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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2

Evaluation of CFD as a Surrogate for Wind Tunnel Testing - Experimental Uncertainty Quantification

A series of wind tunnel tests is being performed at the Unitary Plan Wind Tunnel at Langley Research Center to assess the validity of using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) as a surrogate for wind tunnel testing. In order to make proper comparisons, uncertainties in CFD results and experimental data must be well understood. The material presented will highlight the methods, assumptions, and elemental inputs used to achieve experimental uncertainty estimates for several variables of interest.The work performed to date has focused on gaining insight into random uncertainty via statistical analysis of repeat data and systematic uncertainty via Monte Carlo propagation analysis. These methods were combined using a second-order Monte Carlo propagation, resulting in a probability box (P-box) for each variable and at all conditions of interest. Figure 1 provides an example of one such P-box, showing the experimental uncertainty in a locally determined dynamic pressure (QC10) for one of many tunnel conditions evaluated during the Flow Survey experiment. This particular condition (Condition 27) has nominal set points of Mach number = 3.85, Reynolds number = 3x10(exp 6) ft(exp -1), total pressure = 5160 psfa, and total temperature = 150°F. The uncertainty in dynamic pressure at this condition is now well defined by this plot. Armed with this experimental data uncertainty, meaningful comparisons can be made with computational results, when their associated uncertainties are also considered.

Heather P Houlden↗

Enhanced orbit determination filter sensitivity analysis: Error budget development

An error budget analysis is presented which quantifies the effects of different error sources in the orbit determination process when the enhanced orbit determination filter, recently developed, is used to reduce radio metric data. The enhanced filter strategy differs from more traditional filtering methods in that nearly all of the principal ground system calibration errors affecting the data are represented as filter parameters. Error budget computations were performed for a Mars Observer interplanetary cruise scenario for cases in which only X-band (8.4-GHz) Doppler data were used to determine the spacecraft's orbit, X-band ranging data were used exclusively, and a combined set in which the ranging data were used in addition to the Doppler data. In all three cases, the filter model was assumed to be a correct representation of the physical world. Random nongravitational accelerations were found to be the largest source of error contributing to the individual error budgets. Other significant contributors, depending on the data strategy used, were solar-radiation pressure coefficient uncertainty, random earth-orientation calibration errors, and Deep Space Network (DSN) station location uncertainty.

Estefan, J. A.↗

Uncertainty Improvement in the NASA Glenn Research Center 8- by 6-Foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel

Within the past decade, a measurement uncertainty analysis (MUA) team was assembled at the NASA Glenn Research Center to assist the wind tunnel characterization team with quantification of uncertainty estimates for variables of interest in wind tunnels and test cells across the center. The initial analysis performed by the team was conducted on the 8- by 6- Foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel using results from the 1996/97 full calibration test entry. These MUA results were published in 2016 which included recommendations for methods to improve the uncertainty estimates for various variables of interest, such as changes to regression models, tunnel operation philosophy, and instrumentation choices. The wind tunnel characterization team utilized the proposed methods in 2019 during a full characterization test entry. Following publication of the 2019 test section characterization results, the MUA team pursued an update to the uncertainty estimates for the facility, which validated previous recommendations and revealed significantly reduced systematic uncertainties across most variables of interest. Inclusion of within-test repeat points in the 2019 test entry allowed for higher fidelity estimates of random uncertainty to be generated, as well. This collaboration between the facility, wind tunnel characterization, and MUA teams serves as an example of the data quality benefits that can be achieved through rigorous analysis of the sources of uncertainty in a ground-test facility.

