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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

PNNL Superfund Research Program Analytics (srpAnalytics Data Release v.1.0)

The OSU/PNNL superfund Research Program represents a longstanding collaboration to quantify Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons at various superfund sites in the Pacific Northwest and assess their potential impact on human health. To link the chemical measurements to biological activity, we describe the use of the zebrafish as a high-throughput developmental model of human exposure that provides quantitative measurements of the biological ramifications of exposure to toxicants. The PNNL Superfund have implemented a dose-response modelling pipeline to calculate benchmark dose parameters that enable the comparison of potency across chemicals and phenotypes. Our portal provides public access to this dataset and an interactive web site designed to enable exploration and re-use of this data by the scientific community at http://srp.pnnl.gov.

OSU-PNNL Superfund Research Program Center SRP↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of shading following installation of agrivoltaic systems on eco-physiological and biochemical attributes of “Howes” cranberry in Massachusetts

Agrivoltaic (AV) systems, which integrate solar energy generation with crop production on the same piece of land, offer a sustainable solution for optimizing land-use efficiency. However, the impact of shading induced by solar panels on crop growth, physiology, and metabolic activities of cranberry is not known. Understanding these interactions is essential for assessing the feasibility of AV systems in cranberry production. In this study we evaluated eco-physiological and biochemical crop responses on a commercial ‘Howes’ cranberry bog grown under an agrivoltaics system using different row spacings in the year immediately following installation. Following installation of fixed tilt solar panels at a height of 3.0 m above the plant canopy, four shading treatments were evaluated: an uncovered control area and row spacings of 9.0 m, 7.0 m, and 5.0 m, corresponding to 30%, 35%, and 37% shading respectively. The shading effect was also evaluated at three different fruit developmental stages (green, blush, and full-red stage). Using microclimate sensors installed in the treatment areas, key eco-physiological and biochemical parameters, including leaf gas exchange, chlorophyll, anthocyanin, and antioxidant content, electrolyte leakage, proline and trehalose accumulation, were assessed. While moderate shading (30% and 35%) alleviated environmental stress, as reflected by improved leaf water status and reduced electrolyte leakage, these same treatments suppressed key physiological and metabolic functions, including photosynthetic activity, carbon reserve accumulation, and the biosynthesis of stress-related osmolytes and antioxidant compounds. Under higher shading (37%), these reductions were even more pronounced, indicating a potential threshold beyond which the benefits of shading are outweighed by declines in assimilate production and secondary metabolism. These findings highlight a trade-off between the stress-mitigating benefits of shading and the alterations in key physiological and metabolic processes under agrivoltaic systems. Minimizing these trade-offs by optimizing row spacing in agrivoltaics systems is critical to maintain cranberry physiological status. Since commercial cranberry is grown as a continuous plant canopy (no interrow spaces for equipment travel), damage caused by the installation process likely impacted crop response evaluated in the first year; multi-year studies are needed to fully understand the dynamics of a dual-use system. Notably, this work provides the first direct measurements of proline, trehalose content, and electrolyte leakage in cranberry grown under AV conditions, offering new insight into their physiological adjustments to shading.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tunable structure and reinforcement of polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) hydrogels using fungal chitin particles

Polysaccharides, including chitin, are one of the most abundant biopolymers in nature and are increasingly recognized as a sustainable alternative to petroleum-derived plastics and synthetic fillers in polymer composites. Traditionally sourced from crustacean shells, chitin offers mechanical strength and biocompatibility with limitations also in processability and functionality. Fungal-derived chitin material represents a promising alternative, with advantages including scalable fermentation on low-cost substrates, absence of shellfish allergens, and tunable molecular architectures that vary by species, developmental stage, and growth environment. Here, in this study, we systematically examined chitinous materials obtained from taxonomically and functionally distinct fungi, Laccaria bicolor, Trichoderma reesei and Rhizopus oryzae, to assess their structural, chemical, and morphological properties as reinforcement agents in polymer composites. Mild alkaline pretreatment was employed to obtain mycelium chitin particles, thereby improving accessibility to chitin and co-occurring β-D-glucans while maintaining microparticle integrity. Comprehensive FTIR and solid-state NMR analyses revealed species-specific differences in chemical composition and microstructure, with R. oryzae exhibiting a unique spectral signature. These fungal-derived chitin were then incorporated into poly(vinyl alcohol) (PVA) hydrogels, where they acted as reinforcing fillers without the need for additional chemical crosslinkers. Comparative evaluation of hydrogel properties demonstrated that fungal chitin significantly enhanced mechanical performance, with all mycelium fillers mitigating the water weakening in PVA hydrogels. R. oryzae-derived composites tripled the hydrogel tensile strength while the submicron fibrous morphology in L. bicolor contributes to over 45 % tensile improvement in dry PVA composites. Our findings highlight the potential of fungal biomass as a tunable, sustainable platform for producing chitin-based reinforcing agents.

