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A Proof of the Asymptotic Variance of Path Length Estimators for Single-Collision Monte Carlo Source Iteration in the Thick Diffusion Limit

Here, we prove a theorem relating the variance of path length estimators for single-collision Monte Carlo source iteration to a parameter that becomes infinitesimally small in an important physical regime arising in radiative transfer. In our usage, “single-collision Monte Carlo source iteration” refers to Monte Carlo Boltzmann transport methods in which each Monte Carlo particle history includes no more than a single collision, and the physics of multiple scattering is modeled by lagging the scattering source term and iterating until this term converges. Our theorem can be used to construct variance reduction techniques which improve the order of the estimator variance. This enables calculations that would otherwise require impractically large sample sizes to achieve practical estimator uncertainties. We believe this is the first postulation of a theorem relating estimator variance to a limiting case parameter for single-collision Monte Carlo source iteration, and the first proof of such a theorem. We illustrate the theorem’s value with an example in which the authors of a transport method used the theorem to design a variance reduction technique that improved the uncertainty of their solution by a factor of about 500 for a proxy problem from radiative transfer that contains both optically-thick and optically-thin material.

Mathematics and Computing

Iterative HOMER with uncertainties

We present iHOMER, an iterative version of the HOMER method to extract Lund fragmentation functions from experimental data. Through iterations, we address the information gap between latent and observable phase spaces and systematically remove bias. To quantify uncertainties on the inferred weights, we use a combination of Bayesian neural networks and uncertainty-aware regression. We find that the combination of iterations and uncertainty quantification produces well-calibrated weights that accurately reproduce the data distribution. A parametric closure test shows that the iteratively learned fragmentation function is compatible with the true fragmentation function.

Butter, Anja [Heidelberg Univ. (Germany); Sorbonne

Simulation of plasma and neutral transport in PISCES-RF using SOLPS-ITER

In this research, the fluid plasma transport code SOLPS-ITER is applied and validated against experimental data from the plasma interaction surface component experimental station (PISCES)-RF linear plasma device to establish a physics basis for plasma and neutral transport in its two magnetic field (B-field) geometry setups-(1)the cusp and (2) non-cusp or linear B-field. The main focus of this study is to understand (1) radial plasma transport (2) heat and particle loads on the upstream dump and downstream target plate, and (3) the physics of plasma-neutral interactions in PISCES-RF. The simulation setup adheres to typical PISCES-RF experimental conditions, with a 2D helicon power deposition profile as an input heating source. SOLPS-ITER simulations reproduce experimental conditions with the Bohm diffusion model for both B-field configurations of the PISCES-RF experiment. Major energy loss channels include neutral radiation and power deposited on the wall and dump plate, with only 1% of the input power reaching the target. The ionization front is well confined near the dump plate due to the heating and puffing regions. Additionally, SOLPS-ITER simulation results are also found to be in very good agreement with the particle-in-cell calculations using the code-PICOS++ which supports the validity of SOLPS in low collisionality regime.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Non-disruptive error field measurement in DIII-D low safety factor plasmas and projection to ITER

Previous experiments in DIII-D (Paz-Soldan et al 2022 Nucl. Fusion 62 126007) introduced a method to identify intrinsic error fields (EFs) in tokamaks with minimal disruption risk by promptly healing driven magnetic islands during the conventional 'compass scan'. This paper presents recent experimental and numerical advancements in extending this approach to low q 95 plasmas, and projects its applicability to ITER. Non-disruptive EF measurement is achieved at q 95 = 4.5 and 3.9 without any initial EF correction (EFC) by reducing the time between the occurrence of the locked mode (LM) and control action to 10 ms and increasing the density 50%–100%. However, 50% correction of the intrinsic EF is required to achieve island healing at q 95 = 3.2 with 10 ms delay for the control action. Nonlinear two-fluid modeling with the TM1 code reproduces the DIII-D experimental observations, indicating that promptly turning off the 3D coil current reduces both magnetic island width and electromagnetic force, while raising the density increases plasma viscosity, facilitating magnetic island healing. The simulations show that for scenarios with q 95 = 3.2, lowering the control action time to 5 ms will lead to island healing without EFC. TM1 simulations are extended to future ITER scenarios with 5 MA and 7.5 MA plasma currents, predicting the dependence of required density rise on action time and EF amplitude. These simulations indicate that, benefiting from the much longer resistive time, island healing can be successfully achieved in ITER when taking control action 100–500 ms after a LM occurrence.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Modelling the limiter ramp-up of WEST for addressing the future challenges of ITER

