Results for “Specific biomass growth rate” — Page 2

NASA NTRS2016

The Effect of Future Ambient Air Pollution on Human Premature Mortality to 2100 Using Output from the ACCMIP Model Ensemble

Ambient air pollution from ground-level ozone and fine particulate matter (PM(sub 2.5)) is associated with premature mortality. Future concentrations of these air pollutants will be driven by natural and anthropogenic emissions and by climate change. Using anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions projected in the four Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCPs), the ACCMIP ensemble of chemistry climate models simulated future concentrations of ozone and PM(sub 2.5) at selected decades between 2000 and 2100. We use output from the ACCMIP ensemble, together with projections of future population and baseline mortality rates, to quantify the human premature mortality impacts of future ambient air pollution. Future air-pollution-related premature mortality in 2030, 2050 and 2100 is estimated for each scenario and for each model using a health impact function based on changes in concentrations of ozone and PM(sub 2.5) relative to 2000 and projected future population and baseline mortality rates. Additionally, the global mortality burden of ozone and PM(sub 2.5) in 2000 and each future period is estimated relative to 1850 concentrations, using present-day and future population and baseline mortality rates. The change in future ozone concentrations relative to 2000 is associated with excess global premature mortality in some scenarios/periods, particularly in RCP8.5 in 2100 (316 thousand deaths per year), likely driven by the large increase in methane emissions and by the net effect of climate change projected in this scenario, but it leads to considerable avoided premature mortality for the three other RCPs. However, the global mortality burden of ozone markedly increases from 382000 (121000 to 728000) deaths per year in 2000 to between 1.09 and 2.36 million deaths per year in 2100, across RCPs, mostly due to the effect of increases in population and baseline mortality rates. PM(sub 2.5) concentrations decrease relative to 2000 in all scenarios, due to projected reductions in emissions, and are associated with avoided premature mortality, particularly in 2100: between 2.39 and 1.31 million deaths per year for the four RCPs. The global mortality burden of PM(sub 2.5) is estimated to decrease from 1.70 (1.30 to 2.10) million deaths per year in 2000 to between 0.95 and 1.55 million deaths per year in 2100 for the four RCPs due to the combined effect of decreases in PM(sub 2.5) concentrations and changes in population and baseline mortality rates. Trends in future air-pollution-related mortality vary regionally across scenarios, reflecting assumptions for economic growth and air pollution control specific to each RCP and region. Mortality estimates differ among chemistry climate models due to differences in simulated pollutant concentrations, which is the greatest contributor to overall mortality uncertainty for most cases assessed here, supporting the use of model ensembles to characterize uncertainty. Increases in exposed population and baseline mortality rates of respiratory diseases magnify the impact on premature mortality of changes in future air pollutant concentrations and explain why the future global mortality burden of air pollution can exceed the current burden, even where air pollutant concentrations decrease.

Silva, Raquel A.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Effect of salinity on the preservation of biomarkers in hypersaline microbial mat kerogens

