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At least 37 records · Page 2

Impact of model predictive control-enabled home energy management on large-scale distribution systems with photovoltaics

Residential customers use more than one-quarter of the electricity in the world. Optimally managing home energy consumption is an effective way of easing the operational challenges facing the electric grid with increasing solar photovoltaics (PV). This paper studies the impact of the future proliferation of home energy management systems (HEMS) in the presence of PV on large-scale distribution systems. First, we present a stochastic HEMS model that minimizes residential customers' thermal discomfort and energy costs under uncertainty. The HEMS model schedules the optimal operations of residential appliances in the presence of PV within a mixed-integer linear programming-based model predictive control framework that links the proposed HEMS to a quasi-steady-state time-series simulation tool. Additionally, extensive simulations are conducted for a stand-alone residential home using two tariff structures and for 1977 homes on an 8,500-node distribution feeder. Simulation results quantify the impact of the future proliferation of HEMS on the large-scale distribution system with PV.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Sensitivity Analysis of Occupant Preferences on Energy Usage in Residential Buildings: Preprint

Residential buildings, accounting for 37% of the total electricity consumption in the United States, are suitable for demand-side management (DSM) programs to support effective and economical operation of the power system. A home energy management system (HEMS) enables residential buildings to participate in such programs. It is important to account for occupant preferences in HEMS to ensure occupant satisfaction while participating in DSM programs. For example, people who prefer a higher thermal comfort level are likely to consume more energy. In this study, we used foresee™, a HEMS developed by the National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), to perform a sensitivity analysis of occupant preferences with the following objectives: minimize utility cost, minimize carbon footprint, and maximize thermal comfort. To incorporate the preferences into the HEMS, the SMARTER method was used to derive a set of weighting factors for each objective. We performed week-long building energy simulations using a model of a home in Fort Collins, Colorado, where there is mandatory time-of-use electricity rate structure. The foreseeTM HEMS was used to control the home with six different sets of occupant preferences. The study shows that occupant preferences can have a significant impact and is important to consider when modeling residential buildings. Results show that the HEMS could achieve energy reduction ranging from 3% to 21%, cost savings ranging from 5% to 24%, and carbon emission reduction ranging from 3% to 21%, while maintaining a low thermal discomfort level ranging from 0.78 K-hour to 6.47 K-hour in a one-week period during winter. These outcomes quantify the impact of varying occupant preferences and will be useful for controlling the electrical grid and developing HEMS solutions.

carbon footprint↗

Analysis of Building Model Forecasts using Autonomous HVAC Optimization System for Residential Neighborhood

Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems account for the highest share of home energy consumption in the United States. Optimized HVAC control can provide thermal improved comfort to the occupants, improve energy efficiency, reduce energy cost, and support grid services. In this paper, we discuss a multi-agent and cloud-based software framework that has been deployed in occupied residential neighborhood. This system enables automatic data collection, learning, optimization, and dispatches signals to neighborhood devices. HVAC optimization is based on model predictive control (MPC). Since the operational performance of MPC depends on model forecasting accuracy, it is crucial to evaluate the model continuously and modify or retrain it as necessary. In this research, we developed an automated workflow to evaluate the performance of temperature and power forecasts based on measured data in the real world. This will provide researchers with a deeper understanding of the model and how it can be improved.

Lebakula, Viswadeep↗

Building Energy Modeling Enhancements to Identify Least-Cost Pathways to Net-Zero Carbon Homes: Preprint

Residential grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEBs) can utilize high levels of energy efficiency and demand flexibility to deliver value to occupants, the grid, and society. However, without the ability to analyze, design, and optimize residential GEBs there is a risk that homes will not realize their full potential value as efficient and dynamic resources, which could ultimately lead to higher than necessary energy costs for U.S. households and lower realization of potential energy efficiency and demand flexibility benefits such as increased convenience/automation, thermal comfort, durability, indoor air quality, and resilience. In 2018, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) Residential Modeling Team developed a vision for an open source Residential GEB Analytics Platform built within DOE's EnergyPlus and OpenStudio modeling environment that would enable the design and optimization of residential GEBs, including the identification of least-cost pathways to highly energy-efficient and energy-flexible homes (e.g., net zero carbon homes). We created a detailed workplan for the development of new and enhanced residential GEB component-level models for EnergyPlus and OpenStudio needed to progress toward the vision for the analytics platform while delivering near-term benefits to industry. This paper 1) presents the vision for the platform, summarizing the workplan for residential GEB modeling enhancements; 2) highlights significant advancements that have been achieved between 2018 and 2022, including stochastic residential occupancy modeling, flexible water heater modeling, detailed lithium-ion stationary battery modeling, and realistic residential HVAC modeling; and 3) outlines ongoing efforts and next steps toward the full vision for the platform.

