Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “choice modeling”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 343 records · Page 19

Force Limiting Vibration Tests Evaluated from both Ground Acoustic Tests and FEM Simulations of a Flight Like Vehicle System Assembly

Marshall Space Flight Center has conducted a series of ground acoustic tests with the dual goals of informing analytical judgment, and validating analytical methods when estimating vibroacoustic responses of launch vehicle subsystems. The process of repeatedly correlating finite element-simulated responses with test-measured responses has assisted in the development of best practices for modeling and post-processing. In recent work, force transducers were integrated to measure interface forces at the base of avionics box equipment. Other force data was indirectly measured using strain gauges. The combination of these direct and indirect force measurements has been used to support and illustrate the advantages of implementing the Force Limiting approach for equipment qualification tests. The comparison of force response from integrated system level tests to measurements at the same locations during component level vibration tests provides an excellent illustration. A second comparison of the measured response cases from the system level acoustic tests to finite element simulations has also produced some principles for assessing the suitability of Finite Element Models (FEMs) for making vibroacoustics estimates. The results indicate that when FEM models are employed to guide force limiting choices, they should include sufficient detail to represent the apparent mass of the system in the frequency range of interest.

Smith, Andrew↗

Meteoroid Bulk Density and Ceplecha Types

Determination of asteroid bulk density is an important aspect of NEO characterization, yet difficult to measure. As a fraction of meteoroids originate from asteroids (including some NEOs), a study of meteoroid bulk densities can potentially provide useful insights into the densities of NEOs and PHOs in lieu of mutual perturbations, satellite, or expensive spacecraft missions. NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office characterizes the meteoroid environment for the purpose of spacecraft risk and operations. To accurately determine the risk, a distribution of meteoroid bulk densities are needed. This is not trivial to determine. If the particle survives to the ground the bulk density can be directly measured, however only the most dense particles land on the Earth. The next best approach is to model the meteor's ablation, which is not straightforward. Clear deceleration is necessary to do this and there are discrepancies in results between models. One approach to a distribution of bulk density is to use a measured proxy for the densities, then calibrate the proxy with known densities from meteorite falls, ablation modelling, and other sources. An obvious proxy choice is the Ceplecha type, K(sub B), thought to indicate the strength of a meteoroid. KB is frequented cited as a good proxy for meteoroid densities, but we find it is poorly correlated with density. However, a distinct split by dynamical type was seen with Jovian Tisserand parameter, T(sub J), with meteoroids from Halley Type comets (T(sub J less than 2 ) exhibiting much lower densities than those originating from Jupiter and asteroids (T(sub J greater than 2).

Blaauw, R. C.↗

Swarm Size Planning Tool for Multi-Job Type Missions

As part of swarm search and service (SSS) missions, swarms are tasked with searching an area while simultaneously servicing jobs as they are encountered. Jobs must be immediately serviced and can be one of multiple types. Each type requires that vehicle(s) break off from the swarm and travel to the job site for a specified amount of time. The number of vehicles needed and the service time for each job type are known. Once a job has been successfully serviced, vehicles return to the swarm and are available for reallocation. When planning SSS missions, human operators are tasked with determining the required number of vehicles needed to handle the expected job demand. The complex relationship between job type parameters makes this choice challenging. This work presents a prediction model used to estimate the swarm size necessary to achieve a given performance. User studies were conducted to determine the usefulness and ease of use of such a prediction model as an aid during mission planning. Results show that using the planning tool leads to 7 times less missed area and a 50 percent cost reduction.

Chandarana, Meghan↗

A flight-test methodology for identification of an aerodynamic model for a V/STOL aircraft

This paper describes a flight-test methodology for developing a data base to be used to identify an aerodynamic model of a V/STOL fighter aircraft. The aircraft serves as a test bed at NASA Ames for ongoing research in advanced V/STOL control and display concepts. The flight envelope to be modeled includes hover, transition to conventional flight and back to hover, STOL operation, and normal cruise. Although the aerodynamic model is highly nonlinear, it has been formulated to be linear in the parameters to be identified. Motivation for the flight-test methodology advocated in this paper is based on the choice of a linear least-squares method for model identification. The paper covers elements of the methodology from maneuver design to the completed data base. Major emphasis is placed on the use of state estimation with tracking data to ensure consistency among maneuver variables prior to their entry into the data base. The design and processing of a typical maneuver are illustrated.

