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At least 343 records · Page 19

Spectroscopic Measurements and Models of Energy Deposition in the Substrate of Quantum Circuits by Natural Ionizing Radiation

Naturally occurring background radiation is a potential source of correlated decoherence events in superconducting qubits that will challenge error-correction schemes. In order to characterize the radiation environment in an unshielded laboratory representative of superconducting qubits’ environments, we performed broadband, spectroscopic measurements of background radiation events inside a millikelvin refrigerator. The spectrometer was designed to mimic the size and composition of a quantum circuit. Specifically, we measured the background radiation spectra in silicon substrates of two thicknesses, 500 and 1500 µm, and one area, 25 mm 2 . The observed spectra span energies from a few kilo-electron-volts up to nearly 10 MeV, are nearly featureless, and decrease in intensity by a factor of 40 000 between 100 keV and 3 MeV for the 500-µm substrate. We integrate the spectra to obtain the average event rates and deposited power levels. These quantities correspond to a rate of 0.023 events per second and a power of 4.9 keV s -1 , when counting events that deposit at least 40 keV for the 500-µm-thick substrate. We find that the cryogenic measurements are in good agreement with predictions based on simple measurements of the terrestrial gamma-ray flux outside the refrigerator, published models of cosmic-ray fluxes, a crude model of the cryostat, and radiation-transport simulations. This model requires no free parameters to predict the background radiation spectra in the silicon substrates. The agreement between measurements and predictions demonstrates that the model we present can be used to assess the relative contributions of terrestrial and cosmic-ray sources to background radiation interactions in silicon substrates of varying thickness. These spectroscopic measurements are performed with a novel combination of superconducting microresonators located on micromachined silicon islands that define the interaction volume with background radiation. The resonators transduce deposited energy to a readily detectable electrical signal. Microresonator readout closely resembles dispersive superconducting qubit readout, so similar devices—with or without micromachined islands—are suitable for integration with superconducting quantum circuits as detectors for background radiation events. For our specific laboratory conditions, we find that gamma-ray emissions from radioisotopes are responsible for the majority of events that deposit E < 1 ⁢Me⁢V. We present results demonstrating that the background radiation spectrum contains relevant contributions from cosmic-ray particles other than muons, particularly a tail of multi-mega-electron-volt events due to protons and neutrons. These observations suggest several paths to reducing the impact of background radiation on quantum circuits, supported by an empirically validated model for generating reliable predictions of radiation interactions with silicon substrates.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

CERES : a cryo-EM re-refinement system for continuous improvement of deposited models

The field of electron cryomicroscopy (cryo-EM) has advanced quickly in recent years as the result of numerous technological and methodological developments. This has led to an increase in the number of atomic structures determined using this method. Recently, several tools for the analysis of cryo-EM data and models have been developed within the Phenix software package, such as phenix.real_space_refine for the refinement of atomic models against real-space maps. Also, new validation metrics have been developed for low-resolution cryo-EM models. To understand the quality of deposited cryo-EM structures and how they might be improved, models deposited in the Protein Data Bank that have map resolutions of better than 5 Å were automatically re-refined using current versions of Phenix tools. The results are available on a publicly accessible web page (https://cci.lbl.gov/ceres). The implementation of a Cryo-EM Re-refinement System ( CERES ) for the improvement of models deposited in the wwPDB, and the results of the re-refinements, are described. Based on these results, contents are proposed for a `cryo-EM Table 1', which summarizes experimental details and validation metrics in a similar way to `Table 1' in crystallography. The consistent use of robust metrics for the evaluation of cryo-EM models and data should accompany every structure deposition and be reported in scientific publications.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Segmentation of Deposition Periods: An Opportunity to Improve PV Soiling Extraction

Soiling profiles are commonly assumed to have sawtooth shapes, made of alternating cleaning events and soiling deposition periods. The rates at which soiling deposit on the PV modules are considered to be constant for each period. In reality, events such as changes in climatic conditions can lead to a sudden variation in soiling deposition rate. These changes cannot be reproduced if cleanings are the only events modelled to extract soiling profiles directly from PV performance data. For this reason, in this work, the use of change points and segmented regression is proposed to improve the extraction of soiling profiles through the model of up to two deposition rates per period in between cleanings. The results show that the quality of soiling extraction can be enhanced compared to a cleanings-only identification approach if both cleanings and change points are considered.

