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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

FLEX-FUEL MIXING CONTROLLED COMBUSTION ENABLED BY PRECHAMBER IGNITION

There is an imminent need to displace fossil diesel fuel with cleaner burning, domestically produced, renewable fuels for use in heavy-duty engines. Bioethanol is a prime candidate as it widely adopted in the U.S. as a gasoline additive ranging in volume percentage from 10% (E10) up to 85% (E85). Direct substitution of market available ethanol-gasoline blends for diesel fuel is not plausible as the stark reactivity differences would not constitute the same ignition quality nor achieve auto-ignition at all. This work focuses on the development of prechamber enabled mixing-controlled combustion (PC-MCC) as an advanced combustion strategy to facilitate reliable ignition and diffusion style combustion ethanol-gasoline fuel blends. PC-MCC involves integration of an actively fueled prechamber (PC) into a conventional compression ignition combustion system. When ignited, the PC ejects hot turbulent jets into the main combustion chamber that then interact with the direct injected fuel, prompting immediate ignition. The PC jet flames provide a robust thermal ignition source that allows the engine to operate agnostic of fuel composition, or flex-fuel. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling was used to assess critical design features of the PC while garnering insights into the ignition strategies that facilitate robust performance. A key finding was the ignition performance benefits of fuel-rich PC operation which yield exothermic jets. Based on the numerical findings, a prototype igniter was tested experimentally on both single and multi-cylinder engine platforms at a variety of operating conditions. The experimental results indicate flex-fuel PC-MCC is well capable of diesel-like combustion processes by demonstrating matched or improved gross thermal efficiencies and load variability within 2%. Fuel grade ethanol (E98) exhibited consistently lower NOx and immeasurable soot across the load space. E98 also demonstrated a significant improvement in thermal efficiency at light loads.

Zeman, Jared↗
DOE OSTI2024

Effects of spatiotemporal plasma power distribution on the modeling of ignition kernel evolution in quiescent and turbulent methane/air mixtures

Abstract The present work improves a phenomenological plasma-assisted combustion model by integrating the spatiotemporal distribution of plasma power density, thereby considering the evolution of plasma streamers in the modeling, and subsequently, better predicting the ignition kernel evolution. The improved phenomenological model is validated against experiments representing the plasma discharge and post-discharge ignition kernel evolution. Specifically, the new model demonstrates a more accurate prediction of ultrafast gas heating and O 2 dissociation during the plasma discharge, compared to the original model. In addition, the new model is found to closely match the experimental pressure wave and heated channel profiles post-discharge without the need for tuning the energy deposition (unlike the original model), highlighting its accuracy of post-discharge ignition kernel dynamics. The improved phenomenological model is then employed to investigate ignition kernel evolution for a stoichiometric methane-air discharge across various discharge gap configurations. Simulations reveal a non-uniform temperature and streamer distribution progressing from the electrode tips toward the center, contrasting uniform cylindrical discharges previously described in the original model. Streamer propagation is observed to be faster for larger gaps when maintained at the same average electric field for different discharge gaps. The tendency of smaller gaps to produce detached toroidal ignition kernels is observed, while larger gaps promote cylindrical and attached ignition kernels. Interactions between successive ignition kernels from consecutive discharges varied significantly, with the smallest gap (1 mm) promoting the quenching of the preceding ignition kernel due to the initial kernel–kernel separation. The intermediate gap (2 mm) promotes detached kernel growth. In contrast, in the largest gap (4 mm), kernels consistently combine and expand attached to electrodes. The impact of homogeneous isotropic turbulence is also explored, showing the persistence of ignition kernels early on but eventually quenching due to enhanced radical and heat losses with pronounced turbulence intensity.

Johnson, Praise Noah↗
DOE OSTI2025

S&TR July-August: Beyond Ignition

On December 5, 2022, Lawrence Livermore’s National Ignition Facility achieved the first-ever successful positive-gain ignition shot. This scientific advance, heralded worldwide, required a multidecadal effort to synthesize physics theory, laser technologies, computation and diagnostic capabilities, as well as engineering, materials development, and other inputs. The question, “Can ignition be achieved?” had been answered. Since then, the Laboratory has answered the question, “Can we do it again?” with additional ignition shots at increasing yield. Now Lawrence Livermore researchers ask, “Can we improve ignition outcomes?” for the benefit of the Stockpile Stewardship Program. Interrelated articles presenting the Laboratory’s ignition science, the role of supercomputing in achieving ignition, the evolution of diagnostic instruments to measure ignition data, and the ambitious steps required to realize a fusion energy future lead to one answer: “Yes, we can.”

