Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Transient response prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-Physics System-level Simulations of a Generic Pebble Bed High-Temperature Gas Cooled Reactor with Coupled SAM/Griffin Model

A SAM model for a 200 MWth generic pebble bed high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (PBHTGR) is presented in this work. As an extension to the modeling effort from FY-22 (Ooi et al. (2022)), an improved core channel approach is used to model the pebble bed of the reactor. The improvement greatly simplifies the model and reduces the run time of the model. Furthermore, the SAM model is coupled to the Griffin reactor physics model from Stewart et al. (2021) using the MOOSE MultiApp system where neutronics calculations are performed by the Griffin model and thermal hydraulics calculations by the SAM model. Favorable predictions are produced by the SAM/Griffin coupled model for steady-state normal operating condition. A load-following transient is also simulated with the coupled model where the neutronics and thermal hydraulics responses of the core are predicted correctly by the model. A protected Pressurized Loss of Forced Cooling (PLOFC) accident is simulated with the SAM model, in which the reactor power is determined using the decay heat curve, and therefore the Griffin model is not needed and thus decoupled. A simplified RCCS (Reactor Cavity Cooling System) loop is added to the model to remove decay heat from the core during the transient. Qualitatively, the prediction by the SAM model matches the expected behavior of a PB-HTGR during a PLOFC accident.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Data Set for Intercomparing the Transient Behavior of Dynamical Model-Based Subseasonal to Decadal Climate Predictions

Climate predictions using coupled models in different time scales, from intraseasonal to decadal, are usually affected by initial shocks, drifts, and biases, which reduce the prediction skill. These arise from inconsistencies between different components of the coupled models and from the tendency of the model state to evolve from the prescribed initial conditions toward its own climatology over the course of the prediction. Aiming to provide tools and further insight into the mechanisms responsible for initial shocks, drifts, and biases, this paper presents a novel data set developed within the Long Range Forecast Transient Intercomparison Project, LRFTIP. This data set has been constructed by averaging hindcasts over available prediction years and ensemble members to form a hindcast climatology, that is a function of spatial variables and lead time, and thus results in a useful tool for characterizing and assessing the evolution of errors as well as the physical mechanisms responsible for them. A discussion on such errors at the different time scales is provided along with plausible ways forward in the field of climate predictions

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Semi–Analytical Modeling of Transient Stream Drawdown and Depletion in Response to Aquifer Pumping

Analytical and semi–analytical models for stream depletion with transient stream stage drawdown induced by groundwater pumping are developed to address a deficiency in existing models, namely, the use of a fixed stream stage condition at the stream–aquifer interface. Here field data are presented to demonstrate that stream stage drawdown does indeed occur in response to groundwater pumping near aquifer–connected streams. A model that predicts stream depletion with transient stream drawdown is developed based on stream channel mass conservation and finite stream channel storage. The resulting models are shown to reduce to existing fixed–stage models in the limit as stream channel storage becomes infinitely large, and to the confined aquifer flow with a no–flow boundary at the streambed in the limit as stream storage becomes vanishingly small. The model is applied to field measurements of aquifer and stream drawdown, giving estimates of aquifer hydraulic parameters, streambed conductance, and a measure of stream channel storage. The results of the modeling and data analysis presented herein have implications for sustainable groundwater management.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Liquid lithium as divertor material to mitigate severe damage of nearby components during plasma transients

The successful operation of thermonuclear fusion reactors such as ITER, DEMO, and future commercial plants is mainly determined by the optimum choice of materials for various components. The objective of this work is to accurately and comprehensively simulate the entire device in 3D to predict pros and cons of various materials, e.g., liquid lithium in comparison to tungsten and carbon to predict future ITER-like and DEMO divertor performances. We used our comprehensive HEIGHTS simulation package to investigate ITER-like components response during transient events in exact 3D geometry. Starting from the lost hot core plasma particles through SOL, deposition on the divertor surface, and the generation of secondary plasma of divertor materials. Our simulations predicted significant reduction in the heat loading and damage to the divertor nearby and internal components in the case when lithium is used on the divertor plates. While if tungsten or carbon are used on the divertor plate, significant melting areas and vaporization spots can occur (less for carbon) on the reflector, dome, and stainless steel tubes, and even parts of the first walls can melt due to the high radiation power of the secondary divertor plasma. Lithium photon radiation deposition into the divertor and nearby surfaces was decreased by two orders of magnitude compared to tungsten and by one order of magnitude compared to carbon. This analysis showed that using liquid lithium for ITER-like surfaces and future DEMO can lead to significant enhancement in components lifetime.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Radiation-induced bowing of SiC/SiC composites under neutron flux gradients—integral experimental data for model validation

