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At least 37 records · Page 2

Solar Cycle Variation of CMEs and CIRs

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and high-speed solar wind streams (HSS) are two solar phenomena that produce large-scale structures in the interplanetary (IP) medium. CMEs evolve into interplanetary CMEs (ICMEs) and the HSS result in corotating interaction regions (CIRs) when they interact with preceding slow solar wind. CMEs and CIRs originate from closed (active region and filament region) and open (corona) hole) magnetic field regions on the Sun, respectively. These two types of mass emissions from the Sun are responsible for the largest effects on the heliosphere, particularly on Earth's space environment. This paper discussed how these structures and their solar sources vary with the solar cycle and the consequent changes in the geospace impact.

Gopalswamy, N.↗

Modeling Interplanetary Expansion and Deformation of CMEs with ANTEATR-PARADE II: Sensitivity to Input Parameters

Space weather predictions related to coronal mass ejections (CMEs) requires understanding how a CME is initiated and how its properties change as it propagates. While some parameters can be measured relatively easily near the Sun, others are much harder to disentangle from projected coronagraph images. Most predictions have been limited to the arrival time of a CME and include little to no information about the CME's internal properties. ANTEATR-PARADE represents the most thorough description of the interplanetary evolution of CMEs in a highly computationally-efficient model. (Kay & Nieves-Chinchilla, 2020) presents the derivation of this model, where we have added an elliptical cross section to the original arrival time model ANTEATR and introduced internal magnetic forces that, combined with the drag, can alter the shape of the central axis and cross section. ANTEATR-PARADE results include the transit time of CMEs, as well as the shape and size, propagation and expansion velocities, density, and magnetic field properties upon impact. We determine the dependence of each output on each of the ANTEATR-PARADE input parameters. For a fast CME, we see that the transit time and propagation velocity depend most strongly on inputs that modify the drag force whereas the inputs affecting the magnetic forces determine the expansion of the CME. We extend to other CMEs and _nd that the sensitivities change with CME scale. Magnetic forces become more important for an average CME whereas the drag force becomes more important for an extreme CME.

Coronal mass ejections↗

Causes of Extremely Fast CMEs

We study CMEs observed by LASCO to have plane of the sky velocities exceeding 1500 km/sec. We find that these extremely fast CMEs are typically associated with flares accompanied by erupting prominences. Our results are consistent with a single CME initiation process that consists of three stages. The initial stage is brought about by the emergence of new magnetic flux, which interacts with the pre-existing magnetic configuration and results in a slow rise of the magnetic structure. The second stage is a fast reconnection phase with flaring, filament eruption and a sudden increase of the rise velocity of the magnetic structure (CME). The third stage consists of propagation in the corona. We discuss the sources of these CMEs and the need for improved understanding of the first and third stages.

solar flares↗

The solar cycle variation of the rates of CMEs and related activity

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are an important aspect of the physics of the corona and heliosphere. This paper presents results of a study of occurrence frequencies of CMEs and related activity tracers over more than a complete solar activity cycle. To properly estimate occurrence rates, observed CME rates must be corrected for instrument duty cycles, detection efficiencies away from the skyplane, mass detection thresholds, and geometrical considerations. These corrections are evaluated using CME data from 1976-1989 obtained with the Skylab, SMM and SOLWIND coronagraphs and the Helios-2 photometers. The major results are: (1) the occurrence rate of CMEs tends to track the activity cycle in both amplitude and phase; (2) the corrected rates from different instruments are reasonably consistent; and (3) over the long term, no one class of solar activity tracer is better correlated with CME rate than any other (with the possible exception of type II bursts).

Webb, David F.↗

Coronal Dimmings and Energetic CMEs

We have analyzed the coronal dimmings for seven fast (> 600 km/s) coronal mass ejections (CMEs) occurring between 23 April and 9 May which were associated with flares from NOAA active region (AR) 8210. These dimming regions were identified by their strong depletion in coronal emission within a half hour of the estimated time of CME lift-off. They included areas which were as dark as quiescent coronal holes as well as other regions with weaker brightness depletions. We found that the extended dimming areas in these events generally mapped out the apparent "footprint" of the CME. In two of the seven cases, a pair of dimmings were more or less symmetrically positioned north and south of the flare site. In the five remaining cases, the dimmings were most prominent to the north of AR 8210 (approximately S15 latitude) and extended well north of the solar equator, consistent with the locations of the CMEs. We discuss the implications of these results for the sigmoid/double dimming/flux rope model of CMEs.

Thompson, B. J.↗

Can SOHO SWAN detect CMEs?

