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DOE OSTI2023

Robust Parameter Design on Dual Stochastic Response Models With Constrained Bayesian Optimization

In engineering system design, minimizing the variations of the quality measurements while guaranteeing their overall quality up to certain levels, namely the robust parameter design (RPD), is crucial. Recent works have dealt with the design of a system whose response-control variables relationship is a deterministic function with a complex shape and function evaluation is expensive. In this work, we propose a Bayesian optimization method for the RPD of stochastic functions. Dual stochastic response models are carefully designed for stochastic functions. The heterogeneous variance of the sample mean is addressed by the predictive mean of the log variance surrogate model in a two-step approach. We establish an acquisition function that favors exploration across the feasible and optimality-improvable regions to effectively and efficiently solve the stochastic constrained optimization problem. Further, the performance of our proposed method is demonstrated by the extensive numerical and case studies. Note to Practitioners-Many manufacturing processes involve undesirable variations, which create variations in the final products. For example, many emerging manufacturing processes, such as nanomanufacturing, involve complex physical and chemical dynamics and transformation, creating variations in the manufacturing output. In such processes, it is crucial to design the manufacturing processes or products so that they have minimum variations in their quality. Meanwhile, it is also important to maintain the overall quality of the designed processes or products. Furthermore, acquiring data from many advanced manufacturing processes is often very costly, especially in the designing stage. In this work, we propose a data-driven method that automatically finds the best setting of manufacturing processes or products with the minimum variations of quality and a given constraint on the average quality satisfied. Our proposed method is used before conducting every experiment; It analyzes the historical data from previous experiments and provides a setting to be used in the next experiment. Our proposed method efficiently utilizes the historical data, and thus finds the best robust setting by conducting only a small number of experiments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Preliminary Characterization and Evaluation on FFF Manufactured 316H and ODS Steels

The Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technology (AMMT) program develops cross-cutting technologies in support of a broad range of nuclear reactor technologies and maintains U.S. leadership in materials and manufacturing technologies for nuclear energy applications. The overarching vision of AMMT is to accelerate the development, qualification, demonstration, and deployment of advanced materials and manufacturing technologies to enable reliable and economical nuclear energy. Solid-state advanced manufacturing techniques can overcome some of the challenges in liquid-based additive manufacturing (AM) processes and should therefore be considered in material design and manufacturing as well. The work presented in this report forms part of a study on solid-state AM techniques of 316 stainless steels (SS) and oxide dispersion strengthened (ODS) steel components and supports the vision and goals of the AMMT program relevant to accelerate the development and deployment of advanced manufacturing processes. Achieving this can provide a safety improvement through larger safety margins, economic benefit for higher efficiency during operation, and a cost reduction through more effective manufacturing processes and less waste. This study provides preliminary information on development of the fused-filament fabrication (FFF) process using different powder types to demonstrate the sensitivity, and therefore the characterization of these sample components. The full solid-state manufacturing feasibility study will be completed and reported in a final feasibility evaluation during 2025. The study investigation used two 14YWT ODS powder batches, which provided information and the effect of different powder morphologies on manufacturability. The two 316SS powders demonstrated the effect of powder size on the manufacturability using FFF. Two product forms, namely a honeycomb structure and flat samples, were manufactured to demonstrate the flexibility of product form.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Competitiveness Improvement Project (CIP)

Through the Competitiveness Improvement Project (CIP), the U.S. DOE supports small businesses who design and manufacture small or medium wind turbine technology through cost-shared subcontracts awarded via a competitive process. The goals of the CIP are to: improve cost competitiveness with other distributed generation technology through optimized designs and advanced manufacturing processes; increase the number of certified small and medium wind turbine designs across a wide range of sizes; and accelerate deployment of improved, certified distributed wind energy technology. NREL manages the projects through a defined period of performance subcontract, providing technical monitoring and coordinating technical assistance from DOE labs.

advanced manufacturing↗

DOE OSTI2022

Manufacturing Processes for Permanent Magnets: Part II—Bonding and Emerging Methods

Abstract Permanent magnets produce magnetic fields and maintain the field even in the presence of an opposing magnetic field. They are widely used in electric machines, electronics, and medical devices. Part I reviews the conventional manufacturing processes for commercial magnets, including Nd-Fe-B, Sm-Co, alnico, and ferrite in cast and sintered forms. In Part II, bonding, emerging advanced manufacturing processes, as well as magnet recycling methods are briefly reviewed for their current status, challenges, and future directions.