Uncertainty↗

Uncertainty Improvement in the NASA Glenn Research Center 8- by 6-Foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel

Within the past decade, a measurement uncertainty analysis (MUA) team was assembled at NASA Glenn Research Center to assist the wind tunnel characterization team with quantification of uncertainty estimates for variables of interest in wind tunnels and test cells across the center. The initial analysis performed by the team was conducted on the 8- by 6-Foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel using results from the 1996/97 full calibration test entry. These MUA results were published in 2016 which included recommendations for methods to improve the uncertainty estimates for various variables of interest, such as changes to regression models, tunnel operation philosophy, and instrumentation choices. The wind tunnel characterization team utilized the proposed methods in 2019 during a full characterization test entry. Following publication of the 2019 test section characterization results, the MUA team pursued an update to the uncertainty estimates for the facility, which validated previous recommendations and revealed significantly reduced systematic uncertainties across most variables of interest. Inclusion of within-test repeat points in the 2019 test entry allowed for higher fidelity estimates of random uncertainty to be generated, as well. This collaboration between the facility, wind tunnel characterization, and MUA teams serves as an example of the data quality benefits that can be achieved through rigorous analysis of the sources of uncertainty in a ground-test facility.

Uncertainty↗

Probabilistic structural analysis to quantify uncertainties associated with turbopump blades

A probabilistic study of turbopump blades has been in progress at NASA Lewis Research Center for over the last two years. The objectives of this study are to evaluate the effects of uncertainties in geometry and material properties on the structural response of the turbopump blades to evaluate the tolerance limits on the design. A methodology based on probabilistic approach was developed to quantify the effects of the random uncertainties. The results indicate that only the variations in geometry have significant effects.

Nagpal, Vinod K.↗

Probabilistic structural analysis to quantify uncertainties associated with turbopump blades

A probabilistic study of turbopump blades has been in progress at NASA Lewis Research Center for over the last two years. The objectives of this study are to evaluate the effects of uncertainties in geometry and material properties on the structural response of the turbopump blades to evaluate the tolerance limits on the design. A methodology based on probabilistic approach has been developed to quantify the effects of the random uncertainties. The results of this study indicate that only the variations in geometry have significant effects.

Nagpal, Vinod K.↗

Assessing Uncertainties of a Geophysical Approach to Estimate Surface Fine Particulate Matter Distributions from Satellite-Observed Aerosol Optical Depth

Health impact analyses are increasingly tapping the broad spatial coverage of satellite aerosol optical depth (AOD) products to estimate human exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5). We use a forward geophysical approach to derive ground-level PM2.5 distributions from satellite AOD at 1 km2(exp) resolution for 2011 over the northeastern US by applying relationships between surface PM2.5 and column AOD (calculated offline from speciated mass distributions) from a regional air quality model (CMAQ; 12×12 km2(exp) horizontal resolution). Seasonal average satellite-derived PM2.5 reveals more spatial detail and best captures observed surface PM2.5 levels during summer. At the daily scale, however, satellite-derived PM2.5 is not only subject to measurement uncertainties from satellite instruments, but more importantly to uncertainties in the relationship between surface PM2.5 and column AOD. Using 11 ground-based AOD measurements within 10 km of surface PM2.5 monitors, we show that uncertainties in modeled PM2.5∕AOD can explain more than 70 % of the spatial and temporal variance in the total uncertainty in daily satellite-derived PM2.5 evaluated at PM2.5 monitors. This finding implies that a successful geophysical approach to deriving daily PM2.5 from satellite AOD requires model skill at capturing day-to-day variations in PM2.5∕AOD relationships. Overall, we estimate that uncertainties in the modeled PM2.5∕AOD lead to an error of 11 µg m−3(exp) in daily satellite-derived PM2.5, and uncertainties in satellite AOD lead to an error of 8 µg m−3(exp). Using multi-platform ground, airborne, and radiosonde measurements, we show that uncertainties of modeled PM2.5∕AOD are mainly driven by model uncertainties in aerosol column mass and speciation, while model representation of relative humidity and aerosol vertical profile shape contributes some systematic biases. The parameterization of aerosol optical properties, which determines the mass extinction efficiency, also contributes to random uncertainty, with the size distribution being the largest source of uncertainty and hygroscopicity of inorganic salt the second largest. Future efforts to reduce uncertainty in geophysical approaches to derive surface PM2.5 from satellite AOD would thus benefit from improving model representation of aerosol vertical distribution and aerosol optical properties, to narrow uncertainty in satellite-derived PM2.5.

