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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2

A machine learning estimator trained on synthetic data for real-time earthquake ground-shaking predictions in Southern California

Abstract After large-magnitude earthquakes, a crucial task for impact assessment is to rapidly and accurately estimate the ground shaking in the affected region. To satisfy real-time constraints, intensity measures are traditionally evaluated with empirical Ground Motion Models that can drastically limit the accuracy of the estimated values. As an alternative, here we present Machine Learning strategies trained on physics-based simulations that require similar evaluation times. We trained and validated the proposed Machine Learning-based Estimator for ground shaking maps with one of the largest existing datasets (<100M simulated seismograms) from CyberShake developed by the Southern California Earthquake Center covering the Los Angeles basin. For a well-tailored synthetic database, our predictions outperform empirical Ground Motion Models provided that the events considered are compatible with the training data. Using the proposed strategy we show significant error reductions not only for synthetic, but also for five real historical earthquakes, relative to empirical Ground Motion Models.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Impact of Drought on Ecohydrology of Southern California Grassland and Shrubland

Abstract Through their rooting profiles and water demands, plants affect the distribution of water in the soil profile. Simultaneously, soil water content controls plant development and interactions within and between plant communities. These plant-soil water feedbacks might vary across plant communities with different rooting depths and species composition. In semiarid environments, understanding these differences will be essential to predict how ecosystems will respond to drought, which may become more frequent and severe with climate change. In this study, we tested how plant-soil water feedbacks responded to drought in two contrasting ecosystem types—grassland and shrubland—in the coastal foothills of southern California. During years 5–8 of an ongoing precipitation manipulation experiment, we measured changes in plant communities and soil moisture up to 2 m depth. We observed different water use patterns in grassland and shrubland communities with distinct plant functional types and water use strategies. Drought treatment did not affect perennial, deep-rooted shrubs because they could access deep soil water pools. However, mid-rooted shrubs were sensitive to drought and experienced decreased productivity and die-off. As a result, water content actually increased with drought at soil depths from 50–150 cm. In grassland, biomass production by annual species, including annual grasses and forbs, declined with drought, resulting in lower water uptake from the surface soil layer. An opportunistic “live fast, die young“ life strategy allowed these species to recover quickly once water availability increased. Our results show how drought interacts with plant community composition to affect the soil water balance of semiarid ecosystems, information that could be integrated into global scale models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effects of experimental nitrogen deposition on soil organic carbon storage in Southern California drylands

Atmospheric nitrogen (N) deposition is enriching soils with N across biomes. Soil N enrichment can increase plant productivity and affect microbial activity, thereby increasing soil organic carbon (SOC), but such responses vary across biomes. Drylands cover ~45% of Earth's land area and store ~33% of global SOC contained in the top 1 m of soil. Nitrogen fertilization could, therefore, disproportionately impact carbon (C) cycling, yet whether dryland SOC storage increases with N remains unclear. To understand how N enrichment may change SOC storage, we separated SOC into plant–derived, particulate organic C (POC), and largely microbially derived, mineral–associated organic C (MAOC) at four N deposition experimental sites in Southern California. Theory suggests that N enrichment increases the efficiency by which microbes build MAOC (C stabilization efficiency) if soil pH stays constant. But if soils acidify, a common response to N enrichment, then microbial biomass and enzymatic organic matter decay may decrease, increasing POC but not MAOC. We found that N enrichment had no effect on C fractions except for a decrease in MAOC at one site. Specifically, despite reported increases in plant biomass in three sites and decreases in microbial biomass and extracellular enzyme activities in two sites that acidified, POC did not increase. Furthermore, microbial C use and stabilization efficiency increased in a non–acidified site, but without increasing MAOC. Instead, MAOC decreased by 16% at one of the sites that acidified, likely because it lost 47% of the exchangeable calcium (Ca) relative to controls. Indeed, MAOC was strongly and positively affected by Ca, which directly and, through its positive effect on microbial biomass, explained 58% of variation in MAOC. Finally, long–term effects of N fertilization on dryland SOC storage appear abiotic in nature, such that drylands where Ca–stabilization of SOC is prevalent and soils acidify, are most at risk for significant C loss.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

New K-feldspar Pb isotope results for Mesozoic arc crust in the Pacific Northwest, U.S.A. and Canada: comparison with the Mojave-Salinia province of southern California and Implications for Baja-BC