This paper presents a joint experimental and numerical investigation into the physics of long limited plasma ramp-up in tokamaks with tungsten (W) first walls, a critical phase for ITER operation. The comparison between the average plasma quantities simulated using the SolEdge-HDG code and the measurements taken during three successive WEST discharges after boronisation shows how challenging it is to predict this phase. While simulations reproduce the general trends at the midplane, with reasonable match in density profiles, they consistently underestimate core temperatures possibly due to too large perpendicular heat conductivity. On the contrary, at the high field side (HFS) limiter, simulations overestimate the measured quantities, and highlights the limitation of using Bohm boundary conditions at grazing magnetic angles. Experimental measurements reveal that the boron layer is rapidly eroded, on a timescale comparable to a single ITER discharge. The subsequent transition from a boron-coated to a tungsten wall increases recycling and significantly degrades the core plasma, reducing the electron temperature by nearly half due to W contamination, despite wall parameters remaining stable. Furthermore, comparisons with Langmuir probes, bolometry, reflectometry, and spectroscopy indicate that the experimental far scrape-Off layer (SOL) is significantly wider than simulated. This wide SOL implies that boron erosion extends along the entire HFS limiter rather than being confined to the contact point. This work highlights some characteristics of the plasma during this phase of the discharge and emphasizes the current modelling issues that need to be resolved in order to obtain reliable predictions concerning the ITER ramp-up.

ITER

In-Field Testing of Components for Feedback and Control of the ITER Disruption Mitigation System

Here, the shattered pellet injection (SPI) method has been chosen as the disruption mitigation system (DMS) for ITER. To protect the device from plasma disruptions that cause damaging heat and electromagnetic loads, SPI is used to inject high-Z material into the plasma. The process of SPI utilizes cryogenic cooling to form solid pellets. Pellets are accelerated down a barrel and into an angled surface, causing the pellet to shatter prior to entering the tokamak chamber. For the DMS to function reliably, the 27 separate shattered pellet injectors planned for ITER must rely on many components to provide accurate feedback data and for control functions. Each component in the DMS is exposed to an elevated background magnetic field depending on its placement and proximity to the plasma chamber. A Helmholtz coil test stand that is operated at Oak Ridge National Laboratory was utilized to test the components in relevant background field levels to assess component performance. This paper details the test design and results for in-field component operation for a variety of components. This list includes the following components: two different network switches for camera connectivity, a VAT fast shutter valve intended to reduce the flow of SPI propellant gas into the torus, a solenoid control valve intended for use in the pellet formation process, pressure/vacuum switches to be used for feedback and control, a printed circuit board piezo pressure sensor to be used to measure breech pressure, and various relays for the high-voltage pulsed power supply used to drive the SPI propellant valve.

Disruption mitigation

Multi-device analysis of energy loss duration and pellet penetration with implications for shattered pellet injection in ITER

A robust disruption mitigation system (DMS) requires accurate characterization of key disruption timescales, one of the most notable being the thermal quench (TQ). Recent modeling of shattered pellet injection (SPI) into ITER plasmas, using JOREK and INDEX, suggests long TQ durations (6–10 ms) and slow cold front propagation due to the large plasma size. If validated, these predictions would have an impact on the desired pellet parameters and mitigation strategies for the ITER DMS. To resolve these questions, a database of SPI experiments from several small-to-large sized devices (J-TEXT, KSTAR, AUG, DIII-D, and JET) has been compiled under the auspices of the International Tokamak Physics Activity MHD, disruptions, and control topical group. Analysis of the energy loss duration (proxy for the TQ duration) with machine size is presented for both mixed neon/deuterium (Ne/D) SPI and pure deuterium (D) SPI. Several metrics for the energy loss onset (e.g. soft x-ray signal drop, I p dip, and radiation flash) were considered as the conventional metric, electron cyclotron emission, is often cut-off during SPI. Several scalings with different onset metrics showed an increase in energy loss duration with machine size. The energy loss duration was additionally shown to be a function of the ratio between the number of SPI neon atoms injected and the stored energy. Analysis of the pellet shard position relative to the cold front found that in larger devices, pellets are typically found inboard of the q = 2 surface at the energy loss onset. Lastly, the delay between the pellet shards hitting the q = 2 surface and the energy loss onset was additionally found to increase with machine size. This suggests that the pellet shards in large devices will penetrate faster and further than the cooling front.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Impact of window temperature variations on ITER toroidal interferometer and polarimeter (TIP) measurements

