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At least 343 records · Page 19

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DOE OSTI2022

Physiochemical Machine Learning Models Predict Operational Lifetimes of CH3NH3PbI3 Perovskite Solar Cells

Halide perovskites are promising photovoltaic (PV) materials with the potential to lower the cost of electricity and greatly expand the penetration of PV if they can demonstrate long-term stability under illumination in the presence of moisture and oxygen. The solar cell service lifetime as quantified by the T80 (the time required for the power conversion efficiency to drop to 80% of its starting value) is a useful metric to assess stability. The T80 for utility, commercial, or residential PV systems needs to be several decades in order to yield low-cost electricity, and thus it is not practical to directly measure the T80. It would be useful if T80 could be predicted from the initial dynamics of a solar cell’s performance, but until now no models have been developed to forecast T80. In this work, we report the development of machine learning models to predict T80 of ITO/NiOx/CH3NH3PbI3/C60/BCP/Ag solar cells operating at maximum power point under 1-sun equivalent photon flux in air at varying temperatures and relative humidities. Efficiency losses are driven by short-circuit current and fill factor, indicating that chemical decomposition of the perovskite is a major contributor to degradation. Spatial patterns evident from in situ dark field optical microscopy suggest that the electric field gradient at device edges plays a significant role in perovskite decomposition, along with photochemical reactions with O2 and H2O. Models are trained using a menu of features from three distinct categories: (i) features based on measurements of the initial rates of change of device parameters, (ii) features based on the ambient conditions during operation (temperature, & partial pressure of H2O), and (iii) features based on underlying physics and chemistry. We show that a theory-based physiochemical feature derived from a model of the chemical reaction kinetics of the rate of degradation of the CH3NH3PbI3 is particularly valuable for prediction. This physiochemical feature was selected as the first or second most dominant feature in the best performing models. With a dataset consisting of 45 accelerated degradation experiments with T80 that range over a factor of 30, the model predicts T80 with an accuracy of about 40% (|predicted T80 - observed T80| / observed T80) on samples not used in training. This hybrid ML approach should be effective when applied to other compositions, device architectures, and advanced packaging schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

NASA NTRS1985

Thermal barrier coating life prediction model

This is the first report of the first phase of a 3-year program. Its objectives are to determine the predominant modes of degradation of a plasma sprayed thermal barrier coating system, then to develop and verify life prediction models accounting for these degradation modes. The first task (Task I) is to determine the major failure mechanisms. Presently, bond coat oxidation and bond coat creep are being evaluated as potential TBC failure mechanisms. The baseline TBC system consists of an air plasma sprayed ZrO2-Y2O3 top coat, a low pressure plasma sprayed NiCrAlY bond coat, and a Rene'80 substrate. Pre-exposures in air and argon combined with thermal cycle tests in air and argon are being utilized to evaluate bond coat oxidation as a failure mechanism. Unexpectedly, the specimens pre-exposed in argon failed before the specimens pre-exposed in air in subsequent thermal cycles testing in air. Four bond coats with different creep strengths are being utilized to evaluate the effect of bond coat creep on TBC degradation. These bond coats received an aluminide overcoat prior to application of the top coat to reduce the differences in bond coat oxidation behavior. Thermal cycle testing has been initiated. Methods have been selected for measuring tensile strength, Poisson's ratio, dynamic modulus and coefficient of thermal expansion both of the bond coat and top coat layers.

Hillery, R. V.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing lifetime, forecasting, and economic benefits of photovoltaic technologies undergoing UV-induced degradation with optical filtering

Ultraviolet-induced degradation (UV-ID) of various PV cell types was analyzed under optical UV filters with different cutoff wavelengths. Cell types studied included interdigitated back contact (IBC), passivated emitter and rear totally diffused (PERT), and heterojunction technology (HJT) based on crystalline Si (c-Si), and metal halide perovskite (MHP) cells. Analyzing degradation rates in two distinct regimes proved beneficial for all cell types. We used empirical linearizing functions ln(t) for c-Si technologies and 2 √t for MHP samples where t is time. These were applied to extrapolate UV-induced degradation over the lifetime of PV modules under various levels of optical UV filtering and used to predict the relative economic benefits for PV power plants. Degradation rates for all technologies were generally faster under the long pass optical filters having shorter cutoff wavelengths transmitting more UV irradiation and at elevated temperatures when testing MHP samples in the range between 60 °C and 90 °C.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

