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Solar cycle changes in the high latitude solar wind

Measurements of the solar wind velocity during the period 1971-79 using the technique of interplanetary scintillation are discussed. The average wind speed was faster than 500 km/s at latitudes above 30 deg for most of 1973-77. The fast polar stream, observed to become much narrower in 1978-79 is examined. The narrowing of the polar streams coincided with the emergence of sunspots at midlatitudes, with the start of the new solar cycle, and with a corresponding contraction of the polar coronal holes. The theory that the solar magnetic field controls the large scale structure of the solar wind is discussed in relation to the results.

Rickett, B. J.↗

Reply to Issue Raised by Cliver

None given. It's a reply to a paper written by Tsurutani. Covers coronating streams emanating from coronal holes during the decending phase of the solar cycle (1973-1975).

solar cycle coronating streams Tsurutani↗

The cyclical variation of energy flux and photospheric magnetic field strength from coronal holes

The average soft X-ray emission from coronal holes observed on images obtained during rocket flights from 1974 to 1981 is measured. The variation of this emission over the solar cycle was then compared with photospheric magnetic flux measurements within coronal holes over the same period. It was found that coronal hole soft X-ray emission could be detected and that this emission appeared to increase with the rise of the sunspot cycle from activity minimum to maximum. These quantitative results confirmed previous suggestions that the coronal brightness contrast between holes and large-scale structure decreased during this period of the cycle. Gas pressures at the hole base were estimated for assumed temperatures and found to vary from about 0.03 dyne/sq cm in 1974 to 0.35 dyne/sq cm in 1981. The increase in coronal hole X-ray emission was accompanied by a similar trend in the surface magnetic flux of near-equatorial holes between 1975 and 1980 (Harvey et al., 1982).

Webb, D. F.↗

Latitudinal dependence of solar wind speed

The data of King (1979, 1983) and of Hoeksema et al. (1982, 1983) are used to investigate the solar-cycle evolution of solar wind bulk speed as a function of source magnetic field strength. The effects of solar transient events are removed. The data suggest that the latitudinal gradient in background solar wind speed is steepest at solar minimum and broadest at solar maximum. The lowest and highest background speeds are found to remain fairly constant throughout the solar cycle. A function developed for the background solar wind speed is inserted into the improved kinematic code of Hakamada and Akasofu (1982), and solar wind speed and IMF are simulated for two periods in the solar cycle. The observed parameters for specific coronal hole passage are well reproduced by the analysis.

Fry, C. D.↗

X-ray bright points and the solar cycle dependence of emerging magnetic flux

Soft X-ray imaging of the solar corona during the period 1970 to 1978 resulted in significant modifications to the view of the solar cycle with respect to both the properties of the large scale (coronal holes) and small scale (X-ray Bright Points) solar magnetic field. In the latter case, the particular contribution is to the emerging magnetic flux. Sounding rocket observations combined with the Skylab data indicate that the XBP are anticorrelated with sunspot number and are the dominant contributors to the solar cycle. A continuous data set covering a complete cycle would enable the validity of this result which has serious implications for the nature of the solar dynamo, to be confirmed.

Davis, J. M.↗

STEREO Observations of Stream Interaction Regions in 2007-2016:Relationship with Heliospheric Current Sheets, Solar Cycle Variations, and Dual Observations

