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At least 343 records · Page 19

Active Layer Hydrology in an Arctic Tundra Ecosystem: Quantifying Water Sources and Cycling Using Water Stable Isotopes: Supporting Data

Data include results from water isotope analyses (one *.csv file) for samples collected in Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska during August and September 2012. Samples were from surface and soil pore waters from 17 drainages that could be interlake (basins with polygonal terrain), different-aged drain thaw lake basins (young, medium, old, or ancient), or a combination of different aged basins. Samples taken in different drainage flow types at three different depths at each location in and around the Barrow Environmental Observatory. Precipitation stable isotope data are also included (added in October 2019 with no changes to previously released data). This dataset used in Throckmorton, et.al. 2016.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 10-year research effort (2012-2022) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Sources and Variability of Nitrate on an Alaskan Hillslope Dominated by Alder Shrubs, Kougarok, Alaska, 2017 and 2018

Data provided include results of analyses of soil pore-water, soil moisture, and leaf litter samples collected at a Kougarok Hillslope site dominated by alder shrubs (KG_MM64) in the Seward Peninsula, Alaska during July and September 2017 and 2018. Samples were from surface soils in close proximity to 5 alder patches, collected upslope, within, and downslope of the alder patches. Pore water was analyzed for a comprehensive set of anions, cations, elemental analyses, and oxygen and nitrogen isotopes. Soil samples were collected for soil moisture determination. Leaf litter extracts were analyzed for carbon and nitrogen content and carbon and nitrogen isotopes. This dataset contains 3 *.csv files and 1 *.pdf file. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Iron and Phosphorus Geochemistry in High-Centered and Low-Centered Polygon Soils from the Barrow Environmental Observatory, Utqiagvik, Alaska, 2015

This dataset provides chemical characterization of soil cores obtained in triplicate from center and trough positions of a high-centered polygon and center, ridge, and trough positions of a low-centered polygon in the NGEE Arctic research area within the Barrow Environmental Observatory, Utqiagvik, Alaska. Photographs of the 15 collected cores are provided. Cores were collected to thaw depth in early October 2015 and subsequently divided into subsamples for analysis, which included bulk soil horizons (organic or mineral) and finer scale depth increments (minimum 4 cm thickness per increment). Bulk horizons and depth increments were characterized using sequential chemical extractions for Fe and P and with Fe K-edge x-ray absorption spectroscopy. Additional soil parameters such as loss-on-ignition, gravimetric water content, and carbon and nitrogen concentrations were also quantified for bulk horizons. This dataset includes four csv files, one pdf user guide, and one zip folder of *.jpg photos.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research.The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska.Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NGEE Arctic Rainfall Simulator Validation Data from Los Alamos National Laboratory, New Mexico, Summer 2022

Experiments evaluating the uniformity and intensity of rainfall produced by the NGEE Arctic Rainfall Simulator (NARS) were conducted at Los Alamos National Laboratory, New Mexico, over summer 2022. Petri dishes were placed in a grid within the NARS plot. Simulated rainfall was collected in each petri dish and the intensity and uniformity of the simulator was subsequently calculated. This data package contains two .csv files, one that summarizes the rainfall intensity and uniformity for each experiment, the other that contains individual petri dish water volume and intensity for each plot location and experiment. The Python scripts to control NARS are also included. The NGEE Arctic Rainfall Simulator (NARS) is a variable intensity rainfall simulator (RFS) with a frame design based on the Humphry et al. (2002) RFS and a water delivery system based on the Walnut Gulch (Paige et al., 2004) RFS. The NARS uses an aluminum frame that is fully deconstructable for transportation to field locations and a water system that enables variable rain intensity. Rain intensity control and data collection are automated using a Raspberry Pi microcomputer. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 15-year research effort (2012-2027) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

IDAES-PSE Software Tools for Optimizing Energy Systems and Market Interactions

Modern power grids coordinate electricity production and consumption via multi-scale wholesale energy markets. Historically, levelized cost metrics were the de facto standard for techno-eco-nomic analyses of energy systems and comparison of technology options. However, these metrics neglect the complexity of energy infrastructure including the time-varying value of electricity. An emerging alternative is multi-period optimization, which considers the locational marginal price of electricity as input data (parameters). In this work, we present a general interface for multi-period optimization with time-varying energy prices to facilitate rapid analysis and comparison of potential energy systems models. The PriceTakerModel class is written in the IDAES-PSE platform and allows users to generate a multi-period, price-taker model instance, as well as automatically generate common operational constraints for their model, such as start-up and shutdown. We show this interface successfully generates multi-period price-taker models, facilitates model discrimination, and aids in analyzing various technologies for deployment in unique energy markets.

