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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2

Acetylcholinesterase: Structure, dynamics, and interactions with organophosphorus compounds

Acetylcholinesterase (AChE) is an enzyme that hydrolyzes the neurotransmitter acetylcholine (ACh), removing it from the synaptic cleft after the transmission of an electrical signal, making it an essential component of chemical neurotransmission. AChE is a serine hydrolase, containing a catalytic triad of Ser/His/Glu. AChE is a prime target for pharmaceuticals treating a variety of neurological disorders. It is also the target of synthetic organophosphorus (OP) compounds that have been used as pesticides and chemical warfare agents. OP compounds contain a potent leaving group, such as fluorine, and act by forming a covalent adduct with the catalytic serine of the AChE active site. A wealth of structural information is available for AChE, including over 300 structures, including a subset of structures in complex with drugs as well as OP compounds. This review will highlight the interactions between OP compounds and AChE from a structural and computational perspective, with a discussion of access to the active site, as well as side reactions that lead to dealkylation of the OP-catalytic serine adduct, a process known as aging. We conclude that while the majority of the conformational changes needed to accommodate the OP compounds are localized to the acyl loop in the crystal structures, molecular dynamics simulations highlight the potential for a far more dynamic enzyme.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Future increase in compound soil drought-heat extremes exacerbated by vegetation greening

Compound soil drought and heat extremes are expected to occur more frequently with global warming, causing wide-ranging socio-ecological repercussions. Vegetation modulates air temperature and soil moisture through biophysical processes, thereby influencing the occurrence of such extremes. Global vegetation cover is broadly expected to increase under climate change, but it remains unclear whether vegetation greening will alleviate or aggravate future increases in compound soil drought-heat events. Here, using a suite of state-of-the-art model simulations, we show that the projected vegetation greening will increase the frequency of global compound soil drought-heat events, equivalent to 12-21% of the total increment at the end of 21st century. This increase is predominantly driven by reduced albedo and enhanced transpiration associated with increased leaf area. Although greening-induced transpiration enhancement has counteracting cooling and drying effects, the excessive water loss in the early growing season can lead to later soil moisture deficits, amplifying compound soil drought-heat extremes during the subsequent warm season. These changes are most pronounced in northern high latitudes and are dominated by the warming effect of CO 2 . Our study highlights the necessity of integrating vegetation biophysical effects into mitigation and adaptation strategies for addressing compound climate risks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of magnetic and electrical transport properties of YMB 4 (M = Cr, Fe, and Co) compounds

We have studied the structural, magnetic, and electrical transport properties of the YMB 4 series of compounds (M= Cr, Fe, and Co). These materials exhibit high stability and possess notable refractory and thermoelectric properties. Furthermore, recent theoretical predictions suggest that some of these compounds may display quantum magnetism and dimer formation among the magnetic ions. We have synthesized almost single phase YMB 4 compounds in the orthorhombic crystal structure (space group Pbam) using arc-melting and annealing. The Rietveld analysis of the room-temperature X-ray diffraction patterns reveals a clear change in the lattice parameter c, which correlates with the atomic radii of Cr, Fe, and Co. The temperature variation of resistivity measured between 2 K and 300 K reveals a metallic electron transport in all three YMB 4 compounds. However, no abrupt change in resistivity due to structural or magnetic phase transitions is observed. Additionally, a weak positive magnetoresistance of 1%–2% has been measured at 2.5 K, the contribution from the metallic impurity cannot be ruled out. The carrier concentration, on the order of 10 21 cm −3 , has been determined using conventional Hall measurements. The thermomagnetic curves recorded between 2 K and 350 K reveal the non-magnetic behavior of all these compounds. However, a small magnetic moment from paramagnetic/ferromagnetic impurity phases is detected at low temperatures. Above room temperature, no magnetic transition associated with the breaking of a dimer is observed.

borides↗

La 4 Co 4 X ( X = Pb , Bi , Sb ) : A demonstration of antagonistic pairs as a route to quasi-low-dimensional ternary compounds

