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DOE OSTI2026

The high-valent vanadium chemistry of isoindoline chelates

Isoindoline-based chelates, in particular bis(arylimino)isoindolines, have shown extensive metal binding chemistry. Although this chemistry has been explored for the middle and late transition metal ions, little work has been carried out on early transition metal complexes. In this article, we present the first examples of vanadium coordinated using four bis(arylimino)isoindolines, in which the aryl groups are pyrazole, indazole, benzimidazole, and pyridine (ligands 1–4 , respectively). We isolated five complexes using vanadyl sulfate or vanadyl acetylacetonate as the vanadium source. In all cases, the ligands bound in a meridional mode, and for four of the complexes, the vanadium ion was observed in the V(v) oxidation state. Three of the ligands ( 1–3 ) formed VO 2 complexes with vanadyl sulfate and vanadyl acetylacetonate, but the bis(pyridylimino)isoindoline (ligand 4 ) formed a V(v) oxosulfonato complex with the former starting material and a vanadyl V(iv) acetylacetonate with the latter starting material. All metal compounds were structurally elucidated by X-ray crystallographic methods, and we probed their electronic structures using DFT methods.

Bore, Joan C. [Univ. of Akron, OH (United States)]↗

NASA NTRS2026

The Thermal and Kinematic Sunyaev–Zeldovich Effect in Galaxy Clusters and Filaments Using Multifrequency Temperature Maps of the Cosmic Microwave Background A399–A401 Cluster Pair Case Study

We present a multifrequency and multi-instrument methodology to study the physical properties of galaxy clusters and cosmic filaments using cosmic microwave background observations. Our approach enables simultaneous measurement of both the thermal (tSZ) and kinematic Sunyaev–Zeldovich (kSZ) effects, incorporates relativistic corrections, and models astrophysical foregrounds such as thermal dust emission. We do this by jointly fitting a single physical model across multiple maps from multiple instruments at different frequencies, rather than fitting a model to a single Compton-y map. We demonstrate the success of this method by fitting the A399–A401 galaxy cluster pair and filament system using archival data from the Planck satellite and new, targeted deep data from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope, covering 11 different frequencies over 14 maps from 30 GHz to 545 GHz. Our tSZ results are consistent with previous work using Compton-y maps. We measure the line-of-sight peculiar velocities of the cluster–filament system using the kSZ effect and find statistical uncertainties on individual cluster peculiar velocities of ≲600 km s −1 , which are competitive with current state-of-the-art measurements. Additionally, we measure the optical depth of the filament component with a signal-to-noise of 8.5σ and reveal hints of its morphology. This modular approach is well-suited for application to future instruments across a wide range of millimeter and submillimeter wavebands.

Ajay S Gill↗

DOE OSTI2026

Automated scanning probe microscopy of combinatorial ferroelectric libraries: Gaussian-process-guided exploration and noise-aware experiment planning

Combinatorial materials libraries provide an efficient route for mapping composition–property relationships, but their broader impact depends on rapid, quantitative, and functionally relevant characterization. Scanning Probe Microscopy (SPM), including piezoresponse force microscopy (PFM), offers significant potential for quantitative, functionally relevant combi-library readouts. Here, we implement a fully automated SPM workflow for ferroelectric combinatorial libraries and benchmark Gaussian-process-based Bayesian optimization strategies for autonomous experiment planning. The workflow integrates automated probe motion, contact optimization, imaging, and dual amplitude resonance tracking-PFM spectroscopy, and uses scalarized spectroscopic observables to guide subsequent measurements. Stage motion, probe engagement, in-contact tuning, imaging, spectroscopy, and the choice of the next measurement location all proceed without human input. We demonstrate the approach on Sm-doped BiFeO 3 and Zn x Mg 1−x O libraries. By comparing vanilla Bayesian optimization with a measured-noise variant, we show that explicit treatment of local reproducibility can improve modeling of composition-dependent response when the measured variance is physically meaningful, but can also reduce robustness when variability is dominated by outliers or topographic artifacts. Furthermore, these results establish automated SPM as a bridge between combinatorial synthesis and quantitative functional characterization.

