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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Assessment of SCALE and MELCOR for a generic pebble bed fluoride high-temperature reactor

This paper presents the development and application of SCALE and MELCOR models for a fluoride salt-cooled high-temperature reactor (FHR) based on publicly available specifications. SCALE version 6.3beta15 was used to generate power distributions and decay heat curves, and MELCOR version 2.2.18019 was used to calculate the thermal hydraulic response of an assumed FHR primary system. Here, an approach was developed for determining the equilibrium state of the core using depletion of a core slice model and blending of fuel compositions at different burnups to provide three-dimensional fuel composition in the core. Results compared between a core with entirely fresh fuel and one with an equilibrium fuel composition revealed that the equilibrium core led to lower steady-state temperatures but slower cooldown during a loss of flow accident (LOFA). A sensitivity study was then conducted to explore the transient response of our FHR system to variations in thermal hydraulic parameters of the system using the equilibrium core. The inlet temperature, graphite thermal conductivity, and SCRAM time all provided significant control over peak fuel and coolant temperatures. Uncertainties in radionuclide decay data in SCALE were used to perform a decay heat sensitivity study, and we found that uncertainties in decay heat led to negligible impact on peak temperatures during the course of the transient. In all cases evaluated, the observed peak fuel temperatures remained approximately 700 K below anticipated failure limits for the LOFA.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Butterfly valve performance factors using the multiphysics object oriented simulation environment

Butterfly valves are typically used in nuclear reactors to control incompressible fluid flow with high inlet velocities. Performance factors for butterfly valves include the pressure drop across the valve and the loss coefficient from which hydrodynamic torque and flow coefficients can be computed. This work explores a computational fluid dynamics approach for butterfly valve performance factors using the open-source Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework. While MOOSE is often used in the nuclear energy modeling and simulation community for simulations ranging from fuel characterization to heat pipe simulation, this work employs the MOOSE open-source Navier–Stokes solver capability for simulating butterfly valve performance factors and compares those to experimentally measured results from the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory at Reynolds numbers in the order of 10 6 for the partially opened configuration. The MOOSE framework results are compared against experimentally measured butterfly valve performance factors across five valve opening angles using meshes with order 10 4 – 10 5 elements. This validation serves to enable MOOSE-based multiphysics simulations incorporating the open-source Navier–Stokes module.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reaction chemistry of ethanol oligomerization to distillate-range molecules using low loading Cu/Mg x AlO y catalysts

We study ethanol oligomerization to higher alcohols and other oxygenates with a 0.3 wt. %Cu/Mg 2.9 AlO catalyst. This reaction involves more than 130 products in a complicated reaction network. The selectivity towards diesel fuel precursor compounds (hereafter ‘DFPC’) increased with conversion until reaching a plateau at an ethanol conversion of ~70 %. Alcohol selectivity was found to follow Schultz-Flory distribution at all studied conversions. Larger sized alcohols then are formed mostly by chain-growth mechanisms via surface reactions of adsorbed oligomers with ethanol-based monomers. Higher esters are formed from alcohols and aldehydes in a series reaction mechanism. Moreover, C 6+ ester and C 4+ ketones selectivities increase as conversion increases. We also found that C 4+ alcohols most likely undergo Guerbet coupling with the studied catalyst to form even higher alcohols once, and that the oxygen of these alcohols is active as a nucleophile, resulting in the selective formation of esters if the starting alcohol is branched. Finally, we performed several cofeed studies varying ethanol-to-H 2 inlet partial pressures, and adding acetaldehyde and ethyl acetate as cofeeds to ethanol at different concentrations. Here, we conclude from these experiments that acetaldehyde concentration controls reaction chemistry, with conditions favoring larger concentrations of the molecule promoting both alcohol coupling and ester formation, and conditions leading to lower concentrations of acetaldehyde resulting in higher alcohol selectivity at the expense of esters and higher aldehydes.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Off-design performance of an organic Rankine-vapor compression cooling cycle using R1234ze(E)

