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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 343 records · Page 19

Annual Performance of the Second-Generation Variable-Geometry Oscillating Surge Wave Energy Converter

Recent studies in wave energy have highlighted the need for a structured innovation approach in wave energy converter (WEC) design because cost-of-energy estimates have remained high. One specific innovation being investigated by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory is WEC geometry control, which uses control surfaces in combination with an oscillating surge WEC (OSWEC) to increase device availability and power generation while limiting structural costs. This study performs the first analysis of annual performance for a novel OSWEC with geometry control to understand how the geometry control affects availability, annual power generation, and structural loadings like the power-take-off (PTO) torque or surge foundation force. Device hydrodynamic coefficients are calculated using linear potential theory for six geometry configurations. A nonideal PTO system is assumed and quadratic viscous damping losses are considered. Annual performance is evaluated and compared for three U.S. wave energy sites. The WEC geometry and PTO system are controlled on a sea-state basis to optimize for power capture while remaining under limits set on motion amplitude and structural loads. Results indicate that geometry control can increase availability up to 25 days in an average year depending on design limits, increase average power generation, and significantly reduce peak structural loads.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Tuning interfacial Dzyaloshinskii-Moriya interactions in thin amorphous ferrimagnetic alloys

Skyrmions can be stabilized in magnetic systems with broken inversion symmetry and chiral interactions, such as Dzyaloshinskii-Moriya interactions (DMI). Further, compensation of magnetic moments in ferrimagnetic materials can significantly reduce magnetic dipolar interactions, which tend to favor large skyrmions. Tuning DMI is essential to control skyrmion properties, with symmetry breaking at interfaces offering the greatest flexibility. However, in contrast to the ferromagnet case, few studies have investigated interfacial DMI in ferrimagnets. Here we present a systematic study of DMI in ferrimagnetic CoGd films by Brillouin light scattering. We demonstrate the ability to control DMI by the CoGd cap layer composition, the stack symmetry and the ferrimagnetic layer thickness. The DMI thickness dependence confirms its interfacial nature. In addition, magnetic force microscopy reveals the ability to tune DMI in a range that stabilizes sub-100 nm skyrmions at room temperature in zero field. Our work opens new paths for controlling interfacial DMI in ferrimagnets to nucleate and manipulate skyrmions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Effects of an External Magnetic Field on Keyhole Mode Laser Melting of 316 Stainless Steel

Keyhole-mode laser melting is an efficient method for joining or cutting large, thick components, but controlling keyhole depth and fluctuations has remained challenging. Applying an external magnetic field can control melt pool flows and indirectly influence keyhole morphology and dynamics. The induced Lorentz force, comprising Seebeck and damping components, plays a crucial role in the melt pool dynamics, depending on temperature gradient, flow rates, and magnetic field orientation and magnitude. This research investigates the effects of an external magnetic field on keyhole behavior during laser spot melting of 316 stainless steel using synchronized high-speed synchrotron X-ray and thermal imaging. Findings revealed that a longitudinal magnetic field (120 mT) increased keyhole depth but exacerbated lateral fluctuations, resulted in a 20% increase in the melt pool temperature gradient and a 27% decrease in cooling rate. Conversely, a transverse magnetic field (760 mT) reduced keyhole depth and improved porosity formation. The findings suggest that a decrease in keyhole depth correlates with a decrease in fluctuations, and vice versa. These insights enhance understanding of external magnetic fields’ impact on laser melting, with implications for improving part quality.

Alamdari, Aslan Bafahm [The Ohio State Univ., Colu↗

Assessing entropy for catalytic processes at complex reactive interfaces

When chemical reactions are accelerated by a catalyst, entropy differences between reactants and their transient intermediates can be the driving force behind the promotion or inhibition of desired and parasitic chemical pathways. Understanding and controlling catalytic processes therefore requires both a fundamental and practicable understanding of entropy in addition to enthalpy. In unstructured media such as the vapor phase equilibrated with sparsely covered surfaces, entropy can be adequately accounted for by well-established approaches based on translational, rotational, and harmonic vibrational partition functions. However, these approximations become inadequate in more complex condensed phase environments, e.g., solid liquid interfaces of confined reaction spaces. In this chapter, we provide an overview of the state-of-art in the computational quantification of entropy and its known ramifications on catalysis. The fundamental roles of thermodynamics and kinetics in catalysis are covered in enough detail to appreciate and contextualize the computational methods employed to compute chemically accurate estimates of entropy. These methods are discussed in appropriate detail and range from the ubiquitous harmonic oscillator approximation where entropy unrelated to high frequency oscillations is typically underestimated, to enhanced free energy sampling with molecular dynamics where the desired accuracy must be weighed against the associated computational cost of obtaining it. The rising importance of machine learning and artificial intelligence in accelerating methodological progress in this field is touched upon, as well. Finally, applications, successes, and pitfalls of using these methods are provided to showcase past and present accomplishments while clarifying where improvements in both understanding and methodology are still needed.