NASA NTRS1984

Thermal barrier coating life prediction model development

The objective of this program is to develop an integrated life prediction model accounting for all potential life-limiting Thermal Barrier Coating (TBC) degradation and failure modes including spallation resulting from cyclic thermal stress, oxidative degradation, hot corrosion, erosion, and foreign object damage (FOD). The mechanisms and relative importance of the various degradation and failure modes will be determined, and the methodology to predict predominant mode failure life in turbine airfoil application will be developed and verified. An empirically based correlative model relating coating life to parametrically expressed driving forces such as temperature and stress will be employed. The two-layer TBC system being investigated, designated PWA264, currently is in commercial aircraft revenue service. It consists of an inner low pressure chamber plasma-sprayed NiCoCrAlY metallic bond coat underlayer (4 to 6 mils) and an outer air plasma-sprayed 7 w/o Y2O3-ZrO2 (8 to 12 mils) ceramic top layer.

Demasi, J.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Correlating processing variables to material properties in recycled polypropylene: A data‐driven approach

Abstract Polypropylene (PP) is one of the most widely used plastics, yet its recycling remains limited, with less than 1% of solid waste PP being reprocessed. Mechanical recycling through extrusion is the most practical method, but inconsistent reprocessing conditions introduce variability in material properties. While temperature, screw speed, and residence time influence the thermomechanical stress applied during reprocessing, there are no standardized guidelines for optimizing these parameters. This study examines how these factors shape the properties of recycled PP, using conditions designed to mimic post‐industrial recycled (PIR) scrap. Residence time was measured using colorimetric tracking and correlated with molecular weight, viscosity, and mechanical properties over multiple extrusion cycles. Data‐driven modeling, including response surface methodology, support vector machines, and artificial neural networks, identified processing temperature as the dominant factor in material degradation, followed by residence time. Mechanical properties remained stable, while viscosity decreased predictably with increasing residence time. By linking reprocessing conditions to property evolution, this study provides a method to optimize processing parameters and reduce variability in recycled PP. These findings help manufacturers improve process control, making recycled PP more predictable for reuse in manufacturing. Highlights Study of PIR‐quality PP without additives or compatibilizers. Residence time analysis shows processing temperature drives PP property changes. Mark‐Houwink enables quick molecular weight checks for quality control. Models predict mechanical and rheological shifts in reprocessing. Optimized processing parameters minimize property degradation in recycling.

Estela‐García, John E. [Polymer Engineering Center↗

DOE OSTI2026

Machine learning based prediction of airflow maldistribution in air-to-refrigerant heat exchangers

Flow maldistribution is a common challenge in heat exchanger (HX) design and particularly important for air-to-refrigerant geometries where capacity losses can approach 65%. This has a major impact on central air conditioning systems, as compact duct design motivates the use of A-type HXs which are known to be affected by airflow maldistribution. Because velocity profiles are difficult to predict, components are often oversized leading to increased material cost, system footprint, and refrigerant charge. Several studies detail airflow maldistribution for individual HXs and packages, but findings cannot always be extrapolated to new designs. In this work, a machine learning (ML) based flow profile prediction framework is developed and applied to two common package configurations: (i) A-type and (ii) U-type HXs, across a broad range of HX geometries and flow rates. Porous media CFD simulations are validated against independent data for both package types as well as comprehensive in house measurements for a finless geometry with shape optimized non-round tubes, which validates the framework for new heat transfer surfaces. The ML models are trained on the porous media CFD simulations, predicting volumetric flow rate (VFR) within 1.1% and 1.9% with maximum relative L 2 norm errors of 0.48 and 0.65, respectively, while also delivering 10 5 speed up factor compared to full porous media CFD. HX level simulations show an up to 9% reduction in heat transfer from flow maldistribution, with greater losses occurring at smaller half apex angles. This framework enables rapid and highly accurate prediction of airflow maldistribution induced capacity degradation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Role of n-phenyl-β-naphthylamine in the Acid-Nitroplasticizer Thermal Aging (ANTA) Experiment

