Techno-economic optimization of a hybrid energy system with limited grid connection in pursuit of net zero carbon emissions for New Zealand
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Significant progress has been made in the field of thermophotovoltaics, with efficiency recently rising to over 40% due to improvements in cell design and material quality, higher emitter temperatures, and better spectral management. However, inconsistencies in trends for efficiency with semiconductor bandgap energy across various temperatures pose challenges in predicting optimal bandgaps or expected performance for different applications. To address these issues, here we present realistic performance predictions for various types of single-junction cells over a broad range of emitter temperatures using an empirical model based on past cell measurements. Our model is validated using data from different authors with various bandgaps and emitter temperatures, and an excellent agreement is seen between the model and the experimental data. Using our model, we show that in addition to spectral losses, it is important to consider practical electrical losses associated with series resistance and cell quality to avoid overestimation of system efficiency. Here, we also show the effect of modifying various system parameters such as bandgap, above and below-bandgap reflectance, saturation current, and series resistance on the efficiency and power density of thermophotovoltaics at different temperatures. Finally, we predict the bandgap energies for best performance over a range of emitter temperatures for different cell material qualities.
The stretching frequency of the C—O bond is a sensitive probe of the local environment of a surface-bound CO molecule, including the adorption site and density, i.e. surface coverage. In this work, we extend our analysis beyond the frequency shift due to differences in adsorption configurations. Using density functional theory (DFT) calculations, we directly explore the correlations between surface coverage and the stretching frequency of adsorbed CO on Pd surfaces. Here we also perform constant pressure infrared reflection absorption measurements of CO on Pd(111) and use existing relations between pressure and coverage to derive coverage dependency. Both results are compared to previously reported experimental data. Our derived correlations of peak frequency and area with surface coverage can help interpret experimental IR spectra in real time and extract time-dependent concentration data from transient kinetic experiments.
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We benchmark the accuracy of Dunning correlation-consistent Gaussian basis sets for computing frequencydependent second-order hyperpolarizabilities relevant to second-harmonic generation (SHG), using multiresolution analysis (MRA) as a reference. Basis set errors are analyzed using a unit-sphere representation of the effective hyperpolarizability vector, enabling direct assessment of directional error structure. We introduce a relative RMS total error metric that integrates directional deviations over the unit sphere and complement it with signed projection errors that distinguish over- and underestimation. Unsupervised clustering based on these signed directional metrics reveals four distinct convergence behaviors across a set of 68 molecules. Unitsphere visualizations of representative systems show that basis set errors are often highly anisotropic and localized along specific bond directions, even when global error measures appear small. Doubly augmented basis sets consistently outperform singly augmented ones, and core-polarization functions are required for uniform convergence in second-row systems. Overall, this work demonstrates that directional analysis combined with clustering provides a robust framework for understanding basis set convergence in nonlinear optical response properties.
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Here, we present systematic thermal conductivity (κ) measurements of suspended thin graphite ribbons, 234–527 nm thick, using a four-probe 3ω method. Unlike recent reports of phonon hydrodynamics and exceptionally high κ in micrometer-thick graphite ( Science, 2020), we observe significantly lower κ and no signatures of collective phonon flow in this intermediate thickness regime. Instead, our measured κ lies between few-layer graphene and bulk graphite. These results agree with a first-principles-informed Peierls–Boltzmann transport model with spatially resolved Monte Carlo sampling. Additionally, the temperature for the peak κ shifts lower with increasing thickness, due to the interplay of phonon-boundary and phonon-isotope scattering. Incorporating grain boundary scattering into simulations is necessary to replicate the experimental trends. These findings delineate the boundary between ballistic, hydrodynamic, and diffusive transport regimes in graphite and underscore the dominant role of disorder and geometry in phonon transport in quasi-two-dimensional materials, offering insights for nanoscale thermal management.
