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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 343 records · Page 19

Quantum-Inspired Bayesian Sampling for Uncertainty Quantification and Machine Learning (Final Technical Report)

With increasing simulation and measurement data, machine learning and artificial intelligence have been widely used in computational decision-making of complex engineering systems. The resulting tools, such as uncertainty quantification solvers, reinforcement learning, and physics-informed machine learning, have achieved great success in critical DOE tasks such as material discovery and design, energy system modeling and control, and numerical weather and climate prediction. A core topic in scientific machine learning and artificial intelligence is Bayesian inference: given an observed data set, people want to estimate the posterior distribution of a (possibly large) number of hidden parameters. Due to the flexibility and weak assumptions, Bayesian sampling has been the mainstream Bayesian inference solvers despite the rapid progress of approximate Bayesian inference. Classical Bayesian sampling methods such as Markov-chain Monte Carlo suffer from a low-acceptance rate due to the random walk nature, therefore state-of-the-art techniques use Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants to efficiently draw posterior samples in a high dimension. The key idea of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants is to simulate the Hamiltonian dynamics of a classical particle with a fixed mass, and their performance significantly degrades when the posterior distribution is highly spiky or has multiple modes. Leveraging the idea of quantum physics, this project has investigated new theory, algorithms and applications of Bayesian inference (especially Bayesian sampling). The main results include: (1) novel quantum-inspired Bayesian sampling methods that can lead to better accuracy for challenging multi-modal or spiky distributions, (2) more scalable machine learning framework leveraging tensor-compressed Bayesian inference, and (3) Bayesian and sampling approaches for verifying the robustness of continuous and binary neural networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Quantum Computing Market Report

The quantum computing market is entering a rapid growth phase. Growth was originally driven by private investment interest in high value applications such as drug discovery, materials science, and finance. Currently the main market drivers include technical advances, continued private investment, and rising public funding. The quantum computing market is poised for explosive growth — with its market size estimated at $1.42 billion USD in 2024, and an expected compound annual growth rate of 20.5% from 2025 to 2030 [4]. Superconducting qubits are the largest qubit type by revenue. However, alternative approaches such as trapped ion, neutral atom, spin based, and photonic qubits are also attracting investment.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multi‐Scale Model‐Informed Deep Learning for Plasma‐Nanoparticle Interaction

The Overarching Goal of this proposed research is to understand and quantitively determine the interactions between non-thermal plasma (hot electrons, reactive radicals, vibrationally excited species) and surface reactions on influencing the activity and selectivity of the desired reactions via developing multi-scale model informed deep learning algorithm. Investigating non-thermal plasma-surface interaction is feasible due to the low bulk temperature in the discharge region. To investigate the role of plasma-nanoparticle interaction on enhancing the reaction kinetics, we will focus on ammonia cracking to generate clean hydrogen over earth-abundant, non-critical metallic nanoparticles, which is of great significance for decarbonization. We hypothesize that (1) reactive radicals interacting with surface reaction species via Eley–Rideal mechanism will significantly lower the energetics of the potential rate-limiting step of nitrogen formation; (2) the surface will be charged heterogeneously under non-thermal plasma conditions and the charged site will lower the energetics of ammonia cracking through Langmuir– Hinshelwood mechanism; (3) vibrationally excited ammonia will further promote the initial N-H bond cleavage. To access the hypothesis, we will (1) reveal the surface charge effects on tunning the reaction energetics via interpretable, physics-informed deep learning accelerated density functional theory (DFT) calculations; (2) determine the reactive radicals interacting with surface reaction species on tuning the reaction energetics via DFT; (3) reveal the surface charge effects on tunning the reaction energetics via DFT and deep learning models, (4) quantify how vibrationally excited species, reactive radicals, and surface charging effects on enhancing the catalysis via developing DFT-based microkinetic modeling (MKM) and active learning. Deep and active learning of plasma-nanoparticle interactions effects on enhancing ammonia cracking to generate hydrogen represents a new paradigm for designing high performance plasma materials. The fundamental science of how plasma-nanoparticle interactions will change the plasma kinetics and will improve the energy efficiency for decarbonization and sustainability. The interpretable and physics-informed machine learning model will accelerate low temperature plasma chemistry and material discovery with physics rules and model interpretation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Advanced Computing Annual Report 2025 [Slides]