We have conducted a survey of 575 slow-to-fast stream interaction regions (SIRs) using STEREOA/B data in 2007-2016 (Jian et al., 2019). Among 518 well-defined SIRs, 54% are associated with heliospheric current sheet (HCS) crossings, and 34% are without any HCS crossing. The other 12% of the SIRs often occur in association with magnetic sectors shorter than 3 days. The SIRs with HCS crossings have slightly slower speeds but higher maximum number densities, magnetic field strengths, dynamic pressures, and total pressures than the SIRs without an HCS. The iron charge state is higher throughout the SIRs with an HCS than the SIRs without an HCS, by about 1/3 charge unit. In contrast with the comparable phases of solar cycle 23,slightly more SIRs and higher recurrence rates are observed in the years 2009-2016 of cycle 24,with a lower HCS association rate, possibly attributed to persistent equatorial coronal holes and more pseudostreamers in this recent cycle. The solar wind speed, peak magnetic field and pressures of SIRs are all lower in this cycle, but the weakening is less than for the comparable background solar wind parameters. Before STEREO B lost contact in 2014 October, 151 SIR pairs were observed by the twin spacecraft. Of the dual observations, the maximum speed is the best correlated of the plasma parameters. We have obtained a sample of plasma parameter differences analogous to those that would be observed for a mission at Lagrange point 4 or 5.By studying several cases with large discrepancies between the dual observations, we have also investigated the effects of HCS relative location, tilt of stream interface, and small transients on the SIR properties.

Lan K Jian↗

Analysis of coronal H I Lyman-alpha measurements in a polar region of the sun observed in 1979

Measurements of the intensities and spectral line profiles of resonantly scattered hydrogen Ly-alpha radiation have been used to determine hydrogen kinetic temperatures and electron densities between r = 1.5 and 2.2 solar radii in a polar region of the corona observed in 1979 near solar maximum. The mean temperature, 1.8 x 10 to the 6th K, in this region is significantly higher, by about 60 percent, than that obtained in a similar region observed in a 1980 rocket flight. The densities in these two polar regions are similar and are a factor of about 4 larger than in polar coronal holes observed at solar minimum. The flow velocities in both regions are most likely subsonic for r less than about 4 solar radii. The results reported here support the hypothesis that polar coronal holes observed at different times during the solar cycle can have different temperatures, densities, and possibly flow velocities.

Withbroe, G. L.↗

CME Interaction with Coronal Holes and Their Interplanetary Consequences

A significant number of interplanetary (IP) shocks (-17%) during cycle 23 were not followed by drivers. The number of such "driverless" shocks steadily increased with the solar cycle with 15%, 33%, and 52% occurring in the rise, maximum, and declining phase of the solar cycle. The solar sources of 15% of the driverless shocks were very close the central meridian of the Sun (within approx.15deg), which is quite unexpected. More interestingly, all the driverless shocks with their solar sources near the solar disk center occurred during the declining phase of solar cycle 23. When we investigated the coronal environment of the source regions of driverless shocks, we found that in each case there was at least one coronal hole nearby suggesting that the coronal holes might have deflected the associated coronal mass ejections (CMEs) away from the Sun-Earth line. The presence of abundant low-latitude coronal holes during the declining phase further explains why CMEs originating close to the disk center mimic the limb CMEs, which normally lead to driverless shocks due to purely geometrical reasons. We also examined the solar source regions of shocks with drivers. For these, the coronal holes were located such that they either had no influence on the CME trajectories. or they deflected the CMEs towards the Sun-Earth line. We also obtained the open magnetic field distribution on the Sun by performing a potential field source surface extrapolation to the corona. It was found that the CMEs generally move away from the open magnetic field regions. The CME-coronal hole interaction must be widespread in the declining phase, and may have a significant impact on the geoeffectiveness of CMEs.

Gopalswamy, N.↗

Cosmic-ray picture of the heliosphere

The existing data base on the characteristics of the heliosphere is discussed. It is known that solar gravity is less than necessary to hold all the solar material, and therefore a supersonic solar wind exists. Skylab soft X-ray photographs revealed the existence of coronal holes, which evolve in an 11 yr cycle. It has been proposed that all but the highest energy cosmic rays detected on earth can be attributed to solar and heliospheric origins, a controversial view which requires further empirical and theoretical work on particle acceleration processes and regions of interaction of the solar wind with interplanetary plasma. It is possible that a warped solar current sheet stretches to interplanetary space and organizes the solar magnetic field and thereby guides cosmic rays. An inverse correlation has been identified between the sunspot cycle and cosmic ray intensity. The features and effects of solar flares, subsequent shock waves and high speed particle streams are also discussed.