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Computational analysis of flame initiation, quenching, and re-ignition in a prechamber natural gas engine under varying EGR-dilution levels

The on-road natural-gas (NG) fueled transportation relies on stoichiometric spark-ignition engines for the advantages of simple after-treatment system despite the efficiency penalty relative to lean-burn combustion strategies. Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) has the potential to reduce this efficiency gap at low to moderate loads without the need for complex lean-exhaust aftertreatment systems. However, EGR dilution leads to reduced combustion stability and increased cycle-to-cycle variability. A promising technology that has the potential to achieve reliable operation under diluted conditions is the prechamber ignition (or turbulent jet ignition) which uses chemically active turbulent jets generated from combustion inside a prechamber to initiate, stabilize and accelerate combustion of the mixture inside the main chamber. The present work focusses on developing a RANS-based CFD approach to accurately reproduce in-cylinder phenomena in a stoichiometric NG prechamber-assisted heavy-duty engine without relying on complex combustion models that account for turbulence-chemistry interactions. This is necessary because reactive prechamber jets at high EGR dilution tend to extinguish while emerging into the main chamber, which is followed by a phase of re-ignition — a phenomenon that conventional G-equation or well-stirred reactor combustion models cannot reproduce. With addition of a damping multiplier to the well-stirred reactor model, the predictions are seen to show good agreement with experimental pressure evolution and combustion images acquired from a single cylinder Cummins N-14 optical diesel engine retrofitted with a prechamber ignition system. Model predictions of local heat release in the flame and temperature evolution inside the flame are used to investigate combustion dynamics in the prechamber and the main chamber. It is seen that the well-stirred reactor model with the inclusion of damping is able to reproduce the temporary reduction in heat release within the flame, which can be considered equivalent to quenching of jets, and the subsequent re-ignition of the flame inside the main chamber. The delay between quenching and re-ignition depends on the amount of dilution, as explained by an illustration of flame evolution in a Borghi diagram.

Prechamber ignition↗
DOE OSTI2024

Forest structural complexity and ignition pattern influence simulated prescribed fire effects

Background: Forest structural characteristics, the burning environment, and the choice of ignition pattern each influence prescribed fire behaviors and resulting fire effects; however, few studies examine the influences and interactions of these factors. Understanding how interactions among these drivers can influence prescribed fire behavior and effects is crucial for executing prescribed fires that can safely and effectively meet management objectives. To analyze the interactions between the fuels complex and ignition patterns, we used FIRETEC, a three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics fire behavior model, to simulate fire behavior and effects across a range of horizontal and vertical forest structural complexities. For each forest structure, we then simulated three different prescribed fires each with a unique ignition pattern: strip-head, dot, and alternating dot. Results: Forest structural complexity and ignition pattern affected the proportions of simulated crown scorch, consumption, and damage for prescribed fires in a dry, fire-prone ecosystem. Prescribed fires in forests with complex canopy structures resulted in increased crown consumption, scorch, and damage compared to less spatially complex forests. The choice of using a strip-head ignition pattern over either a dot or alternating-dot pattern increased the degree of crown foliage scorched and damaged, though did not affect the proportion of crown consumed. We found no evidence of an interaction between forest structural complexity and ignition pattern on canopy fuel consumption, scorch, or damage. Conclusions: We found that forest structure and ignition pattern, two powerful drivers of fire behavior that forest managers can readily account for or even manipulate, can be leveraged to influence fire behavior and the resultant fire effects of prescribed fire. These simulation findings have critical implications for how managers can plan and perform forest thinning and prescribed burn treatments to meet risk management or ecological objectives.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

An analysis of alcohol compression ignition strategies on different engine platforms

