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At least 343 records · Page 19

Innovative Extension of the EDF Inventory Methodology for Irradiated Graphite Sleeves - 16084

About 17,000 t of EDF irradiated graphite wastes will be produced from the decommissioning of the six French gas-cooled nuclear reactors. Determining the radionuclide content of this graphite is of capital importance for safety purposes and in order to determine the best way to manage them. A method using an identification calculation-measurement process has been proposed in order to assess a radiological inventory as precise as possible and has been validated by ANDRA, the French governmental radioactive waste management agency and by IRSN, the technical support of the French nuclear safety authority. As presented at WM2013, this method is based on (a) radionuclide measurements from sufficient samples from a statistical point of view and (b) activation coefficients calculated from the neutron flux histories of the measured samples. For that purpose, it is important to know the precise location of each measured graphite sample, which is easy with pile sampling. About 2,000 t of EDF irradiated graphite is composed of sleeves which contained fuel cartridges and they have been stored in silos of St-Laurent site. The general method needs to know the precise history including neutron flux of any sampled sleeve. As there is no possibility to individually identify sleeves, such a requirement on sleeves in a silo is impossible. The paper presents both the general method for piles and an innovative way to replace that knowledge for long lived radionuclide of irradiated sleeves. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Bootstrap performance profiles in stochastic algorithms assessment

Optimization with stochastic algorithms has become a relevant research field. Due to its stochastic nature, its assessment is not straightforward and involves integrating accuracy and precision. Performance profiles for the mean do not show the trade-off between accuracy and precision, and parametric stochastic profiles require strong distributional assumptions and are limited to the mean performance for a large number of runs. In this work, bootstrap performance profiles are used to compare stochastic algorithms for different statistics. This technique allows the estimation of the sampling distribution of almost any statistic even with small samples. Multiple comparison profiles are presented for more than two algorithms. The advantages and drawbacks of each assessment methodology are discussed.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

THE OPTICALLY UNBIASED GAMMA-RAY BURST HOST (TOUGH) SURVEY. I. SURVEY DESIGN AND CATALOGS

Long-duration gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are powerful tracers of star-forming galaxies. We have defined a homogeneous subsample of 69 Swift GRB-selected galaxies spanning a very wide redshift range. Special attention has been devoted to making the sample optically unbiased through simple and well-defined selection criteria based on the high-energy properties of the bursts and their positions on the sky. Thanks to our extensive follow-up observations, this sample has now achieved a comparatively high degree of redshift completeness, and thus provides a legacy sample, useful for statistical studies of GRBs and their host galaxies. In this paper, we present the survey design and summarize the results of our observing program conducted at the ESO Very Large Telescope (VLT) aimed at obtaining the most basic properties of galaxies in this sample, including a catalog of R and K{sub s} magnitudes and redshifts. We detect the host galaxies for 80% of the GRBs in the sample, although only 42% have K{sub s} -band detections, which confirms that GRB-selected host galaxies are generally blue. The sample is not uniformly blue, however, with two extremely red objects detected. Moreover, galaxies hosting GRBs with no optical/NIR afterglows, whose identification therefore relies on X-ray localizations, are significantly brighter and redder than those with an optical/NIR afterglow. This supports a scenario where GRBs occurring in more massive and dusty galaxies frequently suffer high optical obscuration. Our spectroscopic campaign has resulted in 77% now having redshift measurements, with a median redshift of 2.14 {+-} 0.18. TOUGH alone includes 17 detected z > 2 Swift GRB host galaxies suitable for individual and statistical studies-a substantial increase over previous samples. Seven hosts have detections of the Ly{alpha} emission line and we can exclude an early indication that Ly{alpha} emission is ubiquitous among GRB hosts, but confirm that Ly{alpha} is stronger in GRB-selected galaxies than in flux-limited samples of Lyman break galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

ACTINIDE AND ULTRA-HEAVY ABUNDANCES IN THE LOCAL GALACTIC COSMIC RAYS: AN ANALYSIS OF THE RESULTS FROM THE LDEF ULTRA-HEAVY COSMIC-RAY EXPERIMENT

