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At least 37 records · Page 2

Dakota, A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization, Parameter Estimation, Uncertainty Quantification, and Sensitivity Analysis (V.6.16 User's Manual)

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers. This report serves as a user's manual for the Dakota software and provides capability overviews and procedures for software execution, as well as a variety of example studies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dakota Graphical User Interface v.6.14

Dakota GUI is a graphical analysis environment for Sandia’s Dakota software for optimization and uncertainty quantification. This version of the Dakota GUI includes new functionality such as plotting capabilities, Eclipse-based resource management, and integration with the SAW-IF Next Gen Workflow editor. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525. SAND2021-10629 O

Glickman, Matthew↗

State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analysis Project: Sensitivity Analysis Using Dakota

The State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analyses (SOARCA) project has focused on best estimate analyses and uncertainty analysis for postulated accidents at specific nuclear power plants. The consequences of these accidents are estimated using the simulation tools MELCOR and MACCS. To understand which uncertain input variables are important to determining these consequences, analysts have performed sensitivity analyses. The tool used to perform these sensitivity analyses in previous SOARCA work, CompModSA, is no longer supported. Therefore, the current work focuses on migrating these analyses to another tool and evaluating its performance. Dakota, which is a tool developed at Sandia National Laboratories, is used in this work. Sensitivity results are created for three analyses from the SOARCA Surry UA. Though CompModSA and Dakota vary slightly in their algorithms and implementation, their sensitivity results generally agree, which gives confidence in the Dakota approach and increases confidence in the original analyses. It is likely that this methodology is extendable to the rest of SOARCA analyses.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Dakota, A Multilevel Parallel Object-Oriented Framework for Design Optimization, Parameter Estimation, Uncertainty Quantification, and Sensitivity Analysis: Version 6.15 User's Manual

The Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible interface between simulation codes and iterative analysis methods. Dakota contains algorithms for optimization with gradient and nongradient-based methods; uncertainty quantification with sampling, reliability, and stochastic expansion methods; parameter estimation with nonlinear least squares methods; and sensitivity/variance analysis with design of experiments and parameter study methods. These capabilities may be used on their own or as components within advanced strategies such as surrogate-based optimization, mixed integer nonlinear programming, or optimization under uncertainty. By employing object-oriented design to implement abstractions of the key components required for iterative systems analyses, the Dakota toolkit provides a flexible and extensible problem-solving environment for design and performance analysis of computational models on high performance computers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

North Dakota CarbonSAFE - A Success Story

Conference presentation at American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE) Annual Meeting, Phoenix, AZ, November 13–18, 2022. The EERC and the project team leveraged North Dakota’s Class VI primacy status to prepare and submit successful applications for two storage facility permits and associated monitoring and UIC Class VI injection wells. The applications and their supporting documents were prepared in accordance with the North Dakota Century Code and the North Dakota Administrative Code and show the effectiveness of working with a state that has been granted Class VI primacy.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Quantifying CO 2 Plume Stabilization at Carbon Storage Projects, North Dakota, USA

This study presents an approach for quantifying when injected carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) stabilizes pursuant to carbon capture and storage (CCS) project permitting and site closure requirements. The distribution of mobile-phase CO 2 (CO 2 plume) will evolve within the storage reservoir during and after injection through both physical and chemical trapping mechanisms. CCS policies generally agree that the CO 2 plume’s migratory behavior in post-injection should demonstrate nonendangerment to the environment but do not provide specific guidance on how to meet the definition of plume stabilization, generating some uncertainty for operators. Plume stability herein means the CO 2 plume 1) changes size minimally and predictably in the storage reservoir such that it will not cross key boundaries identified in the permit and 2) does not pose a threat to human health, underground sources of drinking water (USDWs), and the environment because of lateral migration to areas where leakage pathways may exist. Published literature on plume metrics was reviewed to determine which metric(s) may be most appropriate for determining CO 2 plume stability. A technical approach that defines plume stabilization by estimating the rate of change in the geographic footprint of the CO 2 plume with respect to time was developed and illustrated using a case study from North Dakota, USA, as a proposed solution for CCS operators to apply at the project permitting stage. Any prospective CCS operator may benefit from using the same approach to inform the selection of pore space lease and monitoring areas and develop post-injection site care plans.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Coupling SCALE with DAKOTA for Axial Burnup Profiles Assessment in Burnup Credit [Slides]

This presentation found that the coupling methodology between SCALE and DAKOTA can be built within the NEAMS Workbench. This coupling provides a powerful and flexible toolset that increases the capabilities of the SCALE code system enabling the analysis of various engineering problems. This presentation presented is a specific application of this coupling methodology to axial burnup profile treatment in BUC, showcasing the usefulness of coupling SCALE and DAKOTA to perform criticality safety analyses.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

Exploring the Feasibility of a Carbon Dioxide Storage Hub in Western North Dakota

