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At least 37 records · Page 2

Integration and commissioning plan of Full Flow Purifier at Muon Campus

The Full Flow Purifier for Fermilab’s Muon Campus uses a charcoal bed surrounded by a liquid nitrogen jacket to purify up to 240 g/s of helium gas. Fabrication by Ability Engineering Technology Inc. has been completed and the purifier delivered to Fermilab. It is the largest purifier to be used at Fermilab based on both capacity and size. A previous paper discussed the design of purifier for various operational conditions and horizontal shipping. The purifier is designed to withstand 5g force in vertical and 2g force in lateral and longitudinal directions. Transportation experience from vendor to Fermilab and within site is discussed. Integration of the purifier involved design and fabrication of a liquid nitrogen transfer line, regeneration system, and helium piping to connect it to Muon Campus cryogenic system. It also involved establishing electrical, instrumentation and controls connections to the system. Integration of the purifier is discussed in detail. The purifier is to be commissioned using up to 4 MYCOM helium compressors to supply helium and liquid nitrogen supplied by a 15,000 -gallon tank. Actual effectiveness of the 3-stream heat exchanger is to be estimated based on measured temperatures and flow rate. Impurity levels shall be monitored at inlet and outlet of the purifier. Theoretical adsorption capacity of the purifier is calculated based on the measured temperatures and flowrates and is compared to actual adsorption capacity over time.

Subedi, Jeewan [Fermilab]↗

SC Wall-to-RC Basemat Over-Strength Connection: Behavior and Design

This paper presents results from experimental and analytical investigations conducted to evaluate the lateral load behavior and capacity of steel-plate composite (SC) wall-to-reinforced concrete (RC) basemat connections. Two SC wall-to-reinforced concrete basemat connection specimens were tested. These SC wall specimens had a height-to-length ratio of 0.6 and did not include boundary elements. The experimental results include the lateral force-displacement (V-Δ) responses of the specimens and observations of local damage such as steel plate local buckling and concrete crushing. 3D finite element models were developed and benchmarked using the experimental results. The benchmarked models were used to conduct analytical parametric studies, expand the database, and gain additional insights into the behavior of SC wall-to-RC basemat connections. The parameters included in analytical investigations were the wall aspect ratio (h/lw), reinforcement ratio (ρ), and wall thickness (T).

Kurt, Efe G.↗

Liquid Interfacial Electron Microscopy Identifies Nanogalvanic Corrosion in Pearlitic Steel

The nanoscale mechanisms of localized corrosion in low carbon steels have remained elusive due to the complexity of studying the degradative material behavior at nanoscale solid-liquid interfaces. We identified various steps in the nanogalvanic corrosion processes using in-situ liquid-cell scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) using a microfluidic holder by Hummingbird Scientific. Initial work, performed at low magnification, identified the initiation point on a 1018 low-carbon steel surface. This initiation point was determined to be a triple junction of two ferrite grains bridging a cementite grain in contact with a baseline electrolyte of 6 uM CO2 dissolved in a buffered (2.78 uM Na2SO4) aqueous solution, pH 6.1. The pre-etched low-carbon steel surface was prepared using focused ion beam lift-out procedures to extract a cross-section of the low-carbon steel surface, which then was thinned to about 150 nm and transferred to a SiN membrane microfluidic window. The transfer was made using a lift-out needle to attach the low-carbon steel lamella to the corner of the SiN window, and then Pt/C deposition held the lamella in contact with the window while it was released from the lift out needle. To identify the triple point on the low carbon steel lamella, prior to attachment on the SiN window, the sample was characterized for compositional variations with energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy mapping, grain orientation and phase mapping with precession electron diffraction, and thickness mapping with energy filtered transmission electron microscopy. This pre-characterization prior to the in-situ experiment provided a map of the multiphase and multigrain structure, where the in-situ liquid cell imaging provided a clear understanding of the initiation point on the sample. These data were cross-correlated to paint a holistic picture of the triple junction site, enabling low electron-fluence in-situ snapshot imaging to avoid dominating the native corrosion reactions with effects from the incident electron beam. This initial result identified that localized, nanogalvanic corrosion at the phase interface was the dominant corrosion process in the low-carbon steel, so we next targeted the observation of an array of these nanogalvanic features phase boundaries in a pearlite grain. Near-surface ferrite/cementite phase interfaces that typify pearlitic low-carbon steel were extracted, pre-characterized, and imaged for the in-situ corrosion processes. The sample was a cross-section from a pearlite grain, with alternating ferrite and cementite grains that extended microns down from the pre-etched low-carbon steel pipe surface. After contact with a buffered aqueous solution, the phase boundaries between the ferrite and cementite began to dissolve, with observable material loss and thickness changes in the dark-field and bright-field STEM images. Within minutes, the corrosion front proceeded deeper into the material, claiming a thin layer of ferrite around all exposed phase boundaries before progressing laterally into the ferrite matrix, converting the ferrite to corrosion product normal to each buried cementite grain. Formation of the corrosion product causes a volumetric expansion, creating a lateral wedging force that mechanically ejects the cementite grains from their grooves and leaves behind percolation channels into the steel substructure. Rapid and deleterious, this nanogalvanic corrosion pathway represents an important target for understanding and preventing run-away degradation in this common building material. Observation of this corrosion mechanism was enabled by the combination of pre-characterization using standard structural, grain, and compositional analysis in the TEM, which provides maps for understanding the reaction propagation captured in low-dose, in-situ, liquid-cell STEM.