Chitin↗
DOE OSTI2024

Diverse PFAS produce unique transcriptomic changes linked to developmental toxicity in zebrafish

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are a widespread and persistent class of contaminants posing significant environmental and human health concerns. Comprehensive understanding of the modes of action underlying toxicity among structurally diverse PFAS is mostly lacking. To address this need, we recently reported on our application of developing zebrafish to evaluate a large library of PFAS for developmental toxicity. In the present study, we prioritized 15 bioactive PFAS that induced significant morphological effects and performed RNA-sequencing to characterize early transcriptional responses at a single timepoint (48 h post fertilization) after early developmental exposures (8 h post fertilization). Internal concentrations of 5 of the 15 PFAS were measured from pooled whole fish samples across multiple timepoints between 24–120 h post fertilization, and additional temporal transcriptomics at several timepoints (48–96 h post fertilization) were conducted for Nafion byproduct 2. A broad range of differentially expressed gene counts were identified across the PFAS exposures. Most PFAS that elicited robust transcriptomic changes affected biological processes of the brain and nervous system development. While PFAS disrupted unique processes, we also found that similarities in some functional head groups of PFAS were associated with the disruption in expression of similar gene sets. Body burdens after early developmental exposures to select sulfonic acid PFAS, including Nafion byproduct 2, increased from the 24–96 h post fertilization sampling timepoints and were greater than those of sulfonamide PFAS of similar chain lengths. In parallel, the Nafion byproduct 2-induced transcriptional responses increased between 48 and 96 h post fertilization. PFAS characteristics based on toxicity, transcriptomic effects, and modes of action will contribute to further prioritization of PFAS structures for testing and informed hazard assessment.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Augmented Monitoring and Condition Assessment Program (AMCAP) - Proof-of-Principle (POP) Mockup for Non-Aluminum Spent Nuclear Fuel Container In-Situ Examinations

A disciplined engineering approach is being followed to develop an engineered system of tooling and sensors, characterization techniques, and deployment subsystems for in-situ inspection of the several container types used for the storage of non-aluminum spent nuclear fuel (NASNF) in L Basin under the Augmented Monitoring and Condition Assessment Program (AMCAP). Inspecting the containers to provide information on their structural condition helps ensure the safe handling and storage of the NASNF containers pending final disposition. This report describes the work performed in the initial two phases of this developmental work, namely the bench scale and proof-of-principle (POP) scale, which focus on sensor selection and the tooling design and fabrication for two remote non-destructive examination (NDE) methods. These methods include visual testing (VT) for a visual examination of the container surfaces and ultrasonic testing (UT) for a n examination to characterize container wall material thickness and flaws.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Carbon Isotope Composition and the NDVI as Phenotyping Approaches for Drought Adaptation in Durum Wheat: Beyond Trait Selection

High-throughput phenotyping platforms provide valuable opportunities to investigate biomass and drought-adaptive traits. We explored the capacity of traits associated with drought adaptation such as aerial measurements of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and carbon isotope composition (δ13C) determined at the leaf level to predict genetic variation in biomass. A panel of 248 elite durum wheat accessions was grown at the Maricopa Phenotyping platform (US) under well-watered conditions until anthesis, and then irrigation was stopped and plot biomass was harvested about three weeks later. Globally, the δ13C values increased from the first to the second sampling date, in keeping with the imposition of progressive water stress. Additionally, δ13C was negatively correlated with final biomass, and the correlation increased at the second sampling, suggesting that accessions with lower water-use efficiency maintained better water status and, thus, performed better. Flowering time affected NDVI predictions of biomass, revealing the importance of developmental stage when measuring the NDVI and the effect that phenology has on its accuracy when monitoring genotypic adaptation to specific environments. The results indicate that in addition to choosing the optimal phenotypic traits, the time at which they are assessed, and avoiding a wide genotypic range in phenology is crucial.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Linkage mapping evidence for a syntenic QTL associated with flowering time in perennial C 4 rhizomatous grasses Miscanthus and switchgrass