aerosol optical depth↗

Burning velocities of R-32/O 2 /N 2 mixtures: Experimental measurements and development of a validated detailed chemical kinetic model

This work entails characterizing the flammability of the refrigerant R-32 (CH 2 F 2 ) by both experimental measurements and modeling. Burning velocities S u were measured using a constant-volume spherical-flame method for R-32/O2/N 2 mixtures with O 2 /N 2 ratios ranging from 21% (synthetic air) to 40%, pressures of (1 to 3) bar, and equivalence ratios $\phi$ of (0.8 to 1.3). Based on a critical assessment of available data, and extended by our own calculations, a detailed chemical kinetic model was developed and key reactions determined using reaction path and sensitivity analyses. Initiation and combustion were identified as distinct kinetic regimes and burning velocities were found to be controlled by two primary reactions: unimolecular decomposition of CH 2 F 2 → CHF + HF and the subsequent reaction, CHF + O 2 → CHFO + O, the latter reaction initiating the radical chain propagating and branching by producing O atoms. Sensitive rate constants in the kinetic model were critically adjusted within their uncertainties and current knowledge bounds to best fit the experimental burning velocities. We found that rate constants in the model could be adjusted to match a given experimental S u for specific conditions (O 2 loading, P, T, $\phi$). This, however, then fixes predicted burning velocities for other all conditions within (3 to 4)% if physically realistic rate parameters are maintained. Thus, the entire set of experimental data is fit, not just to particular conditions. Relative random uncertainties in the experimental Su measurements were (4 to 6)%, but assumptions made for thermal radiation lost by the burned gas in the spherical-flame experiments add an additional systematic uncertainty. Systematic differences between the limiting cases of adiabatic (no thermal radiation lost) and optically-thin (all thermal radiation lost) varied significantly with conditions and ranged from (4 to 30)% at high to low velocities, respectively, translating into uncertainties of (2 to 15)% considering the average of two limiting cases. Comparison of experimental and kinetically modeled Su values suggests that the burned gas tends towards the optically-thin limit at the lowest pressures and fuel loadings and toward the adiabatic limit at the highest pressures and loadings. We tested and found support for this conclusion with a detailed analysis as a function of all the conditions (T, P, % O 2 , $\phi$). This behavior appears to transition from optically-thin to adiabatic as the density of the initial fuel increases, which results in increased CO 2 in the burned gas and thus increased absorption of the thermal radiation (consistent with the Beer-Lambert Law). The validated detailed model based on evaluated kinetics is shown to accurately predict burning velocities for R-32 O 2 /N 2 mixtures over a wide range of conditions and provides a reliable basis for extrapolation to other conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Extending 3D Near-Cloud Corrections from Shorter to Longer Wavelengths

Satellite observations have shown a positive correlation between cloud amount and aerosol optical thickness (AOT) that can be explained by the humidification of aerosols near clouds, and/or by cloud contamination by sub-pixel size clouds and the cloud adjacency effect. The last effect may substantially increase reflected radiation in cloud-free columns, leading to overestimates in the retrieved AOT. For clear-sky areas near boundary layer clouds the main contribution to the enhancement of clear sky reflectance at shorter wavelengths comes from the radiation scattered into clear areas by clouds and then scattered to the sensor by air molecules. Because of the wavelength dependence of air molecule scattering, this process leads to a larger reflectance increase at shorter wavelengths, and can be corrected using a simple two-layer model. However, correcting only for molecular scattering skews spectral properties of the retrieved AOT. Kassianov and Ovtchinnikov proposed a technique that uses spectral reflectance ratios to retrieve AOT in the vicinity of clouds; they assumed that the cloud adjacency effect influences the spectral ratio between reflectances at two wavelengths less than it influences the reflectances themselves. This paper combines the two approaches: It assumes that the 3D correction for the shortest wavelength is known with some uncertainties, and then it estimates the 3D correction for longer wavelengths using a modified ratio method. The new approach is tested with 3D radiances simulated for 26 cumulus fields from Large-Eddy Simulations, supplemented with 40 aerosol profiles. The results showed that (i) for a variety of cumulus cloud scenes and aerosol profiles over ocean the 3D correction due to cloud adjacency effect can be extended from shorter to longer wavelengths and (ii) the 3D corrections for longer wavelengths are not very sensitive to unbiased random uncertainties in the 3D corrections at shorter wavelengths.