In Fiscal Year (FY) 2025, the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) continued to advance computing as a cornerstone of energy innovation, expanding the Kestrel high-performance computing (HPC) system to 56 peak petaflops. This growth strengthened Kestrel's role as a national asset for applied energy research, enabling larger, more complex simulations and accelerating the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) methods across the laboratory's computing portfolio. In FY 2025, AI was a component of most projects running on Kestrel, underscoring its central role in modern energy science and engineering. Kestrel supported a broad and diverse set of 507 modeling and simulation projects, engaging 855 researchers across the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) Office of Critical Minerals and Energy Innovation (CMEI) portfolio and other offices, as well as partners from industry, academia, and utilities. These efforts span critical materials discovery, energy systems modeling, grid modernization, advanced manufacturing, and other areas essential to strengthening U.S. energy security and competitiveness. Together, these collaborations produced 708 technical outputs, including 293 peer-reviewed publications, reflecting both the depth and impact of the science enabled by NLR's computing capabilities. This year's report highlights the growing importance and benefit of AI throughout NLR's research programs and features work by early career researchers who are helping shape the future of computing-enabled energy innovation. Explore these sections and the many project successes captured in the pages that follow.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Hydrothermal Synthesis and Structural Investigation of a Crystalline Uranyl Borosilicate

The relevance of multidimensional and porous crystalline materials to nuclear waste remediation and storage applications has motivated exploratory research focused on materials discovery of compounds, such as actinide mixed-oxoanion phases, which exhibit rich structural chemistry. The novel phase K1.8Na1.2[(UO2)BSi4O12] has been synthesized using hydrothermal methods, representing the first example of a uranyl borosilicate. The three-dimensional structure crystallizes in the orthorhombic space group Cmce with lattice parameters a = 15.5471(19) Å, b = 14.3403(17) Å, c = 11.7315(15) Å, and V = 2615.5(6) Å3, and is composed of UO6 octahedra linked by [BSi4O12]5− chains to form a [(UO2)BSi4O12]3− framework. The synthesis method, structure, results of Raman, IR, and X-ray absorption spectroscopy, and thermal stability are discussed.

Pace, Kristen A. (ORCID:0000000185748939)↗

Tutorial: Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence in Batteries

Machine learning (ML) promises to compress the time needed to characterize battery performance, lifetime and safety. By coupling ML with physical models and metrics, that learning can bridge across materials, chemistries and cell designs. This tutorial will discuss the most popular ML techniques and resources and review recent work in the electrochemical literature. Applications include materials discovery, image recognition for quantitative microscopy analysis, fast charge algorithm development and life prediction.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Transforming ENERGY through Computational Excellence

Computational methods underpin advancing the science and engineering of energy efficiency, sustainable transportation, renewable power technologies, and developing a knowledge base to optimize energy systems. Researchers with access to enough computing, and the right type, can focus their ingenuity and creativity on addressing the energy challenges. NREL’s advanced computing influence spans several common themes across the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), including materials discovery, process modeling, fluid dynamics, resource mapping, and analysis of large-scale systems with real-time optimization.

advanced computing↗

High Entropy Alloys: Advanced Synchrotron X-Ray and Neutron Scattering Studies

Synchrotron high energy X-rays and neutrons are powerful complementary tools for structure-property relationship studies by probing materials under complex external stimuli and measuring the bulk-average materials properties and response mechanism, thanks to the high brightness and advanced instrumentations. The research of using the high energy X-ray or neutron scattering instruments at large facilities in high entropy alloys has greatly increased in alloy design, synthesis, property evaluation, performance testing, and predictive model validation, and thus accelerates the next generation structural material discoveries.