The University of North Dakota Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) and project partner ONEOK, Inc. (ONEOK) are investigating the feasibility of establishing a CO2 (carbon dioxide) storage hub in western North Dakota—in the heart of the Williston Basin. The conceived Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub would store CO2 captured from six gas-processing plants owned and operated by project partner ONEOK and a planned gas-to-liquids plant. This 2-year U.S. Department of Energy-sponsored Carbon Storage Assurance Facility Enterprise (CarbonSAFE) Phase II feasibility study is evaluating the aggregation of the CO2 captured from these seven sources for injection into stacked geologic storage complexes. The proposed hub includes several aspects that make it a highly qualified candidate for a feasibility study with a notably reduced project risk profile. These include 1) a project partner (ONEOK) with a committed goal to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; 2) prior subsurface data analysis supporting a potential stacked storage configuration with adequate CO2 storage resource; 3) commitment from local, regional, and state-level stakeholders; and 4) a state with U.S. Environmental Protection Agency underground injection control Class VI primacy. ONEOK’s assets in the Williston Basin provide significant environmental benefits by capturing and processing natural gas that may otherwise be flared or vented. Storing CO2 from these gas-processing facilities will reduce overall CO2 emissions in the basin while providing essential services to producers there and contributing to continued energy independence in the domestic markets.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Sensitivity Analysis of MFiX-PIC Parameters Using Nodeworks, PSUADE, and DAKOTA

The study presented in this report was aimed to demonstrate UQ analysis performed not only with Nodeworks, but also two other well-established UQ software tools from the U.S. DOE’s National Laboratories (PSUADE from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and DAKOTA from Sandia National Laboratory). It is important to emphasize that the motivation of this study was not to determine the best UQ software, but to verify if the global sensitivity analyses from the end-to-end workflow in Nodeworks are consistent with the results of other two UQ software. The components of Nodeworks from Python’s ecosystem have been tested as standalone libraries. However, an assessment study for the complete workflow targeting a specific UQ analysis has not been performed for Nodeworks. Hence, this study is expected to serve as an equivalent of solution verification for Nodeworks using other established UQ tools as reference solution. For this purpose, three distinct flow configurations (i.e., settling bed, bubbling fluidized, and circulating fluidized bed) have been used as representative multiphase flow problems of interest. The results of the systematic simulation campaigns performed in an earlier study using the particle-in-cell (PIC) approach in the Multiphase Flow with Interphase eXchanges (MFIX) suite of solvers (i.e., MFiX-PIC) was utilized. The same set of tabulated results was provided as input to the different UQ software for global sensitivity analysis. Results for the three cases indicate that based on the Sobol’ Sensitivity Indices method the order of importance ranking determined by Nodeworks for the Sobol’ Total Sensitivity Indices is consistent with PSUADE and DAKOTA in each case for the five model parameters considered. The input files for Nodeworks for the three cases are also shared through NETL’s Gitlab repository for the reader interested in reproducibility and further analysis (See Section 1.2).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Streamlining the Coupling of BISON and Dakota Through the NEAMS Workbench

Metallic nuclear fuels for use in advanced reactors are an active area of research and development. Robust, accurate metallic fuel performance models are necessary for the design, analysis, and licensing of such reactors. However, metallic fuel performance models require additional development; they are not as mature as uranium dioxide fuel performance models. To support further metallic fuel development, Oak Ridge National Laboratory and the University of Florida have streamlined the coupling of the BISON fuel performance code with Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications (Dakota) statistical analysis tool through the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Workbench. This work included performing three different sensitivity analyses on metallic nuclear fuel models in BISON. The analyses examined were a general model of the IFR-1 experiment, the X430 experiment T654 pin, and the X430 experiment T651 pin. The results suggest that BISON and Dakota can be integrated through NEAMS Workbench to perform sensitivity and uncertainty analyses and visualize the results.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

North Dakota CarbonSAFE Baseline Microgravity Survey, Lessons Learned

Conference presentation at American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, New Orleans, LA and virtual, December 13–17, 2021. The team conducted a baseline microgravity survey near Minnkota Power Cooperative’s Milton R. Young power station, south of Center, North Dakota, as a part of the North Dakota CarbonSAFE (Carbon Storage Assurance Facility Enterprise) geophysical activities. The goal of this survey was to assess whether microgravity would be an appropriate technique to monitor CO 2 stored at this site.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Screening Assessment of Prospective CO 2 Storage Resource Potential in Saline Carbonate Systems, Central North Dakota Region

Conference presentation at 2023 Rocky Mountain Section-American Association of Petroleum Geologists (RMS-AAPG) Annual Meeting, Bismarck, ND, June 4–6, 2023. As part of the U.S. Department of Energy-funded North Dakota CarbonSAFE Phase III effort, a screening-level assessment was conducted over central North Dakota, including McLean, Mercer, and Morton Counties, to determine if viable CO 2 storage resource potential exists within carbonate saline reservoirs. Published literature and data from 173 wells were used in the study. The study focused on identifying carbonate saline reservoirs and suitable confining zones for CO 2 storage, with emphasis on three key questions: 1) are the carbonate saline reservoirs viable for CO 2 storage? 2) what is their range of storage resource potential? and 3) what are the main elements driving uncertainty and risk of potential capacity and containment?