Laky, Daniel↗

On the Computation of Space-Time Correlations by Large-Eddy Simulation

Numerical comparisons in decaying isotropic turbulence suggest that there exist discrepancies in time correlations evaluated by DNS and LES using eddy-viscosity-type SGS models. This is consistent with the previous observations in forced isotropic turbulence. Therefore, forcing is not the main cause of the discrepancies. Comparisons among different SGS models in the LES also indicate that the model choice affects the time correlations in the LES. The multi-scale LES method using the dynamic Smagorinsky model on the small scale equation is the most accurate of the all models, the classic Smagorinsky model is the least accurate and the dynamic Smagorinsky model and spectral eddy viscosity model give intermediate results with small differences. The generalized sweeping hypothesis implies that time correlations in decaying isotropic turbulence are mainly determined by the instantaneous energy spectra and sweeping velocities. The analysis based on the sweeping hypothesis explains the discrepancies in our numerical simulations: the LES overpredicts the decorrelation time scales because the sweeping velocities are smaller than the DNS values, and underpredicts the magnitudes of time correlations because the energy spectrum levels are lower than the DNS ones. Since the sweeping velocity is determined by the energy spectra, one concludes that an accurate prediction of the instantaneous energy spectra guarantees the accuracy of time correlations. An analytical expression of sound power spectra based on Lighthill's theory and the quasi-normal closure assumption suggests that the sound power spectra are sensitive to errors in time correlations. Small errors in time correlations can cause significant errors in the sound power spectra, which exhibit a sizable drop at moderate to high frequencies accompanied by a shift of the peaks to lower frequencies. Based on the above analysis, two possible ways to improve the acoustic power spectrum predictions can be considered. The first is to construct better SGS models to improve the LES accuracy for time correlations. The second is to remedy the temporal statistics of the Lighthill stress tensor in order to "recover" the contribution from the unresolved scales in LES to time correlations.

He, Guo-Wei↗

Multi-scale variation in spatial heterogeneity for microbial community structure in an eastern Virginia agricultural field

To better understand the distribution of soil microbial communities at multiple spatial scales, a survey was conducted to examine the spatial organization of community structure in a wheat field in eastern Virginia (USA). Nearly 200 soil samples were collected at a variety of separation distances ranging from 2.5 cm to 11 m. Whole-community DNA was extracted from each sample, and community structure was compared using amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP) DNA fingerprinting. Relative similarity was calculated between each pair of samples and compared using geostatistical variogram analysis to study autocorrelation as a function of separation distance. Spatial autocorrelation was found at scales ranging from 30 cm to more than 6 m, depending on the sampling extent considered. In some locations, up to four different correlation length scales were detected. The presence of nested scales of variability suggests that the environmental factors regulating the development of the communities in this soil may operate at different scales. Kriging was used to generate maps of the spatial organization of communities across the plot, and the results demonstrated that bacterial distributions can be highly structured, even within a habitat that appears relatively homogeneous at the plot and field scale. Different subsets of the microbial community were distributed differently across the plot, and this is thought to be due to the variable response of individual populations to spatial heterogeneity associated with soil properties. c2003 Federation of European Microbiological Societies. Published by Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