Kollias, Loukas↗

Positional ordering induced by dynamic steric interactions in superparamagnetic rods

The dynamic motion produced by precessing magnetic fields can drive matter into far-from-equilibrium states. We predict 1D periodic ordering in systems of precessing rods when magnetic interactions between rods remain insignificant. The precession angle of the rods is completely determined by the field's precession angle and the ratio of the field's precession frequency and the characteristic response frequency of the rods. Here, we develop a molecular dynamics model that explicitly calculates magnetic interactions between particles, and we also simulate rods in the limit of a strong and fast precessing magnetic field where inter-rod magnetic interactions are negligible, using a purely steric model. Our simulations show how steric interactions drive the rods from a positionally disordered phase (nematic) to a layered (smectic) phase. As the rod precession angle increases, the nematic–smectic transition density significantly decreases. The minimization of unfavorable steric interactions also induces phase separation in binary mixtures of rods of different lengths. This effect is general to any force that produces precession in elongated particles. This work will advance the understanding and control of out-of-equilibrium soft matter systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Deciphering the morphology of transition metal carbonate cathode precursors

The performance and life of Li-ion battery cathode materials are determined by both the composition (crystal structure and transition metal ratio) and the morphology (particle size, size distribution, and surface area). Careful control of these two aspects is the key to long lasting, high-energy batteries that can undergo fast charge. Developing such cathodes requires manipulation of the synthesis conditions, namely the coprecipitation process to develop the precursor and a calcination step to lithiate and convert it to a transition metal oxide. In this paper, we utilize a combination of controlled synthesis, microscopic and spectroscopic characterization, and multi-scale mathematical modeling to shed light on the synthesis of cathode precursors. The complex interplay between the various chemical reactions in the co-precipitation process is studied to provide experimentalists with guidance on achieving composition control during synthesis. Further, the formation of a variety of morphologies of the primary particles and the driving force for agglomeration is mathematically described, for the first time, based on an energy minimization approach. Results suggest that the presence of Ni and/or Co significantly lowers the reaction rate constant compared to Mn, resulting in agglomerated growth in the former and single crystal growth in the latter. Modeling studies are used to provide a phase map describing the synthesis conditions needed to control the secondary particle size and corresponding size distribution. Finally, this paper represents an important step in developing a computationally guided approach to the synthesis of battery cathode materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Microscopic origin of tunable assembly forces in chiral active environments

Across a variety of spatial scales, from nanoscale biological systems to micron-scale colloidal systems, equilibrium self-assembly is entirely dictated by—and therefore limited by—the thermodynamic properties of the constituent materials. In contrast, nonequilibrium materials, such as self-propelled active matter, expand the possibilities for driving the assemblies that are inaccessible in equilibrium conditions. Recently, a number of works have suggested that active matter drives or accelerates self-organization, but the emergent interactions that arise between solutes immersed in actively driven environments are complex and poorly understood. Here, we analyze and resolve two crucial questions concerning actively driven self-assembly: (i) how, mechanistically, do active environments drive self-assembly of passive solutes? (ii) Under which conditions is this assembly robust? We employ the framework of odd hydrodynamics to theoretically explain numerical and experimental observations that chiral active matter, i.e., particles driven with a directional torque, produces robust and long-ranged assembly forces. Overall, these developments constitute an important step towards a comprehensive theoretical framework for controlling self-assembly in nonequilibrium environments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