monitoring↗

A Prediction Method for Catchment Efficiency Loss due to Coaxial Nozzle Wear in Powder Fed Directed Energy Deposition Systems

Abstract Powder fed laser directed energy deposition systems show significant promise and their widespread adoption could greatly advance manufacturing technology; however, a significant amount of gas atomized metal powder is wasted during material deposition. As contaminated powder must be collected and disposed of as hazardous waste, this process is often criticized for its low catchment efficiency. This presents potential implementation and scaling issues, as widespread use of this technology would directly increase the amount of contaminated powder in need of safe disposal. A direct contribution to this waste issue was identified in past work as wearing exterior and interior surfaces on a replaceable nozzle component within the additive head of such a system integrated into a hybrid manufacturing machine tool. A computational fluid dynamics simulation is developed specifically for use within the manufacturing process by predicting catchment efficiency losses before a deposition operation is performed. The model is robust enough to calculate a catchment efficiency estimate within a reasonable transition time before deposition and is designed to replace visual estimation of nozzle deterioration by the machine operator. Both of two previously identified wear modes are represented in the simulation. Their effects on powder stream geometry are discussed in detail and the results are compared with in-situ measurements of powder stream geometry and concentrations. The resulting work contributes to the growing understanding of using prediction and prevention methods on catchment efficiency related part defects within these systems.

DeWitte, Lisa↗

A Simulated Evaluation of Powder Flowability Through a Partially Obstructed Consumable in Blown Powder Directed Energy Deposition Systems

Abstract In the interest of continued industrialization of metal additive manufacturing in modern production environments, cost is often referenced as a primary deterrent to new adopters. Conventional economic models for additive systems, processes, and supply chains often focus on specific process applications with little generalizability, or they neglect significant costs associated with production such as machine maintenance and consumable part replacement. Compounding the latter issue are substantial knowledge gaps in consumable part wear characterization for additive and other convergent manufacturing systems. In coaxial blown powder directed energy deposition systems, gas atomized metal powder is wasted during material deposition at a rate that is partly dependent on present wear phenomena in a consumable nozzle housed in the cladding head assembly. The price and lead time required to replace the nozzle incentivizes its reuse even when visibly worn. Often this initiates a process quality decline in the form of underbuilt geometry and internal defects due to losses in powder catchment efficiency. While depositing H13 steel using a hybrid manufacturing machine tool equipped with such a deposition system, a unique partial clog with a bridge-like structure formed at the consumable nozzle exit when supporting argon gas flows failed mid-process. To further understand coaxial multi-phase powder flow in the event of support gas failure, a computational fluid dynamics simulation is tailored to relevant process parameters, H13 powder material profile, and machine operator observations collected after the incident. The resulting differences in powder flow compared to control gas flow parameters is presented and discussed. The powder flowability and performance of the clogged nozzle is then assessed by using an optical profilometer to extract the profile of the clog and recreate the clog geometry within the simulation environment. In past work this simulation has been experimentally validated for a 316L steel powder material profile and used specifically for analyzing powder stream geometry and catchment efficiency. After the initial powder flow characterization, the clog is removed, and the nozzle is reprofiled. After removing the obstructing clog, the newly unobstructed nozzle geometry, the original off the shelf nozzle geometry, and additional nozzle profiles exploring different consumable refurbishment strategies are reevaluated in the simulation. Powder catchment efficiency for all variant nozzle geometries and relevant flow variables are compared and discussed, along with potential mitigation strategies for optimizing powder flowability with worn consumables. This work expands on the known morphology of blown powder obstructions and wear defects present in consumable coaxial nozzles while discussing pragmatic simulation driven responses to unanticipated subsystem failure in hybrid manufacturing machining platforms.

DeWitte, Lisa↗

Tunable and scalable fabrication of plasmonic dimer arrays with sub-10nm nanogaps by area-selective atomic layer deposition

Nanogaps in metallic nanostructures produce local field enhancements with potential applications in surface enhanced spectroscopy, solar energy conversion, and photocatalysis. Atomic layer deposition is applied as a conformal coating to modify nanogap sizes and tune the optical properties of plasmonic dimer arrays with sub-10 nm nanogaps. Nanostructures are fabricated using layers of gold and palladium to combine features of plasmonics and area-selective atomic layer deposition, where copper metal is deposited on palladium-covered surfaces. Direct measurements of optical extinction for successive smaller nanogaps and thicker copper coatings show that spectral features become broadened at first due to heating-induced shape changes but subsequently sharpen as copper coatings form on palladium structures. Furthermore, longitudinal resonances of plasmonic dimers blue shift for thin coatings due to heating and decreasing aspect ratio, but thicker coatings lead to red shifts due to narrowing nanogaps. Together, these results show that area-selective atomic layer deposition is a promising tool for achieving large area arrays of plasmonic dimers with sub-10 nm nanogaps.