aerosol optical depth↗

Regression Bias in using Solar Wind Measurements

Simultaneous solar wind measurements from the solar wind monitors, WIND and ACE, differ due to the spatial and temporal structure of the solar wind. Correlation studies that use these measurements as input may infer an incorrect correlation due to uncertainties arising from this spatial and temporal structure, especially at extreme and rare solar wind values. In particular, regression analysis will lead to a regression function whose slope is biased towards the mean value of the measurement parameter. This article demonstrates this regression bias by comparing simultaneous ACE and WIND solar wind measurements. A non-linear regression analysis between them leads to a perception of underestimation of extreme values of one measurement on average over the other. Using numerical experiments, we show that popular regression analysis techniques such as linear least-squares, orthogonal least-squares, and non-linear regression are not immune to this bias. Hence while using solar wind parameters as an independent variable in a correlation or regression analysis, random uncertainty in the independent variable can create unintended biases in the response of the dependent variable. More generally, the regression to the mean effect can impact both event-based, statistical studies of magnetospheric response to solar wind forcing.

magnetosphere↗

Interferometric measurements of refractive index and dispersion at high pressure

Abstract We describe a high precision interferometer system to measure the pressure dependence of the refractive index and its dispersion in the diamond anvil cell (DAC). The reflective Fabry–Perot fringe patterns created by both a white light and a monochromatic beam are recorded to determine both the sample thickness and its index at the laser wavelength and to characterize the dispersion in the visible range. Advances in sample preparation, optical setup, and data analysis enable us to achieve $$10^{-4}$$ 10 - 4 random uncertainty, demonstrated with an air sample, a factor of five improvement over the best previous DAC measurement. New data on $${\text{H}}_{2}\text{O}$$ H 2 O liquid water and ice VI up to 2.21 GPa at room temperature illustrate how higher precision measurements of the index and its optical dispersion open up new opportunities to reveal subtle changes in the electronic structure of water at high pressure.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Laser velocimeter survey about a NACA 0012 wing at low angles of attack

An investigation was conducted in the Langley V/STOL tunnel with a laser velocimeter to obtain measurements of airflow velocities about a wing at low angles of attack. The applicability of the laser velocimeter technique for this purpose in the V/STOL tunnel was demonstrated in this investigation with measurement precision bias calculated at -1.33 percent to 0.91 percent and a random uncertainty calculated at + or - 0.47 percent. Free stream measurements were obtained with this device and compared with velocity calculations from pitot static probe data taken near the laser velocimeter measurement location. The two measurements were in agreement to within 1 percent. Velocity measurement results about the centerline at 0.6 degrees angle of attack were typically those expected. At 4.75 degrees, the velocity measurements indicated that a short laminar separation bubble existed near the leading edge with an oscillating shear layer.

Hoad, D. R.↗

Stereographic cloud heights from the imagery of two scan-synchronized geostationary satellites

Scan synchronization of the sensors of two SMS-GOES satellites yields imagery from which cloud heights can be derived stereographically with a theoretical two-sigma random uncertainty of + or - 0.25 km for pairs of satellites separated by 60 degrees of longitude. Systematic height errors due to cloud motion can be kept below 100 m for all clouds with east-west components of speed below hurricane speed, provided the scan synchronization is within 40 seconds at the mid-point latitude, and the spin axis of each satellite is parallel to that of the earth.

Minzner, R. A.↗

Aerocapture and aeromaneuvering at Mars

This paper presents the results of a guidance analysis study for aerocapture and aeromaneuvering at Mars. A 4-state, near-optimal, hybrid guidance algorithm is derived for applications throughout the paper. It is based on the critical assumption that Loh's function remains constant between successive guidance updates. Besides the guidance algorithm, the paper presents a performance evaluation of guidance derived from estimated or 'navigated' spacecraft state, provided by an onboard navigation subsystem for real-time applications on Mars. For the performance evaluation, the spacecraft state is augmented by such parameters as the reference atmospheric density and scale-height, the banking angle and angle of attack for spacecraft control and the accelerometer measurement model errors. Finally, the paper examines also, the influence of random uncertainties in atmospheric density on aeroassisted maneuvers, by a Monte Carlo type of simulation.