building energy modeling↗

Developing a Composite Vacuum Insulated Panel (VIP) Insulation/Vinyl Siding Composite Technology for Retrofitting Residential Walls

This paper reports on a project that has attempted to seize on an opportunity to take a giant leap forward in commercializing a technology that would address a key opportunity to achieve energy savings in the existing residential housing stock. It is typically very difficult to increase the R-value of the walls in existing residential housing as doing so from the inside is disruptive and there have not been good solutions to increase thermal envelope performance from the exterior through adding continuous insulation due to the additional work required to fit existing architectural features to the new wall thickness and to reclad the façade. A high thermal resistivity or R-value per inch product that can be used in these applications offers an excellent solution.This paper summarizes a three-year research project to a produce vacuum insulated panel (VIP)/vinyl siding that would have sufficient R-value to meet the continuous insulation requirements of the 2018 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC, 2018) in all climate zones and has a much thinner profile that will facilitate its application to existing residential homes without the need for expensive retrimming of the architectural details. The paper will supply information on the development of the technology, its thermal modelling, testing, voice of user sessions to solicit input from architects, designers, manufacturers, contractors, and installers, and a techno-economic analysis to gauge its competitiveness with existing product options.

Desjarlais, Andre Omer↗

Developing a Composite Vacuum Insulated Panel (VIP) Insulation/Vinyl Siding Composite Technology for Retrofitting Residential Walls

This paper reports on a project that has attempted to seize on an opportunity to take a giant leap forward in commercializing a technology that would address a key opportunity to achieve energy savings in the existing residential housing stock. It is typically very difficult to increase the R-value of the walls in existing residential housing as doing so from the inside is disruptive and there have not been good solutions to increase thermal envelope performance from the exterior through adding continuous insulation due to the additional work required to fit existing architectural features to the new wall thickness and to reclad the facade. A high thermal resistivity or R-value per inch product that can be used in these applications offers an excellent solution. This paper summarizes a three-year research project to a produce vacuum insulated panel (VIP)/vinyl siding that would have sufficient R-value to meet the continuous insulation requirements of the 2018 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC, 2018) in all climate zones and has a much thinner profile that will facilitate its application to existing residential homes without the need for expensive retrimming of the architectural details. The paper will supply information on the development of the technology, its thermal modelling, testing, voice of user sessions to solicit input from architects, designers, manufacturers, contractors, and installers, and a techno-economic analysis to gauge its competitiveness with existing product options.

Desjarlais, Andre↗

Modeling and Analysis of a Heat Pump Clothes Dryer with Thermal Energy Storage

Clothes drying is an energy-intensive process that causes significant electricity consumption and carbon emissions in the US. Approximately 83% of Households in the US own a tumble clothes dryer at home and 80% of dryers are electrical resistance dryers with low energy efficiency. Heat pump technology makes it possible for highly efficient and clean drying. Additionally, the ventless design of heat pump clothes dryers (HPCD) provides more installation flexibility. HPCD involves three primary mediums: wet clothes, a closed air loop, and a refrigerant circuit. The evaporator is used to dehumidify the wet air and the condenser is used to re-heat the dry air. One of the critical technological barriers to HPCD market penetration is its long drying time, primarily due to the relatively low discharging temperature and the slow response during the warm-up period. In this study, the thermal energy storage (TES) technology is adopted to address this challenge by providing pre-heating of air prior to the condenser to increase the operating temperature of the process air. The heat pump will charge the phase change material (PCM) in the TES device with heating energy during clothes washing and the PCM will discharge the stored heat to facilitate air heating during clothes drying. To analyze the optimal design and potential for energy saving and drying time reduction, a mathematical model of the HPCD system was developed. The HPCD is a highly dynamic system with a coupled heat and mass transfer and heat pumping cycle. This paper provides solutions to simulate the transient behavior of the system while maintaining low computational cost. The modeling result indicates reduced energy consumption and drying time by integrating TES with HPCD, as compared to electrical resistance dryers. The study can provide significant insights into improving building flexibility with TES and smart appliances.