We outline how pairs of strongly immiscible elements, referred to here as antagonistic pairs, can be used to synthesize ternary compounds with low or quasi-reduced-dimensional motifs intrinsically built into their crystal structures. By identifying third elements that are mutually compatible with a given antagonistic pair, ternary compounds can be formed in which the third element segregates the immiscible atoms into spatially separated substructures. Quasi-low-dimensional structural units, such as sheets, chains, or clusters are a natural consequence of the immiscible atoms seeking to avoid close contact in the solid state. Further, as proof of principle, we present the discovery, crystal growth, and basic physical properties of La 4 ⁢Co 4 ⁢$\mathrm{X}$ (X = Pb, Bi, Sb), a family of intermetallic compounds based on the antagonistic pairs Co-Pb and Co-Bi. La 4 ⁢Co 4 ⁢$\mathrm{X}$ adopts an orthorhombic crystal structure (space group Pbam) containing quasi-two-dimensional Co slabs and La-X polyhedra that stack in an alternating manner along the α axis. Consistent with our proposal, the La atoms separate the Co and X substructures, ensuring there are no direct contacts between the members of the immiscible (antagonistic) pair. Within the Co slabs, the atoms occupy the vertices of corner sharing tetrahedra and triangles, and this bonding motif produces narrow electronic bands near the Fermi level that favor magnetism. The Co is moment bearing in each La 4 ⁢Co 4 $\mathrm{X}$ compound studied, and we show that whereas La 4 ⁢Co 4 ⁢Pb behaves as a three-dimensional antiferromagnet with T N =220K, La 4 ⁢Co 4 ⁢Bi and La 4⁢ Co 4 ⁢Sb have behavior consistent with low-dimensional magnetic coupling and ordering, with T N =153K and 143 K, respectively. In addition to the Pb-, Bi-, and Sb-based La 4 ⁢Co 4 ⁢$\mathrm{X}$ compounds, we also were likely able to produce an analogous La 4 ⁢Co 4 ⁢Sn in polycrystalline form, although we were unable to isolate single crystals. We anticipate that identifying and using mutually compatible third elements together with an antagonistic pair represents a generalizable design principle for discovering new materials and new structure types containing low-dimensional substructures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Machine learning guided search for energetically favorable metal borocarbide ternary compounds

In this work, we employ machine-learning (ML) combined with first principles calculations to efficiently search for the energetically favorable metal borocarbide (M-B-C) ternary compounds with M being the group 1–3 metal elements. Using a crystal graph convolutional neural network (CGCNN) ML approach followed by first-principles calculations, we predicted 47 energetically favorable stable and metastable ternary Na-B-C, Ca-B-C, and La-B-C ternary compounds with their decomposition energy (E d ) below or within 100 meV/atom from the currently known convex hulls. Phonon spectra and electronic structures of the 14 energetically favorable stable structures are also investigated by first-principles calculations. By substituting the metal atoms in the 29 energetically favorable non-equivalent template structures of Na (Ca, La)-B-C with other group 1–3 elements in the periodic table, we further obtain 22 stable structures and 52 metastable structures (E d ≤100 meV/atom with respect to the known convex hulls) for Li-B-C, K-B-C, Rb-B-C, Mg-B-C, Sr-B-C, Ba-B-C, Sc-B-C and Y-B-C ternary compounds. New convex hulls including our newly predicted stable ternary structures and the known stable structures are constructed for the M-B-C systems. The results obtained by our ML guided first-principles calculations enrich our knowledge in the structure and energy landscape of metal borocarbide ternary compounds and provide useful guidance for further experimental synthesis and discovery.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Screening a knowledge‐based library of low molecular weight compounds against the proline biosynthetic enzyme 1‐pyrroline‐5‐carboxylate 1 ( PYCR1)

Abstract Δ 1 ‐pyrroline‐5‐carboxylate reductase isoform 1 (PYCR1) is the last enzyme of proline biosynthesis and catalyzes the NAD(P)H‐dependent reduction of Δ 1 ‐pyrroline‐5‐carboxylate toL‐proline. High PYCR1 gene expression is observed in many cancers and linked to poor patient outcomes and tumor aggressiveness. The knockdown of thePYCR1gene or the inhibition of PYCR1 enzyme has been shown to inhibit tumorigenesis in cancer cells and animal models of cancer, motivating inhibitor discovery. We screened a library of 71 low molecular weight compounds (average MW of 131 Da) against PYCR1 using an enzyme activity assay. Hit compounds were validated with X‐ray crystallography and kinetic assays to determine affinity parameters. The library was counter‐screened against human Δ 1 ‐pyrroline‐5‐carboxylate reductase isoform 3 and proline dehydrogenase (PRODH) to assess specificity/promiscuity. Twelve PYCR1 and one PRODH inhibitor crystal structures were determined. Three compounds inhibit PYCR1 with competitive inhibition parameter of 100 μM or lower. Among these, (S)‐tetrahydro‐2H‐pyran‐2‐carboxylic acid (70 μM) has higher affinity than the current best tool compoundN‐formyl‐l‐proline, is 30 times more specific for PYCR1 over human Δ 1 ‐pyrroline‐5‐carboxylate reductase isoform 3, and negligibly inhibits PRODH. Structure‐affinity relationships suggest that hydrogen bonding of the heteroatom of this compound is important for binding to PYCR1. The structures of PYCR1 and PRODH complexed with 1‐hydroxyethane‐1‐sulfonate demonstrate that the sulfonate group is a suitable replacement for the carboxylate anchor. This result suggests that the exploration of carboxylic acid isosteres may be a promising strategy for discovering new classes of PYCR1 and PRODH inhibitors. The structure of PYCR1 complexed withl‐pipecolate and NADH supports the hypothesis that PYCR1 has an alternative function in lysine metabolism.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Development of copper thiolate organometallic compound as thermal sensitive coating for energy storage system safety

