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At least 343 records · Page 19

The future of time and frequency dissemination

I will try to extrapolate the changes in the dissemination of time and frequency information that have taken place during the last 25 years to predict the future developments both in the methods of disseminating time and frequency and in the kinds of customers we will be asked to serve. Two important developments are likely to play pivotal roles in driving the evolution of dissemination. The first is the commercial availability of very high quality clocks -- devices whose performance may eventually rival that of the current generation of primary frequency standards. The widespread use of these devices may blur the traditional distinction between client and server, and may replace it with a more symmetrical interchange of data among peers. The second is the increasing demand for digital time and frequency information driven by the increasing sophistication of everything from traffic lights to electric power meters. The needs of these individual users may not tax the state of the art of primary frequency standards in principle, but their large numbers and wide geographical distribution present a technological challenge that is difficult to meet at a reasonable price using existing methods. Some of these problems may be solved (or at least addressed) using developments in communications and consumer electronics such as the increasing use of fiber-optic telephone circuits and the increasing bandwidth and sophistication of the cable network used to transmit television pictures. To be useful, these advances in hardware must stimulate parallel advances in software algorithms and methods. These advances are more difficult to predict with great confidence, but the developments of the last few years will be examined to provide some indications of the future.

Levine, Judah↗

Evaluation of Electrochemical Methods for Electrolyte Characterization

This report documents summer research efforts in an attempt to develop an electrochemical method of characterizing electrolytes. The ultimate objective of the characterization would be to determine the composition and corrosivity of Martian soil. Results are presented using potentiodynamic scans, Tafel extrapolations, and resistivity tests in a variety of water-based electrolytes.

Heidersbach, Robert H.↗

Reactions of SiCl2 and SiHCl with H and Cl Atoms

Calculations have been carried out for the reaction of SiCl2 and SiHCl with H and Cl atoms. In each case, the stationary point geometries and harmonic frequencies were characterized using CASSCF/derivative methods and the cc-pVDZ basis set. Accurate energetics were obtained by combining the CCSD(T) results using the a-cc-pVTZ basis set with an extrapolation to the basis set limit using the a-cc-pVDZ, a-cc-pVTZ, and a-cc-pVQZ basis sets at the MP2 level. The geometries, energetics, and harmonic frequencies were used to obtain rate constants using conventional transition state theory or a Gorin-like model. In each case we find direct abstraction pathways compete with an addition elimination pathway. In the case of SiClH + H the two direct pathways are H abstraction which is barrierless and Cl abstraction with a barrier of 13.5 kcal/mol, while the addition elimination process has a barrier of 26.9 kcal/mol. In the case of SiCl2 + H the direct pathway is Cl abstraction with a barrier of 16.4 kcal/mol, while the addition elimination pathway has a barrier of 29.6 kcal/mol. In the case of SiClH + Cl the direct pathway is H abstraction which is barrierless and the addition elimination pathway has a barrier of 2.0 kcal/mol.

Walch, Stephen P.↗

Historical Precision of an Ozone Correction Procedure for AMO Solar Cell Calibration

In an effort to improve the accuracy of the high altitude aircraft method for calibration of high band-gap solar cells, the ozone correction procedure has been revisited. The new procedure adjusts the measured short circuit current, Isc, according to satellite based ozone measurements and a model of the atmospheric ozone profile then extrapolates the measurements to air mass zero, AM0. The purpose of this paper is to assess the precision of the revised procedure by applying it to historical data sets. The average Isc of a silicon cell for a flying season increased 0.5% and the standard deviation improved from 0.5% to 0.3% The 12 year average Isc of a GaAs cell increased 1% and the standard deviation improved from 0.8% to 0.5%. The slight increase in measured Isc and improvement in standard deviation suggests that the accuracy of the aircraft method may improve from 1% to nearly 0.5%.