Here, the radiation-induced swelling of SiC and its composites, including strong dependencies on temperature and dose, can drive significant lateral bowing in the presence of temperature and/or dose gradients. In recent years, simulations have been performed to assess the extent of bowing in SiC composite light-water reactor (LWR) fuel cladding and boiling water reactor (BWR) channel boxes. However, to date, no integral experimental data exist to validate these models. This work provides the first experimental bowing evaluation of three ∼380 mm long SiC composite specimens irradiated under varying neutron dose gradients (∼50°C–60°C, 0.03–0.06 dpa): two tubes (∼9.8 mm diameter) and a miniature BWR channel box (∼30 mm square). The measured radiation-induced length swelling (∼0.3%–0.7% linear) was consistently 10%–21% higher than values obtained from 3D finite element structural analyses with inputs from 3D radiation transport calculations. This discrepancy could be at least partially explained by differences in dose rate (∼10 -8 dpa/s) compared to the literature data (∼10-6 dpa/s) used to establish the dose-to-swelling correlations in the model. Nevertheless, the modeled bowing magnitudes (<2 mm) obtained from finite element analyses and simple analytical equations were within the bounds of the experimental measurements for all specimens. With improved confidence in the ability to predict the structural response and measure the macroscopic deformations, future experiments will target transient bowing under neutron flux gradients at representative LWR temperatures and assess whether grid spacers can mitigate the tens of millimeters of bowing that would otherwise be expected in ∼4 m long LWR components.

bowing↗
DOE OSTI2023

Transient Photocurrent From High-Voltage Vertical GaN Diodes Irradiated With Electrons: Experiments and Simulations

Radiation-hard high-voltage vertical GaN p-n diodes are being developed for use in power electronics subjected to ionizing radiation. Here, we present a comparison of the measured and simulated photocurrent response of diodes exposed to ionizing irradiation with 70 keV and 20 MeV electrons at dose rates in the range of 1.4x10 7 - 5.0x10 8 rad(GaN)/s. The simulations correctly predict the trend in measured steady-state photocurrent and agree with experimental results within a factor of 2. Furthermore, simulations of the transient photocurrent response to dose rates with uniform and non-uniform ionization depth profiles uncover the physical processes involved that cannot be otherwise experimentally observed due to orders of magnitude larger RC time constant of the test circuit. The simulations were performed using an Exploratory Physics Development code developed at Sandia National Laboratories. The code offers the capability to include defect physics under more general conditions, not included in commercially available software packages, extending the applicability of the simulations to different types of radiation environments.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2024

Initial Assessment of CTF for Time-at-Temperature Applications

The US nuclear industry is interested in improving the economics of their fleet of light-water reactors (LWRs) by uprating US plants. One option being considered is to regain lost margin from overly conservative fuel safety limits. The current limit requires avoidance of critical heat flux (CHF) and prevents further operation of fuel that experiences a dry-out in boiling water reactors (BWRs) or departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) in pressurized water reactors (PWRs); however, it has been shown that temporary, mild dry-out of the fuel does not necessarily increase the risk of fuel failure during its normal anticipated operating life. Such mild dry-out or DNB events may occur during a plant anticipated operational occurrence (AOO), such as a locked rotor in a PWR or a pump trip in a BWR. The time-at-temperature (TAT) approach to regulating fuel operation aims to demonstrate that the fuel rod’s integrity is not challenged during such a mild transient that leads to CHF in which the fuel operates at an elevated temperature for a brief period of time. However, implementing this approach will require extensive fuel material experimental data, as well as supporting modeling and simulation (M&S) predictions, to ensure that the predicted fuel response during AOOs, with all applicable uncertainty considered, will not threaten the safety of the fuel during the transient or the remainder of its anticipated lifecycle. To address this need, a comprehensive effort is being proposed that includes generating cladding material data under TAT conditions, assessment of available code capabilities for TAT conditions, development of new mechanistic models, and demonstration of the M&S capabilities for AOOs of interest. This will require a joint effort between the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) and Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) programs, as well as close collaboration with nuclear industry stakeholders. The outcome of this collaboration will result in development and assessment of capabilities that can be used by the nuclear industry to support qualification of a TAT-based fuel failure criteria safety limit. This report focuses on the thermal hydraulics (T/H) modeling capabilities and summarizes currently available data for validating the T/H subchannel code CTF for TAT conditions, as well as preliminary assessment results of the code. The initial assessment also resulted in implementation of an alternative post-CHF heat transfer package, which has been shown to significantly improve accuracy. This report is not a final assessment and does not consider all available validation data; it is intended that a future assessment will more fully validate the code for this application.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Simulation of Peach Bottom turbine trip transient with RETRAN-3D using BXFGEN

