The Program of Record (PoR) for Aerosols and Clouds in the ACCP Era
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The NASA Aerosol, Clouds, Convection and Precipitation (ACCP) Study convened a workshop in November 2020 to understand the future of modeling aerosols, clouds, convection and precipitation, and how satellite data can contribute to that future. ACCP is a project to define a satellite mission to be launched late in the 2020’s to advance cloud and aerosol science, following the recommendations of the latest NASA Decadal Survey. The ACCP modeling workshop goal was to answer the following questions: 1. What will be the critical science questions for clouds and aerosols in 10 years? 2. Where will simulations of clouds and aerosols across scales of space (process models to global) and time (nowcasting to climate prediction) be in 10 years? 3. What data will be available from space? What data would provide the most benefit? 4. What are the state of the art methods for confronting models with cloud and aerosol observations, including assimilation and climatological analysis techniques? The virtual workshop was anchored by a series of pre-recorded talks. Two days of synchronous sessions focused on discussion of the talks, along with small group breakout exercises. After an introduction to the ACCP concept came a panel discussing the future of modeling clouds and aerosols across scales. Participants were then asked to contribute their ideas. On the second day, there were two panel discussions. First came a discussion of the future of satellite observing systems. Second was a discussion of model-data synthesis methods. Finally, participants were asked to develop their own model-data synthesis proposal. The meeting began with an overview of the ACCP mission concept by Graeme Stephens (NASA-JPL). ACCP is a satellite mission for clouds and aerosols, likely anchored by advanced active lidar and radar systems in space, designed to observe detailed aerosol profile and type information, as well as cloud microphysics and dynamics. ACCP will integrate across sensors and observational types to get multi-spectral views of the same scenes, with better resolution than is available today. Launch is scheduled for 2027 or 2029. ACCP is being thought of as a comprehensive mission that may comprise more than one platform and more than one orbit plane (i.e., inclined and polar), with multiple combinations of sensors.
The 2017 Decadal Survey (DS) highlighted Earth System Science themes, science and application questions, and several high priority objectives that have led to the inclusion of Aerosols (A) and Clouds-Convection-Precipitation (CCP) as Designated Observables (DOs). On June 1, 2018, several NASA centers (GSFC, LaRC, JPL, MSFC, GRC and ARC) submitted a joint Study Plan to the NASA Earth Science Division for the Aerosol (A) and Cloud, Convection, and Precipitation (CCP) Pre-formulation Study (ACCP), with the ACCP Study concluding in early 2021. The new mission now in pre-phase A is being referred to as the Atmosphere Observing System (AOS), an integral part of NASA’s Earth System Observatory (ESO) strategy. The DS and the ACCP team recognized the science merit in combining the A and CCP DOs for both enhancing the ability to address a number of science objectives and also to provide an expanded capability to address additional objectives beyond those of the individual DOs. A critical element of the ACCP observing strategy is to make extensive use of new passive and active sensors as well as of the so-called Program-of-Record (PoR), complemented by a fully integrated sub-orbital component. In order to achieve maximum benefit, all these observations need to be integrated into comprehensive observing and modeling/data assimilation systems. Such an approach requires comprehensive model-data synthesis capabilities that needs to be conceived in conjunction with the space-based and suborbital components of AOS. In this presentation we will summarize the major science goals of AOS including cloud feedbacks, atmospheric convection, emphasizing aerosol processes and aerosol radiative effects, and the synergistic aspects of clouds-precipitation-aerosol interactions. We will describe examples of how AOS data will be used across space and time to better initialize forecasts and train modeling systems, and to infuse models and data assimilation systems with AOS data for advancing operational predictions and to generate expanded hindcasts and reconstruction of the climate record.
Passive and active remote sensing of precipitation from space has led to significant advances in the understanding and prediction of tropical cyclones around the globe. This presentation will highlight the role of past NASA space-based measurements of precipitation by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM, 1998-2015), ongoing measurements by the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission (2014-current), and future measurements from the Time-Resolved Observations of Precipitation structure and storm Intensity with a Constellation of Smallsats (TROPICS, nominal launch date in 2020) as well as a potential new mission on Aerosols, Clouds, Convection, and Precipitation (ACCP) from the 2017 NASA Earth Science Decadal Survey. TRMM, which flew the first precipitation radar in space, provided the first systematic descriptions of the radial and azimuthal variations of rainfall in tropical cyclones around the globe and their relationship to storm motion and vertical wind shear. GPM is the lynchpin of a global constellation of precipitation satellites that provides high spatial (0.1°) and temporal (30 min) resolution real-time estimates of precipitation globally, making them essential to applications related to tropical cyclone prediction, disaster response, flood and landslide monitoring, and vector-borne disease monitoring. TROPICS will be a constellation of 6 Cubesat satellites with microwave imaging and sounding channels that will provide information on temperature and humidity in the storm environment, as well as estimates of precipitation and tropical cyclone intensity. ACCP is yet to be fully defined, but is envisioned to potentially carry multi-frequency radar with possible Doppler capability.