The LDEF Ultra-Heavy Cosmic-Ray Experiment (UHCRE) detected Galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) of charge Z {>=} 70 in Earth orbit with an exposure factor of 170 m{sup 2} sr yr, much larger than any other experiment. The major results include the first statistically significant uniform sample of GCR actinides with 35 events passing quality cuts, evidence for the existence of transuranic nuclei in the GCR with one {sub 96}Cm candidate event, and a low {sub 82}Pb/{sub 78}Pt ratio consistent with other experiments. The probability of the existence of a transuranic component is estimated as 96%, while the most likely {sub 92}U/{sub 90}Th ratio is found to be 0.4 within a wide 70% confidence interval ranging from 0 to 0.96. Overall, the results are consistent with a volatility-based acceleration bias and source material which is mainly ordinary interstellar medium material with some recent contamination by freshly synthesized material. Uncertainty in the key {sub 92}U/{sub 90}Th ratio is dominated by statistical errors resulting from the small sample size and any improved determination will thus require an experiment with a substantially larger exposure factor than the UHCRE.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Novel Earned Value Management System Maturity Framework and Its Relation to Project Performance

Earned value management systems (EVMS) are used by industry practitioners to successfully manage projects and programs; however, there has been no past study to characterize and evaluate the impact of EVMS maturity on project performance. This paper introduces a novel framework, developed to measure the EVMS maturity, composed of 56 attributes arrayed across ten subprocesses, which together make up an integrated project/program management system. This paper describes how the framework was conceived and developed, based on literature review and data collected from industry workshops. Then, it examines the relationship between EVMS maturity and ten project performance metrics through statistical analyses. The study analyzed project data from 35 projects and programs worth over $21.8 billion in total cost. For this sample, results showed statistically significant differences between projects with high and low EVMS maturity; on average, projects exhibiting high EVMS maturity have 54% less cost overruns and 19% less change orders versus their performance measurement baseline. Higher maturity projects and programs also achieve better customer satisfaction, meet business objectives more often, and are more often in compliance with EVMS standards and guidelines. This paper contributes to the body of knowledge by providing a practical and novel framework for assessing the maturity of earned value management systems. Practitioners can use the framework to improve their integrated project and program management.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Updated Radiological Inventory of G1 Reactor Thanks to a Strengthened Data Processing - 17271

The radiological inventory of G1 reactor is under refinement and consolidation. This reactor, located at the CEA Marcoule center in France, presents an issue for Chlorine-36 as graphite was used as moderator. The improvement of the 3D physical description and a better understanding of historical events enable the computation of activation levels thanks to a numerical model. These results are compared to old samples and more recent ones to quantify nuclide activity levels as well as their spatial distributions. In particular a spatial and statistical correction of sample bias leads to an update of the radiological inventory with an expected reduction of average activity levels. Another part of the work consists in identifying missing pieces of information and still uncertain parts of the reactor (sample analysis of activated concrete for instance) to reinforce the radiological inventory of G1 reactor. This will be the basis of future investigation works. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Effect of void positioning on the detonation sensitivity of a heterogeneous energetic material

We show although it is well-established that voids profoundly influence the initiation and reaction behaviors of heterogeneous energetic materials such as polymer-bonded explosives (PBX) and propellants, there has been little study of how void location in different constituents in the microstructures of such materials affect the macroscale behavior. Here, we use three-dimensional (3D) mesoscale simulations to study how void placement within the reactive grains versus the polymer binder influences the shock-to-detonation transition (SDT) in a polymer-bonded explosive. The material studied here has a microstructure comprised of 75% PETN (pentaerythritol tetranitrate) grains and 25% HTPB (hydroxyl-terminated polybutadiene) polymer binder by volume. Porosities up to 10% in the form of spherical voids distributed in both the grains and polymer are considered. An Arrhenius reactive burn relation is used to model the chemical kinetics of the PETN grains under shock loading, thereby resolving the heterogeneous detonation behavior of the PBX. The influence of void location on the shock initiation sensitivity of the material is quantitatively ranked by comparing the predicted run distance to detonation (RDD) for each sample. The analysis includes inherent quantification of uncertainties arising from the stochastic variations in the microstructure morphologies and void distributions by using statistically equivalent microstructure sample sets (SEMSS), leading to probabilistic formulations for the RDD as a function of shock pressure. The calculations reveal that the location of voids in the composite microstructure significantly affects the RDD. Specifically, voids exclusively within the grains cause the PBX to be more sensitive (having shorter RDD) than voids in the polymer binder. Unique probabilistic relationships are derived to map the probability of observing RDD for each void location material case, allowing for prediction of initiation behavior anywhere in the shock pressure – RDD space. These findings agree with trends reported in the literature.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Bridging the length scales on mechanical property evaluation (Final Report)