NASA Discipline Life Support Systems↗

NASA Giovanni Tool for Visualization and Analysis Support for the YOTC Program

The fundamental challenges to overcoming our shortcomings in understanding and modeling/predicting tropical convection have been two folds: I) the need to represent the broad range of scales applicable to the tropical organization problem (i.e. cumulus to planetary), and II) the lack of observations that adequately and simultaneously characterize this broad range of scales and that also provide three-dimensional information on thermodynamic, radiative and dynamical interactions, including cloud microphysical processes. Because the goal of Overview of Year Of Tropical Convection (YOTC) involves examining a scientifically complex, multi-scale "process", rather than documenting the characteristics of a single parameter (e.g., SST, cloud cover), YOTC has an IOP perspective that targets a period, May 2008 - April 2010, long enough to encompass many cases of tropical convection activity in many of its most challenging yet influential forms. This includes mesoscale and synoptic variability, easterly waves and hurricanes, convectively coupled waves, the MJO, and the culmination of these in terms of the monsoon, their interactions with the extra-tropics, and mean characteristics such as tropical-to-subtropical transitions. The YOTC time period and length are driven in part by the following: 1) keeping the multi-sensor/multi-platform and model-analyses data sets and associated infrastructure manageable, 2) facilitating a focused effort by the research and operational communities on a specific scientific problem, and 3) capitalizing on the recent key additions to the armada of satellites (e.g., CloudSat and CALIPSO).

Ostrenga, Dana↗

The Parallel System for Integrating Impact Models and Sectors (pSIMS)

We present a framework for massively parallel climate impact simulations: the parallel System for Integrating Impact Models and Sectors (pSIMS). This framework comprises a) tools for ingesting and converting large amounts of data to a versatile datatype based on a common geospatial grid; b) tools for translating this datatype into custom formats for site-based models; c) a scalable parallel framework for performing large ensemble simulations, using any one of a number of different impacts models, on clusters, supercomputers, distributed grids, or clouds; d) tools and data standards for reformatting outputs to common datatypes for analysis and visualization; and e) methodologies for aggregating these datatypes to arbitrary spatial scales such as administrative and environmental demarcations. By automating many time-consuming and error-prone aspects of large-scale climate impacts studies, pSIMS accelerates computational research, encourages model intercomparison, and enhances reproducibility of simulation results. We present the pSIMS design and use example assessments to demonstrate its multi-model, multi-scale, and multi-sector versatility.

crop modeling↗

GEOS Atmospheric Model: Challenges at Exascale

The Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) model at NASA's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) is used to simulate the multi-scale variability of the Earth's weather and climate, and is used primarily to assimilate conventional and satellite-based observations for weather forecasting and reanalysis. In addition, assimilations coupled to an ocean model are used for longer-term forecasting (e.g., El Nino) on seasonal to interannual times-scales. The GMAO's research activities, including system development, focus on numerous time and space scales, as detailed on the GMAO website, where they are tabbed under five major themes: Weather Analysis and Prediction; Seasonal-Decadal Analysis and Prediction; Reanalysis; Global Mesoscale Modeling, and Observing System Science. A brief description of the GEOS systems can also be found at the GMAO website. GEOS executes as a collection of earth system components connected through the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF). The ESMF layer is supplemented with the MAPL (Modeling, Analysis, and Prediction Layer) software toolkit developed at the GMAO, which facilitates the organization of the computational components into a hierarchical architecture. GEOS systems run in parallel using a horizontal decomposition of the Earth's sphere into processing elements (PEs). Communication between PEs is primarily through a message passing framework, using the message passing interface (MPI), and through explicit use of node-level shared memory access via the SHMEM (Symmetric Hierarchical Memory access) protocol. Production GEOS weather prediction systems currently run at 12.5-kilometer horizontal resolution with 72 vertical levels decomposed into PEs associated with 5,400 MPI processes. Research GEOS systems run at resolutions as fine as 1.5 kilometers globally using as many as 30,000 MPI processes. Looking forward, these systems can be expected to see a 2 times increase in horizontal resolution every two to three years, as well as less frequent increases in vertical resolution. Coupling these resolution changes with increases in complexity, the computational demands on the GEOS production and research systems should easily increase 100-fold over the next five years. Currently, our 12.5 kilometer weather prediction system narrowly meets the time-to-solution demands of a near-real-time production system. Work is now in progress to take advantage of a hybrid MPI-OpenMP parallelism strategy, in an attempt to achieve a modest two-fold speed-up to accommodate an immediate demand due to increased scientific complexity and an increase in vertical resolution. Pursuing demands that require a 10- to 100-fold increases or more, however, would require a detailed exploration of the computational profile of GEOS, as well as targeted solutions using more advanced high-performance computing technologies. Increased computing demands of 100-fold will be required within five years based on anticipated changes in the GEOS production systems, increases of 1000-fold can be anticipated over the next ten years.