Liu, Yu [University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN (U↗

NASA NTRS1997

The Effect of Gravity on the Combustion of Bulk Metals

In recent years, metal combustion studies at the University of Colorado have focused on the effects of gravity (g) on the ignition and burning behavior of bulk metals. The impetus behind this effort is the understanding of the ignition conditions and flammability properties of structural metals found in oxygen (O,sub>2 ) systems for space applications. Since spacecraft are subjected to higher-than-1g loads during launch and reentry and to a zero-gravity environment while in orbit, the study of ignition and combustion of bulk metals at different gravitational accelerations is of great practical concern. From the scientific standpoint, studies conducted under low gravity conditions provide simplified boundary conditions, since buoyancy is removed, and make possible the identification of fundamental ignition and combustion mechanisms. This investigation is intended to provide experimental verification of the influence of natural convection on the burning behavior of metals. In addition, the study offers the first findings of the influence of gravity on ignition of bulk metals and on the combustion mechanism and structure of metal-oxygen, vapor-phase diffusion flames in a buoyancy-free environment. Titanium (Ti) and magnesium (Mg) metals were chosen because of their importance as elements of structural materials and their simple chemical composition-pure metals instead of multicomponent alloys to simplify chemical and spectroscopic analyses. In addition, these elements present the two different combustion modes observed in metals: heterogeneous or surface burning (for Ti) and homogeneous or gas-phase reaction (for Mg). Finally, Mg, Ti, and their oxides exhibit a wide range of thermophysical and chemical properties. Metal surface temperature profiles, critical and ignition temperatures, propagation rates, burning times, and spectroscopic measurements are obtained under normal and reduced gravity. Visual evidence of all phenomena is provided by high-speed photography.

Melvyn C Branch↗

NASA NTRS2013

Colors of Jupiter's large anticyclones and the interaction of a Tropical Red Oval with the Great Red Spot in 2008

The nature and mechanisms producing the chromophore agents that provide color to the upper clouds and hazes of the atmospheres of the giant planets are largely unknown. In recent times, the changes in red coloration that have occurred in large- and medium-scale Jovian anticyclones have been particularly interesting. In late June and early July 2008, a particularly color-intense red tropical oval interacted with the Great Red Spot (GRS) leading to the destruction of the red tropical oval and cloud dispersion. We present a detailed study of the tropical vortices, usually white but sometimes red, and a characterization of their color spectral signatures and dynamics. From the spectral reflectivity in methane bands we study their vertical cloud structure compared to that of the GRS and BA. Using two spectral indices we found a near-correlation between anticyclones cloud top altitudes and red color. We present detailed observations of the interaction of the red oval with the GRS and model simulations of the phenomena that allow us to constrain the relative vertical extent of the vortices. We conclude that the vertical cloud structure, vertical extent and dynamics of Jovian anticyclones are not the causes of their coloration. We propose that the red chromophore forms when background material (a compound or particles) is entrained by the vortex, transforming into red once inside the vortex due to internal conditions, exposure to ultraviolet radiation or to the mixing of two chemical compounds that react inside the vortex, confined by a potential vorticity ring barrier.

red color↗

NASA NTRS2026

Towards an improved understanding of the Antarctic coastal zone and its contribution to future global sea level

Understanding the coastal zone of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, where it interacts with the Southern Ocean and warmer air masses, is crucial for predicting Antarctica's influence on the global climate. This region has multiple tipping mechanisms that could trigger large, rapid, and potentially irreversible changes in the coming centuries. The Antarctic Ice Sheet remains the largest source of uncertainty in future sea-level projections. Insufficient knowledge of bed topography beneath the ice shelves and the coastal ice sheet is not yet well documented, but is a major source of this uncertainty. This review assesses current knowledge of the coastal zone and highlights methods to investigate it, including aerogeophysical surveys, ground- and ship-based measurements, satellite observations, and computer modeling. An ensemble analysis of published bed topography datasets identifies significant data gaps and their regional distribution, framed in the context of current ice-sheet behavior and potential instability. We propose scientific priorities and guidelines for future aerogeophysical surveys, advocating for a comprehensive, coordinated international effort to build a next-generation dataset of Antarctic bed properties. Such an initiative would significantly advance understanding of the role of coastal processes in ice-sheet dynamics, reducing uncertainties in sea-level rise projections and enhancing predictions of future ocean and climate changes.