Vijayaraghavan, A.↗

Atmospheric moisture measurements - A microwave radiometer-radiosonde comparison

Measurements of the thermal emission of the sky at three frequencies (20.7, 22.2, and 31.4 GHz) with the NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center Crustal Dynamics Project MW Water Vapor Radiometer are reported. These measurements are compared with brightness temperatures inferred from measurements from VAISALA radiosonde packages launched every 3 hr during the experiment period. An error analysis for the radiosonde-inferred brightness temperatures is performed under the assumption of reasonable random uncertainties for the pressure, temperature, and humidity measurements and propagation of these uncertainties through the analysis algorithm. For the assumed uncertainties, the dominant contribution to the total uncertainty comes from the temperature measurement (66-88 percent), whereas the relative humidity measurement contributes only 2-8 percent, except in the vicinity of the water vapor line, where the contribution is 10-20 percent.

England, Martin N.↗

Advanced Vibration Analysis Tools and New Strategies for Robust Design of Turbine Engine Rotors

The adverse effects of small, random structural irregularities among the blades, called mistuning, can result in blade forced-response amplitudes and stresses that are much larger than those predicted for a perfectly tuned rotor. Manufacturing tolerances, deviations in material properties, or nonuniform operational wear causes mistuning; therefore, mistuning is unavoidable. Furthermore, even a small mistuning can have a dramatic effect on the vibratory behavior of a rotor because it can lead to spatial localization of the vibration energy (see the following photographs). As a result, certain blades may experience forced response amplitudes and stresses that are substantially larger than those predicted by an analysis of the nominal (tuned) design. Unfortunately, these random uncertainties in blade properties, and the immense computational effort involved in obtaining statistically reliable design data, combine to make this aspect of rotor design cumbersome.

Min, James B.↗

Advanced Vibration Analysis Tools and New Strategies for Robust Design of Turbine Engine Rotors

The adverse effects of small, random structural irregularities among the blades, called mistuning, can result in blade forced-response amplitudes and stresses that are much larger than those predicted for a perfectly tuned rotor. Manufacturing tolerances, deviations in material properties, or nonuniform operational wear causes mistuning; therefore, mistuning is unavoidable. Furthermore, even a small mistuning can have a dramatic effect on the vibratory behavior of a rotor because it can lead to spatial localization of the vibration energy (see the following photographs). As a result, certain blades may experience forced response amplitudes and stresses that are substantially larger than those predicted by an analysis of the nominal (tuned) design. Unfortunately, these random uncertainties in blade properties, and the immense computational effort involved in obtaining statistically reliable design data, combine to make this aspect of rotor design cumbersome.

Min, James B.↗

Optical Mass Gauging System for Measuring Liquid Levels in a Reduced Gravity Environment

A compact and rugged fiber-coupled liquid volume sensor designed for flight on a sounding rocket platform is presented. The sensor consists of a Mach-Zehnder interferometer capable of measuring the amount of liquid contained in a tank under any gravitational conditions, including a microgravity environment, by detecting small changes in the index of refraction of the gas contained within a sensing region. By monitoring changes in the interference fringe pattern as the system undergoes a small compression provided by a piston, the ullage volume of a tank can be directly measured allowing for a determination of the liquid volume. To demonstrate the technique, data are acquired using two tanks containing different volumes of liquid, which are representative of the levels of liquid in a tank at different time periods during a mission. The two tanks are independently exposed to the measurement apparatus, allowing for a determination of the liquid level in each. In a controlled, laboratory test of the unit, the system demonstrated a capability of measuring a liquid level in an individual tank of 10.53 mL with a 2% error. The overall random uncertainty for the flight system is higher than that one test, at +/- 1.5 mL.

Sullenberger, Ryan M.↗