray diffraction methods indicate that Eu 9 Zn 4.5 As 9 crystallizes in the orthorhombic crystal system with the space group Pnma (a = 12.1953(7) Å, b = 4.3730(2) Å, c = 42.674(2) Å) and is formally isostructural to Ca 9 Mn 4+x Sb 9 , the less common “9–4–9” type. The structure is heavily disordered, with multiple partially occupied sites, yet, according to the Zintl-Klemm formalism, a charge-balanced composition (Eu 2+ ) 9 (Zn 2+ ) 4.5 (As 3− ) 9 is attained. Electronic structure calculations for a model, disorder-free structure indicate no energy gap between the valence and the conduction bands and suggest (semi)metallic behavior. Preliminary susceptibility measurements confirm the expected divalent nature of Eu 2+ ([Xe] 4 f 7 ground state).

Zintl phases↗

Conduct of Operations and Nuclear Criticality Safety Standards

Since the beginning of the nuclear age in 1943, there have been 22 criticality accidents in process facilities worldwide in which fissionable materials were processed by hand for various purposes. Of these 22 process criticality accidents, 16 involved faulty or flawed conduct of operations. Most of these process accidents (17 of 22) occurred before 1970, mostly due to the implementation of formal conduct of operations—such as the use of operating procedures and training—and the use of consensus standards for nuclear criticality safety (NCS). Obviously, the nuclear facilities applied lessons learned from their accident history, and the rate of criticality accidents was significantly reduced as a result. Over the years, it has been emphasized in NCS training courses and other venues in the United States that the consensus standards, such as ASA N6.1-1964, were the key contributors to this reduction in accidents. The formality of operations required to implement and apply the standards at a facility is also a crucial prerequisite that must be sufficiently robust to ensure NCS. This prerequisite is crucial to success fully implement the NCS consensus and other safety standards at a site.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Nuclear short-range correlations and the zero-energy eigenstates of the Schrödinger equation

Here, we present a systematic analysis of the nuclear two- and three-body short-range correlations and their relations to the zero-energy eigenstates of the Schrödinger equation. To this end we analyze the doublet and triplet coupled-cluster amplitudes in the high momentum limit, and show that they obey universal equations independent of the number of nucleons and their state. Furthermore, we find that these coupled-cluster amplitudes coincide with the zero-energy Bloch-Horowitz operator. These results illuminate the relations between the nuclear many-body theory and the generalized contact formalism, introduced to describe the nuclear two-body short range correlations, and they might also be helpful for general coupled-cluster computations as the asymptotic part of the amplitudes is given and shown to be universal.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Business Models for Coal Plant Decommissioning

Aging coal-fired power plants are retiring across the United States. Researchers at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory studied coal-fired power plant decommissioning business models to support program development for the Department of Energy’s Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy (EERE) to engage with communities affected by power plant retirement processes. Evaluating and reducing the impact on coal-dependent communities from phasing out coal production is a crucial piece of nationwide economic development and community-directed engagement in the clean energy future. This report describes the steps in the typical coal-fired power plant decommissioning process, including analysis of the following key factors: Drivers including policy and regulations, competition with other fuels, and corporate responsibility goals; Types of coal plant decommissioning including plant retirement without full decommissioning, repurposing with fuel switch, redeveloping to utilize existing transmission, and decommissioning and repurposing with other commercial activities; and, Costs of coal plant decommissioning, including variations across regulated and deregulated markets and the funding resources to support decommissioning activities. The details described in this report relied heavily on the availability of local news reports and communications regarding plant retirements, as the researchers identified a lack of formal literature surrounding business models for coal plant decommissioning and a need for a more robust source material collection. In addition, a lack of oversight entities responsible for decommissioning processes may have led to this shortfall of information. Future research regarding coal plant decommissioning can include quantitative studies on power plant retirement drivers, procedures, and costs, qualitative assessments on affects decommissioning has on surrounding communities, investors, and other stakeholders, and identifying best practices to engage community stakeholders in the decommissioning process.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

3013 Surveillance Program Interim Summary Report (FY16-FY21)

The K-Area Documented Safety Analysis (DSA) requires the facility participate in the SRS Site Surveillance Program as a part of Shipping Package Qualification and Storage Surveillance Program. The Site Surveillance Program outlines activities for field surveillance and laboratory tests that demonstrate the 3013 containers meet the functional performance requirements described in the DSA. The SRS Surveillance Program also supports the complex-wide Integrated Surveillance Program (ISP) for 3013 containers in accordance with DOESTD-3013. The purpose of this report is to provide a summary of the SRS portion of the surveillance program activities from FY16 through FY21 and formally communicate the interpretation of these results by the Surveillance Program Authority (SPA).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Exchange–correlation entropy from the generalized thermal adiabatic connection

Warm dense matter is a highly energetic phase characterized by strong correlations, thermal effects, and quantum mechanical electrons. Thermal density functional theory is commonly used in simulations of this challenging phase, driving the development of temperature-dependent approximations to the exchange–correlation free energy. Approaches using the adiabatic connection formula are well known at zero temperature and have been recently leveraged at non-zero temperatures as well. In this work, a generalized thermal adiabatic connection (GTAC) formula is proposed, introducing a fictitious temperature parameter. This allows extraction of the exchange–correlation entropy S XC using simulated interaction strength scaling. Here, this procedure uses a Hellmann–Feynman approach to express the exchange–correlation entropy in terms of a temperature- and interaction strength-dependent exchange–correlation potential energy. In addition, analysis of S XC as a function of interaction strength suggests new forms for approximations, and GTAC itself offers a new framework for exploring both the exact and approximate interplay of temperature, density, and interaction strength across a wide range of conditions.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