Kenichi Matsuoka↗

NASA NTRS2025

Sulfur outgassing and in-gassing in lunar orange glass beads and implications for 33S “Anomaly” in the Moon

Our recent investigations have discovered inward diffusion (in-gassing) of moderately volatile elements (MVEs; e.g., Na, K and Cu) from volcanic gas into volcanic beads/droplets. In this work, we examine the distribution of sulfur in lunar orange glass beads. Our analyses reveal that sulfur exhibits a non-uniform distribution across the beads, forming “U” or “W” shaped profiles typical of in-gassing. A model developed to assess sulfur contributions from different sources (original magmatic sulfur versus atmospheric in-gassed sulfur) in the orange beads indicates that atmospheric sulfur in-gassed during eruption contributes approximately 9–24 % to the total sulfur content of an orange bead, averaging around 16 %. This in-gassed sulfur is derived from the eruption plume, where atmospheric sulfur could undergo photochemical reactions induced by UV light, leading to mass independent fractionation and a distinct sulfur isotope signature. Interestingly, a recent study discovered a small mass independent isotope fractionation of sulfur in lunar orange glass beads in drive tube 74002/1 and a lack of such mass independent isotope fractionation in black glass beads in the same lunar sample. This finding contrasts with sulfur in lunar basalts, which typically exhibit mass dependent fractionation. With our work, the observed mass independent fractionation signal in sulfur isotopes of orange beads can be attributed to the in-gassing of photolytic sulfur in the optically thin part of the eruption plume where UV light can penetrate. Using the sulfur isotope data of lunar orange beads, we estimate that the Δ33S value of atmospheric sulfur is approximately −0.18 ‰. Our study provides new insights into the complex dynamics of volatile elements in lunar volcanic processes, highlighting the role of in-gassing in shaping sulfur isotope signatures in volcanic glass beads.

Xue Su↗

DOE OSTI2026

Spectroscopic Demarcation of Emergent Photons and Spinons in a Dipolar-Octupolar Quantum Spin Liquid

The identification of fractionalized excitations in quantum spin liquids (QSLs) remains a central challenge in condensed matter physics. In dipolar-octupolar (DO) pyrochlores, such as Ce 2⁢ Zr 2 ⁢O 7 , the candidate 𝜋-flux quantum spin ice (QSI) state is predicted to host both gapless emergent photons and a continuum of spinons. However, resolving these modes at zero field is complicated by their spectral overlap and the presence of nonmagnetic scattering near zero energy. Here, in this study, we report neutron scattering experiments on Ce 2 ⁢Zr 2 ⁢O 7 under a magnetic field along the [1, 1, 1] direction. In contrast to previous unpolarized studies at zero field that relied on high-temperature subtraction, we use a same-temperature high-field subtraction protocol to isolate the photon and spinon modes. Leveraging the selective coupling of the magnetic field to the dipolar degrees of freedom, we demonstrate the spectroscopic demarcation of these excitations. We observe that weak fields (≈ 0.15 T) suppress the low-energy photon weight while leaving the high-energy spinon continuum robust, albeit hardened. Our results, supported by gauge mean-field theory and exact diagonalization calculations, provide strong evidence for the 𝜋-flux QSI state and introduce a powerful field-tuning protocol for investigating DO-QSLs.

Gao, Bin [Rice University, Houston, TX (United Sta↗

DOE OSTI2026

Aragonite saturation horizon variability along North Pacific seamounts and implications for deep-sea coral reefs

The 2014 discovery of living deep-sea coral reefs along the Northwest Hawaiian Islands (NWHI) and lower Emperor Seamount Chain (ESC), despite the North Pacific’s shallow aragonite saturation horizon (ASH) and high CaCO3 dissolution rates, underscores the need to understand the local seawater chemistry that allows these reefs to persist. We investigated seawater carbonate chemistry using discrete samples along the NWHI and ESC from two cruises ~1 year apart (08/26/21 – 09/26/21, 09/09/22 – 10/24/22). Across the two cruises, ASH depth difference ranged from 15 to 77 m. Since the Pacific ASH shoals by 1–2 m yr?¹, this long-term trend cannot explain the magnitude of ASH change observed between cruises. Temperature-salinity plots similarly indicate no major shifts in intermediate water masses that could account for these changes. Instead, ASH depth variability was primarily governed by localized biogeochemical processes, namely changes in intermediate water respiration and CaCO3 dissolution. Indicators for dissolution (TA*) and respiration (AOU) suggest changes in ASH depth were driven by changes in dissolution at the northern- and southern-most sites, whereas respiration exerted stronger control at central sites. Combining 2021 and 2022 data with data from 2014 – 2019 (excluding 2018) revealed high interannual ASH variability, by as much as >200 m at one site. Deep-sea coral reefs across the NWHI and ESC currently reside close to the ASH depth and likely experience seasonal and interannual shifts between under- and supersaturation. As ocean acidification progresses however, persistent exposure to undersaturated seawater could further threaten these critical deep-sea ecosystems.