Abstract The toroidal interferometer and polarimeter (TIP) is one of the primary electron density diagnostics on ITER. To meet measurement requirements over several thousand seconds, environmental factors such as changes in the window temperature, air temperature, and humidity, which can cause uncompensated phase drifts, must be minimized. This paper reports measurements of the phase shift induced by ZnSe and BaF₂ windows as their temperature is varied utilizing the TIP prototype. To accomplish these measurements, test pieces of BaF₂ and ZnSe are placed in a small oven that is located in one leg of the 10.59/5.22 micron two-color interferometer TIP prototype. The oven temperature was varied from room temperature to ∼90 °C, which is slightly higher than the expected window temperatures on ITER. The vibration compensated phase shifts measured for these two materials are dϕᵥ꜀ /dT/L = 0.0121 and −0.275 deg. /°C/cm −1 for BaF₂ and ZnSe, respectively. From these measurements, it was concluded that temperature variations of the environmental/secondary confinement barrier window and primary vacuum window have to be suppressed within approximately 1°C and 2°C, respectively, in order to passively meet the electron density measurement requirements in ITER.

Akiyama, T (ORCID:0000000198469795)

Innovative laser-based methods for monitoring fuel retention in ITER

This paper addresses the challenge of tritium inventory management in ITER and future fusion reactors, highlighting the importance of accurate tritium measurement and its spatial distribution within the vacuum vessel. Given ITER’s operational constraints, especially the limit on tritium retention, precise measurement is essential for both safety and regulatory compliance. To tackle these questions, the paper presents the T-monitor diagnostic system developed by Forschungszentrum Jülich, which uses Laser-Induced Desorption (LID) in combination with Diagnostic Residual Gas Analysis (DRGA) to measure hydrogen isotope concentrations on the surface of divertor tiles. The system integrates a high-power laser, advanced optical components, and a Fast Scanning Mirror Unit (FSMU) for accurate laser spot positioning with rapid response. Designed to measure in situ tritium retention, the diagnostic provides high-resolution spatial mapping, vital for evaluating detritiation strategies. The laser heating process increases the divertor surface temperature to 1600 K within the laser spot, promoting hydrogen isotope desorption. Accurate measurements require the precise control of laser parameters, including pulse duration and spot size, with a target relative accuracy of 20%. The optical design includes both in-vessel and ex-vessel components, such as durable high-reflectivity mirrors made of gold and copper, selected not only for their infrared performance but also for their transmission of visible wavelengths for observation purposes. To protect optical components from contamination, a pneumatic shutter is used.

Hydrogen isotopes

Impact of nitrogen molecular breakup on divertor conditions in JET L-mode plasmas using SOLPS-ITER

SOLPS-ITER simulations of nitrogen-seeded, low-confinement mode plasmas in the Joint European Torus (JET) predict that the electron temperature in the low-field side (LFS) divertor leg is reduced locally by up to an order of magnitude when nitrogen is assumed to recycle as molecules (N 2 ) instead of atoms using a fixed nitrogen injection rate. The LFS divertor temperature reduction under the assumption of molecular recycling occurs due to a three-step mechanism: (1) the plasma penetration of nitrogen atoms is increased due to the strong triple bond of the N 2 molecule and the kinetic energy release in the dissociation event, both mechanisms contributing equally, (2) the abundance of (particularly multiply-charged) nitrogen ions in the divertor is increased and (3) the electron temperature is reduced due to the increase in radiation (by up to a factor of 4) from nitrogen ions. Setting the volume-integrated nitrogen radiated power to a constant value (0.6 MW) instead of the nitrogen injection rate, SOLPS-ITER predicts under the molecular nitrogen recycling assumption that the peak line-integrated N II, N III and N IV intensities in the LFS divertor are approximately within 15%, 35% and 5%, respectively, of the reference atomic nitrogen recycling case. The predicted peak N II, N III and N IV intensities under either assumption are within 30%, 65% and 5%, respectively, of measurements using the vertically viewing mirror-link divertor spectrometer (Meigs et al., 2010) in nitrogen-seeded JET L-mode plasmas (Lomanowski et al., 2019). ERO2.0 simulations using a constant nitrogen seeding rate on static background plasma solutions from EDGE2D-EIRENE (previously presented in Mäenpää et al., (2022), revised here to include fast reflections) predict that N II to N IV line emission is increased by 20% to 30% when nitrogen is assumed to recycle as molecules, demonstrating the importance of considering the effect of molecular dissociation reactions on the divertor plasma in a self-consistent manner.