In this study, a 264 kW th organic Rankine-vapor compression cycle (ORVC) was experimentally tested over a range of conditions to quantify the individual impact of off-design external conditions. The ORVC was designed to recover waste heat at 91 °C, reject heat to a liquid condenser stream at 30 °C, and produce chilled water at 7 °C. Here, the condenser heat rejection temperature was varied from 16.6 °C to 32.6 °C, the chilled water delivery temperature was varied between 2.1 °C and 13.1 °C, and the heat input temperature was varied from 91 °C to 120 °C. As the condenser heat rejection temperature decreased, the coefficient of performance (COP) of the ORVC improved from 0.558 at 30 °C to 0.682 at 16.6 °C, despite a reduction in compressor isentropic efficiency. Although the chilled water temperature variation had almost no impact on the organic Rankine cycle performance, the compressor efficiency decreased when the delivery temperature was below 7 °C. At the highest chilled water temperature, 13.1 °C, the COP of the ORVC was 0.643. Compressor stall was noted when the condenser heat rejection temperature was greater than 32.6 °C and the chilled water delivery temperature was below 2.1 °C. Increasing the driving heat source inlet temperature improved the COP of the ORVC and the thermal efficiency of the organic Rankine power cycle, while decreasing the efficiency of the compressor and the COP of vapor compression cycle. In addition, the integrated part load value of the system was determined through experimentation to be 0.682, which provides a realistic estimate of real-world performance.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Experimental investigation of a reverse osmosis desalination system directly powered by wave energy

Powering desalination processes with renewable energy is a promising solution to address the global issue of water shortage with minimum carbon footprint and environmental impact. Here, we experimentally investigate a sustainable reverse osmosis (RO) desalination system directly powered by wave energy. In this system, seawater is pressurized and pumped to a RO desalination module via a piston pump directly driven by an oscillating surge wave energy converter (OSWEC). An accumulator is adopted on the feed inlet to mitigate the pressure fluctuations under time-varying ocean conditions. Meanwhile, a needle valve on the brine outlet is used to adjust the system pressure and water recovery. A 1:10 scaled model was designed, fabricated, and tested in a wave tank based on the Froude scaling law. Further, the optimal specific water productivity (SWP) obtained in the tank tests with 3.5 g/L feed salinity was 2.23m 3 /kWh, indicating a full-scale specific water productivity of 0.22m 3 /kWh for 35g/L seawater salinity. The influence of needle valve tuning on the specific water productivity was experimentally investigated and analyzed. Under a specific operational condition, tuning this valve improved specific water productivity by about 17% and reduced the system pressure by 24%, thereby avoiding extreme pressure and improving the system’s capability. This pilot study demonstrates that ocean wave energy is a promising source to sustainably power reverse osmosis desalination and provide freshwater water for coastal regions.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2020

Two-phase operation of a Terry steam turbine using air and water mixtures as working fluids

Terry steam turbines are employed in the safety systems of many nuclear Boiling Water Reactors to drive pumps and provide cooling water to the nuclear reactor core. While the turbine efficiency is low, the more important feature is high reliability under off-normal conditions. An important aspect of reliability is the ability to function with two-phase steam-water injection into the turbine, as most likely occurred in the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear accidents. This study investigates the characteristics of a Terry turbine during air-water injection with gas mass fractions ranging from 1 (dry gas) to 0.05 (wet gas), to better understand the Terry turbine’s true operational capabilities and provide justification for extended Terry turbine use for reactor safety. Other parameters investigated are the inlet pressure, the exhaust backpressure and the turbine’s rotational speed. The turbine performance is presented in terms of dynamometer loading and pump performance change as functions of the gas mass fraction.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

A microchannel shell-and-tube absorber for ammonia-water absorption

A shell-and-tube absorber with microscale geometric features that yields significant volumetric heat duties is investigated. A vertically-oriented baffled shell-and-tube heat exchanger with a tightly packed tube bundle is designed to serve as the absorber for a 10.5 kW nominal cooling capacity absorption chiller. The heat and mass transfer in this absorber is investigated experimentally at operating conditions spanning a wide range of working fluid and coupling fluid flow rates and ambient temperatures. An experimental facility is fabricated to closely simulate the operating conditions in an absorption refrigeration system. Absorption heat duties in the range of 5-15 kW are measured. In addition to operating the absorber in the baseline co-current flow configuration with premixed inlet, fluid ports are provided to enable operation in counter-current flow, where the dilute solution enters from the top and vapor enters from the bottom. The performance of these two flow configurations is compared. A preliminary heat and mass transfer model is developed to quantify the local temperatures, concentrations, and mass flow rates of the solution and vapor streams along the length of the absorber. The model predictions for total heat duty agree with the experimental results within 10% for almost all the data points, with an AAD of ~3.4%. Finally, the results of this study, along with the modeling framework, can guide further development of highly compact and efficient absorbers absorption systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Enhanced flow boiling heat transfer on chromium coated zircaloy-4 using cold spray technique for accident tolerant fuel (ATF) materials

