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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing 2D hydrodynamic flood models through machine learning and urban drainage integration

Two-dimensional hydrodynamic flood models are commonly employed for simulating flood extent and inundation depth. However, the influence of urban drainage network (UDN) is frequently overlooked in these models, potentially compromising their accuracy. Furthermore, the expensive computational costs and longer processing times make them challenging for large-scale hydrodynamic simulation. To address these challenges, this paper develops a machine learning (ML)-driven emulator for an open-source flood model, the Two-dimensional Runoff Inundation Toolkit for Operational Needs (TRITON). A TRITON-ML Emulator (TR-Emulator) that utilizes Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory is developed to capture the spatiotemporal features of flood events based on the outputs from TRITON. We further enhance the emulator by integrating UDN parameters (TR-UDN), such as the flow capacity of drainage pipes, pipe size, and pipe length, via an ML stacking technique to improve the water surface elevation (WSE) simulation. Hurricane Harvey 2017 in Houston, TX is used as the case study. We compare WSE results from TRITON, TR-Emulator, TR-UDN, and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) observations to evaluate the performance of these models. The results indicate that the TR-Emulator effectively replicates the WSE simulated by TRITON. Additionally, TR-UDN performs well in capturing WSE patterns and peak flows, aligning more closely with USGS observations, except in areas with milder slopes where conveyance discrepancies are observed. We further test the generalizability of our ML-based models using another smaller event. This paper shows that the TR-Emulator is effective for users and engineers to emulate a 2D hydrodynamic model, and the enhanced version of the TR-Emulator, TR-UDN, can be an efficient tool for predicting WSEs during urban flooding.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hyperparameter Studies for Vision Transformers Trained on High-Fidelity Simulations

This library is a collection of python modules that define, train, and analyze vision-transformer (ViT) machine learning models. The code implements, with mild modifications, ViT models that have been made publicly available through publication and GitHub code. The training data for these models is hydrodynamic simulation output in the form of numpy arrays. This library contains code to train these ViT models on the hydrodynamic simulation output with a variety of hyperparameters, and to compare the results of such models. Furthermore, the library contains definitions of simple convolutional neural network (CNN) machine learning architectures which can be trained on the same hydrodynamic simulation output. These are included as a reference point to compare the ViT models to. Additionally, the library includes trained ViT and CNN models and example input data for demonstration purposes. The code is based on the PyTorch python library.

Callis, Skylar↗
DOE OSTI2024

Powering Data Centers with Clean Energy: A Techno-Economic Case Study of Nuclear and Renewable Energy Dependability

Rising data demands from artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs) generating images, videos, and text have prompted increased need for larger and more robust data centers in the United States. Major companies interested in these larger data centers face the choice of linking them to existing regional grids, building stand-alone power supplies onsite, or a combination of both. The request, review, and approval process for new transmission lines to grids in the United States, however, has grown in recent years to times spans rivaling those of new construction for nuclear power plants. Building an islanded power supply for each data center is therefore becoming a prominent option. In this case study, several technologies are modeled in techno-economic simulations for long-term system costs subject to fixed electricity demand from a singular data center. A 250 MWe data center is assumed with additional 50 MWe for resiliency. Techno-economic simulations are conducted using the Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) software, which is a part of the Framework for Optimization of Resources and Economics (FORCE) tool suite. Technologies considered include solar, wind, lithium-ion batteries, and several types of nuclear reactors: large-scale reactors, small modular reactors, and microreactors. A low- and high-cost estimate for each technology is assumed to develop a range of expected economic performance. Low-cost estimates included several clean energy production tax credits. Different combinations of renewable energy generators with nuclear reactors are considered, ranging from a fully renewable-powered data center to a fully nuclear-powered data center. Historic time series of wind and solar availability from the Texas grid are used to train a reduced order model; this model then generates unique time series with similar characteristics of the training dataset. Multiple scenarios of weather and subsequent operations are simulated for each renewable-nuclear combination to determine total costs throughout the project lifetime. Fully renewable-powered configurations required large amounts of installed capacity (GW scale) in the simulations to meet the fixed demand of the data center. This is due to some scenarios in the historical dataset which captured low-wind and low-solar days, requiring over-building of these technologies as well as batteries to compensate for the low amounts of electricity generation. Fully nuclear-powered configurations outperformed the fully renewable and mixed renewable-nuclear configurations in terms of cost, with ranges between $1B and $10B in 2023 USDs compared to $40B+ for fully renewable configurations. Of the nuclear technologies, small modular reactors performed better economically than large-scale nuclear models due to lower projected capital costs, and both performed better than the microreactor models. These results demonstrate the applicability of firm, dispatchable electricity resources from baseload generators like nuclear power plants for operating facilities that run at constant power without daily variability.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Role of Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) in Energizing Remote Generating Stations