corrosion↗

Integration and commissioning plan of Full Flow Purifier at Muon Campus

The Full Flow Purifier for Fermilab's Muon Campus uses a charcoal bed surrounded by a liquid nitrogen jacket to purify up to 240 g/s of helium gas. Fabrication by Ability Engineering Technology Inc. has been completed and the purifier delivered to Fermilab. It is the largest purifier to be used at Fermilab based on both capacity and size. A previous paper discussed the design of purifier for various operational conditions and horizontal shipping. The purifier is designed to withstand 5g force in vertical and 2g force in lateral and longitudinal directions. Transportation experience from vendor to Fermilab and within site is discussed. Integration of the purifier involved design and fabrication of a liquid nitrogen transfer line, regeneration system, and helium piping to connect it to Muon Campus cryogenic system. It also involved establishing electrical, instrumentation and controls connections to the system. Integration of the purifier is discussed in detail. The purifier is to be commissioned using up to 4 MYCOM helium compressors to supply helium and liquid nitrogen supplied by a 60,000-liter tank. Actual effectiveness of the 3-stream heat exchanger is to be estimated based on measured temperatures and flow rate. Impurity levels will be monitored at inlet and outlet of the purifier. Theoretical adsorption capacity of the purifier is calculated based on the measured temperatures and flowrates and is compared to actual adsorption capacity over time.

Subedi, J. [Fermilab] (ORCID:0009000185837576)↗

Atomic-Scale Insights into the Lateral and Vertical Epitaxial Growth in Two-Dimensional Pd 2 Se 3 –MoS 2 Heterostructures

Two-dimensional (2D) materials form heterostructures in both the lateral and vertical directions when two different materials are interfaced, but with totally different bonding mechanisms of covalent in-plane to van der Waal’s layered interactions. Understanding how the competition between lateral and vertical forces influences the epitaxial growth is important for future materials development of complex mixed layered heterostructures. In this study, we use atomic-resolution annular dark-field scanning transmission electron microscopy to study the detailed atomic arrangements at mixed 2D heterostructure interfaces composed of two semiconductors with distinctly different crystal symmetry and elemental composition, Pd 2 Se 3 :MoS 2 , in order to understand the role of different chemical bonds on the resultant epitaxy. Pd 2 Se 3 is grown off the step edge in bilayer MoS 2 , and the vertical and lateral epitaxial relationships of the Pd 2 Se 3 –MoS 2 heterostructures are investigated. We find that the similarity of geometry at the interface with one metal (Pd or Mo) atoms bonded with two chalcogens (S or Se) are the crucial factors to make the atomically stitched lateral junction of 2D heterostructures. In addition, the vertical van der Waal interactions that are normally dominant in layered materials can be overcome by in-plane forces if the interfacial atomic stitching is high in quality and low in defect density. This knowledge should help guide the approaches for improving the epitaxy in mixed 2D heterostructures and seamless stitching of in-plane 2D heterostructures with various complex monolayer structures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Robust late twenty-first century shift in the regional monsoons in RegCM-CORDEX simulations