The development of small-scale mechanical testing in combination with microstructural investigation is of great interest to the nuclear materials community for both materials development and monitoring applications. Dramatically reducing the sample sizes to reduce radioactivity and obtaining mechanical properties of irradiated samples is truly intriguing. Moreover, such studies promise a range of benefits including cost reduction, fundamental insight in structure-property relationships, increased statistics on less sample material, and reinvestigation of prior irradiated and tested reactor samples while simultaneously enabling the generation of mechanical test data on ion beam irradiated materials with limited penetration depths. Small scale materials testing on sub-sized samples has been studied for several decades, though it has only been after the development of micro-testing based on Focused Ion Beam (FIB) sample manufacturing in that orders of magnitude smaller samples could really be investigated in a quantitative manner. In recent years, small scale mechanical testing techniques at a number of length scales has been developed for both unirradiated and irradiated (ion and neutron) materials. Technological advances made in this field have enabled ex-situ and in-situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) examination, thus leading to more accurate measurements as well as additional mechanistic information. A recent review of the benefits of these techniques show that these techniques are at a stage to tackle multi-scale ranges of materials investigations and can be utilized to obtain fundamental science-based understanding of nuclear materials. Considering the tremendous advances made, one can see how small-scale mechanical testing techniques combined with modeling can enable true small scale to bulk scale mechanical property correlations. However, for the engineering community to adapt this approach fully, one needs to demonstrate that a) that these techniques can produce results with high fidelity and reproducibility, b) generate engineering stress-strain data that one can utilize to understand bulk behavior, and c) generate new insight into relevant phenomena fostering the true understanding of radiation damage and microstructure in materials for nuclear applications. It is the objective of this proposal to bridge the length scale between macro- and micro- scale mechanical testing of unirradiated and irradiated materials. This involves the development and demonstration of procedures for multi-scale mechanical testing that enable high fidelity reproducibility of data and the generation bulk property data from small-scale mechanical tests. Through this, the proposal aims to enhance the confidence in the obtained data at the smaller length scales and enhance the insight provided from these techniques for bulk scale applications on both unirradiated and irradiated materials.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves to Optimize Discovery-Based Software with Comprehensive Two-Dimensional Gas Chromatography with Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometry

We report a quantitative approach to optimize implementation of discovery-based software for comprehensive two-dimensional gas chromatography coupled with time-of-flight mass spectrometry (GC × GC – TOFMS). The software performs a tile-based Fisher ratio (F-ratio) analysis, and facilitates a supervised non-targeted analysis based upon the experimental design to aid in the discovery of analytes whose variances are statistically different between sample classes. The quantitative approach for software optimization uses receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The area under the curve (AUC) of each ROC curve serves as a quantitative metric to optimize two key algorithm parameters: the signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) threshold of the baseline corrected and normalized data prior to calculating F-ratios at each m/z mass channel, and the number of these F-ratios per m/z to include in the calculation of the average F-ratio of a tile. A total of 25 combinations of S/N threshold by number of m/z were studied. Fifty analytes were spiked into a diesel fuel at two concentration spike levels to produce two sample classes that should in principle produce 50 positive instances in the ROC curves (30 native/20 non-native compounds, at spike levels of 200/20 and100/10 ppm native/non-native, respectively). The “sweet spot” for F-ratio analysis was determined to be a S/N threshold of 10 coupled with a maximum of the 10 most chemically selective m/z (requiring a minimum of 3 m/z), corresponding to a ~ 21% improvement in the discovery rate of true positives relative to prior studies. Furthermore, it was observed that optimization of these software parameters did not depend upon a priori determination of the statistically correct number of positive instances in the sample classes. The AUC metric appears to be suitable for the evaluation of all data analysis methods that utilize the proper experimental design.