The increasing integration of Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) into the system has brought significant focus on their role in blackstart and restoration procedures. Their advantageous features, such as low startup power requirements, operational flexibility across a wide range of power factors, rapid controllability, and the ability to energize a network at lower voltage levels necessitate a reassessment of existing restoration protocols. This paper seeks to showcase how IBRs can utilize their grid-forming capabilities to provide power to a remote generating station through detailed EMT simulation studies using data collected from an existing portion of a network.

blackstart procedure↗
DOE OSTI2026

Exploring composition mixing in kilonova ejecta with ray-by-ray simulations

Binary neutron star merger (BNSM) ejecta are considered a primary repository of r-process nucleosynthesis and a source of the observed heavy-element abundances. We implement composition mixing into ray-by-ray radiation-hydrodynamic simulations of BNSM ejecta, coupled with an online nuclear network (NN). We model mixing via a gradient-based mixing approximation that evolves simultaneously with the hydrodynamics. Here, we find that mixing occurs in regions where the electron fraction changes rapidly. While mixing smooths composition gradients in transition regions, it has a negligible impact on the heavy-element yields. This is because the primary r-process site (the equatorial ejecta) is initially homogeneous in free neutrons, leaving no strong gradients for mixing to act upon. In each angular ray, the abundances of the most produced elements are robust under mixing, while the less abundant ones are more affected. The total global abundances change only slightly from mixing, since each angular ray contributes its most abundant elements. Furthermore, the predicted kilonova light curves show only minor reddening, with differences below the detectability of state-of-the-art telescopes. In general, we do not observe significant effects from mixing in the time span of the r-process. Consequently, mixing only leads to minor variations in abundances and light curves in ray-by-ray simulations.

Explosive burning↗
DOE OSTI2024

Equipping Neural Network Surrogates with Uncertainty for Propagation in Physical Systems

Coarse-grained or filtered models typically rely on closure models to account for unresolved scales. For instance, large eddy simulation for modeling turbulent fluid flows explicitly resolves the largest scales, but requires modeling closure terms to account for the sub-filter scales. With the vast amount of data available from high-fidelity simulations, there are unique opportunities to leverage data-driven modeling techniques to formulate expressive and flexible closure models. Despite their flexibility, data-driven models struggle in domain shift settings, i.e. when deployed in configurations not captured in the training dataset. In particular, the efficacy of neural network surrogates is difficult to assess a priori due to the deterministic, point-estimate nature of predictions. In high-consequence applications, such models require reliable uncertainty estimates in the data-informed and out-of-distribution regimes. To quantify uncertainties in both regimes, we employ Bayesian neural networks which are able to capture both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties. We will discuss challenges associated with the training and evaluation of these networks. Furthermore, we will discuss uncertainty embedding strategies to enable efficient sampling and propagation of uncertainty through high-fidelity simulations.