Liu, Xiaoli↗

Scaling Deep Energy Retrofits for Residential Walls - Energy, Cost, and Economic Assessment of Five Wall Systems

Providing strong economic and performance value is a primary challenge of convincing homeowners to implement deep energy retrofits to their wall systems. This study combines energy modeling and technoeconomic assessment of six experimental residential retrofit wall systems to typical existing homes in cold climates to evaluate their energy performance and cost effectiveness. Deep energy retrofits can significantly improve the energy performance of a home’s thermal envelope, help manage indoor environmental pollutants, increase homeowner comfort, increase building value, and register significant energy and cost savings in the process. We are evaluating exterior wall retrofit components and construction practices to measure and recommend steps to improve financial performance for manufacturers, installers and consumers. This study leverages a literature review, inputs from an advisory group made up of thermal enclosure experts, and simulations to identify state-of-the-art technologies for energy efficient wall systems that are suitable for cold and very cold climate zones. This paper will present results from energy modeling of six experimental wall systems compared to one baseline, that inform cost and energy performance of the subject wall systems.

Ganguli, Sumitrra↗

Accelerating Adoption of Energy-Efficient Technology with the Thermalize Model

The accelerating impacts of climate change destabilize food systems and ecosystems alongside the communities that rely on them. Thus, climate resilience is a health equity issue at both a physical (relating to biological impacts of pollution and environmental degradation) and a cultural level (loss of subsistence lifestyles, languages, etc). With roughly 20% of US energy-related greenhouse gas emissions stemming from heating, cooling, and powering households, accessible energy-efficient home retrofits are a critical element of climate change mitigation strategies. For communities already producing electricity from renewable sources, like Juneau, incentivizing ductless heat pump upgrades and energy efficiency retrofits provides an accessible pathway to transition households away from oil heating and drastically reduce emissions. Thermalize Juneau is a pilot program that will explore a repeatable framework for accelerating the adoption of energy-efficient technology in Alaska communities. This poster will describe Thermalize Juneau's goals and framework, progress through spring 2021, and future plans.

ductless heat pumps↗

Development and Evaluation of Occupancy-Aware HVAC Control for Residential Building Energy Efficiency and Occupant Comfort

Occupancy-aware heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) control offers the opportunity to reduce energy use without sacrificing thermal comfort. Residential HVAC systems often use manually-adjusted or constant setpoint temperatures, which heat and cool the house regardless of whether it is needed. By incorporating occupancy-awareness into HVAC control, heating and cooling can be used for only those time periods it is needed. Yet, bringing this technology to fruition is dependent on accurately predicting occupancy. Non-probabilistic prediction models offer an opportunity to use collected occupancy data to predict future occupancy profiles. Smart devices, such as a connected thermostat, which already include occupancy sensors, can be used to provide a continually growing collection of data that can then be harnessed for short-term occupancy prediction by compiling and creating a binary occupancy prediction. Real occupancy data from six homes located in Colorado is analyzed and investigated using this occupancy prediction model. Results show that non-probabilistic occupancy models in combination with occupancy sensors can be combined to provide a hybrid HVAC control with savings on average of 5.0% and without degradation of thermal comfort. Model predictive control provides further opportunities, with the ability to adjust the relative importance between thermal comfort and energy savings to achieve savings between 1% and 13.3% depending on the relative weighting between thermal comfort and energy savings. In all cases, occupancy prediction allows the opportunity for a more intelligent and optimized strategy to residential HVAC control.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Occupancy-Based Controls for an All-Electric Residential Community in a Cold Climate

In residential buildings, rapid improvements in sensors, communication, and information technology have enabled occupancy-based building controls. These controls utilize occupancy information and modify the operation of the heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) system to minimize excess HVAC energy use, especially when the building is unoccupied. This reduces the total building energy consumption and utility bills while maintaining thermal comfort. In this paper, we present two novel occupancy-driven controls - reactive control and predictive control - and compare their performance. We model an all-electric residential community based on a 27- home community in Basalt, Colorado, in the United States. We simulated various scenarios, considering different temperature setback and control algorithms, to analyze the community-scale impact of these occupancy-based controls. The results show that total HVAC energy savings in a building ranges from 1%- 20% compared to the baseline scenario without occupancy-based controls. The energy-saving potential is highly correlated with the occupancy pattern and temperature setback in the building.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION↗