Divertor

Drift-kinetic effects of tungsten on plasma response to RMP in ITER

Here, effects of high- Z ( Z is the particle charge number) tungsten impurity ions on the plasma response to the resonant magnetic perturbation (RMP) field are numerically investigated for the ITER 15 MA baseline scenario, where the tungsten contribution to the plasma response is computed with a drift-kinetic model while the bulk thermal particle contributions follow the fluid approximation. The study yields three highlights: (i) the drift-kinetic contribution of the tungsten impurity exerts minor influence on the plasma response compared to that computed by the pure fluid model without tungsten; (ii) a new figure of merit, based on the resonant spectrum perturbation at the plasma boundary surface, results in different optimal coil phasing compared to that previously obtained by maximizing the edge-peeling plasma response; (iii) the optimal $n = 3$ RMP (for edge localized mode (ELM) control, $n$ is the toroidal mode number) is found to induce a large tungsten particle influx near the plasma edge associated with the neoclassical toroidal viscosity. The study thus provides useful data on the compatibility of the full tungsten wall with RMP ELM control in ITER.

ITER

Impact of n > 1 neoclassical tearing modes on fast ions, plasma rotation, and the onset of disruptive tearing modes in DIII-D ITER baseline scenario

We present integrated TRANSP-kick analyses quantitatively characterizing how n > 1 magnetic islands redistribute fast ions (FIs) and modify momentum balance in low-torque DIII-D H-mode scenarios operated with the ITER normalized parameter set and shape (ITER baseline scenario, or IBS). In this plasma scenario, disruptive neoclassical tearing modes (NTMs) are most commonly seeded by nonlinear 3-wave coupling when the differential rotation between the q = 1 and q = 2 surfaces ($δf_{1, 2}$) approaches zero. Analysis of a DIII-D IBS database of shots unstable to the 2/1 NTM demonstrates that the flattening rotation profile is correlated with n > 1 NTM amplitude growth, with a strong drop in $δf_{1, 2}$ occurring when the radial magnetic perturbation amplitude at the rational surface ($δB$ r s ) is estimated to be about 20 G. The interpretive TRANSP-kick simulations show that the experimentally observed reduction in core rotation is due to the fast-ion kicks. Nonlinearity in momentum losses versus NTM amplitude is found to be correlated with overlap of FI island chains, occurring when $δB$ r s is about 35 G, in rough agreement with the experimental results. This agreement suggests the primary mechanism for the conductive momentum loss in the core is due to chaotic FI orbits and FI losses developing from overlapping resonant FI island chains.

ITER baseline scenario

Iterative Reconstruction for Multimodal Neutron Tomography

Here, we describe a unified framework for model-based iterative 3-D reconstruction of multimodal neutron transmission, hydrogen-scatter, and induced-fission images from low resolution data recorded using 14.1-MeV neutrons and the associated-particle imaging (API) technique. The framework, which was developed to facilitate use in challenging field-deployment scenarios, is centered around physics-based system models and a total variation (TV) constrained implementation of the simultaneous iterative reconstruction technique (SIRT). Modified to solve a statistically weighted least squares (WLS) problem, the SIRT algorithm is accelerated using ordered subsets and Nesterov’s momentum for which we derive a near-optimal value of the governing Lipschitz constant. The approach enables the reconstruction of images that are high resolution compared to the acquired data and is robust to both limited statistics and a limited number of projection angles. Moreover, the framework is fast enough to be practical. Example images are provided that demonstrate both the ability to perform fast-neutron imaging of high-atomic-number materials with low radiation dose and the benefit of multimodal neutron imaging to identify key materials.

Hydrogen scatter

Machine learning model inputs, outputs, and scripts associated with “Artificial intelligence-guided iterations between observations and modeling significantly improve environmental predictions”