Bayesian neural networks↗
DOE OSTI2025

Motion Dynamics of Motile Microbes in Pore-Networks and its Implications for Reactive Transport Processes

This report outlines new methods to improve simulations of microbial transport and microbially mediated reactions in porous media. A range of experimental, modeling, and machine learning tools are introduced to make these simulations faster, more reliable, and useful for real-world applications. At the microscopic level, the study investigates how different types of bacteria move through confined spaces. A new artificial intelligence tool called DeepTrackStat, is introduced to track motions dynamics as observed in videos of particles migrating through pore networks. This tool is especially helpful for studying fast-moving microbes and requires less computing power than traditional tracking methods. At larger scales, the research looks at how microbes and chemicals interact in zones where surface water and groundwater meet. To connect the small- and large-scale findings, the study presents a neural network model called STAMNet. This tool helps scale up detailed small-scale microbial motion behaviors to predict large-scale environmental changes more efficiently. By combining lab experiments, computer models, and artificial intelligence, the research presented supports smarter environmental decision-making, especially in bioremediation of contaminated groundwater and protection of water quality.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

LES and RANS Spray Combustion Analysis of OME 3-5 and n-Dodecane

Clean-burning oxygenated and synthetic fuels derived from renewable power, so-called e-fuels, are a promising pathway to decarbonize compression–ignition engines. Polyoxymethylene dimethyl ethers (PODEs or OMEs) are one candidate of such fuels with good prospects. Their lack of carbon-to-carbon bonds and high concentration of chemically bound oxygen effectively negate the emergence of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and even their precursors like acetylene (C 2 H 2 ), enabling soot-free combustion without the soot-NO x trade-off common for diesel engines. The differences in the spray combustion process for OMEs and diesel-like reference fuels like n-dodecane and their potential implications on engine applications include discrepancies in the observed ignition delay, the stabilized flame lift-off location, and significant deviations in high-temperature flame morphology. For CFD simulations, the accurate modeling and prediction of these differences between OMEs and n-dodecane proved challenging. This study investigates the spray combustion process of an OME 3 − 5 mixture and n-dodecane with advanced optical diagnostics, Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS), and Large-Eddy Simulations (LESs) within a constant-volume vessel. Cool-flame and high-temperature combustion were measured simultaneously via high-speed (50 kHz) imaging with formaldehyde (CH 2 O) planar laser-induced fluorescence (PLIF) representing the former and line-of-sight OH* chemiluminescence the latter. Both RANS and LES simulations accurately describe the cool-flame development process with the formation of CH 2 O. However, CH 2 O consumption and the onset of high-temperature reactions, signaled by the rise of OH* levels, show significant deviations between RANS, LES, and experiments as well as between n-dodecane and OME. A focus is set on the quality of the simulated results compared to the experimentally observed spatial distribution of OH*, especially in OME fuel-rich regions. The influence of the turbulence modeling is investigated for the two distinct ambient temperatures of 900 K and 1200 K within the Engine Combustion Network Spray A setup. The capabilities and limitations of the RANS simulations are demonstrated with the initial cool-flame propagation and periodic oscillations of CH 2 O formation/consumption during the quasi-steady combustion period captured by the LES.

CFD↗
DOE OSTI2026

Link statistics of dislocation network during strain hardening

Dislocations are line defects in crystals that multiply and self-organize into a complex network during strain hardening. The length of dislocation links, connecting neighboring nodes within this network, contains crucial information about the evolving dislocation microstructure. By analyzing data from Discrete Dislocation Dynamics (DDD) simulations in face-centered cubic (fcc) Cu, we characterize the statistical distribution of link lengths of dislocation networks during strain hardening on individual slip systems. Here, our analysis reveals that link lengths on active slip systems follow a double-exponential distribution, while those on inactive slip systems conform to a single-exponential distribution. The distinctive long tail observed in the double-exponential distribution is attributed to the stress-induced bowing out of long links on active slip systems, a feature that disappears upon removal of the applied stress. We further demonstrate that both observed link length distributions can be explained by extending a one-dimensional Poisson process to include different growth functions. Specifically, the double-exponential distribution emerges when the growth rate for links exceeding a critical length becomes super-linear, which aligns with the physical phenomenon of long links bowing out under stress. This work advances our understanding of dislocation microstructure evolution during strain hardening and elucidates the underlying physical mechanisms governing its formation.