The Peach Bottom 2 Turbine Trip transient is used to evaluate the capabilities and accuracy of coupled 3-D neutronics/thermal hydraulics best estimate calculations for support of safety analysis. Selected results, obtained with RETRAN-3D, are compared to available measurements and benchmark results. The comparisons are analyzed and the application of RETRAN-3D for a best estimate analysis approach within the safety analysis methodology is discussed. Overall, both the thermal-hydraulic and neutronic results show a good comparison to the experimental data, and the model is considered to accurately predict test data. In particular, the initial acoustic response of the main steam line and the subsequent main pressurization stages are well-predicted. During the main pressurization stage, the timing and magnitude of the in-core local pressurization and associated void compression are properly predicted based upon the agreement between local power range monitors (LPRM) predictions upwards, but the shift is slightly underpredicted. This indicates the methodology is well-posed for simulating this class of transient response.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development and Validation of Two-Phase Flow Models in MOOSE and Application to Molten Salt Reactors

Two-phase flow in Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs) is important as it impacts reactivity evolution, reactor transient response, and the removal of species dissolved in the molten salt through gas phase transfer. Therefore, accurately predicting the gas distribution and the associated liquid-gas interface area in MSRs is essential for their design and operation. Recently, we integrated a new two-phase model into Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE): a multi-D generalization of a mixture drift-flux model. It provides greater computational efficiency, which is typically preferred for modeling reactor transients. However, the mixture model’s accuracy in capturing void distribution and interfacial area in MSRs still needs to be assessed. This article begins with a description of the mathematical framework for the two-phase model implemented in MOOSE. It then presents validation of these models against relevant experimental data. Finally, the model is applied to the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment case study, analyzing various operational conditions such as different rates of fission product volatilization and diverse cover gas entrainment scenarios at the reactor pump. The article concludes by assessing the suitability of the mixture drift-flux model for capturing the two-phase flow dynamics critical to MSR operations

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Transient disease dynamics across ecological scales

Analyses of transient dynamics are critical to understanding infectious disease transmission and persistence. Identifying and predicting transients across scales, from within-host to community-level patterns, plays an important role in combating ongoing epidemics and mitigating the risk of future outbreaks. Moreover, greater emphases on non-asymptotic processes will enable timely evaluations of wildlife and human diseases and lead to improved surveillance efforts, preventive responses, and intervention strategies. Here, we explore the contributions of transient analyses in recent models spanning the fields of epidemiology, movement ecology, and parasitology. In addition to their roles in predicting epidemic patterns and endemic outbreaks, we explore transients in the contexts of pathogen transmission, resistance, and avoidance at various scales of the ecological hierarchy. Examples illustrate how (i) transient movement dynamics at the individual host level can modify opportunities for transmission events over time; (ii) within-host energetic processes often lead to transient dynamics in immunity, pathogen load, and transmission potential; (iii) transient connectivity between discrete populations in response to environmental factors and outbreak dynamics can affect disease spread across spatial networks; and (iv) increasing species richness in a community can provide transient protection to individuals against infection. Ultimately, we suggest that transient analyses offer deeper insights and raise new, interdisciplinary questions for disease research, consequently broadening the applications of dynamical models for outbreak preparedness and management.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development and Validation of Two-Phase Flow Models in MOOSE for Molten Salt Reactor Application