Cui, Jun (ORCID:0000000179118172)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Aerogel with Unparalleled Performance and Cost-Effectiveness for All Insulation Needs (CRADA Final Report)

Westwood Aerogel investigated the reproducible production of an ambiently or electromagnetic spectrum assisted drying of extremely porous aerogel materials. Traditional aerogel processing is limited by low throughput and scalability due to supercritical drying. Westwood Aerogel’s advanced manufacturing process enables commercialization and deployment at scale, making aerogel materials more accessible to a range of industries and applications. We focused on shifting from the lab scale environment to manufacturing prototypes. The initial manufacturing model is based on the float glass process, which is the industry standard for glass window production, and the paper drying process. By incorporating an ambient drying process a continuous line model can be used from start to finish. The project team worked to develop a continuous manufacturing system to scale-up and reduce costs while maintaining the lightweight and insulative properties of aerospace-grade aerogel. While aerogels are extremely insulative, lightweight, and thin materials (making them ideal insulators across application spaces), high costs and stagnant innovation have hampered their wider adoption. Traditional manufacturing of aerogel requires supercritical extraction of pore fluid to obtain highly insulating materials, which is an energy intensive batch process and limits aerogel production output. Westwood Aerogel’s proprietary ambient drying process enables the continuous production of highly insulative aerogel materials without the use of supercritical extraction.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Investigating Porous Media for Relief Printing Using Micro-Architected Materials

Advances in printed electronics are predicated on the integration of sophisticated printing technologies with functional materials. Although scalable manufacturing methods, such as letterpress and flexographic printing, have significant history in graphic arts printing, functional applications require sophisticated control and understanding of nanoscale transfer of fluid inks. In this paper, a versatile platform is introduced to study and engineer printing forms, exploiting a microscale additive manufacturing process to design micro-architected materials with controllable porosity and deformation. Building on this technology, controlled ink transfer for submicron functional films is demonstrated. The design freedom and high-resolution 3D control afforded by this method provide a rich framework for studying mechanics of fluid transfer for advanced manufacturing processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Quantile regression-enriched event modeling framework for dropout analysis in high-temperature superconductor manufacturing

High-temperature superconductor (HTS) tapes have shown promising characteristics of high critical current, which are prerequisites for applications in high-field magnets. Due to the unstable growth conditions in the HTS manufacturing process, however, the frequent occurrences of dropouts in the critical current impede the consistent performance of HTS tapes. To manufacture HTS tapes with large scale, high yield, and uniform performance, it is essential to develop novel data analysis approaches for modeling the dropouts and identifying the related important process parameters. Conventional methods for modeling recurrent events, such as the point process, require the extraction of events from quality measurements. As the critical current is a continuous process, it may not comprehensively represent the drop patterns by transforming the time-series measurements into a set of events. Here, to solve this issue, we develop a novel quantile regression-enriched event modeling (QREM) framework that integrates the non-homogeneous Poisson process for modeling the occurrence of dropouts and the quantile regression for capturing the drop patterns. By incorporating the feature selection and regularization, the proposed framework identifies a set of significant process parameters that can potentially cause the dropouts of HTS tapes. The proposed method is tested on real HTS tapes produced using an advanced manufacturing process, successfully identifying important parameters that influence dropout events including the substrate temperature and voltage. The results demonstrate that the proposed QREM method outperforms the standard point process in predicting the occurrence of dropouts.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2020

Competitiveness Improvement Project Informational Workshop

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is hosted an in-person workshop and webinar for the distributed wind Competitiveness Improvement Project (CIP) on Tuesday, December 17, 2019, at NREL's Flatirons Campus. The CIP is a periodic solicitation issued by NREL on behalf of the U.S. Department of Energy's Wind Energy Technologies Office. Through a competitive process, component suppliers and manufacturers of small- to medium-sized wind turbine technology are awarded cost-shared subcontracts to optimize their designs, develop advanced manufacturing processes, and perform turbine testing. The CIP aims to make wind energy cost competitive with other distributed generation technologies and increase the number of wind turbine designs certified to national performance and safety standards.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Coupling of Spark Plasma Sintering with Advanced Modeling to Enable Process Scale-Up: Presentation to DOE-NE [Slides]