NOTE: The manuscript associated with this data package is currently in review. The data may be revised based on reviewer feedback. Upon manuscript acceptance, this data package will be updated with the final dataset and additional metadata. This data package is associated with the manuscript “Artificial intelligence-guided iterations between observations and modeling significantly improve environmental predictions” (Malhotra et al., in prep). This effort was designed following ICON (integrated, coordinated, open, and networked) principles to facilitate a model-experiment (ModEx) iteration approach, leveraging crowdsourced sampling across the contiguous United States (CONUS). New machine learning models were created every month to guide sampling locations. Data from the resulting samples were used to test and rebuild the machine learning models for the next round of sampling guidance. Associated sediment and water geochemistry and in situ sensor data can be found at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1923689, https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1729719, and https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1603775. This data package is associated with two GitHub repositories found at https://github.com/parallelworks/dynamic-learning-rivers and https://github.com/WHONDRS-Hub/ICON-ModEx_Open_Manuscript. In addition to this readme, this data package also includes two file-level metadata (FLMD) files that describes each file and two data dictionaries (DD) that describe all column/row headers and variable definitions. This data package consists of two main folders (1) dynamic-learning-rivers and (2) ICON-ModEx_Open_Manuscript which contain snapshots of the associated GitHub repositories. The input data, output data, and machine learning models used to guide sampling locations are within dynamic-learning-rivers. The folder is organized into five top-level directories: (1) “input_data” holds the training data for the ML models; (2) “ml_models” holds machine learning (ML) models trained on the data in “input_data”; (3) “examples” contains files for direct experimentation with the machine learning model, including scripts for setting up “hindcast” run; (4) “scripts” contains data preprocessing and postprocessing scripts and intermediate results specific to this data set that bookend the ML workflow; and (5) “output_data” holds the overall results of the ML model on that branch. Each trained ML model resides on its own branch in the repository; this means that inputs and outputs can be different branch-to-branch. There is also one hidden directory “.github/workflows”. This hidden directory contains information for how to run the ML workflow as an end-to-end automated GitHub Action but it is not needed for reusing the ML models archived here. Please see the top-level README.md in the GitHub repository for more details on the automation. The scripts and data used to create figures in the manuscript are within ICON-ModEx_Open_Manuscript. The folder is organized into four folders which contain the scripts, data, and pdf for each figure. Within the “fig-model-score-evolution” folder, there is a folder called “intermediate_branch_data” which contains some intermediate files pulled from dynamic-learning-rivers and reorganized to easily integrate into the workflows. NOTE: THIS FOLDER INCLUDES THE FILES AT THE POINT OF PAPER SUBMISSION. IT WILL BE UPDATED ONCE THE PAPER IS ACCEPTED WITH ANY REVISIONS AND WILL INCLUDE A DD/FLMD AT THAT POINT. We thank the United States Forest Service, Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, Washington Department of Natural Resources, Cowiche Canyon Conservatory, Washington State Parks and Recreation Commission (Scientific Research Permit #210901), and the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation for access to field locations where the samples labeled “SSS” were collected. We also thank the Yakama Nation Tribal Council and Yakama Nation Fisheries for working with us to facilitate sample collection and optimization of data usage according to their values and worldview. WHONDRS consortium members were asked to provide any acknowledgments for the collection of samples labeled “CM” and the following is a list of acknowledgments that were submitted with their corresponding Site IDs: (MART) Research activities were conducted in part on the Wind River Experimental Forest within the Gifford Pinchot National Forest; (MP- 100379) Philadelphia is part of Lenapehoking, the ancestral homelands of the Lenape peoples; (MP-102398) Land surveyed is the ancestral homelands of the Nookhose'iinenno (Arapaho), Tsis tsis'tas (Cheyenne), and Nuuchu (Ute); (MP-100749 and MP- 100747) Georgia Coastal Ecosystem LTER, OCE-1832178; (SP-70 and SP-72) Eastern Shoshone, Shoshone-Bannock; (MP- 102944) Funded by Oregon Watershed Enhancement Board. On the traditional lands of the Confederated Tribes of the Siletz, Confederated Tribes of the Grand Rhonde, and the Clatsop-Nehalem Confederated Tribe; (MP- 100607) Holiday Creek is located on the traditional territory of the Monacan Indian Nation; (SP-45) Lafayette Blue Springs State Park; (MP-102420) NSF DEB-2016749; (MP-100019) New Hampshire Agriculture Experiment Station; (SP-35) Rayonier (land owner; https://www.rayonier.com/); (MP- 101276) US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research, Subsurface Biogeochemical Research, Watershed Dynamics and Evolution SFA at ORNL; (MP- 103224) Watershed Dynamics and Evolution SFA at ORNL; (MP- 101584) Traditional lands of the Oceti Sakowin (Dakota, Lakota, Nakoda) and Anishinaabe Peoples.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Iterative methods in GPU-resident linear solvers for nonlinear constrained optimization

