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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Using Importance Sampling Monte Carlo to Analyze Aircraft Takeoff and Landing

Aircraft have achieved high levels of reliability, so the probability of undesirable dynamics is very low. The low probability of a bad takeoff or landing challenges nondeterministic methods to quantify the uncertainty of these improbable events. In the present work, a Monte Carlo method is defined to more effectively quantify these unlikely events that is suitable for uncertainty analysis of a mature design with many uncertainty parameters. The proposed Monte Carlo method has been applied to the takeoff and landing of the X-59 Quiet SuperSonic Technology (QueSST). Takeoff and landing simulation profiles were defined using a combination of industry standards and piloted simulation experience. The proposed method is shown to be able to quantify events with significantly fewer samples than would be required with conventional Monte Carlo. These results improve understanding of the sensitivity of the takeoff and landing dynamics to inform further studies and test planning.

Jeffrey Ouellette↗
DOE OSTI2019

Accurate excited-state energetics by a combination of Monte Carlo sampling and equation-of-motion coupled-cluster computations

The recently introduced idea of identifying the most important higher-than-doubly excited determinants in the ground-state coupled-cluster (CC) calculations through stochastic configuration interaction Quantum Monte Carlo propagations [J.E. Deustua, J. Shen, and P. Piecuch, Phys. Rev. Lett. 119, 223003 (2017)] is extended to excited electronic states via the equation-of-motion (EOM) CC methodology. The advantages of the new method are illustrated by calculations aimed at recovering the ground- and excited-state energies of the CH + molecule at the equilibrium and stretched geometries resulting from the EOMCC calculations with a full treatment of singles, doubles, and triples.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

High-level coupled-cluster energetics by Monte Carlo sampling and moment expansions: Further details and comparisons

We recently proposed a novel approach to converging electronic energies equivalent to high-level coupled-cluster (CC) computations by combining the deterministic CC(P;Q) formalism with the stochastic configuration interaction (CI) and CC Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) propagations. This article extends our initial study [J. E. Deustua, J. Shen, and P. Piecuch, Phys. Rev. Lett. 119, 223003 (2017)], which focused on recovering the energies obtained with the CC method with singles, doubles, and triples (CCSDT) using the information extracted from full CI QMC and CCSDT-MC, to the CIQMC approaches truncated at triples and quadruples. It also reports our first semi-stochastic CC(P;Q) calculations aimed at converging the energies that correspond to the CC method with singles, doubles, triples, and quadruples (CCSDTQ). The ability of the semi-stochastic CC(P;Q) formalism to recover the CCSDT and CCSDTQ energies, even when electronic quasi-degeneracies and triply and quadruply excited clusters become substantial, is illustrated by a few numerical examples, including the F–F bond breaking in F 2 , the automerization of cyclobutadiene, and the double dissociation of the water molecule.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2018

Detection of Delayed Neutrons from Fissionable Samples: Monte Carlo Modelling and Physical Assumptions for a Design of the DET-12 Device

An activation of fissionable materials with neutrons has been considered as a possible neutron diagnostic of D–D and D–T fusion plasma. Fission reaction caused by fusion neutrons leads up to emission of secondary neutrons: prompt and delayed. Physical assumptions have been outlined to design a new device (DET-12) for measurements of delayed neutrons emitted from samples of fissionable materials activated with neutrons at big fusion-plasma devices. The aim is to support a classic neutron activation method used as one of plasma diagnostics at tokamaks or stellarators. An interpretation of the time decay of delayed neutrons enables an assessment of the primary neutron flux which induced fission reaction. Monte Carlo calculations have been carried out in order to elaborate the method considered. Nuclides like: pure {sup 235}U, {sup 238}U and {sup 232}Th, have been selected as possible materials to be irradiated. Physical fundamentals of generation of the delayed neutrons are mentioned and a resulting concept of the DET-12 device, built in the Institute of Nuclear Physics, Poland, is presented. A general size and dimensions of particular constituent material layers, and a number and placement of neutron detectors are optimized by means of Monte Carlo modelling. Recommendations for a technical design of the measuring chamber were formulated. Detection efficiency of DET-12 has been also estimated.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Combining Landau–Zener theory and kinetic Monte Carlo sampling for small polaron mobility of doped BiVO 4 from first-principles