Flow boiling heat transfer tests were conducted to evaluate the Critical Heat Flux (CHF) and Heat Transfer Coefficient (HTC) of conventional and accident tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding materials, i.e., bare Zircaloy-4 (Zr4), and Zircaloy-4 coated with Chromium using physical vapor deposition (PVD) (Zr4-Cr-PVD) and cold spray process (Zr4-Cr-CS), respectively. The tests were performed on a single heater rod with a uniform heat flux profile, at the atmospheric pressure, inlet temperature (24 °C) and mass flow rate (750 kg/m 2 s). HTC’s were increased by 5.2% and 3.3% on Zr4-Cr-CS compared to bare Zr4 and Zr4-Cr-PVD. Improved HTCwas attributed to the increased void fraction and high roughness (Ra = 532 nm) of the Zr4-Cr-CS. In detail, the micro-cavities, which act as bubble seeds, were entirely distributed on the Zr4-Cr-CS, and these micro-cavities generated smaller and faster bubbles, thus the void fraction increased by 10.9% compared to bare Zr4. HTC is improved by these smaller and faster bubbles which can remove heat from the heater rod surface more efficiently. To identify the exact location of CHF, the surface temperature profile was measured using advanced fiber-optic sensors which have high temporal/spatial resolution (distance between point to point: ~2.5 mm, frequency ~100 Hz). CHF occurred at 80–95% along the heated length and showed an 11.6% reduction on Zr4-Cr-CS compared to bare Zr4. We hypothesize the CHF reduction was caused by the lower wettability of the Zr4-Cr-CS which reduces the liquid supply to the surface, and vigorous bubble accumulation owing to high void fraction near the outlet, which results in early formation of the vapor film. During the post-CHF quenching phase, the rougher Zr4-Cr-CS showed larger cooling rates compared to the bare Zr4 and Zr4-Cr-PVD, preventing of oxidation by chromium layer. In conclusion, we demonstrate that the high roughness on the Zr4-Cr-CS increased the number of micro-cavities on the surface, resulting in 5.2% increase in HTC and improvement in the quenching heat transfer performance whereas CHF was 11.6% reduced compared to bare Zr4. Overall statistically there is little effect in the coating with regards to CHF and slight improvement in HTC.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Critical heat flux on zircaloy and accident tolerant fuel cladding under prototypical conditions of pressurized and boiling water reactors

First of a kind high spatial and temporal resolution temperature measurements of Pressurized Water Reactor and Boiling Water Reactor simulated fuel pins (high heat flux cosine profile heaters) in annular rod type geometry during nucleate boiling, departure from nucleate boiling and re-wetting has been performed. Distributed fiber optic measurements of the cladding axial temperature with spatial resolutions down to 2.5 mm axially at up to three equally spaced azimuthal locations per rod have demonstrated the similarities and differences of the different accident tolerant fuel cladding materials. These experiments show the performance of accident tolerant cladding with a precise measurement of the location and evolution of dryout followed by the re-wetting phenomena (see supplementary time history of a critical heat flux event). Experimental parameters varied coolant mass fluxes from 1695 to 2712 kg/m 2 s, pressures from 10 to 20 MPa, and inlet subcooling from 10 to 55 °C. It was found that the coatings and different material have little effect on the value of the critical heat flux. Any discrepancies between the local critical heat flux verified among the cladding material are attributed to different departure from nucleate boiling phenomena captured during the experiment with the high-resolution optical fiber temperature data. Substantial differences in the performance of the different cladding material to survive a critical heat flux event were however observed by post-test X-ray and optical inspection. External evident damage and internal cracks to the simulated fuel pin having the bare zircaloy cladding were observed in regions associated with the occurrence of the critical heat flux for longer periods. Such damages were associated with zirconium oxidation, and not noticed on the Cr coated zircaloy or FeCrAl claddings. These results indicate that the use of FeCrAl or a Cr coated zircaloy as cladding in Pressurized Water Reactor and Boiling Water Reactor may increase the survivability of the cladding material for short transients.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

A high-performance lung-inspired ceramic 3D-printed heat exchanger for high-temperature energy-efficient systems

