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At least 37 records · Page 2

Urban Air Mobility Electric Motor Winding Insulation Reliability: Challenges in the Design and Qualification of High Reliability Electric Motors and NASA’s Research Plan

This work was motivated by the needs of the emerging Urban Air Mobility (UAM) concept. Guided by analyses of concept vehicles, electric motor winding insulation reliability was identified as a subsystem limiting the vehicle reliability. This paper covers NASA’s understanding of the current state-of-the-art for electric motor winding insulation reliability, life modeling and qualification testing in the context of UAM. The needed improvements to the accepted practice for qualification of high reliability UAM motors are highlighted. NASA’s Revolutionary Vertical Lift Technologies Project strives to develop new testing methods to support the rating and qualification of UAM motor winding insulation. We describe assumptions used to frame a research approach, and we outline a NASA RVLT research plan for motor winding insulation.

Thomas Tallerico↗

Column Grid Array Rework for High Reliability

Due to requirements for reduced size and weight, use of grid array packages in space applications has become common place. To meet the requirement of high reliability and high number of I/Os, ceramic column grid array packages (CCGA) were selected for major electronic components used in next MARS Rover mission (specifically high density Field Programmable Gate Arrays). ABSTRACT The probability of removal and replacement of these devices on the actual flight printed wiring board assemblies is deemed to be very high because of last minute discoveries in final test which will dictate changes in the firmware. The questions and challenges presented to the manufacturing organizations engaged in the production of high reliability electronic assemblies are, Is the reliability of the PWBA adversely affected by rework (removal and replacement) of the CGA package? and How many times can we rework the same board without destroying a pad or degrading the lifetime of the assembly? To answer these questions, the most complex printed wiring board assembly used by the project was chosen to be used as the test vehicle, the PWB was modified to provide a daisy chain pattern, and a number of bare PWB s were acquired to this modified design. Non-functional 624 pin CGA packages with internal daisy chained matching the pattern on the PWB were procured. The combination of the modified PWB and the daisy chained packages enables continuity measurements of every soldered contact during subsequent testing and thermal cycling. Several test vehicles boards were assembled, reworked and then thermal cycled to assess the reliability of the solder joints and board material including pads and traces near the CGA. The details of rework process and results of thermal cycling are presented in this paper.

high reliability↗

High-Reliability Systems and the Control of National Security Data and Information

High-reliability systems are characterized by catastrophic implications in the event of failure. These implications can include substantive damage to the environment, social order, and loss of life. Examples of high-reliability systems include nuclear submarines, nuclear reactors, the electric grid, and nuclear weapons. Due to the catastrophic implications of failure, there are heightened awareness and control mechanisms surrounding related data and information. However, defining the difference between data and information is often ambiguous across scholarly disciplines and in United States policy and legislation. For high-reliability systems, the implications of ambiguity between data and information may affect the security of United States interests and even cost lives. For security, data are raw facts or figures without context, while information is the compilation or articulation of data that forms context. Security depends on clarity in the differences between data and information and how to control them. Control is necessary to ensure that data and information are not unintentionally released to foreign governments, the public, or those without need-to-know. A primary concern in the practice of security is the control of data to avoid the unintended conversion to information. Intra-institutionally, this control is highly complex given the amalgam of legacy data systems and the numerous and constantly evolving nature of modern data systems that were not necessarily designed to be integrated. The complexity of this concern is augmented when institutions are part of interinstitutional collaborations or networks of public-private partnerships that share data and information. Additionally, institutions that share data as a function of policy and legislative action— particularly formally integrated data and information system infrastructures—may be at higher security risk. This paper will present an intra-institutional paradigm that utilizes and integrates concepts from numerous disciplines to frame a critical and underspecified practical issue in security—controlling for the unintended conversion of data to information.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

High-Reliability Systems and the Control of National Security Data and Information

High-reliability systems are characterized by catastrophic implications in the event of failure. These implications can include substantive damage to the environment, social order, and loss of life. Examples of high-reliability systems include nuclear submarines, nuclear reactors, the electric grid, and nuclear weapons. Due to the catastrophic implications of failure, there are heightened awareness and control mechanisms surrounding related data and information. However, defining the difference between data and information is often ambiguous across scholarly disciplines and in United States policy and legislation. For high-reliability systems, the implications of ambiguity between data and information may affect the security of United States interests and even cost lives. For security, data are raw facts or figures without context, while information is the compilation or articulation of data that forms context. Security depends on clarity in the differences between data and information and how to control them. Control is necessary to ensure that data and information are not unintentionally released to foreign governments, the public, or those without need-to-know. A primary concern in the practice of security is the control of data to avoid the unintended conversion to information. Intra-institutionally, this control is highly complex given the amalgam of legacy data systems and the numerous and constantly evolving nature of modern data systems that were not necessarily designed to be integrated. The complexity of this concern is augmented when institutions are part of inter-institutional collaborations or networks of public-private partnerships that share data and information. Additionally, institutions that share data as a function of policy and legislative action—particularly formally integrated data and information system infrastructures—may be at higher security risk. This paper will present an intra-institutional paradigm that utilizes and integrates concepts from numerous disciplines to frame a critical and underspecified practical issue in security—controlling for the unintended conversion of data to information.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Redundancy: How Many Unreliable Spares are Needed for High Reliability and Confidence on a Time Limited Mission?