Safety and reliability are primary concerns for the deployment of lithium-ion batteries, especially in electric vehicles (EV) and larger-scale energy storage systems (ESS). Current technology in battery management systems (BMS) includes cell voltage monitoring and positioning temperature sensors in selected locations. For a system with hundreds to thousands of individual batteries, single-point temperature monitoring is inadequate to detect hot spots and cell overheating, which could lead to thermal runaway. Here, we have developed a temperature-sensitive copper-thiol compound that can be directly coated onto battery pouch foils to enable early detection of thermal runaway. Upon reaching specific temperatures, this compound releases a sulfur-containing detectable gas, which can be identified using chemically specific gas sensors to trigger an early warning signal. Such a signal propagate through air offers broad signal coverage and enables a more comprehensive approach to large-area temperature monitoring. The Cu-ethanethiol coating is designed to release volatile gases when the substrate surface temperature exceeds 70 °C, with continuous outgassing as the temperature increases. The compound is composed of Cu, S, Cl, hydrocarbons and trace amounts of oxygen. Upon heating, the oxidation state of Cu(I) transitions to Cu (II), accompanied by gas release. Thermogravimetric analysis coupled with mass spectrometry correlated well with the onset of gas release temperature and emission of sulfur-containing volatile gases. Additionally, an acrylic overcoat is applied to enhance the adhesion of the thermally sensitive compound film to the battery pouch foil. This coating is expected to offer an additional safety layer for ESS, alerting possible thermal runaway events before a failure occurs, thereby allowing sufficient time to implement a mitigation plan.

Early warning systems↗

Search for Stable and Low-Energy Ce–Co–Cu Ternary Compounds Using Machine Learning

Cerium-based intermetallics have garnered significant research attention as potential new permanent magnets. In this study, we explore the compositional and structural landscape of Ce−Co−Cu ternary compounds using a machine learning (ML)- guided framework integrated with first-principles calculations. We employ a crystal graph convolutional neural network (CGCNN), which enables efficient screening for promising candidates, significantly accelerating the material discovery process. With this approach, we predict five stable compounds, Ce 3 Co 3 Cu, CeCoCu 2 , Ce 12 Co 7 Cu, Ce 11 Co 9 Cu, and Ce 10 Co 11 Cu 4 , with formation energies below the convex hull, along with hundreds of low-energy (possibly metastable) Ce−Co−Cu ternary compounds. Firstprinciples calculations reveal that several structures are both energetically and dynamically stable. Notably, two Co-rich low-energy compounds, Ce 4 Co 33 Cu and Ce 4 Co 31 Cu 3 , are predicted to have high magnetizations.

Chemical structure↗

Soft X-ray Emission Spectroscopy of Phosphorus Compounds for Energy Conversion and Storage

Phosphorus (P) is a ubiquitous component of materials for energy conversion and storage. Despite the effectiveness of soft X-ray emission spectroscopy (XES) to characterize these complex materials, XES studies of P-containing compounds are still largely missing. In this investigation, the electronic structure and XES signatures from the P L 2,3 -edge are probed for nine solid-state P-containing compounds characterized by various oxidation states and chemical environments: GaP (3−) , InP (3−) , red-P (0) , H 3 P (3+) O 3 , Na 2 H 2 P 2 (4+) O 6 , H 3 P (5+) O 4 , KH 2 P (5+) O 4 , Na 2 HP (5+) O 4 , and InP (5+) O 4 . The XES spectrum of each material exhibits distinct spectral fingerprints, which provide a robust basis for the speciation of complex P-containing samples. Density functional theory calculations shed light on the electronic structure of selected materials and particularly on the effect of phosphorus-oxygen hybridization. This study provides a comprehensive understanding of P L 2,3 XES spectral fingerprints across a wide range of oxidation states and chemical environments. These data sets and insights pave the way for dedicated future work, such as in situ and operando investigations of P-containing compounds in energy-related applications, where speciation of P compounds is needed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Heterogeneous Fe-N-C Catalyst for Aerobic Dehydrogenation of Hydrazones to Diazo Compounds Used for Carbene Transfer