Bach, R. E., Jr.↗

SIM_EXPLORE: Software for Directed Exploration of Complex Systems

Physics-based numerical simulation codes are widely used in science and engineering to model complex systems that would be infeasible to study otherwise. While such codes may provide the highest- fidelity representation of system behavior, they are often so slow to run that insight into the system is limited. Trying to understand the effects of inputs on outputs by conducting an exhaustive grid-based sweep over the input parameter space is simply too time-consuming. An alternative approach called "directed exploration" has been developed to harvest information from numerical simulators more efficiently. The basic idea is to employ active learning and supervised machine learning to choose cleverly at each step which simulation trials to run next based on the results of previous trials. SIM_EXPLORE is a new computer program that uses directed exploration to explore efficiently complex systems represented by numerical simulations. The software sequentially identifies and runs simulation trials that it believes will be most informative given the results of previous trials. The results of new trials are incorporated into the software's model of the system behavior. The updated model is then used to pick the next round of new trials. This process, implemented as a closed-loop system wrapped around existing simulation code, provides a means to improve the speed and efficiency with which a set of simulations can yield scientifically useful results. The software focuses on the case in which the feedback from the simulation trials is binary-valued, i.e., the learner is only informed of the success or failure of the simulation trial to produce a desired output. The software offers a number of choices for the supervised learning algorithm (the method used to model the system behavior given the results so far) and a number of choices for the active learning strategy (the method used to choose which new simulation trials to run given the current behavior model). The software also makes use of the LEGION distributed computing framework to leverage the power of a set of compute nodes. The approach has been demonstrated on a planetary science application in which numerical simulations are used to study the formation of asteroid families.

Burl, Michael↗

The LISA Integrated Model

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) space mission has unique needs that argue for an aggressive modeling effort. These models ultimately need to forecast and interrelate the behavior of the science input, structure, optics, control systems, and many other factors that affect the performance of the flight hardware. In addition, many components of these integrated models will also be used separately for the evaluation and investigation of design choices, technology development and integration and test. This article presents an overview of the LISA integrated modeling effort.

Merkowitz, Stephen M.↗

Analysis of Small Aircraft as a Transportation System

An analysis was conducted to examine the market viability of small aircraft as a transportation mode in competition with automobile and scheduled commercial air travel by estimating the pool of users that would potentially switch to on-demand air travel due to cost/time savings. The basis for the analysis model was the Integrated Air Transportation System Evaluation Tool (IATSET) which was developed under contract to NASA by the Logistics Management Institute. IATSET is a macroeconomic model that predicts at a National level the mode choice between automobile, scheduled air, and on-demand air travel based on the value of a travelers time and monetary cost of the trip. A number of modifications are detailed to the original IATSET to better model the changing small aircraft environment. The potential trip market was modeled for the Eclipse 500 operated as a corporate jet and as an air taxi for the business travel market. The Cirrus 20R and a $80K single engine piston aircraft (based on automobile manufacturing technology) are evaluated in the pleasure and personal business travel market.

Dollyhigh, Samuel M.↗

Implementing Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and Cross-Track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) Cloud-Clearing Algorithm into the NASA GEOS: Focus on the 2017 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Season

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) centers assimilate cloud-free infrared (IR) radiances because the assimilation of all-sky IR radiances is not yet operationally achievable. The cloud-clearing procedure offers a simpler, but effective strategy that produces cloud-affected radiances suitable for assimilation in partially cloudy regions. Several studies conducted by this team have demonstrated that IR Cloud-Cleared Radiances (CCRs), if thinned more aggressively than clear-sky radiances, can improve analysis and forecasts, particularly in meteorologically active areas. However, CCRs are not used by operational centers due partly to the thought that the process of cloud-clearing may affect latency and introduce difficult-to-control external dependencies. This study presents the results of implementing an Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and Cross-Track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) cloud-clearing procedure into the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) to demonstrate the portability of the procedure. The AIRS and CrIS cloud-clearing algorithms have been deprived of external dependencies, made customizable to any specific model, and the computational efficiency has been improved via parallelization. The revised AIRS and CrIS cloud-clearing algorithms allow a customized choice of channel selection, the use of a user-specified model's fields as first guess, and can perform in real time. Data assimilation experiments with the hybrid 4DEnVar GEOS system were successfully performed for the 2017 tropical cyclones (TC) season with a focus on three major hurricanes (Harvey, Irma, and Maria). This study shows that assimilation of locally-generated CCRs have a positive impact on both global skill and TC representation, compared to the assimilation of AIRS and CrIS clear-sky radiances, and a comparable or slightly improved impact compared to assimilation of CCRs produced by external sources, such as NASA's Distributed Active Archive Centers and NOAA’s Comprehensive Large Array-data Stewardship System. The customization and computational efficiency of the revised procedure would enable its usability in a real-time forecast context.