Crystal plasticity↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impacts of Bulk Microphysics Scheme Structural Choices on Simulations of Rain Initiation Through Drop Coalescence

This study examines how different structural choices in bulk microphysics schemes impact the simulation of warm rain initiation. A single liquid category (SLC) approach prognosing up to four moments of a single drop size distribution (DSD) is compared to the traditional two-category, two-moment approach with separate DSDs for cloud and rain (four total prognostic variables). Different methods for calculating tendencies of the prognostic variables from drop collision-coalescence are also tested: a discretized numerical-integration approach, machine learning via neural networks, lookup tables, and traditional power law fits. Relative to simulations using a bin microphysics model, SLC gives smaller error overall than the two-category approach when numerical integration is used to calculate the collision-coalescence tendencies for both. Replacing the numerical integration with a pre-computed lookup table reduces computational cost with little loss of accuracy. However, using fitted power laws with SLC to represent the collision-coalescence tendencies substantially reduces accuracy and leads to an order of magnitude increase in error. It is also demonstrated that with SLC, reasonably accurate solutions are obtained using only three prognostic moments, while a two-moment SLC scheme leads to substantial error. Overall, both the choice of prognostic moments (e.g., SLC vs. two-category) and method to calculate the collision-coalescence tendencies are important to consider for minimizing errors in bulk schemes. SLC with a sufficiently detailed calculation of the collision-coalescence tendencies provides accurate solutions for a reasonable computational cost, providing a viable alternative to the traditional two-category, two-moment approach for bulk microphysics.

320 (cloud physics and chemistry)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Design principles for energy transfer in the photosystem II supercomplex from kinetic transition networks

Photosystem II (PSII) has the unique ability to perform water-splitting. With light-harvesting complexes, it forms the PSII supercomplex (PSII-SC) which is a functional unit that can perform efficient energy conversion, as well as photoprotection, allowing photosynthetic organisms to adapt to the naturally fluctuating sunlight intensity. Achieving these functions requires a collaborative energy transfer network between all subunits of the PSII-SC. In this work, we perform kinetic analyses and characterise the energy landscape of the PSII-SC with a structure-based energy transfer model. With first passage time analyses and kinetic Monte Carlo simulations, we are able to map out the overall energy transfer network. We also investigate how energy transfer pathways are affected when individual protein complexes are removed from the network, revealing the functional roles of the subunits of the PSII-SC. In addition, we provide a quantitative description of the flat energy landscape of the PSII-SC. We show that it is a unique landscape that produces multiple kinetically relevant pathways, corresponding to a high pathway entropy. These design principles are crucial for balancing efficient energy conversion and photoprotection.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

ELM‐MOSART‐DOC: A Large‐Scale Riverine Dissolved Organic Carbon Model and Its Application Over the United States

Riverine dissolved organic carbon (DOC), primarily sourced from soil organic carbon (SOC), plays a crucial role in regional and global carbon cycles. However, the complexities of the underlying mechanisms and limited observations present significant challenges for predictive understanding of DOC at regional or larger scales. Recently, we developed a machine learning‐based (ML) map of DOC transformation rates, bridging the gap between SOC and DOC leaching flux and simplifying terrestrial DOC representation. Building on this advancement, we introduce ELM‐MOSART‐DOC, a DOC module integrated into the riverine component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM)—the Model for Scale Adaptive River Transport (MOSART). ELM‐MOSART‐DOC simulates DOC transport and transformation across both headwater streams and river networks, including those managed. Model validation demonstrates the ability of ELM‐MOSART‐DOC to accurately capture long‐term average DOC concentrations, with Kling‐Gupta Efficiency (KGE) scores of 0.58 and 0.76 at large and local stations, respectively. We further assess the impact of reservoirs through different simulation schemes, revealing that reservoirs significantly alter DOC fluxes by regulating streamflow patterns and promoting DOC mineralization. Model simulations indicate that reservoirs reduce total DOC flux from the Mississippi River into the ocean by 7.5%, with the long‐term average annual export decreasing from 3.34 to 3.14 teragrams (Tg) per year. ELM‐MOSART‐DOC integrates process‐based modeling with ML parameterization to enhance the predictive understanding of riverine biogeochemical processes. This approach reduces uncertainties in modeling regional and global carbon cycle ESMs and provides new insights into carbon cycling and its implications for global environmental change.