Strategies that enable ignition of the low cetane alcohol fuels (methanol and ethanol) include intake heating (direct or via hot residual trapping), increased compression ratio (CR), multi-injection strategies, ignition enhancers, and active prechambers. The literature consistently shows alcohol compression ignition (CI) is more efficient than diesel at high loads irrespective of ignition strategy but shows contradictory results at low loads. To understand this, this work combines data from four different engine platforms ranging from a displaced volume of 0.4 to 2.1 L/cyl. using different alcohol CI ignition strategies. Using modeling to support experimental analysis, alcohol-specific efficiency penalties are highlighted to inform alcohol combustion system development. The alcohols’ lower energy density means more fuel must be injected near top dead center to achieve a given load, increasing the relative penalty of sensible/latent heating. Pilot injections help reduce this penalty. Intake heating incurs both a heat transfer penalty and a thermodynamic penalty due to a reduced ratio of specific heats during compression. A strategy that combines elevated CR, large pilot injections, and ignition enhancers can avoid this penalty. Alternatively, a prechamber strategy can achieve this without changing the CR, nor needing ignition enhancers in the fuel. At low loads, diesel burns in a partially premixed mode characterized by high burn rates and low heat losses, reducing alcohol-specific combustion benefits. Alcohol CI on the light-duty platform showed abnormally high heat transfer over diesel compared to other platforms, favoring a more premixed/partially premixed strategy despite a combustion efficiency tradeoff.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Key metrics of progress in the NIF ignition implosions and future challenges on the path to higher yields

Successful demonstration of an implosion that meets the physics metrics for ignition on the National Ignition Facility (NIF) in August 2021 and demonstration of target energy gain G > 1 in December 2022 represented the culmination of more than a decade of research on the NIF. An in-depth analysis of the key ignition metrics achieved on the NIF over the past decade shows sustained progress toward identifying and mitigating degradation effects. Ignition implosions on the NIF have progressed from early experiments whose compressed fuel conditions were degraded by a factor of 10–20 below the ignition threshold with yields of only 1%–2% of the laser energy, to current experiments that significantly exceed the ignition threshold and in the best experiments achieve yields greater than twice the laser energy. It is very likely that NIF can get more than 20 MJ of yield and possibly 50–70 MJ yields when fully optimized at an ultraviolet laser energy of 2.6 MJ following the completion of the NIF Extended Yield Capability Project. Achieving these higher yields will also require improvements to capsules at larger size and possibly with alternate materials, as well as an improved understanding of hohlraum and capsule physics. Now that NIF has achieved ignition, the design of a Next Generation High Energy Density Facility that could achieve the National Nuclear Security Administration long-term goal of substantially higher yields than the NIF can proceed with a more confident physics base. We evaluate these opportunities including possible applications for inertial fusion energy and likely challenges to achieving this level of performance over the next decade.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

A novel ignition model for low velocity impact of heterogeneous explosives based on interacting hot spots

While numerous studies have focused on the ignition of explosives occurring in high velocity impact and the associated shock-to-detonation transition, there has been growing interest in developing computational models focused on low-velocity impact regimes. A predictive low-velocity impact ignition model will be important for analyzing high explosive safety and potential accident scenarios. This work introduces a novel ignition model based on the concept of thermally interacting hot spots to simulate low velocity impacted heterogeneous explosives where observed ignition times are on the order of milliseconds. The model asserts that relevant hot spots are micron-sized, the typical separation between neighboring hot spots is on the order of a hundred microns, and that neighbors interact thermally through heat conduction across the interstitial region between them. To achieve tractable numerical solutions, hot spots are assumed to form a periodic array as opposed to the highly irregular positioning in an actual explosive. This idealization allows a single two hotspot system to characterize the ignition process. Consequently, the model is referred to as the two hot spot Frank-Kamenetskii ignition model. In the present study, hot spots are modeled as constant heat sources terms, but this can be extended to include grain-scale phenomena like frictional heating of micron-sized growing cracks that are confined under high pressure. Because the micron-sized features are below the scale that can be efficiently resolved at a systems level, an efficient subscale scheme based on the Method of Weighted Residuals (MWR) is used to efficiently solve the equations. In conclusion, we carry out numerical examples and analytic predictions illustrating the accuracy and the functioning of the model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring scenarios for enhanced fuel compression and performance on the National Ignition Facility with machine-learning-aided design techniques