This paper investigates the number of redundant units needed to achieve high reliability with high confidence. The approach applies to the case where the unit failure rate is too high for a single unit to provide the required reliability over the mission duration. To achieve high reliability, the design then uses N redundant units, one operating unit and N – 1 spares. If the unit failure rate is f, the mission length is L, and f * L is small (not the case assumed here), the unit failure probability over the mission duration is F1 = f * L << 1. In this case, the probability that all N units will fail is FN = F1N, and the needed N = LN(FN)/LN(F1). For the case of large f * L assumed here, F1 = f * L > 1, and F1 is the expected number of failures during the mission. The needed redundancy, N, to achieve the specified N unit reliability, FN, can be computed using the cumulative Poisson distribution with mean equal to F1. The number of spares, N - 1, is increased until the probability - that the total number of failures will be less than N -1 - achieves the required reliability. The confidence that this reliability can be achieved can be computed using the cumulative Poisson distribution or the chi-square distribution. Since the measured unit failure rate, f, has some uncertainty, the confidence that the rate is not lower than the actual failure rate and the required reliability is not overestimated is about 50%. Adding more redundant units increases the confidence that the required reliability, FN, will be achieved. For a fixed number of redundant units, the expected reliability and confidence can be traded off, since lower reliability goals have higher confidence in being achieved. Both the required reliability and confidence can be specified initially and the needed number of redundant units computed using the measured failure rate. The unit failure rate is determined by initial reliability growth testing to remove design errors and to better estimate the final constant failure rate. Reducing the failure rate and reducing its variance both reduce the number of redundant units needed for the required reliability and confidence. Since the total cost is the sum of the costs of the units and of the testing, there is an optimum test time that produces minimum cost.

Harry W. Jones↗

Uncertainties in obtaining high reliability from stress-strength models

There has been a recent interest in determining high statistical reliability in risk assessment of aircraft components. The potential consequences are identified of incorrectly assuming a particular statistical distribution for stress or strength data used in obtaining the high reliability values. The computation of the reliability is defined as the probability of the strength being greater than the stress over the range of stress values. This method is often referred to as the stress-strength model. A sensitivity analysis was performed involving a comparison of reliability results in order to evaluate the effects of assuming specific statistical distributions. Both known population distributions, and those that differed slightly from the known, were considered. Results showed substantial differences in reliability estimates even for almost nondetectable differences in the assumed distributions. These differences represent a potential problem in using the stress-strength model for high reliability computations, since in practice it is impossible to ever know the exact (population) distribution. An alternative reliability computation procedure is examined involving determination of a lower bound on the reliability values using extreme value distributions. This procedure reduces the possibility of obtaining nonconservative reliability estimates. Results indicated the method can provide conservative bounds when computing high reliability. An alternative reliability computation procedure is examined involving determination of a lower bound on the reliability values using extreme value distributions. This procedure reduces the possibility of obtaining nonconservative reliability estimates. Results indicated the method can provide conservative bounds when computing high reliability.

Neal, Donald M.↗

High Reliability at Minimum Cost

This paper investigates the minimum cost of improving the reliability of complex technical systems. The two major methods to improve reliability are redesigning the system for higher reliability or providing redundant components to replace failed elements. The costs of redesign for reliability or adding redundancy are estimated. The most cost-effective combination for high reliability can be identified. The cost of increasing the intrinsic reliability of a system can be modeled as cost proportional to 1/(system failure rate) a , where the exponent “a” measures the difficulty of increasing reliability. The “a” exponent can vary from 0.25 to about 2.5. Operational reliability can also be increased by using redundant systems. The failure rate for N parallel redundant units is (system failure rate) N . The cost of redundancy is N times the system cost. The total redundant system cost is proportional to N/(system failure rate) a . The cost of redundancy increases as N gets larger, but larger N allows a higher system failure rate, which reduces the system design cost. There is a certain N, a certain level of redundancy, that has the minimum cost to achieve the required overall redundant system failure rate. The minimum cost for the redundant system is achieved at the optimum level of redundancy. The N for minimum cost is equal to -a ln (redundant system failure rate). The minimum cost of the N redundant systems is proportional to N * (original system failure rate) a . The optimum redesigned individual system failure rate is proportional to exp (-1/a), so the greater the difficulty, the higher the optimum individual system failure rate. Increasing the intrinsic reliability of a system encounters diminishing returns and at some point it becomes more cost-effective to add redundancy. The difficulty of increasing intrinsic system reliability determines the optimum design for high reliability at minimum cost.