A short-term aging study, which was named as Acid-Nitroplasticizer Thermal Aging (ANTA), was conducted to explore the complex chemistry between n-phenyl-β-naphthylamine (PBNA), HNO x , and nitroplasticizer (NP). Aging of NP with PBNA and acid treatments have demonstrated that PBNA is an effective antioxidant and an anti-hydrolytic agent (e.g., inhibits HNO 3 ) and have allowed the identification of nitroso-PBNA (PBNA-NO). The direct conversion of PBNA to PBNA-NO via scavenging of HONO, known as nitrosation, is a preceding event of PBNA nitration, which provides evidence to the HONO elimination as the key mechanism in the early stage of NP aging. Through the kinetics of both nitrosation and nitration, the accuracy of a prediction on PBNA consumption in NP degradation is further improved.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Efficient Reversible Operation and Stability of Novel Solid Oxide Cells

This project aims to develop and test novel Reversible Solid Oxide Cells (ReSOCs) specifically designed to yield low area specific resistance, as required to achieve high round trip efficiency in reversible operation at high current density. A key objective is to improve long-term reversible SOC durability; mechanistic degradation models will be used to predict long-term durability using input data from accelerated testing that combines electrochemical life testing with quantitative microstructural and chemical evaluation. The modeling tasks seek to design low-loss, low-cost ReSOC systems using input data from the experimental cell studies. A key challenge is to develop a thermal management strategy that maintains thermally self-sustaining operation while operating the stack at a potential lower than the thermo-neutral steam electrolysis voltage of ~1.3 V, to maintain high efficiency.

08 HYDROGEN↗

NASA NTRS1980

Proof test and fatigue of unnotched composite laminates

A comprehensive fatigue and residual strength degradation model has been used to predict the effect of proof loads (or high load) on the statistical fatigue behavior of composite laminates. The validity of the theoretical model is confirmed by the experimental test results. The correlation between the test results and the theoretical distributions of the fatigue life and the residual strength for composite specimens with or without the effect of proof loads is shown to be very good.

Yang, J. N.↗

NASA NTRS1980

Three year performance of the NTS-2 solar cell experiment

Twelve different solar cell modules from the NTS 2 experiment are functioning after more than three years in a severe trapped radiation orbit of 20,367 km (10,990 nm) circular, 63 deg inclination. The rate of maximum power degradation may be fit to a predicted rate which is based on twice the value of 1 MeV electron equivalent damage fluence calculated from the space electron model AEI 7. The photovoltaic parameters of the cells are compared to their original values to demonstrate rank order of performance.

Statler, R. L.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Parametric results for heat transfer across honeycomb sandwich panels

The problem of heat transfer across honeycomb sandwich panels is theoretically investigated. The basic objective is to predict the rear surface temperature as a function of time when the front surface is exposed to a prescribed heat flux; the faces are bounded by planar sheets so that the air circulation in the honeycomb cells is bounded and contained. The influence of the air circulation on convective heat transfer is explicitly included. Drawing upon previous investigators' results that indicated various relations for the Nusselt numbers vs Rayleigh numbers in different regimes of the aspect ratio (defined as the ratio of the cell height to cell width), parametric calculations are performed to predict the rear surface temperatures. Chemical degradation of the material, especially the glue holding the face material on the end, is important but has not yet been included. The results indicate that decreasing the cell width, increasing the cell wall thickness and increasing the cell height all have beneficial effects upon the heat transfer; i.e., all of these variations reduce rear surface temperature for a given time for a prescribed heat flux on the front surface.

Ramohalli, K.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Thermal cycling of tungsten-fibre-reinforced superalloy composites

The thermal cycling of a tungsten-fiber-reinforced superalloy (TFRS) composite is typical of its application in high-temperature engine environments. The mismatch in thermal expansion coefficients between fiber and matrix causes substantial longitudinal (0 deg) stresses in the composite, which can produce inelastic damage-producing matrix strains. The case of thermal fatigue is explored as a "worst case" of the possible matrix damage, in comparison with specimens which are also mechanically loaded in tension. The thermally generated cyclic stresses and the attendant matrix plasticity may be estimated using a nonlinear finite-element program, by proposing a physical analog to the micromechanics equations. A damage metric for the matrix is proposed using the Coffin-Manson criterion, which metric can facilitate comparisons of damage among different candidate materials, and also comparisons for a given material subjected to different temperature cycles. An experimental program was carried out for thermal cycling of a 37 vol pct TFRS composite to different maximum temperatures. The results confirm the prediction that thermal cycling produces matrix degradation and composite strength reduction, which become more pronounced with increasing maximum cyclic temperature. The strength of the fiber is shown to be identical for the as-fabricated and thermally cycled specimens, suggesting that the reduction in composite strength is due to the loss of matrix contribution and also to notching effects of the matrix voids on the fiber.