Niama Boukachaba↗

Helioseismic Constraints on New Solar Models from the MoSEC Code

Evolutionary solar models are computed using a new stellar evolution code, MOSEC (Modular Stellar Evolution Code). This code has been designed with carefully controlled truncation errors in order to achieve a precision which reflects the increasingly accurate determination of solar interior structure by helioseismology. A series of models is constructed to investigate the effects of the choice of equation of state (OPAL or MHD-E, the latter being a version of the MHD equation of state recalculated by the author), the inclusion of helium and heavy-element settling and diffusion, and the inclusion of a simple model of mixing associated with the solar tachocline. The neutrino flux predictions are discussed, while the sound speed of the computed models is compared to that of the sun via the latest inversion of SOI-NMI p-mode frequency data. The comparison between models calculated with the OPAL and MHD-E equations of state is particularly interesting because the MHD-E equation of state includes relativistic effects for the electrons, whereas neither MHD nor OPAL do. This has a significant effect on the sound speed of the computed model, worsening the agreement with the solar sound speed. Using the OPAL equation of state and including the settling and diffusion of helium and heavy elements produces agreement in sound speed with the helioseismic results to within about +.-0.2%; the inclusion of mixing slightly improves the agreement.

Elliott, J. R.↗

Theoretical Tools and Software for Modeling, Simulation and Control Design of Rocket Test Facilities

A rocket test stand and associated subsystems are complex devices whose operation requires that certain preparatory calculations be carried out before a test. In addition, real-time control calculations must be performed during the test, and further calculations are carried out after a test is completed. The latter may be required in order to evaluate if a particular test conformed to specifications. These calculations are used to set valve positions, pressure setpoints, control gains and other operating parameters so that a desired system behavior is obtained and the test can be successfully carried out. Currently, calculations are made in an ad-hoc fashion and involve trial-and-error procedures that may involve activating the system with the sole purpose of finding the correct parameter settings. The goals of this project are to develop mathematical models, control methodologies and associated simulation environments to provide a systematic and comprehensive prediction and real-time control capability. The models and controller designs are expected to be useful in two respects: 1) As a design tool, a model is the only way to determine the effects of design choices without building a prototype, which is, in the context of rocket test stands, impracticable; 2) As a prediction and tuning tool, a good model allows to set system parameters off-line, so that the expected system response conforms to specifications. This includes the setting of physical parameters, such as valve positions, and the configuration and tuning of any feedback controllers in the loop.

Richter, Hanz↗

Impact of Design Factors for ESA CCI Satellite Soil Moisture Data Assimilation over Europe

In this study, soil moisture retrievals of the combined active–passive ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI) soil moisture product are assimilated into the Noah-MP land surface model over Europe using a one-dimensional ensemble Kalman filter and an 18-yr study period. The performance of the data assimilation (DA) system is evaluated by comparing it with a model-only experiment (at in situ sites) and by assessing statistics of innovations and increments as DA diagnostics (over the entire domain). For both assessments, we explore the impact of three design choices, resulting in the following insights. 1) The magnitude of the assumed observation errors strongly affects the skill improvements evaluated against in situ stations and internal diagnostics. 2) Choosing between climatological or monthly cumulative distribution function matching as the observation bias correction method only has a marginal effect on the in situ skill of the DA system. However, the internal diagnostics suggest a more robust system parameterization if the observations are rescaled monthly. 3) The choice of atmospheric reanalysis dataset to force the land surface model affects the model-only skill and the DA skill improvements. The model-only skill is higher with input from the MERRA-2 than with input from the ERA5 reanalysis, resulting in larger DA skill improvements for the latter. Additionally, we show that the added value of the DA strongly depends on the quality of the satellite retrievals and land cover, with the most substantial soil moisture skill improvements occurring over croplands and skill degradation occurring over densely forested areas.

Soil moisture↗

Source function approach to turbulence bulk properties

A turbulence model to compute bulk properties is presented in which a prescribed source function is used to provide the rate of energy input into the turbulent flow, and the EDQNM model is used to treat the nonlinear transfer in the Navier-Stokes equations. The predictions of the model are tested against (1) the measured Nusselt number versus Rayleigh number relation in turbulent laboratory convection, and (2) the measured bulk kinetic energies and dissipation rates in turbulent channel flow for Reynolds numbers Re = 12,300 and 30,800. In addition, a sensitivity study is performed with respect to the choice of Kolmogorov constant. Generally, the predictions of the model are in reasonable accord with the available experimental data.

Canuto, V. M.↗

An assessment model for atmospheric composition

Predicting future perturbations to global air quality and climate requires, as a prerequisite, prognostic models for the composition of the Earth's atmosphere. Such assessment models are needed to evaluate the impact on our environment of different social choices that affect emissions of the photochemically and radiatively important trace gases. Our presentation here of a prototype assessment model is intended to encourage public scientific discussions of the necessary components of the model and their interactions, with the recognition that models similar to this will likely be used by the Environmental Protection Agency and other regulatory agencies in order to assess the effect of changes in atmospheric composition on climate over the next century.