Transition metal oxides such as BiVO 4 are promising photoelectrode materials for solar-to-fuel conversion applications. However, their performance is limited by the low carrier mobility (especially electron mobility) due to the formation of small polarons. Recent experimental studies have shown improved carrier mobility and conductivity by atomic doping; however the underlying mechanism is not understood. A fundamental atomistic-level understanding of the effects on small polaron transport is critical to future material design with high conductivity. We studied the small polaron hopping mobility in pristine and doped BiVO 4 by combining Landau–Zener theory and kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) simulation fully from first-principles, and investigated the effect of dopant–polaron interactions on the mobility. We found that polarons are spontaneously formed at V in both pristine and Mo/W doped BiVO 4 , which can only be described correctly by density functional theory (DFT) with the Hubbard correction (DFT+U) or hybrid exchange-correlation functional but not local or semi-local functionals. We found that DFT+U and dielectric dependant hybrid (DDH) functionals give similar electron hopping barriers, which are also similar between the room temperature monoclinic phase and the tetragonal phase. The calculated electron mobility agrees well with experimental values, which is around 10 -4 cm 2 V -1 s -1 . We found that the electron polaron transport in BiVO4 is neither fully adiabatic nor nonadiabatic, and the first and second nearest neighbor hoppings have significantly different electronic couplings between two hopping centers that lead to different adiabaticity and prefactors in the charge transfer rate, although they have similar hopping barriers. Without considering the detailed adiabaticity through Landau–Zener theory, one may get qualitatively wrong carrier mobility. We further computed polaron mobility in the presence of different dopants and showed that Cr substitution of V is an electron trap while Mo and W are “repulsive” centers, mainly due to the minimization of local lattice expansion by dopants and electron polarons. The dopants with “repulsive” interactions to polarons are promising for mobility improvement due to larger wavefunction overlap and delocalization of locally concentrated polarons.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Adaptation of Temperature Dependent Thermal Neutron Libraries for Fast On-The-Fly Monte Carlo Sampling at Arbitrary Temperatures

Thermal neutron scattering data is necessary for reactor simulations of thermal reactors, but the data storage required can be unwieldy. This is exacerbated when simulations require a large temperature range, as is the case for accident scenarios and reactor start-up. Previous work conducted at RPI has explored and demonstrated a proof of concept of On-The-Fly (OTF) data storage with light water and crystalline graphite based on ENDF/B-VII.1. This provides an updated data storage paradigm for incoherent inelastic cross-sections that allow the data to be used to generate necessary sampling Cumulative Density Functions (CDFs) for any desired temperature. The work presented in this paper extends the previous work by implementing the proof of concept based on ENDF/B-VIII.0, instead of ENDF/B-VII.1, and to include additional materials, such as beryllium and oxygen in beryllium oxide and the new reactor grades of porous graphite. Completion of this work allows a single thermal data file to represent any thermal scattering event for a given material OTF for the temperature of interest, which greatly reduces the data storage needed with only a marginal cost in the calculation of the CDFs OTF. This paper will review the basic methodologies in generating the OTF data, as well as present the updates and improvements made in the generation process. Application of the methodologies covered in this paper show a significant reduction in the storage requirements for inelastic incoherent scattering events. In which, the evaluated ENDF/B-VIII.0 thermal scattering library can be reduced from 563.1 MB to 10.9 MB for light water and 339.3 MB to 13.6 MB for Be in BeO.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Fast On-The-Fly Monte Carlo Sampling of Temperature Dependent Thermal Scattering [Slides]

This presentation highlights the process of developing a thermal data library for MCNP6 to support on-the-fly S(alpha, beta) sampling for temperature ranges applicable to nuclear criticality safety. Advanced on-the-fly (OTF) strategy driven libraries have been developed for six materials based on ENDF/B-VIII.0. Validation of the OTF libraries is being conducted currently.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Efficient Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Economic Dispatch