An, Ke↗

Advancing the Science of Materials That Interact With Light and Electricity

We take a comprehensive approach in developing next-generation materials by combining deep expertise in materials discovery and selection, synthesis, characterization, and reliability testing. The result? A national laboratory-scale team and a suite of capabilities that can deliver scientific understanding and technical solutions tailored to meet your R&D needs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Advanced Computing Annual Report 2024

In fiscal year (FY) 2024, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) took a major leap forward with the completed full buildout of Kestrel, the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy's newest high-performance computing (HPC) system. Kestrel is already supporting science across the portfolio, bringing roughly 44 petaflops of computing power, which is more than five times the capacity of our previous supercomputer, Eagle. By delivering greater GPU capacity, Kestrel enables faster progress in artificial intelligence (AI) and opens new avenues in energy research - from defining long-term planning scenarios to accommodate a growing power system to material discovery to improving energy efficiency in photovoltaics (PV). Across the portfolio, research is being accelerated by Kestrel's impressive power. During FY24, 427 projects and more than 700 researchers used NREL's HPC, supporting the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy across 13 funding areas. Through these collaborations, researchers produced more than 450 technical outputs, including 195 articles in peer-reviewed publications, pushing the boundaries of science and engineering. This year's report features new sections spotlighting the expanding roles of Artificial Intelligence and Accelerated Computing. We also introduce an early career section to celebrate the accomplishments of our up-and-coming researchers, whose pioneering work is shaping the future of energy. We hope you enjoy the new insights and discoveries highlighted in these pages.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Perspective on Solar Energy Materials, Design and Discovery, Defects, Disorder, and Interfaces

The energy transition still faces a daunting math. Currently, more than three quarters of final energy consumption occurs in form of fuels vs less than one quarter in electricity. On the other hand, renewable energy additions come almost exclusively in the form of electricity (dominantly photovoltaics and wind). Thus, meeting the terawatt challenge requires enormous growth in renewables, sufficient to convert excess electricity into fuels, as well as the development of non-electricity based solar fuel technologies, for example via solar thermochemical routes. In this presentation, we will review successes and challenges in photovoltaic materials from silicon to CdTe to halide perovskites and potential emerging materials, with a particular perspective on the role of first principles calculations and predictions. Materials design and discovery is evolving to incorporate defects, disorder, and interfaces. These phenomena play also an important role in the thermochemical generation of hydrogen, allowing to utilize synergies between renewable electricity and fuels in computational research. At the same time, machine learning approaches are increasingly geared toward properties of non-ideal materials, for example defect formation, allowing the screening for more complex material behavior as needed for the respective applications.

fuels↗

Conductivity Spectroscopy for Investigation and Discovery of Photovoltaic Materials

Conductivity spectroscopy is an extremely powerful set of methods for probing the properties of optoelectronic materials, especially photovoltaics, where photoconductivity is one of the best spectroscopic proxies for performance. Despite this power, they are substantially less commonly used than time-resolved photoluminescence (for instance) because they tend to be more expensive to implement (THz) and/or require specialized knowledge (GHz) to construct instruments, which are not widely available. The goal of this review is to illustrate the utility of these experiments in the discovery and study of photovoltaic absorber materials and simultaneously make them more accessible to the community by providing a central tutorial resource. We provide a comprehensive review of how conductivity spectroscopy has developed over the past decade and been applied in the discovery and development of photovoltaic materials, with a primary focus on emerging solution-processable technologies. Along the way we aim to demystify conductivity spectroscopy with focused tutorial sections that explain the physical models used to fit the data and illustrate how to think about “high-frequency conductivity”.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Accelerated Discovery of Cost-Effective Photoabsorber Materials for Near-Infrared (λ = 1600 nm) Photodetector Applications