Flowering in perennial species is directed via complex signalling pathways that adjust to developmental regulations and environmental cues. Synchronized flowering in certain environments is a prerequisite to commercial seed production, and so the elucidation of the genetic architecture of flowering time in Miscanthus and switchgrass could aid breeding in these underdeveloped species. In this context, we assessed a mapping population in Miscanthus and two ecologically diverse switchgrass mapping populations over 3 years from planting. Multiple flowering time quantitative trait loci (QTL) were identified in both species. Remarkably, the most significant Miscanthus and switchgrass QTL proved to be syntenic, located on linkage groups 4 and 2, with logarithm of odds scores of 17.05 and 21.8 respectively. These QTL regions contained three flowering time transcription factors: Squamosa Promoter-binding protein-Like, MADS-box SEPELLATA2 and gibberellin-responsive bHLH137. The former is emerging as a key component of the age-related flowering time pathway.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Nonparallel transcriptional divergence during parallel adaptation

Abstract How underlying mechanisms bias evolution toward predictable outcomes remains an area of active debate. In this study, we leveraged phenotypic plasticity and parallel adaptation across independent lineages of Trinidadian guppies ( Poecilia reticulata ) to assess the predictability of gene expression evolution during parallel adaptation. Trinidadian guppies have repeatedly and independently adapted to high‐ and low‐predation environments in the wild. We combined this natural experiment with a laboratory breeding design to attribute transcriptional variation to the genetic influences of population of origin and developmental plasticity in response to rearing with or without predators. We observed substantial gene expression plasticity, as well as the evolution of expression plasticity itself, across populations. Genes exhibiting expression plasticity within populations were more likely to also differ in expression between populations, with the direction of population differences more likely to be opposite those of plasticity. While we found more overlap than expected by chance in genes differentially expressed between high‐ and low‐predation populations from distinct evolutionary lineages, the majority of differentially expressed genes were not shared between lineages. Our data suggest alternative transcriptional configurations associated with shared phenotypes, highlighting a role for transcriptional flexibility in the parallel phenotypic evolution of a species known for rapid adaptation.

Fischer, Eva K.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hydrogen Plus Other Alternative Fuels Risk Assessment Models (HyRAM+) (Technical Reference Manual V.4)

The HyRAM+ software toolkit provides a basis for conducting quantitative risk assessment and consequence modeling for hydrogen, methane, and propane infrastructure and transportation systems. HyRAM+ is designed to facilitate the use of state-of-the-art science and engineering models to conduct robust, repeatable assessments of safety, hazards, and risk. HyRAM+ includes generic probabilities for equipment failures, probabilistic models for the impact of heat flux on humans and structures, and experimentally validated first-order models of release and flame physics. HyRAM+ integrates deterministic and probabilistic models for quantifying accident scenarios, predicting physical effects, and characterizing hazards (thermal effects from jet fires, overpressure effects from delayed ignition), and assessing impact on people and structures. HyRAM+ is developed at Sandia National Laboratories to support the development and revision of national and international codes and standards. HyRAM+ is a research software in active development and thus the models and data may change. This report will be updated at appropriate developmental intervals. This document provides a description of the methodology and models contained in HyRAM+ version 4.0. The most significant change for HyRAM+ version 4.0 from HyRAM version 3.1 is the incorporation of other alternative fuels, namely methane (as a proxy for natural gas) and propane into the toolkit. This change necessitated significant changes to the installable graphical user interface as well as changes to the back-end Python models. A second major change is the inclusion of physics models for the overpressure associated with the delayed ignition of an unconfined jet/plume of flammable gas.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2024

Cuticle development and the underlying transcriptome–metabolome associations during early seedling establishment

Abstract The plant cuticle is a complex extracellular lipid barrier that has multiple protective functions. This study investigated cuticle deposition by integrating metabolomics and transcriptomics data gathered from six different maize seedling organs of four genotypes, the inbred lines B73 and Mo17, and their reciprocal hybrids. These datasets captured the developmental transition of the seedling from heterotrophic skotomorphogenic growth to autotrophic photomorphogenic growth, a transition that is highly vulnerable to environmental stresses. Statistical interrogation of these data revealed that the predominant determinant of cuticle composition is seedling organ type, whereas the seedling genotype has a smaller effect on this phenotype. Gene-to-metabolite associations assessed by integrated statistical analyses identified three gene networks associated with the deposition of different elements of the cuticle: cuticular waxes; monomers of lipidized cell wall biopolymers, including cutin and suberin; and both of these elements. These gene networks reveal three metabolic programs that appear to support cuticle deposition, including processes of chloroplast biogenesis, lipid metabolism, and molecular regulation (e.g. transcription factors, post-translational regulators, and phytohormones). This study demonstrates the wider physiological metabolic context that can determine cuticle deposition and lays the groundwork for new targets for modulating the properties of this protective barrier.