We have investigated the possibility that the Solar Wind Anisotropies (SWAN) remote sensing instrument on SOHO may be able to detect coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in neutral Hydrogen Lyman-? emission. We have identified CMEs near the Sun in observations by the SOHO LASCO white-light coronagraphs and in extreme ultraviolet emissions using SOHO E n . There are very few methods of tracking CMEs after they leave the coronagraph's field-of-view, so this is an important topic to study. The primary science goal of the SWAN investigation is the measurement of large-scale structures in the solar wind, and these are obtained by detecting intensity fluctuations in Lyman-?. SWAN consists of a pair of Sensors on opposite panels of SOHO. The instantaneous field-of-view of each sensor unit is a So x So square, divided into lo pixels. A gimbaled periscope system allows each sensor to map the intensity distribution of Lyman-?, and the entire sky can be scanned in less than one day. This is the typical mode of operation for this instrument.

St.Cyr, O. C.↗

CMEs and SEPs During November–December 2020: A Challenge for Real-Time Space Weather Forecasting

Predictions of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs) are a central issue in space weather forecasting. In recent years, interest in space weather predictions has expanded to include impacts at other planets beyond Earth as well as spacecraft scattered throughout the heliosphere. In this sense, the scope of space weather science now encompasses the whole heliospheric system, and multipoint measurements of solar transients can provide useful insights and validations for prediction models. In this work, we aim to analyze the whole inner heliospheric context between two eruptive flares that took place in late 2020, that is, the M4.4 flare of 29 November and the C7.4 flare of 7 December. This period is especially interesting because the STEREO-A spacecraft was located ∼60° east of the Sun–Earth line, giving us the opportunity to test the capabilities of “predictions at 360°” using remote-sensing observations from the Lagrange L1 and L5 points as input. We simulate the CMEs that were ejected during our period of interest and the SEPs accelerated by their shocks using the WSA–Enlil–SEPMOD modeling chain and four sets of input parameters, forming a “mini-ensemble.” We validate our results using in situ observations at six locations, including Earth and Mars. We find that, despite some limitations arising from the models' architecture and assumptions, CMEs and shock-accelerated SEPs can be reasonably studied and forecast in real time at least out to several tens of degrees away from the eruption site using the prediction tools employed here.

Coronal mass ejections↗

Global Energetics of Solar Flares and CMEs: V. Energy Closure

In this study we synthesize the results of four previous studies on the global energetics of solar flares and associated coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which include magnetic, thermal, nonthermal, and CME energies in 399 solar M and X-class flare events observed during the first 3.5 years of the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) mission. Our findings are: (1) The sum of the mean nonthermal energy of flare-accelerated particles (E(sub nt)), the energy of direct heating (E(sub dir)), and the energy in coronal mass ejections (E(sub CME)), which are the primary energy dissipation processes in a flare, is found to have a ratio of (E(sub nt)+E(sub dir)+E(sub CME))/E(sub mag) = 0.87±0.18, compared with the dissipated magnetic free energy E(sub mag), which confirms energy closure within the measurement uncertainties and corroborates the magnetic origin of flares and CMEs; (2) The energy partition of the dissipated magnetic free energy is: 0.51±0.17 in nonthermal energy of ≥ 6 keV electrons, 0.17± 0.17 in nonthermal ≥ 1 MeV ions, 0.07 ± 0.14 in CMEs, and 0.07 ± 0.17 in direct heating; (3) The thermal energy is almost always less than the nonthermal energy, which is consistent with the thick-target model; (4) The bolometric luminosity in white-light flares is comparable with the thermal energy in soft X-rays (SXR); (5) Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events carry a fraction ≈ 0.03 of the CME energy, which is consistent with CME-driven shock acceleration; and (6) The warm-target model predicts a lower limit of the low-energy cutoff at e(sub c) ≈ 6 keV, based on the mean differential emission measure (DEM) peak temperature of T(sub e) = 8.6 MK during flares. This work represents the first statistical study that establishes energy closure in solar flare/CME events.

Solar activity↗

What Do Halo Cmes Tell Us About Solar Cycle 25?

It is known that the weak state of the heliosphere due to diminished solar activity in cycle 24 backreacted on coronal mass ejections (CMEs) to make them appear wider for a given speed. One of the consequences of the weak state of the heliosphere is that more CMEs appear as halo CMEs (HCMEs), and halos are formed at shorter heliocentric distances. Current predictions for the strength of solar cycle (SC) 25 range from half to twice the strength of SC 24. We compare the HCME occurrence rate and other properties during the rise phase of cycles 23, 24, and 25 to weigh in on the strength of SC 25. We find that HCME and solar wind properties in SC 25 are intermediate between SCs 23 and 24, but closer to SC 24. The HCME occurrence rate, normalized to the sunspot number, is higher in SCs 24 and 25 than in SC 23. The solar wind total pressure in SC 25 is ∼35% smaller than that in SC 23. Furthermore, the occurrence rates of high-energy solar energetic particle events and intense geomagnetic storms are well below the corresponding values in SC 23, but similar to those in SC 24. We conclude that cycle 25 is likely to be similar to or slightly stronger than cycle 24, in agreement with polar-field precursor methods for cycle 25 prediction.

