Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Model Predictive Control”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2019

Framework for Multi Layer Control in Python (FMLC) v1.0

This package is developed as a backend for multi-layer and multi-time domain controller. One example are controller based on [Model Predictive Control] (MPC) where different modules with different time constants have to be coordinated to allow optimal control. In a simple example, the Weather Forecast must be acquired and processed, the MPC is computed, and finally the control is applied. All these modules typically run on the same time step (Time step: 5 minutes), but are different instances within the framework. The framework allows parallelization using the `multiprocessing` module. However, another real-time controller (Time step: 1 second) must be applied to react on instant system disturbances beyond the MPC time step. Last, a supervisory MPC controller (Time step: 1 hour) might be added to ensure global optimality.

Gehbauer, Christoph↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advanced Process Control and Dynamic Optimization of Reversible Solid Oxide Cell Systems for Performance and Long-Term Health

This presentation was delivered at the 2024 Hydrogen Annual Merit Review Meeting. It focuses on three aspects of projects focusing on solid oxide cell systems- advanced control including nonlinear model predictive control and traditional control, dynamic optimization with due consideration of chemical degradation over the cell lifetime, dynamic optimization considering physical degradation.

Allan, Douglas↗
DOE OSTI2019

Photovoltaic and Behind-the-Meter Battery Storage: Advanced Smart Inverter Controls and Field Demonstration

Electric utilities have little visibility of the electrical distribution system, and consequently, limited diagnostic capabilities. The distribution grid was designed for a unidirectional power flow, where energy is supplied by few large centralized power plants; however, this is set to change to meet California’s aggressive decarbonization goals. The large-scale deployment of distributed renewable generation, such as photovoltaics (PV), can have many negative effects on an unprepared grid. As illustrated in the California “duck curve,” PV generation modifies load profiles during the day, which causes steep ramping in the evening. This effect indicates the need to revise the electrical grid’s design and operation. This project sought to (a) create a centralized resource in California to test and validate distribution technology controls with industry standard PV, storage, and high-fidelity sensors, (b) support strategic and operational decisions for new grid architectures by providing simulation models, (c) promote new ways to control clusters of PV smart inverters, in accordance with California Rule 21, and (d) innovate, develop, and field test a predictive controller to maximize economic profit for the customer while supporting the grid. The controller was built using the state-of-the-art model predictive control methodology to optimally control behind-the-meter PV and battery storage. In consideration of the duck curve, the controller optimally controls the battery dispatch by charging during excess generation periods and discharging during the critical afternoon demand hours. The controller was evaluated in annual simulations and revealed the potential cost-effectiveness of behind-the-meter battery storage. The simulations showed that the annual electricity bill could be reduced by as much as 35 percent, with a payback period of the investment in battery storage in about 6 years – significantly shorter than the manufacturer’s 10-year warranty. All developed simulation models, the grid event library, and the MPC controller are open-source and available online.

Model Predictive control↗
DOE OSTI2023

Model predictive current profile control in tokamaks by exploiting spatially moving electron cyclotron current drives

The plasma control systems in next-generation tokamaks like ITER will balance competing control objectives to achieve the desired level of performance in advanced scenarios while preventing magnetohydrodynamic instabilities and disruptions. During normal tokamak operation, the points of incidence of the electromagnetic waves generated by the electron cyclotron heating and current drives (EC H&CDs) are usually fixed in space. However, the points of incidence can be modified in real-time by changing the angles of the mirrors that reflect the EC H&CD waves. Altering the points of incidence, in turn, varies the ability of the plasma control system to regulate a plasma property. For instance, changing the EC H&CD wave incidence location may place the power demands necessary to achieve a particular plasma target within saturation limits. Therefore, using the EC H&CD deposition location, which is related to the EC H&CD mirror angle, as a supplementary controllable variable may facilitate access to a given target scenario. However, active scenario-control algorithms have not been designed so far to fully exploit this capability in real time. In this work, a model predictive controller that can handle actuation locations as control inputs is developed. In particular, the controller is designed to regulate both the auxiliary powers and the EC H&CD deposition locations in a pre-defined optimal sense to achieve the control objective of attaining and sustaining a target current profile. Further, the proposed controller is tested for a DIII-D tokamak scenario in nonlinear simulations using the Control Oriented Transport SIMulator (COTSIM).