Venkatesan, D.↗

Genesis Solar Wind Interstream, Coronal Hole and Coronal Mass Ejection Samples: Update on Availability and Condition

Recent refinement of analysis of ACE/SWICS data (Advanced Composition Explorer/Solar Wind Ion Composition Spectrometer) and of onboard data for Genesis Discovery Mission of 3 regimes of solar wind at Earth-Sun L1 make it an appropriate time to update the availability and condition of Genesis samples specifically collected in these three regimes and currently curated at Johnson Space Center. ACE/SWICS spacecraft data indicate that solar wind flow types emanating from the interstream regions, from coronal holes and from coronal mass ejections are elementally and isotopically fractionated in different ways from the solar photosphere, and that correction of solar wind values to photosphere values is non-trivial. Returned Genesis solar wind samples captured very different kinds of information about these three regimes than spacecraft data. Samples were collected from 11/30/2001 to 4/1/2004 on the declining phase of solar cycle 23. Meshik, et al is an example of precision attainable. Earlier high precision laboratory analyses of noble gases collected in the interstream, coronal hole and coronal mass ejection regimes speak to degree of fractionation in solar wind formation and models that laboratory data support. The current availability and condition of samples captured on collector plates during interstream slow solar wind, coronal hole high speed solar wind and coronal mass ejections are de-scribed here for potential users of these samples.

Allton, J. H.↗

Soft X-Ray Telescope (SXRT)

The soft X-ray telescope (SXRT) will provide direct images of the solar corona with spatial resolution of about 1 arcsecond. These images will show the global structure of the corona, the location and area of coronal holes, and the presence of even the smallest active regions and flares. The good spatial resolution will show the fine scale magnetic structure and changes in these phenomena. These observations are essential for monitoring, predicting, and understanding the solar magnetic cycle, coronal heating, solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and the solar wind. These observations complement those of the White Light Coronagraph and Ultra-Violet Coronal Spectrometer; the SXRT will detect active regions and coronal holes near the east limb, thereby giving a week or more of advanced warning for disturbed geomagnetic conditions at Earth. The instrument consists of a grazing incidence collecting mirror with a full disk film camera at the primary focus, and a secondary relay optic that feeds a CCD camera with a field of view about the size of an average active region.

Moore, R. L.↗

Soft X-ray telescope (SXRT)

The soft X-ray telescope (SXRT) will provide direct images of the solar corona with spatial resolution of about 1 arcsecond. These images will show the global structure of the corona, the location and area of coronal holes, and the presence of even the smallest active regions and flares. The good spatial resolution will show the fine scale magnetic structure and changes in these phenomena. These observations are essential for monitoring, predicting, and understanding the solar magnetic cycle, coronal heating, solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and the solar wind. These observations complement those of the White Light Coronagraph and Ultra-Violet Coronal Spectrometer; the SXRT will detect active regions and coronal holes near the east limb, thereby giving a week or more of advanced warning for disturbed geomagnetic conditions at Earth. The instrument consists of a grazing incidence collecting mirror with a full-disk film camera at the primary focus, and a secondary relay optic that feeds a CCD camera with a field of view about the size of an average active region.

Moore, R.↗

Solar-terrestrial influences on weather and climate; Proceedings of the Symposium, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, August 24-28, 1978

The book contains most of the invited papers and contributions presented at the symposium/workshop on solar-terrestrial influences on weather and climate. Four main issues dominate the activities of the symposium: whether solar variability relationships to weather and climate is a fundamental scientific question to which answers may have important implications for long-term weather and climate prediction; the sun-weather relationships; other potential solar influences on weather including the 11-year sunspot cycle, the 27-day solar rotation, and special solar events such as flares and coronal holes; and the development of practical use of solar variability as a tool for weather and climatic forecasting, other than through empirical approaches. Attention is given to correlation topics; solar influences on global circulation and climate models; lower and upper atmospheric coupling, including electricity; planetary motions and other indirect factors; experimental approaches to sun-weather relationships; and the role of minor atmospheric constituents.

