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At least 343 records · Page 19

Scalable Energy System Expansion Under Uncertainty Using Multi-Stage Stochastic Optimization

The intermittent nature of renewable energy sources poses challenges for electrical grids. This is due to the variable and uncertain nature of the power output from these resources. These features of renewable generation are more relevant to energy system planning as grids reach higher penetration levels of renewable energy. We present approaches for energy system planning based on scalable computational approaches which enable explicit consideration of operational uncertainties in the planning process. Using multi-stage stochastic programming and the progressive hedging algorithm, we compute energy system expansion decisions on modified versions of the RTS-GMLC test system.

electrical↗

Scalable Transmission Expansion Under Uncertainty Using Three-Stage Stochastic Optimization

The intermittent nature of renewable energy poses new challenges for power grids due to its variable and uncertain power output. These features of renewable generation are becoming more relevant to transmission planning as grids reach higher penetration levels of renewable energy. In this paper we present an approach for transmission planning based on scalable computational approaches which enable the explicit consideration of operational uncertainties in the planning process. Using three-stage stochastic programming and the progressive hedging algorithm, we compute transmission expansion decisions on a modified RTS-GMLC test system. We augment the grid with large amounts of wind generation and consider many operational scenarios subject to wind uncertainty.

multi-stage stochastic optimization↗

An Assessment of the Impact of Stochastic Day-Ahead SCUC on Economic and Reliability Metrics at Multiple Timescales

This paper incorporates the stochastic day-ahead security-constrained unit commitment (DASCUC) within a multi-timescale, multi-scheduling application with commitment, dispatch, and automatic generation control. The stochastic DASCUC is solved using a progressive hedging algorithm with constrained ordinal optimization to accelerate the individual scenario solution. Sensitivity studies are performed in the RTS-96 system, and the results show how this new scheduling application would impact costs and reliability with a closer representation of timescales of system operations in practice.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Algorithms and Experience with Prediction of Technical Operating Failures in Nuclear Power Plant Equipment

The development of algorithms for the prediction of technological operating failure of nuclear power plant equipment based on stochastic extrapolation of the values of technical parameters is discussed. The algorithms are tested on real archived data on the operation of the oil circulation system of the main circulating pumps in a power generating unit at a nuclear power plant.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

The matrix product approximation for the dynamic cavity method

Stochastic dynamics of classical degrees of freedom, defined on vertices of locally tree-like graphs, can be studied in the framework of the dynamic cavity method which is exact for tree graphs. Such models correspond for example to spin-glass systems, Boolean networks, neural networks, and other technical, biological, and social networks. The central objects in the cavity method are edge messages—conditional probabilities of two vertex variable trajectories. In this paper, we discuss a rather pedagogical derivation for the dynamic cavity method, give a detailed account of the novel matrix product edge message (MPEM) algorithm for the solution of the dynamic cavity equation as introduced, and present optimizations and extensions. Matrix product approximations of the edge messages are constructed recursively in an iteration over time. Computation costs and precision can be tuned by controlling the matrix dimensions of the MPEM in truncations. Without truncations, the dynamics is exact. Data for Glauber–Ising dynamics shows a linear growth of computation costs in time. In contrast to Monte Carlo simulations, the approach has a much better error scaling. Hence, it gives for example access to low probability events and decaying observables like temporal correlations. Here, we discuss optimized truncation schemes and an extension that allows to capture models which have a continuum time limit.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Scalable Stochastic Transmission Expansion: A Use Case for ExaSGD

The intermittent nature of renewable energy poses new challenges for power grids due to its variable and un- certain power output. These features of renewable generation are becoming more relevant to transmission planning as grids reach higher penetration levels of renewable energy. In this paper we present an approach for transmission planning based on scalable computational approaches which enable the explicit consideration of operational uncertainties in the planning process. Using three-stage stochastic programming and the progressive hedging algorithm, we compute transmission expansion decisions on a modified RTS-GMLC test system. We augment the grid with large amounts of wind generation and consider many operational scenarios subject to wind uncertainty. This is an example of a possible use of the ExaSGD security constrained AC optimal power flow solver.