NASA operates airborne and spaceborne lidar systems to answer aerosol and cloud related science questions. NASA Langley Research Center has extensive experience operating lidar systems in both regimes. These include High Spectral Resolution Lidar (HSRL) systems, which have been operating on airborne systems,and CALIOP, the spaceborne elastic backscatter lidar system on board CALIPSO. In support of NASA’s ACCP Study Plan to address the Aerosol (A) and Cloud, Convection, and Precipitation (CCP) Designated Observables called out in the 2017 Earth Science Decadal Survey, LaRC is using lidar simulation tools to evaluate the performance of spaceborne systems using both the HSRL and elastic backscatter techniques. The LaRC high-fidelity simulator tool models both HSRL and elastic backscatter lidar systems by modeling the effects of the instrument specifications and producing backscatter signals generated from molecules, aerosols, clouds, ocean surface, and ocean subsurface. It derives the solar background signals from the scene specific aerosol and cloud characteristics, surface type, and sun elevation. The tool models both random and systematic uncertainties in the retrieved geophysical parameters. In this study, we will present simulated results that compare and contrast the performance of spaceborne HSRL systems to the performance of CALIOP. As recommended by the Decadal Study, ACCP is seeking advances over performance that has been achieved by A-Train. This study will provide a description of the HSRL and elastic backscatter techniques and demonstrate how and why the performance of these HSRL systems exceeds the performance of CALIOP.
Passive microwave radiometers provide highly useful information regarding the Earth system by measuring thermal emission (from the surface and atmosphere) that is reflected, absorbed, and scattered by the surface and the atmosphere. As such, radiometers have been instrumental across Earth-observing concepts with heritage tracing back to the Nimbus era, and clouds and precipitation have been key geophysical phenomena these sensors have targeted. As millimeter-wave (particularly ≥85 GHz) and submillimeter-wave technologies have advanced, the applicability of microwave radiometers has expanded to encompass falling snow and ice clouds, respectively. Given the strong heritage of microwave radiometry and the emergence of submillimeter-wave sensors for sensing falling snow and ice clouds, the National Academies’ 2017 Decadal Survey for Earth Science and Applications from Space recommended passive sensors covering these wavelengths be included in observing systems that address the Aerosols, Clouds, Convection, and Precipitation (ACCP) combined designated observable. To showcase the capabilities for addressing the ACCP science objectives, we will provide an overview of the passive microwave capabilities envisioned for the Atmosphere Observing System (AOS, part of the recently unveiled NASA Earth System Observatory), including descriptions of the radiometers for the inclined and polar orbits and the primary geophysical variables of interest related to ice-phase clouds and precipitation. We will also discuss secondary science objectives, such as precipitation mapping, that can be achieved with the ACCP/AOS radiometers. Examples from the analyses performed for the ACCP/AOS architecture study and subsequent sensor definition exercises will be presented, outlining the basis for the radiometer configuration within the context of the overarching ACCP/AOS goals to elucidate the connections between atmospheric dynamics, weather (including extreme events), air quality, and climate.
The Top-of-Atmosphere (TOA) Shortwave (SW) Direct Aerosol Radiative Effect (DARE) in all-sky conditions (i.e., aerosols in clear skies and aerosols above and below all types of clouds) is the global change in upwelling radiative flux due to aerosols. It is one of the strongest indicators of global climate change due to aerosols. SW DARE at TOA depends on the Earth’s surface albedo, cloud fraction, cloud optical properties, and aerosol optical properties, which are all challenging to accurately characterize from space. The overarching goals of our project are to provide state-of-the-art observational all-sky TOA SW DARE, along with guidance on which aerosol and/or cloud properties are the most important to measure, and at which spatio-temporal scales, for accurate DARE observations. We compute all-sky DARE based on state-of-the-art cloud and aerosol retrieval algorithms from CALIOP (Cloud–Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization) and MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging spectroradiometer) satellite sensors, as well as aerosol intensive properties from MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2) simulations over three specific regions of the Atlantic Ocean from 2012 to 2016. In this symposium, we present a characterization of the cloud and aerosol optical and physical properties and the observational TOA SW DARE along three individual satellite tracks in the Southeast Atlantic region -- on September 18 and 20, 2016 and August 13, 2017. We then quantify the impact of assuming homogeneous cloud or aerosol fields in space-based TOA SW DARE calculations. And, finally, the resulting space-based all-skies aerosol vertical distribution and DARE calculations are evaluated using remote sensing observations from coincident suborbital flights from the NASA ORACLES (the ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their intEractionS, ORACLES field campaign) field campaign. The NASA Atmospheric Observing System (AOS) mission addresses the NASA Aerosol, Cloud, Convection and Precipitation (ACCP) designated observables and proposes, as one of its aerosol objectives, to reduce uncertainties in estimates of global mean all-sky SW DARE at TOA. Well characterizing clouds, aerosol vertical distributions, aerosol types and associated all-skies DARE over the Atlantic Ocean will inform the AOS community on where, when, how, and how often the satellite retrievals should be performed to estimate DARE and reduce all-skies DARE uncertainties most accurately. These comprehensive characterizations will also identify the key regions and times when the AOS (or other ACCP-related) suborbital missions should be conducted to evaluate and improve the AOS space-based observations and retrievals.