Li, Lingbo [Univ. of Houston, TX (United States); ↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine Learning Aided Modeling of Granular Materials: A Review

Artificial intelligence (AI) has become a buzzy word since Google’s AlphaGo beat a world champion in 2017. In the past five years, machine learning as a subset of the broader category of AI has obtained considerable attention in the research community of granular materials. This work offers a detailed review of the recent advances in machine learning-aided studies of granular materials from the particle-particle interaction at the grain level to the macroscopic simulations of granular flow. This work will start with the application of machine learning in the microscopic particle-particle interaction and associated contact models. Then, different neural networks for learning the constitutive behaviour of granular materials will be reviewed and compared. Finally, the macroscopic simulations of practical engineering or boundary value problems based on the combination of neural networks and numerical methods are discussed. We hope readers will have a clear idea of the development of machine learning-aided modelling of granular materials via this comprehensive review work.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Emulator-Based Bayesian Calibration of the CISNET Colorectal Cancer Models

Purpose To calibrate Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET)'s SimCRC, MISCAN-Colon, and CRC-SPIN simulation models of the natural history colorectal cancer (CRC) with an emulator-based Bayesian algorithm and internally validate the model-predicted outcomes to calibration targets.Methods We used Latin hypercube sampling to sample up to 50,000 parameter sets for each CISNET-CRC model and generated the corresponding outputs. We trained multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks (ANNs) as emulators using the input and output samples for each CISNET-CRC model. We selected ANN structures with corresponding hyperparameters (i.e., number of hidden layers, nodes, activation functions, epochs, and optimizer) that minimize the predicted mean square error on the validation sample. We implemented the ANN emulators in a probabilistic programming language and calibrated the input parameters with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-based algorithms to obtain the joint posterior distributions of the CISNET-CRC models' parameters. We internally validated each calibrated emulator by comparing the model-predicted posterior outputs against the calibration targets.Results The optimal ANN for SimCRC had 4 hidden layers and 360 hidden nodes, MISCAN-Colon had 4 hidden layers and 114 hidden nodes, and CRC-SPIN had 1 hidden layer and 140 hidden nodes. The total time for training and calibrating the emulators was 7.3, 4.0, and 0.66 h for SimCRC, MISCAN-Colon, and CRC-SPIN, respectively. The mean of the model-predicted outputs fell within the 95% confidence intervals of the calibration targets in 98 of 110 for SimCRC, 65 of 93 for MISCAN, and 31 of 41 targets for CRC-SPIN.Conclusions Using ANN emulators is a practical solution to reduce the computational burden and complexity for Bayesian calibration of individual-level simulation models used for policy analysis, such as the CISNET CRC models. In this work, we present a step-by-step guide to constructing emulators for calibrating 3 realistic CRC individual-level models using a Bayesian approach.

artificial neural networks↗
DOE OSTI2025

Accelerating computational fluid dynamics simulation of post-combustion carbon capture modeling with MeshGraphNets

Packed columns are commonly used in post-combustion processes to capture CO 2 emissions by providing enhanced contact area between a CO 2 -laden gas and CO 2 -absorbing solvent. To study and optimize solvent-based post-combustion carbon capture systems (CCSs), computational fluid dynamics (CFD) can be used to model the liquid–gas countercurrent flow hydrodynamics in these columns and derive key determinants of CO 2 -capture efficiency. However, the large design space of these systems hinders the application of CFD for design optimization due to its high computational cost. In contrast, data-driven modeling approaches can produce fast surrogates to study large-scale physics problems. We build our surrogates using MeshGraphNets (MGN), a graph neural network framework that efficiently learns and produces mesh-based simulations. We apply MGN to a random packed column modeled with over 160K graph nodes and a design space consisting of three key input parameters: solvent surface tension, inlet velocity, and contact angle. Our models can adapt to a wide range of these parameters and accurately predict the complex interactions within the system at rates over 1700 times faster than CFD, affirming its practicality in downstream design optimization tasks. This underscores the robustness and versatility of MGN in modeling complex fluid dynamics for large-scale CCS analyses.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Michel Electron Selection with SPINE for DUNE Far Detector Simulation