Recent fusion experiments on the National Ignition Facility (NIF) have achieved ignition, producing multi-MJ fusion yields for input laser energies of roughly 2 MJ [Abu-Shawareb et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 132, 065102 (2024)]. Building on the success of the target designs that have achieved ignition, we explore new implosion scenarios predicted to generate significantly more compression of the dense DT ice layer and correspondingly higher yields while preserving many of the key physics characteristics of present-day ignition designs. Our main result is a novel 3-shock implosion scheme that effectively minimizes the shock-induced entropy in the dense, accelerating DT shell and maximizes the resulting fuel compression subject to a fixed leading shock strength consistent with present-day ignition experiments, which is necessary to melt the crystalline high-density carbon ablator. Compared to the first NIF experiment to fulfill Lawson's ignition criterion, shot N210808 [Abu-Shawareb et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 129, 075001 (2022)], our design exhibits a 40% increase in simulated peak areal density (ρR) and a 5× increase in 1D fusion yield using a 4% lighter ablator and identical DT payloads. We also present a complete integrated 2D hohlraum design and laser pulse specifications capable of generating the desired 3-shock drive and maintaining control of the low-mode capsule implosion symmetry, where the increase in simulated 2D yield relative to N210808 is > 10×. This new implosion regime was discovered with help from a machine-learning-enabled capsule design optimization framework. We outline the workflow this automated tool uses to identify improved design candidates by running several rounds of capsule simulations, constructing a surrogate model mapping input variations to key physics output quantities, and querying the resulting statistical model to propose adjustments to the x-ray drive and capsule to reach a set of physics objectives prescribed by the designer.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantifying the effects of artificial aging on the ignition and self-propagating reactions of Ni(V)/Al multilayers

Bimetallic, reactive multilayers are uniformly structured materials composed of alternating nanoscale layers that may be ignited to produce self-propagating intermetallic-formation reactions. When reactive multilayers age, there is a change in local composition and loss of stored chemical energy due to mass transport and rearrangement at the interfaces. Here, to quantify the long-term reliability of commercial Ni(V)/Al multilayers, the effects of accelerated aging on both ignition sensitivity and self-propagating reactions have been examined. Thermally aged samples were characterized using transmission electron microscopy, differential scanning calorimetry, and laser ignition combined with high-speed videography. The analytically quantifiable nature of both continuous wave laser ignition and reactive wave propagation enabled calculations of Arrhenius rate constants for as-received and various heat-treated multilayers. With heat treatment, there is a change in the intermixed thickness and interfacial chemistry that decreases the activation energy for point ignition but increases it for self-propagating reactions. This finding implies that with increased thermal aging, the reaction becomes easier to facilitate in the solid state but harder in the liquid phase.

Energetic material↗
DOE OSTI2024

Understanding the ignition process and flame structure of conventional and oxygenated fuels under engine relevant conditions – An optical study

Renewably generated synthetic fuels such as poly-oxymethylene ethers (OME) have a significant potential to effectively break the soot-NOX trade-off in compression ignition engines by using exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) to maintain low nitrogen oxide (NOX) emissions while maintaining good efficiency and simultaneously contributing to circular carbon economy. However, owing to the fundamental differences in properties of OME when compared to fossil-based diesel fuels, it is critical to fully understand its ignition and combustion phenomenology to take advantage of this fuel to its utmost potential. In this context, this work outlines the results of a systematic experimental study performed in a heavy-duty, single-cylinder, optical engine probing the spatial and temporal progression of fuel decomposition and ignition behavior of OME when compared to n-dodecane, a diesel-fuel surrogate. Thermodynamic analysis and optical diagnostics techniques including simultaneous HCHO-PLIF and OH-PLIF complemented by high-speed OH* chemiluminescence were employed along with parametric sweeps of intake temperature and EGR dilution rates. OME does not exhibit any observable low temperature heat release irrespective of the ambient oxygen concentration. Differences in the observed diffusive flame structure such as longer flame lift-off length, less pronounced combustion recession, faster premixed burn at ignition (“volumetric” ignition), non-sooting behavior suggest that the inherent presence of fuel-bound oxygen in OME can skew the air-fuel ratio (AFR) distribution within the jet thereby reducing the reliance of combustion on mixing and air entrainment. This leads to rapid late-cycle oxidation leading to shorter combustion duration and favorable combustion phasing. Results also suggest that OME exhibits relatively weak negative temperature coefficient (NTC) behavior, however, the OME fuel-decomposition kinetic-pathways produce significant concentration of HCHO, which might be erroneously interpreted as a product of cool-flames.