Wetherhold, Robert C.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Rotor systems research aircraft risk-reduction shake test

A shake test and an extensive analysis of results were performed to evaluate the possibility of and the method for dynamically calibrating the Rotor Systems Research Aircraft (RSRA). The RSRA airframe was subjected to known vibratory loads in several degrees of freedom and the responses of many aircraft transducers were recorded. Analysis of the transducer responses using the technique of dynamic force determination showed that the RSRA, when used as a dynamic measurement system, could predict, a posteriori, an excitation force in a single axis to an accuracy of about 5 percent and sometimes better. As the analysis was broadened to include multiple degrees of freedom for the excitation force, the predictive ability of the measurement system degraded to about 20 percent, with the error occasionally reaching 100 percent. The poor performance of the measurement system is explained by the nonlinear response of the RSRA to vibratory forces and the inadequacy of the particular method used in accounting for this nonlinearity.

Wellman, J. Brent↗

NASA NTRS1997

Code Development for Unsteady Inlet Flows using Parallel Processing, Iced Airfoils

As a part of an effort for the development of an "Integrated Solution Process for Iced Airfoils" which combines a CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) code and an ice accretion code for accurate prediction of ice growth and performance degradation, a study on the effect of iced-geometry-smoothing was initiated. As a first step in this study, the degree of smoothing was defined by the number of control points for the given iced airfoil geometry. Then, reducing these number of control points in a systematical way provided various degrees of grid generation. This study will be continued by comparing CFD computed data such as pressure, lift, drag, flow separation, and wake flow patterns between the iced airfoils against any existing experimental data.

Chung, Joongkee↗

NASA NTRS2000

Plasma Heating and Ultrafast Semiconductor Laser Modulation Through a Terahertz Heating Field

Electron-hole plasma heating and ultrafast modulation in a semiconductor laser under a terahertz electrical field are investigated using a set of hydrodynamic equations derived from the semiconductor Bloch equations. The self-consistent treatment of lasing and heating processes leads to the prediction of a strong saturation and degradation of modulation depth even at moderate terahertz field intensity. This saturation places a severe limit to bandwidth achievable with such scheme in ultrafast modulation. Strategies for increasing modulation depth are discussed.

Li, Jian-Zhong↗

NASA NTRS2017

Influence of Shear Stiffness Degradation on Crack Paths in Uni-Directional Composite Laminates

Influence of shear stiffness degradation in an element, due to damage, on crack paths in uni-directional laminates has been demonstrated. A new shear stiffness degradation approach to improve crack path prediction has been developed and implemented in an ABAQUS/Explicit frame work using VUMAT. Three progressive failure analysis models, built-in ABAQUS (TradeMark), original COmplete STress Reduction (COSTR) and the modified COSTR damage models have been utilized in this study to simulate crack paths in five unidirectional notched laminates, 15deg, 30deg, 45deg, 60deg and 75deg under uniaxial tension load. Results such as crack paths and load vs. edge displacement curves are documented in this report. Modified COSTR damage model shows better accuracy in predicting crack paths in all the uni-directional laminates compared to the ABAQUS (TradeMark) and the original COSTR damage models.

Satyanarayana, Arunkumar↗

DOE OSTI2026

Broad frequency tuning of a Nb$_{3}$Sn superconducting microwave cavity for dark matter searches

We demonstrate a novel broad-frequency tuning mechanism for superconducting microwave cavities designed for dark matter searches. Using a Nb$_3$Sn-coated cigar-shaped cavity operating at approximately 9 GHz, we achieve continuous frequency tuning exceeding 1 GHz by mechanically separating the two cavity halves: a "tuning-by-opening" technique. Finite-element method simulations predict that radiative losses do not degrade the quality factor even for large openings, as a closed cavity with an intrinsic quality factor of $10^7$ maintains this value for apertures up to 9 mm, corresponding to a tuning range from 9.0 to 7.5 GHz. Experimental validation using both copper ring spacers and a continuous sliding mechanism confirms $Q_0$ values exceeding the dark matter quality factor across the entire explored frequency range, despite mechanical imperfections and film non-uniformities. This tuning approach avoids inserting elements into the resonant volume, making it particularly suitable for high-Q superconducting cavities in axion haloscope experiments and readily applicable to REBCO-based implementations capable of operating in multi-tesla magnetic fields.