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

A Supervised Machine Learning Approach to Control Energy Storage Devices

This paper introduces a supervised machine learning approach to predict and schedule the real-time operation mode of the next operation interval for residential PV/Battery systems controlled by mode-based controllers. The performance of the mode-based economic model-predictive control (EMPC) approach is used as the benchmark. The residential load and PV data used in the paper are 1-minute data downloaded from the the Pecan Street Project website. The optimal operation mode for each control interval is first derived from the historical data used as the training set. Then, four machine learning algorithms (i.e. neural network, support vector machine, logistic regression, and random forest algorithms) are applied. We compared the performance of the four algorithms when using different number of features and length of the training sets extracted from different months of the year. Simulation results show that using the machine learning approach can effectively improve the performance of the mode-based control system and reduce the computation effort of local controllers because the training can be completed on a cloud-based Machine Learning engine. Furthermore, the work presented in this paper paves the way for using a shared-learning platform to design controllers of residential PV/storage systems. This may significantly reduce the cost for implementing such systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Hybrid Heat Pump Controls: Conventional Dual Fuel versus Seamlessly Fuel Flexible Heat Pump

This paper compares the performance of a novel seamlessly fuel flexible heat pump (SFFHP) and conventional dual fuel heat pump (DFHP) for space heating. The conventional dual fuel systems either run on the gas furnace or electric heat pump at any given moment, as a comparison, the proposed seamlessly fuel flexible heat pump simultaneously consumes gas and electricity by continuously optimizing the proportion of each. The process air flows across the heat pump condenser first and then flows across the furnace coil, therefore, the heat pump temperature lift is reduced. SFFHP delivers energy savings by allowing each subsystem, i.e., gas furnace and electric heat pump, to operate where it performs best.For DFHP, two operation control strategies, i.e., non-restricted control and restricted control, are available on market. For the non-restricted mode, the thermostat has a switching temperature-programmed according to the balancing point of heating load and capacity curve. Heat pump operates above the switching temperature, while the furnace takes over under the switching temperature. For the restricted control, the compressor of a heat pump is disabled below a predefined lockout outdoor temperature to let the furnace take over. For SFFHP, a model predictive control strategy is developed to continuously adjust the capacities of the electric heat pump and gas furnace based on the foreseen weather data, utility price signals, and marginal grid emission signals with the goal of minimizing the utility cost and CO2 emission while guaranteeing comfort requirements.In this paper, DFHP and SFFHP are simulated using high-fidelity heat pump performance curves generated from DOE/ORNL heat pump design model. Performance comparison of DFHP and SFFHP during 2019-2020 heating season in Los Angeles shows that SFFHP with model predictive control achieves 23% utility cost reduction and 17 % CO2 emission reduction. Case studies demonstrate that SFFHP can deliver significant reductions in peak demand, utility cost, and CO2 emission. As a result, SFFHP can deliver superior benefits for utility cost reduction and CO2 emission reduction over conventional dual fuel heat pump.

Li, Zhenning↗
DOE OSTI2018

Advances in Calibration of Building Energy Models to Time Series Data: Preprint

Advanced building analytics and control applications such as fault detection and diagnostics and model predictive control benefit from building energy models calibrated to time series data. In this paper, we present best practices for aligning EnergyPlus (TM) model time series output with measured building performance. These include the use of subcalibration procedures to fine-tune envelope, heat transfer, and mechanical system parameters; initialization of zone temperatures to match observed conditions at the beginning of each calibration period; and calculation of calibration metrics across multiple run periods using a new OpenStudio reporting measure.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2018

ADVANCES IN CALIBRATION OF BUILDING ENERGY MODELS TO TIME SERIES DATA

Advanced building analytics and control applications, such as fault detection and diagnostics and model predictive control, benefit from building energy models calibrated to time series data. This paper recommends best practices for aligning EnergyPlus™ model time series output with measured building performance. These include the use of subcalibration procedures to fine-tune envelope, heat transfer, and mechanical system parameters; initialization of zone temperatures to match observed conditions at the beginning of each calibration period; and calculation of calibration metrics across multiple run periods using a new OpenStudio reporting measure.