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Quality Analysis of Baseline Time-Lapse CSEM Data CarbonSAFE Project, North Dakota

Conference presentation at International Meeting for Applied Geoscience & Energy (IMAGE), Houston, TX, August 28 – September 2, 2022. When a series of time-lapse CSEM surveys are designed to measure the often-small variations in signal seen in CCUS projects, the primary concern must be collecting the highest-quality data and reducing as much noise as possible. This includes optimization during planning and feasibility, careful and consistent quality checks in the field, and transparent and repeatable postprocessing steps. We apply this practice to a baseline (prior to CO 2 injection) CSEM data set collected for a time-lapse survey in Center, North Dakota, as a part of the North Dakota CarbonSAFE project, and describe the rigorous quality control and assessment methods used, including noise removal and data validation with 1D and 3D inversion to tie results to borehole logs. The final result is an accurate and representative CSEM data set and information that stakeholders can use to inform future time-lapse survey costs and designs.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Geologic Study in Central North Dakota

Fact sheet explaining the process of drilling a test hole to collect data for the North Dakota CarbonSAFE project. North Dakota CarbonSAFE is an Energy & Environmental Research Center project, conducted in partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Assessment of coated cladding impact on large-break LOCA with TRACE-DAKOTA

Since 2011, the U.S. Department of Energy has launched new research and development (R&D) programs for developing new accident tolerant fuels (ATFs). These new fuel concepts are expected to bring several advancements in terms of plant safety. However, development, licensing, as well as deployment of ATF require a substantial investment among fuel vendors, operating utilities, and regulatory authorities. For ATF to be economically feasible, credited safety benefits may be necessary to provide an economic incentive for transition of nuclear power plants from Zr/UO2-based fuel technologies to ATFs. As a result, it is essential to evaluate the economic viability of ATF by conducting a comprehensive safety benefits study informed by R&D and demonstration studies. In the present work, based on the best estimate plus uncertainty methodology, sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification for key safety quantities under LB-LOCA are performed for the Peach Bottom boiling water reactor (BWR) with GE14 nuclear fuel design adopting the ATF concepts. A coupled TRACE-DAKOTA analysis framework is adopted to perform the uncertainty quantification. Based on the computational results and obtained statistics, the coping time increase, fuel performance improvement as well as the most dominating phenomena during the accident for Cr-coated cladding are investigated in detail. Overall, the results obtained are useful for subsequent plant PRA study and support a move to more modernized performance-based regulatory requirements to realize plant economic benefits.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Fracture toughness of schist, amphibolite, and rhyolite from the Sanford Underground Research Facility (SURF), Lead, South Dakota

The Cracked Chevron Notched Brazilian Disc (CCNBD) method was selected for Mode I fracture toughness tests on Poorman schist, Yates amphibolite, and rhyolite dikes from the EGS Collab site at the SURF in Lead, South Dakota. The effects of lithology, anisotropy, and loading rate were investigated. Fracture toughness was greatest in amphibolite, with schist and rhyolite having similar toughness values ($K$ amphibolite > $K$ rhyolite ≈ $K$ schist ). The effects of anisotropy on fracture toughness were investigated in the foliated schist samples. Schist samples were prepared in three geometries (divider, arrester, and short transverse) which controlled how the fracture would propagate relative to foliations. The divider geometry was strongest and short transverse geometry was the weakest ($K$ divider > $K$ arrester > $K$ shorttransverse ). Fracture toughness was observed to decrease with decreasing loading rate. Optical and SEM microscopy revealed that for the short transverse geometry, fractures tended to propagate along grain boundaries, whereas in arrester and divider geometries fractures tended to propagate through grains. In foliated samples, the tortuosity of the fracture observed in thin section was greater in arrester and divider geometries than in short transverse geometries.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Demonstration of Novel Monitoring Techniques for a North Dakota Carbon Capture and Storage Project

Conference paper presented at 16th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT-16), Lyon, France, October 23–27, 2022. We present an overview and initial results of the novel and sustainable monitoring techniques developed by the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) and its commercial partners associated with the Red Trail Energy (RTE) carbon capture and storage (CCS) project. RTE is an investor-owned 64-million-gallon dry mill ethanol production plant in Richardton, North Dakota, USA. Currently in operation as of June 2022, the RTE facility will capture 180,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) annually (>99% CO 2 ) that is otherwise emitted during the ethanol production process and inject it into the Broom Creek Formation, a deep saline aquifer, for permanent on-site geologic storage.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