coral reefs↗

NASA NTRS2026

CH3OH and HCN in Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS Mapped with the ALMA Atacama Compact Array: Distinct Outgassing Behaviors and a Remarkably High CH3OH/HCN Production Rate Ratio

We report the detection of methanol (CH3OH) toward interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS using the At-acama Compact Array of the Atacama Large Millimeter/Submillimeter Array (ALMA) on UT 2025 August 28, September 18 and 22, and October 1, and of hydrogen cyanide (HCN) on September 12 and 15. These observations spanned pre-perihelion heliocentric distances (r H ) of 2.6 – 1.7 au. The molecules showed outgassing patterns distinct from one another, with HCN production being depleted in the sunward hemisphere of the coma, whereas CH3OH was enhanced in that direction. Statistical analysis of molecular scale lengths in 3I/ATLAS indicated that CH3OH included production from coma sources at Lp > 258 km at 99% confidence. However low signal-to-noise on long baselines, which sample emission on small spatial scales closest to the nucleus, prevented definitively ruling out CH3OH as purely a parent species. In contrast, HCN production was indistinguishable from direct nucleus sublimation. The CH3OH production rate increased sharply from August through October, including an uptick near the inner edge of the H2O sublimation zone at rH = 2 au. Compared to comets measured to date at radio wavelengths, the derived CH3OH/HCN ratios in 3I/ATLAS of 124+30−34 and 79+11−14on September 12 and 15, respectively, are among the most enriched values measured in any comet, surpassed only by anomalous solar system comet C/2016 R2 (PanSTARRS)

Comae↗

DOE OSTI2022

Conformer-Specific Dissociation Dynamics in Dimethyl Methylphosphonate Radical Cation

The dynamics of the dimethyl methylphosphonate (DMMP) radical cation after production by strong field adiabatic ionization have been investigated. Pump-probe experiments using strong field 1300 nm pulses to adiabatically ionize DMMP and a 800 nm non-ionizing probe induce coherent oscillations of the parent ion yield with a period of about 45 fs. The yields of two fragments, PO 2 C 2 H 7 + and PO 2 CH 4 + , oscillate approximately out of phase with the parent ion, but with a slight phase shift relative to each other. We use electronic structure theory and nonadiabatic surface hopping dynamics to understand the underlying dynamics. The results show that while the cation oscillates on the ground state along the P=O bond stretch coordinate, the probe excites population to higher electronic states that can lead to fragments PO 2 C 2 H 7 + and PO 2 CH 4 + . The computational results combined with the experimental observations indicate that the two conformers of DMMP that are populated under experimental conditions exhibit different dynamics after being excited to the higher electronic states of the cation leading to different dissociation products. These results highlight the potential usefulness of these pump-probe measurements as a tool to study conformer-specific dynamics in molecules of biological interest.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

The impact of metastability on the high-pressure behavior of cerium

The structures adopted by solids under pressure are often assumed to reflect thermodynamic equilibrium, yet in many materials phase selection is strongly influenced by kinetic pathways and microstructural inheritance. Elemental cerium (Ce) exemplifies this challenge, with decades of conflicting reports describing different high-pressure crystal structures emerging under nominally identical conditions. Here we use neutron diffraction from large ( ~ 60 mm 3 ) sample volumes to follow the structural evolution in ultra-high-purity Ce during controlled pressure-temperature cycling between 85 and 295 K and up to 8 GPa. We find that the crystal structure formed at high pressure depends on the compression pathway: slow compression ( ~ 0.25 GPa hr −1 ) at room temperature favors an orthorhombic phase (α'), whereas slow ( ~ 0.25 GPa hr −1 ) and also moderately faster ( ~ 0.5 GPa hr −1 ) compression at low temperature stabilizes a pure monoclinic phase (α"). The low-temperature phase persists metastably over a wide temperature range but transforms irreversibly upon heating above ~ 280 K, or modest pressure cycling. Remarkably, the lower-pressure γ phase remains trapped far beyond the expected stability field, persisting to the highest pressures studied. These observations show that phase selection in Ce is governed by kinetics and microstructural memory rather than equilibrium thermodynamics or sample morphology alone, establishing path dependence as a defining feature of its high-pressure behavior.