Goldwasser, David↗
DOE OSTI2017

Energy Storage Sizing Taking Into Account Forecast Uncertainties and Receding Horizon Operation

Energy storage systems (ESS) have the potential to be very beneficial for applications such as reducing the ramping of generators, peak shaving, and balancing not only the variability introduced by renewable energy sources, but also the uncertainty introduced by errors in their forecasts. Optimal usage of storage may result in reduced generation costs and an increased use of renewable energy. However, optimally sizing these devices is a challenging problem. This paper aims to provide the tools to optimally size an ESS under the assumption that it will be operated under a model predictive control scheme and that the forecast of the renewable energy resources include prediction errors. A two-stage stochastic model predictive control is formulated and solved, where the optimal usage of the storage is simultaneously determined along with the optimal generation outputs and size of the storage. Wind forecast errors are taken into account in the optimization problem via probabilistic constraints for which an analytical form is derived. This allows for the stochastic optimization problem to be solved directly, without using sampling-based approaches, and sizing the storage to account not only for a wide range of potential scenarios, but also for a wide range of potential forecast errors. In the proposed formulation, we account for the fact that errors in the forecast affect how the device is operated later in the horizon and that a receding horizon scheme is used in operation to optimally use the available storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2016

Centipod WEC, Advanced Controls, Resultant LCOE

Project resultant levelized cost of energy (LCOE) model after implementation of model predictive control (MPC) controller. Contains annual energy production (AEP) data, cost breakdown structure (CBS), model documentation, and the LCOE content model. This is meant for comparison with this project's baseline LCOE model.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2023

Frequency Recovery in Power Grids Using High-Performance Computing

Maintaining electric power system stability is paramount, especially in extreme contingencies involving unexpected outages of multiple generators or transmission lines that are typical during severe weather events. Such outages often lead to large supply-demand mismatches followed by subsequent system frequency deviations from their nominal value. The extent of frequency deviations is an important metric of system resilience, and its timely mitigation is a central goal of power system operation and control. This paper develops a novel nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) method to minimize frequency deviations when the grid is affected by an unforeseen loss of multiple components. Our method is based on a novel multi-period alternating current optimal power flow (ACOPF) formulation that accurately models both nonlinear electric power flow physics and the primary and secondary frequency response of generator control mechanisms. We develop a distributed parallel Julia package for solving the large-scale nonlinear optimization problems that result from our NMPC method and thereby address realistic test instances on existing high-performance computing architectures. Our method demonstrates superior performance in terms of frequency recovery over existing industry practices, where generator levels are set based on the solution of single-period classical ACOPF models.

nonlinear model predictive control↗
DOE OSTI2020

An encoder–decoder LSTM-based EMPC framework applied to a building HVAC system

Numerous studies have demonstrated the benefit of economic model predictive control (EMPC) applied to building heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. However, the construction and training of predictive models for building HVAC systems are widely recognized as a key technological barrier preventing large-scale adoption of EMPC for buildings. In this work, an encoder–decoder long short-term memory-based EMPC framework is developed. The key advantage of the approach is that a model may be automatically generated from a list of inputs and outputs. From the definition of inputs and outputs, the constructed model may be trained and automatically embedded into the EMPC framework for real-time estimation and control. The overall end-to-end EMPC framework from model training to on-line estimation and control are described. To this end, the encoder–decoder model provides a natural framework for state estimation (encoder), which is required to provide an initial condition for the predictive model of EMPC (decoder). Closed-loop simulations using EnergyPlus are performed to demonstrate the approach. The simulated closed-loop system consists of a building zone from a multi-zone building, which is served by an air handling unit-variable air volume HVAC system. For the HVAC example considered, the trained encoder–decoder model can predict the indoor air temperature and HVAC sensible cooling rate of a building zone over a two-day horizon with high accuracy. Overall, we find that considering a time-of-use electric rate structure, the EMPC, which manipulates the zone temperature setpoint, can reduce the HVAC power consumption cost relative to keeping the zone temperature setpoint at its maximum value (i.e., minimum energy approach).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2019

Load Flexibility Analysis of Residential HVAC and Water Heating and Commercial Refrigeration

The emergence of connected devices and the Internet of Things has opened the door to the concept of widespread use of building equipment for load-side flexibility. This stems from the increased use of distributed and clean energy resources for electric generation and the growing demand for a more resilient and reliable grid. A significant challenge associated with the use of building equipment as a distributed energy resource is quantifying the magnitude of power or energy flexibility. Unlike batteries that have well-defined and relatively constant capacity and maximum charge/discharge rates, building equipment often has characteristics that vary based on external factors (e.g., weather or occupant behavior). This makes quantifying the availability and flexibility of these resources difficult. Controlling a fleet of equipment while minimizing any adverse impacts to the occupants (e.g., discomfort or food spoilage) is a nontrivial matter. Although there are many different control methodologies available, this study focuses on two: priority-based control (PBC) and model-predictive control (MPC). These were selected because they represent two ends of the control spectrum. PBC is a relatively simple control strategy that requires only the current state of the devices to be controlled and an estimate of how much power each device consumes when turned on. MPC is much more complex and requires a model of the system and forecasts of any disturbances that influence the system. Because MPC has a predictive element, it can prepare for a desired response before the event and therefore is expected to provide a more optimal control relative to PBC. Both MPC and PBC are compared with a baseline simulation that uses feedback control typical of the thermostatically controlled devices being evaluated. This report investigates the load flexibility of three building systems: residential air conditioners, residential water heaters, and commercial refrigeration. Air heating and cooling and water heating account for 45% of residential electricity use, making them good candidates for providing load flexibility. Refrigeration in commercial buildings accounts for 16% of commercial building electricity use, making it another good candidate. Simplified models of each system were generated and validated based on measured data from actual equipment. These models were used to simulate the thermal and power response of the systems using PBC and MPC for a fleet of devices trying to achieve a variety of different responses, including hourly load shed, hourly load up, and daily peak demand reduction. Significant findings from each piece of equipment follow.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hybrid Energy Management with Real-Time Control of a High-Power EV Charging Site