Measurements of lead isotopic compositions in detrital K-feldspar have been increasingly used as a tool to assess sediment provenance. We compiled a database of previously published Pb isotope data from 700 bedrock K-feldspar samples and 1,423 age-corrected bedrock whole rock samples from western North American igneous and metamorphic bodies. Additionally, we report 66 new K-feldspar Pb isotope data for plutons throughout the Pacific Northwest region of the United States and British Columbia. Results show that the Pb isotope values of plutonic K-feldspar depend on the isotopically juvenile or evolved nature of underlying crust. Samples obtained from the mid Cretaceous – mid Eocene Coast Plutonic Complex, North Cascades, and Intermontane superterrane that occur west of the initial 87 Sr/ 86 Sr (Sri) = 0.706 isopleth exhibit a highly restricted 207 Pb/ 206 Pb and 208 Pb/ 206 Pb values centred upon 0.83 and 2.03, respectively. Conversely, rocks overlying older continental crust further east such as the Middle Jurassic – Late Cretaceous Omineca crystalline belt, Idaho batholith, and Boulder Batholith exhibit far greater variation of Pb isotope values that parallel the 100 Ma isochron calculated from a two-stage Pb evolution model. We demonstrate that Pb isotopic results from the Idaho and Boulder Batholith region can be used to define distinctive subregions for Pb isotopic provenance analysis, and compare these signatures to the Mojave-Salinian batholith of southern California and western Arizona, as these two areas have previously been proposed as source regions for extraregional sediment that was deposited within the Nanaimo Basin during the Campanian – Maastrichtian. Future Pb isotopic analysis of detrital K-feldspar from the Nanaimo Basin of southwestern British Columbia may effectively distinguish between potential extraregional sources separated by thousands of kilometres.

Coast Plutonic Complex↗

Regional Earthquake Ground Motion Simulations for Southern California With EQSIM: Insights From the 2008 Chino Hills, 2024 Highland Park, and 2021 Carson Earthquakes

This study presents physics-based, 3D simulations using the EQSIM framework for several earthquakes in the Los Angeles region. The primary objective was to assess the ability of deterministic physics-based ground motion simulations to reproduce the observed motions from historical events. The selected events included the mathematical equation M w 5.4 2008 Chino Hills, the mathematical equation M w 4.4 2024 Highland Park, and the mathematical equation M w 4.3 2021 Carson events. The simulated motions were evaluated by comparing the recorded and simulated seismograms, as well as the Fourier amplitude spectra, across multiple seismic stations. The SCEC 3D velocity model, CVM-S4.26.M01, was used to represent the regional geology, and ground motion simulations were carried out with a resolution of up to 5 Hz. The results indicate that the simulated motions captured the recorded motions up to approximately 4 Hz. While careful iterations regarding source parameters and corner frequencies were required, and, for the case of the Highland Park event, some of the near-source stations had relatively low accuracy, the present study established a positive step toward the utilization of physics-based simulations in practical applications. The computational efficiencies exhibited by EQSIM, especially on GPU clusters, further supported this assertion, as wall-clock times of simulations involving more than 10 billion grid points were as low as mathematical equation minutes. This permits ensemble simulations for a considered scenario event so that modeling uncertainties (e.g., source and geology) can be bracketed.

EQSIM↗

Evaluating sulfurization as a blue carbon sink in a southern California salt marsh

Blue carbon ecosystems such as seagrass meadows, mangrove forests, and salt marshes are important carbon sinks that can store carbon for millennia. Recently, organic matter sulfurization and pyritization have been proposed as mechanisms of net carbon storage in blue carbon ecosystems. At our study site, organic sulfur that is resistant to acid hydrolysis (protokerogen) is an order of magnitude less abundant than pyrite sulfur, suggesting a dominance of pyritization over sulfurization. The C/N ratios and carbon isotope compositions suggest that nearly half of total organic carbon and ≥ 80% of protokerogen is composed of marsh plant material. Sediment protokerogen appears to be sulfurized based on its low δ 34 S values (− 10‰), abundance of disulfides, and higher S/C ratio (~ 1.0%) relative to potential biogenic sulfur sources. However, the interpretation of protokerogen δ 34 S values is complicated by the wide range in sulfur isotope compositions of marsh plants. Evidence for sulfurization occurs within the shallowest sediments across different vegetation zones, yielding consistent products, while pyritization appears to be more sensitive to alterations in sediment redox conditions. Based on organic sulfur and pyrite content, sulfurization may be a more spatially consistent process than pyritization, with implications for carbon storage. The relative abundance of pyrite and protokerogen organic sulfur indicates that pyritization is favored at our study site, but this is likely to vary across the spectrum of blue carbon ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Annual productivity and lipid composition of native microalgae (Chlorophyta) at a pilot production facility in Southern California