Snyder, David B.↗

Historical Precision of an Ozone Correction Procedure for AM0 Solar Cell Calibration

In an effort to improve the accuracy of the high altitude aircraft method for calibration of high band-gap solar cells, the ozone correction procedure has been revisited. The new procedure adjusts the measured short circuit current, Isc, according to satellite based ozone measurements and a model of the atmospheric ozone profile then extrapolates the measurements to air mass zero, AMO. The purpose of this paper is to assess the precision of the revised procedure by applying it to historical data sets. The average Isc of a silicon cell for a flying season increased 0.5% and the standard deviation improved from 0.5% to 0.3%. The 12 year average Isc of a GaAs cell increased 1% and the standard deviation improved from 0.8% to 0.5%. The slight increase in measured Isc and improvement in standard deviation suggests that the accuracy of the aircraft method may improve from 1% to nearly 0.5%.

Snyder, David B.↗

The radiation environment of OSO missions from 1974 to 1978

Trapped particle radiation levels on several OSO missions were calculated for nominal trajectories using improved computational methods and new electron environment models. Temporal variations of the electron fluxes were considered and partially accounted for. Magnetic field calculations were performed with a current field model and extrapolated to a later epoch with linear time terms. Orbital flux integration results, which are presented in graphical and tabular form, are analyzed, explained, and discussed.

Stassinopoulos, E. G.↗

Free-jet expansions from laser-vaporized planar surfaces

Characteristics of free-jet vapor expansions created by the pulsed-laser vaporization of some refractory materials are examined. Such expansions were generated from planar surfaces at laser power densities up to 2.5 MW/sq cm. Time-integrated and time-resolved photography were used to show that the structure and pressures of such flows are correlated by the same relationship that is valid for free jets from orifice flows. Data show that the vapor velocity becomes sonic at or very near the vaporizing surface. A method is presented for deriving vaporization pressure from flow-field photos; such pressures from carbon-vaporization data for temperatures to 4500 K are in good agreement with extrapolated equilibrium vapor pressures. It is shown that this technique may be a means to determine vapor pressures of refractory materials at high temperatures.

Covington, M. A.↗

ASRM radiation and flowfield prediction status

Existing and proposed methods for the prediction of plume radiation are discussed in terms of their application to the NASA Advanced Solid Rocket Motor (ASRM) and Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) projects. Extrapolations of the Solid Rocket Motor (SRM) are discussed with respect to preliminary predictions of the primary and secondary radiation environments. The methodology for radiation and initial plume property predictions are set forth, including a new code for scattering media and independent secondary source models based on flight data. The Monte Carlo code employs a reverse-evaluation approach which traces rays back to their point of absorption in the plume. The SRM sea-level plume model is modified to account for the increased radiation in the ASRM plume due to the ASRM's propellant chemistry. The ASRM cycle-1 environment predictions are shown to identify a potential reason for the shutdown spike identified with pre-SRM staging.

Reardon, J. E.↗

Atmospheric sulfur hexafluoride - Sources, sinks and greenhouse warming

An estimate is obtained of worldwide production of SF6, from which a global emission rate is derived and extrapolated for the next 20 years. The atmospheric lifetime of SF6 is then estimated based on a known mechanism (e.g., photolysis and atmospheric oxidation) and/or on the mass balance method. Finally, the radiative forcing of SF6 is calculated based on recent laboratory IR absorption data, and the expected warming over the time period 1950-2010 is computed for several emission scenarios. Calculations showed that SF6 is 3 times more effective as a greenhouse gas compared to CFC 11 on a per-molecule basis. However, based on projected emission scenarios, the expected warming from SF6 through 2010 is small (0.004 C), compared to the warming from CO2 and other trace gases (0.8 C).

Ko, Malcolm K. W.↗

Orbit-spectrum sharing between the fixed-satellite and broadcasting-satellite services with applications to 12 GHz domestic systems

A systematic, tutorial analysis of the general problem of orbit-spectrum sharing among inhomogeneous satellite system is presented. Emphasis is placed on extrapolating and applying the available data on rain attenuation and on reconciling differences in the results of various measurements of the subjective effects of interference on television picture quality. An analytic method is presented for determining the approximate values of the intersatellite spacings required to keep mutual interference levels within prescribed limits when many dissimilar satellites share the orbit. A computer model was developed for assessing the interference compatibility of arbitrary configurations of large numbers of geostationary satellite systems. It is concluded that the band from 11.7 c GHz can be shared effectively by broadcasting-satellite and fixed-satellite systems. Recommendations for future study are included.