Abstract We use an unprecedented ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) projections over seven regional CORDEX domains to provide, for the first time, an RCM-based global view of monsoon changes at various levels of increased greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing. All regional simulations are conducted using RegCM4 at a 25 km horizontal grid spacing using lateral and lower boundary forcing from three General Circulation Models (GCMs), which are part of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). Each simulation covers the period from 1970 through 2100 under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). Regional climate simulations exhibit high fidelity in capturing key characteristics of precipitation and atmospheric dynamics across monsoon regions in the historical period. In the future period, regional monsoons exhibit a spatially robust delay in the monsoon onset, an increase in seasonality, and a reduction in the rainy season length at higher levels of radiative forcing. All regions with substantial delays in the monsoon onset exhibit a decrease in pre-monsoon precipitation, indicating a strong connection between pre-monsoon drying and a shift in the monsoon onset. The weakening of latent heat driven atmospheric warming during the pre-monsoon period delays the overturning of atmospheric subsidence in the monsoon regions, which defers their transitioning into deep convective states. Monsoon changes under the RCP2.6 scenario are mostly within the baseline variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Unraveling Strain Gradient Induced Electromechanical Coupling in Twisted Double Bilayer Graphene Moiré Superlattices

Moiré superlattices of 2D materials with a small twist angle are thought to exhibit appreciable flexoelectric effect, though unambiguous confirmation of their flexoelectricity is challenging due to artifacts associated with commonly used piezoresponse force microscopy (PFM). For example, unexpectedly small phase contrast (≈8°) between opposite flexoelectric polarizations is reported in twisted bilayer graphene (tBG), though theoretically predicted value is 180°. We report a methodology is developed to extract intrinsic moiré flexoelectricity using twisted double bilayer graphene (tDBG) as a model system, probed by lateral PFM. For small twist angle samples, it is found that a vectorial decomposition is essential to recover the small intrinsic flexoelectric response at domain walls from a large background signal. The obtained threefold symmetry of commensurate domains with significant flexoelectric response at domain walls is fully consistent with the theoretical calculations. Incommensurate domains in tDBG with relatively large twist angles can also be observed by this technique. A general strategy is provided here for unraveling intrinsic flexoelectricity in van der Waals moiré superlattices while providing insights into engineered symmetry breaking in centrosymmetric materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Probing the Contribution of Lateral Pathways to Out–of–Plane Charge Transport in Organic Bulk Heterojunctions

The nanoscale interpenetrating electron donor–acceptor network in organic bulk heterojunction (BHJ) solar cells results in efficient charge photogeneration but creates complex 3D pathways for charge transport. At present, little is known about the extent to which out-of-plane charge flow relies on lateral electrical connectivity. In this work, a procedure, based on conductive atomic force microscopy, is introduced to quantify lateral current spreading during out-of-plane charge transport. Using the developed approach, the dependence of lateral spreading on BHJ phase separation, composition, and molecule type (small molecule vs polymer) is studied. In the small-molecule BHJ, 7,7'-(4,4-bis(2-ethylhexyl)-4H-silolo[3,2-b:4,5-b']dithiophene-2,6-diyl)bis(6-fluoro-4-(5'-hexyl-[2,2'-bithiophen]-5-yl)benzo[c]-[1,2,5]thiadiazole):(6,6)-Phenyl-C 71 -butyric acid methyl ester (p-DTS(FBTTh 2 ) 2 :PC 71 BM), an increase is observed in lateral hole current spreading as the population of donor crystallites, bearing an edge-on molecular orientation, is increased. When integrated into BHJs, the polymer donor poly(3-hexylthiophene-2,5-diyl) (P3HT) leads to greater lateral hole current spreading and more spatially uniform charge transport than the small-molecule donor, owing to in-plane charge transport along the polymer backbone. Finally, through the newly introduced electrical characterization scheme, these experiments bring to light the role of lateral electrical connectivity in assisting charge navigation across BHJs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Future projections in the climatology of global low-level jets from CORDEX-CORE simulations

The potential changes in the strength and location of five low-level jets (LLJs) located within four Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) domains are examined for present and future climate conditions using an ensemble of simulations conducted with the RegCM4 regional model at a 25 km horizontal grid spacing. Lateral and lower boundary forcing fields are from three General Circulation Models (GCMs), and we analyse a historical period (1995–2014) along with two future periods (2041–2060 and 2080–2099) under the Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6 and 8.5. The RegCM4, as driven by the GCMs, is capable of capturing most of the observed climatological features of the LLJs, both in terms of spatial location and seasonal evolution. Analysis of the influence of global warming on the LLJs shows a consistent strengthening of the jets and a shift in their location under both warming scenarios. The Monsoon and West African westerly LLJs exhibit a northward shift, while the Caribbean and South American LLJs present a westward expansion. The use of an ensemble of high-resolution simulations is found to provide a key element for a robust assessment of changes in LLJs associated with future global warming scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effects of structure and volcanic stratigraphy on groundwater and surface water flow: Hat Creek basin, California, USA