Hybrid organic-inorganic semiconductors crystallizing in the perovskite structure present a significant opportunity for realizing defect-tolerant semiconductors. In this work, we examine the solid solution, (CH3NH3)1-xCsxSnBr3, and identify the thermochemistry dictating the intrinsic carrier concentrations and how local structural distortions influences this electronic behavior. This family of compounds exhibits the expected systematic trend in decreasing optical gap with the cesium to methylammonium A-site mixing ratio, x, in the visible region. However, the carrier mobility, as determined from time-resolved microwave conductivity measurements, trends opposite to that expected from first-principles calculations combined with Boltzmann scattering theory calculations of the carrier mobility. We propose that this is a result of increasing carrier scattering with x in (CH3NH3)1-xCsxSnBr3 due to a significant increase in the carrier density with x. By examining the dependence of the carrier density as a function of x, we infer the compositional-dependence of the average enthalpy and nonconfigurational entropy per defect. While diffraction reveals a cubic aristotypic perovskite structure as a function of x at room temperature, the pair distribution functions obtained from synchrotron X-ray total scattering from these materials are better described by symmetry-adapted displacement modes of the Pm3m crystal structure, which we attribute to a large degree of anharmonic dynamics of the atom positions. This analysis shows that CH3NH3+-rich compositions retain mostly linear Sn-Br-Sn bonding environments through the displacements, while Cs+-rich compositions lead to more significantly bent Sn-Br-Sn environments. We propose that these bent bonding arrangements in Cs-rich compositions yield a higher propensity for defect formation. This also provides a rationale for carrier trapping that gives rise to anomalous microwave transients. Together, these results provide insight into the structure-dynamics-properties relationships in this highly anharmonic system with high amplitude atomic motions and low defect formation energies.
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Salt hydrates are a promising thermochemical energy storage medium that stores heat through the reversible uptake (hydration) and release (dehydration) of water vapor. Our study deploys operando neutron imaging to investigate salt hydrate performance with high spatial resolution (42 μm pixels). For flow over a packed bed with diffusion-driven transport, measurements reveal the formation of a solid diffusion layer due to particle swelling for the pure SrBr2 salt. In contrast, the SrBr2–vermiculite composite exhibits significantly less swelling and more than a 2-fold increase in the apparent water vapor diffusivity. For axial flow through a packed bed, neutron imaging confirms theoretically predicted transitions from a moving reaction front to a homogeneous profile with an increase in humid air flow rate. Our study establishes neutron imaging as a powerful technique to advance fundamental understanding of thermochemical systems and help guide composite material design.
Machine learning (ML)-assisted Raman spectroscopy has become a powerful analytical tool for the classification and identification of analytes; however, technical challenges impacting its detection accuracy have not been thoroughly investigated. This study explores experimental factors affecting classification performance. Among the evaluated ML models, ML algorithms show minimal impact on classification accuracy. Instead, experimental factors, including spectral similarity between tested samples and data quality, dominate detection performance. Increases in spectral noise and spectral similarity significantly reduce classification accuracy. In well-controlled samples with low experimental noise, ML-assisted Raman spectroscopy can discriminate lipid mixtures with a composition difference of 1.85 mol %. To assess the effect of biological heterogeneity, we analyzed single-cell Raman spectra from Saccharomyces cerevisiae strains carrying single, double, or triple gene mutations. Intrinsic cell-to-cell variability introduced substantial spectral differences, severely reducing the accuracy of multiclass classification of these genetically similar strains at the single-cell level. Averaging Raman spectra across multiple cells improved classification accuracy by reducing this spectral variability. We also assess the effectiveness of transfer learning across different Raman spectrometers, specifically by applying an ML model trained on one instrument to another Raman spectrometer. Transfer learning can be improved with proper instrument calibration, highlighting the importance of instrument standardization. Overall, our results demonstrate that data quality and spectral similarity are the primary bottlenecks in ML-assisted Raman spectroscopy. Careful attention to sample preparation, data acquisition, measurement conditions, and instrument calibration is critical to achieving robust and reliable classification performance.
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Increased aerosol concentrations can brighten low-level clouds and extend their lifetimes, but aerosol–cloud interactions (ACI) remain highly uncertain and difficult to quantify. We show that part of this uncertainty is caused by topographical influences on clouds, that is, those arising from land–water contrasts. This is demonstrated using satellite retrievals in regions with extensive river networks, such as the Amazon Basin. 15 years of MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite data show cloud formation over the Amazon River basin is suppressed by 26% with warm low clouds above the river exhibiting a 22% smaller droplet effective radius and 18% higher droplet concentration ($N_d$) compared to adjacent land clouds. Thus, clouds above the river may appear polluted but are actually influenced by river-breeze circulations driven by the thermal contrast between the river and the surrounding land. These responses are robust in both wet and dry seasons, and tests using an improved MODIS retrieval product show cloud differences are unlikely due to retrieval artifacts. In situ measurements from the Green Ocean Amazon Experiment (GoAmazon) confirm that $N_d$ is elevated above rivers and are also higher when carbon monoxide concentrations are elevated near the large city of Manaus. Lagrangian airmass tracking over Manaus shows that regional-scale river-breeze circulations impact $N_d$ as much as the urban aerosol plume, complicating ACI attribution and highlighting the need to isolate land-surface effects to assess ACI in continental regions.
In the Acknowledgements section of this article the grant number relating to NSF was incorrectly given as DMR 2045826 and should have been DMR-2045826. The original article has been corrected.
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