Advanced Laboratory and Field Arrays: Accelerate the development of next-generation marine energy conversion systems (Task 3)
This task successfully improved the representation of extreme conditions in wave resource characterization. The previous state of the art to characterize extreme conditions was a purely statistical representation of buoy data; Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) techniques are used to extrapolate joint histograms of significant wave height Hs and energy period T e for a given return period. The task confirmed that H s and T e alone are a poor representation of the actual hazards in extreme events, during which WECs many experience significant impacts from wave groups and breaking waves (i.e., it is not simply the largest wave that may produce the worst condition for a WEC). This task improved both prediction of extreme conditions with “third generation” spectral models, such as WAVEWATCHIII and WAM, and observational quantification of the wave breaking impacts during extreme conditions.