3D-GS/TOFMS, Data discovery, ROC curves, Fisher ra↗

Covariance matrices for variance-suppressed simulations

ABSTRACT Cosmological N-body simulations provide numerical predictions of the structure of the Universe against which to compare data from ongoing and future surveys, but the growing volume of the Universe mapped by surveys requires correspondingly lower statistical uncertainties in simulations, usually achieved by increasing simulation sizes at the expense of computational power. It was recently proposed to reduce simulation variance without incurring additional computational costs by adopting fixed-amplitude initial conditions. This method has been demonstrated not to introduce bias in various statistics, including the two-point statistics of galaxy samples typically used for extracting cosmological parameters from galaxy redshift survey data, but requires us to revisit current methods for estimating covariance matrices of clustering statistics for simulations. In this work, we find that it is not trivial to construct covariance matrices analytically for fixed-amplitude simulations, but we demonstrate that ezmock (Effective Zel’dovich approximation mock catalogue), the most efficient method for constructing mock catalogues with accurate two- and three-point statistics, provides reasonable covariance matrix estimates for such simulations. We further examine how the variance suppression obtained by amplitude-fixing depends on three-point clustering, small-scale clustering, and galaxy bias, and propose intuitive explanations for the effects we observe based on the ezmock bias model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

RCT: Module 2.03, Counting Errors and Statistics, Course 8768

Radiological sample analysis involves the observation of a random process that may or may not occur and an estimation of the amount of radioactive material present based on that observation. Across the country, radiological control personnel are using the activity measurements to make decisions that may affect the health and safety of workers at those facilities and their surrounding environments. This course will present an overview of measurement processes, a statistical evaluation of both measurements and equipment performance, and some actions to take to minimize the sources of error in count room operations. This course will prepare the student with the skills necessary for radiological control technician (RCT) qualification by passing quizzes, tests, and the RCT Comprehensive Phase 1, Unit 2 Examination (TEST 27566) and by providing in the field skills.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

TU-EF-204-07: Add Tube Current Modulation to a Low Dose Simulation Tool for CT Systems

Purpose: We extended the capabilities of a low dose simulation tool to model Tube-Current Modulation (TCM). TCM is widely used in clinical practice to reduce radiation dose in CT scans. We expect the tool to be valuable for various clinical applications (e.g., optimize protocols, compare reconstruction techniques and evaluate TCM methods). Methods: The tube current is input as a function of z location, instead of a fixed value. Starting from the line integrals of a scan, a new Poisson noise realization at a lower dose is generated for each view. To validate the new functionality, we compared simulated scans with real scans in image space. Results: First we assessed noise in the difference between the low-dose simulations and the original high-dose scan. When the simulated tube current is a step function of z location, the noise at each segment matches the noise of 3 separate constant-tube-current-simulations. Secondly, with a phantom that forces TCM, we compared a low-dose simulation with an equivalent real low-dose scan. The mean CT number of the simulated scan and the real low-dose scan were 137.7±0.6 and 137.8±0.5 respectively. Furthermore, with 240 ROIs, the noise of the simulated scan and the real low-dose scan were 24.03±0.45 and 23.99±0.43 respectively, and they were not statistically different (2-sample t-test, p-value=0.28). The facts that the noise reflected the trend of the TCM curve, and that the absolute noise measurements were not statistically different validated the TCM function. Conclusion: We successfully added tube-current modulation functionality in an existing low dose simulation tool. We demonstrated that the noise reflected an input tube-current modulation curve. In addition, we verified that the noise and mean CT number of our simulation agreed with a real low dose scan. The authors are all employees of Philips. Yijun Ding is also supported by NIBIB P41EB002035 and NIBIB R01EB000803.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