Mccormac, B. M.↗

Anomalous low level of cosmic ray intensity decreases observed during 1980

Past studies have revealed solar cycle changes in the sunspot activity, as well as in many other solar parameters, such as, solar flares and solar coronal holes. These solar features in turn produce the observed cyclic variations in the interplanetary plasma and fields. Both the cosmic ray intensity as well as the intensity of geomagnetic disturbances are affected by the interplanetary changes and produce 11/22 year periodicity. An anomalous situation has been noticed during the year 1980 (period of high sunspot activity), when both the geomagnetic disturbance index Ap, as well as the magnitude and number of Forbush decreases as small. Such an anomaly occurs, in spite of the fact that both the sunspot numbers and the energetic solar flares are almost maximum during the present solar cycle.

Jain, A. K.↗

Interplanetary Origin of Geomagnetic Activity in the Declining Phase of the Solar Cycle

Interplanetary magnetic field and plasma data are compared with ground-based geomagnetic Dst and AE indices to determine the causes of magnetic storms, substorms, and quiet during the descending phase of the solar cycle. The primary focus is on 1974 data characterized by the presence of two long-lasting corotating streams associated with coronal holes.

Space Physics Magnetic Storms Geomagnetics Solar C↗

The Sources of Bz Fluctuations within CIRs: Magnetic Storms During the Descending Phase of the Solar Cycle

This presentation examines the magnetic field fluctuations within Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs) detected by Ulysses at mid- and low-latitudes. CIRs are formed by the interaction of high-speed streams flowing from the polar coronal hole with slow-speed streams. Several wave modes are identified, and the effectiveness of these waves causing magnetic storms at Earth will be discussed.

Space Physics Magnetic Storms Solar Cycles Sun↗

A Forecast of Reduced Solar Activity and Its Implications for NASA

The "Solar Dynamo" method of solar activity forecasting is reviewed. Known generically as a 'precursor" method, insofar as it uses observations which precede solar activity generation, this method now uses the Solar Dynamo Amplitude (SODA) Index to estimate future long-term solar activity. The peak amplitude of the next solar cycle (#24), is estimated at roughly 124 in terms of smoothed F10.7 Radio Flux and 74 in terms of the older, more traditional smoothed international or Zurich Sunspot number (Ri or Rz). These values are significantly smaller than the amplitudes of recent solar cycles. Levels of activity stay large for about four years near the peak in smoothed activity, which is estimated to occur near the 2012 timeflame. Confidence is added to the prediction of low activity by numerous examinations of the Sun s weakened polar field. Direct measurements are obtained by the Mount Wilson Solar Observatory and the Wilcox Solar Observatory. Further support is obtained by examining the Sun s polar faculae (bright features), the shape of coronal soft X-ray "holes," and the shape of the "source surface" - a calculated coronal feature which maps the large scale structure of the Sun s field. These features do not show the characteristics of well-formed polar coronal holes associated with typical solar minima. They show stunted polar field levels, which are thought to result in stunted levels of solar activity during solar cycle #24. The reduced levels of solar activity would have concomitant effects upon the space environment in which satellites orbit. In particular, the largest influences would affect orbit determination of satellites in LEO (Low Earth Orbit), based upon the altered thermospheric and exospheric densities. A decrease in solar activity would result in smaller satellite decay rates, as well as fewer large solar events that can destroy satellite electronic functions. Other effects of reduced solar activity upon the space environment include enhanced galactic cosmic rays and more space debris at low altitudes (from the decay of old satellite parts, etc.). The reasons are well known: namely, solar activity serves to sweep the inner heliosphere of galactic cosmic rays, and lower exospheric densities result in decreased drag on LEO debris, allowing longer lifetimes.

Schatten, Kenneth↗