Stochastic economic dispatch models usually address uncertainties in forecasts of renewable generation output by considering a finite number of realizations drawn from a stochastic process model, typically via Monte Carlo sampling. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher order moments for quantities of interest, e.g., generating cost, can require a prohibitively large number of samples. We propose an alternative to Monte Carlo sampling based on polynomial chaos expansions. These representations enable efficient and accurate propagation of uncertainties in model parameters, using sparse quadrature methods. Furthermore, we use Karhunen-Loève expansions for efficient representation of uncertain renewable energy generation that follows geographical and temporal correlations derived from historical data at each wind farm. Considering expected production cost, we show that the proposed approach can yield several orders of magnitude reduction in computational cost for solving stochastic economic dispatch relative to Monte Carlo sampling, for a given target error threshold.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Empirical investigation of nuclear correlation function distributions in lattice QCD

Two-point correlation functions of systems with baryon number 𝐵 ∈ {1,2,3,4} are investigated using lattice quantum chromodynamics (QCD). In particular, the empirical distributions of importance-sampling Monte-Carlo samples of these correlation functions are examined as a function of the spacetime separation between the two points and the baryon number. While the exact forms of these distributions are not known for QCD, recent work has determined asymptotic expressions for analogous correlation function distributions in simpler theories such as scalar field theory and the disordered phase of the 𝑂⁡(𝑁) model. The theoretical 𝑂⁡(𝑁) model distributions are found to provide an accurate description of the empirical QCD distributions at zero momentum over a wide range of temporal separations for each baryon number when assessed with a range of different statistical tests. In particular, the behavior of the baryon number 𝐵 QCD correlation function at large temporal separation is well reproduced by the 𝑂⁡(𝑁 ∼ 2/𝐵) model distribution.

Lattice field theory↗
DOE OSTI2024

Correlation function distributions for O ( N ) lattice field theories in the disordered phase

Numerical computations in strongly interacting quantum field theories are often performed using Monte Carlo sampling methods. A key task in these calculations is to estimate the value of a given physical quantity from the distribution of stochastic samples that are generated using the Monte Carlo method. Typically, the sample mean and sample variance are used to define the expectation values and uncertainties of computed quantities. However, the Monte Carlo sample distribution contains more information than these basic properties, and it is useful to investigate it more generally. In this work, the exact form of the probability distributions of two-point correlation functions at zero momentum in O ( N ) lattice field theories in the disordered phase and in infinite volume are determined. These distributions allow for a robust investigation of the efficacy of the Monte Carlo sampling procedure and are shown also to allow for improved estimators of the target physical quantity to be constructed. The theoretical expectations are shown to agree with numerical calculations in the O ( 2 ) model. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantitative Modeling of High-Energy Electron Scattering in Thick Samples Using Monte Carlo Techniques

Cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) is a powerful tool for imaging biological samples but is typically limited by sample thickness, which is restricted to a few hundred nanometers depending on the electron energy. However, there is a growing need for imaging techniques capable of studying biological samples up to 10 µm in thickness while maintaining nanoscale resolution. This need motivates the use of mega-electron-volt scanning transmission electron microscopy (MeV-STEM), which leverages the high penetration power of MeV electrons to generate high-resolution images of thicker samples. In this study, we employ Monte Carlo simulations to model electron–sample interactions and explore the signal decay of imaging electrons through thick specimens. By incorporating material properties, interaction cross-sections for energy loss, and experimental parameters, we investigate the relationship between the incident and transmitted beam intensities. Key factors such as detector collection angle, convergence semi-angle, and the material properties of samples were analyzed. Our results demonstrate that the relationship between incident and transmitted beam intensities follows the Beer–Lambert law over thicknesses ranging from a few microns to several tens of microns, depending on material composition, electron energy, and collection angles. The linear depth of silicon dioxide reaches 3.9 µm at 3 MeV, about 6 times higher than that at 300 keV. Meanwhile, the linear depth of amorphous ice reaches 17.9 µm at 3 MeV, approximately 11.5 times higher than that at 300 keV. These findings are crucial for advancing the study of thick biological and semiconductor samples using MeV-STEM.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Sensitivity Analyses for Monte Carlo Sampling-Based Particle Simulations

Computational design-based optimization is a well-used tool in science and engineering. Our report documents the successful use of a particle sensitivity analysis for design-based optimization within Monte Carlo sampling-based particle simulation—a currently unavailable capability. Such a capability enables the particle simulation communities to go beyond forward simulation and promises to reduce the burden on overworked analysts by getting more done with less computation.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