SSGUI v1.0

SSGUI is a web-based application that integrates the integrative genomics browser (IGV) with upstream alignment pipelines enabling rapid analysis of a batch of next-generation sequencing (NGS) samples. The input to SSGUI is an NGS file system directory that is organized by experiment and reference sequence. The output is an online dashboard containing various sequencing statistics for each sample and an integrated IGV plugin enabling rapid analysis of aligned NGS reads.

Kulawik, Mark↗

Stochastic nonlinear analysis of unidirectional fiber composites using image-based microstructural uncertainty quantification

Here, we present a data-driven nonlinear uncertainty quantification and propagation framework to study the microstructure-induced stochastic performance of unidirectional (UD) carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) composites. The proposed approach integrates (1) microscopic image characterization, (2) stochastic microstructure reconstruction, and (3) efficient multiscale finite element simulations enabled by self-consistent clustering (SCA) analysis. To model the complex microstructural variability, the proposed UQ methods take the non-Gaussian uncertainty sources into account through a distribution-free sampling approach leveraging nonparametric and asymptotic statistical tools. A hierarchical conditional sampling strategy enables the simultaneous sampling of multiple sources of uncertainties. Our approach provides insights into the impact of microstructural variabilities, which are shown to have an increasing impact on the nonlinear responses of UD CFRP parts under progressive compression loading and ultimately on the failure rate over time. We discover that before CFRP parts start to fail, a characteristic time period emerges with distinctive uncertainty distributions specific to the microstructure variability and the probability of failure. Identifying the failure time period is crucial to the reliability prediction, which is an essential component of CFRP design.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multi-level methods and approximating distribution functions

Biochemical reaction networks are often modelled using discrete-state, continuous-time Markov chains. System statistics of these Markov chains usually cannot be calculated analytically and therefore estimates must be generated via simulation techniques. There is a well documented class of simulation techniques known as exact stochastic simulation algorithms, an example of which is Gillespie’s direct method. These algorithms often come with high computational costs, therefore approximate stochastic simulation algorithms such as the tau-leap method are used. However, in order to minimise the bias in the estimates generated using them, a relatively small value of tau is needed, rendering the computational costs comparable to Gillespie’s direct method. The multi-level Monte Carlo method (Anderson and Higham, Multiscale Model. Simul. 10:146–179, 2012) provides a reduction in computational costs whilst minimising or even eliminating the bias in the estimates of system statistics. This is achieved by first crudely approximating required statistics with many sample paths of low accuracy. Then correction terms are added until a required level of accuracy is reached. Recent literature has primarily focussed on implementing the multi-level method efficiently to estimate a single system statistic. However, it is clearly also of interest to be able to approximate entire probability distributions of species counts. We present two novel methods that combine known techniques for distribution reconstruction with the multi-level method. We demonstrate the potential of our methods using a number of examples.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

An efficient algorithm for generating diverse microstructure sets and delineating properties closures

Properties closures delineate the theoretical objective space for materials design problems, allowing designers to make informed trade-offs between competing constraints and target properties. In this paper, we present a new algorithm called hierarchical simplex sampling (HSS) that approximates properties closures more efficiently and faithfully than traditional optimization based approaches. By construction, HSS generates samples of microstructure statistics that span the corresponding microstructure hull. As a result, we also find that HSS can be coupled with synthetic polycrystal generation software to generate diverse sets of microstructures for subsequent mesoscale simulations. Finally, by more broadly sampling the space of possible microstructures, it is anticipated that such diverse microstructure sets will expand our understanding of the influence of microstructure on macroscale effective properties and inform the construction of higher-fidelity mesoscale structure-property models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Methylmercury and Ethylmercury Analytical Performance in SRR Samples Measured by SRNL and Eurofins Frontier Global Sciences