World beyond the nearest neighbors

The structure beyond the nearest neighbor atoms in liquid and glass is characterized by the medium-range order (MRO). In the conventional approach, the MRO is considered to result directly from the short-range order (SRO) in the nearest neighbors. To this bottom–up approach starting with the SRO, we propose to add a top–down approach in which global collective forces drive liquid to form density waves. The two approaches are in conflict with each other, and the compromise produces the structure with the MRO. The driving force to produce density waves provides the stability and stiffness to the MRO, and controls various mechanical properties. This dual framework provides a novel perspective for description of the structure and dynamics of liquid and glass.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Forced and Unforced Decadal Behavior of the Interhemispheric SST Contrast during the Instrumental Period (1881–2012): Contextualizing the Late 1960s–Early 1970s Shift

The sea surface temperature (SST) contrast between the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and Southern Hemisphere (SH) influences the location of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and the intensity of the monsoon systems. This study examines the contributions of external forcing and unforced internal variability to the interhemispheric SST contrast in HadSST3 and ERSSTv5 observations, and 10 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) from 1881 to 2012. Using multimodel mean fingerprints, a significant influence of anthropogenic, but not natural, forcing is detected in the interhemispheric SST contrast, with the observed response larger than that of the model mean in ERSSTv5. The forced response consists of asymmetric NH–SH SST cooling from the mid-twentieth century to around 1980, followed by opposite NH–SH SST warming. The remaining best-estimate residual or unforced component is marked by NH–SH SST maxima in the 1930s and mid-1960s, and a rapid NH–SH SST decrease around 1970. Examination of decadal shifts in the observed interhemispheric SST contrast highlights the shift around 1970 as the most prominent from 1881 to 2012. Both NH and SH SST variability contributed to the shift, which appears not to be attributable to external forcings. Most models examined fail to capture such large-magnitude shifts in their control simulations, although some models with high interhemispheric SST variability are able to produce them. Large-magnitude shifts produced by the control simulations feature disparate spatial SST patterns, some of which are consistent with changes typically associated with the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Remote Epitaxial Growth of Compound Semiconductors through Graphene

Epitaxial growth has been widely used for high-quality growth of crystalline materials. However, epitaxial growth techniques usually require lattice match and similar thermal expansion coefficient between growth material and substrate, which blocks this growth technique from wide applicability. Recently, van der Waals (vdW) epitaxy has been demonstrated that allows to relax the limitation of epitaxial growth. vdW epitaxy on layered or two-dimensional (2D) materials is mediated by weak vdW interactions. In addition to these interactions, a substrate below 2D materials also plays a role to intervene in the epitaxial growth process, leaving room to realize a novel epitaxial growth process: remote epitaxy. Potential fluctuation—the difference between potential energy maxima and minima along the surface of the substrate—is influenced by this remote interaction; the fluctuation is predominant over the vdW force, due to the atomic thickness of 2D materials. The remote interactions can be controlled by modulation of polarities of 2D materials and epitaxy materials. Polar-material-based heterostructure, such as GaAs, InP, GaP and GaN with their substrate sandwiching 2D materials, enables the semiconductor film to be exfoliated from the underlying substrates through the 2D materials. This process is expected to open a novel avenue for the field of non-silicon electronics and photonics, where the ability to re-use graphene-coated substrates allows savings on the high cost of non-silicon substrates.

Lee, Kyusang↗

Continued Verification of MOOSE Structural Mechanics Tools for Modeling Core Bowing Phenomena in Fast Reactors

Under the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy’s Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Program, an integrated multiphysics approach is being developed to model the core bowing phenomena important to liquid metal-cooled fast reactors. Core bowing is an important passive safety mechanism whereby increased power (which leads to temperature and flux gradients) influences the core to bow into less reactive configurations when the restraint system is properly designed. The phenomenon includes a complex interplay of radiation transport, duct temperature calculations involving fluid flow and heat transfer, and thermo-mechanical responses to the induced temperature and flux gradients. Structural material properties are also important to determining inelastic response to longer term flux gradients which cause irradiation creep and swelling. While core bowing provides a strong negative reactivity feedback when the restraint system is designed properly, it also results in additional forces between assemblies which increase the loads required to extricate them during refueling or control rod movement. Therefore, the restraint system must be designed with these tradeoffs in mind. The first stage of the work, which commenced in FY21 and continues through FY22, assesses thermo-mechanical modeling tools for producing core bowing predictions consistent with conventional tools. The Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) Tensor Mechanics and Contact Modules are employed. This status report describes work on additional thermo-mechanical benchmark verification problems with increased complexity from the examples demonstrated in FY21. Several benchmark verification examples were selected from the IAEA verification and validation report. These examples involve clusters of ducts representative of a sector of a hexagonal reactor core which bow into each other and cause contact and load pad elevations, as well as single ducts subjected to irradiation fields undergoing swelling and subsequent bowing. The MOOSE-based results were compared to both IAEA benchmark participants’ results, analytic equations as available, and NUBOW-3D, a beam model code developed by Argonne National Laboratory. In every case, the MOOSE results agreed with other simulations results, providing additional verification basis of the tools for this particular physics application.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