NASA originally developed the Compact Scanning Sub-millimeter Imaging Radiometer (CoSSIR) in the early 2000s, where it was own in the CRYSTAL-FACE and TC4 field experiments. With renewed interest in sub-millimeter remote sensing motivated by the upcoming launch of the EUMETSAT-sponsored Ice Cloud Imager (ICI), along with its potential for inclusion as part of the NASA Decadal Survey Aerosols, CLouds, Convection, and Precipitation (ACCP) observing architecture, CoSSIR is being refurbished to prepare for routine suborbital submillimeter measurements this decade. Upgrades include hardware (procurement of shared parts so that CoSMIR and CoSSIR can fly concurrently) and a change to the channels, with a focus on differential scattering and polarization at eight frequencies ranging from 170 to 640 GHz. As part of the refurbishment, the instrument name has been changed to Configurable Scanning Sub-millimeter Instrument/Radiometer, retaining the same acronym, in order to emphasize the science objectives that are enabled by CoSSIR's unique scanning geometry and channel set. These anticipated capabilities include two-dimensional pro ling of clouds and precipitation and characterization of the geometry (shape and orientation) of large cloud and precipitating ice particles.
This presentation will discuss the characteristics of frontal convection and its estimation from the ER-2 multifrequency nadir reflectivity and Doppler velocity from a warm-occlusion frontal system that traversed across the Northeast U.S. on 25 January 2020. This system that occurred during the IMPACTS field deployment, brought widespread clouds and precipitation to the Northeast. The system brought primarily rain in most areas of more intense rainfall associated with embedded convection near the frontal band and some freezing rain and/or snowfall in the northern regions or higher terrain due to the pre-existing low-level cold air. The NASA ER-2 instrumented with multifrequency radar and the NASA P-3 with in situ microphysics measurements both collected data from this system. The focus of this presentation is on the estimation of vertical velocity in convective and non-convective regions using the ER-2 nadir Doppler measurements. Vertical velocities are inherently difficult to estimate in frontal systems at mesoscale and below other than from direct in situ measurement because of their small magnitudes and errors in the measurements. Estimates from nadir Doppler measurements such as from the ER-2 are challenging because of both Doppler velocity uncertainties and the need to estimate particle fallspeed since the Doppler measurement is the vertical velocity plus the hydrometeor fallspeed. In the presentation, the vertical velocity estimation, its associated errors, and a possible mitigation scheme are described. The characteristics of the convective and stratiform regions on 25 January 2020 are discussed. The vertical velocity estimated from the nadir Doppler measurements are compared with P-3 in situ measurements. Estimation of vertical velocity is one of the goals for upcoming spaceborne missions such as EarthCare and ACCP.
Aerosol properties are fundamentally different near clouds than away from clouds. This paper reviews the current state of knowledge of aerosol properties in the near-low-cloud environment and quantitatively compares them with aerosols far from clouds, according to remote sensing observations. It interprets observations of aerosol properties from different sensors using satellite, aircraft, and ground-based observations. The correlation (and anticorrelation) between proximity to cloud and aerosol properties is discussed. Retrieval artifacts in the near-cloud environment are demonstrated and quantified for different sensor attributes and environmental conditions. Finally, the paper describes the possible corrections for near-cloud enhancement in remote sensing retrievals. This study is timely in view of science definition studies for NASA’s Aerosol, Cloud, Convection and Precipitation (ACCP) mission, which will also seek to directly link aerosol properties to nearby clouds.