Existing models and simulants of tank disposition media at the Savannah River Site (SRS) have presumed the presence of high concentrations of inorganic mercury. However, quarterly Tank 50 analyses have shown that mercury is present as organomercurial species at concentrations that may present challenges to its remediation and disposition and may challenge the Waste Acceptance Criteria (WAC) for Saltstone. Todate, methylmercury analyses for Savannah River Remediation (SRR) have been performed at an off-site laboratory by Eurofins Frontier Global Sciences (FGS) in Bothell, WA. Savannah River Remediation requested the development of methylmercury and ethylmercury determination capabilities at the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) to support the Liquid Waste Operations at SRS. As part of that method development, SRR requested that SRNL Analytical Development (AD) compare their results with those obtained from their outside contract laboratory, Eurofins FGS. This document reports on this method development work as well as the comparative analyses conducted between the two laboratories. A series of optimization and validation experiments has been performed at SRNL, which has resulted in the development of on-site methylmercury and ethylmercury speciation capabilities using purge and trap (P&T) gas chromatography (GC) coupled with thermal desorption (TD) cold vapor – atomic fluorescence spectroscopy (CVAFS). Speciation has been achieved for both species, with a methylmercury method reporting limit (MRL) value of 1.13 pg and an overall uncertainty (1σ) of 5.1%. An ethylmercury MRL of 11.5 pg and an overall uncertainty (1σ) of 4.8% were obtained. These analytical parameters compare favorably with Eurofins FGS, which demonstrates uncertainties (1σ) for methylmercury and ethylmercury of 13% and 9.1%, respectively. Results obtained by SRNL from the routine analysis of Tanks 21, 40, 50, and 51 samples have provided statistically indistinguishable results compared with Eurofins FGS. Based upon the work performed by SRNL-AD and the data currently available, the following recommendations can be made: Further work should be performed to determine a “best practices” for sample holding time prior to analysis (both preserved and non-preserved samples), as well as any detrimental effects sample age may have on data quality. Analysis of ethylmercury is only recommended for tank samples that are reasonably expected to have significant quantities of ethylmercury, such as from the DWPF SMECT. Trace levels of ethylmercury in the presence of large quantities of methylmercury can be difficult or impossible to quantify. SRNL-AD development of methods for total mercury, purgeable mercury (which includes Hg(0) and dimethylmercury), inorganic mercury (Hg(I) and Hg(II)), dissolved mercury, and particulate mercury are underway and will be reported upon separately.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Three-dimensional microstructure-explicit and void-explicit mesoscale simulations of detonation of HMX at millimeter sample size scale

Fully three-dimensional (3D) microstructure-explicit and void-explicit mesoscale simulations of the shock-to-detonation (SDT) process of pressed granular HMX (octahydro-1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazocine) are performed. The overall size scale of the models is up to 3 × 3 × 15 mm3, with ∼30 000 grains and 206 265 voids. The models account for the heterogeneous material microstructure, constituent distribution, constituent morphology, and voids. Loading conditions considered involve piston velocities in the range of 600–1200 m/s or pressures in the range of 4–8 GPa. The focus is on analyzing the SDT process and the effects of microstructure and voids on the run-to-detonation distance (RDD). Companion two-dimensional (2D) simulations are also carried out to assess the differences between 2D and 3D. Statistically equivalent microstructure sample sets (SEMSSs) are generated and used for both 2D and 3D, allowing the prediction of the statistical and probabilistic Pop plots (PPs). The predictions are in general agreement with trends in available experimental data in the literature. It is found that both the microstructure (heterogeneous grain size, morphology, and size distribution) and voids significantly affect the RDD and the PPs. These effects are systematically delineated and quantified via the use of SEMSSs with different combinations of attributes. A recently developed probabilistic formulation for the PPs is used to characterize the results, allowing uncertainties in the relations between the shock pressure and RDD arising from material heterogeneities to be quantified. The probabilistic formulation is further used to quantify the confidence levels in the ranked order of influences of different combinations of microstructure and voids on the PPs.

Miller, Christopher (ORCID:0000000206844381)↗