Organic diazo compounds are versatile reagents in chemical synthesis and would benefit from improved synthetic accessibility, especially for larger scale applications. Here, we report a mild method for the synthesis of diazo compounds from hydrazones using a heterogeneous Fe-N-C catalyst, which has Fe ions dispersed within a graphitic nitrogen-doped carbon support. The reactions proceed readily at room temperature using O 2 (1 atm) as the oxidant. Aryl diazoesters, ketones, and amides are accessible, in addition to less stable diaryl diazo compounds. Initial-rate data show that the Fe-N-C catalyst achieves faster rates than a heterogeneous Pt/C catalyst. The oxidative dehydrogenation of hydrazones may be performed in tandem with Rh-catalyzed enantioselective C–H insertion and cyclopropanation of alkenes, without requiring isolation of the diazo intermediate. Furthermore, this sequence is showcased by using a flow reactor for continuous synthesis of diazo compounds.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Compound Mesoscale Convective Systems and Low‐Pressure Systems in Tropical Monsoon Regions: Assessing Their Meteorology and Precipitation

Mesoscale convective systems (MCS) and low-pressure systems (LPS) are both strongly associated with precipitation across the regions where they occur, particularly within global monsoon systems; however, their co-occurrence and its relationship to precipitation have not been systematically examined. Here, we use LPS and MCS trackers to detect compound MCS and LPS events in five monsoon regions and assess the association of this co-occurrence with anomalies of winds, precipitation, and other atmospheric variables. Additionally, we investigate the spatial distribution of precipitating MCS and LPS events. Our results show that most (∼60%) MCS and LPS co-occurrences are located in the lower latitudes, where they contribute up to 40% of annual precipitation. We find that compound events generally produce more extreme precipitation than MCS-only or LPS-only events. Furthermore, our assessment of the synoptic and mesoscale composites reveals that the underlying dynamics of compound events exhibit anomalously positive convective available potential energy and an anomalously low-pressure within the location of the event. In terms of the synoptic environment of the features, the compound MCS and LPS events are associated with inverted troughs in three out of five monsoon locations assessed.

Environmental sciences↗

Machine-learning guided search for phonon-mediated superconductivity in boron and carbon compounds

We present a workflow that iteratively combines ab-initio calculations with a machine-learning (ML) guided search for superconducting compounds with both dynamical stability and instability from imaginary phonon modes, the latter of which have been largely overlooked in previous studies. Electron-phonon coupling (EPC) properties and critical temperature (T c ) of 417 boron, carbon, and borocarbide compounds have been calculated with density functional perturbation theory (DFPT) and isotropic Eliashberg approximation. Our study addresses T c convergence of Brillouin zone sampling with an ansatz test, stabilizing imaginary phonon modes for significant EPC contributions, and comparing the performance of two ML models, especially when including compounds of dynamical instability. We predict a few promising superconducting compounds with formation energy just above the ground state convex hull, such as Ca 5 B 3 N 6 (35 K), TaNbC 2 (28.4 K), Nb 3 B 3 C (16.4 K), Y 2 B 3 C 2 (4.0 K), Pd 3 CaB (7.0 K), MoRuB 2 (15.6 K), RuVB 2 (15.0 K), RuSc 3 C 4 (6.6 K) among others.