Engineering↗

Nucleation and growth of molybdenum disulfide grown by thermal atomic layer deposition on metal oxides

To enable greater control over thermal atomic layer deposition (ALD) of molybdenum disulfide (MoS 2 ), here we report studies of the reactions of molybdenum hexafluoride (MoF 6 ) and hydrogen sulfide (H 2 S) with metal oxide substrates from nucleation to few-layer films. In situ quartz crystal microbalance experiments performed at 150, 200, and 250 °C revealed temperature-dependent nucleation behavior of the MoF 6 precursor, which is attributed to variations in surface hydroxyl concentration with temperature. In situ Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy coupled with ex situ x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) indicated the presence of molybdenum oxide and molybdenum oxyfluoride species during nucleation. Density functional theory calculations additionally support the formation of these species as well as predicted metal oxide to fluoride conversion. Residual gas analysis revealed reaction by-products, and the combined experimental and computational results provided insights into proposed nucleation surface reactions. With additional ALD cycles, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy indicated steady film growth after ~13 cycles at 200 °C. XPS revealed that higher deposition temperatures resulted in a higher fraction of MoS 2 within the films. Deposition temperature was found to play an important role in film morphology with amorphous films obtained at 200 °C and below, while layered films with vertical platelets were observed at 250 °C. Finally, these results provide an improved understanding of MoS 2 nucleation, which can guide surface preparation for the deposition of few-layer films and advance MoS 2 toward integration into device manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enhanced nucleation mechanism in ruthenium atomic layer deposition: Exploring surface termination and precursor ligand effects with RuCpEt(CO)2

Miniaturization of microelectronic devices necessitates atomic precision in manufacturing techniques, particularly in the deposition of thin films. Atomic layer deposition (ALD) is recognized for its precision in controlling film thickness and composition on intricate three-dimensional structures. This study focuses on the ALD nucleation and growth mechanisms of ruthenium (Ru), a metal that has significant future implications for microelectronics. Despite its advantages, the deposition of a high surface-free energy material like Ru on a low surface-free energy material such as an oxide often faces challenges of large nucleation delays and non-uniform growth. To address these challenges, we explored the effectiveness of organometallic surface pretreatments using trimethylaluminum (TMA) or diethylzinc (DEZ) to enhance Ru film nucleation and growth. Our study employed a less-studied Ru precursor, cyclopentadienylethyl(dicarbonyl)ruthenium [RuCpEt(CO)2], which demonstrated promising results in terms of reduced nucleation delay and increased film continuity. Ru ALD was performed on silicon substrates with native oxide, using RuCpEt(CO)2 and O2 as coreactants. Our findings reveal that surface pretreatment significantly improves nucleation density and film thickness within the initial 60 ALD cycles, achieving up to a 3.2-fold increase in Ru surface coverage compared to nonpretreated substrates. Supported by density functional theory calculations, we propose that the enhanced nucleation observed with RuCpEt(CO)2 compared to previously-studied Ru(Cp)2 is due to two key mechanisms: the facilitated removal of CO ligands during deposition, which enhances the reactivity of the precursor, and a hydrogen-abstraction reaction involving the ethyl ligand of RuCpEt(CO)2 and the metal-alkyl groups on the surface. This study not only advances our understanding of Ru ALD processes but also highlights the significant impact of precursor chemistry and surface treatments in optimizing ALD for advanced microelectronic applications.

Materials Science↗

Semi-Analytic Functions to Calculate the Deposition Coefficients for Ice Crystal Vapor Growth in Bin and Bulk Microphysical Models