Prather, Michael J.↗

Personal computer study of finite-difference methods for the transonic small disturbance equation

Calculation of unsteady flow phenomena requires careful attention to the numerical treatment of the governing partial differential equations. The personal computer provides a convenient and useful tool for the development of meshes, algorithms, and boundary conditions needed to provide time accurate solution of these equations. The one-dimensional equation considered provides a suitable model for the study of wave propagation in the equations of transonic small disturbance potential flow. Numerical results for effects of mesh size, extent, and stretching, time step size, and choice of far-field boundary conditions are presented. Analysis of the discretized model problem supports these numerical results. Guidelines for suitable mesh and time step choices are given.

Bland, Samuel R.↗

Personal computer study of finite-difference methods for the transonic small disturbance equation

Calculation of unsteady flow phenomena requires careful attention to the numerical treatment to the governing partial differential equations. The personal computer provides a convenient and useful tool for the development of meshes, algorithms, and boundary conditions needed to provide time accurate solution of these equations. The one-dimensional equation considered provides a suitable model for the study of wave propagation in the equations of transonic small disturbance potential flow. Numerical results for effects of mesh size, extent, and stretching, time step size, and choice of far-field boundary conditions are presented. Analysis of the discretized model problem supports these numerical results. Guidelines for suitable mesh and time step choices are given.

Bland, Samuel R.↗

Machine Learning the COSMO Model for Predicting Thermodynamics of Electrolyte Mixtures

Bottom-up design of electrolyte mixtures for battery systems requires predicting macro thermodynamic properties from molecular constituents. For instance, molten salt electrolyte batteries require conditions far above room temperature to operate. Therefore, discovering mixtures with increasingly lower eutectic melting points is desirable. A model that can approximate chemical activity is a valuable tool to search through the vast compositional design space. Machine learning can predict properties of materials such as vibrational free energies, electronic energy gaps, and thermal conductivities. Moreover, they can learn physical models such as interatomic potentials. The COSMO-SAC model uses theory and empirical parameterization to predict liquid-vapor and liquid-solid properties using first-principles calculations. However, obtaining activity coefficients required for parameterizing the COSMO-SAC model is costly and limited to a select chemical space. In this work, we explored if machine learning methods could improve the COSMO-SAC model and bridge density functional theory calculations to liquid phase thermodynamic properties. Our data-driven approach uses existing databases for sigma-profiles of organic solvents and reconciles their methodological differences via ensemble averaging. First, an optimal machine learning model is constructed for each dataset. Our machine learning algorithms use the sigma-profile as an input feature to predict binary mixtures' activity coefficients using multi-output regression. Each dataset uses different choices of functionals, methods, and basis sets. Therefore, our ensemble model attempts to predict corrected activity coefficients given the combination of all the model outputs. The activity coefficients used for training are generated using the COSMO-SAC model. This approach enables the extraction of meaningful information from the existing datasets to improve the COSMO-SAC model for obtaining thermodynamic properties of electrolyte mixtures. With the liquid phase activities, we can identify electrolyte mixtures that meet desired phase equilibria conditions.

Thermodynamics↗

Uncertainties in Evapotranspiration Estimates over West Africa

An evapotranspiration (ET) ensemble composed of 36 land surface model (LSM) experiments and four diagnostic datasets (GLEAM, ALEXI, MOD16, and FLUXNET) is used to investigate uncertainties in ET estimate over five climate regions in West Africa. Diagnostic ET datasets show lower uncertainty estimates and smaller seasonal variations than the LSM-based ET values, particularly in the humid climate regions. Overall, the impact of the choice of LSMs and meteorological forcing datasets on the modeled ET rates increases from north to south. The LSM formulations and parameters have the largest impact on ET in humid regions, contributing to 90% of the ET uncertainty estimates. Precipitation contributes to the ET uncertainty primarily in arid regions. The LSM-based ET estimates are sensitive to the uncertainty of net radiation in arid region and precipitation in humid region. This study serves as support for better determining water availability for agriculture and livelihoods in Africa with earth observations and land surface models.

land surface model↗

Response of an interactive two-dimensional model to ozone changes - An estimate of the radiative dynamical feedback effect

The response of the interactive two-dimensional stratospheric model described by Schneider et al. (1989) to an increased chemical removal of ozone and the sensitivity of the calculated assessments to the choice of eddy diffusion coefficients are investigated using a simplified ozone chemistry model. It was found that the radiative dynamical feedback in the model leads to ozone losses at high altitudes to be about one third smaller than predicted by a model with fixed temperature and circulation. The radiative feedback has a smaller effect on ozone (losses decrease by about one sixth) in the lower stratosphere. Predicted ozone losses increase with decreasing dissipation and eddy diffusion in the lower stratosphere.

Schneider, Hans R.↗