ESMF↗

Multi-Scale Modeling of Low-Density Carbon-Phenolic Ablators

Protecting a spacecraft during atmospheric entry is one of highest risk factors that needs to be mitigated during design of a space exploration mission. At entry speeds from space, air turns into high-temperature plasma, and spacecraft Thermal Protection Systems (TPS) are needed to protect the vehicle payload. Modern successful material architectures of spacecraft shields use a porous carbon fiber substrate impregnated with phenolic as an ablator material. In the lecture, efforts to build a Predictive Material Modeling framework for porous ablators from micro-scale to macro-scale will be presented. Several numerical methods and techniques will be summarized that use voxelized images to compute geometrical properties of the porous substrate. These computed properties include porosity, specific surface area and tortuosity that are otherwise indirectly measured through experimental techniques. Direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC), a particle-based method for approximating the Boltzmann equation, is used to compute the permeability coefficient of the porous substrate based on its digitized representation. The method computes the flow within the microstructure, where the size of the pores may approach the mean-free-path of the flow. Finally, a high-fidelity model implemented in PATO (Porous-material Analysis Toolbox) is discussed, and some examples of ablative material response are presented, including for the first time 3D simulations of the full tiled heat shield for the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) capsule.

Ablators↗

AERoBOND Project Summary

Under NASA’s Convergent Aeronautics Solutions (CAS) project, the Adhesive-Free Bonding of Complex Composites (AERoBOND) project investigated off-stoichiometric epoxy polymers for fast, reliable assembly of epoxy matrix composite structures. The project goal was to demonstrate feasibility of the AERoBOND joining method by demonstrating mechanical properties greater than 80% of conventional co-cured materials while reducing structure weight by 1%. The project consisted of three convergent research areas: material and process development, systems analysis, and material and process modeling. Material and process development was the largest component of AERoBOND with approximately 6 FTE and 1WYE of support to formulate and characterize new resins, prepare carbon fiber prepregs, fabricate laminates, measure mechanical properties, analyze failure results, and select material and process improvements. The systems analysis activity estimated the potential reduction in part count and aircraft weight by comparing models of composite wing boxes with no fasteners (co-cured structure), fasteners in major joints (co-cured stringers), and fasteners in all joints. The materials and process modeling activity included a molecular model of the AERoBOND materials system to predict mechanical properties of resins with offset stoichiometry and a process model to predict the effect of resin formulation and processing conditions on the extent of mixing and degree of cure in a finished joint. As the number of airline passenger trips doubles in the next 20 years (IATA/Tourism Economics Air Passenger Forecasts, April 2019), the increased demand for new commercial aircraft is now the single greatest technical challenge to the airframe manufacturing industry. To meet efficiency requirements, new aircraft must be fabricated primarily from high performance structural composites, but manufacturing processes are inherently slow with the largest bottleneck attributed to assembly and installation of fasteners (NASA/TM–2019-220428). Manufactures of commercial transport aircraft are compelled to install more than 100,000 redundant fasteners into bonded joints to prevent failures due to unpredictable weak bonds. In structural adhesive bonds, the interface between adherend and adhesive is nearly two-dimensional making it susceptible to minute quantities of contamination, which can cause weak bonds. Currently, bond strength assessment is only possible through destructive testing (i.e., breaking the joint). For these reasons, regulatory organizations such as the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) often require redundant load paths in secondary-bonded, primary-structures to alleviate concerns with bond performance. The AERoBOND process enables reflow of matrix resin during assembly to eliminate the material discontinuity at the interface, thereby eliminating the dependence of mechanical performance on interfacial adhesion. The AERoBOND joint is equivalent to the interlaminar region obtained during a co-cure process, so joint performance depends on the cohesive properties of the matrix resin. Conventional co-cured structures, although too costly and complex for large-scale manufacturing, are trusted by manufacturers and regulators, and are certified for flight with few or no redundant fasteners.Systems analysis performed on a composite wing model at the scale of a single-aisle commercial transport aircraft indicated that >20,000 redundant fasteners per wing could be eliminated by implementing the AERoBOND joining method. A total weight reduction of 15% was predicted in a wing box by eliminating fasteners and thinning components that must no longer support localized fastener loads and accommodate fastener dimensions. Interlaminar shear fracture toughness measured by the end-notched flexure test was greater than 1 kJ/m2 (nearly 140% of the co-cured benchmark property), which is greatly in excess of the project goals for mechanical properties. Testing was planned to measure interlaminar tensile fracture toughness as well as interlaminar tensile and shear strengths using the same AERoBOND configuration, but was delayed due to closure of LaRC facilities during the COVID-19 pandemic. The AERoBOND process model is partially validated and available for experimental use. It allows the user to input AERoBOND process parameters such as material composition, laminate configuration, and cure cycle to predict the final cure state of the AERoBOND joint. A preliminary, multi-scale material model was developed to predict AERoBOND joint mechanical properties (stiffness and strength) based on the cure state of the joint provided by the process model. The timing for transition of this technology within NASA is excellent as NASA initiates new enduring projects to address composites manufacturing rate challenges. AERoBOND technology is well suited to AAVP/AATT objectives for rapid manufacturing of a composite wing. A minimal effort (1 FTE/$15k procurement/0 WYE) is proposed in FY21 to continue a minor mechanical testing effort and maintain a SAA with ASX composites to develop commercial quality prepreg material. An RFI with the composites industry is suggested to quantify the technology gap between the current TRL and the TRL needed for transition to industry. A moderate effort [3-4 FTE/$150k/1 WYE (~$115k)] is proposed in FY22 for the “high rate composites manufacturing” project currently in planning. The partnership with ASX Composites will be expanded to produce material for sub-element/element-scale “panel-off” activities. Industry partnerships with airframe manufacturers is an expected component to explore damage tolerance and environmental stability. Further development of multi-scale modeling tools (process model, meso-scale model, and molecular model) is planned to enhance and deliver tools for rapid manufacturing infusion.