High Fidelity Simulations of a Methane-Oxygen Rotating Detonation Rocket Engine

The rotating detonation combustor (RDC) is an important realization of pressure gain combustion for practical applications. The RDC system is characterized by a highly unsteady flow field, with multiple reflected pressure waves following the strong detonations and the existence of partially-burnt gases entrained within the detonation annulus during the injector recovery process. While experimental efforts have provided macroscopic properties of an RDC with a given fuel-oxidizer mixture and geometry, limited optical access and reduced lifespan of flow-field diagnostic equipment constrain understanding of the mechanisms that lend to wave stability, controllability, and sustainability. To this end, high-fidelity numerical simulations of the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) methane-oxygen rotating detonation rocket engine (RDRE) are performed to provide detailed insight into the detonation physics and anomalous behavior within the combustor. The results highlight the merit of high-fidelity numerical studies in analyzing the combustion processes and injector dynamics of a complex combustion system. The simulations capture the general wave behavior observed within the experimental studies. Three different operating conditions, with varying global equivalence ratio and system mass flow rate, are considered: (1) baseline configuration, (2) high equivalence ratio, and (3) high mass flow rate. The high mass flow rate case results in increased detonation wave strength whereas the high equivalence ratio results in increased deflagrative heat release. The high equivalence ratio case results in chaotic behavior with two pairs of counter-rotating detonation waves, whereas a single pair of co-rotating waves is observed in the baseline and high mass flow rate cases. Further, parasitic combustion of the reactant mixture ahead of the detonation wave diminishes its strength and reduces propagation speed to approximately 50-60\% of the Chapman-Jouguet (CJ) condition. In this work, a detailed analysis of the detonation wave behavior, injector dynamics, and the statistics of combustion parameters are presented.

Prakash, Supraj↗

Non-disruptive error field measurement in DIII-D low safety factor plasmas and projection to ITER

Previous experiments in DIII-D (Paz-Soldan et al 2022 Nucl. Fusion 62 126007) introduced a method to identify intrinsic error fields (EFs) in tokamaks with minimal disruption risk by promptly healing driven magnetic islands during the conventional 'compass scan'. This paper presents recent experimental and numerical advancements in extending this approach to low q 95 plasmas, and projects its applicability to ITER. Non-disruptive EF measurement is achieved at q 95 = 4.5 and 3.9 without any initial EF correction (EFC) by reducing the time between the occurrence of the locked mode (LM) and control action to 10 ms and increasing the density 50%–100%. However, 50% correction of the intrinsic EF is required to achieve island healing at q 95 = 3.2 with 10 ms delay for the control action. Nonlinear two-fluid modeling with the TM1 code reproduces the DIII-D experimental observations, indicating that promptly turning off the 3D coil current reduces both magnetic island width and electromagnetic force, while raising the density increases plasma viscosity, facilitating magnetic island healing. The simulations show that for scenarios with q 95 = 3.2, lowering the control action time to 5 ms will lead to island healing without EFC. TM1 simulations are extended to future ITER scenarios with 5 MA and 7.5 MA plasma currents, predicting the dependence of required density rise on action time and EF amplitude. These simulations indicate that, benefiting from the much longer resistive time, island healing can be successfully achieved in ITER when taking control action 100–500 ms after a LM occurrence.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Programming Amphiphilic Peptoid Oligomers for Hierarchical Assembly and Inorganic Crystallization