Two-phase flow in Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs) is important as it impacts reactivity evolution, reactor transient response, and the removal of species dissolved in the molten salt through gas phase transfer. Therefore, accurately predicting the gas distribution and the associated liquid-gas interface area in MSRs is essential for their design and operation. Recently, we integrated two new models into Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE): a multi-D generalization of a mixture drift-flux model and a Euler-Euler model. The Euler-Euler model offers higher fidelity, while the mixture drift-flux model provides greater computational efficiency, which is typically preferred for modeling reactor transients. However, the mixture model's accuracy in capturing void distribution and interfacial area in MSRs still needs to be assessed. This article begins with a description of the mathematical framework for the two-phase models implemented in MOOSE. It then presents validation of these models against relevant experimental data. Finally, both models are applied to the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment case study, analyzing various operational conditions such as different rates of fission product volatilization and diverse cover gas entrainment scenarios at the reactor pump. The article concludes by assessing the suitability of both models for capturing the two-phase flow dynamics critical to MSR operations.

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development and Validation of Two-Phase Flow Models in MOOSE and Application to Molten Salt Reactors

Two-phase flow in Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs) is important as it impacts reactivity evolution, reactor transient response, and the removal of species dissolved in the molten salt through gas phase transfer. Therefore, accurately predicting the gas distribution and the associated liquid-gas interface area in MSRs is essential for their design and operation. Recently, we integrated two new models into Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE): a multi-D generalization of a mixture drift-flux model and a Euler-Euler model. The Euler-Euler model offers higher fidelity, while the mixture drift-flux model provides greater computational efficiency, which is typically preferred for modeling reactor transients. However, the mixture model's accuracy in capturing void distribution and interfacial area in MSRs still needs to be assessed. This article begins with a description of the mathematical framework for the two-phase models implemented in MOOSE. It then presents validation of these models against relevant experimental data. Finally, both models are applied to the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment case study, analyzing various operational conditions such as different rates of fission product volatilization and diverse cover gas entrainment scenarios at the reactor pump. The article concludes by assessing the suitability of both models for capturing the two-phase flow dynamics critical to MSR operations.

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat

Abstract. Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, has retreated and accelerated through the 21st century, raising concerns that it could be a significant contributor to future sea-level rise. We use a data-constrained ensemble of three-dimensional higher-order ice sheet model simulations to estimate the likely range of sea-level rise from the continued retreat of Humboldt Glacier. We first solve for basal traction using observed ice thickness, bed topography, and ice surface velocity from the year 2007 in a PDE-constrained (partial differential equation) optimization. Next, we impose calving rates to match mean observed retreat rates from winter 2007–2008 to winter 2017–2018 in a transient calibration of the exponent in the power-law basal friction relationship. We find that power-law exponents in the range of 1/7–1/5 – rather than the commonly used 1/3–1 – are necessary to reproduce the observed speedup over this period. We then tune an iceberg calving parameterization based on the von Mises stress yield criterion in another transient-calibration step to approximate both observed ice velocities and terminus position in 2017–2018. Finally, we use the range of basal friction relationship exponents and calving parameter values to generate the ensemble of model simulations from 2007–2100 under three climate forcing scenarios from CMIP5 (two RCP8.5 forcings, Representative Concentration Pathway) and CMIP6 (one SSP5-8.5 forcing, Shared Socioeconomic Pathway). Our simulations predict 5.2–8.7 mm of sea-level rise from Humboldt Glacier, significantly higher than a previous estimate (∼ 3.5 mm) and equivalent to a substantial fraction of the 40–140 mm predicted by ISMIP6 from the whole Greenland Ice Sheet. Our larger future sea-level rise prediction results from the transient calibration of our basal friction law to match the observed speedup, which requires a semi-plastic bed rheology. In many simulations, our model predicts the growth of a sizable ice shelf in the middle of the 21st century. Thus, atmospheric warming could lead to more retreat than predicted here if increased surface melt promotes hydrofracture of the ice shelf. Our data-constrained simulations of Humboldt Glacier underscore the sensitivity of model predictions of Greenland outlet glacier response to warming to choices of basal shear stress and iceberg calving parameterizations. Further, transient calibration of these parameterizations, which has not typically been performed, is necessary to reproduce observed behavior. Current estimates of future sea-level rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet could, therefore, contain significant biases.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Continuous conditional generative adversarial networks for data-driven solutions of poroelasticity with heterogeneous material properties