Air-fuel ratio↗
DOE OSTI2024

Design and analysis of dudded fuel experiments at the National Ignition Facility

Recent experiments conducted at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) within the past 2 years have achieved the burning plasma state and exceeded the Lawson criterion for the first time in the laboratory. Here, we report on a set of experiments where the deuterium and tritium (DT) ice layers were replaced with dudded tritium, hydrogen, and deuterium (THD) fuel mixtures to remove the influence of alpha-heating on hot spot dynamics. The hot spot compression and yield in the absence of alpha particle self-heating were measured to assess the proximity of NIF implosions toward the ignition cliff. We find that the “burn-off” Lawson parameters χnoα inferred from the THD experiments are in good agreement with the inferences from postshot simulations of the DT-layered implosions. The THD for burning plasma shot N210307 yielded χnoα≈0.88±0.03 while the THD for ignition shot N210808 yielded χnoα≈1.04±0.04. These results also provide important context for the observed variability in the repeat attempts of ignition shot N210808 since implosions on the ignition cliff are expected to exhibit very large variations in the fusion yield from small changes in the initial conditions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Diagnosing inertial confinement fusion ignition

Abstract Fusion ignition by inertial confinement requires compression and heating of the fusion fuel to temperatures in excess of 5 keV and densities exceeding hundreds of g/cc. In August 2021, this scientific milestone was surpassed at the National Ignition Facility (NIF), when the Lawson criterion for ignition was exceeded generating 1.37MJ of fusion energy (Abu-Shawareb et al 2022 Phys. Rev. Lett. 129 075001), and then in December 2022 target gain >1 was realized with the production of 3.1MJ of fusion energy from a target driven by 2.0MJ of laser energy (Abu-Shawareb et al 2024 Phys. Rev. Lett. 132 065102). At the NIF, inertial confinement fusion research primarily uses a laser indirect drive in which the fusion capsule is surrounded by a high-Z enclosure (‘hohlraum’) used to convert the directed laser energy into a symmetric x-ray drive on the capsule. Precise measurements of the plasma conditions, x-rays, γ -rays and neutrons produced are key to understanding the pathway to higher performance. This paper discusses the diagnostics and measurement techniques developed to understand these experiments, focusing on three main topics: (1) key diagnostic developments for achieving igniting plasmas, (2) novel signatures related to thermonuclear burn and (3) advances to diagnostic capabilities in the igniting regime with a perspective toward developments for intertial fusion energy.

Moore, A. S. (ORCID:0000000221258882)↗
DOE OSTI2026

Total Cost of Ownership Reduction Using Passive Pre-Chamber Ignition in Natural Gas Engines

Spark plug durability is a factor affecting the total cost of ownership (TCO) of spark-ignited natural gas engines, with some heavy-duty platforms requiring plug replacement after only 750 hours of operation. The high ignition energy demand under lean or diluted conditions accelerates electrode wear, shortening plug life and increasing maintenance frequency. This work evaluates passive pre-chamber (PC) ignition operating at lowered spark energies as a strategy to reduce spark energy requirements and extend plug durability, thereby lowering TCO. Experiments were conducted on a medium-duty Cummins 6.7L ISB engine at 1600 RPM and 50% load under varying exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) dilution levels (0–40%). Two passive pre-chambers with 1.1 mm and 1.6 mm nozzle diameters were compared with conventional spark ignition (SI). SI was operated with a fixed coil dwell of 4 ms (~90 mJ), while the PC configuration was tested across 2–4 ms dwell times (~30–90 mJ). Cylinder pressure analysis revealed that PC ignition sustained stable combustion at significantly lower spark energies than SI, with improved combustion stability at ~30 mJ compared with SI at ~90 mJ. The PC system also extended the dilution tolerance beyond that achievable with SI, while delivering up to ~2% higher indicated thermal efficiency and reducing the COV by nearly 90% at 30% EGR. A TCO analysis was conducted to assess the economic benefit of adopting a passive PC system operating at reduced spark energies compared to SI. It was found that adopting a passive PC system could reduce TCO by approximately $11,000 per engine over a five-year operational period, primarily due to fuel savings, extended spark plug life, and reduced maintenance frequency. These projections were weighed against the additional hardware cost of the pre-chamber, yielding a rapid estimated return on investment of ~300 operating hours. Therefore, this work motivates continued research and development of passive PC technology and its commercial adoption in natural gas engines used in transportation applications.