Frank Louis Palmieri↗

The Additive Manufacturing Moment Measure - A Parallel Computation Technique for Determining Build Variance in the Laser Powder Bed Fusion Process

Additive manufacturing (AM) has unique process attributes that facilitate the creation of optimized, complex, and unique parts for aerospace applications. However, the multi-scale and complicated building process for AM parts can cause unexpected build conditions that result in microstructural variability within the deposited material. The need for richer datasets and computational modeling capabilities to improve AM process reliability is a consequence of this microstructural variability. A computational approach, referred to as the Additive Manufacturing Moment Measure (AM3), addresses this need by leveraging the way AM processes fuse material in precise, incremental steps. During the layering sequence, each previous step contributes to the condition of the current step at the center of the heat source. The precise steps can be selected to systematically create a time-space point field with co-located machine input and in-situ sensor data. The sequential nature of the AM process, coupled with nearest neighbor calculations, allows for a fully parallel computation for part-scale build profile analysis. The AM3 concept introduced here enables part-scale assessment directly from build files and in-situ process monitoring sensors alike. The AM moment measures were calculated for build point fields and compared with co-located in-situ and ex-situ nondestructive evaluation and optical microscopy observations. These comparisons permit a better understanding of how the sequential process actions can affect the quality of a laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) build. Details of the AM3technique will be discussed and compared to measured LPBF part characteristics. The AM3 results indicate a strong potential to advance the qualification process for aerospace applications.

Additive Manufacturing↗

The Additive Manufacturing Moment Measure (AM3) Approach to Predictions of Solid Cooling Rate and Time Above Melt

Qualification of a laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing (LPBF-AM) process requires knowledge of the multi-scale material physics during the process, per part. As the LPBF-AM build occurs, each moment is influenced by the process history. Knowledge of the build sequence can be used to generate a discretized time-space-condition point field that when coupled with a nearest neighbors’ calculation results in a generalized and fully parallel process model computation. This GPU accelerated approach was developed for part-scale analysis of build files along with in-situ process monitoring sensor data and is termed the “Additive Manufacturing Moment Measure” (AM3). The AM3 approach will be presented and then used to evaluate an AM Bench relevant geometry with synchronized in-situ process data, ex-situ nondestructive evaluation, and optical microscopy observations. These comparisons permit a better understanding of how the process actions can affect the LPBF-AM build quality and the signals generated during in-situ process monitoring.