Nepal, Niraj K. [Ames Laboratory (AMES), Ames, IA ↗

Synthesis challenges, thermodynamic stability, and growth kinetics of La–Si–P ternary compounds

Although many new compounds have been recently predicted with the help of machine learning, the successful experimental synthesis of these compounds remains challenging. Computational insights about the thermodynamic stability and phase formation kinetics among the ground state and competing metastable phases are highly desirable to rationalize and attempt to overcome synthesis challenges experimentally. In this work, we explore synthetic challenges within ternary La–Si–P compounds through feedback between experimental and computational studies. We discuss the experimental challenges in forming three computationally predicted ternary phases (La 2 SiP, La 5 SiP 3 , and La 2 SiP 3 ). To understand the synthetic challenges, we performed molecular dynamics (MD) simulations using an accurate and efficient artificial neural network machine learning (ANN-ML) interatomic potential. We study the phase stability and formation kinetics of these ternary phases in relation to the reported and synthesized La 2 SiP 4 phase. While the growth of the La 2 SiP 4 phase can be reproduced by our MD simulation, our results indicate that the rapid formation of a Si-substituted LaP crystalline phase is a major barrier to the synthesis of the predicted La 2 SiP, La 5 SiP 3 , and La 2 SiP 3 ternary compounds, agreeing well with experimental observations. Our simulations also suggest that there is a narrow temperature window in which the La 2 SiP 3 phase can be grown from the solid–liquid interface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Machine learning assisted search for Fe–Co–C ternary compounds with high magnetic anisotropy

We employ a machine learning (ML)-guided framework to explore rare earth free magnetic materials, specifically focusing on Fe–Co–C ternary compounds for potential use in permanent magnets. Utilizing a specifically trained crystal graph convolutional neural network model, we efficiently screen a vast space of nearly a million substitutional structures to select 620 promising structures for further investigation by first-principles calculation. We predict five low-energy metastable Fe–Co–C compounds with formation energy less than 150 meV/atom above the convex hull. These compounds exhibit high magnetization (Js > 1.0 T) and significant magnetic anisotropy (K1 > 1.0 MJ/m3), making them promising candidates for permanent magnet applications. The phonon calculations indicate these compounds are dynamically stable. Our ML-guided framework demonstrates the utility of rapidly identifying novel materials with tailored magnetic properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Defining the Antitumor Mechanism of Action of a Clinical-stage Compound as a Selective Degrader of the Nuclear Pore Complex

Cancer cells are acutely dependent on nuclear transport due to elevated transcriptional activity, suggesting an unrealized opportunity for selective therapeutic inhibition of the nuclear pore complex (NPC). Through large-scale phenotypic profiling of cancer cell lines, genome-scale functional genomic modifier screens, and mass spectrometry–based proteomics, we discovered that the clinical drug PRLX-93936 is a molecular glue that binds and reprograms the TRIM21 ubiquitin ligase to degrade the NPC. Upon compound-induced TRIM21 recruitment, the nuclear pore is ubiquitylated and degraded, resulting in the loss of short-lived cytoplasmic mRNA transcripts and the induction of cancer cell apoptosis. Direct compound binding to TRIM21 was confirmed via surface plasmon resonance and X-ray crystallography, whereas compound-induced TRIM21–nucleoporin complex formation was demonstrated through multiple orthogonal approaches in cells and in vitro. Phenotype-guided optimization yielded compounds with 10-fold greater potency and drug-like properties, along with robust pharmacokinetics and efficacy against pancreatic cancer xenografts and patient-derived organoids.

Yuan, Linjie [Stanford School of Medicine, CA (Uni↗

Genetic tools for engineering Zymomonas mobilis , Cereibacter sphaeroides and Novosphingobium aromaticivorans to improve production of bioenergy compounds

Limited genetic tools for non-model bacteria are one of the limiting factors for genetic studies. This review compiles genetic tools used for three non-model alpha-proteobacteria, such as Zymomonas mobilis, Cereibacter (Rhodobacter) sphaeroides, and Novosphingobium aromaticivorans, which hold significant potential to produce industrially essential bioenergy compounds due to their distinctive metabolic pathways and resilience in extreme environments. Each of these strains has a unique genetic profile that enables them to efficiently carry out key reactions relevant to producing bioenergy compounds, such as converting sugars into bioenergy compounds and breaking down lignotoxins. Genetic tools can further optimize these strains for enhanced bioenergy compound production. This review explores the metabolic advantages of these organisms. It highlights the available array of genetic toolkits that can be shared among them to unlock their full potential for sustainable biofuel production.