Natural organisms make a wide variety of exquisitely complex, nano-, micro-, and macroscale structured materials in an energy-efficient and highly reproducible manner. During these processes, the information-carrying biomolecules (e.g., proteins, peptides, and carbohydrates) enable (1) hierarchical organization to assemble scaffold materials and execute high-level functions and (2) exquisite control over inorganic materials synthesis, generating biominerals whose properties are optimized for their functions. Inspired by nature, significant efforts have been devoted to developing functional materials that can rival those natural molecules by mimicking in vivo functions using engineered proteins, peptides, DNAs, sequence-defined synthetic molecules (e.g., peptoids), and other biomimetic polymers. Among them, peptoids, a new type of synthetic mimetics of peptides and proteins, have received particular attention because they combine the merits of both synthetic polymers (e.g., high chemical stability and efficient synthesis) and biomolecules (e.g., sequence programmability and biocompatibility). The lack of both chirality and hydrogen bonds in their backbone results in a highly designable peptoid-based system with reduced structural complexity and side chain-chemistry-dominated properties. Here in this Account, we present our recent efforts in this field by programming amphiphilic peptoid sequences for (1) the controlled self-assembly into different hierarchically structured nanomaterials with favorable properties and (2) manipulating inorganic (nano)crystal nucleation, growth, and assembly into superstructures. First, we designed a series of amphiphilic peptoids with controlled side chain chemistries that self-assembled into 1D highly stiff and dynamic nanotubes, 2D membrane-mimetic nanosheets, hexagonally patterned nanoribbons, and 3D nanoflowers. These crystalline nanostructures exhibited sequence-dependent properties and showed promise for different applications. The corresponding peptoid self-assembly pathways and mechanisms were also investigated by leveraging in situ atomic force microscopy studies and molecular dynamics simulations, which showed precise sequence dependency. Second, inspired by peptide- and protein-controlled formation of hierarchical inorganic nanostructures in nature, we developed peptoid-based biomimetic approaches for controlled synthesis of inorganic materials (e.g., noble metals and calcite), in which we took advantage of the substantial side chain chemistry of peptoids and investigated the relationship between the peptoid sequences and the morphology and growth kinetics of inorganic materials. For example, to overcome the challenges (e.g., complexity of protein- and peptide-folding, poor thermal and chemical stabilities) facing the area of protein- and peptide-controlled synthesis of inorganic materials, we recently reported the design of sequence-defined peptoids for controlled synthesis of highly branched plasmonic gold particles. Moreover, we developed a rule of thumb for designing peptoids that predictively enabled the morphological evolution from spherical to coral-shaped gold nanoparticles (NPs). With this Account, we hope to stimulate the research interest of chemists and materials scientists and promote the predictive synthesis of functional and robust materials through the design of sequence-defined synthetic molecules.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

FORCE Regression Testing

Via programs including the Light Water Reactor Sustainability and Integrated Energy Systems, the U.S. Department of Energy has invested in the Framework for Optimization of ResourCes and Economics (FORCE) software framework (Idaho National Laboratory 2024a) for the technical and economic analysis of nuclear-integrated energy systems (IES). Nuclear IES expand the use of nuclear from traditional baseload electricity generation to a flexible and adaptive source of combined heat and power. Nuclear heat can be used in the production of a variety of energy currencies such as hydrogen and ammonia as well as other heat applications including water desalination and district heating. FORCE is designed with the intent to provide interconnected analysis tools that enable the accurate technical and economic assessment of specific nuclear IES configurations for individual energy markets. FORCE consists of three main analysis pathways: HYBRID (Idaho National Laboratory 2024b), which contains high-resolution physical models for IES; Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) (Idaho National Laboratory 2024c), which analyzes IES long-term economic viability; and Optimization of Real-time Capacity Allocation (ORCA) (Idaho National Laboratory 2024d), designed for real-time control of IES via digital twins and optimal decision making, including autonomous and remote operation research. Development of the FORCE ecosystem is guided by three pillars: capability, which assures that the computational requirements of IES analysis are met by the software tools; reliability, which provides for consistent code performance and expected behaviors; and accessibility, which lowers the barrier to entry for using the software and accelerates analysis by users beyond the FORCE primary developers. Reliability of the FORCE ecosystem is established according to the American Nuclear Society?s Nuclear Quality Assurance (NQA-1) program [American Society of Mechanical Engineers 1982], with specific levels of software quality assurance (SQA) within NQA-1 applied to each software tool in FORCE. As the tools within FORCE have matured, some integration algorithms to accurately connect the software tools for holistic analysis have been developed and deployed within the FORCE software repository. In accordance with NQA-1 standards, regression tests are required to guarantee the software performs consistently even when new capabilities are added to the software. In this report, we document the deployment of both unit tests, which test the consistent behavior of small pieces of the FORCE code base, as well as integration tests, which test the consistent performance of full use cases for the FORCE integration algorithms. We further document the encapsulation of these tests within a test harness, which collectively checks for each successful test completion on demand. Finally, we document the automation of the test harness using GitHub Actions [GitHub 2024], which require all tests succeed before any new capability or other changes can be added to the FORCE integration software