Solar coronal mass ejections↗

New results on the site of initiation of Cornal Mass Ejections (CMES), and an interpretation of observation of their interaction with streamers

In this paper it is shown that in some months of the phase of minimum solar activity 1985-1987 as many as (80-90)% of a total number of CMEs occur near belts of streamers with neutral line (NL), and only (10-20)% of them appear near belts of streamers without NL. (Streamers without NL separate regions in the corona with the same direction of radial fields of magnetic tubes originating from adjacent coronal holes). With increasing solar activity, the center of gravity of the number of emerging CMEs is shifting toward belts of steamers without NL and reaches over 80% of their total number in some months by the end of 1989. The CME position angle (PA) coincides, on average, with the angle of the portion of NL which straddles the CME. It is quite possible that this condition is satisfied not in the average but rigorously for each CME. The streamer observed on the limb does not disrupt if the CME in transit either only slightly overlaps with the streamer or lies at all outside it. If in the limb plane under consideration the steamer lies inside the CME, then it disrupts after CME passage.

Eselevich, V. G.↗

Role of CMEs in IMF winding statistics

Past studies of the spiral winding of the IMF have revealed an over winding relative to the Parker prediction that is evident in both the omnitape and Pioneer-Venus Orbiter data sets. An asymmetry between the winding of the northern and southern hemispheres is also observed. Both results are seen to be persistent over many years and statistically significant. Both results have implications for cosmic ray propagation in the heliosphere. There has been a suggestion in past analyses that the digression from the Parker prediction is greatest during times of heightened CME activity. We examine the possible role of CMEs in these past analyses by extracting CME observations from the ISEE-3 dataset and analyzing CME and undisturbed periods separately. We use the full ISEE-3 dataset representing the entire L1 mission (1978 1982). This coincides with a period in the solar cycle when CME activity was heightened. Preliminary results are suggestive that CMEs may be responsible for a significant portion of both the spiral angle overwinding and asymmetry. Possible implications for the high latitude fields and cosmic ray propagation will be reviewed in light of this analysis.

Smith, Charles W.↗

CMEs, the Tail of the Solar Wind Magnetic Field Distribution, and 11-yr Cosmic Ray Modulation at 1 AU

Using a recent classification of the solar wind at 1 AU into its principal components (slow solar wind, high-speed streams, and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) for 1972-2000, we show that the monthly-averaged galactic cosmic ray intensity is anti-correlated with the percentage of time that the Earth is imbedded in CME flows. We suggest that this correlation results primarily from a CME related change in the tail of the distribution function of hourly-averaged values of the solar wind magnetic field (B) between solar minimum and solar maximum. The number of high-B (square proper subset 10 nT) values increases by a factor of approx. 3 from minimum to maximum (from 5% of all hours to 17%), with about two-thirds of this increase due to CMEs. On an hour-to-hour basis, average changes of cosmic ray intensity at Earth become negative for solar wind magnetic field values square proper subset 10 nT.

Cliver, E. W.↗

Cone Model for Halo CMEs: Application to Space Weather Forecasting

In this study, we present an innovative analytical method to determine the angular width and propagation orientation of halo Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). The relation of CME actual speed with apparent speed and its components measured at different position angle has been investigated. The present work is based on the cone model proposed by Zhao et al. We have improved this model by: (1) eliminating the ambiguity via a new analytical approach, (2) using direct measurements of projection onto the plane of the sky (POS), and (3) determining the actual radial speeds from projection speeds at different position angles to clarify the uncertainty of projection speeds in previous empirical models. Our analytical approach allows us to use coronagraph data to determine accurately the geometrical features of POS projections, such as major axis, minor axis, and the displacement of the center of its projection, and to determine the angular width and orientation of a given halo CME. Our approach allows for the first time the determination of the actual CME speed, width, and source location by using coronagraph data quantitatively and consistently. The method greatly enhances the accuracy of the derived geometrical and kinematical properties of halo CMEs, and can be used to optimize Space Weather forecasts. The applied model predications are in good agreement with observations.

Xie, Hong↗

Velocity Structure and Plasma Properties in Halo CMES

We have identified a set of 23 Halo CMEs and 21 Partial Halo CMEs from the LASCO Halo CME Archive for which UVCS spectra exist through July 2002. For each event we have collected basic information such as the event speed, whether or not UVCS caught the bright front, lines detected, Doppler shift and associated flare class. We are currently analyzing the subset for which UVCS caught the CME front. We also obtained excellent observations of some of the spectacular events in November 2003, and we have made theoretical calculations pertaining to CME expansion at the heights observed by UVCS. In one event we were able to analyze the properties of the current sheet in detail.