Abstract Hydrogeologic systems in the southern Cascade Range in California (USA) develop in volcanic rocks where morphology, stratigraphy, extensional structures, and attendant basin geometry play a central role in groundwater flow paths, groundwater/surface-water interactions, and spring discharge locations. High-volume springs (greater than 3 m 3 /s) flow from basin-filling (<800 ka) volcanic rocks in the Hat Creek and Fall River tributaries and contribute approximately half of the average annual flow of the Pit River, the largest tributary to Shasta Lake. A hydrogeologic conceptual framework is constructed for the Hat Creek basin combining new geologic mapping, water-well lithologic logs, a database of active faults, LiDAR mapping of faults and volcanic landforms, streamflow measurements and airborne thermal infrared remote sensing of stream temperature. These data are used to integrate the geologic structure and the volcanic and volcaniclastic stratigraphy to create a three-dimensional interpretation of the hydrogeology in the basin. Two large streamflow gains from focused groundwater discharge near Big Spring and north of Sugarloaf Peak result from geologic barriers that restrict lateral groundwater flow and force water into Hat Creek. The inferred groundwater-flow barriers divide the aquifer system into at least three leaky compartments. The two downstream compartments lose streamflow in the upstream reaches (immediately downstream of the groundwater-flow barriers) and gain in downstream reaches with the greatest inflows immediately upstream of the barriers.

Geology↗

Changes in Four Decades of Near‐CONUS Tropical Cyclones in an Ensemble of 12 km Thermodynamic Global Warming Simulations

We evaluate tropical cyclones (TCs) in a set of thermodynamic global warming (TGW) simulations over the continental United States (CONUS). A 12 km simulation forced by ERA5 provides a 40‐year historical (1980–2019) control. Four complimentary future scenarios are generated using thermodynamic deltas applied to lateral boundary, interior, and surface forcing. We curate a data set of 4,498 6‐hourly TC snapshots in the control and find a corresponding “twin” in each counterfactual, permitting a paired comparison. Warming results in an increase in mean dynamical TC intensity and moisture‐related quantities, with the latter being more pronounced. TC inner cores contract slightly but outer storm size remains unchanged. The frequency with which TCs become more intense is only moderately consistent, with snapshots having increased hazards ranging from 50% to 80% depending on warming level. The fractions of TCs undergoing rapid intensification and weakening both increase across all warming simulations, suggesting elevated short‐term intensity variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Optical and electronic functionality arising from controlled defect formation in nanoscale complex oxide lateral epitaxy

Epitaxial crystallization of complex oxides provides the means to create materials with precisely selected composition, strain, and orientation, thereby controlling their functionalities. Extending this control to nanoscale three-dimensional geometries can be accomplished via a three-dimensional analog of oxide solid-phase epitaxy, lateral epitaxial crystallization. The orientation of crystals within laterally crystallized SrTiO 3 systematically changes from the orientation of the SrTiO 3 substrate. This evolution occurs as a function of lateral crystallization distance, with a rate of approximately 50° μm -1 . The mechanism of the rotation is consistent with a steady-state stress of tens of megapascal over a 100–nanometer scale region near the moving amorphous/crystalline interface arising from the amorphous-crystalline density difference. Second harmonic generation and piezoelectric force microscopy reveal that the laterally crystallized SrTiO 3 is noncentrosymmetric and develops a switchable piezoelectric response at room temperature, illustrating the potential to use lateral crystallization to control the functionality of complex oxides.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enhanced van der Waals epitaxy of germanium by out-of-plane dipole moment induced from transferred graphene on TiN/AlN multilayers