Decarbonization of transportation systems is driving higher capacity energy storage and faster charging power requirements in electric vehicles (EVs). Given the potential advantages - such as increased efficiency, reduced inverter capacity, and less total cable mass - there is a demand in the industry for more DC distribution for high-power charging (HPC) hubs. However, the cost-effective, adaptive, and robust operation of the DC-coupled HPC hub necessitates a robust site energy management system (SEMS). Validating SEMS operation using a digital twin of an HPC hub in a real-time simulator (RTS) platform is crucial before field deployment. In this study, we propose a hybrid energy management site controller designed to achieve high-level, long-term operational objectives while managing low-level power sharing control between hub assets. We develop a centralized model predictive controller (MPC) to optimize hub operating points and use these points to update the droop parameters of the site energy storage system (ESS). This approach ensures the hub follows an optimal operating point while maintaining the flexibility to respond to load surges. We tested and verified our proposed approach both offline and on a Controller Hardware-in-the-loop (C-HIL) simulation platform integrated with a SEMS framework, demonstrating real-time site operation and validating a cost-effective and robust site controller.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Robust constrained tension control for high-precision roll-to-roll processes

Tension control is critical for maintaining good product quality in most roll-to-roll (R2R) production systems. Previous work has primarily focused on improving the disturbance rejection performance of tension controllers. Here, a robust linear parameter-varying model predictive control (LPV-MPC) scheme is designed to enhance the tension tracking performance of a pilot R2R system for deposition of materials used in flexible thin film applications. The performance of a tension controller may degrade due to disturbances associated with model uncertainties and the slowly-changing dynamics in R2R systems. We introduce a method that separately treats these two sources of disturbance. The controller utilizes an incremental model to eliminate the errors caused by the mismatch between the nominal model and the actual system. A tube-based MPC formulation combined with scheduled parameters adequately updates models and corrects for the time-varying dynamics. Constraints on the rated motor torque are incorporated in the MPC to maintain the controller reliability and avoid machine failures. We illustrate the operation of our control algorithm through simulation of an actual R2R system. The controller outperforms the benchmarks in terms of fast transient response and offset-free tension tracking. Furthermore, it also demonstrates immunity from variations due to parametric uncertainties.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Pseudospectral convex optimization for on-ramp merging control of connected vehicles

It can be a daunting task for human drivers to merge into highways because of the intricate vehicle negotiations and potential risk within limited time and space. Connected vehicle (CV) technologies could be a solution to this problem and offer many benefits to the road safety, traffic mobility, and energy efficiency. However, real-time optimal control of CVs is still an open challenge, due to the nonlinear vehicle dynamics, non-convex fuel consumption model, and highly dynamic uncertain inter-vehicle interactions. To tackle these issues, a novel real-time optimal control approach that balances the computational efficiency and solution optimality is proposed for the purpose of onboard application. To this end, the pseudospectral collocation method is integrated with a sequential convex programming approach to develop two new optimization algorithms, which are implemented within a model predictive control (MPC) framework to allow for real-time generation of optimal merging speed profiles. One algorithm leverages the line search technique to improve convergence, and the other benefits from the trust region method for better computational efficiency. The optimality and convergence process of both proposed algorithms are investigated by comparing their solutions with a popular non-linear solver. Furthermore, simulation results show that the proposed methods outperform the benchmark in terms of computational cost, fuel consumption, and traffic efficiency. In particular, the proposed fuel-economy merging rule can save 57.1% fuel consumption on average on four different traffic volumes. Meanwhile, the proposed optimal control algorithms can reduce 2.2% travel time on average comparing to the “first-in-first-out” merging rule.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