Linear solvers are major computational bottlenecks in a wide range of decision support and optimization computations. The challenges become even more pronounced on heterogeneous hardware, where traditional sparse numerical linear algebra methods are often inefficient. For example, methods for solving ill-conditioned linear systems have relied on conditional branching, which degrades performance on hardware accelerators such as graphical processing units (GPUs). To improve the efficiency of solving ill-conditioned systems, our computational strategy separates computations that are efficient on GPUs from those that need to run on traditional central processing units (CPUs). Our strategy maximizes the reuse of expensive CPU computations. Iterative methods, which thus far have not been broadly used for ill-conditioned linear systems, play an important role in our approach. In particular, we extend ideas from Arioli et al., (2007) to implement iterative refinement using inexact LU factors and flexible generalized minimal residual (FGMRES), with the aim of efficient performance on GPUs. In conclusion, we focus on solutions that are effective within broader application contexts, and discuss how early performance tests could be improved to be more predictive of the performance in a realistic environment.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

ITER ECH Transmission Line System Design and Status

The electron cyclotron (EC) heating & current drive (H&CD) system on ITER provides plasma heating by generating, transmitting, and launching high-intensity, high-frequency (170 GHz) electromagnetic wave energy steerable across the plasma cross-section. The transmission line (TL) subsystem connects the Matching Optics Unit (MOU) on each of the 24 gyrotrons to the 32 feed points in the four upper launchers and the 24 feed points in the equatorial launcher. Each TL must be able to operate at up to 1.2 MW of input power for up to 1 hour pulse lengths. The TL system contains 50 mm water-cooled corrugated waveguide, 90o miter bends, 140o miter bends, polarizer miter bend pairs, switches, expansion units, pumpouts, DC breaks, MOU-TL adapters, Radio Frequency (RF) loads, and isolation shutter valves. A detailed finite element analysis has been used to verify the thermo-mechanical performance of each component. The microwave performance has been analyzed using a 2-D electromagnetic code combined with a Monte Carlo code. This approach allows the impact of manufacturing and installation tolerances to be assessed and optimized to provide a high probability of achieving the system performance requirements. Prototypes of the waveguide and TL components have been fabricated and tested at high-power. Production contracts are now being issued for fabrication and delivery of the waveguide and components to ITER.

Hanson, Gregory

Chaos as the cause of randomness in tearing mode onset times in DIII-D ITER baseline scenario plasmas

The first evidence of widespread chaotic plasma dynamics relevant to the onset of disruptive tearing modes is found in DIII-D tokamak discharges. This evidence is obtained by calculating positive maximal Lyapunov exponents from Mirnov signals using the Rosenstein algorithm, implying the chaotic growth and/or rotation of magnetohydrodynamic modes in DIII-D [Luxon, Nucl. Fusion 42, 614 (2002)] plasmas. Such chaotic dynamics offer an explanation for the random tearing mode onset times previously observed in ITER baseline scenario discharges. Further, the Lyapunov timescales associated with this chaos could inhibit reliable prediction of tearing mode onset beyond the angular momentum confinement timescale; this constraint should inform the design of plasma control systems on ITER.

Chaotic dynamics

Electromagnetic Analysis of ITER Electron Cyclotron Emission Components and Support Structures for the Preliminary Design Review

The ITER electron cyclotron emission (ECE) diagnostic system is located at Design Shield Module (DSM) 2, Equatorial Port (EP) 9 to measure electron temperature profile and electron temperature fluctuations and also to assess nonthermal electron distributions via the oblique view. Therefore, ECE has both radial and oblique views with two couples of mirrors for two different optical views. This ECE diagnostic system shall be exposed to significant power due to unabsorbed electron cyclotron heating power in the plasma. It shall also receive large electromagnetic (EM) loads up to 100 MN/m 3 force density due to the eddy currents generated by the short 16-ms transient plasma disruption. The global EM models of EP12 and EP11 with the worst case of plasma disruption Major Disruption Downward Exponential 16 ms Category III (MD_DW_EXP16MS_CATIII) have been provided by ITER. However, the support structure for these critical components, including four mirrors, is still under the design and development phase, especially during the period of preliminary design reviews (PDRs). For those small in-vessel components that are not modeled explicitly for the PDRs, we can extract the magnetic field (B) data and flux variations (dB/dt) at those locations from the global model and then use the B and dB/dt method to calculate the eddy currents, EM forces, and torques on those components in the local submodels. In conclusion, this paper will present the detailed PDR EM analysis results of the ECE components and support structures.

Electromagnetic