Exascale Computing Project↗

A computer vision algorithm for interpreting lacustrine carbonate textures at Searles Valley, USA

Investigations of the paleohydrologies of pluvial lake systems have often employed lake carbonate deposits called “tufa” that grow subaqueously and can be preserved long after the drying of the lake. For this reason, tufa have been used as a proxy for minimum lake level. However, they exhibit a variety of textures that hold the potential to reveal richer paleoclimatological information. With the goal of determining if tufa texture can be used as a proxy for lake environment, this study investigates the textures of tufa at Mono Lake, California in comparison to the fossil tufa in Searles Valley, California. While observations in the last century suggest that the tufa in the Mono basin grew in waters similar to the modern, the tufa at Searles formed during the last glacial period, when the Great Basin contained a system of pluvial lakes on the scale of the modern Great Lakes. The tufa at both basins have been observed to have a range of classifiable textures, and new methods of inspecting visual data could be informative about what factors control these textures. To this end, a t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) algorithm is used to project images of the tufa at Searles and Mono into a coordinate space, allowing for simple, quantitative comparisons of the visual similarity of textures. In this work, the textures of tufa at Searles are compared to each other, as well as to the tufa at Mono. This study performs a robust assessment of the feasibility of Mono Lake as a modern analogue for Searles Valley. It finds that there is a justifiable basis for the comparison of certain fossil facies at Searles to the tufa at Mono, significant progress towards the goal of using texture as a metric for the environment in which tufa formed.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Numerical Validation of an Algorithm for Combined Soiling and Degradation Analysis of Photovoltaic Systems

We describe and demonstrate an open-source algorithm for simultaneously quantifying degradation and soiling of photovoltaic (PV) systems from energy-production time series data. The new analysis is based on year-on-year degradation rate analysis combined with stochastic rate and recovery soiling analysis. The algorithm is designed to fit into the workflow provided by RdTools, a Python module maintained by NREL and collaboratively developed with the community, which provides a framework and functions for degradation and loss-factor analysis of PV field data. We demonstrate the method on numerically simulated PV data sets and show that it reduces the root-mean-square error of the P50 degradation rate estimate when soiling is present.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A rigorous sequential update strategy for parallel kinetic Monte Carlo simulation

The kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) method is used in many scientific fields in applications involving rare-event transitions. Due to its discrete stochastic nature, efforts to parallelize kMC approaches often produce unbalanced time evolutions requiring complex implementations to ensure correct statistics. In the context of parallel kMC, the sequential update technique has shown promise by generating high quality distributions with high relative efficiencies for short-range systems. In this work, we provide an extension of the sequential update method in a parallel context that rigorously obeys detailed balance, which guarantees exact equilibrium statistics for all parallelization settings. Furthermore, our approach also preserves nonequilibrium dynamics with minimal error for many parallelization settings, and can be used to achieve highly precise sampling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Real-time calibration of a feedback trap

Feedback traps use closed-loop control to trap or manipulate small particles and molecules in solution. They have been applied to the measurement of physical and chemical properties of particles and to explore fundamental questions in the non-equilibrium statistical mechanics of small systems. These applications have been hampered by drifts in the electric forces used to manipulate the particles. Although the drifts are small for measurements on the order of seconds, they dominate on time scales of minutes or slower. Here, we show that a recursive maximum likelihood (RML) algorithm can allow real-time measurement and control of electric and stochastic forces over time scales of hours. Simulations show that the RML algorithm recovers known parameters accurately. Experimental estimates of diffusion coefficients are also consistent with expected physical properties.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

An adaptive sampling augmented Lagrangian method for stochastic optimization with deterministic constraints