Numerical cloud models require estimates of the vapor growth rate for ice crystals. Current bulk and bin microphysical parameterizations generally assume that vapor growth is diffusion limited, though some parameterizations include the influence of surface attachment kinetics through a constant deposition coefficient. A parameterization for variable deposition coefficients is provided herein. The parameterization is an explicit function of the ambient ice supersaturation and temperature, and an implicit function of crystal dimensions and pressure. The parameterization is valid for variable surface types including growth by dislocations and growth by step nucleation. Deposition coefficients are predicted for the two primary growth directions of crystals, allowing for the evolution of the primary habits. Comparisons with benchmark calculations of instantaneous mass growth indicate that the parameterization is accurate to within a relative error of 1%. Parcel model simulations using Lagrangian microphysics as a benchmark indicate that the bulk parameterization captures the evolution of mass mixing ratio and fall speed with typical relative errors of less than 10%, whereas the average axis lengths can have errors of up to 20%. The bin model produces greater accuracy with relative errors often less that 10%. The deposition coefficient parameterization can be used in any bulk and bin scheme, with low error, if an equivalent volume spherical radius is provided.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Lead isotopic compositions of airborne particulates collected from snow and from dry deposition in the East River Watershed, Colorado and at the Southern Sierra Critical Zone Observatory, California

The data set consists of lead (Pb) isotopic ratios (206Pb/207Pb and 208Pb/207Pb, as well as 206Pb/204Pb, 207Pb/204Pb, 208Pb/204Pb) for particulate samples collected from snow and dry deposition. This was part of a study (O’Day et al. 2020) that was looking at the speciation of phosphorous in splits of these samples to evaluate the flux and bio-availability of phosphorous to the mountain sites in the study. The Pb isotopic data allow sourcing of long-range transported Pb, specifically the fraction of Pb sourced in Asia, and so a comparison of the relative distances of PM sources between the high and low elevation sites. Samples were collected at the East River Watershed, CO (dry deposition collected over Sept.-Oct. 2016, show sampling winter 2017) and at the Southern Sierra Critical Zone Observatory (dry deposition collected over Sept-Nov 2016, July-Sept 2017, June-July 2017). The data includes Pb concentration data, as well as calculated fraction of the Pb sourced in Asia. This data set was published in part in O’Day et al. (2020) Phosphorus Speciation in Atmospherically Deposited Particulate Matter and Implications for Terrestrial Ecosystem Productivity. ES&T, https://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b06150

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A New MCNP6 Electron-Photon Transport Validation Test: The Lockwood Energy Deposition Experiment (V.1.0)

This memo announces the availability of a new validation test for quantifying the accuracy of the MCNP6 electron-photon transport algorithm for use in energy-deposition calculations. Specifically, energy-deposition results are compared with the Lockwood energy-deposition experiment. The comparison includes energy-deposition profiles in a variety of different single-element materials including beryllium, aluminum, carbon, copper, iron, molybdenum, tantalum, and uranium for pencil beam electron sources with energies including 0.05-, 0.1-, 0.3-, 0.5, and 1-MeV and angles of incidence including normal, 30°, and 60° off-normal. The purpose of this memo is to discuss the contents of the Lockwood validation directory and to outline the procedure for generating the input files, running the tests, processing the results, and comparing results to the experimental and numerical benchmark. Each step is mostly automated by a makefile that executes the necessary perl script.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Enhancing Coking Tolerance and Stability of SOFC Anodes Using Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) of Oxide Thin Films

The overall objective of this project was to use atomic layer deposition (ALD) to add modifiers to the surfaces of conventional Ni-YSZ cermet, solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) anodes to enhance both their tolerance to hydrocarbon fuels by decreasing their propensity to form coke deposits, and to increase redox stability. Studies of the use of ALD to modify analogous supported metal powder catalysts were also added to the scope of the project in response to our industrial partner, Atrex going out of business. The initial portion of the program focused on designing and building the ALD reactor required for deposition of the oxide modifier films. Studies of the oxide modifier films on the coking tolerance and of redox properties of Ni-cermet anodes were then carried out. These studies demonstrated that while surface oxide modifiers were able to impart some coking resistance this only occurred for a relatively small range of operating conditions (e.g., temperature, steam-to-fuel ratio, etc.) and not at the level that would be required for operating in methane fuel at low steam-to-methane ratios. In light of this observation, we focused on assessing another approach to enhance anode coking resistance which eliminated bulk Ni from the anode. This approach made use of electronically conducting perovskite films to provide electrical conductivity in the anode, while using small amounts of Ni or other metals, such as Pt, deposited using ALD as the anode oxidation catalyst. This approach proved to be quite promising at both imparting coking resistance and redox stability.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Modeling Vapor Transport Deposition of Metal-halide Perovskite Thin Films for Photovoltaic and Optoelectronic Devices