We report recent advances in 3D/2D heterostructures have opened up tremendous opportunities in building highly flexible and durable optoelectronic devices. However, the inherit lack of interfacial bonding and low surface energy of van der Waals surfaces limit the nucleation and growth of 3D materials. Enhancing wettability by providing a porous buffer is effective in growing compound semiconductors on graphene while van der Waals epitaxy of Ge remains challenging. Here, the nucleation of Ge has been significantly improved from an islanded mode to granular modes by using a TiN/AlN multilayered buffer prior to Ge/graphene integration. Highly textured Ge growth with dominating (111), (220), and (311) peaks are identified by x-ray diffraction. The microstructure of the buffer TiN/AlN demonstrates a polycrystalline quality with clean interfaces between each interlayer and the substrate. Kelvin probe force microscopy measurements along the lateral TiN/AlN interface identify a potential drop corresponding to the AlN phase. This contact potential difference between TiN and AlN is the key in generating the out-of-plane dipole moment that modifies the surface energy of the monolayer graphene, resulting in enhanced wettability of the Ge adatoms nucleated on top. Surface dipole induced nucleation of 3D semiconductor thin films on 2D materials via the proper design of buffer layer is fundamentally important to enhance the 3D/2D growth toward flexible optoelectronic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Characterization of the Finite Element Computational Fluid Dynamics Capabilities in the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment

We report the multiphysics object-oriented simulation environment (moose) is a code package that couples a variety of physics modules, allowing for highly accessible multiphysics simulations. The physics modules include a finite element Navier–Stokes (N–S) module that is designed to solve laminar fluid dynamics problems. The usage of this module in multiple recent studies coupled with the growing interest in moose for usage in nonlight water reactor safety studies by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) prompted the authors to investigate the computational fluid dynamics capabilities of moose. A two-dimensional laminar flow past a circular cylinder scenario is simulated in the moose framework to investigate the effectiveness of the N–S module. Simulations assumed an unsteady laminar flow with a Reynolds number of 200. To verify the results from moose, similar simulations were conducted using the well-utilized simulation of turbulent flow in arbitrary regions—computational continuum mechanics C++ (star-ccm + ) finite volume code. Results from both codes are also compared to some results from literature. Velocity and pressure profiles of both transient simulations were compared. The numerical and input errors in moose are also visualized with contour plots to qualitatively understand the evolution of the errors across time and space. The comparisons between moose and star-ccm + showed nearly perfect agreement between the codes for velocity and pressure, especially after the development of the vortex street in later time-steps. The force coefficients showed excellent agreement after the development of the vortex street, but demonstrated notable discrepancies prior to the vortex street development, which is likely due to how each code simulated the approach to the vortex street in earlier time-steps.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Effect of charge and anisotropic diffusivity on ion exchange kinetics in nuclear waste form materials

Motifs of radionuclide absorption particles (absorbers or fillers) for the nuclear waste treatment usually have crystal structures with nano-sized tunnels for fast ion diffusion. On the other hand, the accumulation of ions generates an electric field which affects the ion diffusion. Therefore, the strong anisotropic kinetic properties and the electric field affect ion exchange kinetics, especially in an assembly of these particles which may block the fast diffusion tunnels for each other. In this work, we developed a mesoscale model to describe the effect of anisotropic kinetic properties and electric field on ion exchange kinetics. With the model we simulated the effect of anisotropic diffusivity, electrochemical potential, particle morphology, size and aggregation on ion exchange kinetics during batch experiments. Here, tt is found that 1) ion exchange results in charge accumulation inside the particle because different ions have different diffusivities and different diffusion driving forces. The electric neutrality is not preserved; 2) the electric field speeds up the slower diffusion ions (either uptake or release) and slows down the faster diffusion ions to reduce charge accumulation and maintains charge neutrality; 3) the ion exchange becomes very slow at the later stages because a) diffusion driving force (electrochemical gradient, Cs + concentration in the solution and Na + inside the particle) continuously decreases, as observed in batch experiments; and b) the diffusivity decreases due to the Cs + concentration dependence of ion diffusivity. This can explain the observed experimental phenomena that the radionuclide capacity usually cannot be reached; 4) for needle-like particle and their clusters, both surface area and diffusion distance along the direction with the fastest diffusivities have significant impact on the ion exchange kinetics.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Three-Dimensional Free Gas Flow Focuses Basin-Wide Microbial Methane to Concentrated Methane Hydrate Reservoirs in Geological System