The primary goal of this paper is to provide an efficient solution algorithm based on the augmented Lagrangian framework for optimization problems with a stochastic objective function and deterministic constraints. Our main contribution is combining the augmented Lagrangian framework with adaptive sampling, resulting in an efficient optimization methodology validated with practical examples. To achieve the presented efficiency, here we consider inexact solutions for the augmented Lagrangian subproblems, and through an adaptive sampling mechanism, we control the variance in the gradient estimates. Furthermore, we analyze the theoretical performance of the proposed scheme by showing equivalence to a gradient descent algorithm on a Moreau envelope function, and we prove sublinear convergence for convex objectives and linear convergence for strongly convex objectives with affine equality constraints. The worst-case sample complexity of the resulting algorithm, for an arbitrary choice of penalty parameter in the augmented Lagrangian function, is $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -3-δ ) , where ϵ > 0 is the expected error of the solution and δ > 0 is a user-defined parameter. If the penalty parameter is chosen to be $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -1 ), we demonstrate that the result can be improved to $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -2 ) , which is competitive with the other methods employed in the literature. Moreover, if the objective function is strongly convex with affine equality constraints, we obtain $\mathscr{O}$(ϵ -1 log(1/ϵ)) complexity. Finally, we empirically verify the performance of our adaptive sampling augmented Lagrangian framework in machine learning optimization and engineering design problems, including topology optimization of a heat sink with environmental uncertainty.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Low-Rank Solution Methods for Stochastic Eigenvalue Problems

In this report, we study efficient solution methods for stochastic eigenvalue problems arising from discretization of self-adjoint partial differential equations with random data, where the underlying operators depend linearly on the random parameters. With the stochastic Galerkin approach, the solutions are represented as generalized polynomial chaos expansions. When these solutions can be approximated well by low-rank objects, we introduce a low-rank variant of the inverse subspace iteration algorithm for computing one or several minimal eigenvalues and corresponding eigenvectors of parameter-dependent matrices. In the algorithm, the iterates are approximated by low-rank matrices, which leads to significant cost savings. Furthermore, the algorithm is tested on two benchmark problems, a stochastic diffusion problem with some poorly separated eigenvalues, and an operator derived from a discrete stochastic Stokes problem whose minimal eigenvalue is related to the inf-sup stability constant. Numerical experiments show that the low-rank algorithm produces accurate solutions compared to the Monte Carlo method, and it uses much less computational time than the original algorithm without low-rank approximation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Battery Model Parameterization Using Manufacturer Datasheet and Field Measurement for Real-Time HIL Applications

Here, this paper presents a novel battery model parameterization method using actual field measurement and manufacturer datasheet for real-time hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) applications. It is critical that real-time HIL models can accurately reproduce field test results so that tests can be conducted on HIL testbeds instead of in the field. In the past, numerical heuristic optimization algorithms were often used to derive parameters for battery models. However, the deterministic algorithms often reach a locally optimal solution and stochastic heuristic searching strategies suffer from low searching efficiency. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a global-local searching enhanced genetic algorithm (GL-SEGA). By applying the generalized opposition-based learning mechanism, GL-SEGA can efficiently explore the global solution space. By using the trust-region-reflective method to perform the local search, the GL-SEGA can improve the accuracy and convergence in its local exploitations. Field measurements and manufactory datasheets are used to test and validate the accuracy and robustness of the GL-SEGA algorithm.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Stochastic Multi-Timescale Power System Operations With Variable Wind Generation

This paper describes a novel set of stochastic unit commitment and economic dispatch models that consider stochastic loads and variable generation at multiple operational timescales. The stochastic model includes four distinct stages: stochastic day-ahead security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC), stochastic real-time SCUC, stochastic real-time security-constrained economic dispatch (SCED), and deterministic automatic generation control (AGC). These sub-models are integrated together such that they are continually updated with decisions passed from one to another. The progressive hedging algorithm (PHA) is applied to solve the stochastic models to maintain the computational tractability of the proposed models. Comparative case studies with deterministic approaches are conducted in low wind and high wind penetration scenarios to highlight the advantages of the proposed methodology, one with perfect forecasts and the other with current state-of-the-art but imperfect deterministic forecasts. The effectiveness of the proposed method is evaluated with sensitivity tests using both economic and reliability metrics to provide a broader view of its impact.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Competing phases, phase separation, and coexistence in the extended one-dimensional bosonic Hubbard model