Biofuel↗

Novel Microbial Routes to Synthesize Industrially Significant Precursor Compounds

Ethylene is the most widely employed organic precursor compound in industry. The potential to impact ethylene formation via recently discovered microbial processes is tenable using plentiful CO2 feedstocks. The overall long-term objective of this project was to develop an industrially compatible microbial process to synthesize ethylene in high yields. The key objective of this project was to fully define and initially characterized a recently discovered and genetically regulated anaerobic pathway to produce high levels of ethylene called the Dihydroxyacetone Phosphate - Ethylene Pathway in phototrophic bacteria. This was addressed through the following specific aims: 1. Fully probe the catalytic potential of all enzymes of the DHAP ethylene pathway and determine the regulatory mechanism of DHAP-ethylene pathway gene expression. 2. Discover effective and active ethylene enzymes encoded in cultured and uncultured organisms from anoxic environments. 3.Model the thermodynamics and kinetics of ethylene synthetic pathways to guide engineering efforts in integrating best performing DHAP-ethylene pathway enzymes into model bacteria chassis for enhance ethylene yields. Through this project we discovered the initially missing genetic and enzyme component of the DHAP-ethylene pathway that directly synthesized ethylene and other important industrial compounds like methane and ethane from specific substrates. We uncovered and partially characterized a nitrogenase-like reductase that functions in DHAP-ethylene pathway specifically and in methionine synthesis in general. This nitrogenase-like system is called the Methylthio-Alkane Reductase (MAR) for its ability to cleave volatile organic sulfur compounds into methanethiol (CH3-SH) for methionine synthesis and a hydrocarbon byproduct. Key to the DHAP-ethylene pathway, MAR is the essential enzyme that cleaves 2-methylthioethanol (CH3-S-CH2-CH2-OH) into ethylene. Coordinately, we uncovered that the MAR genes and genes associated with conversion of methanethiol (CH3-SH) to methionine are under genetic control of a LysR Type Transcriptional Regulator called SalR, whose activity is dependent upon the amount of sulfate available to the cell. When sulfate as the preferred sulfur source for cell growth drops below 200 micromolar, SalR become active for expressing the MAR and methionine biosynthesis genes to enable the cell to grow from volatile organic sulfur compounds and make ethylene. Metabolic thermos-kinetic modeling revealed that these MAR reactions for ethylene and other hydrocarbon production are highly thermodynamically favorable and are one of the largest driving forces for ethylene production by the DHAP-ethylene pathway for high ethylene yields. Modeling also indicated that a key aldolase and to a lesser extent an isomerase of the DHAP-ethylene pathway for production of the ethylene precursor, 2-methylthioethanol, also would increase ethylene yields. Through metagenomic mining and gene synthesis by the JGI DNA synthesis program, over 500 aldolase and isomerase homologs were synthesized and screened. From this, variants were uncovered with substantially higher activity that increased ethylene yields 5-fold via the aldolase reaction and 1.5-fold via the isomerase reaction. Each of these elements that increase ethylene production were integrated together via plasmid under appropriate gene promoter elements in the phototrophic bacterium, Rhodospirillum rubrum, resulting in at least 3 orders of magnitude increase in ethylene yield from carbon dioxide feedstock.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Object-oriented analysis as a foundation for building climate storylines of compounding short-term drought and crop heat stress

Introduction: Crops are vulnerable to precipitation and heat extremes during late spring through summer. Methods: We analyzed for a north-central U.S. region short-term drought and agricultural heat stress during April-May-June-July. We used the 4-km Parameter Elevation Regression on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) for observations, aggregated to a 25-km grid, and two 25-km Regional Climate Model version 4 (RegCM4) simulns used either GFDL- or MPI-GCM boundary conditions. We chose 1981-2000 as our contemporary time period, and 2041- 2060 as our scenario time period, which used the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 emissions scenario. We used object-oriented analysis to identify events of interest in observations and simulations by identifying objects in a space-time domain that meet specified criteria, such as exceeding a heat-stress temperature threshold. The event diagnosis allowed analysis of compound events, occurring when temperature and drought objects overlap. Results: Identified objects yielded events that can undermine agricultural productivity and which are thus relevant to decision makers, making them building blocks for possible climate storylines. The observations and simulations showed similar spatial distributions of event frequencies across the analysis region. However, the simulations attained this distribution by having fewer events that tend to cover larger areas compared to observed events, suggesting that the effective resolution of the simulations was coarser than their 25-km grids. Short-term drought frequency increased and heat-stress frequency decreased in transitioning to the scenario climate. When compounding occurred heat-stress events generally preceded the short-term drought events. The overlapping, compound events tended to be more extreme compared to non-overlapping events of either type. Discussion: The information yielded projected changes in these agriculturally motivated events. One prominent conditional behavior emerging from the work was that a heat-stress event should be a warning to watch for potential drought, as both could compound each other to more intense levels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