Plant Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2024

Application of printed strain gauges in prototypical nuclear reactor conditions

This report discusses the current development and testing of additively manufactured temperature sensors and resistive/ capacitive strain gauges. This has potential to improve the sensor design and manufacturing techniques to meet the requirements of in-pile monitoring of mechanical properties and structural health of materials and specimens in current and advanced nuclear test reactors (i.e., in terms of environment conditions, sample geometry, and materials compatibility). The developmental additively manufactured strain gauges are exposed to separate effects testing (i.e., mechanical strain (up to 1000 µe), high temperature (up to 700 °C)) to determine environmental factors that affect the performance of the strain gauge. The robustness and integrity of a printed strain gauge layer exposed to a molten salt environment for up to 500 hours was evaluated, with the goal of assessing material compatibility of printed strain sensors for instrumented surveillance test articles in molten salt reactors. In addition, sensor qualification methodologies are further developed for determining the reliability and robustness at the interface of the additively manufactured strain gauge materials.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Characterization of Mammalian In Vivo Enhancers Using Mouse Transgenesis and CRISPR Genome Editing [Book Chapter]

Embryonic morphogenesis is strictly dependent on tight spatiotemporal control of developmental gene expression, which is typically achieved through the concerted activity of multiple enhancers driving cell type-specific expression of a target gene. Mammalian genomes are organized in topologically associated domains, providing a preferred environment and framework for interactions between transcriptional enhancers and gene promoters. While epigenomic profiling and three-dimensional chromatin conformation capture have significantly increased the accuracy of identifying enhancers, assessment of subregional enhancer activities via transgenic reporter assays in mice remains the gold standard for assigning enhancer activity in vivo. Once this activity is defined, the ideal method to explore the functional necessity of a transcriptional enhancer and its contribution to target gene dosage and morphological or physiological processes is deletion of the enhancer sequence from the mouse genome. Here we present detailed protocols for efficient introduction of enhancer-reporter transgenes and CRISPR-mediated genomic deletions into the mouse genome, including a step-by-step guide for pronuclear microinjection of fertilized mouse eggs. We provide instructions for the assembly and genomic integration of enhancer-reporter cassettes that have been used for validation of thousands of putative enhancer sequences accessible through the VISTA enhancer browser, including a recently published method for robust site-directed transgenesis at the H11 safe-harbor locus. Together, these methods enable rapid and large-scale assessment of enhancer activities and sequence variants in mice, which is essential to understand mammalian genome function and genetic diseases.

cis-regulatory elements↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hydrogen Risk Assessment Models (HyRAM) (Version 3.0 Technical Reference Manual)

The HyRAM software toolkit provides a basis for conducting quantitative risk assessment and consequence modeling for hydrogen infrastructure and transportation systems. HyRAM is designed to facilitate the use of state-of-the-art science and engineering models to conduct robust, repeatable assessments of hydrogen safety, hazards, and risk. HyRAM includes generic probabilities for hydrogen equipment failures, probabilistic models for the impact of heat flux on humans and structures, and computationally and experimentally validated first-order models of hydrogen release and flame physics. HyRAM integrates deterministic and probabilistic models for quantifying accident scenarios, predicting physical effects, and characterizing hydrogen hazards (thermal effects from jet fires, overpressure effects from deflagrations), and assessing impact on people and structures. HyRAM is developed at Sandia National Laboratories for the U.S. Department of Energy to increase access to technical data about hydrogen safety and to enable the use of that data to support development and revision of national and international codes and standards. HyRAM is a research software in active development and thus the models and data may change. This report will be updated at appropriate developmental intervals. This document provides a description of the methodology and models contained in the HyRAM version 3.0. HyRAM 3.0 includes the new ability to model cryogenic hydrogen releases from liquid hydrogen systems, using a different property calculation method and different equations of state. Other changes include modifications to the ignition probability calculations, component leak frequency calculations, and addition of default impulse data.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hydrogen Risk Assessment Models (HyRAM) (V.3.1) (Technical Reference Manual)