The research goal of this project is to develop at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) a first-of-its-kind Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)-based, multiscale, multiphysics spark plasma sintering (SPS) modeling and simulation code application, termed “Freya.” Freya will simulate the thermo-mechanical-electrical aspects of the SPS fabrication process and will be paired with lower length scale sub-models, such as phase-field, to predict the resulting microstructure. SPS is an advanced manufacturing process that can be used to solve a variety of material manufacturing challenges; however, this process is an extremely challenging problem for modeling and simulation. The SPS process is inherently multiphysics and multi-scale, with the macroscale electro-thermo-mechanical behavior linked intricately to the microstructure evolution of the part being sintered. Accurate modeling and simulation tools, specifically geared towards the SPS process, are needed to predict the influence of the multiple variables involved in the manufacturing process. Modeling and simulation accuracy is achieved and demonstrated through comparison to multiple validation experiments. The validation efforts for Freya include both separate effects and complete multiphysics SPS process experiments. One of the key benefits this Laboratory Directed Research & Development (LDRD) project offers stems from the emphasis placed on experimental validation of the Freya models, both on the individual length scales and of the final coupled multiscale multiphysics simulations. Experimental validation of Freya’s multiscale coupling capability provides the technical credibility necessary for potential future industry and research partners to accept the simulation predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Ultrahigh Performance Metallic Turbine Blades for Extreme Environments

In ULTIMATE Phase-I, The Boeing Company and Alloyed Inc. aimed to produce ultrahigh performance metallic extreme environment turbine blades with a base blade alloy capable of inert operation at 1300C, and a maximum coated blade operating temperature up to 1800C. High-performance structural designs for extreme service conditions place additional demands on the present material capability and can potentially outpace the current state-of-the-art in the alloy design space and metal processing. As a part of exploration and adoption of novel concepts for material maturation, the team explored a series of capable base novel refractory complex concentrated alloy (RCCA) compositions and potential powder enhancements. Advanced manufacturing processes, with a focus on laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing (AM) and powder metallurgy (PM) approaches, were applied to consolidate new alloys and for near net shape processing of blades from the base RCCA.

Yousefiani, Ali↗

DOE OSTI2026

Virtual Inspection of Advanced Manufacturing via Process-Scale Digital Twins (Abbreviated Report)

Inspection and certification comprise the most significant bottlenecks in advanced manufacturing for NNSA applications, often requiring far more time and resources than the fabrication of the parts themselves. Traditional methods, such as manual review and X-ray computed tomography, are not only slow and costly, but also struggle to provide a clear connection between manufacturing instructions and the final performance of critical components. This gap limits both the agility and assurance needed to support the modernization and safety of the United States nuclear stockpile. In response, our Strategic Initiative established a digital twin framework that integrates realtime process monitoring, automated data analysis, and immersive virtual reality collaboration into a unified inspection pipeline. By leveraging data from sensors, machine instructions, and imaging, we created high-fidelity virtual models of manufactured parts that could be rapidly analyzed and certified. This approach was first demonstrated with Direct Ink Write, and then extended to other manufacturing settings, including conventional (or “subtractive”) manufacturing and to predict the end of life performance of parts per the aging and lifetimes programs. The result is a transformational capability: inspection times have been reduced by a factor of 120,000 without loss of accuracy and while simultaneously improving traceability and confidence in part quality. This framework not only streamlines certification for critical applications, but also positions the national security enterprise to respond more flexibly to emerging challenges, supporting agile manufacturing and digital engineering practices across a broad range of mission-relevant domains.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NASA NTRS2026

Development and Experimental Validation of a Path-Dependent Spin Forming Finite Element Model