Michel electrons are a valuable input for particle detector calibration due to their consistent kinetic energy distribution. This report details the evaluation of a Michel electron identification method's application to simulated data from the DUNE (Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment) far detector. This method, which relies on the neural network-based particle classification software SPINE (Scalable Particle Imaging with Neural Embeddings), was developed and calibrated using simulated data for the SBND (Short-Baseline Neutrino Detector) experiment before being applied to simulated DUNE data from a 1x2x6 subset of far detector modules.

Wilson, Dante [Colorado State U.]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Influence of Rigidity–Hydration Coupling on Size-Dependent Diffusion in Hydrated Polymer Membranes

Selective ion transport in polymer membranes depends critically on how penetrant motion couples to polymer dynamics and hydration. Yet, the mechanistic interplay between polymer rigidity, water content, and penetrant size remains poorly understood, especially in the regime where the penetrant diameter, polymer Kuhn length, and correlation length are comparable. Here, we employ coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations to systematically investigate penetrant diffusion in hydrated polymer networks across a broad range of water volume fractions, chain rigidities, and penetrant sizes. The results reveal a transition from a decoupled regime, where small penetrants diffuse nearly independently of polymer relaxation, to a coupled regime in which large penetrants require cooperative polymer motion for transport. Increasing polymer rigidity amplifies the sensitivity of diffusivity to hydration, particularly at low water content, leading to pronounced deviations from Stokes−Einstein scaling. Comparison with scaling theories and free-volume models shows that classical nanoparticle-based frameworks fail to capture this intermediate regime. To address this gap, we extend the Yasuda model to incorporate polymer rigidity through a single parameter that quantifies the dynamic contribution of chain stiffness to free-volume fluctuations. The resulting model collapses diffusivity data across all sizes, water contents, and rigidities, providing a unified description of penetrant transport in hydrated polymer matrices. Furthermore, these findings establish polymer rigidity as a key, tunable determinant of diffusion and offer a framework for interpreting size-dependent transport in ion-selective membranes.

diffusion↗
DOE OSTI2025

From Nonclassical to Classical: Crystallization Seeds Reshape Nucleation Mechanisms

Crystalline seeds are widely employed in crystallization to accelerate nucleation and control product polymorphs; yet, their impact on nucleation mechanisms remains poorly understood. While homogeneous nucleation of crystals from solution often proceeds through nonclassical pathways involving amorphous intermediates, it is unclear how seeds that promote heterogeneous nucleation reshape these mechanisms and govern polymorph selection. Here, in this study, we provide the first direct evidence that crystalline seeds can bypass the need for amorphous intermediates as nucleation sites, converting nonclassical nucleation mechanisms into classical, monomer-by-monomer crystallization pathways. Using molecular dynamics simulations of zeolite synthesis, we uncover a complex reaction network of competing nucleation processes mediated by intermediate interfacial polymorphs. The interplay between thermodynamic stability and kinetic favorability of these interfacial polymorphs dictates nucleation outcomes, creating a dynamic balance between the interfacial polymorph stability and crystallization rates. Furthermore, we show that the synthesis environment-whether monomers or aggregates serve as reactants-profoundly impacts these pathways. At moderate supersaturation, seeds eliminate amorphous intermediates and promote classical nucleation, whereas high supersaturation or aggregate-based reactants favor nonclassical pathways, even in the presence of seeds. These findings establish a general framework for understanding how seeds govern crystallization mechanisms, with broad implications for controlling nucleation kinetics, polymorph selection, and material properties. While focused on zeolites, this work reveals insights that may be applicable to biominerals, pharmaceuticals, functional materials, and catalysts, providing a basis for engineering crystallization pathways in diverse applications.

Chu-Jon, Carlos [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT↗