Raymond, John C.↗

A New Variety of CMEs: Streamer Puffs from Compact Ejective Flares

We present SOHO EIT, UVCS and LASCO observations of recurrent (6 --- 8 events per day) narrow (angular widths of about 3 --- 10 degrees) Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) which occurred over 2002 November 26--29. The active region where the ejections originate is near the base of a coronal streamer that appears to be unperturbed by the events and keeps stable in time; hence we interpret the observed events as a new class of recursive narrow CMEs that we call "streamer puffs." EIT 304 angstrom (He II) images indicate that the puffs result from compact ejective flares embedded in the streamer, with the ejections from the flares having velocities 100 --- 200 kilometers per second. Most ejections are closely correlated with coronal "jets" seen at 1.7 solar radii in the UVCS data, and a subset of these ejections and jets correspond to streamer puffs observed in LASCO coronagraph images. There are, however, more compact flares and jets than streamer puffs during the observation period, indicating that only a subset of the flare-associated ejections are energetic enough to escape into the heliosphere.

Sterling, Alphonse C.↗

Wide and Narrow CMEs and Their Source Explosions Observed at the Spring 2003 SOHO-Sun-Ulysses Quadrature

At the time of the spring 2003 Ulysses-SOHO-Sun quadrature, Ulysses was off the East limb of the Sun at 14.5 degrees north latitude and 4.91 AU. LASCO/C2 images show small transient events that originated from near the limb on May 25, 26 and 27 in the north-east quadrant, along with a large Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) that originated from an active region near disk center on May 26. Ulysses data bear clear signatures of the large CME, specifically including an enhanced abundance of highly ionized Fe. SOHO/UVCS spectra at 1.75 solar radii, near the radial direction to Ulysses, give no evidence of emission from high temperature lines, even for the large CME: instead, for the small events, occasional transient high emission in cool lines was observed, such as the CIII 977 Angstrom line usually absent at coronal levels. Each of these events lasted ca. 1 hour or less and never affected lines from ions forming above ca. 106K. Compact eruptions in Helium 304 Angstrom EIT images, related to the small UVCS transients, were observed at the limb of the Sun over the same period. At least one of these surge events produced a narrow CME observed in LASCO/C2. Most probably all these events are compact magnetic explosions (surges/jets, from around a small island of included polarity) which ejected cool material from lower levels. Ulysses data have been analyzed to find evidence of the cool, narrow CME events, but none or little was found. This puzzling scenario, where events seen by UVCS have no in situ counterparts and vice versa, can be partially explained once the region where the large CME originated is recognized as being at the center of the solar disk so that the CME material was actually much further from the Sun than the 1.7 Rsun height of the UVCS slit off the limb. Conversely, the narrow events may simply have missed Ulysses or been too brief for reliable signatures in composition and ionization state. A basic feature demonstrated by these observations is that large magnetic explosions produce wide-angle CMEs whereas compact magnetic explosions produce narrow CMEs. The results show that quadrature observations need some luck to be successfull: that is, events must be in the plane of the sky to allow SOHO/UVCS and Ulysses to sample the same plasma. This will most easily occur in winter 2007 and winter 2008, when the quadrature geometry will allow for prolonged observations.

Suess, Steven↗

The Central Role of Tether-Cutting Reconnection in the Production of CMEs

This viewgraph presentation describes tether-cutting reconnection in the production of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). The topics include: 1) Birth and Release of the CME Plasmoid; 2) Resulting CME in Outer Corona; 3) Governing Role of Surrounding Field; 4) Testable Prediction of the Standard Scenario Magnetic Bubble CME Model; 5) Lateral Pressure in Outer Corona; 6) Measured Angular Widths of 3 CMEs; 7) LASCO Image of each CME at Final Width; 8) Source of the CME of 2002 May 20; 9) Source of the CME of 1999 Feb 9; 10) Source of the CME of 2003 Nov 4; and 11) Test Results.

Moore, Ron↗

New Evidence that CMEs are Self-Propelled Magnetic Bubbles

We briefly describe the "standard model" for the production of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), and our view of how it works. We then summarize pertinent recent results that we have found from SOHO observations of CMEs and the flares at the sources of these magnetic explosions. These results support our interpretation of the standard model: a CME is basically a self-propelled magnetic bubble, a low-beta plasmoitl, that (1) is built and unleashed by the tether-cutting reconnection that builds and heats the coronal flare arcade, (2) can explode from a flare site that is far from centered under the full-blown CME in the outer corona, and (3) drives itself out into the solar wind by pushing on the surrounding coronal magnetic field.

Moore, Ronald L.↗