Spin forming is an advanced manufacturing process widely used in the aerospace and defense sectors to produce lightweight, high-strength cylindrical components with tight dimensional tolerances. This study explores the applicability of the path-dependent Mechanical Threshold Stress (MTS) constitutive model by simulating the evolution of geometry, machining forces, and plastic deformation during the spin forming of a 10-mm thick 6061-O aluminum cylinder. While numerical modeling of spin forming has advanced substantially over the past decade, systematic verification and experimental validation of material models remain limited, particularly in predicting through-thickness process evolution. The MTS model, incorporating a Voce hardening rule, is employed for its ability to represent cyclic loading, rapidly varying temperature fields, and strain rates characteristic of spin forming. Numerical convergence analysis indicates discretization uncertainties between 0.3% and 9.2% for key quantities of interest. Experimental validation demonstrates that the MTS model, when implemented with a verified mesh, accurately reproduces both elastic and plastic behavior of 6061-O aluminum, predicting peak roller loads within 11–18% of measurements, geometric tolerances within 3%, and plastic strain distributions within 10% of experimental values. Collectively, these results establish a validated computational framework for predictive spin-forming simulations with quantified confidence, providing a foundation for extension to other alloys, geometries, and forming conditions.

Spin forming↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design of robot grippers for binder jet products handling

Dimension accuracy, damage minimization, and defect detection are essential in manufacturing processes, especially additive manufacturing. These types of challenges may arise either during the manufacture of a product or its use. The repeatability of the process is vital in additive manufacturing systems. However, human users may lose concentration and, thus, would be a great alternative as an assistant. Depending on the nature of work, a robot’s fingers might vary, for example, mechanical, electrical, vacuum, two-fingers, and three-fingers. In addition, the end effector plays a vital role in picking up an object in the advanced manufacturing process. However, inbuilt robotic fingers may not be appropriate in different production environments. In this research presented here considering metal binder jet additive manufacturing, the two-finger end- effectors are proposed design, analysis, and experiment to pick up an object after completing the production process from a specific location. The final designs were further printed by using a 3D metal printer and installed in the existing robotic systems. These new designs are used successfully to hold the object from the specific location by reducing the contact force that was not possible with the previously installed end effector's finger. In addition, a numerical study was conducted in order to compare the flowability of the geometric shape of finger's free areas.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Next-Generation Electric Motors and Electromagnetic Devices (CRADA Final Report)

As part of the Cyclotron Road program, the Foli Research team investigated electric motors and other electromagnetic devices additively manufactured by depositing fine conducting wire onto a substrate. By leveraging modern motion control and efficient upstream manufacturing processes, the team explored using geometric control and turnkey production comparable to printed circuit board manufacturing, aiming at ten-fold improvements in signal density, while eliminating the material use, cost, and complexity overheads of subtractive processes at large scales. Owing to the achievable density and additive scaling, disparate components became monolithic, and disparate processes were combined with the aim of reducing development costs, uncertainties, and timelines. When applied to electric motors, this technology may enable agile manufacturing of next-generation designs, with dramatic increases in achievable power density and material utilization. Electric motors represent the single largest user of electricity in the U.S. and a critical component of decarbonized infrastructure. Despite this significance, the manufacturing of motors and other electromagnetic devices remains capital-intensive, labor-intensive, and performance-limiting. Advanced manufacturing processes were required to produce high-performance, low-cost, application-specific electric motors and electromagnetic devices to support an electrified future.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

MOOSE ProbML: Parallelized probabilistic machine learning and uncertainty quantification for computational energy applications

Here, this paper presents the development and demonstration of massively parallel probabilistic machine learning (ML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) capabilities within the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE), an open-source computational platform for parallel finite element and finite volume analyses. In addressing the computational expense and uncertainties inherent in complex multiphysics simulations, this paper integrates Gaussian process (GP) variants, active learning, Bayesian inverse UQ, adaptive forward UQ, Bayesian optimization, evolutionary optimization, and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) within MOOSE. It also elaborates on the interaction among key MOOSE systems — Sampler, MultiApp, Reporter, and Surrogate — in enabling these capabilities. The modularity offered by these systems enables development of a multitude of probabilistic ML and UQ algorithms in MOOSE. Example code demonstrations include parallel active learning and parallel Bayesian inference via active learning. The impact of these developments is illustrated through five applications relevant to computational energy applications: UQ of nuclear fuel fission product release, using parallel active learning Bayesian inference; very rare events analysis in nuclear microreactors using active learning; advanced manufacturing process modeling using multi-output GPs (MOGPs) and dimensionality reduction; fluid flow using deep GPs (DGPs); and tritium transport model parameter optimization for fusion energy, using batch Bayesian optimization. These capabilities are part of the MOOSE framework.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Adsorption and Surface Diffusion of Metals on α-Al2O3 for Advanced Manufacturing Applications