Over the past decade, metal halide perovskites (MHPs) have emerged as a promising materials platform for high-efficiency solar cells and low-cost optoelectronics. However, there are challenges that frustrate the large-scale manufacturing of MHP devices, including difficulty in controlling film composition, interface formation and their device instability under ambient conditions. Vapor processing offers an attractive path to manufacturability, while also opening the door to new opportunities in device design that could favorably impact ultrahigh efficiency tandem solar cells or overall stability. Emphasis here is on the use of an alternate processing methodology, vapor transport deposition (VTD), to deposit the MHP layer. In experimental work, we found that our deposition system had significant run-to-run variations in film thickness and composition. To understand and resolve these issues, we use COMSOL Multiphysics software to model the precursor deposition rate numerically, trying to guide the broad range of parameters in the system. The result can be matched with experimental data and provides insight into system hydrodynamics and molar transport effects. Finally, we show that chamber pressure is a key factor to scale up the VTD technique.

Hsu, Wan-Ju↗

In-Situ Applied Coatings for Mitigating Gas Hydrate Deposition in Deepwater Operations (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

The Project objectives of this work were focused on the need to develop, investigate, and validate for field and commercial deployment robust pipeline surface treatments to prevent / minimize hydrate and other flow assurance solids deposition in subsea oil flowlines. A robust pipeline treatment that can prevent hydrate and wax/asphaltene adhesion/deposition will be a major fundamental breakthrough in hydrate and flow assurance science and engineering, and to critical Deepwater field operations. The project addressed the current major outstanding issue of mitigating gas hydrate and other solids deposition in different pipeline conditions, a major outstanding issue that has not been solved to-date, despite previous attempts/studies. The major goal of this project was to develop and investigate for deployment robust pipeline coatings to mitigate gas hydrate deposition in Deepwater oil flowlines, which will be critical in offshore leak and spill prevention. As oil and gas production wells mature, the water content and oil composition can change and increase the risk of gas hydrate, wax, and asphaltene deposition and blockages in flowlines, with the cost of complete inhibition becoming prohibitive. The ability to mitigate flow assurance risks in maturing flowlines can extend the life of the field, significantly reduce operational costs from inhibitor injection and prevent potential safety hazards to personnel and equipment and can prevent potential environmental hazards leading to catastrophic hydrocarbon emissions. This research allows for a novel, cost-effective method of mitigating gas hydrate and other pipeline solids deposition/blockages in flowlines, extending the life of the field while being minimally disruptive to normal flowline operation. The omniphobic surface treatment developed in this work can significantly improve the economics of energy transport by providing flow assurance and limiting catastrophic blowouts.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Sputter deposition of Ta 1 W 1 Au 1 Bi 7 films for next generation hohlraums

Hohlraum simulation predicts a higher x-ray drive from Ta 1 W 1 Au 1 Bi 7 compared with our current Au hohlraum. Here, we study the effect of deposition process parameters including deposition rate, working pressure, target-to-substrate distance, substrate bias, and substrate temperature on the microstructure of Ta1W1Au1Bi7 films deposited by direct current magnetron sputtering onto planar substrates. We found that the substrate temperature has a pronounced effect on the film microstructure. This is attributed to the Bi low melting point (271°C) causing its adatom mobility to be strongly dependent on the substrate temperature. Additionally, we observed phase separation for films deposited with a high substrate bias. These results have important implications for the development of a robust Ta 1 W 1 Au 1 Bi 7 hohlraum fabrication process.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Exploring the process-structure-property relationship of Aerosol Deposition to phosphor coatings for non-contact thermometry

Full-field, multi-measurand diagnostics provide rich validation data necessary to improve the product life cycle time of nuclear safety components. Thermophosphor digital image correlation (TP+DIC) is a method of simultaneously measuring strain and temperature fields using patterned phosphor coatings deposited with aerosol deposition (AD). While TP+DIC produces a functional diagnostic, the coating’s reproducibility and the effect of the patterned features on the inferred temperature remains uncharacterized. This NSR&D project provided the opportunity to study two areas: 1) the tunability and repeatability of aerosol deposition and 2) the robustness of aerosol deposition phosphor on deforming substrates. The first area explores the process-property relationship of parameters elucidating the significance of each on the coating. The second area explores the relationship between the features’ characteristics (namely thickness) and the phosphor emission and inferred temperature. Together, the results will lead to the improved accuracy and functionality of TP+DIC for qualification testing of nuclear safety components.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