reliability↗

High Reliability at Minimum Cost

This paper investigates the minimum cost of improving the reliability of complex technical systems. The two major methods to improve reliability are redesigning the system for higher reliability or providing redundant components to replace failed elements. The costs of redesign for reliability or adding redundancy are estimated. The most cost-effective combination for high reliability can be identified. The cost of increasing the intrinsic reliability of a system can be modeled as cost proportional to 1/(system failure rate) a , where the exponent “a” measures the difficulty of increasing reliability. The “a” exponent can vary from 0.25 to about 2.5. Operational reliability can also be increased by using redundant systems. The failure rate for N parallel redundant units is (system failure rate) N . The cost of redundancy is N times the system cost. The total redundant system cost is proportional to N/(system failure rate) a . The cost of redundancy increases as N gets larger, but larger N allows a higher system failure rate, which reduces the system design cost. There is a certain N, a certain level of redundancy, that has the minimum cost to achieve the required overall redundant system failure rate. The minimum cost for the redundant system is achieved at the optimum level of redundancy. The N for minimum cost is equal to -a ln (redundant system failure rate). The minimum cost of the N redundant systems is proportional to N * (original system failure rate) a . The optimum redesigned individual system failure rate is proportional to exp (-1/a), so the greater the difficulty, the higher the optimum individual system failure rate. Increasing the intrinsic reliability of a system encounters diminishing returns and at some point it becomes more cost-effective to add redundancy. The difficulty of increasing intrinsic system reliability determines the optimum design for high reliability at minimum cost.

reliability↗

A dual output pressure, high reliability, long storage life gas delivery vessel assembly

A Gas Vessel Assembly has been developed that delivers purified, very low moisture content gas at two different output pressures. High pressure gas is delivered at up to 6,700 psi, and low pressure gas regulated to 130 psi is also delivered via a second outlet over a wide range of flow rates. The device is extremely lightweight (less than 1 lb) and compact, affords maximum mechanical integrity, high reliability (0.9999 at 95 percent confidence level), and offers extremely long storage life. Specialized design and fabrication techniques are employed that guarantee gas purity and negligible leakage for more than 20 years, in widely varying conditions of storage temperature, humidity, altitude, and vibration environments. The technology offers unique advantages in fast, high pressure discharge applications. For example, when combined with a cryostat, cryogenic temperatures can be achieved such as those used in missile seeker technology. The technology has many additional applications such as: emergency power sources for safety devices such as those needed in nuclear power plants, refineries, collision cushioning devices, superconductor cooling devices, emergency egress systems, miniature mechanical devices that employ gas bearings, and other areas where long storage, extremely high reliability and/or high energy density sources are required.

Maya, Isaac↗

Highly Reliable Organizations in the Onshore Natural Gas Sector: An Assessment of Current Practices, Regulatory Frameworks, and Select Case Studies

This study focuses on onshore natural gas operations and examines the extent to which oil and gas firms have embraced certain organizational characteristics that lead to 'high reliability' - understood here as strong safety and reliability records over extended periods of operation. The key questions that motivated this study include whether onshore oil and gas firms engaged in exploration and production (E&P) and midstream (i.e., natural gas transmission and storage) are implementing practices characteristic of high reliability organizations (HROs) and the extent to which any such practices are being driven by industry innovations and standards and/or regulatory requirements.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Reliability prediction for a class of highly reliable digital systems

Three theorems which show that the reliability of a popular class of systems can be computed using small and simple models are presented. This class consists of systems that are assemblages of subsystems where each subsystem is a majority-voting threeplex plus spares or majority-voting fourplex plus spares. The theorems are error bounds for model reduction and simplification. The error bounds are given in terms of readily available system parameters. The three theorems have been applied to a system that has been used as an example that generates extremely large reliability models; the system considered is one version of AIPS (Advanced Information Processing System) for IAPSA (Integrated Airframe Propulsion System Architecture).

White, Allan L.↗

Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems.

We use 36 years (1980-2015) of hourly weather data over the contiguous United States (CONUS) to assess the impact of low-cost energy storage on highly reliable electricity systems that use only variable renewable energy (VRE; wind and solar photovoltaics). Even assuming perfect transmission of wind and solar generation aggregated over CONUS, energy storage costs would need to decrease several hundred-fold from current costs (to ~$1/kWh) in fully VRE electricity systems to yield highly reliable electricity without extensive curtailment of VRE generation. The role of energy storage changes from high-cost storage competing with curtailment to fill short-term gaps between VRE generation and hourly demand to near-free storage serving as seasonal storage for VRE resources. Energy storage faces "double penalties" in VRE/storage systems: with increasing capacity, (1) the additional storage is used less frequently and (2) hourly electricity costs would become less volatile, thus reducing price arbitrage opportunities for the additional storage.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A latent fault Markov model for a highly reliable triplex computer system

A Markov model of a highly reliable triplex system was constructed to evaluate the probability of system failure as a function of the propagation of latent faults. It is found that if the propagation rate of latent faults is extremely high, they do not significantly affect the probability of system failure, while if the propagation rate is extremely low, the survivability of the system is improved. The propagation rate that is most harmful to the survivability of the system is determined as a function of the duration of the flight. A decrease in the probability of system failure due to latency is noted if the probability of any two faults giving the same output is extremely low.

Swern, Frederic L.↗