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Petaloid-shaped ZnO coated carbon felt as a controllable host to construct hierarchical Li composite anode

Prestoring Li metal into the 3D host via thermal infusion strategy has been considered as an effective approach on suppressing Li dendrites growth of Li-metal anode during cycling. However, the fast Li infusing process generally induces uncontrollable and undesirable structures during the formation of composite Li metal anode. It is widely accepted that both physical and chemical interactions between the molten Li and the hosts provide driving forces for Li infusing into the host, but which one plays the dominant role has not been explored clearly. In this work, a 3D carbon felt coated by petaloid zinc oxide (CFZO) is designed as a controllable host for prestoring Li metal via thermal infusion method. It is revealed that the morphology induced physical driving force plays a more important role than the chemical reaction between ZnO and molten Li in the thermal infusion process. The physical driving force originates from the capillarity effect, depending on the roughness of the host according to Wenzel's model. An adjustable Li infusing process can be controlled to fabricate the Li composite electrode with a hierarchical structure (with dense Li-rich layer and porous Li-poor layer). The unique structure of the CFZO-Li not only provides enough spaces for Li deposition, but also disperses local current density to induce a uniform Li deposition behavior, thus Li dendrites can be suppressed effectively. As a result, CFZO-Li anode exhibits promising cycle stability when coupled with both Li-containing (LiNi 0.8 Co 0.15 Al 0.05 O 2 ) and Li-free (sulfur) cathodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Satellite Reentry Predictions During Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Prediction of uncontrolled satellite reentry time and trajectory are essential to avoid damages to human being and properties over land. Reentry time and trajectory are largely controlled by aerodynamic drag and mass neutral density below 200 km. In this paper, using a numerical model of the whole atmosphere, WACCM‐X, and a Precision Orbital Determination software, we demonstrate the major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) in January 2009, during the deep solar minimum of 2009, may cause 0.2–0.3 day of variation in reentry time. The SSW can alter the mass density and composition mixing ratio in the lower thermosphere below 200 km through changed wave forcing and general circulation in the lower thermosphere. This is comparable to the effect of a 2‐SFU (Solar Flux Unit) solar radiance variation on the neutral density. 0.1 day of reentry time uncertainty corresponds to a global shift in impact location, that is, thousands of kilometers distance. For comparison, a major SSW during solar maximum contributes little to reentry time variation, which is predominantly controlled by the solar and geomagnetic forcing. We suggest a few proxies such as O/N 2 in the lower thermosphere or mean meridional wind to account for the lower atmosphere impacts in an operational model. This needs to be investigated in rigorous future work.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

2023 FORCE Development Status Update

Technical and economic analysis of integrated energy systems (IES) using software models is a complex process requiring multiple commodity market decision analysis, optimal control, process modeling, and stochastic analysis. Many assumptions used in traditional energy analysis tools do not hold in future energy markets with significant storage and variable renewable energy sources (VRE), let alone with multiple commodity markets. Capturing these intricate elements for accurate techno-economic analysis of IES led to the development of the Framework for Optimization of ResourCes and Economics (FORCE) tool suite under the U.S. Department of Energy’s Integrated Energy Systems crosscutting technology program. With the aim of a full framework release in 2025, many improvements to the FORCE tool suite were developed in fiscal year 2023 (FY23). These improvements broadly fit into three focuses for development of FORCE: capability, accessibility, and reliability. Capability refers to the ability of FORCE to accurately model the technical and economic viability of various IES. Accessibility refers to ease-of-use for new and existing IES analysts to efficiently set up, analyze, and produce results using FORCE. Reliability refers to the consistency of the software, allowing consistency to analysis regardless of erstwhile changes to the software. In addition to many smaller changes, there are three major capability improvements in FORCE in FY23. In summary, FORCE developments in FY23 have moved us close to all the capability requirements for FORCE 1.0 to be delivered in FY25. Inclusion of Bayesian optimization, resilience metrics, and levelized cost analysis expand the capability, accessibility, and reliability of FORCE.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