Occupancy-Based Controls for an All-Electric Residential Community in a Cold Climate: Preprint

In residential buildings, rapid improvements in sensors, communication, and information technology have enabled occupancy-based building controls. These controls utilize occupancy information and modify the operation of the heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) system to minimize excess HVAC energy use, especially when the building is unoccupied. This reduces the total building energy consumption and utility bills while maintaining thermal comfort. In this paper, we present two novel occupancy-driven controls - reactive control and predictive control - and compare their performance. We model an all-electric residential community based on a 27- home community in Basalt, Colorado, in the United States. We simulated various scenarios, considering different temperature setback and control algorithms, to analyze the community-scale impact of these occupancy-based controls. The results show that total HVAC energy savings in a building ranges from 1%- 20% compared to the baseline scenario without occupancy-based controls. The energy-saving potential is highly correlated with the occupancy pattern and temperature setback in the building.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION↗

Cool rooms for indoor heat resilience: Evaluating affordable cooling strategies in heat-stressed California homes

Extreme heat conditions pose significant indoor survivability challenges for resource-constrained communities, which often lack access to cooling, have poorly insulated homes, and face compounding socioeconomic vulnerabilities. Moreover, concurrent power outages worsen health risks and heat-related illnesses. It is therefore crucial to develop innovative and affordable cooling approaches to protect vulnerable populations. This study assesses the efficacy of “cool rooms”– a designated space within a home equipped with passive and low-power active cooling measures to maintain safe indoor temperatures during extreme heat events and power disruptions. Using a physics-based building energy modeling approach, we evaluate the efficacy of various retrofit packages in maintaining thermal safety within the cool room under recent extreme heat conditions. The results indicate that passive measures can reduce 64% of hours with unmet standard effective temperatures, while the combination of passive and low-power active measures with built-in batteries further cuts this to 86%. Nevertheless, these strategies remain insufficient to maintain indoor thermal safety during extended outages. In contrast, integrating a solar-powered mini-split heat pump, whose technical potential was evaluated in this study, reduces indoor air temperatures below the 28 °C overheating threshold and significantly improves indoor habitability. The localized cool room strategy also offers potential for grid resilience by reducing peak electricity demand by up to 70% compared to whole house cooling during heat waves. The findings can inform the development of actionable heat mitigation plans and retrofit policies for residential communities with relatively low adoption of air conditioning such as warm marine climates.