Ridley, Christopher J. [Oak Ridge National Laborat↗

DOE OSTI2026

Adsorption of hydroxamic acid ligands for improved extraction of rare earth elements from monazite ores

Efficient separation of rare earth element (REE) ores via froth flotation requires the development of novel ligands with enhanced adsorption capacity and selectivity. To realize these advances, understanding the mechanisms underlying interactions between the ligand and mineral surfaces is essential. This study systematically evaluates the adsorption behavior of alkyl- and aromatic alkyl-substituted hydroxamic acid ligands on monazite surfaces using complementary spectroscopic techniques, including UV–visible (UV–vis) spectroscopy, Raman spectroscopy, infrared spectroscopy, and vibrational sum frequency generation (SFG) spectroscopy, together with the ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations. Among the studied ligands, octanohydroxamic acid (OHA) and 4-ethoxy-N,2-dihydroxybenzamide (EDHBA) exhibit high adsorption capacity under basic pH (8–10) by forming multilayers on the surface. OHA has a higher equilibrium adsorption capacity compared to EDHBA, but it forms a less stable multilayer susceptible to disruption in the presence of interfering ions. AIMD results show that OHA adopts a single stable chelating geometry, while EDHBA exhibits multiple binding modes involving distinct interactions with La surface atoms and phosphate-bound oxygens, resulting in more complex adsorption kinetics. The variations in surface binding and intermolecular interactions observed between alkyl and aromatic molecules influence the differences in adsorption kinetics, equilibrium adsorption capacities on the mineral surface, and their flotation performance. This work provides valuable insight into the adsorption mechanism of ligands at mineral interfaces, which is crucial for guiding the design of new ligands with enhanced separation performance.

Zhou, Muchu [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000182650215)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Improved Protein Semi-Synthesis Enables Biophysical Studies of Thioamide Destabilization of β-Sheet Interactions

Abstract Thioamides are natural post-translational modifications of the peptide backbone and can be introduced synthetically to probe protein folding or functionalize peptides for translational applications. In this work, we demonstrate that thioamide-containing peptides with C-terminal thioesters can be efficiently generated using Knorr pyrazole activation and used in subsequent native chemical ligation reactions to generate thioamide-containing proteins. We compare this method to acyl azide activation and find that both routes provide similar yields. We also investigate ultrasound-mediated desulfurization of the ligation site cysteine for potential advantages over chemical radical initiators. Scaling up our syntheses allows us to study thioamide perturbations to the β-sheet region of the B1 domain of protein G (GB1) as well as β-strand interactions in amyloid fibrils of the Parkinson’s disease protein α-synuclein. In both contexts, we observe dramatic destabilization of the β-sheet networks, manifested in decreased GB1 thermal stability and altered folding and slowed aggregation of α-synuclein. These findings illustrate the impact that a single atom substitution can have on cooperative hydrogen-bonding networks and prompt future study of both systems.

Yanagawa, Evan S. K. [University of Pennsylvania ,↗

NASA NTRS2026

Optimization of X-ray Absorbers for High-Resolution TES Detectors in NewATHENA X-IFU

NewATHENA’s X-ray Integral Field Unit (X-IFU) uses a large-format array of Transition Edge Sensor (TES) microcalorimeters coupled with absorbers made of gold and bismuth providing 4 eV FWHM resolution up to 7 keV in the 0.2- 12 keV band. X-ray absorbers must be thick enough for photon absorption, maintain low heat capacity for energy resolution, and have good thermalization properties. The X-IFU requires total Quantum Efficiency (QE) of 96%, 87%, and 63% at 1, 7, and 9.5 keV, respectively. Optimal thicknesses are 1.05 µm gold and 5.5 µm bismuth to achieve 0.731 pJ/K at 90 mK and 87% QE at 7 keV. While typical TES absorbers are 3-4 µm thick, producing the required 5.5 µm Bi absorbers via standard electroplating creates enlarged grains and surface roughness. The increased roughness and grain size variability produced with our standard recipe have resulted in instances of 1) low energy spectral tails 2) spectral broadening of the energy resolution and 3) thermal shorts between pixels when a large grain bridges the gap between absorbers. In this study, we have introduced a new fabrication process and altered the morphology of the thick Bi through changes in the electroplating process. The process changes are intended to address all three issues as well as reduce particulate contamination observed on the finished detector arrays.