Reinhart, E. E.↗

Some observations on the Houbolt-Rainey and peak-hold methods of flutter onset prediction

A subcritical response method for flutter onset prediction developed by Houbolt and Rainey in 1958 is compared with the Peak-Hold Method which was apparently first applied to flutter onset prediction by Sandford, Abel, and Gray in the early 1970's. The rational argument presented shows that the two methods are not different, but are actually the same. So, because there is an analytical foundation for the Houbolt-Rainey Method, then there is the same analytical foundation for the Peak-Hold Method. Further, it is suggested that, in applying Peak-Hold Method in cases where turbulence is used as the excitation force, the variation of the reciprocal of the response amplitude with the reciprocal of the dynamic pressure to be used to extrapolate to flutter onset rather than the variation with dynamic pressure which is the current practice because the linear trend which is predicted to occur for the former is easier to extrapolate to the flutter condition than the nonlinear trend predicted to occur for the latter.

Doggett, Robert V., Jr.↗

The CE/SE Method: a CFD Framework for the Challenges of the New Millennium

The space-time conservation element and solution element (CE/SE) method, which was originated and is continuously being developed at NASA Glenn Research Center, is a high-resolution, genuinely multidimensional and unstructured-mesh compatible numerical method for solving conservation laws. Since its inception in 1991, the CE/SE method has been used to obtain highly accurate numerical solutions for 1D, 2D and 3D flow problems involving shocks, contact discontinuities, acoustic waves, vortices, shock/acoustic waves/vortices interactions, shock/boundary layers interactions and chemical reactions. Without the aid of preconditioning or other special techniques, it has been applied to both steady and unsteady flows with speeds ranging from Mach number = 0.00288 to 10. In addition, the method has unique features that allow for (i) the use of very simple non-reflecting boundary conditions, and (ii) a unified wall boundary treatment for viscous and inviscid flows. The CE/SE method was developed with the conviction that, with a solid foundation in physics, a robust, coherent and accurate numerical framework can be built without involving overly complex mathematics. As a result, the method was constructed using a set of design principles that facilitate simplicity, robustness and accuracy. The most important among them are: (i) enforcing both local and global flux conservation in space and time, with flux evaluation at an interface being an integral part of the solution procedure and requiring no interpolation or extrapolation; (ii) unifying space and time and treating them as a single entity; and (iii) requiring that a numerical scheme be built from a nondissipative core scheme such that the numerical dissipation can be effectively controlled and, as a result, will not overwhelm the physical dissipation. Part I of the workshop will be devoted to a discussion of these principles along with a description of how the ID, 2D and 3D CE/SE schemes are constructed. In Part II, various applications of the CE/SE method, particularly those involving chemical reactions and acoustics, will be presented. The workshop will be concluded with a sketch of the future research directions.

Chang, Sin-Chung↗

The AGK3, a basis for a general (northern) reference catalogue of positions and proper motions

The original concept of the international AGK3 program is presented and a report on the methods applied and on the progress of the work is given. The results in the form of revised positions of the AGK2 reduced to the FK4 system, and of AGK3, can be extrapolated easily to earlier epochs, as far back as those of AGK1, and the mean error for these epochs will permit one the deriving of reliable values for systematic corrections of the old catalogs. By using the AGK2/3 positions a general catalog of roughly to the ninth magnitude can be constructed by including large catalogs such as AGK1, AC, and Yale. Thus a new edition of the type of the SAO catalog for the northern hemisphere can be produced.

Dieckvoss, W.↗

Project SOLWIND: Space radiation exposure

A special orbital radiation study was conducted for the SOLWIND project to evaluate mission-encountered energetic particle fluxes. Magnetic field calculations were performed with a current field model, extrapolated to the tentative spacecraft launch epoch with linear time terms. Orbital flux integrations for circular flight paths were performed with the latest proton and electron environment models, using new improved computational methods. Temporal variations in the ambient electron environment are considered and partially accounted for. Estimates of average energetic solar proton fluences are given for a one year mission duration at selected integral energies ranging from E greater than 10 to E greater than 100 MeV; the predicted annual fluence is found to relate to the period of maximum solar activity during the next solar cycle. The results are presented in graphical and tabular form; they are analyzed, explained, and discussed.