Maiello, D. [Padua U.; INFN, Padua] (ORCID:0009000↗

DOE OSTI2025

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel

Chemical Interaction of Palladium in Uranium Oxycarbide Nuclear Fuel Kernel Jana Howard1,3, Guang Yang3, Haiyan Zhao1*, Patrick Warren4, Tiankai Yao3, Steven Cavazos4 Elizabeth Sooby Wood4*, Ching-heng Shiau2 1 University of Idaho, Environmental Science, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 2 Boise State University, Microscopy and Characterization Suite, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 3 Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, Idaho, USA 4 University of Texas San Antonio, Department of Physics and Astronomy, San Antonio, Texas, USA *Corresponding author: haiyanz@uidaho.edu; elizabeth.soobywood@utsa.edu Tri-structural Isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel is the preferred choice for the newest and next-generation high-temperature nuclear reactors due to its robust construction [1]. The fuel design effectively contains fission products inside the particle at extremely high temperatures [2]. However, the effect of transition metal fission products on fuel performance and structural integrity remains largely unknown, creating uncertainties in predicting fuel performance and potential failure mechanisms [2]. For example, palladium (Pd) has a strong tendency to form intermetallic phases with uranium (U). These new phases tend to be hard and brittle which could lead to fracture of fuel kernel during irradiation [3,4]. Pd is not normally produced in high concentrations in normal fission reactions however, driving the production of Pd into the locality of a Uranium Oxycarbide (UCO) nuclear fuel provides an opportunity to closely observe the diffusion and chemical interactions. This study focuses on detailed transmission electron microscopy characterization of the intermetallic phases formed by the interaction between a UCO kernel and a Pd bar after annealing at 1100 °C for 100 hours. Figure 1 provides an overview of the UCO kernel in contact with the Pd bar. The UCO-Pd sample surface was examined using a Focused Ion Beam (FIB) Quanta 3D FEG FEI in VCD detector mode at 10kV, 83pA to reveal surface features. Several key surface features in the interaction region were observed including: (1) a small area with dendritic microstructure, (2) color contrast near the UCO kernel and Pd boundary, and (3) darker and lighter regions throughout the sample surface. To analyze diffusion behavior, FIB was used to prepare lamellae from five different areas of the UCO-Pd sample, as well as one for the as-received sample. These lamellae were examined using a Scanning Transmission Electron Microscope ThermoFisher Spectra 300 (STEM-Spectra). Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy results confirmed the diffusion between the UCO fuel and Pd bar. Figure 2 shows the identified phases of UC, UO2, and Pd dispersed throughout the interaction region. It was also found that the Pd concentration decreases as the radial distance from the UCO-Pd interface increases. The Pd concentration was 36.93% atomic fraction 11µm from the interaction region then decreased to 7.51% atomic fraction at 257 µm away from the interaction region. Figure 3 shows how concentrations of U and Pd vary across the interaction zone, highlighting the extent of diffusion. This study confirms that Pd interacts with surrounding material to form U-Pd phase and diffusion zones. These diffusion zones vary in composition depending on its radial distance from the point of contact with the Pd bar. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the fission product behavior in high temperature nuclear fuels, aiding in the prediction and mitigation of potential fuel degradation mechanisms. A B C Fig. 1. SEM micrographs of UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar and the lift out locations. Figure 1A shows UCO fuel kernel in contact with solid Pd bar. Figure 1B shows a higher magnification image of the UCO fuel-Pd interaction zone. Figure 1C shows lift out sites for the lamellae. A B C Fig 2. EDS maps reveal the distribution of U, O, and Pd in location 3. Figure 2A shows the distribution of uranium. Figure 2B shows the distribution of oxygen. Figure 2C shows the distribution of palladium. A B C Fig 3. Palladium and uranium concentration across interaction zone in location 2. Figure 3A shows EDS map of lift out number 2. Figure 3B shows a zoomed in EDS map taken from the interaction zone. Figure 3C shows a line graph of uranium and palladium concentrations across the interaction zone. References: 1. B.E. Wells, N.R. Phillips, K.J. Geelhood. Pacific West Laboratory. (2021). TRISO Fuel: Properties and Failure Modes. https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2117/ML21175A152.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025). 2. American Nuclear Society. TRISO Fuel Development Progresses in INL, ORNL. https://www.gen-4.org/gif/upload/docs/application/pdf/2014-03/nov13nn_fuel_reprint.pdf (Accessed January 16, 2025) 3. Clark R.A., M.A. Con

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