Current infrared sensing devices are based on costly materials with relatively few viable alternatives known. To identify promising candidate materials for infrared photodetection, we have developed a high-throughput screening methodology based on high-accuracy r 2 SCAN and HSE calculations in density functional theory. Using this method, we identify ten already synthesized materials between the inverse perovskite family, the barium silver pnictide family, the alkaline pnictide family, and ZnSnAs 2 as top candidates. Among these, ZnSnAs 2 emerges as the most promising candidate due to its experimentally verified band gap of 0.74 eV at 0 K and its cost-effective synthesis through Bridgman growth. BaAgP also shows potential with an HSE-calculated band gap of 0.64 eV, although further experimental validation is required. Lastly, we discover an additional material, Ca 3 BiP, which has not been previously synthesized, but exhibits a promising optical spectra and a band gap of 0.56 eV. The method applied in this work is sufficiently general to screen wider bandgap materials in high-throughput and now extended to narrow-band gap materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High-throughput solubility determination for data-driven materials design and discovery in redox flow battery research

Solubility is crucial for redox flow batteries because it affects their energy density. A data-driven approach based on artificial intelligence/machine learning models can accelerate the development of highly soluble redox-active materials, but the lack of relevant, large-quantity data makes accurate solubility prediction difficult. To overcome this deficiency, we developed a high-throughput experimentation process that combines a robotically controlled platform with high-throughput methodology to collect large-scale and high-quality solubility data. We demonstrate the potential utility and applicability of this high-throughput process by measuring the aqueous and non-aqueous solubilities of redox-active materials and studying the effect of additives on their solubilities for both aqueous and non-aqueous redox flow battery applications. A redox flow battery based on our optimized negative electrolyte formulation and a ferrocyanide-positive electrolyte offers highly stable performance over 18 days (>100 cycles) with consistent capacity and a 24% boost in energy density.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Computational Discovery of Intermolecular Singlet Fission Materials Using Many-Body Perturbation Theory

Intermolecular singlet fission (SF) is the conversion of a photogenerated singlet exciton into two triplet excitons residing on different molecules. SF has the potential to enhance the conversion efficiency of solar cells by harvesting two charge carriers from one high-energy photon, whose surplus energy would otherwise be lost to heat. The development of commercial SF-augmented modules is hindered by the limited selection of molecular crystals that exhibit intermolecular SF in the solid state. Computational exploration may accelerate the discovery of new SF materials. The GW approximation and Bethe–Salpeter equation (GW+BSE) within the framework of many-body perturbation theory is the current state-of-the-art method for calculating the excited-state properties of molecular crystals with periodic boundary conditions. In this Review, we discuss the usage of GW+BSE to assess candidate SF materials as well as its combination with low-cost physical or machine learned models in materials discovery workflows. We demonstrate three successful strategies for the discovery of new SF materials: (i) functionalization of known materials to tune their properties, (ii) finding potential polymorphs with improved crystal packing, and (iii) exploring new classes of materials. In addition, three new candidate SF materials are proposed here, which have not been published previously.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Intermetallic Reactivity Database: Compiling Chemical Pressure and Electronic Metrics toward Materials Design and Discovery

Here, the advent of high-throughput Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations has supported the creation of large databases containing the quantitative output necessary for constructing theoretical phase diagrams and predicting physical properties. In this Article, we present a complementary resource, the Intermetallic Reactivity Database (IRD), focused on the chemical bonding features of solid-state structures and indicators of potential structural transformations. Each IRD entry augments common features, such as band structures and density of states (DOS) distributions, with chemically motivated information including DFT-Chemical Pressure (CP) schemes and visualizable representations of the atomic charges. Together, these data types enable the rationalization and prediction of potential structural phenomena encountered in intermetallic chemistry, as we illustrate with four examples: the origins of the Y 2 Ni 2 Mg structure in terms of CP features of its parent structures, the anticipation of intergrowth phases from the net atomic CPs collected in Al-containing binary phases, the correlation between trends in the CP schemes of CaCu 5 -type phases and experimentally observed structural variations, and finally, the development of theoretical methodology with the testing of a streamlined method generating DFT-CP schemes. Altogether, these examples highlight how the IRD supports the creation of models of structural chemistry that extend beyond the bounds of its entries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