The HyRAM software toolkit provides a basis for conducting quantitative risk assessment and consequence modeling for hydrogen infrastructure and transportation systems. HyRAM is designed to facilitate the use of state-of-the-art science and engineering models to conduct robust, repeatable assessments of hydrogen safety, hazards, and risk. HyRAM includes generic probabilities for hydrogen equipment failures, probabilistic models for the impact of heat flux on humans and structures, and experimentally validated first-order models of hydrogen release and flame physics. HyRAM integrates deterministic and probabilistic models for quantifying accident scenarios, predicting physical effects, and characterizing hydrogen hazards (thermal effects from jet res, overpressure effects from deflagrations), and assessing impact on people and structures. HyRAM is developed at Sandia National Laboratories for the U.S. Department of Energy to increase access to technical data about hydrogen safety and to enable the use of that data to support development and revision of national and international codes and standards. HyRAM is a research software in active development and thus the models and data may change. This report will be updated at appropriate developmental intervals. This document provides a description of the methodology and models contained in HyRAM version 3.1. There have been several impactful updates since version 3.0. HyRAM 3.1 contains a correction to use the volume fraction for two-phase speed of sound calculations; this only affects cryogenic releases in which two-phase ow (vapor and liquid) is predicted in the orifice. Other changes include clarifications that inputs for tank pressure should be given in absolute pressure, not gauge pressure. Additionally, the interface now rejects invalid inputs to probability distributions, and the less accurate single-point radiative source model selection was removed from the interface.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of developmental methylmercury exposure on avian embryonic development, hatchling growth, and survival

Abstract Methylmercury (MeHg) is a globally ubiquitous and persistent environmental toxicant that negatively affects animal behavior, health, and reproduction. In birds, MeHg is transferred from female to egg, contaminating embryos during sensitive stages of early embryonic development and growth. This toxic exposure in the prenatal environment not only induces mortality but also possible lasting impacts on physiology, health, and survival, even once hatched. The purpose of our study was to further elucidate the negative effects of MeHg exposure during avian embryonic development and explore how such exposure can impact offspring development, growth, and survival, both in ovo and posthatch. To assess this, we experimentally dosed fertile mallard and wood duck eggs with MeHg II chloride and reared developing embryos and ducklings to various endpoints. We found that embryos not only readily accumulated MeHg throughout incubation, but they also displayed varying dose-dependent disparities in body mass and morphometrics, with control individuals being larger during early and late embryonic stages of development (p < 0.05). Furthermore, hatched offspring exposed to MeHg exhibited increasingly slower growth rates between 7 to 10 and 10 to 15 days posthatch (p < 0.05), and were found to have lower survival probabilities both under controlled laboratory conditions (p < 0.005), and in the natural environment (p < 0.05). Our findings on the detrimental effects of MeHg on avian embryos and hatchlings emphasize the need for more proactive means of environmental protection and remediation to protect vulnerable avian populations and the ecosystems they inhabit.

Leaphart, James C.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Phyllosphere exudates select for distinct microbiome members in sorghum epicuticular wax and aerial root mucilage

Phyllosphere exudates create specialized microhabitats that shape microbial community diversity. We explored the microbiome associated with two sorghum phyllosphere exudates, the epicuticular wax and aerial root mucilage. We assessed the microbiome associated with the wax from sorghum plants over two growth stages, and the root mucilage additionally from nitrogen-fertilized and non-fertilized plants. In parallel, we isolated and characterized hundreds of bacteria from wax and mucilage, and integrated data from cultivation-independent and cultivation-dependent approaches to gain insights into exudate diversity and bacterial phenotypes. We found that Sphingomonadaceae and Rhizobiaceae families were the major taxa in the wax regardless of water availability and plant developmental stage to plants. The cultivation-independent mucilage-associated bacterial microbiome contained Erwiniaceae, Flavobacteriaceae, Rhizobiaceae, Pseudomonadaceae, Sphingomonadaceae, and its structure was strongly influenced by sorghum development but only modestly influenced by fertilization. In contrast, the fungal community structure of mucilage was strongly affected by the year of sampling but not by fertilization or plant developmental stage, suggesting a decoupling of fungal-bacterial dynamics in the mucilage. Our bacterial isolate collection from wax and mucilage had several isolates that matched 100% to detected amplicon sequence variants, and were enriched on media that selected for phenotypes including phosphate solubilization, putative diazotrophy, resistance to desiccation, capability to grow on methanol as a carbon source, and ability to grow in the presence of linalool and β-caryophyllene (terpenes in sorghum wax). This work expands our understanding of the microbiome of phyllosphere exudates and supports our long-term goal to translate microbiome research to support sorghum cultivation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Report on Data Quality Required for Modeling an MSR