Additive Manufacturing↗

Leveraging the Multiplatform Precipitation Feature Database of Combined Ground Radar and Satellite Lightning Observations for Convective Studies

The Multiplatform Precipitation Feature (MPF) database combines coincident observations of lightning from space with satellite- and ground-based radar data in a storm-based, feature-defined framework. The concept for the MPF database stems from the motivation to extend the scale and scope of investigations into the complex connections between ice precipitation, updrafts, and lightning in thunderstorms. The earliest iteration of the MPF database incorporates NASA International Space Station Lightning Imaging Sensor (ISS LIS) observations alongside the NASA Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) and Validation Network (VN). Because of the specific role of the GPM VN in forming the first MPFs, this subset is referred to as the VNMPF database. The synthesis of these multi-scale and multi-resolution observations leveraged each platform’s unique insights into convective properties and processes, offering a more complete view of deep convection over the large viewing area afforded by satellite coverage. The VNMPF database established the feasibility and infrastructure to combine microphysical, kinematic, and lightning observations from multiple satellite- and ground-based platforms. Following this successful proof-of-concept, recent progress has expanded the MPF database to make use of coincident ISS LIS lightning observations and data from the operational Weather Surveillance Radar - 1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) network, where individual WSR-88D proximity facilitates vertical wind retrievals via dual-Doppler analysis. These database changes have expanded the scope of the dataset by removing the requirement for coincident GPM and ISS LIS overpasses. This increases the sample size dramatically and facilitates analysis of higher-resolution radar-derived properties. These advancements allow both storm-scale and unprecedented broad statistical analyses of deep convection from electrical, kinematic, and microphysical perspectives over the contiguous United States. This presentation outlines the construction of the new MPF database and introduces some preliminary analyses of the convection captured within it. Early results summarize relationships based on updraft characteristics ascertained from WSR-88D dual-Doppler three-dimensional wind retrievals, properties of ice microphysics gleaned from dual-polarization analyses, and electrical characteristics observed by the ISS LIS. The expanded scale and scope offered by more than five years of ISS LIS observations enable new insights into regional and seasonal variations in the microphysical, kinematic, and electrical relationships of convection. Analysis of the database highlights the potential for advancements in lightning meteorology made possible by combining large-scale spaceborne lightning detection and proven storm interrogation tools such as operational polarimetric Doppler radar.

Lightning↗

Multi-scale processes driving tropical convection and influence of the aerosol (Final Technical Report)

This DOE GoAmazon collaborative project between scientists in the US and Brazil addresses fundamental processes that drive tropical deep convection including aerosol effects. The results provide guidance for improving the parameterizations of cloud and aerosol effects by increasing the knowledge of processes at work in tropical convection, especially over tropical land. Highlights include: • GoAmazon2014/5 observations permitted, for the first time, a comprehensive evaluation of the strong relationship between lower free tropospheric moisture and deep convective onset over the Amazon (Schiro et al. 2016, JAS; Schiro et al. 2018b, PNAS; Chakraborty et al. 2018, ACP; Schiro and Neelin 2018c). A set of diagnostics for deep convective onset has been established using data from the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign (Schiro et al. 2016, JAS), highlighting similarities and differences between the convective transition statistics over tropical land versus corresponding statistics from ARM campaigns in the tropical Western Pacific. The initial set of diagnostics has been provided as a module to be incorporated into the ARM Diagnostics Package of Shaocheng Xie and coworkers, which is being integrated into the PCMDI and E3SM diagnostics packages. Additionally, a set of downdraft diagnostics to inform model parameterizations has been developed (Schiro and Neelin 2018a, ACP). • These diagnostics have been used in constraining the behavior of modeled convective parameterizations. This includes using them with parameter perturbation experiments in the Community Earth System Model to show which parameter ranges are consistent with observed onset statistics, and to show that the primary causal direction of the water vapor-precipitation relationship is via the impact of mixing processes and free tropospheric moisture on convection (Kuo et al. 2017, JAS). Lintner et al. (2017, GRL) used this impact of free tropospheric moisture to systematically analyze issues in the simulation of Amazon rainfall in the CMIP5 model ensemble. • Leveraging the multi-instrument GoAmazon observations, Schiro et al. (2018, PNAS) are able to provide for the first time an empirical mixing using radar wind profiler data that provides a good predictor of precipitation for both mesoscale convective systems and smaller-scale convection. In addition, buoyancy estimated from these results is a good predictor of precipitation across the seasonal and diurnal cycles (Schiro and Neelin 2018c, JAS) and permits the effects of aerosols to be distinguished from those of the thermodynamic environment in the transition to deep convection (Chakraborty et al. 2018, ACP). • Placing the GoAmazon campaign in a larger context, in collaboration with U. São Paulo investigators, Rehbein et al. (2018) analyzed the characteristics of the mesoscale convective systems (MCS) that affect Amazon rainfall, including origins, lifetimes, propagation speed and displacement. de Barros Soares et al. (2017) establish statistically significant observed warming trends over much of South America and are able to attribute the origin of this to anthropogenic forcing based on the agreement of climate model simulations with and without anthropogenic forcings. This analysis left open the attribution of precipitation trends due to large natural variability. Barkhardorian et al. (2018) provide evidence indicating that the observed regional precipitation decrease and drying during recent over northern South America during recent austral springs will continue and intensify in the course of unfolding anthropogenic climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Fragmentation Prediction for a Brittle Ceramic: An Integrated Two-Scale Model Approach