The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) product is a popular combined satellite-gauge precipitation data set in which the long-term standards of consistency and homogeneity is underlined. Here we discuss various high latitude analysis considered in the recently released GPCP V3.1 monthly and daily products. Satellite data are used over land and ocean and obtained from the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSMI), Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder (SSMIS), geostationary imagers and polar orbiting infrared sounders. GPCP uses the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) over land, as its in situ component, but prior to combination with satellite data GPCC estimates are adjusted for gauge undercatch. Advanced sensors aboard the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), CloudSat, and Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission have enabled more accurate estimation of rain and snowfall rates in recent years. Started with GPCP V3.1 these observations are integrated into GPCP through the development of the Tropical Combined Climatology (TCC) used at lower latitudes and the Merged CloudSat, TRMM, and GPM (MCTG) climatology used over the extra tropics and higher latitudes. Improved calibrations of Television-Infrared Operational Satellite (TIROS) Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) and Advanced Infrared Sounder (AIRS) precipitation are used outside 60ºN-S, where inside this zone the Goddard Profiling (GPROF) algorithm retrievals from SSMI/SSMIS is used to calibrate geostationary IR based precipitation estimate at monthly scale. The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mass change observations are used to determine snowfall accumulations over frozen land and arctic basins and to assess gauge undercatch corrections. Observations of snow on sea ice from NASA’s Operation IceBridge (OIB) flights are utilized as an additional tool for snowfall assessment over sea ice. GPCP V3.1 has higher spatial resolution (0.5ox0.5o) than earlier versions (2.5ox2.5o) over both land and ocean, going back to 1983. Version 3 Daily product uses the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission (IMERG) Final Run V06 estimates, where available (initially restricted to 60°N-S), as well as rescaled TOVS/AIRS data in high-latitude areas, all calibrated to the GPCP V3.1 Monthly estimate. GPCP V3.1 shows about 6% increase in global oceanic precipitation and about 4.5% increase over global land and ocean compared to the previous version (V2.3), some major changes occur over the ocean and around 40oS and 60 oS. We will discuss other important changes of GPCP V3.1, compared to the earlier versions, and our future plans. Through this presentation we will also discuss that while ACCP will provide key information about precipitation, synergistic use of other Earth observing systems (e.g., mass change; recognized as a designated mission in 2017 decadal survey) can also help refine precipitation analysis, especially in high latitude and cold regions.
Improvements in air quality and Earth’s climate predictions require improvements of the aerosol speciation in chemical transport models, using observational constraints. Aerosol speciation (e.g., organic aerosols, black carbon, sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, dust or sea salt) is typically determined using in situ instrumentation. Continuous, routine surface network aerosol composition measurements are not uniformly widespread over the globe. Satellites, on the other hand, can provide a maximum coverage of the horizontal and vertical atmosphere but observe aerosol optical properties (and not aerosol speciation) based on remote sensing instrumentation. Combinations of satellite-derived aerosol optical properties can inform on air mass aerosol types (AMTs e.g., clean marine, dust, polluted continental). However, these AMTs are subjectively defined, might often be misclassified and are hard to relate to the critical parameters that need to be refined in models. In this paper, we derive AMTs that are more directly related to sources and hence to speciation. They are defined, characterized, and derived using simultaneous in situ gas-phase, chemical and optical instruments on the same aircraft during the Study of Emissions and Atmospheric Composition, Clouds, and Climate Coupling by Regional Surveys (SEAC4RS, US, summer of 2013). First, we prescribe well-informed AMTs that display distinct aerosol chemical and optical signatures to act as a training AMT dataset. These in situ observations reduce the errors and ambiguities in the selection of the AMT training dataset. We also investigate the relative skill of various combinations of aerosol optical properties to define AMTs and how much these optical properties can capture dominant aerosol speciation. We find distinct optical signatures for biomass burning (from agricultural or wildfires), biogenic and dust-influence AMTs. Useful aerosol optical properties to characterize these signatures are the extinction angstrom exponent (EAE), the single scattering albedo, the difference of single scattering albedo in two wavelengths, the absorption coefficient, the absorption angstrom exponent (AAE), and the real part of the refractive index (RRI). We find that all four AMTs studied when prescribed using mostly airborne in situ gas measurements, can be successfully extracted from at least three combinations of airborne in situ aerosol optical properties (e.g., EAE, AAE and RRI) over the US during SEAC4RS. However, we find that the optically based classifications for BB from agricultural fires and polluted dust include a large percentage of misclassifications that limit the usefulness of results relating to those classes. The technique and results presented in this study are suitable to develop a representative, robust and diverse source-based AMT database. This database could then be used for widespread retrievals of AMTs using existing and future remote sensing suborbital instruments/networks. Ultimately, it has the potential to provide a much broader observational aerosol data set to evaluate chemical transport and air quality models than is currently available by direct in situ measurements. This study illustrates how essential it is to explore existing airborne datasets to bridge chemical and optical signatures of different AMTs, before the implementation of future spaceborne missions (e.g., the next generation of Earth Observing System (EOS) satellites addressing Aerosol, Cloud, Convection and Precipitation (ACCP) designated observables).