Calculations were performed to assess how uncertainties in molten salt property values impact the results of behavior models of molten salt reactor systems under steady-state conditions. The thermophysical and thermochemical properties of salt mixtures being considered for use in molten salt reactors are not yet well characterized and methods used to measure property values to molten salts are not yet well established. The limited property data for salts of interest that are available in the literature are inconsistent and unreliable. Many methods used to measure property values remain developmental in the sense that not all variables affecting measured values have been identified or controlled during the measurement and not all aspects of the measurements affecting data quality are calibrated. A prior report described the repeatability of measurements made at Argonne and the reproducibility of measurements made with the same salts at several institutions is being evaluated. There is significant uncertainty in measured property values due to instrumental limitations and the effects of contaminants in the salts used to make the measurements that impacts predictions of salt behavior in a reactor. Most salts of interest are multicomponent eutectic or near-eutectic mixtures and both uncertainty in the salt composition and uncertainty in measured values. Furthermore, the salt composition evolves over time due to the uptake of impurities from the atmosphere and corrosion of containment vessels. More significantly, fission products will accumulate during operation that change the salt compositions and property values. MSR developers need to understand how this uncertainty in the basic property data of the fuel will impact modeling predictions for normal reactor operation as well was in transient scenarios that will impact the safety basis. The calculations and analyses in this report address the impact of uncertainty in measured property values under steady-state conditions through a generalized parametric study. The pooled uncertainty from contributions by a number of factors were considered and quantified, including varying composition due to impurities and fission products, imprecision in the measured values, and uncontrolled aspects of the measurement. In this way, we can begin to gain an understanding of the magnitude of the impact uncertainty will have in modeling MSR systems.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A method for assessing economic, environmental, and reliability tradeoffs of interregional transmission connecting ERCOT (the Texas grid) to the eastern and western grids

Reliable development of the power grid is an evolving concern for humanity due to extreme weather that frequently threatens power sector infrastructure. The state of Texas is a uniquely structured testbed for grid planners to study when looking for solutions to development, innovation, and overcoming such challenges. Because of its size and islanded structure, Texas is small enough to model, but big enough to matter. Texas is a global leader in energy production, energy consumption, and maintains an unusually diverse fuel mix. In addition, the state has experienced winter freezes, heat waves, wind storms, droughts and floods that have threatened power sector infrastructure or caused recent blackouts and calls for demand side conservation. One of the most devastating of these events was the North American winter storm, dubbed “Winter Storm Uri” by the Weather Channel, that froze the region in February 2021 and led to an extended power outage event that put the majority of Texan residents in darkness for days. While preparing to avoid such outage events in the future, various tools have been proposed to improve grid reliability, including energy efficiency, demand response, and distributed energy resources. An additional option would be to develop interregional transmission that connects the Texas grid to other national grids. To assess the merits of this idea, we developed a novel, universally-applicable and internationally-relevant framework to study how the Texas grid would evolve alongside access to various interregional ties. This method allows us to stress the synthetic grid structure and analyze how it would respond to the shock of a simulated winter storm event. Our method leverages open-source modeling tools, such as PowerGenome, pyGRETA, and GenX to synthesize unique zonal grid data, construct a consolidated network of model regions, and simulate different developmental pathways of capacity expansion and operational dispatch. We demonstrate our method with an analysis connecting the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), the grid that serves most of Texas, the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC), the grid that serves the western half of the contiguous U.S., and the Eastern Interconnect, the grid that serves the eastern half of the contiguous U.S. Our results indicate that the cost-optimal capacity of interregional transmission connecting the ERCOT grid to other grids lies between 9–13 GW assuming baseline conditions. Building this amount of connecting capacity in one or multiple directions lowers the costs and emissions of development and operation by up to $16 billion and 257 million metric tonnes (MMT) respectively. Additionally, our results show that the interregional connections between ERCOT and other national grids reduce the amount of total load shed required through mild winter storm events. However, our results also show that there is a threshold of very extreme winter storm conditions, spanning multiple service areas, above which the connections exacerbate resource adequacy problems. Therefore, the results indicate that the connections need to be carefully planned alongside the rest of the grid infrastructure to avoid over-reliance on specific resources or technology options.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