A new implementation of a multi-scale fragmentation model is introduced that combines existing independent macro and micro-scale models into a single material model within the Library of Advanced Materials for Engineering (LAME) that can be used directly by the finite element structural mechanics code SIERRA/SM, developed at Sandia National Laboratories. The implementation not only joins existing independent fragmentation models into a single framework, but also enables further development by virtue of being integrated into SIERRA/SM. Integration with a finite element structural mechanics code for a true two-way coupling of the fragmentation models that were previously independent. Hereafter, the prior implementation will be referred to as the sequentially applied fragmentation model. In contrast, the newly developed model will be called the integrated two-scale model. The sequentially applied fragmentation model consists of two independent models applied sequentially to account for the macro-scale and microscale fragmentation. The macro-scale fragmentation behavior is calculated using an elastic gradient damage explicit material model developed to model fracture in brittle materials. The micro-scale fragmentation model is an implementation of the 1D cohesive-zone model developed by Zhou, et al. The micro-scale model is implemented by post-processing the macro-scale data that provides initial conditions for the 1D analysis. The micro-scale model is necessary to predict the resulting fragment size distribution at length scales inaccessible to the finite element based macro-scale model. The full range of fragmentation behavior is then predicted by combining the results from the two independent models. The sequentially applied fragmentation model was used to predict the fragments that result from impact loading of a brittle material, which in that case was a ceramic cylinder of commercial UO{sub 2} nuclear fuel. Understanding the fragmentation behavior of such materials is important for evaluating the risk of airborne particulate release under impact loading scenarios. This work will verify the implementation of the integrated two-scale model using the same experiment modeled by the existing sequentially applied model. The purpose of this manuscript is to introduce the new integrated two-scale fragmentation model and validate the implementation against the existing sequentially applied model for a specific case of impact loading of a brittle material. This validation case will not fully utilize the benefits of having the model integrated into the finite element code as a material model. Rather, this study will demonstrate consistency between the two fragmentation models to ensure that the success of the sequentially applied model will be duplicated by the integrated two-scale approach. Once validated, further development of the model can be made by utilizing the integration into the finite element code to create a fully two-way coupled fragmentation model that will be extended to include higher fidelity models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Systems Level Fuel Cycle Modeling in TMAP8 - A Demonstration

The tritium migration analysis program (TMAP) has been used for tritium inventory tracking and analysis for several years, and the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)-based TMAP8 has several improvements over TMAP4 and TMAP7, such as support for multiple dimensions and non-cartesian coordinate systems, as well as interoperability with sub-apps at higher and lower length scales. We demonstrate that TMAP8 has the additional capacity to solve systems-level problems using zero-dimensional ordinary differential equations by reproducing a literature model which describes a systems-level fuel-cycle of tritium inventory in a hypothetical fusion power plant. The capacity to run several coupled multi-scale physics calculations as part of a single package will be necessary for accurate blanket and fuel-cycle design.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