Machine learning-based data-driven modeling can allow computationally efficient time-dependent solutions of PDEs, such as those that describe subsurface multiphysical problems. In this work, our previous approach (Kadeethum et al., 2021d) of conditional generative adversarial networks (cGAN) developed for the solution of steady-state problems involving highly heterogeneous material properties is extended to time-dependent problems by adopting the concept of continuous cGAN (CcGAN). The CcGAN that can condition continuous variables is developed to incorporate the time domain through either element-wise addition or conditional batch normalization. Moreover, this framework can handle training data that contain different timestamps and then predict timestamps that do not exist in the training data. As a numerical example, the transient response of the coupled poroelastic process is studied in two different permeability fields: Zinn & Harvey transformation and a bimodal transformation. The proposed CcGAN uses heterogeneous permeability fields as input parameters while pressure and displacement fields over time are model output. Our results show that the model provides sufficient accuracy with computational speed-up. This robust framework will enable us to perform real-time reservoir management and robust uncertainty quantification in poroelastic problems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

BISON analysis of FeCrAl and Zircaloy cladding deformation during simulated BWR cyclic dryout conditions

The BISON fuel performance analysis code has been used to study FeCrAl and Zircaloy cladding performance to better understand cladding deformation behavior in boiling water reactors during conditions caused by anticipated operational occurrences (AOOs) or by anticipated transients without scram (ATWS). BISON models of novel separate effects tests simulating ATWS events predicted mechanical responses to thermal cycling boundary conditions. Here, we assessed FeCrAl and Zircaloy deformation and burst models to determine those best suited for cyclic dryout event analysis. In addition, we compared diametral strain profiles of the post-experiment claddings to simulation results. The capability of the BISON code for modeling BWR AOO or ATWS events is promising.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Dynamical phase-field model of coupled electronic and structural processes

Abstract Many functional and quantum materials derive their functionality from the responses of both their electronic and lattice subsystems to thermal, electric, and mechanical stimuli or light. Here we propose a dynamical phase-field model for predicting and modeling the dynamics of simultaneous electronic and structural processes and the accompanying mesoscale pattern evolution under static or ultrafast external stimuli. As an illustrative example of application, we study the transient dynamic response of ferroelectric domain walls excited by an ultrafast above-bandgap light pulse. We discover a two-stage relaxational electronic carrier evolution and a structural evolution containing multiple oscillational and relaxational components across picosecond to nanosecond timescales. The phase-field model offers a general theoretical framework which can be applied to a wide range of functional and quantum materials with interactive electronic and lattice orders and phase transitions to understand, predict, and manipulate their ultrafast dynamics and rich mesoscale evolution dynamics of domains, domain walls, and charges.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermo-Mechanical Phase-Field Modeling of Fracture in High-Burnup UO2 Fuels Under Transient Conditions

This study presents a novel multiphysics phase-field fracture model to analyze high-burnup uranium dioxide (UO2) fuel behavior under transient reactor conditions. Fracture is treated as a stochastic phase transition, which inherently accounts for the random microstructural effects that lead to variations in the value of fracture strength. Moreover, the model takes into consideration the effects of temperature and burnup on thermal conductivity. Therefore, the model is able to predict crack initiation, propagation, and complex morphologies in response to thermal gradients and stress distributions. Several simulations were conducted to investigate the effects of operational and transient conditions on fracture behavior and the resulting cracking patterns. High-burnup fuels exhibit reduced thermal conductivity, elevating temperature gradients and resulting in extensive radial and circumferential cracks. Transient heating rates and temperatures significantly affect fracture patterns, with higher heating rates generating steeper gradients and more irregular crack trajectories. This approach provides critical insights into fuel integrity during accident scenarios and supports the safety evaluation of extended burnup limits.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2026

Introduction to the Demonstration of Pyroshock Response Prediction Methods Using NASA ShockSat Data Virtual Collection

Mechanical shocks, particularly pyroshocks, are environments that all spacecraft and launch vehicles experience. Pyroshocks can be challenging design environments for space hardware because these events are often high frequency, high intensity transients. Furthermore, since design decisions must be made relatively early in the design phase, understanding, and accurately defining pyroshock excitation and the loads that it imparts on components is important to ensure the high reliability required of spacecraft and rockets. Here, general guidelines about shock transmission through spacecraft structures are provided in NASA and MIL handbooks and standards, but these are relatively broad guidelines, and recent studies have shown that more accurate and less-conservative predictions are needed. However, predicting shock response accurately is still a challenge because of the high frequencies in a pyroshock excitation.

Babuska, Vit [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-NM↗