Stassinopoulos, E. G.↗

Leeward centerline and side fuselage entry heating predictions for the space shuttle orbiter

Heat transfer data measured along the leeward centerline and on the side fuselage of the Space Shuttle orbiter during STS-2 and STS-3 are compared with predictions of empirical heating techniques derived from wind tunnel tests. Steps required to extrapolate an existing leeward centerline theory to flight conditions are described. Generally favorable comparisons from Mach 24 down to approximately Mach 7 for both flights are presented. The side fuselage impingement heating method is currently under development, but some preliminary results are available. The method is briefly described and compared with wind tunnel and flight measurements. Side heating predictions are given for an STS-3 trajectory point near Mach 10 showing good agreement with flight data. There is evidence of embedded vortices emanating from the side fuselage impingement line which significantly enhance local heating rates at both wind tunnel and flight conditions.

Helms, V. T., III↗

Analysis of crustal structure of Venus utilizing residual Line-of-Sight (LOS) gravity acceleration and surface topography data. A trial of global modeling of Venus gravity field using harmonic spline method

To construct Venus' gravity disturbance field (or gravity anomaly) with the spacecraft-observer line of site (LOS) acceleration perturbation data, both a global and a local approach can be used. The global approach, e.g., spherical harmonic coefficients, and the local approach, e.g., the integral operator method, based on geodetic techniques are generally not the same, so that they must be used separately for mapping long wavelength features and short wavelength features. Harmonic spline, as an interpolation and extrapolation technique, is intrinsically flexible to both global and local mapping of a potential field. Theoretically, it preserves the information of the potential field up to the bound by sampling theorem regardless of whether it is global or local mapping, and is never bothered with truncation errors. The improvement of harmonic spline methodology for global mapping is reported. New basis functions, a singular value decomposition (SVD) based modification to Parker & Shure's numerical procedure, and preliminary results are presented.

Fang, Ming↗

If We Can't Predict Solar Cycle 24, What About Solar Cycle 34?

Predictions of solar activity in Solar Cycle 24 range from 50% larger than SC 23 to the onset of a Grand Minimum. Because low levels of solar activity are associated with global cooling in paleoclimate and isotopic records, anticipating these extremes is required in any longterm extrapolation of climate variability. Climate models often look forward 100 or more years, which would mean 10 solar cycles into the future. Predictions of solar activity are derived from a number of methods, most of which, such as climatology and physics-based models, will be familiar to atmospheric scientists. More than 50 predictions of the maximum amplitude of SC 24 published before solar minimum will be discussed. Descriptions of several methods that result in the extreme predictions and some anticipation of even longer term predictions will be presented.

Pesnell. William Dean↗

Effects of Dose Error and Sample Size on Sonic Boom Dose-response Curves

NASA will soon be collecting noise-annoyance community survey data as the X-59 aircraft flies supersonically over several communities in the USA. Sparse measurements of the X-59 sonic thumps will be used together with physics-based simulations to estimate noise doses at survey participant locations. These dose estimates have associated error that affects the accuracy of modeled dose-response curves, which can result in misestimation of annoyance. The precision in dose-response curves is also a consideration in selecting the number of survey participants. To enable pretest studies of dose error and precision, simulated dose-response data were generated based on NASA’s Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 test. The data included various degrees of dose error and sample size. Frequentist multilevel logistic regression models were fit to the true and perturbed dose-response data. Simple proportional relationships were identified between the model parameters and the perturbation standard deviation. The summary dose-response curves illustrate the impact on accuracy if dose error is not accounted for in the model. The precision in the dose-response curves is also shown as the number of participants and degree of participation is varied. Finally, sampling variability is illustrated by showing the dose-response curves for several replicates with random draws of participants and errors.

X-59↗