The thermal-to-electric conversion efficiency of next-generation supercritical carbon dioxide and concentrated solar power plants is significantly augmented by operating at temperatures exceeding 1000 °C if durable, compact, high-temperature heat exchangers (HXs) are developed. Whereas metal 3D-printed HXs fail to operate under extreme temperature conditions, ceramic 3D-printed HXs are deemed promising candidates for high-temperature, highly oxidizing environments. Ceramic 3D-printed HXs, however, exhibit a high gas permeability issue through hot and cold separating walls due to an excessive non-volatile photopolymer content utilized. Here, in this work, a novel leak-free lung-inspired ceramic 3D-printed HX employing a highly complex heat transfer topology is introduced for high-temperature energy-efficient systems. The high permeability issue of ceramic 3D-printed HXs is fully eliminated through a uniform zinc-based coating. It was determined that the effective thermal conductivity of the sintered ceramic heat exchangers is affected by the coated layer. The high-temperature thermal and hydraulic characteristics of the lung-inspired ceramic 3D-printed HX are comprehensively examined and compared against a millichannel 3D-printed HX module. Experimental results indicated that the lung-inspired 3D-printed ceramic HX significantly outperforms its millichannel counterpart. The lung-inspired HX shows a volume-based power density of 8.2 MW/m3 at a hot-side inlet air temperature of 700°C, a 71 % improvement compared with that of the millichannel HX. More importantly, the higher thermal duty of the lung-inspired 3D-printed HX is realized at a lower normalized pressure drop penalty of 510 Pa/W, 22 % lower than that of the millichannel ceramic HX. This study accelerates the advancement of high-performance ceramic 3D-printed HXs with complex topologies for high-temperature energy-efficient systems and/or corrosive environments.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermal Analysis of a Solid Particle Light-Trapping Planar Cavity Receiver Using Computational Fluid Dynamics

Concentrated solar power (CSP) is one of the most effective ways of harnessing solar power to create efficient, durable, and resilient energy systems. This study entails thermal modeling and analysis of a novel central tower receiver configuration. This receiver uses solid particles as the heat transfer fluid (HTF), a promising option for third-generation CSP systems. The configuration considered here is the light-trapping planar cavity receiver (LTPCR) introduced by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory. While heat transfer studies of various LTPCR subsystems have been done, system-level thermal analysis of the LTPCR receiver has not been attempted. This study also presents important sensitivity analyses of the operating parameters of the CSP system, which can help guide the design of future central tower receivers. This study employs Ansys Fluent as a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) tool to model fluid dynamics and heat transfer in the receiver, intending to quantify its thermal performance. The model seamlessly integrates Monte Carlo ray tracing data, which generates absorbed solar flux profiles from the heliostat field design, with the heat transfer characteristics of the fluidized particle bed. This unified model is designed to accurately predict the thermal behavior of the LTPCR. Analysis of preliminary results reveals that the primary loss mechanisms are radiative and natural convective losses, in that order. Based on observations from a baseline case, several strategies are suggested and numerically tested. These solutions include selective cooling of high-temperature regions and manipulation of particle bed parameters. Selective cooling of high-temperature regions reduced the peak temperature by 151 degrees C and decreased thermal losses by 0.9%. Improving the particle-wall heat transfer coefficient (P-W HTC) of the particle bed decreased the thermal losses by 1.7% and decreased the peak temperatures by 57 degrees C. Decreasing the particle inlet temperature (PIT) also reduced thermal losses by 3.5% and decreased peak temperatures by 29 degrees C. Compounding these strategies improved the thermal losses of the receiver from 13.5% in the baseline case to 7.5%. Additionally, the study explores the variation in thermal performance across different locations of the receiver, where a variation of thermal losses from 12.9% to 17.3% is found. This allows a comprehensive evaluation of potential improvements in efficiency and temperature management.

computational fluid dynamics↗
DOE OSTI2026

Scaling considerations for supercritical carbon dioxide cycles including turbomachinery loss models

A modeling framework for the supercritical carbon dioxide recompressed closed Brayton cycle was developed. Unlike typical models, this effort incorporated generalized empirical turbomachinery loss models. Aerodynamic, windage, and leakage losses were considered in order to address the limitations of conventional constant-efficiency turbomachinery assumptions without relying on machine-specific or computationally expensive simulations. The model enables system-level exploration of optimal cycle design across a range of power scales, including smaller scales that are relevant to microreactors and extraterrestrial power applications. Parametric studies and multi-objective optimizations are used to evaluate the trade-offs between thermal efficiency and system compactness based on an analytical heat exchanger scaling model, yielding Pareto-optimal fronts across a range of operating pressures. Results reveal that at small power scales, the Pareto-optimal compressor inlet pressure becomes subcritical due to the increasing influence of density-dependent turbomachinery losses. Here, the relative contributions of each loss mechanism are quantified, and design recommendations are provided for key parameters such as recompression split ratio and generator cavity pressure across varying power scales.