Absorber↗

DOE OSTI2023

Effect of the Nature of Both Cation and Anion Substitution on the Structural Symmetry of Li‐Rich 3 d ‐Metal Chalcogenide Electrodes

Abstract Li‐rich layered chalcogenides have recently led to better understanding of the anionic redox process and its associated high capacity while providing ways to overcome its practical limitations of voltage fade and irreversibility. This study reports on the feasibility of triggering anionic activity in Li 2 TiS 3 , through anionic substitution (Se for S) or cationic substitution (Fe for Ti). Herein, the chalcogenide chemical space is further explored to prepare mono‐substituted Li 1.7 Ti 0.85 Mn 0.45 Ch 3 (Ch = S/Se) and doubly substituted cationic and anionic phases (Li 1.7 Ti 0.85 Fe 0.45 S 3‐z Se z ) which crystallize either in the O3‐ or O1‐type structures depending upon substituents. All series show a bell‐shape capacity variation as function of the transition metal (TM) substitution degree with values up to 240 mAh g −1 . For specific compositions, a structural O3 to O1 phase transition is observed upon Li removal, which is not reversible upon Li re‐insertion due to kinetic limitations and negatively affects long‐term cycling performance. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations confirm the O3/O1 relative stability along the different series and point subtle electronic differences in the TM‐doping, rationalizing the structural and electrochemical behaviors of these phases upon cycling. These findings provide further insights into the link between structural and electronic stability, which is of key importance for designing chalcogenide‐based anionic redox compounds.

Chemistry↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Spacecraft Fire Safety Predictions using Verified Saffire Model

A model developed using Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) that aimed to determine the effect of a fire in a spacecraft was validated by data collected during the Saffire campaign. The model used inlet and outlet temperatures and CO 2 concentrations of the Saffire payload where fire spread was taking place to determine the amount of heat and combustion products that made it into Northrop Grumman’s Cygnus vehicle. The model was then validated using six remote sensors in various places in the vehicle, as well as a far field device (FFD) in the open zenith section that was representative of average vehicle values. The current work focuses on using the model to predict fire safety scenarios. One simulation aimed to determine the fate of HCl, which sticks to surfaces. The model prediction showed that the HCl was removed from the atmosphere rapidly. This compared well against the FFD data in the Saffire VI campaign event where a bottle of 5% HCl was released into the vehicle. An additional simulation where the Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) was shut off once the FFD reached 5 ppm of HCl showed that HCl stayed in the atmosphere considerably longer. Continuing the simulation with the ECLSS activated and after temperatures returned to their initial conditions, resulted in a rapid removal of HCL similar to that observed in the original HCl release scenario model. Finally, a simulation that used the heat release rate from a lithium-ion battery test to determine the effect it would have on a spacecraft was performed. This simulation used a heat addition rate that is considerably higher than what was determined from the burning of solid fuels in the Saffire campaign and hence produced a non-trivial temperature increase in more locations within the vehicle.

Fire Safety↗

DOE OSTI2026

Rapid Coal-Ash Characterization using Geophysical Methods & Machine Learning

Coal combustion products (CCP) are challenging to delineate in heterogeneous field settings. Conventional methods (test pits, coring, and laboratory analyses) are labor-intensive, slow, invasive, and provide sparse spatial coverage. This study evaluates whether rapid non-invasive geophysical screening methods—induced polarization (IP), magnetic susceptibility, and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) —combined with surface colorimetry (RGB_24), can discriminate CCP-soil mixtures and provide reliable estimates of CCP content. Laboratory measurements were collected on five CCP-soil mixtures (series) and modeled using (i) a linear baseline, (ii) a calibrated non-linear (power-mean) model, and (iii) a machine-learning (ML) Random Forest approach, with validation via leave-one-series-out and site-specific tests. Across the five series, individual signals—particularly IP and magnetic susceptibility—were strongly predictive of ash content but were consistently outperformed by combined models. The pooled calibrated non-linear and ML models captured the observed non-linearity and achieved high accuracy and precision, improving on linear fits. Colorimetry showed the weakest direct relationship with ash content for the tested samples but improved performance when included in multi-signal models. At pre-selected 3.5% decision threshold, calibrated and ML approaches yielded near-perfect classification (Matthews correlation coefficient ˜ 1), suggesting strong practical operability for field screening. Additionally, field-analog tests highlighted the role of endmembers—accuracy declined without access to end-member measurements but was largely recovered by collecting a minimal labeled pair for local recalibration. With end members, accuracy remained high. Globally trained models performed well on three operational unknowns; however, series-specific refits provided the most accurate predictions. Overall, these results highlight the potential of combining rapid geophysics and minimal local calibration for improved coal-ash delineation.

Peshtani, Klaudio↗