Here, we present a systematic model that links the generation, migration, phase partitioning, and accumulation of methane into a closed loop as the sediment is deposited from the seafloor and buried through the base of hydrate stability zone (BHSZ). In our model, methane is generated by biodegradation of organic carbon in muds. Hydrate does not form and methane is not trapped until a coarse-grained layer is deposited, because the small pores prevent hydrate formation in muds. Instead, methane diffuses into sands/silts where methane solidifies into hydrate. As hydrate-bearing sands/silts pass through the BHSZ during sediment burial, methane hydrate dissociates, and releases free gas. The released and the newly generated free gas below the BHSZ concentrates into a vertical/dipping zone with low capillary entry pressure and high permeability and flows upward driven its buoyancy. When free gas reaches the hydrate stability zone (HSZ), capillary forces drive free gas to flow laterally, preferentially enter sands/silts, feed hydrate growth, and elevate hydrate saturation. With three-dimensional focused free gas flow, microbial methane that is generated from a much larger fetch area of the entire basin, both above and below the BHSZ, is concentrated into coarse-grained layers at structural closures for hydrate formation. Our model illustrates how geological evolution, microbial methane generation, and gas flow by buoyancy couple to generate concentrated hydrate deposits in geological system. These insights can be used to explore for high-concentration methane hydrate and are important for understanding the methane budget and carbon cycle under the seafloor.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Reduced thermal resistance of Al-rich AlGaN HEMTs via top-side diamond integration

We report back-end-of-line growth of nanocrystalline diamond (NCD) on ultrawide bandgap (UWBG) high Al content aluminum gallium nitride (AlGaN) channel high electron mobility transistors for thermal management. A thin (∼15 nm) silicon nitride (SiN x ) interlayer was deposited to protect the device surface before performing a low temperature (500 °C) NCD growth process in an attempt to protect the gates on these fully fabricated devices. Notably, atomic force microscopy showed that the maximum lateral grain size exceeded 300 nm even though the film thickness was ∼250 nm. Comparing electrical (DC) performance before and after NCD growth, the gate leakage increased by ∼10 2 after NCD growth. Despite the lower NCD growth temperature, intermixing of the Ni and Au was observed in the Schottky gate metal stack; however, we believe there is another mechanism, possibly hydrogen-related, that is responsible for the measured increase in gate leakage. Regarding thermal management, the device-level thermal resistance (quantified using the average gate temperature rise measured by thermoreflectance imaging) was reduced by 29% through the incorporation of the top-side diamond film. Using time-domain thermoreflectance, the thermal conductivity of the ≈250 nm thick NCD film was measured to be 45 ± 25 W m −1 K −1 . This is expected to be at least 5× greater than the thermal conductivity of the thin disordered AlGaN alloy. There could also be a coupled electrothermal component contributing to the reduced temperature rise from electric field spreading and consequent heat spreading. This study demonstrates a promising first step toward device-level thermal management of high power UWBG Al-rich AlGaN devices.

Lundh, James Spencer [U.S. Naval Research Laborato↗

Evaluation of simulated soil carbon dynamics in Arctic-Boreal ecosystems

Given the magnitude of soil carbon stocks in northern ecosystems, and the vulnerability of these stocks to climate warming, land surface models must accurately represent soil carbon dynamics in these regions. We evaluate soil carbon stocks and turnover rates, and the relationship between soil carbon loss with soil temperature and moisture, from an ensemble of eleven global land surface models. We focus on the region of NASA's Arctic-Boreal vulnerability experiment (ABoVE) in North America to inform data collection and model development efforts. Models exhibit an order of magnitude difference in estimates of current total soil carbon stocks, generally under- or overestimating the size of current soil carbon stocks by greater than 50 PgC. We find that a model's soil carbon stock at steady-state in 1901 is the prime driver of its soil carbon stock a hundred years later—overwhelming the effect of environmental forcing factors like climate. The greatest divergence between modeled and observed soil carbon stocks is in regions dominated by peat and permafrost soils, suggesting that models are failing to capture the frozen soil carbon dynamics of permafrost regions. Using a set of functional benchmarks to test the simulated relationship of soil respiration to both soil temperature and moisture, we find that although models capture the observed shape of the soil moisture response of respiration, almost half of the models examined show temperature sensitivities, or Q10 values, that are half of observed. Significantly, models that perform better against observational constraints of respiration or carbon stock size do not necessarily perform well in terms of their functional response to key climatic factors like changing temperature. This suggests that models may be arriving at the right result, but for the wrong reason. The results of this work can help to bridge the gap between data and models by both pointing to the need to constrain initial carbon pool sizes, as well as highlighting the importance of incorporating functional benchmarks into ongoing, mechanistic modeling activities such as those included in ABoVE.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