Here, we study the phase diagram of the one-dimensional bosonic Hubbard model with contact (U) and near neighbor (V ) interactions focusing on the gapped Haldane insulating (HI) phase which is characterized by an exotic nonlocal order parameter. The parameter regime (U, V and μ) where this phase exists and how it competes with other phases such as the supersolid (SS) phase, is incompletely understood. We use the Stochastic Green Function quantum Monte Carlo algorithm as well as the density matrix renormalization group to map out the phase diagram. The HI exists only at = 1, the SS phase exists for a very wide range of parameters (including commensurate fillings) and displays power law decay in the one body Green function were our main conclusions. Additionally, we show that at fixed integer density, the system exhibits phase separation in the (U, V ) plane.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Random coordinate descent: A simple alternative for optimizing parameterized quantum circuits

Variational quantum algorithms rely on the optimization of parameterized quantum circuits in noisy settings. The commonly used back-propagation procedure in classical machine learning is not directly applicable in this setting due to the collapse of quantum states after measurements. Thus, gradient estimations constitute a significant overhead in a gradient-based optimization of such quantum circuits. This paper introduces a random coordinate descent algorithm as a practical and easy-to-implement alternative to the full gradient descent algorithm. This algorithm only requires one partial derivative at each iteration. Motivated by the behavior of measurement noise in the practical optimization of parameterized quantum circuits, this paper presents an optimization problem setting that is amenable to analysis. Under this setting, the random coordinate descent algorithm exhibits the same level of stochastic stability as the full gradient approach, making it as resilient to noise. The complexity of the random coordinate descent method is generally no worse than that of the gradient descent and can be much better for various quantum optimization problems with anisotropic Lipschitz constants. Theoretical analysis and extensive numerical experiments validate our findings. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Ding, Zhiyan (ORCID:000000018863403X)↗

Energy Storage Sizing and Operation of an Integrated Utility-Scale PV+ESS Power Plant

Integration of an energy storage system (ESS) into a large-scale grid-connected photovoltaic (PV) power plant is highly desirable to improve performance of the system and overcome the stochastic nature of PV power generation. Algorithms to size ESS within an integrated PV and ESS ( PV+ESS) power plant, conventionally, require a large number of high-resolution samples of PV generation. These algorithms are computationally expensive. In this paper, a two-day optimization algorithm that utilizes n-step constant power output dispatch every day from the PV+ESS power plant is proposed to size the ESS. Additionally, an n-step power dispatch every day through the one-year timeframe based optimization of the size of ESS is also performed. The proposed methods are computationally cheaper and provide acceptable accuracy with respect to the conventional sizing methods. The economics identified from the proposed methods are compared with the typical day-ahead hourly dispatch-based power production from the PV+ESS power plant. This comparison has shown similar economic performance showcasing the accuracy of the proposed methods in sizing the ESS. It also shows the potential for operating PV+ESS power plant in n-step constant power generation mode.

Xia, Qian↗

Fast, Dynamic, and Scalable Algorithms for Large-Scale Constrained Optimization

Scientists and engineers constantly aim to optimize an objective subject to physical, environmental, and/or resource constraints. The technique of using mathematical models to formulate and find real solutions of such problems is known as mathematical optimization, a process that has become invaluable for design and discovery in numerous scientific fields. This project has focused on the design, analysis, and implementation of high-performance computing algorithms for solving cutting-edge optimization problems. These include problems that involve (1) data uncertainties, such as those in the future supply, demand, and capacity of a given power system, (2) extreme numbers of alternatives, such as in the design of electrical power grids to avoid network vulnerabilities, and (3) real-time decisions, such as in the control of chemical reactors. The key features of the new algorithms are that they are fast, dynamic, and scalable to meet the computational requirements of scientists and researchers working to optimize large-scale, complex systems. The algorithms that have been designed, analyzed, and tested as part of the project can be characterized based on the types of optimization problems they have been designed to solve. Much of the work has focused on algorithms for solving large-scale constrained optimization problems. Contributions have also been made in the design of algorithms for unconstrained optimization, with some specialized methods for solving problems that have inherent nonsmoothness. Contributions have also been made in areas that have grown to prominence in the field over the five-year award period. These include the design of algorithms for solving large-scale stochastic optimization problems, such as those that arise in large-scale machine learning, and in complexity analyses for solving nonconvex problems, which has been a focal point of much recent work in continuous optimization. Overall, the project has supported work that has led to almost 30 articles that have been published or accepted to top journals in the field of mathematical optimization.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