Cool room↗

Modeling Needs to Support the Reconstruction Strategy of Ukraine

Ukraine has been facing difficult times. Russia started a full-scale invasion on February 24, 2022, and has caused huge human and infrastructure losses. As a result of the invasion, more than 8 million people left their homes. The Russian army has targeted Ukrainian energy sources, destroying or damaging over 50% of thermal power generation capacity (coal and gas), 30% of solar generation, and 90% of wind generation. The Russians are also threatening Ukrainian energy security, as they currently control the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant – Europe’s largest. In addition, Russia has destroyed 121,000 buildings, including 5,300 multistory buildings - more buildings than Ukraine built during the past five years. The occupiers destroyed or damaged 343 district heat boiler stations (destroyed 12 / damaged 331) and 8 CHPs (destroyed 4/ damaged 4). There is no doubt that Ukraine will be able to protect its sovereignty and restore its territorial integrity; however, this will be a long process. The Government of Ukraine needs to simultaneously focus on many issues, from waging war to the restoration of electricity, water, and heat supply in the territories close to the front line. In addition to these time-sensitive issues, the government also needs to plan a long term multi-sector strategy for the reconstruction of Ukraine’s economy. Ukraine initiated a broad-based political process for recovery at the International Ukraine Recovery Conference (URC 2022) in Lugano, Switzerland. Prior to URC 2022, Ukraine applied for EU membership on February 28 and was granted the status of candidate country by the European Council on June 23, 2022. More than 40 nations are fully committed to supporting Ukraine throughout its path from early to long-term recovery. In addition, these countries link a successful recovery to Ukraine’s European future (URC, 2022a). The reconstruction process will be long. The government also recognizes that it is not enough to build energy infrastructure back – it should be built back better. The government is committed to building a more sustainable and cleaner energy sector. Energy modeling can provide important insights into paths to decarbonize Ukraine’s economy while rebuilding it after the war. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and the Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (IEF) work on modeling decarbonization scenarios in the energy sector of Ukraine. The teams focus on the heat sector, which includes district heat, autonomous and individual heating, and energy consumption by final energy consumption sectors, including buildings. Since the teams use world-class integrated assessment models, other sectors will be analyzed as well. The purpose of the document is to describe the needs of key Ukrainian ministries in modeling the reconstruction process. The scope of this document is limited to modeling energy consumption by the power and heat sectors, final energy consumption by buildings, and GHG emissions from these two sectors. The rest of this policy memo is organized as follows. After this introduction, Chapter 2 discusses key provisions of the reconstruction strategy with a focus on energy, buildings, heat supply, environment, and European integration aspirations. Section 3 provides an overview of recent developments and key decisions of the Government of Ukraine in the area of energy efficiency and decarbonization. Finally, Section 4 provides key suggestions on how PNNL and IEF can help the Government of Ukraine in developing strategic documents.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Analysis of predicted mean vote-based model predictive control for residential HVAC systems

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is an advanced process control method that has attracted much attention in building heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. Here, this paper analyzes the optimal precooling performance in residential buildings using MPC with two different comfort indices, namely, temperature and predicted mean vote (PMV). It first formulates, for each comfort index, an optimization problem that accounts for different factors, such as weather, home thermal condition, prediction horizon, time-of use (TOU) utility rate, and rated cooling capacity. The problem is then solved, resulting in an MPC strategy that determines the HVAC on/off control signal and minimizes energy cost over a receding time horizon while maintaining thermal comfort. The energy performance difference between temperature-based and PMV-based MPC strategies is subsequently investigated, especially in light of the interior wall surface temperature and under different combinations of the factors. Extensive simulation results demonstrated that the proposed MPC strategies are adaptive and their performances depend primarily on weather, home thermal condition, and prediction horizon, while the impact of TOU utility rate and rated cooling capacity is relatively small. Because the PMV-based MPC strategy can take advantage of the lower interior wall surface temperature due to precooling, it resulted in 8–45% cost savings for the scenarios investigated and an average increase of 0.042–0.113 in the absolute value of the PMV index compared to the temperature-based MPC strategy.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The Cost of Comfort in Your Home: Peak-Time Energy and Cost Savings from Setpoint Adjustment of Space Heating and Cooling

This poster presents the tradeoff between energy costs and thermal comfort in homes. Residential heating and cooling systems use a thermostat control to maintain a comfortable temperature range, but tighter temperature control leads to higher annual energy costs. We estimate the impact of temperature setpoint adjustment on annual energy costs using a residential building model developed at NREL. We show that increasing the allowable temperature range reduces energy costs in all five of the climate zones in the U.S. Annual costs reduced by about $100, with larger savings in areas with more heating and/or cooling loads.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

C2C Expert Match Technical Assistance: City of Reading, Pennsylvania [Slides]

The City of Reading, located in southeastern Pennsylvania, is the main city in the Greater Reading Area and the county seat of Berks County, with a population of approximately 95,112 as of 2020. Historically a disinvested manufacturing community, it has a poverty rate of around 40%, a housing stock averaging 90 years old, and an owner-occupied housing rate below 40%. In 2019, Reading adopted a resolution to achieve 100% renewable energy by 2050. The city aims to transition residential, small commercial, and small manufacturing sectors to renewable energy for electricity and heating, bypassing natural gas. This C2C Expert Match aimed to improve the energy efficiency and comfort of older rowhomes in Reading, which often rely on home heating oil and lack cooling systems. A representative energy model of a typical rowhome was developed to evaluate retrofit strategies focused on reducing overheating risk, as well as the potential impacts of heat pump installation. Additionally, resources such as case studies and best practices on energy efficiency, thermal resilience, and electrification retrofits were gathered to support the implementation of effective measures in the community.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