In-Situ Laser Diagnostics to Understand Plasma-Surface Interactions in Titanium Thin Film Deposition

During the current project period the following tasks were completed: (1) We demonstrated the feasibility of a new way of measuring CH3 radicals in a plasma environment using a single, femtosecond (fs) pulsed laser for the first time, in a CH4 + Ar flow. A single fs pulsed Ti:Sa laser was split into two beams and with beam conversion using crystals we generatedtwo beams of 275 nm and 205 nm. The 275 nm was used to predissociate the CH3 radicals to CH2+H, followed by 205 nm Two Photon Laser Induced Fluorescence (TALIF) detection of H atoms, with a 11 ns delay from 275 nm predissociation pulse. (2) We demonstrated preliminary CH3 concentration measurements with spatial (< 100 µm) and time resolution (< 10 ns) by image processing of H and Kr TALIF signal images. (3) The methodology to quantify CH3 concentrations was developed. (4) Preliminary measurements of laser dissociation cross sections for CH4 and CH3 to (CH3+H), and (CH2+H), respectively, were conducted. (5) 275 nm laser dissociation of CH4 is a multiphoton process, and the CH4 dissociation cross section is a more sensitive function of the laser pulse energy than CH4 concentration. In the coming months, we will make more precise measurements of the dissociation cross sections, 𝑘275, 𝐶𝐻4 and 𝑘275, 𝐶𝐻3, by varying the laser energy while keeping the flow composition and conditions constant. This will enable more precise quantification of CH3 radical concentrations. More detailed measurements of CH3 radicals will be conducted in the following months of 2025 (Sept-Dec) in a Titanium Isopropoxide (TIP) + H2 + Ar flow meant for pure phase Ti thin film deposition by Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD). More precise measurements of 275 nm laser dissociation cross sections for CH4 (to CH3 + H) and CH3 (to CH2 + H) will be conducted in the future. Detailed 275 nm laser predissociation cross sections for CH4 and CH3 dissociation to (CH3+H), and (CH2+H), respectively, as a function of gas heating, plasma power, and laser pulse energy will be evaluated. This will enable quantification of CH3 concentrations in the precursor flow over a substrate with time and spatial resolution. Comparison of the concentrations with 2D numerical simulations can lead to understanding of plasma surface interactions during pure metallic Ti thin film deposition using environmentally safer non-halogen TIP precursor. Flow conditions for pure Ti thin film deposition using non-halogen precursor (TIP) will be identified in the following months.

Uddi, Mruthunjaya [Advanced Cooling Technologies, ↗

Synergistic effects of climate warming and atmospheric nutrient deposition on the alpine lake ecosystem in the south-eastern Tibetan Plateau during the Anthropocene

Alpine lakes on the Tibetan Plateau are highly sensitive to global change and have been recognized as the sentinel of climate warming. However, anthropogenic impacts in populated area are migrating to these remote areas via transporting particulate nutrients by atmospheric deposition. Whether warming and nutrient deposition would impose additive or synergistic effects on the lake ecosystem remains largely unknown. Here, we present multi-proxy (sediment pigment and geochemistry) records during the past two centuries at the Cuoqia Lake in the southeast Tibetan Plateau. We found that the lake exhibited rapid ecological changes since 1980 AD characterized by an increase in primary productivity due to algal proliferation, with more rapid growth of green algae and diatoms. These findings are in concert with many other lakes (e.g., Moon Lake and Shade Co) in the same area, suggesting a consistent pattern of ecosystem evolution at the region scale. Statistical analyses suggested that nutrient deposition and climate warming were strongly associated with the variations in primary productivity and algae composition, exerting both individual and interactive effects. In addition, scenario analyses with a well-established process-based ecosystem model further revealed that the two factors not only individually, but also synergistically promoted the algal proliferation and community succession. Such synergy is evident in that the effect of lake warming would be more pronounced under higher nutrient deposition scenario, which is potentially due to higher temperature-driven mineralization in warmer conditions, and higher efficiency of nutrient utilization under enhanced light availability attributing to declining ice thickness and duration in cold seasons. Overall, our study proposes the existence and quantifies the synergistic impacts of climate warming and anthropogenic activities in driving the ecological changes in remote alpine lakes on the Tibetan Plateau. The lake ecological consequences driven by individual factor would be worsen by such synergy, so that we cannot predict the lake ecosystem trajectory in the future based on each factor separately, and more efforts than previously expected would be needed for the lake restoration and management.

Zhang, Can↗