Kerogen is the residue that remains after the minerals and organic compounds have been extracted from a rock using acid and organic solvents, respectively [1]. It is not only the largest organic carbon sink in the geological record but the best-preserved fraction due to its recalcitrance and ability to retain syngenetic source information during deposition [2]. Due to the complex, macromolecular, cross-linked polymeric structure of kerogen, it is difficult to analyse intact, often requiring breakdown into smaller subunits through thermal (pyrolysis) or chemical treatment (chemolysis) [3]. Saline and hypersaline environments host diverse microbial communities, which can trap and bind organic matrices such as cellular components (e.g., extracellular polymeric substances, cell wall, peptidoglycan, sheath material, etc.) with sediments, forming layered, laminated structures called microbial mats. Here we present depth profiles of two hypersaline cores through a microbial mat with differing total salinities. We looked at the composition of organic compounds released from kerogen during high temperature, hydrogen-assisted, pyrolysis to understand the effect of salinity on the composition and timing of their incorporation [4]. Field Site: The Exportadora del Sal S. A. (ESSA) saltern of Guerrero Negro (Baja California Sur, Mexico) lies within a typical sabhka environment adjacent to Laguna Ojo de Liebre. Note the spatial extent of the 13 major ponds of the ESSA system. The GN ponds thrive under well-monitored and stable conditions with steady state accretion and degradation of mat layers (around 0.5–1.4 cm per year). Organic mats typically attain up to 10 cm in thickness, depending on the location, which represents about 60 years of growth since these ponds were established. Sedimentation rate is rapid in these non-lithifying and non-mineralising mats, 1–1.5 cm per year. This environment is ideal for investigating in situ lipid preservation and diagenesis without the influence of constantly changing physical parameters. Methods: P4n5 and P5AB cores were collected as ~9 cm and 6.5 cm fresh cores, respectively, in June 2001 and September 2010, respectively from the ESSA saltern. The P4n5 core (9-9.1% salinity) was taken from Pond 4 near 5 and sub-divided into 10 layers. The P5AB core (11.2% salinity) was taken from Pond 5A near 5B and sub-divided into 8 layers. Lyophilised microbial mat powders were solvent-extracted using a modified Bligh-Dyer method and analysed by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS). Additionally, a subset of layers—layer 4 and layer 7—which represented active biomass and sediment-processed, respectively, were subjected to mild-acid methanolysis. The respective residues from conventional solvent extraction and acid methanolysis were loaded with a molybdenum sulfide catalyst and placed into a stainless-steel reactor. Samples were run on the hydropyrolysis set up (heated to 500 °C with 13-15 MPa of H2 pressure), extracted, and analysed by GC-MS. Results: Molecular profiles from the two ponds were significantly different and reflect the contributions of different photosynthetic and respiratory microbial communities to preserved organic matter. For example, the higher salinity P5AB core showed evidence of greater archaeal inputs (similarly observed in lab culture experiments [5]) as well as potential kerogen-bound carotenoids/carotenoid rearranged products or fragments. A hydrophobic emulsion formed during the acid methanolysis processing of layer 4 from both P4n5 and P5AB and layer 7 of P5AB. Hydropyrolysis of this hydrophobic residues released a greater abundance of polycyclic lipids relative to the pre-extracted control. Implications and Future Work: Catalytic hydropyrolysis of kerogen can rapidly generate abundant saturated pyrolysate products from the bound biomarker pool without altering the structures or stereochemistries of the products [6]. Chemical processing of solvent-extractable residues indicated that cellular matrices such as extracellular polymeric substances (EPS) may play a role in the sequestration of polycyclic lipid biomarkers such as steranes and hopanes. Their higher relative abundance compared to the pre-extracted control in the higher salinity layers and cores preliminarily aligns with this hypothesis, although further experiments are required to confirm this. It has been well-documented that EPS plays an important role in mineralisation, specifically carbonate formation, in microbial ecosystems. EPS can enhance calcium carbonate precipitation by providing diffusion-limited sites that create alkalinity gradients in response to microbial processes [7]. It has been experimentally demonstrated that salinity influences the total amount of EPS (both loosely- and tightly-bound) which increases with increasing salinity [8]. The higher salinity at Guerrero Negro switches the microbial population from filamentous Microcoleus to being dominated by Phormidium, Oscillatoria, and unicellular cyanobacteria. We demonstrated that lipid binding into kerogen via strong covalent linkages occurs at the very earliest stages of sedimentary diagenesis. We are currently investigating the influence of salinity on organic preservation through experimental and modelling approaches. Understanding how key biomarkers transform into preserved organic matter (i.e., from precursor biolipids to bound geolipids) in brine ecosystems will aid the search for organic biosignatures on other planetary bodies, especially Icy Moons and modern Mars.

hypersaline↗