Multi-objective optimization↗
DOE OSTI2026

Parametric optimization of PCM-enhanced underground thermal energy storage for buildings in moderate cold climates

This study presents a novel underground thermal energy storage (UTES) system designed for space heating in buildings located in moderate cold climates. The proposed UTES features a borehole with a depth of 25 ft. (7.62 m) and a diameter of 3 ft. (0.91 m), containing two helical pipe loops-one for discharge fluid and another for recharge fluid-and a thermally enhanced phase change material (PCM) layer that provides high energy storage capacity. The system requires daily thermal recharging using a low-grade heat source for a few hours and delivers continuous heating at a nearly constant discharge rate without significant performance degradation over a 24-h period. This study demonstrates that the optimized UTES, when recharged with hot fluid at an inlet temperature of 40 degrees C for 6 h daily, can provide a continuous heat discharge rate of approximately 2.9 kW for 24 h or 3.4 kW if operated under a shorter discharge period of 15 h (17:00-08:00). With a round-trip efficiency of 72-97%, the proposed UTES offers an efficient and reliable solution for short- and long-duration thermal energy storage technology, making it a promising technology for cold climates.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Transient-Response methodology based on experiments and modeling for Cu-Redox Half-Cycle kinetic analysis on a Cu-SSZ-13 SCR catalyst

In this report the Standard SCR reaction catalyzed by Cu-SSZ-13 is a redox process consisting of a reduction half cycle (RHC) and an oxidation half cycle (OHC) that cycle the active Cu sites between the Cu(II) and Cu(I) states. In the current work, a transient-response methodology consisting of experimental transient response Cu-redox (TRCR) measurements and kinetic modeling was developed for detailed study of individual SCR Cu-redox half cycles. The TRCR protocol allows quantification of the reducible Cu density, Cu(II)-Cu(I) partitioning, relative native RHC and OHC rates, and limiting half cycle during SCR. The half-cycle kinetics are studied over a wide (170–450 °C) temperature, and in differential segments along the catalyst length using spatially resolved capillary inlet mass-spectrometry (SpaciMS). The protocol alone provides two independent measures indicating that OHC increases faster than RHC with temperature, and that at all but the lowest temperature SCR is RHC limited. Introducing the transient kinetic models allows half-cycle reaction pathways, orders and activation energies to be studied and determined; e.g., RHC involves surface and gas-phase NH 3 routes, and OHC with O 2 involves dimer formation. Application of the full methodology provides further confirmation and quantification of the protocol conclusions, and specifically the first measurements of RHC and OHC activation energies; specifically for parallel RHC surface and gas-phase routes, and experimentally obtained OHC activation energy vs. first-principle calculations in the literature. Beyond insights related to the degreened catalyst studied here, the methodology provides a broadly available approach for quantifying how aging processes selectively impact RHC and OHC.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Vacuum-assisted carbon molecular sieve membrane reactor for non-oxidative ethane dehydrogenation

Non-oxidative ethane dehydrogenation (EDH) is equilibrium-limited and endothermic. Selective hydrogen removal using a gas-permeable membrane within the EDH reaction zone can overcome the thermodynamic equilibrium, enabling higher ethane conversions. Employing vacuum as the permeation driving force, rather than a sweep gas, enhances the industrial viability of membrane reactors by eliminating additional post-reaction separation units. This study presents a membrane reactor that integrates H 2 -permeable carbon molecular sieve (CMS) hollow fiber membranes embedded in a fixed bed of cobalt in a dealuminated beta zeolite (Co@DeAl-BEA) catalyst, utilizing a vacuum to remove hydrogen efficiently. The CMS membrane exhibits high hydrogen permeance and an excellent H 2 /C 2 H 6 separation factor. The membrane reactor significantly enhanced the ethane conversion under reaction conditions comparable to those reported in the literature. A Langmuir-Hinshelwood kinetic rate expression was developed and incorporated into a one-dimensional steady-state reactor model. The experimentally validated model indicates that increasing the number of hollow fibers improves ethane conversion, although ethane loss to the permeate limits the benefit. The contact area between the catalyst and the membrane limits the reactor performance more than the catalytic throughput. Furthermore, we find that the location of the catalyst packing relative to the hollow fiber membranes influences ethane loss and conversion. Higher reactor pressures and inlet ethane flow rates improve space-time yield at the expense of lower ethane conversion. Increasing reactor temperature or packing length promotes both performance metrics. The EDH membrane reactor demonstrated durability over 200 h of continuous operation, maintaining record-low deactivation rates and high ethylene selectivity. Protocols for catalyst regeneration were developed.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Balanced Fast-SpaciMS capillary configurations provide practically noninvasive channel-average measurements in catalytic monoliths