Abstract The adsorption and diffusion of Mo and Nb adatoms on the $$\alpha$$ α -Al 2 O 3 (0001) surface were explored using density functional theory-based methods. Adsorption energies of Mo and Nb adatoms at minima sites on the surface were determined. Mo and Nb adatoms prefer to adsorb to the same locations on the surface, and larger adsorption energies calculated for Nb compared to Mo indicate that Nb adatom-surface interactions are stronger than Mo. Using minima adsorption sites as initial and final locations for surface diffusion, energy barriers for diffusion were calculated using the nudged elastic band method. Overall, Mo and Nb follow roughly the same diffusion paths. The diffusion pre-factors for Mo and Nb are similar; however, Mo diffusion has a lower energy barrier and thus a larger diffusion coefficient compared with Nb. These results provide insight into the role of surface diffusion of Mo and Nb adatoms during advanced manufacturing processes.

Biaggne, Austin (ORCID:0000000328074960)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mechanical properties, strain hardening, and fracture behavior of ultrasonic additively manufactured Zircaloy-4 after low-temperature neutron irradiation

Ultrasonic additive manufacturing (UAM) is a solid-state, layer-by-layer advanced manufacturing process that has the potential to create custom spatially controlled composites with embedded wires and sensors for nuclear component manufacture. For this work, to assess the feasibility of using UAM for nuclear-relevant materials research, the technique was used to produce a 3.5-mm-thick Zircaloy-4 plate for irradiation testing. The UAM Zircaloy-4 specimens were irradiated in the High Flux Isotope Reactor at a target irradiation temperature of 117 °C to 2.9 displacements per atom (dpa) to assess differences in irradiation-hardening behavior as a function of alloy processing path. The UAM and reference baseplate (BP) materials increased in yield strength by 372±27 MPa and 346±21 MPa, respectively, and both suffered significant reductions in uniform and total elongation attributed to irradiation hardening at low-temperature. Although the materials had similar nanoscale defect structures, including nanoscale black dot/loop features and strain-induced dislocation channels, the UAM material’s processing-related defects resulted in accelerated strain localization and failure as demonstrated by lower post-irradiation uniform elongation of UAM specimens (0.5 %) compared to BP (1.5 %) material. The UAM material also showed considerable anisotropy in mechanical response due to crack propagation along weld boundaries, resulting in differences in strength & ductility when tested parallel and perpendicular to the prior UAM build orientation. Therefore, although the fundamental irradiation response of UAM-processed Zircaloy-4 was phenomenologically comparable to that of BP reference material, additional optimization of the UAM processing is needed to produce irradiation-resistant and nuclear-relevant materials.

Digital image correlation↗

DOE OSTI2025

A visco-plastic constitutive model for accurate densification and shape predictions in powder metallurgy hot isostatic pressing

Powder metallurgy hot isostatic pressing (PM-HIP) is an advanced manufacturing process that produces near net shape parts with high material utilization and uniform microstructures. Despite being used frequently to produce small-scale components, the application of PM-HIP to large-scale components is limited due to inadequate understanding of its complex mechanisms that cause unpredictable post-HIP shape distortions. A computational model can provide necessary information about the intermediate and final stages of the HIP process that can help understand it better and make accurate predictions. Generally, two types of computational models are employed for PM-HIP of metal powders, namely, plastic and visco-plastic models. Between these, the plastic model is preferred due to its cheaper calibration approach requiring less experimental data. However, the plastic model sometimes produces incorrect predictions when slight variations of the HIP conditions are encountered in practical situations. Therefore, this work presents a visco-plastic model that addresses these limitations of the plastic model. A novel modified calibration approach is employed for the visco-plastic model that utilizes less experimental data than existing approaches. With the new approach, the data requirement is same for both plastic and visco-plastic models. This also enables a quantitative comparison of plastic and visco-plastic models, which have been only qualitatively compared in the past. When calibrated with the same experimental data, both the models are found to produce similar results. In conclusion, the calibrated visco-plastic model is applied to several complex geometries, and the predictions are found to be in good agreement with experimental observations.

Hot isostatic pressing↗