Microalgae are an efficient platform for the sustainable production of foods, fuels, and bioproducts. Due to the vast natural diversity of microalgae, choosing an ideal species for production can be challenging, and laboratory-derived productivity data may be misleading. In the present study, nine species of green algae (Chlorophyta) were isolated directly from an outdoor pilot production facility, identified via sequencing and microscopy, cultured under standard laboratory conditions to assess lipid content, and then cultivated in 80-L cultures in a greenhouse over the course of a year to assess productivity. Analysis of lipid content from laboratory-grown cultures revealed that these strains had high concentrations of C16 and C18 fatty acids and lipid content not exceeding 30% of dry weight during growth phase. In the greenhouse, Parachlorella kessleri-SD23 had the highest annual productivity, yielding an annual average of approximately 19 g/m 2 /d and 88 mg/L/d of biomass productivity. Furthermore, P. kessleri-SD23 had a total lipid content equal to about 19% of dry weight during growth phase under laboratory conditions with the highest concentration of C18:2 and C18:3 fatty acids among the isolates.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Monitoring Seasonal Shear Wave Velocity Changes in the Top 6 m at Garner Valley in Southern California With Borehole Data

Abstract Subsurface structures play important roles in seismic ground motion, crustal hydrology, stability of the built environment, and more. Constraining temporal changes of subsurface shear wave velocity ( V S ) can provide useful information to all these topics and the growing field of hydrological monitoring with seismic velocity. Using borehole records at Garner Valley, CA, we estimate seasonal subsurface V S variations from impulse response functions (IRFs) of earthquake data (2005–2018) along with IRFs and cross‐correlation of cross‐hole experiment data (2015–2018). The inferred V S variations are up to ∼25% in the top 6 m and ∼10% at 2–5 m in depth. The V S variations correlate strongly with the water table depth changes, suggesting that the changes are mostly due to fluctuations of pore pressure in the shallow material. The shallow velocity changes alter the near‐surface conditions, can affect seismic hazard estimation, and may be improperly attributed to deeper processes without careful analysis.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Using Dark Fiber and Distributed Acoustic Sensing to Characterize a Geothermal System in the Imperial Valley, Southern California

The Imperial Valley, CA, is a tectonically active transtensional basin located south of the Salton Sea; the area hosts numerous geothermal fields, including significant hidden hydrothermal resources without surface manifestations. Development of inexpensive, rugged, and highly sensitive exploration techniques for undiscovered geothermal systems is critical for accelerating geothermal power deployment as well as unlocking a low-carbon energy future. We present a case study utilizing distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) and ambient noise interferometry for geothermal reservoir imaging, utilizing unlit fiber-optic telecommunication infrastructure (dark fiber). The study exploits two days of passive DAS data acquired in early November 2020 over a ~28-km section of fiber from Calipatria, CA to Imperial, CA. We apply ambient noise interferometry to retrieve coherent signals from DAS records and develop a bin stacking technique to attenuate the effects from persistent localized noise sources and to enhance retrieval of coherent surface waves. As a result, we are able to obtain high-resolution two-dimensional (2D) S wave velocity ($V_s$) structure to 3 km depth, based on joint inversion of both the fundamental and higher overtones. We observe a previously unmapped high $V_s$ and low $V_p$/$V_s$ ratio feature beneath the Brawley geothermal system, which we interpret to be a zone of hydrothermal mineralization and lower porosity. This interpretation is consistent with a host of other measurements including surface heat flow, gravity anomalies, and available borehole wireline data. These results demonstrate the potential utility of DAS deployed on dark fiber for geothermal system exploration and characterization in the appropriate geological settings.

Vp/Vs imaging↗

Battery Performance, Thermal, and Life Modeling for Southern California Edison (Cooperative Research and Development Final Report)

The objective of this project is to develop battery performance models, thermal models and life models for SCE to use in simulation and analysis of grid services involving energy storage. NREL will fit the models to three separate chemistries using test data provided by SCE. The dataset for each chemistry will include electrical, thermal and aging response to different temperatures and cycling conditions, measured under a variety of cell-level and module-level experiments described in SCE test protocol documents. Once tuned to a test dataset, the battery system model software will provide predictions of battery energy and power loss, and thus cycle and calendar life, for any energy storage grid service power profile of interest to SCE. The automated battery life modeling and simulation tool can also be applied to any other grid battery systems as long as necessary input data is available to accelerate battery model development and battery lifetime analysis.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Economic Analysis of the NIF Optics Recycle Loop Systems Investment Options: SAE 560 - Economic Considerations for Systems Engineering at University of Southern California

The National Ignition Facility (NIF) relies on large-scale precision optics to deliver high-energy laser pulses for fusion and high-energy-density physics research; however, the NIF routinely operates above the damage threshold for those optics, decreasing their effectiveness with every experiment. A production line composed of several dozen highly specialized processing systems, collectively referred to as the ‘optics recycle loop’, was established to support refurbishment and re-use of these critical components to reduce reliance on high-cost and high-risk optic replacement strategies. This analysis aims to identify the most cost-effective investment options for improving recycle loop throughput by maximizing availability and production flexibility while minimizing the engineering and infrastructure efforts and cost.

42 ENGINEERING↗