Spatially resolved capillary-inlet mass spectrometry (SpaciMS) provides a detailed picture of the spatiotemporal evolution of reaction network in catalytic monoliths. In the present work, we combine the SpaciMS experiments with a newly developed non-isothermal 3D CFD model for heterogeneously catalyzed reactive flows, including diffusion and permeation through the coated catalyst and channel wall. We explore how the capillary size and sampling rate can be balanced to minimize the impact on probed-channel conversions and provide species concentration measurements representative of the free channel average. In all studied configurations, the balanced sampling-rate fraction is noticeably higher than the corresponding capillary occlusion fraction. For a typical 350-micron capillary that occupies 11% of the channel cross- section, the balanced sampling rate represents 43% of the channel flow. Furthermore, the present work shows that together, a balanced SpaciMS configuration and numerical simulation provide accurate channel-averaged information of a monolithic catalyst under realistic operation conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning modeling and model predictive control of a closed-circuit reverse osmosis system

Closed-circuit reverse osmosis (CCRO) offers a flexible and energy-efficient alternative to conventional reverse osmosis by operating in a semi-batch mode that recycles brine, enabling higher recovery rates and reduced specific energy consumption (SEC). However, developing accurate, system-level dynamic models for CCRO remains challenging due to its nonlinear, multi-phase operation and sensitivity to variable feed water conditions. Traditional modeling approaches, such as NARMAX (nonlinear autoregressive moving average with exogenous inputs), often struggle to generalize across varying inlet feed concentrations, necessitating frequent parameter re-estimation and limiting their utility for real-time control applications. To address these limitations, we developed a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model trained on an extensive experimental data set from a CCRO pilot plant. The model accepts three inputs, feed flow rate, recirculation flow rate, and initial feed conductivity, and predicts three key outputs: reject conductivity, feed pump power draw, and recirculation pump power draw. We validated the LSTM model against experimental data, demonstrating its ability to distinguish between different feed conductivities and adapt to variable flow rates. Subsequently, we incorporated the LSTM model within a nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) scheme and conducted closed-loop simulations to optimize the integrated SEC (iSEC). In conclusion, the results project up to a 6% reduction in iSEC by using MPC to optimize performance over the entire experiment duration, without requiring any random excitation for data collection or parameter re-estimation.

Desalination↗
DOE OSTI2023

Parameter estimation with maximal updated densities

A recently developed measure-theoretic framework solves a stochastic inverse problem (SIP) for models where uncertainties in model output data are predominantly due to aleatoric (i.e., irreducible) uncertainties in model inputs (i.e., parameters). The subsequent inferential target is a distribution on parameters. Another type of inverse problem is to quantify uncertainties in estimates of “true” parameter values under the assumption that such uncertainties should be reduced as more data are incorporated into the problem, i.e., the uncertainty is considered epistemic. A major contribution of this work is the formulation and solution of such a parameter identification problem (PIP) within the measure-theoretic framework developed for the SIP. The approach is novel in that it utilizes a solution to a stochastic forward problem (SFP) to update an initial density only in the parameter directions informed by the model output data. In other words, this method performs “selective regularization” only in the parameter directions not informed by data. Further, the solution is defined by a maximal updated density (MUD) point where the updated density defines the measure-theoretic solution to the PIP. Another significant contribution of this work is the full theory of existence and uniqueness of MUD points for linear maps with Gaussian distributions. Data-constructed Quantity of Interest (QoI) maps are also presented and analyzed for solving the PIP within this measure-theoretic framework as a means of reducing uncertainties in the MUD estimate. We conclude with a demonstration of the general applicability of the method on two problems involving either spatial or temporal data for estimating uncertain model parameters. The first problem utilizes spatial data from a stationary partial differential equation to produce a MUD estimate of an uncertain boundary condition. The second problem utilizes temporal data obtained from the state-of-the-art ADvanced CIRCulation (ADCIRC) model to obtain a MUD estimate of uncertain wind drag coefficients for a simulated extreme weather event near the Shinnecock Inlet located in the Outer Barrier of Long Island, NY, USA.

42 ENGINEERING↗