Dhotre, Akash [University of Minnesota]↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the modes of nanosecond pulsed plasmas for combustion ignition of quiescent CH 4 -air mixtures

The effect of transient plasma modes on ignition kernel development are discussed here for a quiescent CH 4 -air combustion model system. A 10 ns high-voltage pulse was applied to a pin-to-pin electrode in lean fuel-air mixtures at room temperature and atmospheric pressure. High-impedance streamer, transient spark and low-impedance spark discharges were identified based on pulse waveforms of voltage and current. A sustained ignition kernel expansion was observed when the plasma discharge transitioned into a transient spark or spark discharge. The minimum ignition energy was obtained at the transient spark mode, which has less than a third of the energy or Coulomb transfer compared to the low-impedance spark. Employing repetitive 10-pulse sequence at 10 kHz, the lean-fuel limit was extended from an equivalence ratio of 0.6 for the single pulse ignition to 0.5. The use of repetitive pulses also allowed streamer breakdown or spark initiation to occur at a lower voltage.

CH 4↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermal Gradient Effects on Local Hotspot Ignition in 1,3,5,7‐Tetranitro‐1,3,5,7‐tetrazocane (HMX)

Understanding hotspot ignition, growth, and criticality, as well as the timescales of each, is crucial for parameterizing mesoscale and continuum‐level models that rely on a statistical understanding of hotspots. However, these models often consider hotspots to have uniform temperatures or for hotspots of a given temperature and size to always behave the same. Therefore, using molecular dynamics simulations, we assess the influence of thermal distribution effects on hotspot local ignition and time to ignition in 1,3,5,7‐tetranitro‐1,3,5,7‐tetrazocane (HMX) nanoscale hotspots. Finally, by assessing hotspots with a gradient driven from an initial two‐temperature core–shell setup, we show that small increases in the core temperature under a constant average temperature can lead to order‐of‐magnitude effects on reaction and local ignition timescales.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data-driven prediction of scaling and ignition of inertial confinement fusion experiments

Recent advances in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) at the National Ignition Facility (NIF), including ignition and energy gain, are enabled by a close coupling between experiments and high-fidelity simulations. Neither simulations nor experiments can fully constrain the behavior of ICF implosions on their own, meaning pre- and postshot simulation studies must incorporate experimental data to be reliable. Linking past data with simulations to make predictions for upcoming designs and quantifying the uncertainty in those predictions has been an ongoing challenge in ICF research. We have developed a data-driven approach to prediction and uncertainty quantification that combines large ensembles of simulations with Bayesian inference and deep learning. The approach builds a predictive model for the statistical distribution of key performance parameters, which is jointly informed by past experiments and physics simulations. The prediction distribution captures the impact of experimental uncertainty, expert priors, design changes, and shot-to-shot variations. We have used this new capability to predict a 10× increase in ignition probability between Hybrid-E shots driven with 2.05 MJ compared to 1.9 MJ, and validated our predictions against subsequent experiments. We describe our new Bayesian postshot and prediction capabilities, discuss their application to NIF ignition and validate the results, and finally investigate the impact of data sparsity on our prediction results.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

The long road to ignition: An eyewitness account

This paper reviews the many twists and turns in the long journey that culminated in ignition in late 2022 using the laser heated indirect-drive approach to imploding DT filled targets at the National Ignition Facility (NIF), located at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). We describe the early origins of the Laser Program at LLNL and key developments such as the paradigm shifting birth of high energy density physics (HEDP) studies with lasers, changes in choice of laser wavelength, and the development of key diagnostics and computer codes. Fulfilling the requirements of the multi-faceted Nova Technical Contract was a necessary condition for the approval of the NIF, but more importantly, the end of the Cold War and the cessation of nuclear testing were key catalysts in that approval, along with the ready-and-waiting field of HEDP. The inherent flexibility of the field of laser driven inertial confinement fusion played a fundamental role in achieving success at the NIF. We describe how the ultimately successful ignition target design evolved from the original “point design” target, through the lessons of experiment. All key aspects of that original design changed: The capsule's materials and size were changed; the hohlraum's materials, size, laser entrance hole size, and gas fills were also all changed, as were the laser pulse shapes that go along with all those changes. The philosophy to globally optimize performance for stability (by raising the adiabat and thus lowering the implosion convergence) was also key, as was progress in target fabrication, and in increasing NIF's energy output. The persistence of the research staff and the steadfast backing of our supporters were also necessary elements in this success. We gratefully acknowledge seven decades of researcher endeavors and four decades of the dedicated efforts of many hundreds of personnel across the globe who have participated in NIF construction, operation, target fabrication, diagnostic, and theoretical advances that have culminated in ignition.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